# CattleWeight AI > CattleWeight AI builds contactless cattle weight estimation and practical cattle market intelligence for producers, feedlots, processors, and livestock operators. ## Cattle Market Pulse [Cattle Market Pulse](https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse) is a free cattle, dairy, crop, feed, weather, disease, trade, and policy intelligence dashboard. It organizes information by region, then connects public source families to producer decisions through source evidence links, historical lead-lag drivers, geo market nodes, and scenario models. Covered regional dashboards: North America, Latin America, Oceania, Europe, Africa and Asia. Mapped public series: 302037. Source families: 146. Source evidence links: 151. Source-to-action decision paths: 151. Historical driver models: 12. Geo market nodes: 20. Scenario models: 13. Decision lenses: 8. Coverage atlas regions: 5. Source discovery countries: 103. Source coverage feed targets: 4017. Source discovery estimated public series: 229175. Source discovery live targets: 309. Source coverage API-ready targets: 1957. Source discovery parser-needed targets: 1133. Signal confidence endpoint: https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/confidence.json. Weekly intelligence endpoint: https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/weekly-intelligence.json?region=latin-america§or=feed&lang=es. Weekly intelligence markdown: https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/weekly-intelligence.md?region=latin-america§or=feed&lang=es. Daily market wire endpoint: https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/wire.json?region=latin-america&lang=es. Daily market wire markdown: https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/wire.md?region=latin-america&lang=es. Decision readiness endpoint: https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/decision-readiness.json?region=latin-america§or=feed&lang=es. Impact graph endpoint: https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/impact-graph.json?region=latin-america§or=feed&lang=es. Impact graph markdown: https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/impact-graph.md?region=latin-america§or=feed&lang=es. Geo workbench endpoint: https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/geo-workbench.json?region=latin-america&geoNode=mato-grosso§or=beef&lang=pt. Geo workbench markdown: https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/geo-workbench.md?region=latin-america&geoNode=mato-grosso§or=beef&lang=pt. Evidence graph endpoint: https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/source-graph.json?region=latin-america§or=all&lang=es&limit=500. Forecast memory endpoint: https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/forecast-memory.json?region=latin-america§or=feed&lang=es. Scenario ensemble endpoint: https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/scenario-ensemble.json?region=latin-america§or=feed&lang=es. Local market atlas nodes: 515. Local market atlas countries: 103. Local market atlas feed links: 6077. Intelligence map nodes: 792. Intelligence relationships: 9280. Source-signal links: 591. Region signal hooks: 1128. Sector signal hooks: 2126. Geo signal hooks: 4673. Historical-driver links: 78. Scenario links: 80. Decision-path links: 604. Live observations in current update snapshot: 617. Live driver impacts in current update snapshot: 614. Temporal baseline signals in current update snapshot: 7. Current cattle market reports in current update snapshot: 189. Successful live source families: 45. Current update window: 2026-05-28 to 2026-06-03. ## Regional Market Notes ### North America Headline: Tight supply makes every pound and every feed decision matter. Daily brief: Track feeder and fed cattle bids, boxed beef, feed cost, drought, pasture condition, and disease or border movement before choosing sell, hold, hedge, or feed. Producer takeaway: The useful decision is not a price headline. It is whether the next 50 lb still pays after feed, freight, weather, and buyer risk. Weather and feed: Drought, pasture condition, hay, corn, diesel, and heat load are the daily feed-margin signals. Trade and policy: Exports, border movement, APHIS notices, slaughter pace, and futures positioning can move bids quickly. Risk score: 63 Opportunity score: 78 Key market signals: - Cash cattle: Firm (tight supply). Tight cattle supply keeps the sale window sensitive to packer bids, slaughter pace, and boxed beef support. Source: usda-ams. Confidence: 86%. - Forage pressure: Watch (weekly drought map). Drought and pasture condition decide whether extra weight is cheap gain or expensive feed risk. Source: us-drought-monitor. Confidence: 88%. - Cull cow flow: Margin-led (milk vs feed). Milk margin and feed cost decide whether dairy cows stay in production or move into beef supply. Source: usda-ams. Confidence: 78%. - Health movement: Check (event-driven). Disease and movement rules can matter more than price when cattle cross state, province, or border lines. Source: usda-aphis. Confidence: 82%. - Crop-feed balance: Tight watch (WASDE + crop progress). Corn, hay, pasture, and crop-condition changes move feed cost before livestock reports catch up. Source: usda-wasde. Confidence: 85%. Local markets: - Southern Plains, United States: feedlot and fed cattle read. Main driver: feed cost and drought. Risk: 68. - Northern Plains, United States: feeder supply and weather. Main driver: pasture and feeder runs. Risk: 59. - Canadian Prairies, Canada: cross-border and feedgrain market. Main driver: FX, feed, border movement. Risk: 54. Watchlist: - Feeder auction spreads by weight class - Pasture condition and drought changes - Feed, diesel, and freight costs - Disease, border, and movement notices ### Latin America Headline: Pasture, currency, export access, and breed-specific weight confidence drive the decision. Daily brief: Read local live cattle bids with rainfall, dry-season supplement, exchange rate, sanitary access, and tropical breed/body-shape context. Producer takeaway: Tropical systems need local rain, export, currency, and weight-confidence signals. Weather and feed: Rainfall timing, pasture regrowth, mineral cost, supplement availability, and heat load drive holding value. Trade and policy: Currency, sanitary certification, China and regional exports, and processor capacity can move local bids. Risk score: 71 Opportunity score: 83 Key market signals: - Live cattle bid: FX-linked (exports + currency). Local cattle bids can change quickly when export demand, exchange rate, or processor capacity moves. Source: cepea-boi. Confidence: 84%. - Pasture season: Rain-driven (dry season risk). Rainfall, mineral, and supplement cost decide whether holding cattle adds value in tropical systems. Source: nasa-power. Confidence: 82%. - Milk solids: Regional (feed and heat). Heat, feed cost, and local milk collection determine whether dairy cattle move into beef supply. Source: ibge-sidra. Confidence: 75%. - Sanitary access: Critical (trade gate). Disease status and sanitary certification affect export eligibility and farm-to-farm buyer confidence. Source: woah-wahis. Confidence: 87%. - Crop and input pressure: FX-led (fertilizer + export crops). Soy, corn, fertilizer, fuel, and currency can change feed and pasture economics faster than cattle volume. Source: conab. Confidence: 81%. Local markets: - Mato Grosso, Brazil: pasture and export-linked cattle. Main driver: rain, arroba, currency. Risk: 72. - São Paulo, Brazil: reference price and processing. Main driver: CEPEA indicator and beef demand. Risk: 61. - Northern Mexico, Mexico: border cattle and feeder flows. Main driver: border rules, feed, FX. Risk: 66. - Pampas, Argentina: export policy and pasture. Main driver: sanitary status and currency. Risk: 69. Watchlist: - State-level live cattle price and currency - Rainfall, pasture, and supplement cost - Sanitary certification and export access - Breed-specific weight confidence ### Oceania Headline: Rainfall, restocking, freight, and biosecurity dominate large-scale cattle decisions. Daily brief: Track saleyard indicators, district rainfall, pasture recovery, grain cost, freight, live export policy, and biosecurity status. Producer takeaway: Large mobs and long distances make bad timing expensive. Tie price to rain, freight, and entry weight. Weather and feed: Rainfall, pasture biomass, water, grain ration cost, and freight decide sell, agist, or feedlot. Trade and policy: Export demand, processor capacity, biosecurity rules, and live export policy change buyer access. Risk score: 58 Opportunity score: 74 Key market signals: - Saleyard competition: Rain-led (restocker appetite). Rainfall recovery can lift store cattle and restocker demand before slaughter data confirms it. Source: mla-api. Confidence: 86%. - Water and pasture: Variable (district-by-district). Pasture, water, and long freight distances decide whether to sell, agist, or feedlot cattle. Source: bom-climate. Confidence: 84%. - Dairy export tone: Watch (milk solids). Milk solids pricing and pasture quality affect feed decisions and cull cow availability. Source: stats-nz. Confidence: 73%. - Biosecurity: High value (export access). Biosecurity events affect buyer confidence and export premiums in high-value supply chains. Source: woah-wahis. Confidence: 81%. - Grain season: Weather-led (rain + export parity). Grain yield, export parity, and freight decide ration cost and whether cattle stay on pasture or move to feedlot. Source: abares. Confidence: 79%. Local markets: - Queensland, Australia: restocker and pasture signal. Main driver: rainfall recovery. Risk: 62. - New South Wales, Australia: saleyard and lot-feeder entry. Main driver: grain and freight. Risk: 55. - Waikato, New Zealand: dairy-beef and milk solids. Main driver: milk margin. Risk: 49. Watchlist: - Saleyard indicators and restocker spreads - Rainfall, water, and pasture recovery - Grain ration and freight cost - Biosecurity and export policy ### Europe Headline: Dairy margins, winter feed, movement rules, and country-level supply drive cattle flow. Daily brief: Read raw milk, dairy product prices, forage, energy, slaughter, animal movement rules, and farmgate cattle prices by country. Producer takeaway: Europe needs country-level reads. Milk margins and feed can move cull supply into beef before broad statistics catch up. Weather and feed: Winter forage, energy, housing, and feed availability decide whether carrying cattle adds value. Trade and policy: Animal movement, disease rules, border friction, subsidy changes, and dairy market policy shape access. Risk score: 56 Opportunity score: 66 Key market signals: - Cull cow supply: Margin-led (milk + feed). Milk margins and feed prices can change the volume of dairy cows entering beef supply. Source: eu-milk. Confidence: 83%. - Winter forage: Costly (housing season). Forage availability, housing, and energy cost shape whether keeping cattle adds value. Source: eurostat-agri. Confidence: 78%. - Beef supply: Fragmented (country-level). Country-level slaughter, retail demand, and farmgate prices need local context. Source: eurostat-agri. Confidence: 76%. - Movement rules: Check (health + border). Animal health rules, border checks, and local compliance can change buyer access. Source: woah-wahis. Confidence: 85%. - Crop input margin: Energy-linked (fertilizer + energy). Energy, fertilizer, and crop prices change feed availability and winter forage economics. Source: eu-agri-food-data. Confidence: 78%. Local markets: - Ireland, Ireland: grass dairy-beef signal. Main driver: milk margin and grass. Risk: 48. - France, France: beef, dairy, and feed cost. Main driver: forage and consumer demand. Risk: 55. - Germany, Germany: milk, cull, and policy. Main driver: milk-feed spread. Risk: 60. Watchlist: - Raw milk, butter, SMP, and whey prices - Cull cow flow and slaughter by country - Forage, energy, and winter housing cost - Animal health and movement rules ### Africa and Asia Headline: Feed access, disease risk, import rules, and infrastructure-light weight tracking matter most. Daily brief: Track feed availability, water, heat, disease alerts, import rules, slaughter capacity, and whether cattle are gaining enough to justify feed. Producer takeaway: Where scales and fixed infrastructure are scarce, the highest-value signal is real gain versus feed and health risk. Weather and feed: Local byproduct feed, forage, water, heat, freight, and ration consistency are the margin base. Trade and policy: Import rules, disease status, local slaughter capacity, and financing decide sale access. Risk score: 77 Opportunity score: 69 Key market signals: - Feed access: Local (byproduct + forage). Feedlot and smallholder margins depend on local byproducts, forage, water, and freight reliability. Source: faostat. Confidence: 72%. - Import and slaughter: Regional (market access). Import rules, local slaughter capacity, and cold chain decide where cattle value is realized. Source: usda-fas. Confidence: 74%. - Milk availability: Seasonal (heat + feed). Heat, feed, and water pressure can move milk supply before official production data updates. Source: nasa-power. Confidence: 70%. - Disease alerts: Critical (movement + mortality). Official disease events can immediately affect movement, mortality risk, and buyer confidence. Source: woah-wahis. Confidence: 88%. - Food-feed crop tradeoff: Volatile (weather + imports). Staple crop availability, import rules, and weather can redirect grain between human food, feed, and exports. Source: faostat. Confidence: 74%. Local markets: - East Africa dairy belts, Regional: milk, heat, and feed access. Main driver: water and feed. Risk: 74. - Gulf import corridors, Regional: import and health access. Main driver: trade rules and disease. Risk: 70. - South Asia dairy clusters, Regional: smallholder milk margin. Main driver: feed and heat stress. Risk: 66. Watchlist: - Feed availability and ration consistency - Heat, humidity, and water stress - Disease events and movement rules - Slaughter capacity and import rules ## Public Data Source Families - [USDA AMS MyMarketNews](https://mymarketnews.ams.usda.gov/mymarketnews-api/faqs): U.S. cash cattle, feeder cattle, boxed beef, auctions, dairy, hay, and feed reports. Category: Prices. Cadence: Daily and weekly. Access: MARS API and report pages. Mapped series: 420. - [USDA NASS QuickStats and ESMIS reports](https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/): U.S. cattle inventory, cattle on feed, slaughter, milk production, crop progress, pasture condition, prices, and livestock surveys. Category: Inventory. Cadence: Weekly, monthly, quarterly, annual. Access: Public ESMIS report text releases and QuickStats API. Mapped series: 160. - [USDA ERS livestock data](https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/livestock-and-meat-domestic-data/): U.S. cattle and beef supply, slaughter, wholesale prices, and meat economics. Category: Inventory. Cadence: Monthly. Access: Public datasets. Mapped series: 35. - [USDA FAS Open Data](https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads): PSD country balance sheets, export sales, GATS, GAIN reports, and global livestock trade intelligence. Category: Trade. Cadence: Weekly, monthly, annual. Access: PSD bulk CSV download, FAS public XML reports, APIs, and public query systems. Mapped series: 96. - [GDELT global event monitor](https://www.gdeltproject.org/): Global public news article stream for livestock, dairy, feed, crop, weather, disease, fuel, trade, and policy shocks. Category: Regional. Cadence: Near real time. Access: Public DOC 2.0 API. Mapped series: 250000. - [Google News public search RSS](https://news.google.com/rss): Public search RSS monitoring for cattle, dairy, feed, crop, weather, animal-health, trade, freight, and policy shocks across English, Spanish, and Portuguese queries. Category: Regional. Cadence: Near real time. Access: Public RSS search feeds. Mapped series: 1200. - [USDA latest releases RSS](https://www.usda.gov/rss/latest-releases.xml): USDA press releases and department news for rancher policy, animal health, trade, disaster, market, and program changes. Category: Regional. Cadence: Daily to weekly. Access: Public RSS feed. Mapped series: 1. - [Beef Central RSS](https://www.beefcentral.com/rss-feeds/): Australia and Asia-Pacific cattle markets, feedgrain, live export, processing, production, biosecurity, and trade news. Category: Regional. Cadence: Daily. Access: Public RSS feeds. Mapped series: 6. - [Farm Progress RSS](https://www.farmprogress.com/rss.xml): U.S. farm, crop, livestock, weather, input, policy, and market news across regional farm publications. Category: Regional. Cadence: Daily. Access: Public RSS feed. Mapped series: 50. - [CIDRAP infectious disease RSS](https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/rss.xml): Infectious disease reporting relevant to dairy cattle, avian influenza, zoonotic risk, biosecurity, and movement confidence. Category: Disease. Cadence: Daily. Access: Public RSS feed. Mapped series: 10. - [Brazil MAPA official RSS](https://www.gov.br/agricultura/pt-br/@@search_rss?sort_on=Date&sort_order=reverse): Brazil Ministry of Agriculture public releases for livestock, sanitary status, trade, inputs, weather services, and producer programs. Category: Regional. Cadence: Daily. Access: Public RSS feed. Mapped series: 15. - [BeefPoint RSS](https://www.beefpoint.com.br/feed/): Brazil cattle-market, feedlot, beef-export, processor, and pasture-fed production news. Category: Regional. Cadence: Daily. Access: Public RSS feed. Mapped series: 10. - [AHDB RSS](https://ahdb.org.uk/rss): UK levy-board public feed for beef, dairy, cereals, feed, veterinary, and farm business updates. Category: Regional. Cadence: Weekly. Access: Public RSS feed. Mapped series: 20. - [Agriland RSS](https://www.agriland.ie/feed/): Ireland and UK agriculture news for cattle, dairy, feed, veterinary access, farm policy, and weather-driven production risk. Category: Regional. Cadence: Daily. Access: Public RSS feed. Mapped series: 80. - [U.S. Drought Monitor](https://www.drought.gov/data-maps-tools/us-drought-monitor): U.S. drought category, maps, time series, shapefiles, and weekly narratives. Category: Weather. Cadence: Weekly. Access: CSV, shapefile, KML, text, maps. Mapped series: 58. - [NOAA climate and drought feeds](https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/cdo-web/webservices/v2): U.S. climate normals, forecasts, heat, precipitation, and climate station data. Category: Weather. Cadence: Hourly to monthly. Access: CDO API, CPC products, public files. Mapped series: 90. - [NASA POWER](https://power.larc.nasa.gov/api/pages/): Global agroclimatology, solar, temperature, humidity, wind, and precipitation by coordinate. Category: Weather. Cadence: Daily. Access: POWER API. Mapped series: 72. - [Open-Meteo global weather forecast](https://open-meteo.com/en/docs): Global no-key weather forecast API for daily temperature, precipitation, wind, and agricultural weather by coordinate. Category: Weather. Cadence: Daily and hourly. Access: Public forecast API. Mapped series: 20000. - [CFTC Commitments of Traders](https://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/index.htm): U.S. futures and options positioning, including livestock and feed contracts. Category: Futures. Cadence: Weekly. Access: Public reporting environment and CSV files. Mapped series: 8. - [CME livestock and grain markets](https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/agriculture/livestock.html): Live cattle, feeder cattle, corn, soybean meal, and other cattle-margin futures references. Category: Futures. Cadence: Intraday delayed and daily settlement. Access: Public market pages and licensed data. Mapped series: 28. - [U.S. EIA fuel prices](https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/gasdiesel/): U.S. diesel and fuel price series for freight and feed delivery cost. Category: Feed. Cadence: Weekly. Access: Public tables and API. Mapped series: 20. - [World Bank commodity prices](https://www.worldbank.org/en/research/commodity-markets): Global commodity prices for beef, maize, soybean meal, energy, fertilizer, grains, metals, and macro cost context. Category: Macro. Cadence: Monthly. Access: Pink Sheet files and data portal. Mapped series: 45. - [FAOSTAT](https://faostat.fao.org/): Global agriculture, livestock, food, production, trade, and land-use statistics. Category: Inventory. Cadence: Annual and periodic. Access: FAOSTAT API and data portal. Mapped series: 95. - [FAO food price indices](https://www.fao.org/worldfoodsituation/foodpricesindex/en/): Meat, dairy, cereal, and global food price indices. Category: Macro. Cadence: Monthly. Access: Public data tables. Mapped series: 12. - [FAO Newsroom](https://www.fao.org/newsroom/en): FAO public news and reports that can affect livestock, feed, food security, trade, disease, and rural production context. Category: Regional. Cadence: Daily to weekly. Access: Public RSS feed. Mapped series: 40. - [EU Milk Market Observatory](https://agridata.ec.europa.eu/extensions/API_Documentation/milk.html): EU raw milk and dairy product prices by member state and EU aggregate. Category: Dairy. Cadence: Weekly and monthly. Access: EU Agri-food API. Mapped series: 46. - [Eurostat agriculture](https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/agriculture/database): EU livestock, milk collection, slaughter, feed, land, and farm structure data. Category: Inventory. Cadence: Monthly to annual. Access: Eurostat database and API. Mapped series: 65. - [CEPEA/ESALQ cattle indicators](https://www.cepea.org.br/br/categoria/acessar/boi-94-1.aspx): Brazil live cattle, calf, and agricultural commodity price indicators. Category: Prices. Cadence: Daily and monthly. Access: Public pages, downloads, and public mirror API. Mapped series: 12. - [IBGE SIDRA](https://apisidra.ibge.gov.br/): Brazil cattle herd, slaughter, milk, crops, census, and regional agriculture tables. Category: Inventory. Cadence: Quarterly to annual. Access: SIDRA and aggregated data APIs. Mapped series: 120. - [CONAB agriculture portal](https://portaldeinformacoes.conab.gov.br/oferta-e-demanda.html): Brazil crop estimates, supply and demand, storage, logistics, and food supply data. Category: Feed. Cadence: Weekly to monthly. Access: Public dashboards and files. Mapped series: 55. - [Brazil Comex Stat](https://comexstat.mdic.gov.br/pt/home): Brazil import and export data by product, destination, state, and customs flow. Category: Trade. Cadence: Monthly. Access: Public query system. Mapped series: 30. - [Mexico SIAP livestock data](https://www.gob.mx/agricultura/dgsiap/acciones-y-programas/produccion-pecuaria): Mexican livestock production, slaughter capacity, and agricultural market statistics. Category: Regional. Cadence: Monthly and annual. Access: Public pages and datasets. Mapped series: 50. - [Argentina SENASA](https://www.senasa.gob.ar/cadena-animal/bovinos-y-bubalinos): Argentina cattle movement, animal health, sanitary rules, and official livestock programs. Category: Disease. Cadence: Event-driven and periodic. Access: Public datasets and bulletins. Mapped series: 45. - [Meat & Livestock Australia statistics API](https://www.mla.com.au/prices-markets/statistics/api/): Australian livestock prices, saleyard indicators, slaughter, production, and market statistics. Category: Prices. Cadence: Daily to weekly. Access: Statistics API. Mapped series: 80. - [ABARES agriculture data](https://www.agriculture.gov.au/abares/data/ag-data-and-resource-hub): Australian farm, commodity, trade, herd, and agricultural outlook datasets. Category: Inventory. Cadence: Quarterly to annual. Access: Data hub and public files. Mapped series: 30. - [Australian Bureau of Meteorology](https://www.bom.gov.au/climate/data-services/): Australian rainfall, temperature, drought, climate outlook, and water data. Category: Weather. Cadence: Daily to monthly. Access: Public climate services. Mapped series: 55. - [Stats NZ agriculture](https://www.stats.govt.nz/topics/agriculture/): New Zealand livestock, dairy, agriculture, trade, and regional economic data. Category: Inventory. Cadence: Monthly to annual. Access: Public data portal. Mapped series: 38. - [WOAH WAHIS](https://www.woah.org/en/disease-data-collection/): Global official disease notifications, alerts, and animal health reports. Category: Disease. Cadence: Event-driven. Access: WAHIS public platform. Mapped series: 110. - [USDA APHIS reportable diseases](https://www.aphis.usda.gov/livestock-poultry-disease/surveillance/reportable-diseases): U.S. livestock disease surveillance, reportable diseases, and biosecurity notices. Category: Disease. Cadence: Event-driven. Access: Public surveillance pages. Mapped series: 35. - [USDA WASDE historical data](https://www.usda.gov/historical-wasde-report-data): World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates for feed grains, oilseeds, cotton, livestock, dairy, and global balance sheets. Category: Crops. Cadence: Monthly. Access: Historical files and public report tables. Mapped series: 260. - [USDA ERS Feed Grains Database](https://ers.usda.gov/data-products/feed-grains-database/documentation): Corn, sorghum, barley, oats, hay, foreign coarse grains, animal unit indexes, rail rates, and grain shipments. Category: Feed. Cadence: Monthly and annual. Access: Public data product. Mapped series: 190. - [USDA ERS dairy data](https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/dairy-data/): U.S. milk production, dairy product supply, commercial disappearance, prices, and margins. Category: Dairy. Cadence: Monthly. Access: Public data product. Mapped series: 115. - [USDA Export Sales Reporting](https://apps.fas.usda.gov/export-sales/esrd1.html): Weekly U.S. export sales and shipments for beef, corn, soybeans, wheat, cotton, and feed ingredients. Category: Trade. Cadence: Weekly. Access: Public query system and reports. Mapped series: 105. - [USDA FAS GAIN reports](https://gain.fas.usda.gov/): Attaché reports on livestock, dairy, grains, oilseeds, policy, disease, and country-level market developments. Category: Trade. Cadence: Event-driven and periodic. Access: Public report database. Mapped series: 620. - [UN Comtrade](https://comtrade.un.org/): Global official trade flows by country, partner, commodity code, and reporting period. Category: Trade. Cadence: Monthly and annual. Access: API and data explorer. Mapped series: 480. - [OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook](https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/oecd-fao-agricultural-outlook-2025-2034_601276cd-en.html): Ten-year commodity projections for meat, dairy, cereals, oilseeds, biofuels, trade, consumption, and prices. Category: Macro. Cadence: Annual. Access: Publication and OECD data explorer. Mapped series: 340. - [IMF International Financial Statistics](https://data.imf.org/): Exchange rates, interest rates, money, prices, and macro series that change import/export competitiveness. Category: Finance. Cadence: Daily to monthly. Access: IMF data portal. Mapped series: 360. - [FRED agriculture macro series](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/docs/api/fred/): U.S. interest rates, farm income, credit, inflation, fuel, exchange rates, and commodity-linked macro series. Category: Finance. Cadence: Daily to monthly. Access: FRED API. Mapped series: 420. - [U.S. BLS farm input prices](https://www.bls.gov/developers/): Producer price and consumer price series for feed, energy, machinery, fertilizer, transport, and food demand. Category: Macro. Cadence: Monthly. Access: BLS API and public tables. Mapped series: 145. - [NOAA Climate Prediction Center](https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/): U.S. and global temperature, precipitation, drought, ENSO, hazards, and seasonal outlook products. Category: Weather. Cadence: Daily to monthly. Access: Public forecast products and files. Mapped series: 260. - [Copernicus Climate Data Store](https://cds.climate.copernicus.eu/): Global ERA5, drought, soil moisture, vegetation, climate reanalysis, and forecast datasets. Category: Weather. Cadence: Hourly to monthly. Access: CDS API. Mapped series: 980. - [NASA FIRMS fire data](https://firms.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/): Near-real-time active fire detections and burned-area risk for pasture, crop, transport, and smoke disruptions. Category: Weather. Cadence: Near real time. Access: FIRMS API and downloads. Mapped series: 210. - [USGS water data](https://waterservices.usgs.gov/): Streamflow, groundwater, reservoir, water quality, and water availability series. Category: Water. Cadence: Real time to monthly. Access: USGS Water Services. Mapped series: 740. - [USDA Risk Management Agency data](https://www.rma.usda.gov/SummaryOfBusiness): Crop insurance participation, cause of loss, indemnities, prices, and county-level risk evidence. Category: Crops. Cadence: Monthly to annual. Access: Public datasets. Mapped series: 260. - [USDA Farm Service Agency data](https://www.fsa.usda.gov/resources/programs/data): Acreage, farm programs, disaster assistance, and conservation-linked farm risk data. Category: Crops. Cadence: Monthly to annual. Access: Public datasets and reports. Mapped series: 170. - [Brazil INMET weather data](https://portal.inmet.gov.br/): Brazil station weather observations, forecasts, and agrometeorological conditions. Category: Weather. Cadence: Hourly to daily. Access: Public portal and APIs. Mapped series: 420. - [Banco Central do Brasil SGS](https://www.bcb.gov.br/estatisticas/sgs): Brazil FX, interest, inflation, credit, and macro series for export and input-cost translation. Category: Finance. Cadence: Daily to monthly. Access: SGS API. Mapped series: 310. - [Brazil MAPA Agrostat](https://indicadores.agricultura.gov.br/agrostat/index.htm): Brazil agribusiness exports and imports by product, destination, and period. Category: Trade. Cadence: Monthly. Access: Public query system. Mapped series: 180. - [Argentina MAGyP data](https://www.magyp.gob.ar/): Argentina livestock, crops, grains, dairy, market prices, and production reports. Category: Regional. Cadence: Weekly to monthly. Access: Public data portal and reports. Mapped series: 210. - [Mexico SIAP agriculture data](https://www.gob.mx/siap): Mexican crop production, planted area, livestock, dairy, prices, and regional agricultural statistics. Category: Crops. Cadence: Monthly and annual. Access: Public datasets and dashboards. Mapped series: 340. - [Uruguay INAC](https://www.inac.uy/): Uruguay meat, slaughter, export, cattle price, and carcass market indicators. Category: Prices. Cadence: Weekly to monthly. Access: Public data portal. Mapped series: 90. - [Paraguay SENACSA](https://www.senacsa.gov.py/): Paraguay animal health, livestock movement, export certification, and sanitary data. Category: Disease. Cadence: Event-driven and monthly. Access: Public reports. Mapped series: 75. - [EU Agri-food data portal](https://agridata.ec.europa.eu/): EU markets, prices, production, trade, meat, dairy, crops, inputs, and member-state datasets. Category: Regional. Cadence: Weekly to annual. Access: Data portal and APIs. Mapped series: 540. - [Eurostat COMEXT](https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/international-trade-in-goods/database): EU external and intra-EU trade by product, partner, member state, and period. Category: Trade. Cadence: Monthly. Access: Eurostat database and API. Mapped series: 360. - [UK Defra agriculture statistics](https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics): UK livestock, dairy, crop, farm income, input cost, and food-chain statistics. Category: Regional. Cadence: Monthly to annual. Access: Public statistical releases and APIs. Mapped series: 160. - [Global Dairy Trade](https://www.globaldairytrade.info/): International dairy auction events, product prices, and forward dairy demand signals. Category: Dairy. Cadence: Twice monthly. Access: Public results and market data. Mapped series: 45. - [New Zealand MPI agriculture data](https://www.mpi.govt.nz/resources-and-forms/economic-intelligence/): New Zealand primary-sector production, dairy, meat, exports, farm monitoring, and forecasts. Category: Regional. Cadence: Monthly to annual. Access: Public reports and datasets. Mapped series: 140. - [Australia DAFF agricultural trade](https://www.agriculture.gov.au/): Australian agricultural trade, market access, biosecurity, and commodity export statistics. Category: Trade. Cadence: Monthly to annual. Access: Public data and reports. Mapped series: 150. - [World Bank Climate Data](https://climateknowledgeportal.worldbank.org/): Country-level climate, drought, precipitation, temperature, and adaptation indicators. Category: Weather. Cadence: Monthly to annual. Access: Climate data portal. Mapped series: 260. - [World Bank World Development Indicators](https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators): Country macro, population, income, food, agriculture, infrastructure, and development indicators. Category: Macro. Cadence: Annual and periodic. Access: DataBank and API. Mapped series: 410. - [Statistics Canada agriculture and food data](https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/subjects-start/agriculture_and_food): Canadian census of agriculture, livestock, crops, food, farm finance, regional production, and agricultural structure data. Category: Inventory. Cadence: Monthly to census cycle. Access: Statistics Canada tables, data portal, and web data service. Mapped series: 520. - [Agriculture Canada red meat market information](https://agriculture.canada.ca/en/sector/animal-industry/red-meat-market-information): Canadian red-meat market information, cattle price context, slaughter, meat trade, and production indicators. Category: Prices. Cadence: Weekly to monthly. Access: Public market information pages and downloadable reports. Mapped series: 130. - [USDA Livestock Mandatory Reporting](https://www.ams.usda.gov/market-news/livestock-poultry-grain): U.S. mandatory cattle, boxed beef, beef cut, formula trade, negotiated trade, and packer market reports. Category: Prices. Cadence: Daily and weekly. Access: USDA AMS public livestock mandatory reporting pages and files. Mapped series: 160. - [USDA NRCS SNOTEL and SCAN](https://www.nrcs.usda.gov/resources/data-and-reports/snow-and-water-interactive-map): Snowpack, soil moisture, soil temperature, precipitation, and rangeland-water context from NRCS monitoring networks. Category: Water. Cadence: Hourly to daily. Access: Public reports, maps, and data services. Mapped series: 310. - [Brazil ANA HidroWeb and SNIRH](https://www.snirh.gov.br/): Brazil hydrological stations, river levels, streamflow, rainfall, reservoirs, and water-resource data for pasture and crop stress. Category: Water. Cadence: Real time to monthly. Access: SNIRH, HidroWeb, and public water-data systems. Mapped series: 420. - [Brazil CEMADEN monitoring](https://www.gov.br/cemaden/pt-br): Brazil natural-disaster, drought, rainfall, landslide, flood, and monitoring alerts that affect pasture, transport, and crops. Category: Weather. Cadence: Daily and event-driven. Access: Public monitoring portal, dashboards, and downloads. Mapped series: 240. - [Argentina SMN weather data](https://www.argentina.gob.ar/smn): Argentina official weather observations, forecasts, severe alerts, agrometeorological context, and station data. Category: Weather. Cadence: Hourly to daily. Access: Official public site, open-data files, and weather services. Mapped series: 300. - [Bolsa de Comercio de Rosario](https://www.bcr.com.ar/es/): Rosario grain, oilseed, freight, export, and physical-market information that drives feed costs and crop margins. Category: Crops. Cadence: Daily to weekly. Access: Public market pages, reports, and datasets. Mapped series: 180. - [Chile ODEPA open data](https://datos.odepa.gob.cl/): Chile agricultural open data, weekly and monthly food prices, beef, dairy, crops, trade, and regional market context. Category: Regional. Cadence: Weekly to monthly. Access: Open-data portal and public market applications. Mapped series: 190. - [Mexico SNIIM market information](https://www.economia-sniim.gob.mx/): Mexican wholesale prices, livestock, slaughterhouse, meat, dairy, feed ingredient, and food-market information. Category: Prices. Cadence: Daily to weekly. Access: Public SNIIM web system. Mapped series: 260. - [Mexico CONAGUA-SMN climate data](https://smn.conagua.gob.mx/): Mexico weather, drought, precipitation, reservoir, and climate-monitoring information for livestock and crops. Category: Weather. Cadence: Daily to monthly. Access: Public climate and water monitoring services. Mapped series: 260. - [Colombia AGRONET](https://www.agronet.gov.co/): Colombia agricultural prices, livestock, crops, production, costs, trade, credit, inputs, and regional market information. Category: Regional. Cadence: Daily to annual. Access: Public observatory and statistics modules. Mapped series: 240. - [Uruguay SNIG livestock information](https://www.snig.gub.uy/): Uruguay cattle traceability, movement, livestock identification, sanitary context, and herd information. Category: Inventory. Cadence: Event-driven to monthly. Access: Public SNIG portal and reports. Mapped series: 90. - [Peru MIDAGRI SISAP](https://sistemas.midagri.gob.pe/sisap/portal/): Peru agricultural market prices, wholesale markets, food products, livestock-relevant inputs, and regional supply context. Category: Prices. Cadence: Daily to weekly. Access: Public SISAP market portal. Mapped series: 150. - [FAO AQUASTAT](https://www.fao.org/aquastat/en/): Global country water resources, irrigation, withdrawals, agriculture water use, and long-run water stress indicators. Category: Water. Cadence: Annual and periodic. Access: FAO AQUASTAT data portal and downloads. Mapped series: 180. - [Embrapa livestock and crop research](https://www.embrapa.br/): Brazil livestock, pasture, soil, crop, forage, dairy, beef, and production-system research datasets and technical bulletins. Category: Regional. Cadence: Periodic. Access: Public research portals and publications. Mapped series: 260. - [Brazil CNA and Cepea farm-cost projects](https://www.cnabrasil.org.br/): Brazil farm cost panels, input-cost studies, livestock production-cost references, and regional profitability work. Category: Macro. Cadence: Monthly to periodic. Access: Public reports and dashboards. Mapped series: 140. - [CEPEA grain, milk, and input indicators](https://www.cepea.esalq.usp.br/): Brazil corn, soybean, milk, ethanol, sugar, cotton, and livestock-linked price indicators. Category: Prices. Cadence: Daily to monthly. Access: Public indicator pages. Mapped series: 130. - [Argentina INDEC statistics](https://www.indec.gob.ar/): Argentina inflation, exchange-rate context, trade, regional production, food, agriculture, and economic statistics. Category: Macro. Cadence: Monthly to annual. Access: Public data portal and reports. Mapped series: 320. - [Mercado Agroganadero de Cañuelas](https://www.mercadoagroganadero.com.ar/): Argentina physical cattle market arrivals, prices, categories, and buyer demand around Buenos Aires. Category: Prices. Cadence: Daily. Access: Public market pages and reports. Mapped series: 70. - [ROSGAN cattle auction market](https://www.rosgan.com.ar/): Argentina televised and online cattle auctions, replacement prices, categories, and regional cattle flow. Category: Prices. Cadence: Weekly to monthly. Access: Public reports and auction results. Mapped series: 75. - [Uruguay MGAP statistics](https://www.gub.uy/ministerio-ganaderia-agricultura-pesca/): Uruguay livestock declarations, cattle stock, dairy, crops, land use, and agricultural policy statistics. Category: Inventory. Cadence: Monthly to annual. Access: Public ministry reports and statistics. Mapped series: 180. - [Uruguay INUMET weather](https://www.inumet.gub.uy/): Uruguay rainfall, temperature, drought, climate, and agrometeorological services. Category: Weather. Cadence: Daily to monthly. Access: Public weather and climate services. Mapped series: 120. - [Chile SAG animal health and movement](https://www.sag.gob.cl/): Chile animal health, livestock movement, sanitary certification, disease alerts, and border controls. Category: Disease. Cadence: Event-driven and monthly. Access: Public service pages and reports. Mapped series: 95. - [Chile INE agriculture statistics](https://www.ine.gob.cl/): Chile livestock, dairy, crop, price, and regional agricultural statistics. Category: Inventory. Cadence: Monthly to annual. Access: Public statistical products and datasets. Mapped series: 160. - [Colombia DANE agriculture statistics](https://www.dane.gov.co/): Colombia livestock, milk, cattle slaughter, agriculture, prices, CPI, and regional statistics. Category: Inventory. Cadence: Monthly to annual. Access: Public statistical portal. Mapped series: 260. - [Colombia FEDEGAN market reports](https://www.fedegan.org.co/): Colombian cattle, dairy, price, producer, sanitary, and industry context from the national cattle federation. Category: Regional. Cadence: Weekly to monthly. Access: Public reports and market notes. Mapped series: 100. - [Peru SENASA animal health](https://www.gob.pe/senasa): Peru animal health, sanitary certification, livestock movement, disease surveillance, and export access. Category: Disease. Cadence: Event-driven and monthly. Access: Public reports and service pages. Mapped series: 100. - [Ecuador MAG SIPA](https://sipa.agricultura.gob.ec/): Ecuador agriculture, livestock, prices, production, trade, inputs, and regional market information. Category: Regional. Cadence: Weekly to annual. Access: Public information system. Mapped series: 180. - [Bolivia INE agriculture statistics](https://www.ine.gob.bo/): Bolivia livestock, dairy, crop, food price, trade, and regional agricultural statistics. Category: Inventory. Cadence: Monthly to annual. Access: Public statistical portal. Mapped series: 150. - [Costa Rica CORFOGA cattle market](https://www.corfoga.org/): Costa Rica cattle, beef-chain, slaughter, market, producer, and industry statistics. Category: Regional. Cadence: Monthly to annual. Access: Public sector reports and statistics. Mapped series: 80. - [Canfax cattle market reports](https://www.canfax.ca/): Canadian cattle prices, fed cattle, feeder cattle, cow-calf, slaughter, feedlot, and market commentary. Category: Prices. Cadence: Daily to weekly. Access: Public and member reports. Mapped series: 110. - [Canadian Grain Commission](https://grainscanada.gc.ca/): Canadian grain handling, deliveries, exports, quality, stocks, and crop-year market information. Category: Crops. Cadence: Weekly to annual. Access: Public reports and datasets. Mapped series: 150. - [Canadian Food Inspection Agency animal health](https://inspection.canada.ca/en/animal-health): Canada animal disease status, reportable diseases, movement controls, surveillance, and import/export rules. Category: Disease. Cadence: Event-driven. Access: Public notices and disease pages. Mapped series: 95. - [France Agreste agriculture statistics](https://agreste.agriculture.gouv.fr/): French livestock, milk, slaughter, crops, prices, farm structure, and regional agriculture statistics. Category: Inventory. Cadence: Monthly to annual. Access: Public data and statistical releases. Mapped series: 300. - [Germany BLE market information](https://www.ble.de/): German agricultural market prices, livestock, dairy, meat, crops, feed, and market reporting. Category: Prices. Cadence: Weekly to monthly. Access: Public market reports and data services. Mapped series: 180. - [Destatis agriculture statistics](https://www.destatis.de/): German livestock, milk, slaughter, crops, prices, farm structure, and regional agricultural statistics. Category: Inventory. Cadence: Monthly to annual. Access: GENESIS and public statistical portal. Mapped series: 360. - [Ireland CSO agriculture data](https://www.cso.ie/): Ireland livestock, milk, slaughter, farm income, prices, crops, and trade statistics. Category: Inventory. Cadence: Monthly to annual. Access: Public data portal and API. Mapped series: 230. - [Ireland DAFM agriculture and market data](https://www.gov.ie/en/organisation/department-of-agriculture-food-and-the-marine/): Irish agriculture, beef, dairy, animal health, schemes, farm payments, and market context. Category: Regional. Cadence: Weekly to annual. Access: Public publications and datasets. Mapped series: 160. - [Spain MAPA agriculture statistics](https://www.mapa.gob.es/): Spanish livestock, meat, dairy, crops, feed, prices, production, and regional market statistics. Category: Regional. Cadence: Weekly to annual. Access: Public ministry statistics and reports. Mapped series: 260. - [Italy ISMEA markets](https://www.ismeamercati.it/): Italian agricultural prices, livestock, dairy, meat, crop, input, and market competitiveness data. Category: Prices. Cadence: Weekly to monthly. Access: Public market observatory. Mapped series: 220. - [Statistics Netherlands agriculture](https://www.cbs.nl/): Dutch livestock, dairy, crops, trade, prices, environmental pressure, and agricultural structure statistics. Category: Inventory. Cadence: Monthly to annual. Access: StatLine data portal. Mapped series: 280. - [EU JRC MARS crop monitoring](https://agri4cast.jrc.ec.europa.eu/): European and global crop monitoring, yield forecasts, weather anomalies, pasture-relevant climate, and agrometeorology. Category: Crops. Cadence: Monthly. Access: Public bulletins and data products. Mapped series: 220. - [EFSA animal health outputs](https://www.efsa.europa.eu/): European animal health assessments, disease risk, surveillance opinions, and food-chain risk evidence. Category: Disease. Cadence: Event-driven and periodic. Access: Public scientific outputs and data. Mapped series: 130. - [India DAHD animal husbandry statistics](https://dahd.nic.in/): India livestock census, milk production, meat production, animal husbandry, disease, and scheme statistics. Category: Inventory. Cadence: Monthly to annual. Access: Public reports and data. Mapped series: 260. - [India National Dairy Development Board](https://www.nddb.coop/): India dairy market, milk production, cooperative data, cattle feed, genetics, and dairy development statistics. Category: Dairy. Cadence: Monthly to annual. Access: Public reports and datasets. Mapped series: 150. - [India Agmarknet market prices](https://agmarknet.gov.in/): India mandi prices for feed grains, oilseeds, fodder-linked crops, food crops, and regional agricultural commodities. Category: Prices. Cadence: Daily. Access: Public market price portal. Mapped series: 520. - [India Meteorological Department](https://mausam.imd.gov.in/): India rainfall, monsoon, heatwave, drought, cyclone, and agro-meteorological information. Category: Weather. Cadence: Daily to seasonal. Access: Public weather services and bulletins. Mapped series: 320. - [India APEDA export data](https://apeda.gov.in/): India agricultural and processed-food exports, meat, dairy, cereals, feed ingredients, and destination data. Category: Trade. Cadence: Monthly to annual. Access: Public export statistics. Mapped series: 180. - [China National Bureau of Statistics agriculture](https://www.stats.gov.cn/): China agriculture, livestock, dairy, meat, grain, rural income, and price statistics. Category: Inventory. Cadence: Monthly to annual. Access: Public statistical portal and yearbooks. Mapped series: 380. - [China MARA market information](https://www.moa.gov.cn/): China agricultural market prices, livestock, dairy, feed, crop, veterinary, and policy information. Category: Regional. Cadence: Daily to monthly. Access: Public ministry pages and reports. Mapped series: 300. - [China customs trade statistics](http://english.customs.gov.cn/): China imports and exports by commodity, partner, and period for meat, dairy, grains, oilseeds, and feed inputs. Category: Trade. Cadence: Monthly. Access: Public customs statistics and releases. Mapped series: 240. - [Japan MAFF agriculture statistics](https://www.maff.go.jp/): Japan livestock, dairy, beef, crop, feed, price, and agricultural policy statistics. Category: Regional. Cadence: Monthly to annual. Access: Public statistics and reports. Mapped series: 230. - [Japan ALIC livestock information](https://www.alic.go.jp/): Japan livestock, dairy, meat, import, price, and demand information. Category: Prices. Cadence: Weekly to monthly. Access: Public market reports and statistics. Mapped series: 160. - [Korea Rural Economic Institute](https://www.krei.re.kr/): South Korea agricultural outlook, livestock, dairy, feed, price, import, and policy analysis. Category: Regional. Cadence: Monthly to annual. Access: Public reports and outlooks. Mapped series: 150. - [Indonesia BPS agriculture statistics](https://www.bps.go.id/): Indonesia livestock, dairy, crops, food prices, trade, and regional agricultural statistics. Category: Inventory. Cadence: Monthly to annual. Access: Public statistical portal. Mapped series: 260. - [Indonesia BMKG climate and weather](https://www.bmkg.go.id/): Indonesia rainfall, drought, climate outlook, heat, flood, and weather alerts for pasture and crop conditions. Category: Weather. Cadence: Daily to seasonal. Access: Public weather and climate services. Mapped series: 220. - [Thailand Office of Agricultural Economics](https://www.oae.go.th/): Thailand livestock, dairy, crop, price, production, farm income, and agricultural economics statistics. Category: Regional. Cadence: Monthly to annual. Access: Public data and reports. Mapped series: 200. - [Philippines PSA agriculture statistics](https://psa.gov.ph/): Philippines livestock, dairy, crops, farm prices, food prices, and agricultural production statistics. Category: Inventory. Cadence: Monthly to annual. Access: Public statistical releases and data. Mapped series: 230. - [South Africa DALRRD statistics](https://www.dalrrd.gov.za/): South African livestock, dairy, crops, animal health, market, food, and agricultural statistics. Category: Regional. Cadence: Monthly to annual. Access: Public reports and statistical bulletins. Mapped series: 230. - [South Africa NAMC market intelligence](https://www.namc.co.za/): South African agricultural market intelligence, food prices, input costs, trade, and commodity outlooks. Category: Regional. Cadence: Monthly. Access: Public reports and dashboards. Mapped series: 160. - [South African Grain Information Service](https://www.sagis.org.za/): South African grain deliveries, stocks, imports, exports, processing, and supply-demand data for feed grains. Category: Crops. Cadence: Weekly to monthly. Access: Public reports and datasets. Mapped series: 170. - [Kenya KNBS agriculture statistics](https://www.knbs.or.ke/): Kenya livestock, dairy, food prices, crops, CPI, trade, and regional agricultural statistics. Category: Inventory. Cadence: Monthly to annual. Access: Public statistical releases. Mapped series: 150. - [Kenya NDMA drought early warning](https://www.ndma.go.ke/): Kenya drought early warning, forage, water, livestock body condition, milk production, and pastoral market indicators. Category: Weather. Cadence: Monthly. Access: Public bulletins and dashboards. Mapped series: 130. - [Ethiopia Statistical Service agriculture](https://www.statsethiopia.gov.et/): Ethiopia livestock, dairy, crop, food price, household, and regional agriculture statistics. Category: Inventory. Cadence: Annual and periodic. Access: Public statistical reports and datasets. Mapped series: 140. - [Nigeria NBS agriculture statistics](https://nigerianstat.gov.ng/): Nigeria livestock, crops, food prices, trade, inflation, household, and regional statistics. Category: Inventory. Cadence: Monthly to annual. Access: Public statistical releases. Mapped series: 170. - [FEWS NET food security and markets](https://fews.net/): Food security, rainfall, pasture, livestock, crop, market, and price context across vulnerable regions. Category: Regional. Cadence: Monthly and event-driven. Access: Public reports, data, and maps. Mapped series: 420. - [IPC food security classification](https://www.ipcinfo.org/): Integrated food security phase classifications, acute food insecurity, livelihood stress, and regional risk evidence. Category: Regional. Cadence: Periodic and event-driven. Access: Public maps, data, and reports. Mapped series: 220. - [WFP VAM food security and prices](https://data.humdata.org/dataset/global-wfp-food-prices): Observed food prices, market access, household vulnerability, food security, and staple-market indicators across 98 countries and roughly 3000 physical markets. Category: Prices. Cadence: Weekly to monthly. Access: Public HDX annual CSVs and WFP VAM dashboards. Mapped series: 3000. - [ReliefWeb agriculture and disaster reports](https://reliefweb.int/): Global drought, flood, conflict, animal health, food security, and agriculture disruption reports. Category: Regional. Cadence: Daily and event-driven. Access: Public API and report feeds. Mapped series: 1000. - [FAO GIEWS country briefs](https://www.fao.org/giews/): Global country crop, food, livestock, import, price, and food-security monitoring briefs. Category: Regional. Cadence: Monthly and event-driven. Access: Public reports and data. Mapped series: 360. - [FAO EMPRES-i animal disease events](https://empres-i.apps.fao.org/): Global animal disease event monitoring and early-warning context for transboundary animal disease. Category: Disease. Cadence: Event-driven. Access: Public platform and reports. Mapped series: 260. - [Panama Canal Authority operations](https://pancanal.com/): Canal water, transit restrictions, vessel queues, draft limits, and logistics context for global trade flows. Category: Ports. Cadence: Daily to monthly. Access: Public operations pages and statistics. Mapped series: 90. - [Suez Canal Authority traffic statistics](https://www.suezcanal.gov.eg/): Canal transit, tonnage, vessel traffic, route disruption, and trade-logistics context. Category: Ports. Cadence: Monthly and event-driven. Access: Public statistics and announcements. Mapped series: 80. - [Baltic Exchange freight indexes](https://www.balticexchange.com/): Dry bulk and shipping freight indexes relevant to grain, feed, fertilizer, and protein trade costs. Category: Ports. Cadence: Daily. Access: Licensed market data and public index context. Mapped series: 45. - [USDA OCE grain transportation](https://www.ams.usda.gov/services/transportation-analysis): U.S. grain transportation, barge, rail, truck, ocean freight, port, and export logistics indicators. Category: Ports. Cadence: Weekly. Access: Public reports and datasets. Mapped series: 180. ## Source Registry And Update Readiness Registry summary: 43 live connector families, 17 API-ready families, 5 key-required families, 79 parser-needed families, and 2 licensed-data families. Coverage atlas: 4017 public feed targets across 103 countries, 229175 estimated public tables or series, 309 live global-grid or public-data targets, 1957 API-ready targets, 1133 report-extraction targets, 103 licensed-reference targets, and 515 review targets. - North America: 117 public feed targets across 3 countries, 6675 estimated public tables or series, 9 live targets, 57 API-ready targets, 33 report-extraction targets, 3 licensed-reference targets, and 15 review targets. - Latin America: 858 public feed targets across 22 countries, 48950 estimated public tables or series, 66 live targets, 418 API-ready targets, 242 report-extraction targets, 22 licensed-reference targets, and 110 review targets. - Oceania: 195 public feed targets across 5 countries, 11125 estimated public tables or series, 15 live targets, 95 API-ready targets, 55 report-extraction targets, 5 licensed-reference targets, and 25 review targets. - Europe: 1053 public feed targets across 27 countries, 60075 estimated public tables or series, 81 live targets, 513 API-ready targets, 297 report-extraction targets, 27 licensed-reference targets, and 135 review targets. - Africa and Asia: 1794 public feed targets across 46 countries, 102350 estimated public tables or series, 138 live targets, 874 API-ready targets, 506 report-extraction targets, 46 licensed-reference targets, and 230 review targets. - usda-ams: rss-report, status live, priority daily, mapped series 420. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: ams-price-to-sale-window. Historical drivers: positioning-to-hedge-margin, dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, milk-margin-squeeze. - usda-nass: html-report, status live, priority weekly, mapped series 160. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: nass-inventory-to-cycle. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - usda-ers: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 35. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: usda-ers-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - usda-fas: official-zip-csv, status live, priority weekly, mapped series 96. Producer use: Detect buyer-access changes, border risk, sanitary constraints, and export-linked bid pressure.. Evidence links: fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - gdelt-global-news: api-json, status live, priority daily, mapped series 250000. Producer use: Turn local and global event mentions into watch items for trade, disease, weather, input, and sale-timing decisions.. Evidence links: gdelt-news-to-market-event-risk. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, export-pull-to-local-basis, crop-balance-to-feed-margin, dairy-margin-to-beef-supply, health-alert-to-market-access, logistics-to-local-basis, geopolitical-shock-to-feed-freight, policy-change-to-farm-incentive. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike, export-disruption, disease-alert, milk-margin-squeeze, crop-yield-shock, fertilizer-energy-squeeze, credit-interest-squeeze, port-freight-shock, geopolitical-shipping-shock, policy-subsidy-rule-change. - google-news-rss: rss-report, status live, priority daily, mapped series 1200. Producer use: Turn local and global event mentions into watch items for trade, disease, weather, input, and sale-timing decisions.. Evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - usda-latest-releases: rss-report, status live, priority daily, mapped series 1. Producer use: Turn local and global event mentions into watch items for trade, disease, weather, input, and sale-timing decisions.. Evidence links: usda-latest-releases-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - beefcentral-rss: rss-report, status live, priority daily, mapped series 6. Producer use: Turn local and global event mentions into watch items for trade, disease, weather, input, and sale-timing decisions.. Evidence links: beefcentral-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - farmprogress-rss: rss-report, status live, priority daily, mapped series 50. Producer use: Turn local and global event mentions into watch items for trade, disease, weather, input, and sale-timing decisions.. Evidence links: farmprogress-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - cidrap-rss: rss-report, status live, priority daily, mapped series 10. Producer use: Detect buyer-access changes, border risk, sanitary constraints, and export-linked bid pressure.. Evidence links: cidrap-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - brazil-mapa-rss: rss-report, status live, priority daily, mapped series 15. Producer use: Turn local and global event mentions into watch items for trade, disease, weather, input, and sale-timing decisions.. Evidence links: brazil-mapa-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - beefpoint-rss: rss-report, status live, priority daily, mapped series 10. Producer use: Turn local and global event mentions into watch items for trade, disease, weather, input, and sale-timing decisions.. Evidence links: beefpoint-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - ahdb-rss: rss-report, status live, priority weekly, mapped series 20. Producer use: Turn local and global event mentions into watch items for trade, disease, weather, input, and sale-timing decisions.. Evidence links: ahdb-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - agriland-rss: rss-report, status live, priority daily, mapped series 80. Producer use: Turn local and global event mentions into watch items for trade, disease, weather, input, and sale-timing decisions.. Evidence links: agriland-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - us-drought-monitor: public-download, status live, priority weekly, mapped series 58. Producer use: Estimate pasture days, heat stress, water pressure, crop yield risk, and forced-sale timing.. Evidence links: drought-to-retention. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: drought-shock. - noaa-climate: api-json, status requires-key, priority daily, mapped series 90. Producer use: Estimate pasture days, heat stress, water pressure, crop yield risk, and forced-sale timing.. Evidence links: noaa-climate-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: drought-shock. - nasa-power: api-json, status live, priority daily, mapped series 72. Producer use: Estimate pasture days, heat stress, water pressure, crop yield risk, and forced-sale timing.. Evidence links: nasa-weather-to-heat. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, heat-load-to-milk-gain. Scenarios: drought-shock, crop-yield-shock, heat-stress-milk-loss, water-restriction-shock. - open-meteo-forecast: api-json, status live, priority daily, mapped series 20000. Producer use: Estimate pasture days, heat stress, water pressure, crop yield risk, and forced-sale timing.. Evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - cftc-cot: api-csv, status live, priority weekly, mapped series 8. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: cftc-positioning-to-hedge-feed-risk. Historical drivers: positioning-to-hedge-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, export-disruption, crop-yield-shock. - cme-livestock: licensed-market-data, status licensed, priority licensed, mapped series 28. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: cme-livestock-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: positioning-to-hedge-margin. Scenarios: none yet. - eia-fuel: html-report, status live, priority weekly, mapped series 20. Producer use: Translate crop balance, freight, hay, fertilizer, and ration pressure into stocking and sale decisions.. Evidence links: eia-diesel-to-freight-feed-cost. Historical drivers: logistics-to-local-basis, geopolitical-shock-to-feed-freight. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, fertilizer-energy-squeeze, port-freight-shock, geopolitical-shipping-shock. - world-bank-pink-sheet: public-download, status live, priority monthly, mapped series 45. Producer use: Read currency, credit, inflation, energy, and fertilizer pressure before local bids move.. Evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: positioning-to-hedge-margin, dairy-margin-to-beef-supply, geopolitical-shock-to-feed-freight. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, milk-margin-squeeze, fertilizer-energy-squeeze, port-freight-shock, geopolitical-shipping-shock. - faostat: public-download, status live, priority monthly, mapped series 95. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: none yet. - fao-food-price: api-csv, status live, priority monthly, mapped series 12. Producer use: Read currency, credit, inflation, energy, and fertilizer pressure before local bids move.. Evidence links: fao-food-price-to-farm-margin. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - fao-newsroom: rss-report, status live, priority daily, mapped series 40. Producer use: Turn local and global event mentions into watch items for trade, disease, weather, input, and sale-timing decisions.. Evidence links: fao-newsroom-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - eu-milk: api-json, status live, priority weekly, mapped series 46. Producer use: Connect milk margins to ration choices, cull flow, dairy-beef supply, and replacement appetite.. Evidence links: eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - eurostat-agri: api-json, status live, priority monthly, mapped series 65. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: eurostat-herd-to-cull-replacement. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - cepea-boi: api-json, status live, priority daily, mapped series 12. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: cepea-ibge-brazil-price. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: none yet. - ibge-sidra: api-json, status live, priority monthly, mapped series 120. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: ibge-herd-to-regional-supply, ibge-milk-to-dairy-beef-supply, ibge-slaughter-to-brazil-supply, ibge-crop-production-to-feed-basis. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply, herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: none yet. - conab: api-json, status live, priority weekly, mapped series 55. Producer use: Translate crop balance, freight, hay, fertilizer, and ration pressure into stocking and sale decisions.. Evidence links: conab-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - comex-stat: api-json, status live, priority monthly, mapped series 30. Producer use: Detect buyer-access changes, border risk, sanitary constraints, and export-linked bid pressure.. Evidence links: comex-stat-to-brazil-export-flow. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis, crop-balance-to-feed-margin, herd-concentration-to-basis, logistics-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - mexico-siap: api-csv, status live, priority monthly, mapped series 50. Producer use: Turn local and global event mentions into watch items for trade, disease, weather, input, and sale-timing decisions.. Evidence links: mexico-siap-livestock-to-border-supply, mexico-siap-milk-to-dairy-beef-supply, mexico-siap-northern-supply-to-feed-imports. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, export-pull-to-local-basis, crop-balance-to-feed-margin, dairy-margin-to-beef-supply, herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike, export-disruption, milk-margin-squeeze. - argentina-senasa: html-report, status report-parser-needed, priority event-driven, mapped series 45. Producer use: Detect buyer-access changes, border risk, sanitary constraints, and export-linked bid pressure.. Evidence links: argentina-senasa-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: health-alert-to-market-access. Scenarios: export-disruption, disease-alert. - mla-api: api-json, status live, priority daily, mapped series 80. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: mla-bom-restocking. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - abares: api-csv, status api-ready, priority weekly, mapped series 30. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: abares-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - bom-climate: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 55. Producer use: Estimate pasture days, heat stress, water pressure, crop yield risk, and forced-sale timing.. Evidence links: bom-climate-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: drought-shock, water-restriction-shock. - stats-nz: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 38. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: stats-nz-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - woah-wahis: html-report, status report-parser-needed, priority event-driven, mapped series 110. Producer use: Detect buyer-access changes, border risk, sanitary constraints, and export-linked bid pressure.. Evidence links: wahis-disease-to-movement. Historical drivers: health-alert-to-market-access. Scenarios: export-disruption, disease-alert. - usda-aphis: html-report, status live, priority event-driven, mapped series 35. Producer use: Detect buyer-access changes, border risk, sanitary constraints, and export-linked bid pressure.. Evidence links: aphis-h5n1-to-dairy-movement. Historical drivers: health-alert-to-market-access. Scenarios: disease-alert. - usda-wasde: api-csv, status live, priority monthly, mapped series 260. Producer use: Translate crop balance, freight, hay, fertilizer, and ration pressure into stocking and sale decisions.. Evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: crop-yield-shock. - usda-ers-feed-grains: public-download, status live, priority monthly, mapped series 190. Producer use: Translate crop balance, freight, hay, fertilizer, and ration pressure into stocking and sale decisions.. Evidence links: ers-feed-grains-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - usda-ers-dairy: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 115. Producer use: Connect milk margins to ration choices, cull flow, dairy-beef supply, and replacement appetite.. Evidence links: usda-ers-dairy-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: none yet. - usda-esr: public-download, status live, priority weekly, mapped series 105. Producer use: Detect buyer-access changes, border risk, sanitary constraints, and export-linked bid pressure.. Evidence links: export-sales-to-buyer-pull. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: none yet. - usda-gain: html-report, status report-parser-needed, priority event-driven, mapped series 620. Producer use: Detect buyer-access changes, border risk, sanitary constraints, and export-linked bid pressure.. Evidence links: gain-policy-to-market-access. Historical drivers: policy-change-to-farm-incentive. Scenarios: policy-subsidy-rule-change. - un-comtrade: api-json, status requires-key, priority monthly, mapped series 480. Producer use: Detect buyer-access changes, border risk, sanitary constraints, and export-linked bid pressure.. Evidence links: comtrade-to-structural-demand. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis, logistics-to-local-basis, geopolitical-shock-to-feed-freight. Scenarios: port-freight-shock, geopolitical-shipping-shock. - oecd-fao-outlook: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority weekly, mapped series 340. Producer use: Read currency, credit, inflation, energy, and fertilizer pressure before local bids move.. Evidence links: oecd-fao-to-cycle-planning. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - imf-ifs: api-json, status api-ready, priority daily, mapped series 360. Producer use: Read currency, credit, inflation, energy, and fertilizer pressure before local bids move.. Evidence links: macro-fx-to-export-bids. Historical drivers: credit-cost-to-retention. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, credit-interest-squeeze. - fred-ag-macro: api-json, status requires-key, priority daily, mapped series 420. Producer use: Read currency, credit, inflation, energy, and fertilizer pressure before local bids move.. Evidence links: fred-ag-macro-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: credit-cost-to-retention. Scenarios: credit-interest-squeeze. - bls-ag-inputs: api-json, status live, priority monthly, mapped series 145. Producer use: Read currency, credit, inflation, energy, and fertilizer pressure before local bids move.. Evidence links: bls-inputs-to-feed-margin. Historical drivers: credit-cost-to-retention. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze. - noaa-cpc: public-download, status api-ready, priority daily, mapped series 260. Producer use: Estimate pasture days, heat stress, water pressure, crop yield risk, and forced-sale timing.. Evidence links: noaa-cpc-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: heat-load-to-milk-gain. Scenarios: heat-stress-milk-loss. - copernicus-cds: api-json, status requires-key, priority daily, mapped series 980. Producer use: Estimate pasture days, heat stress, water pressure, crop yield risk, and forced-sale timing.. Evidence links: copernicus-soil-to-yield. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, heat-load-to-milk-gain. Scenarios: crop-yield-shock, heat-stress-milk-loss, water-restriction-shock. - nasa-firms: api-json, status requires-key, priority daily, mapped series 210. Producer use: Estimate pasture days, heat stress, water pressure, crop yield risk, and forced-sale timing.. Evidence links: nasa-firms-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - usgs-water: api-json, status live, priority daily, mapped series 740. Producer use: Estimate pasture days, heat stress, water pressure, crop yield risk, and forced-sale timing.. Evidence links: water-to-stocking-irrigation. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: water-restriction-shock. - usda-rma: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 260. Producer use: Translate crop balance, freight, hay, fertilizer, and ration pressure into stocking and sale decisions.. Evidence links: usda-rma-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - usda-fsa: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 170. Producer use: Translate crop balance, freight, hay, fertilizer, and ration pressure into stocking and sale decisions.. Evidence links: usda-fsa-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: policy-change-to-farm-incentive. Scenarios: none yet. - brazil-inmet: api-json, status api-ready, priority daily, mapped series 420. Producer use: Estimate pasture days, heat stress, water pressure, crop yield risk, and forced-sale timing.. Evidence links: brazil-weather-fx-to-pasture. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, heat-load-to-milk-gain. Scenarios: heat-stress-milk-loss. - brazil-bcb-sgs: api-json, status live, priority daily, mapped series 310. Producer use: Read currency, credit, inflation, energy, and fertilizer pressure before local bids move.. Evidence links: bcb-fx-to-export-inputs. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis, dairy-margin-to-beef-supply, herd-concentration-to-basis, credit-cost-to-retention. Scenarios: credit-interest-squeeze. - brazil-mapa-agrostat: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 180. Producer use: Detect buyer-access changes, border risk, sanitary constraints, and export-linked bid pressure.. Evidence links: agrostat-comex-to-brazil-export. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis, logistics-to-local-basis. Scenarios: port-freight-shock. - argentina-magyp: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 210. Producer use: Turn local and global event mentions into watch items for trade, disease, weather, input, and sale-timing decisions.. Evidence links: argentina-magyp-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: policy-change-to-farm-incentive. Scenarios: policy-subsidy-rule-change. - mexico-siap-agri: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 340. Producer use: Translate crop balance, freight, hay, fertilizer, and ration pressure into stocking and sale decisions.. Evidence links: mexico-siap-agri-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - uruguay-inac: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 90. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: uruguay-inac-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - paraguay-senacsa: rss-report, status live, priority event-driven, mapped series 75. Producer use: Detect buyer-access changes, border risk, sanitary constraints, and export-linked bid pressure.. Evidence links: paraguay-senacsa-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: health-alert-to-market-access. Scenarios: none yet. - eu-agri-food-data: api-json, status api-ready, priority weekly, mapped series 540. Producer use: Turn local and global event mentions into watch items for trade, disease, weather, input, and sale-timing decisions.. Evidence links: eu-agri-to-country-basis. Historical drivers: policy-change-to-farm-incentive. Scenarios: policy-subsidy-rule-change. - eurostat-comext: api-json, status api-ready, priority weekly, mapped series 360. Producer use: Detect buyer-access changes, border risk, sanitary constraints, and export-linked bid pressure.. Evidence links: eurostat-comext-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - uk-defra: api-json, status api-ready, priority weekly, mapped series 160. Producer use: Turn local and global event mentions into watch items for trade, disease, weather, input, and sale-timing decisions.. Evidence links: uk-defra-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: policy-change-to-farm-incentive. Scenarios: policy-subsidy-rule-change. - gdt-events: api-json, status live, priority weekly, mapped series 45. Producer use: Connect milk margins to ration choices, cull flow, dairy-beef supply, and replacement appetite.. Evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: none yet. - nz-mpi: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 140. Producer use: Turn local and global event mentions into watch items for trade, disease, weather, input, and sale-timing decisions.. Evidence links: nz-mpi-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - australia-daff: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 150. Producer use: Detect buyer-access changes, border risk, sanitary constraints, and export-linked bid pressure.. Evidence links: australia-daff-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: health-alert-to-market-access. Scenarios: none yet. - world-bank-climate: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 260. Producer use: Estimate pasture days, heat stress, water pressure, crop yield risk, and forced-sale timing.. Evidence links: world-bank-climate-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: heat-load-to-milk-gain. Scenarios: crop-yield-shock, heat-stress-milk-loss, water-restriction-shock. - world-bank-wdi: api-json, status live, priority monthly, mapped series 410. Producer use: Read currency, credit, inflation, energy, and fertilizer pressure before local bids move.. Evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: credit-cost-to-retention. Scenarios: credit-interest-squeeze. - statcan-agriculture: api-json, status api-ready, priority monthly, mapped series 520. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: statcan-agriculture-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - canada-aafc-red-meat: html-report, status report-parser-needed, priority weekly, mapped series 130. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: canada-aafc-red-meat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - usda-lmr: public-download, status api-ready, priority daily, mapped series 160. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: usda-lmr-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - usda-nrcs-snotel-scan: api-json, status api-ready, priority daily, mapped series 310. Producer use: Estimate pasture days, heat stress, water pressure, crop yield risk, and forced-sale timing.. Evidence links: usda-nrcs-snotel-scan-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - brazil-ana-hidroweb: public-download, status api-ready, priority daily, mapped series 420. Producer use: Estimate pasture days, heat stress, water pressure, crop yield risk, and forced-sale timing.. Evidence links: brazil-ana-hidroweb-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - brazil-cemaden: public-download, status api-ready, priority daily, mapped series 240. Producer use: Estimate pasture days, heat stress, water pressure, crop yield risk, and forced-sale timing.. Evidence links: brazil-cemaden-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - argentina-smn: public-download, status api-ready, priority daily, mapped series 300. Producer use: Estimate pasture days, heat stress, water pressure, crop yield risk, and forced-sale timing.. Evidence links: argentina-smn-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - argentina-bcr: html-report, status report-parser-needed, priority daily, mapped series 180. Producer use: Translate crop balance, freight, hay, fertilizer, and ration pressure into stocking and sale decisions.. Evidence links: argentina-bcr-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - chile-odepa-data: api-json, status api-ready, priority weekly, mapped series 190. Producer use: Turn local and global event mentions into watch items for trade, disease, weather, input, and sale-timing decisions.. Evidence links: chile-odepa-data-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - mexico-sniim: html-report, status report-parser-needed, priority daily, mapped series 260. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: mexico-sniim-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - mexico-conagua-smn: public-download, status api-ready, priority daily, mapped series 260. Producer use: Estimate pasture days, heat stress, water pressure, crop yield risk, and forced-sale timing.. Evidence links: mexico-conagua-smn-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - colombia-agronet: html-report, status report-parser-needed, priority daily, mapped series 240. Producer use: Turn local and global event mentions into watch items for trade, disease, weather, input, and sale-timing decisions.. Evidence links: colombia-agronet-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - uruguay-snig: html-report, status report-parser-needed, priority event-driven, mapped series 90. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: uruguay-snig-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - peru-midagri-sisap: html-report, status report-parser-needed, priority daily, mapped series 150. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: peru-midagri-sisap-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - fao-aquastat: public-download, status api-ready, priority monthly, mapped series 180. Producer use: Estimate pasture days, heat stress, water pressure, crop yield risk, and forced-sale timing.. Evidence links: fao-aquastat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - brazil-embrapa: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority weekly, mapped series 260. Producer use: Turn local and global event mentions into watch items for trade, disease, weather, input, and sale-timing decisions.. Evidence links: brazil-embrapa-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - brazil-cna-costs: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 140. Producer use: Read currency, credit, inflation, energy, and fertilizer pressure before local bids move.. Evidence links: brazil-cna-costs-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - brazil-cepea-grains: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 130. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: brazil-cepea-grains-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - argentina-indec: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 320. Producer use: Read currency, credit, inflation, energy, and fertilizer pressure before local bids move.. Evidence links: argentina-indec-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - argentina-mercado-agroganadero: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority weekly, mapped series 70. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: argentina-mercado-agroganadero-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - argentina-rosgan: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 75. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: argentina-rosgan-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - uruguay-mgap: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 180. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: uruguay-mgap-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - uruguay-inumet: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 120. Producer use: Estimate pasture days, heat stress, water pressure, crop yield risk, and forced-sale timing.. Evidence links: uruguay-inumet-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - chile-sag: html-report, status report-parser-needed, priority event-driven, mapped series 95. Producer use: Detect buyer-access changes, border risk, sanitary constraints, and export-linked bid pressure.. Evidence links: chile-sag-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - chile-ine-agriculture: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 160. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: chile-ine-agriculture-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - colombia-dane-agriculture: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 260. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: colombia-dane-agriculture-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - colombia-fedegan: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 100. Producer use: Turn local and global event mentions into watch items for trade, disease, weather, input, and sale-timing decisions.. Evidence links: colombia-fedegan-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - peru-senasa: html-report, status report-parser-needed, priority event-driven, mapped series 100. Producer use: Detect buyer-access changes, border risk, sanitary constraints, and export-linked bid pressure.. Evidence links: peru-senasa-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - ecuador-sipa: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority weekly, mapped series 180. Producer use: Turn local and global event mentions into watch items for trade, disease, weather, input, and sale-timing decisions.. Evidence links: ecuador-sipa-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - bolivia-ine-agriculture: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 150. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: bolivia-ine-agriculture-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - costa-rica-corfoga: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 80. Producer use: Turn local and global event mentions into watch items for trade, disease, weather, input, and sale-timing decisions.. Evidence links: costa-rica-corfoga-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - canada-canfax: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority weekly, mapped series 110. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: canada-canfax-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - canada-cgic-grain: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority weekly, mapped series 150. Producer use: Translate crop balance, freight, hay, fertilizer, and ration pressure into stocking and sale decisions.. Evidence links: canada-cgic-grain-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - canada-cfia-animal-health: html-report, status report-parser-needed, priority event-driven, mapped series 95. Producer use: Detect buyer-access changes, border risk, sanitary constraints, and export-linked bid pressure.. Evidence links: canada-cfia-animal-health-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - france-agreste: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 300. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: france-agreste-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - germany-ble-market: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 180. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: germany-ble-market-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - germany-destatis-agriculture: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 360. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: germany-destatis-agriculture-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - ireland-cso-agriculture: api-json, status api-ready, priority weekly, mapped series 230. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: ireland-cso-agriculture-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - ireland-dafm: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority weekly, mapped series 160. Producer use: Turn local and global event mentions into watch items for trade, disease, weather, input, and sale-timing decisions.. Evidence links: ireland-dafm-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - spain-mapa-statistics: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority weekly, mapped series 260. Producer use: Turn local and global event mentions into watch items for trade, disease, weather, input, and sale-timing decisions.. Evidence links: spain-mapa-statistics-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - italy-ismea: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 220. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: italy-ismea-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - netherlands-cbs-agriculture: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 280. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: netherlands-cbs-agriculture-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - eu-jrc-mars: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 220. Producer use: Translate crop balance, freight, hay, fertilizer, and ration pressure into stocking and sale decisions.. Evidence links: eu-jrc-mars-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - efsa-animal-health: html-report, status report-parser-needed, priority event-driven, mapped series 130. Producer use: Detect buyer-access changes, border risk, sanitary constraints, and export-linked bid pressure.. Evidence links: efsa-animal-health-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - india-dahd: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 260. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: india-dahd-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - india-nddb: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 150. Producer use: Connect milk margins to ration choices, cull flow, dairy-beef supply, and replacement appetite.. Evidence links: india-nddb-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - india-agmarknet: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority weekly, mapped series 520. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: india-agmarknet-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - india-imd: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority weekly, mapped series 320. Producer use: Estimate pasture days, heat stress, water pressure, crop yield risk, and forced-sale timing.. Evidence links: india-imd-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - india-apeda: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 180. Producer use: Detect buyer-access changes, border risk, sanitary constraints, and export-linked bid pressure.. Evidence links: india-apeda-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - china-nbs-agriculture: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 380. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: china-nbs-agriculture-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - china-mara: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 300. Producer use: Turn local and global event mentions into watch items for trade, disease, weather, input, and sale-timing decisions.. Evidence links: china-mara-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - china-customs: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 240. Producer use: Detect buyer-access changes, border risk, sanitary constraints, and export-linked bid pressure.. Evidence links: china-customs-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - japan-maff: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 230. Producer use: Turn local and global event mentions into watch items for trade, disease, weather, input, and sale-timing decisions.. Evidence links: japan-maff-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - japan-alic: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 160. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: japan-alic-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - south-korea-krei: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 150. Producer use: Turn local and global event mentions into watch items for trade, disease, weather, input, and sale-timing decisions.. Evidence links: south-korea-krei-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - indonesia-bps-agriculture: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 260. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: indonesia-bps-agriculture-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - indonesia-bmkg: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority weekly, mapped series 220. Producer use: Estimate pasture days, heat stress, water pressure, crop yield risk, and forced-sale timing.. Evidence links: indonesia-bmkg-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - thailand-oae: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 200. Producer use: Turn local and global event mentions into watch items for trade, disease, weather, input, and sale-timing decisions.. Evidence links: thailand-oae-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - philippines-psa-agriculture: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 230. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: philippines-psa-agriculture-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - south-africa-dalrrd: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 230. Producer use: Turn local and global event mentions into watch items for trade, disease, weather, input, and sale-timing decisions.. Evidence links: south-africa-dalrrd-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - south-africa-namc: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 160. Producer use: Turn local and global event mentions into watch items for trade, disease, weather, input, and sale-timing decisions.. Evidence links: south-africa-namc-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - south-africa-sagis: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 170. Producer use: Translate crop balance, freight, hay, fertilizer, and ration pressure into stocking and sale decisions.. Evidence links: south-africa-sagis-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - kenya-knbs-agriculture: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 150. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: kenya-knbs-agriculture-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - kenya-ndma-drought: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 130. Producer use: Estimate pasture days, heat stress, water pressure, crop yield risk, and forced-sale timing.. Evidence links: kenya-ndma-drought-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - ethiopia-statistics-agriculture: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority weekly, mapped series 140. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: ethiopia-statistics-agriculture-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - nigeria-nbs-agriculture: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 170. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: nigeria-nbs-agriculture-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - fews-net: api-json, status live, priority monthly, mapped series 420. Producer use: Turn local and global event mentions into watch items for trade, disease, weather, input, and sale-timing decisions.. Evidence links: fews-market-food-security-to-feed-risk. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - ipc-food-security: html-report, status report-parser-needed, priority event-driven, mapped series 220. Producer use: Turn local and global event mentions into watch items for trade, disease, weather, input, and sale-timing decisions.. Evidence links: ipc-food-security-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - wfp-vam: api-csv, status live, priority weekly, mapped series 3000. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: wfp-vam-food-price-to-feed-risk. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - reliefweb-agriculture: rss-report, status live, priority daily, mapped series 1000. Producer use: Turn local and global event mentions into watch items for trade, disease, weather, input, and sale-timing decisions.. Evidence links: reliefweb-agriculture-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: geopolitical-shock-to-feed-freight. Scenarios: geopolitical-shipping-shock. - fao-giews: html-report, status report-parser-needed, priority event-driven, mapped series 360. Producer use: Turn local and global event mentions into watch items for trade, disease, weather, input, and sale-timing decisions.. Evidence links: fao-giews-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: geopolitical-shock-to-feed-freight. Scenarios: geopolitical-shipping-shock. - fao-empres-i: html-report, status report-parser-needed, priority event-driven, mapped series 260. Producer use: Detect buyer-access changes, border risk, sanitary constraints, and export-linked bid pressure.. Evidence links: fao-empres-i-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: none yet. Scenarios: none yet. - panama-canal-authority: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority monthly, mapped series 90. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: panama-canal-authority-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: geopolitical-shock-to-feed-freight. Scenarios: geopolitical-shipping-shock. - suez-canal-authority: html-report, status report-parser-needed, priority event-driven, mapped series 80. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: suez-canal-authority-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: geopolitical-shock-to-feed-freight. Scenarios: geopolitical-shipping-shock. - baltic-exchange: licensed-market-data, status licensed, priority licensed, mapped series 45. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: baltic-exchange-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: geopolitical-shock-to-feed-freight. Scenarios: geopolitical-shipping-shock. - usda-oce-port-grain: public-download, status report-parser-needed, priority weekly, mapped series 180. Producer use: Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions.. Evidence links: usda-oce-port-grain-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: geopolitical-shock-to-feed-freight. Scenarios: geopolitical-shipping-shock. ## Live Observations - nasa-power/mato-grosso: Mato Grosso weather pressure = 1.6 mm on 2026-06-03. Mato Grosso: 1.6 mm rain over the last week, 23.7 C average temperature, 78% humidity, and 1.4 m/s wind. Use this to judge pasture recovery, water checks, and sale timing. Source: https://power.larc.nasa.gov/api/temporal/daily/point?parameters=T2M%2CRH2M%2CPRECTOTCORR%2CWS2M&community=AG&longitude=-55.7&latitude=-12.6&start=20260528&end=20260603&format=JSON. - nasa-power/southern-plains: Southern Plains weather pressure = 22.7 mm on 2026-06-03. Southern Plains: 22.7 mm rain over the last week, 26.4 C average temperature, 60% humidity, and 2.7 m/s wind. Use this to judge pasture recovery, water checks, and sale timing. Source: https://power.larc.nasa.gov/api/temporal/daily/point?parameters=T2M%2CRH2M%2CPRECTOTCORR%2CWS2M&community=AG&longitude=-99.5&latitude=35.5&start=20260528&end=20260603&format=JSON. - nasa-power/queensland: Queensland weather pressure = 0 mm on 2026-06-03. Queensland: 0.0 mm rain over the last week, 17.7 C average temperature, 49% humidity, and 1.8 m/s wind. Use this to judge pasture recovery, water checks, and sale timing. Source: https://power.larc.nasa.gov/api/temporal/daily/point?parameters=T2M%2CRH2M%2CPRECTOTCORR%2CWS2M&community=AG&longitude=144.5&latitude=-22.6&start=20260528&end=20260603&format=JSON. - nasa-power/waikato: Waikato weather pressure = 33 mm on 2026-06-03. Waikato: 33.0 mm rain over the last week, 14.0 C average temperature, 89% humidity, and 3.1 m/s wind. Use this to judge pasture recovery, water checks, and sale timing. Source: https://power.larc.nasa.gov/api/temporal/daily/point?parameters=T2M%2CRH2M%2CPRECTOTCORR%2CWS2M&community=AG&longitude=175.3&latitude=-37.8&start=20260528&end=20260603&format=JSON. - nasa-power/ireland: Ireland weather pressure = 41.5 mm on 2026-06-03. Ireland: 41.5 mm rain over the last week, 14.6 C average temperature, 87% humidity, and 3.6 m/s wind. Use this to judge pasture recovery, water checks, and sale timing. Source: https://power.larc.nasa.gov/api/temporal/daily/point?parameters=T2M%2CRH2M%2CPRECTOTCORR%2CWS2M&community=AG&longitude=-8.2&latitude=53.4&start=20260528&end=20260603&format=JSON. - us-drought-monitor/southern-plains: CONUS severe drought footprint = 31.2 % D2+ area on 2026-06-02. CONUS: 31.2% of area is in severe drought or worse (D2+), 48.8% is in moderate drought or worse (D1+), and 12.2% is in extreme drought or worse (D3+). D2+ changed -6.1 percentage points week over week. Use this before assuming pasture will carry cattle or hay demand will stay local. Source: https://usdmdataservices.unl.edu/api/USStatistics/GetDroughtSeverityStatisticsByArea?startdate=4%2F22%2F2026&enddate=6%2F6%2F2026&statisticsType=1&aoi=us. - us-drought-monitor/southern-plains: Southern Plains severe drought footprint = 51.8 % D2+ area on 2026-06-02. Southern Plains cattle states: 51.8% of area is in severe drought or worse (D2+), 70.5% is in moderate drought or worse (D1+), and 24.2% is in extreme drought or worse (D3+). D2+ changed -4.8 percentage points week over week. Use this before assuming pasture will carry cattle or hay demand will stay local. Source: https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataDownload.aspx. - us-drought-monitor/southern-plains: Texas severe drought footprint = 30.6 % D2+ area on 2026-06-02. Texas: 30.6% of area is in severe drought or worse (D2+), 50.1% is in moderate drought or worse (D1+), and 11.6% is in extreme drought or worse (D3+). D2+ changed -6.2 percentage points week over week. Use this before assuming pasture will carry cattle or hay demand will stay local. Source: https://usdmdataservices.unl.edu/api/StateStatistics/GetDroughtSeverityStatisticsByArea?startdate=4%2F22%2F2026&enddate=6%2F6%2F2026&statisticsType=1&aoi=48. - us-drought-monitor/southern-plains: Oklahoma severe drought footprint = 45.5 % D2+ area on 2026-06-02. Oklahoma: 45.5% of area is in severe drought or worse (D2+), 80.8% is in moderate drought or worse (D1+), and 38.4% is in extreme drought or worse (D3+). D2+ changed -1.5 percentage points week over week. Use this before assuming pasture will carry cattle or hay demand will stay local. Source: https://usdmdataservices.unl.edu/api/StateStatistics/GetDroughtSeverityStatisticsByArea?startdate=4%2F22%2F2026&enddate=6%2F6%2F2026&statisticsType=1&aoi=40. - us-drought-monitor/southern-plains: Kansas severe drought footprint = 25 % D2+ area on 2026-06-02. Kansas: 25.0% of area is in severe drought or worse (D2+), 52.5% is in moderate drought or worse (D1+), and 4.3% is in extreme drought or worse (D3+). D2+ changed -14.8 percentage points week over week. Use this before assuming pasture will carry cattle or hay demand will stay local. Source: https://usdmdataservices.unl.edu/api/StateStatistics/GetDroughtSeverityStatisticsByArea?startdate=4%2F22%2F2026&enddate=6%2F6%2F2026&statisticsType=1&aoi=20. - us-drought-monitor/southern-plains: Nebraska severe drought footprint = 75.2 % D2+ area on 2026-06-02. Nebraska: 75.2% of area is in severe drought or worse (D2+), 82.9% is in moderate drought or worse (D1+), and 55.0% is in extreme drought or worse (D3+). D2+ changed -4.2 percentage points week over week. Use this before assuming pasture will carry cattle or hay demand will stay local. Source: https://usdmdataservices.unl.edu/api/StateStatistics/GetDroughtSeverityStatisticsByArea?startdate=4%2F22%2F2026&enddate=6%2F6%2F2026&statisticsType=1&aoi=31. - us-drought-monitor/southern-plains: Colorado severe drought footprint = 76 % D2+ area on 2026-06-02. Colorado: 76.0% of area is in severe drought or worse (D2+), 92.7% is in moderate drought or worse (D1+), and 35.9% is in extreme drought or worse (D3+). D2+ changed -1.7 percentage points week over week. Use this before assuming pasture will carry cattle or hay demand will stay local. Source: https://usdmdataservices.unl.edu/api/StateStatistics/GetDroughtSeverityStatisticsByArea?startdate=4%2F22%2F2026&enddate=6%2F6%2F2026&statisticsType=1&aoi=08. - us-drought-monitor/southern-plains: New Mexico severe drought footprint = 84.5 % D2+ area on 2026-06-02. New Mexico: 84.5% of area is in severe drought or worse (D2+), 94.4% is in moderate drought or worse (D1+), and 27.3% is in extreme drought or worse (D3+). D2+ changed -0.1 percentage points week over week. Use this before assuming pasture will carry cattle or hay demand will stay local. Source: https://usdmdataservices.unl.edu/api/StateStatistics/GetDroughtSeverityStatisticsByArea?startdate=4%2F22%2F2026&enddate=6%2F6%2F2026&statisticsType=1&aoi=35. - open-meteo-forecast/southern-plains: Southern Plains 7-day rain forecast = 1.8 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. Southern Plains: 1.8 mm rain forecast over 7 days, 6 dry days, 39.1 C air-temperature high, 41.4 C apparent high, and 18.4 C low. Use this before moving cattle, changing supplement, buying hay, or holding weight through the next gain window. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=35.5&longitude=-99.5&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/southern-plains: Southern Plains 7-day water demand forecast = 60.8 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. Southern Plains: 60.8 mm/week reference evapotranspiration and 41.4 C apparent-temperature high are forecast. Pair this with rainfall to judge water checks, shade, dairy heat stress, pasture recovery, and irrigation/feed-crop pressure. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=35.5&longitude=-99.5&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/canadian-prairies: Canadian Prairies 7-day rain forecast = 69.7 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. Canadian Prairies: 69.7 mm rain forecast over 7 days, 4 dry days, 21.8 C air-temperature high, 20.6 C apparent high, and 8.1 C low. Use this before moving cattle, changing supplement, buying hay, or holding weight through the next gain window. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=52.1&longitude=-106.7&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/canadian-prairies: Canadian Prairies 7-day water demand forecast = 18.9 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. Canadian Prairies: 18.9 mm/week reference evapotranspiration and 20.6 C apparent-temperature high are forecast. Pair this with rainfall to judge water checks, shade, dairy heat stress, pasture recovery, and irrigation/feed-crop pressure. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=52.1&longitude=-106.7&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/mato-grosso: Mato Grosso 7-day rain forecast = 1.5 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. Mato Grosso: 1.5 mm rain forecast over 7 days, 7 dry days, 33.4 C air-temperature high, 35.5 C apparent high, and 17.8 C low. Use this before moving cattle, changing supplement, buying hay, or holding weight through the next gain window. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=-12.6&longitude=-55.7&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/mato-grosso: Mato Grosso 7-day water demand forecast = 25.8 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. Mato Grosso: 25.8 mm/week reference evapotranspiration and 35.5 C apparent-temperature high are forecast. Pair this with rainfall to judge water checks, shade, dairy heat stress, pasture recovery, and irrigation/feed-crop pressure. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=-12.6&longitude=-55.7&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/sao-paulo: São Paulo 7-day rain forecast = 54.9 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. São Paulo: 54.9 mm rain forecast over 7 days, 4 dry days, 25.9 C air-temperature high, 25.8 C apparent high, and 12.1 C low. Use this before moving cattle, changing supplement, buying hay, or holding weight through the next gain window. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=-22.2&longitude=-48.8&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/sao-paulo: São Paulo 7-day water demand forecast = 15.6 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. São Paulo: 15.6 mm/week reference evapotranspiration and 25.8 C apparent-temperature high are forecast. Pair this with rainfall to judge water checks, shade, dairy heat stress, pasture recovery, and irrigation/feed-crop pressure. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=-22.2&longitude=-48.8&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/northern-mexico: Northern Mexico 7-day rain forecast = 0.4 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. Northern Mexico: 0.4 mm rain forecast over 7 days, 7 dry days, 35.1 C air-temperature high, 34.5 C apparent high, and 17.2 C low. Use this before moving cattle, changing supplement, buying hay, or holding weight through the next gain window. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=28.6&longitude=-106.1&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/northern-mexico: Northern Mexico 7-day water demand forecast = 55.5 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. Northern Mexico: 55.5 mm/week reference evapotranspiration and 34.5 C apparent-temperature high are forecast. Pair this with rainfall to judge water checks, shade, dairy heat stress, pasture recovery, and irrigation/feed-crop pressure. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=28.6&longitude=-106.1&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/queensland: Queensland 7-day rain forecast = 2.1 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. Queensland: 2.1 mm rain forecast over 7 days, 6 dry days, 25.4 C air-temperature high, 24.9 C apparent high, and 6.9 C low. Use this before moving cattle, changing supplement, buying hay, or holding weight through the next gain window. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=-22.6&longitude=144.5&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/queensland: Queensland 7-day water demand forecast = 24 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. Queensland: 24.0 mm/week reference evapotranspiration and 24.9 C apparent-temperature high are forecast. Pair this with rainfall to judge water checks, shade, dairy heat stress, pasture recovery, and irrigation/feed-crop pressure. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=-22.6&longitude=144.5&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/waikato: Waikato 7-day rain forecast = 4.8 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. Waikato: 4.8 mm rain forecast over 7 days, 6 dry days, 16.5 C air-temperature high, 14.3 C apparent high, and 2.7 C low. Use this before moving cattle, changing supplement, buying hay, or holding weight through the next gain window. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=-37.8&longitude=175.3&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/waikato: Waikato 7-day water demand forecast = 8.6 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. Waikato: 8.6 mm/week reference evapotranspiration and 14.3 C apparent-temperature high are forecast. Pair this with rainfall to judge water checks, shade, dairy heat stress, pasture recovery, and irrigation/feed-crop pressure. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=-37.8&longitude=175.3&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/ireland: Ireland 7-day rain forecast = 39 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. Ireland: 39.0 mm rain forecast over 7 days, 1 dry days, 14.8 C air-temperature high, 12.1 C apparent high, and 6.9 C low. Use this before moving cattle, changing supplement, buying hay, or holding weight through the next gain window. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=53.4&longitude=-8.2&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/ireland: Ireland 7-day water demand forecast = 16.3 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. Ireland: 16.3 mm/week reference evapotranspiration and 12.1 C apparent-temperature high are forecast. Pair this with rainfall to judge water checks, shade, dairy heat stress, pasture recovery, and irrigation/feed-crop pressure. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=53.4&longitude=-8.2&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/north-germany: North Germany 7-day rain forecast = 34.4 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. North Germany: 34.4 mm rain forecast over 7 days, 2 dry days, 23.4 C air-temperature high, 21.6 C apparent high, and 9.6 C low. Use this before moving cattle, changing supplement, buying hay, or holding weight through the next gain window. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=53.6&longitude=9.9&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/north-germany: North Germany 7-day water demand forecast = 19.2 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. North Germany: 19.2 mm/week reference evapotranspiration and 21.6 C apparent-temperature high are forecast. Pair this with rainfall to judge water checks, shade, dairy heat stress, pasture recovery, and irrigation/feed-crop pressure. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=53.6&longitude=9.9&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/western-france: Western France 7-day rain forecast = 3.7 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. Western France: 3.7 mm rain forecast over 7 days, 6 dry days, 22.8 C air-temperature high, 20.6 C apparent high, and 8.5 C low. Use this before moving cattle, changing supplement, buying hay, or holding weight through the next gain window. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=48.1&longitude=-1.7&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/western-france: Western France 7-day water demand forecast = 26.1 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. Western France: 26.1 mm/week reference evapotranspiration and 20.6 C apparent-temperature high are forecast. Pair this with rainfall to judge water checks, shade, dairy heat stress, pasture recovery, and irrigation/feed-crop pressure. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=48.1&longitude=-1.7&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/netherlands-dairy: Netherlands dairy belt 7-day rain forecast = 25.2 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. Netherlands dairy belt: 25.2 mm rain forecast over 7 days, 2 dry days, 20.8 C air-temperature high, 19.9 C apparent high, and 9.0 C low. Use this before moving cattle, changing supplement, buying hay, or holding weight through the next gain window. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=52.2&longitude=5.3&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/netherlands-dairy: Netherlands dairy belt 7-day water demand forecast = 20.2 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. Netherlands dairy belt: 20.2 mm/week reference evapotranspiration and 19.9 C apparent-temperature high are forecast. Pair this with rainfall to judge water checks, shade, dairy heat stress, pasture recovery, and irrigation/feed-crop pressure. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=52.2&longitude=5.3&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/east-africa-dairy: East Africa dairy belts 7-day rain forecast = 0 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. East Africa dairy belts: 0.0 mm rain forecast over 7 days, 7 dry days, 28.5 C air-temperature high, 27.2 C apparent high, and 14.8 C low. Use this before moving cattle, changing supplement, buying hay, or holding weight through the next gain window. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=0.5&longitude=36.8&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/east-africa-dairy: East Africa dairy belts 7-day water demand forecast = 37.8 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. East Africa dairy belts: 37.8 mm/week reference evapotranspiration and 27.2 C apparent-temperature high are forecast. Pair this with rainfall to judge water checks, shade, dairy heat stress, pasture recovery, and irrigation/feed-crop pressure. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=0.5&longitude=36.8&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/pampas: Pampas 7-day rain forecast = 3.6 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. Pampas: 3.6 mm rain forecast over 7 days, 5 dry days, 18.1 C air-temperature high, 18.1 C apparent high, and 3.2 C low. Use this before moving cattle, changing supplement, buying hay, or holding weight through the next gain window. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=-36.5&longitude=-60&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/pampas: Pampas 7-day water demand forecast = 7 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. Pampas: 7.0 mm/week reference evapotranspiration and 18.1 C apparent-temperature high are forecast. Pair this with rainfall to judge water checks, shade, dairy heat stress, pasture recovery, and irrigation/feed-crop pressure. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=-36.5&longitude=-60&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/colombia-llanos: Colombian Llanos 7-day rain forecast = 95.2 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. Colombian Llanos: 95.2 mm rain forecast over 7 days, 0 dry days, 30.9 C air-temperature high, 35.0 C apparent high, and 22.2 C low. Use this before moving cattle, changing supplement, buying hay, or holding weight through the next gain window. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=4&longitude=-72.5&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/colombia-llanos: Colombian Llanos 7-day water demand forecast = 23.6 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. Colombian Llanos: 23.6 mm/week reference evapotranspiration and 35.0 C apparent-temperature high are forecast. Pair this with rainfall to judge water checks, shade, dairy heat stress, pasture recovery, and irrigation/feed-crop pressure. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=4&longitude=-72.5&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/uruguay-littoral: Uruguay Littoral 7-day rain forecast = 28 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. Uruguay Littoral: 28.0 mm rain forecast over 7 days, 3 dry days, 22.0 C air-temperature high, 22.2 C apparent high, and 5.2 C low. Use this before moving cattle, changing supplement, buying hay, or holding weight through the next gain window. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=-32.3&longitude=-57.2&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/uruguay-littoral: Uruguay Littoral 7-day water demand forecast = 7.7 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. Uruguay Littoral: 7.7 mm/week reference evapotranspiration and 22.2 C apparent-temperature high are forecast. Pair this with rainfall to judge water checks, shade, dairy heat stress, pasture recovery, and irrigation/feed-crop pressure. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=-32.3&longitude=-57.2&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/new-south-wales: New South Wales 7-day rain forecast = 3.8 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. New South Wales: 3.8 mm rain forecast over 7 days, 6 dry days, 19.3 C air-temperature high, 17.8 C apparent high, and 3.9 C low. Use this before moving cattle, changing supplement, buying hay, or holding weight through the next gain window. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=-32.2&longitude=147&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/new-south-wales: New South Wales 7-day water demand forecast = 10.7 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. New South Wales: 10.7 mm/week reference evapotranspiration and 17.8 C apparent-temperature high are forecast. Pair this with rainfall to judge water checks, shade, dairy heat stress, pasture recovery, and irrigation/feed-crop pressure. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=-32.2&longitude=147&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/france-west: Western France 7-day rain forecast = 2.9 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. Western France: 2.9 mm rain forecast over 7 days, 6 dry days, 23.8 C air-temperature high, 23.4 C apparent high, and 7.9 C low. Use this before moving cattle, changing supplement, buying hay, or holding weight through the next gain window. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=47.5&longitude=-1.2&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/france-west: Western France 7-day water demand forecast = 26.9 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. Western France: 26.9 mm/week reference evapotranspiration and 23.4 C apparent-temperature high are forecast. Pair this with rainfall to judge water checks, shade, dairy heat stress, pasture recovery, and irrigation/feed-crop pressure. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=47.5&longitude=-1.2&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/south-asia-dairy: South Asia dairy clusters 7-day rain forecast = 3.1 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. South Asia dairy clusters: 3.1 mm rain forecast over 7 days, 6 dry days, 40.4 C air-temperature high, 43.1 C apparent high, and 27.2 C low. Use this before moving cattle, changing supplement, buying hay, or holding weight through the next gain window. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=23.4&longitude=78.8&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/south-asia-dairy: South Asia dairy clusters 7-day water demand forecast = 53.8 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. South Asia dairy clusters: 53.8 mm/week reference evapotranspiration and 43.1 C apparent-temperature high are forecast. Pair this with rainfall to judge water checks, shade, dairy heat stress, pasture recovery, and irrigation/feed-crop pressure. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=23.4&longitude=78.8&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/gulf-import-corridor: Gulf import corridors 7-day rain forecast = 0 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. Gulf import corridors: 0.0 mm rain forecast over 7 days, 7 dry days, 43.4 C air-temperature high, 45.7 C apparent high, and 24.6 C low. Use this before moving cattle, changing supplement, buying hay, or holding weight through the next gain window. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=24.5&longitude=54.5&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/gulf-import-corridor: Gulf import corridors 7-day water demand forecast = 54.7 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. Gulf import corridors: 54.7 mm/week reference evapotranspiration and 45.7 C apparent-temperature high are forecast. Pair this with rainfall to judge water checks, shade, dairy heat stress, pasture recovery, and irrigation/feed-crop pressure. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=24.5&longitude=54.5&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/south-africa-highveld: South Africa Highveld 7-day rain forecast = 0 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. South Africa Highveld: 0.0 mm rain forecast over 7 days, 7 dry days, 19.8 C air-temperature high, 16.6 C apparent high, and 2.1 C low. Use this before moving cattle, changing supplement, buying hay, or holding weight through the next gain window. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=-26.2&longitude=28&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - open-meteo-forecast/south-africa-highveld: South Africa Highveld 7-day water demand forecast = 17.6 mm/week on 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-12. South Africa Highveld: 17.6 mm/week reference evapotranspiration and 16.6 C apparent-temperature high are forecast. Pair this with rainfall to judge water checks, shade, dairy heat stress, pasture recovery, and irrigation/feed-crop pressure. Source: https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=-26.2&longitude=28&daily=temperature_2m_max%2Ctemperature_2m_min%2Capparent_temperature_max%2Cprecipitation_sum%2Cet0_fao_evapotranspiration&forecast_days=7&timezone=auto. - world-bank-pink-sheet/mato-grosso: Currency pressure for export bids = 5 country series on 2024. Loaded 5 latest official exchange-rate series. Use FX with export demand before assuming local cattle, milk, grain, or input bids are stable. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/PA.NUS.FCRF. - world-bank-wdi/mato-grosso: Latin America Livestock production index = 113 index on 2022. Livestock production index averages 113.0 index across Latin America. Country readings: Brazil 112, Argentina 114. This is a structural supply baseline; use it before treating a weekly report as the whole market. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.LVSK.XD. - world-bank-wdi/queensland: Oceania Livestock production index = 87.5 index on 2022. Livestock production index averages 87.5 index across Oceania. Country readings: Australia 87. This is a structural supply baseline; use it before treating a weekly report as the whole market. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.LVSK.XD. - world-bank-wdi/ireland: Europe Livestock production index = 103.3 index on 2022. Livestock production index averages 103.3 index across Europe. Country readings: Ireland 123, France 93, Germany 93. This is a structural supply baseline; use it before treating a weekly report as the whole market. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.LVSK.XD. - world-bank-wdi/south-asia-dairy: Africa and Asia Livestock production index = 121 index on 2022. Livestock production index averages 121.0 index across Africa and Asia. Country readings: India 133, China 110. This is a structural supply baseline; use it before treating a weekly report as the whole market. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.LVSK.XD. - world-bank-wdi/canadian-prairies: Canada Livestock production index = 119.1 index on 2022. Canada: Livestock production index is 119.1 index. This is a structural supply baseline; use it before treating a weekly report as the whole market. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.LVSK.XD. - world-bank-wdi/mato-grosso: Brazil Livestock production index = 112.2 index on 2022. Brazil: Livestock production index is 112.2 index. This is a structural supply baseline; use it before treating a weekly report as the whole market. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.LVSK.XD. - world-bank-wdi/pampas: Argentina Livestock production index = 113.9 index on 2022. Argentina: Livestock production index is 113.9 index. This is a structural supply baseline; use it before treating a weekly report as the whole market. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.LVSK.XD. - world-bank-wdi/colombia-llanos: Colombia Livestock production index = 110.3 index on 2022. Colombia: Livestock production index is 110.3 index. This is a structural supply baseline; use it before treating a weekly report as the whole market. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.LVSK.XD. - world-bank-wdi/colombia-llanos: Chile Livestock production index = 103.4 index on 2022. Chile: Livestock production index is 103.4 index. This is a structural supply baseline; use it before treating a weekly report as the whole market. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.LVSK.XD. - world-bank-wdi/queensland: Australia Livestock production index = 87.5 index on 2022. Australia: Livestock production index is 87.5 index. This is a structural supply baseline; use it before treating a weekly report as the whole market. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.LVSK.XD. - world-bank-wdi/ireland: Ireland Livestock production index = 123.2 index on 2022. Ireland: Livestock production index is 123.2 index. This is a structural supply baseline; use it before treating a weekly report as the whole market. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.LVSK.XD. - world-bank-wdi/western-france: France Livestock production index = 93.2 index on 2022. France: Livestock production index is 93.2 index. This is a structural supply baseline; use it before treating a weekly report as the whole market. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.LVSK.XD. - world-bank-wdi/north-germany: Germany Livestock production index = 93.3 index on 2022. Germany: Livestock production index is 93.3 index. This is a structural supply baseline; use it before treating a weekly report as the whole market. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.LVSK.XD. - world-bank-wdi/france-west: Spain Livestock production index = 118.7 index on 2022. Spain: Livestock production index is 118.7 index. This is a structural supply baseline; use it before treating a weekly report as the whole market. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.LVSK.XD. - world-bank-wdi/france-west: Italy Livestock production index = 102.3 index on 2022. Italy: Livestock production index is 102.3 index. This is a structural supply baseline; use it before treating a weekly report as the whole market. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.LVSK.XD. - world-bank-wdi/ireland: United Kingdom Livestock production index = 105.2 index on 2022. United Kingdom: Livestock production index is 105.2 index. This is a structural supply baseline; use it before treating a weekly report as the whole market. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.LVSK.XD. - world-bank-wdi/south-asia-dairy: India Livestock production index = 132.5 index on 2022. India: Livestock production index is 132.5 index. This is a structural supply baseline; use it before treating a weekly report as the whole market. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.LVSK.XD. - world-bank-wdi/south-asia-dairy: China Livestock production index = 109.5 index on 2022. China: Livestock production index is 109.5 index. This is a structural supply baseline; use it before treating a weekly report as the whole market. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.LVSK.XD. - world-bank-wdi/east-africa-dairy: Ethiopia Livestock production index = 116.1 index on 2022. Ethiopia: Livestock production index is 116.1 index. This is a structural supply baseline; use it before treating a weekly report as the whole market. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.LVSK.XD. - world-bank-wdi/south-asia-dairy: Egypt Livestock production index = 119.4 index on 2022. Egypt: Livestock production index is 119.4 index. This is a structural supply baseline; use it before treating a weekly report as the whole market. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.LVSK.XD. - world-bank-wdi/mato-grosso: Latin America Crop production index = 111.6 index on 2022. Crop production index averages 111.6 index across Latin America. Country readings: Brazil 116, Argentina 107. Crop production is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, hay buying, and stocking decisions. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.CROP.XD. - world-bank-wdi/queensland: Oceania Crop production index = 146.1 index on 2022. Crop production index averages 146.1 index across Oceania. Country readings: Australia 146. Crop production is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, hay buying, and stocking decisions. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.CROP.XD. - world-bank-wdi/ireland: Europe Crop production index = 95.2 index on 2022. Crop production index averages 95.2 index across Europe. Country readings: Ireland 99, France 95, Germany 91. Crop production is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, hay buying, and stocking decisions. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.CROP.XD. - world-bank-wdi/south-asia-dairy: Africa and Asia Crop production index = 117.6 index on 2022. Crop production index averages 117.6 index across Africa and Asia. Country readings: India 123, China 112. Crop production is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, hay buying, and stocking decisions. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.CROP.XD. - world-bank-wdi/canadian-prairies: Canada Crop production index = 108 index on 2022. Canada: Crop production index is 108.0 index. Crop production is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, hay buying, and stocking decisions. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.CROP.XD. - world-bank-wdi/mato-grosso: Brazil Crop production index = 115.9 index on 2022. Brazil: Crop production index is 115.9 index. Crop production is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, hay buying, and stocking decisions. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.CROP.XD. - world-bank-wdi/pampas: Argentina Crop production index = 107.3 index on 2022. Argentina: Crop production index is 107.3 index. Crop production is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, hay buying, and stocking decisions. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.CROP.XD. - world-bank-wdi/colombia-llanos: Colombia Crop production index = 111.6 index on 2022. Colombia: Crop production index is 111.6 index. Crop production is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, hay buying, and stocking decisions. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.CROP.XD. - world-bank-wdi/colombia-llanos: Chile Crop production index = 106.4 index on 2022. Chile: Crop production index is 106.4 index. Crop production is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, hay buying, and stocking decisions. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.CROP.XD. - world-bank-wdi/queensland: Australia Crop production index = 146.1 index on 2022. Australia: Crop production index is 146.1 index. Crop production is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, hay buying, and stocking decisions. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.CROP.XD. - world-bank-wdi/ireland: Ireland Crop production index = 99.4 index on 2022. Ireland: Crop production index is 99.4 index. Crop production is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, hay buying, and stocking decisions. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.CROP.XD. - world-bank-wdi/western-france: France Crop production index = 94.7 index on 2022. France: Crop production index is 94.7 index. Crop production is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, hay buying, and stocking decisions. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.CROP.XD. - world-bank-wdi/north-germany: Germany Crop production index = 91.5 index on 2022. Germany: Crop production index is 91.5 index. Crop production is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, hay buying, and stocking decisions. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.CROP.XD. - world-bank-wdi/france-west: Spain Crop production index = 87 index on 2022. Spain: Crop production index is 87.0 index. Crop production is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, hay buying, and stocking decisions. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.CROP.XD. - world-bank-wdi/france-west: Italy Crop production index = 94 index on 2022. Italy: Crop production index is 94.0 index. Crop production is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, hay buying, and stocking decisions. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.CROP.XD. - world-bank-wdi/ireland: United Kingdom Crop production index = 94.3 index on 2022. United Kingdom: Crop production index is 94.3 index. Crop production is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, hay buying, and stocking decisions. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.CROP.XD. - world-bank-wdi/south-asia-dairy: India Crop production index = 123.3 index on 2022. India: Crop production index is 123.3 index. Crop production is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, hay buying, and stocking decisions. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.CROP.XD. - world-bank-wdi/south-asia-dairy: China Crop production index = 111.8 index on 2022. China: Crop production index is 111.8 index. Crop production is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, hay buying, and stocking decisions. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.CROP.XD. - world-bank-wdi/east-africa-dairy: Ethiopia Crop production index = 116.5 index on 2022. Ethiopia: Crop production index is 116.5 index. Crop production is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, hay buying, and stocking decisions. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.CROP.XD. - world-bank-wdi/south-asia-dairy: Egypt Crop production index = 105.3 index on 2022. Egypt: Crop production index is 105.3 index. Crop production is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, hay buying, and stocking decisions. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.PRD.CROP.XD. - world-bank-wdi/mato-grosso: Latin America Fertilizer use intensity = 197 kg/ha on 2023. Fertilizer use intensity averages 197.1 kg/ha across Latin America. Country readings: Brazil 344, Argentina 50. Higher fertilizer dependence raises sensitivity to input shocks before feed prices fully adjust. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.CON.FERT.ZS. - world-bank-wdi/queensland: Oceania Fertilizer use intensity = 103 kg/ha on 2023. Fertilizer use intensity averages 102.7 kg/ha across Oceania. Country readings: Australia 103. Higher fertilizer dependence raises sensitivity to input shocks before feed prices fully adjust. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.CON.FERT.ZS. - world-bank-wdi/ireland: Europe Fertilizer use intensity = 385 kg/ha on 2023. Fertilizer use intensity averages 385.3 kg/ha across Europe. Country readings: Ireland 896, France 131, Germany 129. Higher fertilizer dependence raises sensitivity to input shocks before feed prices fully adjust. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.CON.FERT.ZS. - world-bank-wdi/south-asia-dairy: Africa and Asia Fertilizer use intensity = 297 kg/ha on 2023. Fertilizer use intensity averages 296.6 kg/ha across Africa and Asia. Country readings: India 199, China 394. Higher fertilizer dependence raises sensitivity to input shocks before feed prices fully adjust. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.CON.FERT.ZS. - world-bank-wdi/canadian-prairies: Canada Fertilizer use intensity = 133 kg/ha on 2023. Canada: Fertilizer use intensity is 132.8 kg/ha. Higher fertilizer dependence raises sensitivity to input shocks before feed prices fully adjust. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.CON.FERT.ZS. - world-bank-wdi/mato-grosso: Brazil Fertilizer use intensity = 344 kg/ha on 2023. Brazil: Fertilizer use intensity is 344.1 kg/ha. Higher fertilizer dependence raises sensitivity to input shocks before feed prices fully adjust. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.CON.FERT.ZS. - world-bank-wdi/pampas: Argentina Fertilizer use intensity = 50 kg/ha on 2023. Argentina: Fertilizer use intensity is 50.2 kg/ha. Higher fertilizer dependence raises sensitivity to input shocks before feed prices fully adjust. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.CON.FERT.ZS. - world-bank-wdi/colombia-llanos: Colombia Fertilizer use intensity = 373 kg/ha on 2023. Colombia: Fertilizer use intensity is 372.9 kg/ha. Higher fertilizer dependence raises sensitivity to input shocks before feed prices fully adjust. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.CON.FERT.ZS. - world-bank-wdi/colombia-llanos: Chile Fertilizer use intensity = 250 kg/ha on 2023. Chile: Fertilizer use intensity is 249.5 kg/ha. Higher fertilizer dependence raises sensitivity to input shocks before feed prices fully adjust. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.CON.FERT.ZS. - world-bank-wdi/queensland: Australia Fertilizer use intensity = 103 kg/ha on 2023. Australia: Fertilizer use intensity is 102.7 kg/ha. Higher fertilizer dependence raises sensitivity to input shocks before feed prices fully adjust. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.CON.FERT.ZS. - world-bank-wdi/ireland: Ireland Fertilizer use intensity = 896 kg/ha on 2023. Ireland: Fertilizer use intensity is 895.9 kg/ha. Higher fertilizer dependence raises sensitivity to input shocks before feed prices fully adjust. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.CON.FERT.ZS. - world-bank-wdi/western-france: France Fertilizer use intensity = 131 kg/ha on 2023. France: Fertilizer use intensity is 131.3 kg/ha. Higher fertilizer dependence raises sensitivity to input shocks before feed prices fully adjust. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.CON.FERT.ZS. - world-bank-wdi/north-germany: Germany Fertilizer use intensity = 129 kg/ha on 2023. Germany: Fertilizer use intensity is 128.6 kg/ha. Higher fertilizer dependence raises sensitivity to input shocks before feed prices fully adjust. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.CON.FERT.ZS. - world-bank-wdi/france-west: Spain Fertilizer use intensity = 115 kg/ha on 2023. Spain: Fertilizer use intensity is 115.1 kg/ha. Higher fertilizer dependence raises sensitivity to input shocks before feed prices fully adjust. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.CON.FERT.ZS. - world-bank-wdi/france-west: Italy Fertilizer use intensity = 114 kg/ha on 2023. Italy: Fertilizer use intensity is 114.1 kg/ha. Higher fertilizer dependence raises sensitivity to input shocks before feed prices fully adjust. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.CON.FERT.ZS. - world-bank-wdi/ireland: United Kingdom Fertilizer use intensity = 191 kg/ha on 2023. United Kingdom: Fertilizer use intensity is 191.4 kg/ha. Higher fertilizer dependence raises sensitivity to input shocks before feed prices fully adjust. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.CON.FERT.ZS. - world-bank-wdi/south-asia-dairy: India Fertilizer use intensity = 199 kg/ha on 2023. India: Fertilizer use intensity is 199.1 kg/ha. Higher fertilizer dependence raises sensitivity to input shocks before feed prices fully adjust. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.CON.FERT.ZS. - world-bank-wdi/south-asia-dairy: China Fertilizer use intensity = 394 kg/ha on 2023. China: Fertilizer use intensity is 394.0 kg/ha. Higher fertilizer dependence raises sensitivity to input shocks before feed prices fully adjust. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.CON.FERT.ZS. - world-bank-wdi/east-africa-dairy: Ethiopia Fertilizer use intensity = 45 kg/ha on 2023. Ethiopia: Fertilizer use intensity is 45.3 kg/ha. Higher fertilizer dependence raises sensitivity to input shocks before feed prices fully adjust. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.CON.FERT.ZS. - world-bank-wdi/south-asia-dairy: Egypt Fertilizer use intensity = 533 kg/ha on 2023. Egypt: Fertilizer use intensity is 532.8 kg/ha. Higher fertilizer dependence raises sensitivity to input shocks before feed prices fully adjust. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/AG.CON.FERT.ZS. - world-bank-wdi/mato-grosso: Latin America Consumer inflation pressure = 112.1 % on 2024. Consumer inflation pressure averages 112.1 % across Latin America. Country readings: Brazil 4.4, Argentina 219.9. Inflation changes working capital, input affordability, and consumer demand before farm prices feel settled. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG. - world-bank-wdi/queensland: Oceania Consumer inflation pressure = 3.2 % on 2024. Consumer inflation pressure averages 3.2 % across Oceania. Country readings: Australia 3.2. Inflation changes working capital, input affordability, and consumer demand before farm prices feel settled. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG. - world-bank-wdi/ireland: Europe Consumer inflation pressure = 2.1 % on 2024. Consumer inflation pressure averages 2.1 % across Europe. Country readings: Ireland 2.1, France 2.0, Germany 2.3. Inflation changes working capital, input affordability, and consumer demand before farm prices feel settled. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG. - world-bank-wdi/south-asia-dairy: Africa and Asia Consumer inflation pressure = 2.6 % on 2024. Consumer inflation pressure averages 2.6 % across Africa and Asia. Country readings: India 5.0, China 0.2. Inflation changes working capital, input affordability, and consumer demand before farm prices feel settled. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG. - world-bank-wdi/canadian-prairies: Canada Consumer inflation pressure = 2.4 % on 2024. Canada: Consumer inflation pressure is 2.4 %. Inflation changes working capital, input affordability, and consumer demand before farm prices feel settled. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG. - world-bank-wdi/mato-grosso: Brazil Consumer inflation pressure = 4.4 % on 2024. Brazil: Consumer inflation pressure is 4.4 %. Inflation changes working capital, input affordability, and consumer demand before farm prices feel settled. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG. - world-bank-wdi/pampas: Argentina Consumer inflation pressure = 219.9 % on 2024. Argentina: Consumer inflation pressure is 219.9 %. Inflation changes working capital, input affordability, and consumer demand before farm prices feel settled. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG. - world-bank-wdi/colombia-llanos: Colombia Consumer inflation pressure = 6.6 % on 2024. Colombia: Consumer inflation pressure is 6.6 %. Inflation changes working capital, input affordability, and consumer demand before farm prices feel settled. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG. - world-bank-wdi/colombia-llanos: Chile Consumer inflation pressure = 4.3 % on 2024. Chile: Consumer inflation pressure is 4.3 %. Inflation changes working capital, input affordability, and consumer demand before farm prices feel settled. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG. - world-bank-wdi/queensland: Australia Consumer inflation pressure = 3.2 % on 2024. Australia: Consumer inflation pressure is 3.2 %. Inflation changes working capital, input affordability, and consumer demand before farm prices feel settled. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG. - world-bank-wdi/ireland: Ireland Consumer inflation pressure = 2.1 % on 2024. Ireland: Consumer inflation pressure is 2.1 %. Inflation changes working capital, input affordability, and consumer demand before farm prices feel settled. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG. - world-bank-wdi/western-france: France Consumer inflation pressure = 2 % on 2024. France: Consumer inflation pressure is 2.0 %. Inflation changes working capital, input affordability, and consumer demand before farm prices feel settled. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG. - world-bank-wdi/north-germany: Germany Consumer inflation pressure = 2.3 % on 2024. Germany: Consumer inflation pressure is 2.3 %. Inflation changes working capital, input affordability, and consumer demand before farm prices feel settled. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG. - world-bank-wdi/france-west: Spain Consumer inflation pressure = 2.8 % on 2024. Spain: Consumer inflation pressure is 2.8 %. Inflation changes working capital, input affordability, and consumer demand before farm prices feel settled. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG. - world-bank-wdi/france-west: Italy Consumer inflation pressure = 1 % on 2024. Italy: Consumer inflation pressure is 1.0 %. Inflation changes working capital, input affordability, and consumer demand before farm prices feel settled. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG. - world-bank-wdi/ireland: United Kingdom Consumer inflation pressure = 3.3 % on 2024. United Kingdom: Consumer inflation pressure is 3.3 %. Inflation changes working capital, input affordability, and consumer demand before farm prices feel settled. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG. - world-bank-wdi/south-asia-dairy: India Consumer inflation pressure = 5 % on 2024. India: Consumer inflation pressure is 5.0 %. Inflation changes working capital, input affordability, and consumer demand before farm prices feel settled. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG. - world-bank-wdi/south-asia-dairy: China Consumer inflation pressure = 0.2 % on 2024. China: Consumer inflation pressure is 0.2 %. Inflation changes working capital, input affordability, and consumer demand before farm prices feel settled. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG. - world-bank-wdi/east-africa-dairy: Ethiopia Consumer inflation pressure = 21 % on 2024. Ethiopia: Consumer inflation pressure is 21.0 %. Inflation changes working capital, input affordability, and consumer demand before farm prices feel settled. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG. - world-bank-wdi/south-asia-dairy: Egypt Consumer inflation pressure = 28.3 % on 2024. Egypt: Consumer inflation pressure is 28.3 %. Inflation changes working capital, input affordability, and consumer demand before farm prices feel settled. Source: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/indicator/FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG. - faostat/southern-plains: North America Cattle herd inventory = 135.1 million head on 2024. Cattle herd inventory is 135.1 million head in 2024, -1.2% versus 2023. Country readings in million head: Canada 11.0, Mexico 36.9, United States of America 87.2. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/mato-grosso: Latin America Cattle herd inventory = 327.9 million head on 2024. Cattle herd inventory is 327.9 million head in 2024, -0.5% versus 2023. Country readings in million head: Argentina 52.8, Brazil 238.2, Mexico 36.9. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/queensland: Oceania Cattle herd inventory = 39.9 million head on 2024. Cattle herd inventory is 39.9 million head in 2024, +1.2% versus 2023. Country readings in million head: Australia 30.4, New Zealand 9.5. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/ireland: Europe Cattle herd inventory = 46.2 million head on 2024. Cattle herd inventory is 46.2 million head in 2024, -2.6% versus 2023. Country readings in million head: France 16.5, Germany 10.5, Ireland 6.3, Netherlands (Kingdom of the) 3.6, United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland 9.4. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/south-africa-highveld: Africa and Asia Cattle herd inventory = 277.2 million head on 2024. Cattle herd inventory is 277.2 million head in 2024, -1.1% versus 2023. Country readings in million head: China, mainland 70.3, India 194.8, South Africa 12.1. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/southern-plains: United States Cattle herd inventory = 87.2 million head on 2024. United States: Cattle herd inventory is 87.2 million head in 2024, -1.9% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/canadian-prairies: Canada Cattle herd inventory = 11 million head on 2024. Canada: Cattle herd inventory is 11 million head in 2024, -2.3% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/northern-mexico: Mexico Cattle herd inventory = 36.9 million head on 2024. Mexico: Cattle herd inventory is 36.9 million head in 2024, +0.9% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/mato-grosso: Brazil Cattle herd inventory = 238.2 million head on 2024. Brazil: Cattle herd inventory is 238.2 million head in 2024, -0.2% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/pampas: Argentina Cattle herd inventory = 52.8 million head on 2024. Argentina: Cattle herd inventory is 52.8 million head in 2024, -2.7% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/colombia-llanos: Colombia Cattle herd inventory = 30.3 million head on 2024. Colombia: Cattle herd inventory is 30.3 million head in 2024, +3.9% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/pampas: Paraguay Cattle herd inventory = 13.6 million head on 2024. Paraguay: Cattle herd inventory is 13.6 million head in 2024, +3.9% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/uruguay-littoral: Uruguay Cattle herd inventory = 12 million head on 2024. Uruguay: Cattle herd inventory is 12 million head in 2024, +0.7% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/colombia-llanos: Chile Cattle herd inventory = 3 million head on 2024. Chile: Cattle herd inventory is 3 million head in 2024, -0.6% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/colombia-llanos: Peru Cattle herd inventory = 5.8 million head on 2024. Peru: Cattle herd inventory is 5.8 million head in 2024, -0.6% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/queensland: Australia Cattle herd inventory = 30.4 million head on 2024. Australia: Cattle herd inventory is 30.4 million head in 2024, +1.7% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/waikato: New Zealand Cattle herd inventory = 9.5 million head on 2024. New Zealand: Cattle herd inventory is 9.5 million head in 2024, -0.2% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/ireland: Ireland Cattle herd inventory = 6.3 million head on 2024. Ireland: Cattle herd inventory is 6.3 million head in 2024, -3.3% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/western-france: France Cattle herd inventory = 16.5 million head on 2024. France: Cattle herd inventory is 16.5 million head in 2024, -2.0% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/north-germany: Germany Cattle herd inventory = 10.5 million head on 2024. Germany: Cattle herd inventory is 10.5 million head in 2024, -3.5% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/netherlands-dairy: Netherlands Cattle herd inventory = 3.6 million head on 2024. Netherlands: Cattle herd inventory is 3.6 million head in 2024, -4.7% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/france-west: Spain Cattle herd inventory = 6.2 million head on 2024. Spain: Cattle herd inventory is 6.2 million head in 2024, -1.9% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/north-germany: Poland Cattle herd inventory = 6.2 million head on 2024. Poland: Cattle herd inventory is 6.2 million head in 2024, -1.2% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/france-west: Italy Cattle herd inventory = 5.8 million head on 2024. Italy: Cattle herd inventory is 5.8 million head in 2024, -3.9% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/ireland: United Kingdom Cattle herd inventory = 9.4 million head on 2024. United Kingdom: Cattle herd inventory is 9.4 million head in 2024, -1.5% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/south-africa-highveld: South Africa Cattle herd inventory = 12.1 million head on 2024. South Africa: Cattle herd inventory is 12.1 million head in 2024, -0.6% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/south-asia-dairy: India Cattle herd inventory = 194.8 million head on 2024. India: Cattle herd inventory is 194.8 million head in 2024, +0.1% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/south-asia-dairy: China Cattle herd inventory = 70.3 million head on 2024. China: Cattle herd inventory is 70.3 million head in 2024, -4.4% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/east-africa-dairy: Kenya Cattle herd inventory = 22.4 million head on 2024. Kenya: Cattle herd inventory is 22.4 million head in 2024, +2.5% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/east-africa-dairy: Ethiopia Cattle herd inventory = 71.9 million head on 2024. Ethiopia: Cattle herd inventory is 71.9 million head in 2024, +3.7% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/east-africa-dairy: Nigeria Cattle herd inventory = 20.9 million head on 2024. Nigeria: Cattle herd inventory is 20.9 million head in 2024, +0.2% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/east-africa-dairy: Tanzania Cattle herd inventory = 39.1 million head on 2024. Tanzania: Cattle herd inventory is 39.1 million head in 2024, +3.0% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/east-africa-dairy: Uganda Cattle herd inventory = 14.7 million head on 2024. Uganda: Cattle herd inventory is 14.7 million head in 2024, +0.7% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/south-asia-dairy: Egypt Cattle herd inventory = 2.6 million head on 2024. Egypt: Cattle herd inventory is 2.6 million head in 2024, -7.2% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/south-africa-highveld: Morocco Cattle herd inventory = 2.4 million head on 2024. Morocco: Cattle herd inventory is 2.4 million head in 2024, -18.0% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/southern-plains: North America Beef production = 15.83 million tonnes on 2024. Beef production is 15.83 million tonnes in 2024, -0.1% versus 2023. Country readings in million tonnes: Canada 1.29, Mexico 2.25, United States of America 12.29. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/mato-grosso: Latin America Beef production = 15.67 million tonnes on 2024. Beef production is 15.67 million tonnes in 2024, +8.3% versus 2023. Country readings in million tonnes: Argentina 3.18, Brazil 10.24, Mexico 2.25. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/queensland: Oceania Beef production = 3.33 million tonnes on 2024. Beef production is 3.33 million tonnes in 2024, +11.8% versus 2023. Country readings in million tonnes: Australia 2.59, New Zealand 0.74. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/ireland: Europe Beef production = 4.28 million tonnes on 2024. Beef production is 4.28 million tonnes in 2024, +1.0% versus 2023. Country readings in million tonnes: France 1.30, Germany 1.02, Ireland 0.60, Netherlands (Kingdom of the) 0.43, United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland 0.93. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/south-africa-highveld: Africa and Asia Beef production = 8.11 million tonnes on 2024. Beef production is 8.11 million tonnes in 2024, +3.9% versus 2023. Country readings in million tonnes: China, mainland 7.01, India 0.00, South Africa 1.10. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/southern-plains: United States Beef production = 12.29 million tonnes on 2024. United States: Beef production is 12.29 million tonnes in 2024, 0.0% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/canadian-prairies: Canada Beef production = 1.29 million tonnes on 2024. Canada: Beef production is 1.29 million tonnes in 2024, -3.9% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/northern-mexico: Mexico Beef production = 2.25 million tonnes on 2024. Mexico: Beef production is 2.25 million tonnes in 2024, +1.7% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/mato-grosso: Brazil Beef production = 10.24 million tonnes on 2024. Brazil: Beef production is 10.24 million tonnes in 2024, +14.2% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/pampas: Argentina Beef production = 3.18 million tonnes on 2024. Argentina: Beef production is 3.18 million tonnes in 2024, -3.3% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/colombia-llanos: Colombia Beef production = 0.73 million tonnes on 2024. Colombia: Beef production is 0.73 million tonnes in 2024, +3.5% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/pampas: Paraguay Beef production = 0.43 million tonnes on 2024. Paraguay: Beef production is 0.43 million tonnes in 2024, -5.1% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/uruguay-littoral: Uruguay Beef production = 0.58 million tonnes on 2024. Uruguay: Beef production is 0.58 million tonnes in 2024, -3.5% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/colombia-llanos: Chile Beef production = 0.2 million tonnes on 2024. Chile: Beef production is 0.20 million tonnes in 2024, +5.5% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/colombia-llanos: Peru Beef production = 0.2 million tonnes on 2024. Peru: Beef production is 0.20 million tonnes in 2024, +2.7% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/queensland: Australia Beef production = 2.59 million tonnes on 2024. Australia: Beef production is 2.59 million tonnes in 2024, +15.9% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/waikato: New Zealand Beef production = 0.74 million tonnes on 2024. New Zealand: Beef production is 0.74 million tonnes in 2024, -0.3% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/ireland: Ireland Beef production = 0.6 million tonnes on 2024. Ireland: Beef production is 0.60 million tonnes in 2024, +0.5% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/western-france: France Beef production = 1.3 million tonnes on 2024. France: Beef production is 1.30 million tonnes in 2024, -0.2% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/north-germany: Germany Beef production = 1.02 million tonnes on 2024. Germany: Beef production is 1.02 million tonnes in 2024, +1.1% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/netherlands-dairy: Netherlands Beef production = 0.43 million tonnes on 2024. Netherlands: Beef production is 0.43 million tonnes in 2024, -0.9% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/france-west: Spain Beef production = 0.72 million tonnes on 2024. Spain: Beef production is 0.72 million tonnes in 2024, +3.0% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/north-germany: Poland Beef production = 0.64 million tonnes on 2024. Poland: Beef production is 0.64 million tonnes in 2024, +23.8% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/france-west: Italy Beef production = 0.66 million tonnes on 2024. Italy: Beef production is 0.66 million tonnes in 2024, +6.3% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/ireland: United Kingdom Beef production = 0.93 million tonnes on 2024. United Kingdom: Beef production is 0.93 million tonnes in 2024, +3.7% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/south-africa-highveld: South Africa Beef production = 1.1 million tonnes on 2024. South Africa: Beef production is 1.10 million tonnes in 2024, +6.7% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/south-asia-dairy: India Beef production = 0 million tonnes on 2024. India: Beef production is 0.00 million tonnes in 2024, n/a versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/south-asia-dairy: China Beef production = 7.01 million tonnes on 2024. China: Beef production is 7.01 million tonnes in 2024, +3.5% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/east-africa-dairy: Kenya Beef production = 0.26 million tonnes on 2024. Kenya: Beef production is 0.26 million tonnes in 2024, +9.3% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/east-africa-dairy: Ethiopia Beef production = 0.43 million tonnes on 2024. Ethiopia: Beef production is 0.43 million tonnes in 2024, +2.3% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/east-africa-dairy: Nigeria Beef production = 0.32 million tonnes on 2024. Nigeria: Beef production is 0.32 million tonnes in 2024, -0.7% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/east-africa-dairy: Tanzania Beef production = 0.67 million tonnes on 2024. Tanzania: Beef production is 0.67 million tonnes in 2024, +8.7% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/east-africa-dairy: Uganda Beef production = 0.24 million tonnes on 2024. Uganda: Beef production is 0.24 million tonnes in 2024, +5.6% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/south-asia-dairy: Egypt Beef production = 0.32 million tonnes on 2024. Egypt: Beef production is 0.32 million tonnes in 2024, -5.9% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/south-africa-highveld: Morocco Beef production = 0.25 million tonnes on 2024. Morocco: Beef production is 0.25 million tonnes in 2024, -1.0% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/southern-plains: North America Cow milk production = 126.37 million tonnes on 2024. Cow milk production is 126.37 million tonnes in 2024, +0.1% versus 2023. Country readings in million tonnes: Canada 9.96, Mexico 13.96, United States of America 102.45. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/mato-grosso: Latin America Cow milk production = 61.69 million tonnes on 2024. Cow milk production is 61.69 million tonnes in 2024, 0.0% versus 2023. Country readings in million tonnes: Argentina 10.91, Brazil 36.82, Mexico 13.96. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/queensland: Oceania Cow milk production = 30.2 million tonnes on 2024. Cow milk production is 30.20 million tonnes in 2024, +1.6% versus 2023. Country readings in million tonnes: Australia 8.67, New Zealand 21.53. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/ireland: Europe Cow milk production = 88.27 million tonnes on 2024. Cow milk production is 88.27 million tonnes in 2024, -0.2% versus 2023. Country readings in million tonnes: France 24.20, Germany 33.78, Netherlands (Kingdom of the) 14.35, United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland 15.94. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/south-africa-highveld: Africa and Asia Cow milk production = 179.67 million tonnes on 2024. Cow milk production is 179.67 million tonnes in 2024, +3.9% versus 2023. Country readings in million tonnes: China, mainland 40.79, India 135.00, South Africa 3.88. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/southern-plains: United States Cow milk production = 102.45 million tonnes on 2024. United States: Cow milk production is 102.45 million tonnes in 2024, -0.2% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/canadian-prairies: Canada Cow milk production = 9.96 million tonnes on 2024. Canada: Cow milk production is 9.96 million tonnes in 2024, +0.7% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/northern-mexico: Mexico Cow milk production = 13.96 million tonnes on 2024. Mexico: Cow milk production is 13.96 million tonnes in 2024, +1.7% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/mato-grosso: Brazil Cow milk production = 36.82 million tonnes on 2024. Brazil: Cow milk production is 36.82 million tonnes in 2024, +1.4% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/pampas: Argentina Cow milk production = 10.91 million tonnes on 2024. Argentina: Cow milk production is 10.91 million tonnes in 2024, -6.5% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/colombia-llanos: Colombia Cow milk production = 7.94 million tonnes on 2024. Colombia: Cow milk production is 7.94 million tonnes in 2024, +8.7% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/pampas: Paraguay Cow milk production = 0.56 million tonnes on 2024. Paraguay: Cow milk production is 0.56 million tonnes in 2024, 0.0% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/uruguay-littoral: Uruguay Cow milk production = 2.27 million tonnes on 2024. Uruguay: Cow milk production is 2.27 million tonnes in 2024, +4.2% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/colombia-llanos: Chile Cow milk production = 2.3 million tonnes on 2024. Chile: Cow milk production is 2.30 million tonnes in 2024, +3.4% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/colombia-llanos: Peru Cow milk production = 2.23 million tonnes on 2024. Peru: Cow milk production is 2.23 million tonnes in 2024, +1.3% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/queensland: Australia Cow milk production = 8.67 million tonnes on 2024. Australia: Cow milk production is 8.67 million tonnes in 2024, +2.4% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/waikato: New Zealand Cow milk production = 21.53 million tonnes on 2024. New Zealand: Cow milk production is 21.53 million tonnes in 2024, +1.3% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/ireland: Ireland Cow milk production = 8.73 million tonnes on 2023. Ireland: Cow milk production is 8.73 million tonnes in 2023, -4.1% versus 2022. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/western-france: France Cow milk production = 24.2 million tonnes on 2024. France: Cow milk production is 24.20 million tonnes in 2024, +0.9% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/north-germany: Germany Cow milk production = 33.78 million tonnes on 2024. Germany: Cow milk production is 33.78 million tonnes in 2024, -0.7% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/netherlands-dairy: Netherlands Cow milk production = 14.35 million tonnes on 2024. Netherlands: Cow milk production is 14.35 million tonnes in 2024, -2.3% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/france-west: Spain Cow milk production = 7.58 million tonnes on 2024. Spain: Cow milk production is 7.58 million tonnes in 2024, +0.2% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/north-germany: Poland Cow milk production = 16.04 million tonnes on 2024. Poland: Cow milk production is 16.04 million tonnes in 2024, +3.6% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/france-west: Italy Cow milk production = 13.19 million tonnes on 2024. Italy: Cow milk production is 13.19 million tonnes in 2024, +1.0% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/ireland: United Kingdom Cow milk production = 15.94 million tonnes on 2024. United Kingdom: Cow milk production is 15.94 million tonnes in 2024, +1.1% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/south-africa-highveld: South Africa Cow milk production = 3.88 million tonnes on 2024. South Africa: Cow milk production is 3.88 million tonnes in 2024, +1.9% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/south-asia-dairy: India Cow milk production = 135 million tonnes on 2024. India: Cow milk production is 135.00 million tonnes in 2024, +6.2% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/south-asia-dairy: China Cow milk production = 40.79 million tonnes on 2024. China: Cow milk production is 40.79 million tonnes in 2024, -2.8% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/east-africa-dairy: Kenya Cow milk production = 5.49 million tonnes on 2024. Kenya: Cow milk production is 5.49 million tonnes in 2024, +16.8% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/east-africa-dairy: Ethiopia Cow milk production = 3.44 million tonnes on 2024. Ethiopia: Cow milk production is 3.44 million tonnes in 2024, 0.0% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/east-africa-dairy: Nigeria Cow milk production = 0.53 million tonnes on 2024. Nigeria: Cow milk production is 0.53 million tonnes in 2024, +0.2% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/east-africa-dairy: Tanzania Cow milk production = 4.13 million tonnes on 2024. Tanzania: Cow milk production is 4.13 million tonnes in 2024, +1.9% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/east-africa-dairy: Uganda Cow milk production = 3.85 million tonnes on 2024. Uganda: Cow milk production is 3.85 million tonnes in 2024, 0.0% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/south-asia-dairy: Egypt Cow milk production = 4.82 million tonnes on 2024. Egypt: Cow milk production is 4.82 million tonnes in 2024, +8.3% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/south-africa-highveld: Morocco Cow milk production = 1.85 million tonnes on 2024. Morocco: Cow milk production is 1.85 million tonnes in 2024, -5.3% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/southern-plains: North America Maize production = 417.3 million tonnes on 2024. Maize production is 417.3 million tonnes in 2024, -3.6% versus 2023. Country readings in million tonnes: Canada 15.3, Mexico 24.3, United States of America 377.6. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/mato-grosso: Latin America Maize production = 196.8 million tonnes on 2024. Maize production is 196.8 million tonnes in 2024, -2.1% versus 2023. Country readings in million tonnes: Argentina 57.5, Brazil 115.0, Mexico 24.3. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/queensland: Oceania Maize production = 0.7 million tonnes on 2024. Maize production is 0.7 million tonnes in 2024, +19.4% versus 2023. Country readings in million tonnes: Australia 0.4, New Zealand 0.2. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/ireland: Europe Maize production = 19.8 million tonnes on 2024. Maize production is 19.8 million tonnes in 2024, +13.3% versus 2023. Country readings in million tonnes: France 14.7, Germany 5.0, Ireland 0.0, Netherlands (Kingdom of the) 0.1. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/south-africa-highveld: Africa and Asia Maize production = 348 million tonnes on 2024. Maize production is 348 million tonnes in 2024, +1.8% versus 2023. Country readings in million tonnes: China, mainland 294.9, India 40.2, South Africa 12.8. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/southern-plains: United States Maize production = 377.6 million tonnes on 2024. United States: Maize production is 377.6 million tonnes in 2024, -3.1% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/canadian-prairies: Canada Maize production = 15.3 million tonnes on 2024. Canada: Maize production is 15.3 million tonnes in 2024, -0.5% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/northern-mexico: Mexico Maize production = 24.3 million tonnes on 2024. Mexico: Maize production is 24.3 million tonnes in 2024, -11.7% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/mato-grosso: Brazil Maize production = 115 million tonnes on 2024. Brazil: Maize production is 115 million tonnes in 2024, -12.9% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/pampas: Argentina Maize production = 57.5 million tonnes on 2024. Argentina: Maize production is 57.5 million tonnes in 2024, +38.8% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/colombia-llanos: Colombia Maize production = 1.5 million tonnes on 2024. Colombia: Maize production is 1.5 million tonnes in 2024, -13.7% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/pampas: Paraguay Maize production = 3.9 million tonnes on 2024. Paraguay: Maize production is 3.9 million tonnes in 2024, -12.2% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/uruguay-littoral: Uruguay Maize production = 0.6 million tonnes on 2024. Uruguay: Maize production is 0.6 million tonnes in 2024, +118.8% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/colombia-llanos: Chile Maize production = 0.5 million tonnes on 2024. Chile: Maize production is 0.5 million tonnes in 2024, -2.2% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/colombia-llanos: Peru Maize production = 1.7 million tonnes on 2024. Peru: Maize production is 1.7 million tonnes in 2024, +2.6% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/queensland: Australia Maize production = 0.4 million tonnes on 2024. Australia: Maize production is 0.4 million tonnes in 2024, +15.7% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/waikato: New Zealand Maize production = 0.2 million tonnes on 2024. New Zealand: Maize production is 0.2 million tonnes in 2024, +27.0% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/ireland: Ireland Maize production = 0 million tonnes on 2024. Ireland: Maize production is 0 million tonnes in 2024, n/a versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/western-france: France Maize production = 14.7 million tonnes on 2024. France: Maize production is 14.7 million tonnes in 2024, +14.3% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/north-germany: Germany Maize production = 5 million tonnes on 2024. Germany: Maize production is 5 million tonnes in 2024, +11.4% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/netherlands-dairy: Netherlands Maize production = 0.1 million tonnes on 2024. Netherlands: Maize production is 0.1 million tonnes in 2024, -19.2% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/france-west: Spain Maize production = 3.5 million tonnes on 2024. Spain: Maize production is 3.5 million tonnes in 2024, +23.4% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/north-germany: Poland Maize production = 9.2 million tonnes on 2024. Poland: Maize production is 9.2 million tonnes in 2024, +2.7% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/france-west: Italy Maize production = 4.9 million tonnes on 2024. Italy: Maize production is 4.9 million tonnes in 2024, -7.6% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/ireland: United Kingdom Maize production = 0 million tonnes on 1980. United Kingdom: Maize production is 0 million tonnes in 1980, -12.3% versus 1979. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/south-africa-highveld: South Africa Maize production = 12.8 million tonnes on 2024. South Africa: Maize production is 12.9 million tonnes in 2024, -21.8% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/south-asia-dairy: India Maize production = 40.2 million tonnes on 2024. India: Maize production is 40.2 million tonnes in 2024, +9.7% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/south-asia-dairy: China Maize production = 294.9 million tonnes on 2024. China: Maize production is 294.9 million tonnes in 2024, +2.1% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/east-africa-dairy: Kenya Maize production = 4 million tonnes on 2024. Kenya: Maize production is 4 million tonnes in 2024, -6.1% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/east-africa-dairy: Ethiopia Maize production = 11.7 million tonnes on 2024. Ethiopia: Maize production is 11.7 million tonnes in 2024, +1.6% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/east-africa-dairy: Nigeria Maize production = 11.2 million tonnes on 2024. Nigeria: Maize production is 11.2 million tonnes in 2024, +1.0% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/east-africa-dairy: Tanzania Maize production = 10.1 million tonnes on 2024. Tanzania: Maize production is 10.1 million tonnes in 2024, +25.9% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/east-africa-dairy: Uganda Maize production = 5 million tonnes on 2024. Uganda: Maize production is 5 million tonnes in 2024, +1.1% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/south-asia-dairy: Egypt Maize production = 7.2 million tonnes on 2024. Egypt: Maize production is 7.2 million tonnes in 2024, -3.2% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - faostat/south-africa-highveld: Morocco Maize production = 0.1 million tonnes on 2024. Morocco: Maize production is 0.1 million tonnes in 2024, +575.9% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Source: https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. - fao-food-price/southern-plains: North America FAO Food Price Index = 130.8 index on 2026-05. FAO Food Price Index is 130.8 for 2026-05, -0.2% month over month and +2.9% year over year. Use the headline food index as a global demand and affordability check before assuming local prices are only local supply. Source: https://www.fao.org/media/docs/worldfoodsituationlibraries/default-document-library/food_price_indices_data.csv?download=true&sfvrsn=523ebd2a_80. - fao-food-price/mato-grosso: Latin America FAO Food Price Index = 130.8 index on 2026-05. FAO Food Price Index is 130.8 for 2026-05, -0.2% month over month and +2.9% year over year. Use the headline food index as a global demand and affordability check before assuming local prices are only local supply. Source: https://www.fao.org/media/docs/worldfoodsituationlibraries/default-document-library/food_price_indices_data.csv?download=true&sfvrsn=523ebd2a_80. - fao-food-price/queensland: Oceania FAO Food Price Index = 130.8 index on 2026-05. FAO Food Price Index is 130.8 for 2026-05, -0.2% month over month and +2.9% year over year. Use the headline food index as a global demand and affordability check before assuming local prices are only local supply. Source: https://www.fao.org/media/docs/worldfoodsituationlibraries/default-document-library/food_price_indices_data.csv?download=true&sfvrsn=523ebd2a_80. - fao-food-price/ireland: Europe FAO Food Price Index = 130.8 index on 2026-05. FAO Food Price Index is 130.8 for 2026-05, -0.2% month over month and +2.9% year over year. Use the headline food index as a global demand and affordability check before assuming local prices are only local supply. Source: https://www.fao.org/media/docs/worldfoodsituationlibraries/default-document-library/food_price_indices_data.csv?download=true&sfvrsn=523ebd2a_80. - fao-food-price/south-asia-dairy: Africa and Asia FAO Food Price Index = 130.8 index on 2026-05. FAO Food Price Index is 130.8 for 2026-05, -0.2% month over month and +2.9% year over year. Use the headline food index as a global demand and affordability check before assuming local prices are only local supply. Source: https://www.fao.org/media/docs/worldfoodsituationlibraries/default-document-library/food_price_indices_data.csv?download=true&sfvrsn=523ebd2a_80. - fao-food-price/southern-plains: North America FAO Meat Price Index = 130.5 index on 2026-05. FAO Meat Price Index is 130.5 for 2026-05, +0.1% month over month and +6.3% year over year. Read meat-index strength against local cattle bids, cull value, export pull, and processor leverage. FAO notes the latest meat index can mix projected and observed prices, so treat the most recent point as directional. Source: https://www.fao.org/media/docs/worldfoodsituationlibraries/default-document-library/food_price_indices_data.csv?download=true&sfvrsn=523ebd2a_80. - fao-food-price/mato-grosso: Latin America FAO Meat Price Index = 130.5 index on 2026-05. FAO Meat Price Index is 130.5 for 2026-05, +0.1% month over month and +6.3% year over year. Read meat-index strength against local cattle bids, cull value, export pull, and processor leverage. FAO notes the latest meat index can mix projected and observed prices, so treat the most recent point as directional. Source: https://www.fao.org/media/docs/worldfoodsituationlibraries/default-document-library/food_price_indices_data.csv?download=true&sfvrsn=523ebd2a_80. - fao-food-price/queensland: Oceania FAO Meat Price Index = 130.5 index on 2026-05. FAO Meat Price Index is 130.5 for 2026-05, +0.1% month over month and +6.3% year over year. Read meat-index strength against local cattle bids, cull value, export pull, and processor leverage. FAO notes the latest meat index can mix projected and observed prices, so treat the most recent point as directional. Source: https://www.fao.org/media/docs/worldfoodsituationlibraries/default-document-library/food_price_indices_data.csv?download=true&sfvrsn=523ebd2a_80. - fao-food-price/ireland: Europe FAO Meat Price Index = 130.5 index on 2026-05. FAO Meat Price Index is 130.5 for 2026-05, +0.1% month over month and +6.3% year over year. Read meat-index strength against local cattle bids, cull value, export pull, and processor leverage. FAO notes the latest meat index can mix projected and observed prices, so treat the most recent point as directional. Source: https://www.fao.org/media/docs/worldfoodsituationlibraries/default-document-library/food_price_indices_data.csv?download=true&sfvrsn=523ebd2a_80. - fao-food-price/south-asia-dairy: Africa and Asia FAO Meat Price Index = 130.5 index on 2026-05. FAO Meat Price Index is 130.5 for 2026-05, +0.1% month over month and +6.3% year over year. Read meat-index strength against local cattle bids, cull value, export pull, and processor leverage. FAO notes the latest meat index can mix projected and observed prices, so treat the most recent point as directional. Source: https://www.fao.org/media/docs/worldfoodsituationlibraries/default-document-library/food_price_indices_data.csv?download=true&sfvrsn=523ebd2a_80. - fao-food-price/southern-plains: North America FAO Dairy Price Index = 119.2 index on 2026-05. FAO Dairy Price Index is 119.2 for 2026-05, -0.4% month over month and -22.4% year over year. Use dairy-index direction with milk price and feed cost before changing ration intensity or cull timing. Source: https://www.fao.org/media/docs/worldfoodsituationlibraries/default-document-library/food_price_indices_data.csv?download=true&sfvrsn=523ebd2a_80. - fao-food-price/mato-grosso: Latin America FAO Dairy Price Index = 119.2 index on 2026-05. FAO Dairy Price Index is 119.2 for 2026-05, -0.4% month over month and -22.4% year over year. Use dairy-index direction with milk price and feed cost before changing ration intensity or cull timing. Source: https://www.fao.org/media/docs/worldfoodsituationlibraries/default-document-library/food_price_indices_data.csv?download=true&sfvrsn=523ebd2a_80. - fao-food-price/queensland: Oceania FAO Dairy Price Index = 119.2 index on 2026-05. FAO Dairy Price Index is 119.2 for 2026-05, -0.4% month over month and -22.4% year over year. Use dairy-index direction with milk price and feed cost before changing ration intensity or cull timing. Source: https://www.fao.org/media/docs/worldfoodsituationlibraries/default-document-library/food_price_indices_data.csv?download=true&sfvrsn=523ebd2a_80. - fao-food-price/ireland: Europe FAO Dairy Price Index = 119.2 index on 2026-05. FAO Dairy Price Index is 119.2 for 2026-05, -0.4% month over month and -22.4% year over year. Use dairy-index direction with milk price and feed cost before changing ration intensity or cull timing. Source: https://www.fao.org/media/docs/worldfoodsituationlibraries/default-document-library/food_price_indices_data.csv?download=true&sfvrsn=523ebd2a_80. - fao-food-price/south-asia-dairy: Africa and Asia FAO Dairy Price Index = 119.2 index on 2026-05. FAO Dairy Price Index is 119.2 for 2026-05, -0.4% month over month and -22.4% year over year. Use dairy-index direction with milk price and feed cost before changing ration intensity or cull timing. Source: https://www.fao.org/media/docs/worldfoodsituationlibraries/default-document-library/food_price_indices_data.csv?download=true&sfvrsn=523ebd2a_80. - fao-food-price/southern-plains: North America FAO Cereal Price Index = 114.3 index on 2026-05. FAO Cereal Price Index is 114.3 for 2026-05, +2.7% month over month and +4.9% year over year. Cereal-price pressure is a feed and crop-margin signal before delivered ration or hay values fully reset. Source: https://www.fao.org/media/docs/worldfoodsituationlibraries/default-document-library/food_price_indices_data.csv?download=true&sfvrsn=523ebd2a_80. - fao-food-price/mato-grosso: Latin America FAO Cereal Price Index = 114.3 index on 2026-05. FAO Cereal Price Index is 114.3 for 2026-05, +2.7% month over month and +4.9% year over year. Cereal-price pressure is a feed and crop-margin signal before delivered ration or hay values fully reset. Source: https://www.fao.org/media/docs/worldfoodsituationlibraries/default-document-library/food_price_indices_data.csv?download=true&sfvrsn=523ebd2a_80. - fao-food-price/queensland: Oceania FAO Cereal Price Index = 114.3 index on 2026-05. FAO Cereal Price Index is 114.3 for 2026-05, +2.7% month over month and +4.9% year over year. Cereal-price pressure is a feed and crop-margin signal before delivered ration or hay values fully reset. Source: https://www.fao.org/media/docs/worldfoodsituationlibraries/default-document-library/food_price_indices_data.csv?download=true&sfvrsn=523ebd2a_80. - fao-food-price/ireland: Europe FAO Cereal Price Index = 114.3 index on 2026-05. FAO Cereal Price Index is 114.3 for 2026-05, +2.7% month over month and +4.9% year over year. Cereal-price pressure is a feed and crop-margin signal before delivered ration or hay values fully reset. Source: https://www.fao.org/media/docs/worldfoodsituationlibraries/default-document-library/food_price_indices_data.csv?download=true&sfvrsn=523ebd2a_80. - fao-food-price/south-asia-dairy: Africa and Asia FAO Cereal Price Index = 114.3 index on 2026-05. FAO Cereal Price Index is 114.3 for 2026-05, +2.7% month over month and +4.9% year over year. Cereal-price pressure is a feed and crop-margin signal before delivered ration or hay values fully reset. Source: https://www.fao.org/media/docs/worldfoodsituationlibraries/default-document-library/food_price_indices_data.csv?download=true&sfvrsn=523ebd2a_80. - fao-food-price/southern-plains: North America FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index = 185 index on 2026-05. FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index is 185.0 for 2026-05, -4.6% month over month and +21.6% year over year. Vegetable oils move oilseed crush, protein-meal economics, biofuel pull, and crop rotations. Source: https://www.fao.org/media/docs/worldfoodsituationlibraries/default-document-library/food_price_indices_data.csv?download=true&sfvrsn=523ebd2a_80. - fao-food-price/mato-grosso: Latin America FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index = 185 index on 2026-05. FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index is 185.0 for 2026-05, -4.6% month over month and +21.6% year over year. Vegetable oils move oilseed crush, protein-meal economics, biofuel pull, and crop rotations. Source: https://www.fao.org/media/docs/worldfoodsituationlibraries/default-document-library/food_price_indices_data.csv?download=true&sfvrsn=523ebd2a_80. - fao-food-price/queensland: Oceania FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index = 185 index on 2026-05. FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index is 185.0 for 2026-05, -4.6% month over month and +21.6% year over year. Vegetable oils move oilseed crush, protein-meal economics, biofuel pull, and crop rotations. Source: https://www.fao.org/media/docs/worldfoodsituationlibraries/default-document-library/food_price_indices_data.csv?download=true&sfvrsn=523ebd2a_80. - fao-food-price/ireland: Europe FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index = 185 index on 2026-05. FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index is 185.0 for 2026-05, -4.6% month over month and +21.6% year over year. Vegetable oils move oilseed crush, protein-meal economics, biofuel pull, and crop rotations. Source: https://www.fao.org/media/docs/worldfoodsituationlibraries/default-document-library/food_price_indices_data.csv?download=true&sfvrsn=523ebd2a_80. - fao-food-price/south-asia-dairy: Africa and Asia FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index = 185 index on 2026-05. FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index is 185.0 for 2026-05, -4.6% month over month and +21.6% year over year. Vegetable oils move oilseed crush, protein-meal economics, biofuel pull, and crop rotations. Source: https://www.fao.org/media/docs/worldfoodsituationlibraries/default-document-library/food_price_indices_data.csv?download=true&sfvrsn=523ebd2a_80. - fao-food-price/southern-plains: North America FAO Sugar Price Index = 95.1 index on 2026-05. FAO Sugar Price Index is 95.1 for 2026-05, +7.5% month over month and -13.1% year over year. Sugar price moves cane allocation, ethanol economics, and crop competition in Brazil and other cane regions. Source: https://www.fao.org/media/docs/worldfoodsituationlibraries/default-document-library/food_price_indices_data.csv?download=true&sfvrsn=523ebd2a_80. - fao-food-price/mato-grosso: Latin America FAO Sugar Price Index = 95.1 index on 2026-05. FAO Sugar Price Index is 95.1 for 2026-05, +7.5% month over month and -13.1% year over year. Sugar price moves cane allocation, ethanol economics, and crop competition in Brazil and other cane regions. Source: https://www.fao.org/media/docs/worldfoodsituationlibraries/default-document-library/food_price_indices_data.csv?download=true&sfvrsn=523ebd2a_80. - fao-food-price/queensland: Oceania FAO Sugar Price Index = 95.1 index on 2026-05. FAO Sugar Price Index is 95.1 for 2026-05, +7.5% month over month and -13.1% year over year. Sugar price moves cane allocation, ethanol economics, and crop competition in Brazil and other cane regions. Source: https://www.fao.org/media/docs/worldfoodsituationlibraries/default-document-library/food_price_indices_data.csv?download=true&sfvrsn=523ebd2a_80. - fao-food-price/ireland: Europe FAO Sugar Price Index = 95.1 index on 2026-05. FAO Sugar Price Index is 95.1 for 2026-05, +7.5% month over month and -13.1% year over year. Sugar price moves cane allocation, ethanol economics, and crop competition in Brazil and other cane regions. Source: https://www.fao.org/media/docs/worldfoodsituationlibraries/default-document-library/food_price_indices_data.csv?download=true&sfvrsn=523ebd2a_80. - fao-food-price/south-asia-dairy: Africa and Asia FAO Sugar Price Index = 95.1 index on 2026-05. FAO Sugar Price Index is 95.1 for 2026-05, +7.5% month over month and -13.1% year over year. Sugar price moves cane allocation, ethanol economics, and crop competition in Brazil and other cane regions. Source: https://www.fao.org/media/docs/worldfoodsituationlibraries/default-document-library/food_price_indices_data.csv?download=true&sfvrsn=523ebd2a_80. - fews-net/east-africa-dairy: Kenya maize market price = 0.4807 $/kg on 2026-04-30. FEWS NET Data Warehouse reports maize prices in Kenya at 0.48 $/kg for 2026-04-30, across 12 public market rows (Eldoret, Nyeri-Kieni, Nairobi, Kwale). Change is -2.1% month over month, +3.7% year over year, and +6.5% versus the five-year average where available. Use this as a feed, staple demand, and forced-sale pressure signal. Source: https://fdw.fews.net/api/marketpricefacts.json?country_code=KE&product=maize&status=Collected&fields=simple&page_size=40&ordering=-period_date. - fews-net/east-africa-dairy: Ethiopia maize market price = 0.4116 $/kg on 2026-03-31. FEWS NET Data Warehouse reports maize prices in Ethiopia at 0.41 $/kg for 2026-03-31, across 9 public market rows (Addis Ababa, Merkato, Degehabour, Dire Dawa, Kezira, Gode). Change is +4.1% month over month, 0.0% year over year, and 0.0% versus the five-year average where available. Use this as a feed, staple demand, and forced-sale pressure signal. Source: https://fdw.fews.net/api/marketpricefacts.json?country_code=ET&product=maize&status=Collected&fields=simple&page_size=40&ordering=-period_date. - fews-net/south-asia-dairy: Afghanistan wheat market price = 0.4858 $/kg on 2026-03-31. FEWS NET Data Warehouse reports wheat prices in Afghanistan at 0.49 $/kg for 2026-03-31, across 12 public market rows (Faizabad, Maimana, Chaghcharan, Chaghcharan). Change is +2.6% month over month, +17.7% year over year, and -2.5% versus the five-year average where available. Use this as a feed, staple demand, and forced-sale pressure signal. Source: https://fdw.fews.net/api/marketpricefacts.json?country_code=AF&product=wheat&status=Collected&fields=simple&page_size=40&ordering=-period_date. - fews-net/gulf-import-corridor: Yemen wheat market price = 4.8762 $/kg on 2026-02-28. FEWS NET Data Warehouse reports wheat prices in Yemen at 4.88 $/kg for 2026-02-28, across 12 public market rows (Aden, Aden, Al Dhale'e (Governorate average), Al Maharah (Governorate average)). Change is +0.3% month over month, -9.6% year over year, and +15.9% versus the five-year average where available. Use this as a feed, staple demand, and forced-sale pressure signal. Source: https://fdw.fews.net/api/marketpricefacts.json?country_code=YE&product=wheat&status=Collected&fields=simple&page_size=40&ordering=-period_date. - fews-net/northern-mexico: Guatemala maize market price = 0.8144 $/kg on 2025-12-31. FEWS NET Data Warehouse reports maize prices in Guatemala at 0.81 $/kg for 2025-12-31, across 12 public market rows (National Average, Guatemala City, Mercado La Terminal, Totonicapan, Mercado Municipal, Totonicapan, Mercado Municipal). Change is -0.9% month over month, +2.4% year over year, and +0.4% versus the five-year average where available. Use this as a feed, staple demand, and forced-sale pressure signal. Source: https://fdw.fews.net/api/marketpricefacts.json?country_code=GT&product=maize&status=Collected&fields=simple&page_size=40&ordering=-period_date. - fews-net/northern-mexico: Honduras maize market price = 0.5891 $/kg on 2026-02-28. FEWS NET Data Warehouse reports maize prices in Honduras at 0.59 $/kg for 2026-02-28, across 5 public market rows (San Pedro Sula, Medina Concepción, Tegucigalpa, Zona Belén, San Pedro Sula, Medina Concepción, Tegucigalpa, Zona Belén). Change is +3.0% month over month, +32.9% year over year, and +26.9% versus the five-year average where available. Use this as a feed, staple demand, and forced-sale pressure signal. Source: https://fdw.fews.net/api/marketpricefacts.json?country_code=HN&product=maize&status=Collected&fields=simple&page_size=40&ordering=-period_date. - fews-net/colombia-llanos: Haiti rice market price = 2.0169 $/kg on 2026-04-30. FEWS NET Data Warehouse reports rice prices in Haiti at 2.02 $/kg for 2026-04-30, across 12 public market rows (Jacmel, Hinche, Hinche, Jeremie). Change is +0.7% month over month, 0.0% year over year, and 0.0% versus the five-year average where available. Use this as a feed, staple demand, and forced-sale pressure signal. Source: https://fdw.fews.net/api/marketpricefacts.json?country_code=HT&product=rice&status=Collected&fields=simple&page_size=40&ordering=-period_date. - fews-net/gulf-import-corridor: Yemen Phase 3+ food-security pressure = 20 million people on 2021-06-01. FEWS NET Data Warehouse reports >= 15 million people in Yemen in IPC Phase 3+ for 2021-06-01 to 2021-06-30. Read this with livestock movement, staple/feed prices, pasture, conflict, and household selling pressure. Source: https://fdw.fews.net/api/ipcpopulationsize.json?country_code=YE&phase=3%2B&scenario=CS&fields=simple&page_size=30&ordering=-projection_start. - fews-net/east-africa-dairy: Ethiopia Phase 3+ food-security pressure = 6.25 million people on 2021-06-01. FEWS NET Data Warehouse reports 5.0 - 7.49 million people in Ethiopia in IPC Phase 3+ for 2021-06-01 to 2021-06-30. Read this with livestock movement, staple/feed prices, pasture, conflict, and household selling pressure. Source: https://fdw.fews.net/api/ipcpopulationsize.json?country_code=ET&phase=3%2B&scenario=CS&fields=simple&page_size=30&ordering=-projection_start. - fews-net/south-asia-dairy: Afghanistan Phase 3+ food-security pressure = 3.75 million people on 2021-06-01. FEWS NET Data Warehouse reports 2.5 - 4.99 million people in Afghanistan in IPC Phase 3+ for 2021-06-01 to 2021-06-30. Read this with livestock movement, staple/feed prices, pasture, conflict, and household selling pressure. Source: https://fdw.fews.net/api/ipcpopulationsize.json?country_code=AF&phase=3%2B&scenario=CS&fields=simple&page_size=30&ordering=-projection_start. - fews-net/east-africa-dairy: Kenya Phase 3+ food-security pressure = 3.75 million people on 2021-06-01. FEWS NET Data Warehouse reports 2.5 - 4.99 million people in Kenya in IPC Phase 3+ for 2021-06-01 to 2021-06-30. Read this with livestock movement, staple/feed prices, pasture, conflict, and household selling pressure. Source: https://fdw.fews.net/api/ipcpopulationsize.json?country_code=KE&phase=3%2B&scenario=CS&fields=simple&page_size=30&ordering=-projection_start. - fews-net/east-africa-dairy: Somalia Phase 3+ food-security pressure = 3.75 million people on 2021-06-01. FEWS NET Data Warehouse reports 2.5 - 4.99 million people in Somalia in IPC Phase 3+ for 2021-06-01 to 2021-06-30. Read this with livestock movement, staple/feed prices, pasture, conflict, and household selling pressure. Source: https://fdw.fews.net/api/ipcpopulationsize.json?country_code=SO&phase=3%2B&scenario=CS&fields=simple&page_size=30&ordering=-projection_start. - fews-net/northern-mexico: Honduras Phase 3+ food-security pressure = 1.75 million people on 2021-06-01. FEWS NET Data Warehouse reports 1.0 - 2.49 million people in Honduras in IPC Phase 3+ for 2021-06-01 to 2021-06-30. Read this with livestock movement, staple/feed prices, pasture, conflict, and household selling pressure. Source: https://fdw.fews.net/api/ipcpopulationsize.json?country_code=HN&phase=3%2B&scenario=CS&fields=simple&page_size=30&ordering=-projection_start. - fews-net/northern-mexico: Guatemala Phase 3+ food-security pressure = 1.75 million people on 2021-06-01. FEWS NET Data Warehouse reports 1.0 - 2.49 million people in Guatemala in IPC Phase 3+ for 2021-06-01 to 2021-06-30. Read this with livestock movement, staple/feed prices, pasture, conflict, and household selling pressure. Source: https://fdw.fews.net/api/ipcpopulationsize.json?country_code=GT&phase=3%2B&scenario=CS&fields=simple&page_size=30&ordering=-projection_start. - fews-net/colombia-llanos: Haiti Phase 3+ food-security pressure = 0.75 million people on 2021-06-01. FEWS NET Data Warehouse reports 500,000 - 999,999 people in Haiti in IPC Phase 3+ for 2021-06-01 to 2021-06-30. Read this with livestock movement, staple/feed prices, pasture, conflict, and household selling pressure. Source: https://fdw.fews.net/api/ipcpopulationsize.json?country_code=HT&phase=3%2B&scenario=CS&fields=simple&page_size=30&ordering=-projection_start. - fews-net/east-africa-dairy: Cattle flow through the Burundi-Tanzania border corridor = 2101 heads on 2024-09-30. FEWS NET Data Warehouse reports 2,101 heads of cattle moving through the Burundi-Tanzania cattle corridor in 2024-09-30, across 9 public cross-border trade rows (Burundi -> Tanzania, Tanzania -> Burundi). Change is -11.5% versus 2024-08-31. Use this as an early signal for animal movement, market depth, sale timing, and border access. Border points: Bikobe - Budaketwa, Murambi (Chez Buhinja), Gasenyi - Gisagara, Gahumo, Ruveri - Kwa Murengera. Source: https://fdw.fews.net/api/tradeflowquantityvalue.json?product=Cattle&fields=simple&page_size=160&ordering=-period_date. - fews-net/east-africa-dairy: White maize grain flow through the Burundi-Tanzania corridor = 337803 kg on 2024-09-30. FEWS NET Data Warehouse reports 337,803 kg of white maize grain moving through the Burundi-Tanzania maize-grain corridor in 2024-09-30, across 8 public cross-border trade rows (Burundi -> Tanzania, Tanzania -> Burundi). Change is +53.3% versus 2024-08-31. Use this as an early signal for staple/feed availability, ration substitution, freight, and local grain basis. Border points: Gahumo, Gasenyi - Gisagara, Bikobe - Budaketwa, Bushubi. Source: https://fdw.fews.net/api/tradeflowquantityvalue.json?product=Maize+Grain+%28White%29&fields=simple&page_size=160&ordering=-period_date. - fews-net/east-africa-dairy: Maize flour flow through the Burundi-Tanzania corridor = 102467 kg on 2024-09-30. FEWS NET Data Warehouse reports 102,467 kg of maize flour moving through the Burundi-Tanzania maize-flour corridor in 2024-09-30, across 16 public cross-border trade rows (Tanzania -> Burundi, Burundi -> Tanzania). Change is +27.6% versus 2024-08-31. Use this as an early signal for staple/feed availability, ration substitution, freight, and local grain basis. Border points: Gisuru - Cijongwe, Mugina, Ngomante, Bikobe - Budaketwa, Gahumo. Source: https://fdw.fews.net/api/tradeflowquantityvalue.json?product=Maize+Flour&fields=simple&page_size=160&ordering=-period_date. - wfp-vam/south-asia-dairy: Afghanistan WFP wheat market price = 0.5681 $/kg on 2026-05-15. WFP VAM food prices reports Bread at 0.57 $/kg in Afghanistan on 2026-05-15, averaged across 34 physical markets and 133 public price rows. Change is -0.4% versus 2026-04-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Source: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/global-wfp-food-prices. - wfp-vam/south-asia-dairy: Afghanistan WFP rice market price = 1.6497 $/kg on 2026-05-15. WFP VAM food prices reports Rice (high quality) at 1.65 $/kg in Afghanistan on 2026-05-15, averaged across 34 physical markets and 68 public price rows. Change is -0.1% versus 2026-04-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Source: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/global-wfp-food-prices. - wfp-vam/south-asia-dairy: Afghanistan WFP pulses market price = 1.4218 $/kg on 2026-05-15. WFP VAM food prices reports Pulses at 1.42 $/kg in Afghanistan on 2026-05-15, averaged across 34 physical markets and 34 public price rows. Change is +0.0% versus 2026-04-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Source: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/global-wfp-food-prices. - wfp-vam/south-asia-dairy: Afghanistan WFP oil market price = 1.8179 $/kg on 2026-05-15. WFP VAM food prices reports Oil (cooking) at 1.82 $/kg in Afghanistan on 2026-05-15, averaged across 34 physical markets and 34 public price rows. Change is -2.1% versus 2026-04-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Source: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/global-wfp-food-prices. - wfp-vam/east-africa-dairy: Ethiopia WFP rice market price = 0.9108 $/kg on 2026-03-15. WFP VAM food prices reports Rice at 0.91 $/kg in Ethiopia on 2026-03-15, averaged across 25 physical markets and 25 public price rows. Change is +0.1% versus 2026-02-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Source: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/global-wfp-food-prices. - wfp-vam/east-africa-dairy: Ethiopia WFP dairy market price = 1.0129 $/L on 2026-03-15. WFP VAM food prices reports Milk at 1.01 $/L in Ethiopia on 2026-03-15, averaged across 20 physical markets and 28 public price rows. Change is +8.6% versus 2026-02-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Source: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/global-wfp-food-prices. - wfp-vam/east-africa-dairy: Ethiopia WFP oil market price = 2.6917 $/L on 2026-03-15. WFP VAM food prices reports Oil (vegetable) at 2.69 $/L in Ethiopia on 2026-03-15, averaged across 35 physical markets and 35 public price rows. Change is +1.2% versus 2026-02-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Source: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/global-wfp-food-prices. - wfp-vam/south-asia-dairy: Yemen WFP wheat market price = 3.5518 $/kg on 2026-04-15. WFP VAM food prices reports Wheat at 3.55 $/kg in Yemen on 2026-04-15, averaged across 11 physical markets and 22 public price rows. Change is -0.5% versus 2026-03-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Source: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/global-wfp-food-prices. - wfp-vam/south-asia-dairy: Yemen WFP pulses market price = 10.4342 $/kg on 2026-04-15. WFP VAM food prices reports Beans (kidney red) at 10.43 $/kg in Yemen on 2026-04-15, averaged across 11 physical markets and 36 public price rows. Change is -0.2% versus 2026-03-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Source: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/global-wfp-food-prices. - wfp-vam/south-asia-dairy: Yemen WFP oil market price = 11.9889 $/L on 2026-04-15. WFP VAM food prices reports Oil (vegetable) at 11.99 $/L in Yemen on 2026-04-15, averaged across 11 physical markets and 18 public price rows. Change is +4.4% versus 2026-03-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Source: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/global-wfp-food-prices. - wfp-vam/east-africa-dairy: Nigeria WFP oil market price = 1.9208 $/L on 2026-04-15. WFP VAM food prices reports Oil (palm) at 1.92 $/L in Nigeria on 2026-04-15, averaged across 13 physical markets and 26 public price rows. Change is +3.0% versus 2026-03-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Source: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/global-wfp-food-prices. - wfp-vam/east-africa-dairy: Uganda WFP maize market price = 0.6539 $/kg on 2026-04-15. WFP VAM food prices reports Maize flour at 0.65 $/kg in Uganda on 2026-04-15, averaged across 20 physical markets and 33 public price rows. Change is +11.8% versus 2026-03-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Source: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/global-wfp-food-prices. - wfp-vam/east-africa-dairy: Uganda WFP sorghum market price = 0.5427 $/kg on 2026-04-15. WFP VAM food prices reports Sorghum at 0.54 $/kg in Uganda on 2026-04-15, averaged across 15 physical markets and 15 public price rows. Change is -3.8% versus 2026-03-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Source: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/global-wfp-food-prices. - wfp-vam/south-asia-dairy: Yemen WFP rice market price = 9.599 $/kg on 2026-04-15. WFP VAM food prices reports Rice (imported) at 9.60 $/kg in Yemen on 2026-04-15, averaged across 10 physical markets and 10 public price rows. Change is -2.1% versus 2026-03-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Source: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/global-wfp-food-prices. - wfp-vam/east-africa-dairy: Uganda WFP millet market price = 1.2082 $/kg on 2026-04-15. WFP VAM food prices reports Millet flour at 1.21 $/kg in Uganda on 2026-04-15, averaged across 11 physical markets and 11 public price rows. Change is +3.3% versus 2026-03-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Source: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/global-wfp-food-prices. - wfp-vam/east-africa-dairy: Ethiopia WFP dairy market price = 6.73 $/kg on 2026-03-15. WFP VAM food prices reports Butter (cow milk) at 6.73 $/kg in Ethiopia on 2026-03-15, averaged across 4 physical markets and 6 public price rows. Change is +3.0% versus 2026-02-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Source: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/global-wfp-food-prices. - wfp-vam/east-africa-dairy: Kenya WFP maize market price = 0.654 $/kg on 2026-04-15. WFP VAM food prices reports Maize flour at 0.65 $/kg in Kenya on 2026-04-15, averaged across 3 physical markets and 5 public price rows. Change is +18.6% versus 2026-03-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Source: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/global-wfp-food-prices. - wfp-vam/east-africa-dairy: Kenya WFP wheat market price = 0.78 $/kg on 2026-04-15. WFP VAM food prices reports Wheat flour at 0.78 $/kg in Kenya on 2026-04-15, averaged across 3 physical markets and 3 public price rows. Change is +8.6% versus 2026-03-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Source: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/global-wfp-food-prices. - wfp-vam/east-africa-dairy: Kenya WFP rice market price = 0.8767 $/kg on 2026-04-15. WFP VAM food prices reports Rice at 0.88 $/kg in Kenya on 2026-04-15, averaged across 3 physical markets and 3 public price rows. Change is -9.3% versus 2026-03-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Source: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/global-wfp-food-prices. - wfp-vam/east-africa-dairy: Kenya WFP sorghum market price = 0.77 $/kg on 2026-04-15. WFP VAM food prices reports Sorghum at 0.77 $/kg in Kenya on 2026-04-15, averaged across 1 physical markets and 1 public price rows. Change is -1.7% versus 2026-03-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Source: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/global-wfp-food-prices. - wfp-vam/east-africa-dairy: Somalia WFP maize market price = 14.63 $/kg on 2026-01-15. WFP VAM food prices reports Maize (white) at 14.63 $/kg in Somalia on 2026-01-15, averaged across 1 physical markets and 1 public price rows. Change is no previous-month comparison available. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Source: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/global-wfp-food-prices. - wfp-vam/east-africa-dairy: Somalia WFP wheat market price = 19.51 $/kg on 2026-01-15. WFP VAM food prices reports Wheat flour (imported) at 19.51 $/kg in Somalia on 2026-01-15, averaged across 1 physical markets and 1 public price rows. Change is no previous-month comparison available. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Source: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/global-wfp-food-prices. - wfp-vam/east-africa-dairy: Somalia WFP rice market price = 19.51 $/kg on 2026-01-15. WFP VAM food prices reports Rice (imported) at 19.51 $/kg in Somalia on 2026-01-15, averaged across 1 physical markets and 1 public price rows. Change is no previous-month comparison available. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Source: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/global-wfp-food-prices. - wfp-vam/east-africa-dairy: Somalia WFP sorghum market price = 15.85 $/kg on 2026-01-15. WFP VAM food prices reports Sorghum (red) at 15.85 $/kg in Somalia on 2026-01-15, averaged across 1 physical markets and 2 public price rows. Change is no previous-month comparison available. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Source: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/global-wfp-food-prices. - wfp-vam/colombia-llanos: Bolivia WFP rice market price = 2.4742 $/kg on 2026-04-15. WFP VAM food prices reports Rice (carolina 2da) at 2.47 $/kg in Bolivia on 2026-04-15, averaged across 8 physical markets and 12 public price rows. Change is -2.8% versus 2026-03-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Source: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/global-wfp-food-prices. - wfp-vam/colombia-llanos: Bolivia WFP dairy market price = 1.25 $/L on 2026-04-15. WFP VAM food prices reports Milk (non-pasteurized) at 1.25 $/L in Bolivia on 2026-04-15, averaged across 7 physical markets and 7 public price rows. Change is +0.9% versus 2026-03-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Source: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/global-wfp-food-prices. - wfp-vam/colombia-llanos: Bolivia WFP wheat market price = 1.4117 $/kg on 2026-04-15. WFP VAM food prices reports Wheat flour at 1.41 $/kg in Bolivia on 2026-04-15, averaged across 6 physical markets and 6 public price rows. Change is -2.8% versus 2026-03-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Source: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/global-wfp-food-prices. - wfp-vam/colombia-llanos: Ecuador WFP maize market price = 2.06 $/kg on 2026-03-15. WFP VAM food prices reports Maize at 2.06 $/kg in Ecuador on 2026-03-15, averaged across 2 physical markets and 2 public price rows. Change is -3.5% versus 2026-02-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Source: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/global-wfp-food-prices. - wfp-vam/colombia-llanos: Ecuador WFP wheat market price = 2.905 $/kg on 2026-03-15. WFP VAM food prices reports Bread at 2.91 $/kg in Ecuador on 2026-03-15, averaged across 2 physical markets and 2 public price rows. Change is +4.9% versus 2026-02-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Source: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/global-wfp-food-prices. - wfp-vam/colombia-llanos: Ecuador WFP rice market price = 1.25 $/kg on 2026-03-15. WFP VAM food prices reports Rice at 1.25 $/kg in Ecuador on 2026-03-15, averaged across 2 physical markets and 2 public price rows. Change is -3.5% versus 2026-02-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Source: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/global-wfp-food-prices. - eurostat-agri/ireland: Europe bovine herd = 71.5 million head on 2025. Europe bovine herd is 71.5 million head in 2025, -0.5% versus 2024. Country readings: Ireland 6.3 million head, Germany 10.4 million head, France 16.2 million head, Netherlands 3.5 million head, Spain 6.3 million head, Poland 6.1 million head, Italy 5.7 million head. Use the EU herd baseline with local price and feed signals before expanding, culling, or buying replacements. Source: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/api/dissemination/statistics/1.0/data/tag00016?lang=en&time=2025. - eurostat-agri/ireland: Europe dairy cow herd = 19.1 million head on 2025. Europe dairy cow herd is 19.1 million head in 2025, -0.7% versus 2024. Country readings: Ireland 1.5 million head, Germany 3.6 million head, France 3 million head, Netherlands 1.5 million head, Spain 0.8 million head, Poland 1.9 million head, Italy 1.8 million head. Dairy cow numbers set the cull-flow and milk-feed margin baseline before monthly milk prices feel it. Source: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/api/dissemination/statistics/1.0/data/apro_mt_lscatl?lang=en&month=M11_M12&unit=THS_HD&animals=A2300F&time=2025. - eurostat-agri/ireland: Europe non-dairy cow herd = 10 million head on 2025. Europe non-dairy cow herd is 10 million head in 2025, -0.9% versus 2024. Country readings: Ireland 0.8 million head, Germany 0.6 million head, France 3.6 million head, Netherlands 0 million head, Spain 2 million head, Poland 0.1 million head, Italy 0.5 million head. Non-dairy cows are the long-cycle calf crop, replacement, and cull supply base for European beef. Source: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/api/dissemination/statistics/1.0/data/apro_mt_lscatl?lang=en&month=M11_M12&unit=THS_HD&animals=A2300G&time=2025. - eurostat-agri/ireland: Europe cow milk collection = 146.2 million tonnes on 2024. Europe cow milk collection is 146.2 million tonnes in 2024, +1.0% versus 2023. Country readings: Ireland 8.7 million tonnes, Germany 32.2 million tonnes, France 23.8 million tonnes, Netherlands 14.2 million tonnes, Spain 7.4 million tonnes, Poland 13.5 million tonnes, Italy 13.1 million tonnes. Milk collection shows supply pressure that can move feed intensity, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply. Source: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/api/dissemination/statistics/1.0/data/tag00037?lang=en&time=2024. - world-bank-pink-sheet/southern-plains: North America Global beef price = 7.95 $/kg on 2026-05. Global beef price is 7.95 $/kg for 2026-05, -2.1% versus 2026-02. Use it as an export-demand and cull-value floor check, not as a local live-cattle quote. Source: https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-0050012026/related/CMO-Historical-Data-Monthly.xlsx. - world-bank-pink-sheet/mato-grosso: Latin America Global beef price = 7.95 $/kg on 2026-05. Global beef price is 7.95 $/kg for 2026-05, -2.1% versus 2026-02. Use it as an export-demand and cull-value floor check, not as a local live-cattle quote. Source: https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-0050012026/related/CMO-Historical-Data-Monthly.xlsx. - world-bank-pink-sheet/queensland: Oceania Global beef price = 7.95 $/kg on 2026-05. Global beef price is 7.95 $/kg for 2026-05, -2.1% versus 2026-02. Use it as an export-demand and cull-value floor check, not as a local live-cattle quote. Source: https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-0050012026/related/CMO-Historical-Data-Monthly.xlsx. - world-bank-pink-sheet/ireland: Europe Global beef price = 7.95 $/kg on 2026-05. Global beef price is 7.95 $/kg for 2026-05, -2.1% versus 2026-02. Use it as an export-demand and cull-value floor check, not as a local live-cattle quote. Source: https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-0050012026/related/CMO-Historical-Data-Monthly.xlsx. - world-bank-pink-sheet/south-asia-dairy: Africa and Asia Global beef price = 7.95 $/kg on 2026-05. Global beef price is 7.95 $/kg for 2026-05, -2.1% versus 2026-02. Use it as an export-demand and cull-value floor check, not as a local live-cattle quote. Source: https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-0050012026/related/CMO-Historical-Data-Monthly.xlsx. - world-bank-pink-sheet/southern-plains: North America Global maize price = 216 $/mt on 2026-05. Global maize price is 216 $/mt for 2026-05, +3.1% versus 2026-02. Treat maize as the first feed-cost check before holding cattle for more gain. Source: https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-0050012026/related/CMO-Historical-Data-Monthly.xlsx. - world-bank-pink-sheet/mato-grosso: Latin America Global maize price = 216 $/mt on 2026-05. Global maize price is 216 $/mt for 2026-05, +3.1% versus 2026-02. Treat maize as the first feed-cost check before holding cattle for more gain. Source: https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-0050012026/related/CMO-Historical-Data-Monthly.xlsx. - world-bank-pink-sheet/queensland: Oceania Global maize price = 216 $/mt on 2026-05. Global maize price is 216 $/mt for 2026-05, +3.1% versus 2026-02. Treat maize as the first feed-cost check before holding cattle for more gain. Source: https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-0050012026/related/CMO-Historical-Data-Monthly.xlsx. - world-bank-pink-sheet/ireland: Europe Global maize price = 216 $/mt on 2026-05. Global maize price is 216 $/mt for 2026-05, +3.1% versus 2026-02. Treat maize as the first feed-cost check before holding cattle for more gain. Source: https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-0050012026/related/CMO-Historical-Data-Monthly.xlsx. - world-bank-pink-sheet/south-asia-dairy: Africa and Asia Global maize price = 216 $/mt on 2026-05. Global maize price is 216 $/mt for 2026-05, +3.1% versus 2026-02. Treat maize as the first feed-cost check before holding cattle for more gain. Source: https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-0050012026/related/CMO-Historical-Data-Monthly.xlsx. - world-bank-pink-sheet/southern-plains: North America Global soybean meal price = 421 $/mt on 2026-05. Global soybean meal price is 421 $/mt for 2026-05, +7.7% versus 2026-02. Use protein-meal pressure with local basis before changing ration density or supplement purchases. Source: https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-0050012026/related/CMO-Historical-Data-Monthly.xlsx. - world-bank-pink-sheet/mato-grosso: Latin America Global soybean meal price = 421 $/mt on 2026-05. Global soybean meal price is 421 $/mt for 2026-05, +7.7% versus 2026-02. Use protein-meal pressure with local basis before changing ration density or supplement purchases. Source: https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-0050012026/related/CMO-Historical-Data-Monthly.xlsx. - world-bank-pink-sheet/queensland: Oceania Global soybean meal price = 421 $/mt on 2026-05. Global soybean meal price is 421 $/mt for 2026-05, +7.7% versus 2026-02. Use protein-meal pressure with local basis before changing ration density or supplement purchases. Source: https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-0050012026/related/CMO-Historical-Data-Monthly.xlsx. - world-bank-pink-sheet/ireland: Europe Global soybean meal price = 421 $/mt on 2026-05. Global soybean meal price is 421 $/mt for 2026-05, +7.7% versus 2026-02. Use protein-meal pressure with local basis before changing ration density or supplement purchases. Source: https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-0050012026/related/CMO-Historical-Data-Monthly.xlsx. - world-bank-pink-sheet/south-asia-dairy: Africa and Asia Global soybean meal price = 421 $/mt on 2026-05. Global soybean meal price is 421 $/mt for 2026-05, +7.7% versus 2026-02. Use protein-meal pressure with local basis before changing ration density or supplement purchases. Source: https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-0050012026/related/CMO-Historical-Data-Monthly.xlsx. - world-bank-pink-sheet/southern-plains: North America Global Brent crude oil price = 107.5 $/bbl on 2026-05. Global Brent crude oil price is 107.5 $/bbl for 2026-05, +51.2% versus 2026-02. Read energy with diesel and freight before assuming delivered feed or cattle-hauling costs are stable. Source: https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-0050012026/related/CMO-Historical-Data-Monthly.xlsx. - world-bank-pink-sheet/mato-grosso: Latin America Global Brent crude oil price = 107.5 $/bbl on 2026-05. Global Brent crude oil price is 107.5 $/bbl for 2026-05, +51.2% versus 2026-02. Read energy with diesel and freight before assuming delivered feed or cattle-hauling costs are stable. Source: https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-0050012026/related/CMO-Historical-Data-Monthly.xlsx. - world-bank-pink-sheet/queensland: Oceania Global Brent crude oil price = 107.5 $/bbl on 2026-05. Global Brent crude oil price is 107.5 $/bbl for 2026-05, +51.2% versus 2026-02. Read energy with diesel and freight before assuming delivered feed or cattle-hauling costs are stable. Source: https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-0050012026/related/CMO-Historical-Data-Monthly.xlsx. - world-bank-pink-sheet/ireland: Europe Global Brent crude oil price = 107.5 $/bbl on 2026-05. Global Brent crude oil price is 107.5 $/bbl for 2026-05, +51.2% versus 2026-02. Read energy with diesel and freight before assuming delivered feed or cattle-hauling costs are stable. Source: https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-0050012026/related/CMO-Historical-Data-Monthly.xlsx. - world-bank-pink-sheet/south-asia-dairy: Africa and Asia Global Brent crude oil price = 107.5 $/bbl on 2026-05. Global Brent crude oil price is 107.5 $/bbl for 2026-05, +51.2% versus 2026-02. Read energy with diesel and freight before assuming delivered feed or cattle-hauling costs are stable. Source: https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-0050012026/related/CMO-Historical-Data-Monthly.xlsx. - world-bank-pink-sheet/southern-plains: North America U.S. natural gas price = 2.9 $/mmbtu on 2026-05. U.S. natural gas price is 2.9 $/mmbtu for 2026-05, -18.8% versus 2026-02. Natural gas is an early fertilizer and processing-cost signal for feed and dairy margins. Source: https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-0050012026/related/CMO-Historical-Data-Monthly.xlsx. - world-bank-pink-sheet/mato-grosso: Latin America U.S. natural gas price = 2.9 $/mmbtu on 2026-05. U.S. natural gas price is 2.9 $/mmbtu for 2026-05, -18.8% versus 2026-02. Natural gas is an early fertilizer and processing-cost signal for feed and dairy margins. Source: https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-0050012026/related/CMO-Historical-Data-Monthly.xlsx. - world-bank-pink-sheet/queensland: Oceania U.S. natural gas price = 2.9 $/mmbtu on 2026-05. U.S. natural gas price is 2.9 $/mmbtu for 2026-05, -18.8% versus 2026-02. Natural gas is an early fertilizer and processing-cost signal for feed and dairy margins. Source: https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-0050012026/related/CMO-Historical-Data-Monthly.xlsx. - world-bank-pink-sheet/ireland: Europe U.S. natural gas price = 2.9 $/mmbtu on 2026-05. U.S. natural gas price is 2.9 $/mmbtu for 2026-05, -18.8% versus 2026-02. Natural gas is an early fertilizer and processing-cost signal for feed and dairy margins. Source: https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-0050012026/related/CMO-Historical-Data-Monthly.xlsx. - world-bank-pink-sheet/south-asia-dairy: Africa and Asia U.S. natural gas price = 2.9 $/mmbtu on 2026-05. U.S. natural gas price is 2.9 $/mmbtu for 2026-05, -18.8% versus 2026-02. Natural gas is an early fertilizer and processing-cost signal for feed and dairy margins. Source: https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-0050012026/related/CMO-Historical-Data-Monthly.xlsx. - world-bank-pink-sheet/southern-plains: North America Global DAP fertilizer price = 770 $/mt on 2026-05. Global DAP fertilizer price is 770 $/mt for 2026-05, +22.8% versus 2026-02. Use DAP pressure when planning pasture inputs, forage crops, hay replacement, and working capital. Source: https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-0050012026/related/CMO-Historical-Data-Monthly.xlsx. - world-bank-pink-sheet/mato-grosso: Latin America Global DAP fertilizer price = 770 $/mt on 2026-05. Global DAP fertilizer price is 770 $/mt for 2026-05, +22.8% versus 2026-02. Use DAP pressure when planning pasture inputs, forage crops, hay replacement, and working capital. Source: https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-0050012026/related/CMO-Historical-Data-Monthly.xlsx. - world-bank-pink-sheet/queensland: Oceania Global DAP fertilizer price = 770 $/mt on 2026-05. Global DAP fertilizer price is 770 $/mt for 2026-05, +22.8% versus 2026-02. Use DAP pressure when planning pasture inputs, forage crops, hay replacement, and working capital. Source: https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-0050012026/related/CMO-Historical-Data-Monthly.xlsx. - world-bank-pink-sheet/ireland: Europe Global DAP fertilizer price = 770 $/mt on 2026-05. Global DAP fertilizer price is 770 $/mt for 2026-05, +22.8% versus 2026-02. Use DAP pressure when planning pasture inputs, forage crops, hay replacement, and working capital. Source: https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-0050012026/related/CMO-Historical-Data-Monthly.xlsx. - world-bank-pink-sheet/south-asia-dairy: Africa and Asia Global DAP fertilizer price = 770 $/mt on 2026-05. Global DAP fertilizer price is 770 $/mt for 2026-05, +22.8% versus 2026-02. Use DAP pressure when planning pasture inputs, forage crops, hay replacement, and working capital. Source: https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-0050012026/related/CMO-Historical-Data-Monthly.xlsx. - world-bank-pink-sheet/southern-plains: North America Global urea fertilizer price = 771 $/mt on 2026-05. Global urea fertilizer price is 771 $/mt for 2026-05, +63.2% versus 2026-02. Urea changes pasture and forage economics before those costs appear in hay or silage offers. Source: https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-0050012026/related/CMO-Historical-Data-Monthly.xlsx. - world-bank-pink-sheet/mato-grosso: Latin America Global urea fertilizer price = 771 $/mt on 2026-05. Global urea fertilizer price is 771 $/mt for 2026-05, +63.2% versus 2026-02. Urea changes pasture and forage economics before those costs appear in hay or silage offers. Source: https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-0050012026/related/CMO-Historical-Data-Monthly.xlsx. - world-bank-pink-sheet/queensland: Oceania Global urea fertilizer price = 771 $/mt on 2026-05. Global urea fertilizer price is 771 $/mt for 2026-05, +63.2% versus 2026-02. Urea changes pasture and forage economics before those costs appear in hay or silage offers. Source: https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-0050012026/related/CMO-Historical-Data-Monthly.xlsx. - world-bank-pink-sheet/ireland: Europe Global urea fertilizer price = 771 $/mt on 2026-05. Global urea fertilizer price is 771 $/mt for 2026-05, +63.2% versus 2026-02. Urea changes pasture and forage economics before those costs appear in hay or silage offers. Source: https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-0050012026/related/CMO-Historical-Data-Monthly.xlsx. - world-bank-pink-sheet/south-asia-dairy: Africa and Asia Global urea fertilizer price = 771 $/mt on 2026-05. Global urea fertilizer price is 771 $/mt for 2026-05, +63.2% versus 2026-02. Urea changes pasture and forage economics before those costs appear in hay or silage offers. Source: https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-0050012026/related/CMO-Historical-Data-Monthly.xlsx. - bls-ag-inputs/southern-plains: U.S. farm product producer price index = 169.7 index on 2026-04-01. U.S. farm product producer price index is 169.7 for M04 2026, -0.5% versus the prior reported month. Use it to test feed, hay, ration, and working-capital pressure. Source: https://download.bls.gov/pub/time.series/wp/wp.data.0.Current. - bls-ag-inputs/southern-plains: U.S. livestock product producer price index = 168.7 index on 2026-04-01. U.S. livestock product producer price index is 168.7 for M04 2026, 1.9% versus the prior reported month. Use it to test feed, hay, ration, and working-capital pressure. Source: https://download.bls.gov/pub/time.series/wp/wp.data.0.Current. - bls-ag-inputs/southern-plains: U.S. processed food and feed producer price index = 118.3 index on 2026-04-01. U.S. processed food and feed producer price index is 118.3 for M04 2026, 12.8% versus the prior reported month. Use it to test feed, hay, ration, and working-capital pressure. Source: https://download.bls.gov/pub/time.series/wp/wp.data.0.Current. - bls-ag-inputs/southern-plains: U.S. animal food manufacturing producer price index = 232.2 index on 2026-04-01. U.S. animal food manufacturing producer price index is 232.2 for M04 2026, 0.9% versus the prior reported month. Use it to test feed, hay, ration, and working-capital pressure. Source: https://download.bls.gov/pub/time.series/pc/pc.data.0.Current. - eia-fuel/southern-plains: U.S. diesel freight and feed-delivery cost = 5.35 $/gal on 2026-06-01. EIA U.S. No. 2 Diesel Retail Prices is 5.350 $/gal for the week of 2026-06-01, -3.1% versus the prior week and 5.514 $/gal across the latest rows. Use it to reprice hay hauling, feed delivery, yardage, and cattle transport. Source: https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=EMD_EPD2D_PTE_NUS_DPG&f=W. - cftc-cot/southern-plains: Live cattle COT positioning = 33.8 % net long / open interest on 2026-06-02. Live cattle: managed money is 33.8% net long versus open interest, with weekly net change of -4,435 contracts and open interest of 343,287. Read this before holding unhedged cattle weight or assuming local basis will stay firm. Source: https://publicreporting.cftc.gov/resource/72hh-3qpy.json?%24select=market_and_exchange_names%2Ccontract_market_name%2Ccftc_contract_market_code%2Creport_date_as_yyyy_mm_dd%2Copen_interest_all%2Cchange_in_open_interest_all%2Cprod_merc_positions_long%2Cprod_merc_positions_short%2Cm_money_positions_long_all%2Cm_money_positions_short_all%2Cchange_in_m_money_long_all%2Cchange_in_m_money_short_all%2Cpct_of_oi_m_money_long_all%2Cpct_of_oi_m_money_short_all&%24where=market_and_exchange_names%3D%27LIVE+CATTLE+-+CHICAGO+MERCANTILE+EXCHANGE%27+OR+market_and_exchange_names%3D%27FEEDER+CATTLE+-+CHICAGO+MERCANTILE+EXCHANGE%27+OR+market_and_exchange_names%3D%27CORN+-+CHICAGO+BOARD+OF+TRADE%27+OR+market_and_exchange_names%3D%27SOYBEAN+MEAL+-+CHICAGO+BOARD+OF+TRADE%27&%24order=report_date_as_yyyy_mm_dd+DESC&%24limit=40. - cftc-cot/southern-plains: Feeder cattle COT positioning = 19.5 % net long / open interest on 2026-06-02. Feeder cattle: managed money is 19.5% net long versus open interest, with weekly net change of 336 contracts and open interest of 58,048. Read this before holding unhedged cattle weight or assuming local basis will stay firm. Source: https://publicreporting.cftc.gov/resource/72hh-3qpy.json?%24select=market_and_exchange_names%2Ccontract_market_name%2Ccftc_contract_market_code%2Creport_date_as_yyyy_mm_dd%2Copen_interest_all%2Cchange_in_open_interest_all%2Cprod_merc_positions_long%2Cprod_merc_positions_short%2Cm_money_positions_long_all%2Cm_money_positions_short_all%2Cchange_in_m_money_long_all%2Cchange_in_m_money_short_all%2Cpct_of_oi_m_money_long_all%2Cpct_of_oi_m_money_short_all&%24where=market_and_exchange_names%3D%27LIVE+CATTLE+-+CHICAGO+MERCANTILE+EXCHANGE%27+OR+market_and_exchange_names%3D%27FEEDER+CATTLE+-+CHICAGO+MERCANTILE+EXCHANGE%27+OR+market_and_exchange_names%3D%27CORN+-+CHICAGO+BOARD+OF+TRADE%27+OR+market_and_exchange_names%3D%27SOYBEAN+MEAL+-+CHICAGO+BOARD+OF+TRADE%27&%24order=report_date_as_yyyy_mm_dd+DESC&%24limit=40. - cftc-cot/southern-plains: Corn COT positioning = 6.4 % net long / open interest on 2026-06-02. Corn: managed money is 6.4% net long versus open interest, with weekly net change of -91,201 contracts and open interest of 1,874,936. Read this before leaving corn or soybean-meal feed exposure uncovered. Source: https://publicreporting.cftc.gov/resource/72hh-3qpy.json?%24select=market_and_exchange_names%2Ccontract_market_name%2Ccftc_contract_market_code%2Creport_date_as_yyyy_mm_dd%2Copen_interest_all%2Cchange_in_open_interest_all%2Cprod_merc_positions_long%2Cprod_merc_positions_short%2Cm_money_positions_long_all%2Cm_money_positions_short_all%2Cchange_in_m_money_long_all%2Cchange_in_m_money_short_all%2Cpct_of_oi_m_money_long_all%2Cpct_of_oi_m_money_short_all&%24where=market_and_exchange_names%3D%27LIVE+CATTLE+-+CHICAGO+MERCANTILE+EXCHANGE%27+OR+market_and_exchange_names%3D%27FEEDER+CATTLE+-+CHICAGO+MERCANTILE+EXCHANGE%27+OR+market_and_exchange_names%3D%27CORN+-+CHICAGO+BOARD+OF+TRADE%27+OR+market_and_exchange_names%3D%27SOYBEAN+MEAL+-+CHICAGO+BOARD+OF+TRADE%27&%24order=report_date_as_yyyy_mm_dd+DESC&%24limit=40. - cftc-cot/southern-plains: Soybean meal COT positioning = 19.1 % net long / open interest on 2026-06-02. Soybean meal: managed money is 19.1% net long versus open interest, with weekly net change of 3,639 contracts and open interest of 666,639. Read this before leaving corn or soybean-meal feed exposure uncovered. Source: https://publicreporting.cftc.gov/resource/72hh-3qpy.json?%24select=market_and_exchange_names%2Ccontract_market_name%2Ccftc_contract_market_code%2Creport_date_as_yyyy_mm_dd%2Copen_interest_all%2Cchange_in_open_interest_all%2Cprod_merc_positions_long%2Cprod_merc_positions_short%2Cm_money_positions_long_all%2Cm_money_positions_short_all%2Cchange_in_m_money_long_all%2Cchange_in_m_money_short_all%2Cpct_of_oi_m_money_long_all%2Cpct_of_oi_m_money_short_all&%24where=market_and_exchange_names%3D%27LIVE+CATTLE+-+CHICAGO+MERCANTILE+EXCHANGE%27+OR+market_and_exchange_names%3D%27FEEDER+CATTLE+-+CHICAGO+MERCANTILE+EXCHANGE%27+OR+market_and_exchange_names%3D%27CORN+-+CHICAGO+BOARD+OF+TRADE%27+OR+market_and_exchange_names%3D%27SOYBEAN+MEAL+-+CHICAGO+BOARD+OF+TRADE%27&%24order=report_date_as_yyyy_mm_dd+DESC&%24limit=40. - usda-esr/southern-plains: U.S. beef export demand net sales = 5.02 thousand metric tons on 2026-05-28. USDA FAS Export Sales Reporting reported beef net sales at 5 thousand metric tons for week ending 2026-05-28, versus 13.2 thousand metric tons a week earlier (-62% versus the prior week). This is a weekly buyer-pull signal to check before assuming packer bids or export-linked basis are unchanged. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrqs/StaticReports/CWRCommoditySummary.xml. - usda-esr/southern-plains: U.S. beef export demand weekly exports = 10.284 thousand metric tons on 2026-05-28. USDA FAS Export Sales Reporting reported beef weekly exports at 10.3 thousand metric tons for week ending 2026-05-28, versus 15 thousand metric tons a week earlier (-31% versus the prior week). This is a weekly buyer-pull signal to check before assuming packer bids or export-linked basis are unchanged. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrqs/StaticReports/CWRCommoditySummary.xml. - usda-esr/southern-plains: Cattle hide export demand net sales = 243.361 thousand pieces on 2026-05-28. USDA FAS Export Sales Reporting reported cattle hide net sales at 243.4 thousand pieces for week ending 2026-05-28, versus 227.9 thousand pieces a week earlier (+7% versus the prior week). Hide demand is a byproduct-value signal for packer margins and local cattle bids. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrqs/StaticReports/CWRCommoditySummary.xml. - usda-esr/southern-plains: Cattle hide export demand weekly exports = 287.986 thousand pieces on 2026-05-28. USDA FAS Export Sales Reporting reported cattle hide weekly exports at 288 thousand pieces for week ending 2026-05-28, versus 233.3 thousand pieces a week earlier (+23% versus the prior week). Hide demand is a byproduct-value signal for packer margins and local cattle bids. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrqs/StaticReports/CWRCommoditySummary.xml. - usda-esr/southern-plains: Corn export pull net sales = 883.332 thousand metric tons on 2026-05-28. USDA FAS Export Sales Reporting reported corn export pull net sales at 883.3 thousand metric tons for week ending 2026-05-28, versus 1,015.3 thousand metric tons a week earlier (-13% versus the prior week). Strong export pull can tighten feed basis before local ration quotes fully reset. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrqs/StaticReports/CWRCommoditySummary.xml. - usda-esr/southern-plains: Corn export pull weekly exports = 1723.712 thousand metric tons on 2026-05-28. USDA FAS Export Sales Reporting reported corn export pull weekly exports at 1,723.7 thousand metric tons for week ending 2026-05-28, versus 1,613.9 thousand metric tons a week earlier (+7% versus the prior week). Strong export pull can tighten feed basis before local ration quotes fully reset. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrqs/StaticReports/CWRCommoditySummary.xml. - usda-esr/southern-plains: Sorghum export pull net sales = 62.852 thousand metric tons on 2026-05-28. USDA FAS Export Sales Reporting reported sorghum export pull net sales at 62.9 thousand metric tons for week ending 2026-05-28, versus 66 thousand metric tons a week earlier (-5% versus the prior week). Strong export pull can tighten feed basis before local ration quotes fully reset. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrqs/StaticReports/CWRCommoditySummary.xml. - usda-esr/southern-plains: Sorghum export pull weekly exports = 183.88 thousand metric tons on 2026-05-28. USDA FAS Export Sales Reporting reported sorghum export pull weekly exports at 183.9 thousand metric tons for week ending 2026-05-28, versus 6.8 thousand metric tons a week earlier (+2605% versus the prior week). Strong export pull can tighten feed basis before local ration quotes fully reset. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrqs/StaticReports/CWRCommoditySummary.xml. - usda-esr/southern-plains: Soybean meal export pull net sales = 169.328 thousand metric tons on 2026-05-28. USDA FAS Export Sales Reporting reported soybean meal export pull net sales at 169.3 thousand metric tons for week ending 2026-05-28, versus 304 thousand metric tons a week earlier (-44% versus the prior week). Strong export pull can tighten feed basis before local ration quotes fully reset. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrqs/StaticReports/CWRCommoditySummary.xml. - usda-esr/southern-plains: Soybean meal export pull weekly exports = 270.724 thousand metric tons on 2026-05-28. USDA FAS Export Sales Reporting reported soybean meal export pull weekly exports at 270.7 thousand metric tons for week ending 2026-05-28, versus 396.7 thousand metric tons a week earlier (-32% versus the prior week). Strong export pull can tighten feed basis before local ration quotes fully reset. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrqs/StaticReports/CWRCommoditySummary.xml. - usda-nass/southern-plains: U.S. cattle on feed = 11.6 million head on 2026-05-22. 2026-05-22 NASS Cattle on Feed: U.S. cattle on feed is 11.6 million head; +2.0% versus the prior period. Put it beside local corn, hay, pasture, freight, and weather before changing feed coverage, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Source: https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/sites/default/release-files/795913/cofd0526.txt. - usda-nass/southern-plains: U.S. feedlot placements = 1.7 million head on 2026-05-22. 2026-05-22 NASS Cattle on Feed: U.S. feedlot placements is 1.7 million head; +6.0% versus the prior period. Put it beside local corn, hay, pasture, freight, and weather before changing feed coverage, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Source: https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/sites/default/release-files/795913/cofd0526.txt. - usda-nass/southern-plains: U.S. fed cattle marketings = 1.64 million head on 2026-05-22. 2026-05-22 NASS Cattle on Feed: U.S. fed cattle marketings is 1.64 million head; -10.0% versus the prior period. Read it against local bids, packer calls, boxed-beef tone, and sale weights before assuming buyer demand is unchanged. Source: https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/sites/default/release-files/795913/cofd0526.txt. - usda-nass/southern-plains: U.S. cattle and calves inventory = 86.2 million head on 2026-01-30. 2026-01-30 NASS Cattle: U.S. cattle and calves inventory is 86.2 million head; -0.3% versus the prior period. Use the official inventory read to reset retention, replacement, feeder-supply, and sale-or-hold assumptions. Source: https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/sites/default/release-files/795748/catl0126.txt. - usda-nass/southern-plains: U.S. beef cow herd = 27.6 million head on 2026-01-30. 2026-01-30 NASS Cattle: U.S. beef cow herd is 27.6 million head; -1.0% versus the prior period. Use the official inventory read to reset retention, replacement, feeder-supply, and sale-or-hold assumptions. Source: https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/sites/default/release-files/795748/catl0126.txt. - usda-nass/southern-plains: U.S. milk cow inventory = 9.57 million head on 2026-01-30. 2026-01-30 NASS Cattle: U.S. milk cow inventory is 9.57 million head; +2.0% versus the prior period. Compare it with delivered feed, heat risk, cull value, and replacement price before changing cow retention or milk expansion plans. Source: https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/sites/default/release-files/795748/catl0126.txt. - usda-nass/southern-plains: U.S. beef replacement heifers = 4.71 million head on 2026-01-30. 2026-01-30 NASS Cattle: U.S. beef replacement heifers is 4.71 million head; +1.0% versus the prior period. Use the official inventory read to reset retention, replacement, feeder-supply, and sale-or-hold assumptions. Source: https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/sites/default/release-files/795748/catl0126.txt. - usda-nass/southern-plains: U.S. all-feedlot cattle on feed = 13.8 million head on 2026-01-30. 2026-01-30 NASS Cattle: U.S. all-feedlot cattle on feed is 13.8 million head; -3.0% versus the prior period. Put it beside local corn, hay, pasture, freight, and weather before changing feed coverage, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Source: https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/sites/default/release-files/795748/catl0126.txt. - usda-nass/southern-plains: U.S. calf crop = 32.9 million head on 2026-01-30. 2026-01-30 NASS Cattle: U.S. calf crop is 32.9 million head; -2.0% versus the prior period. Use the official inventory read to reset retention, replacement, feeder-supply, and sale-or-hold assumptions. Source: https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/sites/default/release-files/795748/catl0126.txt. - usda-nass/southern-plains: U.S. beef production = 2.1 billion pounds on 2026-05-21. 2026-05-21 NASS Livestock Slaughter: U.S. beef production is 2.1 billion pounds; -6.0% versus the prior period. Read it against local bids, packer calls, boxed-beef tone, and sale weights before assuming buyer demand is unchanged. Source: https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/sites/default/release-files/795912/lstk0526.txt. - usda-nass/southern-plains: U.S. cattle slaughter = 2.34 million head on 2026-05-21. 2026-05-21 NASS Livestock Slaughter: U.S. cattle slaughter is 2.34 million head; -9.0% versus the prior period. Read it against local bids, packer calls, boxed-beef tone, and sale weights before assuming buyer demand is unchanged. Source: https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/sites/default/release-files/795912/lstk0526.txt. - usda-nass/southern-plains: U.S. slaughter cattle live weight = 1467 pounds/head on 2026-05-21. 2026-05-21 NASS Livestock Slaughter: U.S. slaughter cattle live weight is 1,467 pounds/head; +36 pounds versus the prior period. Read it against local bids, packer calls, boxed-beef tone, and sale weights before assuming buyer demand is unchanged. Source: https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/sites/default/release-files/795912/lstk0526.txt. - usda-nass/southern-plains: U.S. milk production = 20 billion pounds on 2026-05-22. 2026-05-22 NASS Milk Production: U.S. milk production is 20 billion pounds; +2.7% versus the prior period. Compare it with delivered feed, heat risk, cull value, and replacement price before changing cow retention or milk expansion plans. Source: https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/sites/default/release-files/795915/mkpr0526.txt. - usda-nass/southern-plains: U.S. milk per cow = 2069 pounds/head on 2026-05-22. 2026-05-22 NASS Milk Production: U.S. milk per cow is 2,069 pounds/head; +14 pounds versus the prior period. Compare it with delivered feed, heat risk, cull value, and replacement price before changing cow retention or milk expansion plans. Source: https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/sites/default/release-files/795915/mkpr0526.txt. - usda-nass/southern-plains: U.S. milk cow herd = 9.65 million head on 2026-05-22. 2026-05-22 NASS Milk Production: U.S. milk cow herd is 9.65 million head; +190,000 head versus the prior period. Compare it with delivered feed, heat risk, cull value, and replacement price before changing cow retention or milk expansion plans. Source: https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/sites/default/release-files/795915/mkpr0526.txt. - usda-nass/southern-plains: U.S. corn planted progress = 93 % on 2026-06-01. 2026-06-01 NASS Crop Progress: U.S. corn planted progress is 93 %; +1.0 points versus the five-year average. Put it beside local corn, hay, pasture, freight, and weather before changing feed coverage, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Source: https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/sites/default/release-files/795928/prog2226.txt. - usda-nass/southern-plains: U.S. corn emerged progress = 76 % on 2026-06-01. 2026-06-01 NASS Crop Progress: U.S. corn emerged progress is 76 %; +2.0 points versus the five-year average. Put it beside local corn, hay, pasture, freight, and weather before changing feed coverage, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Source: https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/sites/default/release-files/795928/prog2226.txt. - usda-nass/southern-plains: U.S. corn good/excellent = 67 % on 2026-06-01. 2026-06-01 NASS Crop Progress: U.S. corn good/excellent is 67 %; -2.0 points versus last year. Put it beside local corn, hay, pasture, freight, and weather before changing feed coverage, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Source: https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/sites/default/release-files/795928/prog2226.txt. - usda-nass/southern-plains: U.S. pasture good/excellent = 30 % on 2026-06-01. 2026-06-01 NASS Crop Progress: U.S. pasture good/excellent is 30 %; -12.0 points versus last year. Put it beside local corn, hay, pasture, freight, and weather before changing feed coverage, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Source: https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/sites/default/release-files/795928/prog2226.txt. - usda-nass/southern-plains: U.S. pasture poor/very poor = 42 % on 2026-06-01. 2026-06-01 NASS Crop Progress: U.S. pasture poor/very poor is 42 %; 42.0% of selected-state pasture is poor or very poor. Put it beside local corn, hay, pasture, freight, and weather before changing feed coverage, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Source: https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/sites/default/release-files/795928/prog2226.txt. - usda-wasde/south-asia-dairy: China corn feed demand = 243 million tonnes on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: China corn feed demand is 243 million tonnes for 2026/27, +1.7% versus 2025/26. Use this before locking corn, meal, hay substitution, freight, or retained-weight decisions; WASDE revisions can change feed coverage before local cattle bids adjust. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-wasde/south-asia-dairy: China corn ending stocks = 166.13 million tonnes on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: China corn ending stocks is 166.13 million tonnes for 2026/27, -6.7% versus 2025/26. Use this before locking corn, meal, hay substitution, freight, or retained-weight decisions; WASDE revisions can change feed coverage before local cattle bids adjust. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-wasde/south-asia-dairy: China soybean meal domestic use = 85.85 million tonnes on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: China soybean meal domestic use is 85.85 million tonnes for 2026/27, +2.0% versus 2025/26. Use this before locking corn, meal, hay substitution, freight, or retained-weight decisions; WASDE revisions can change feed coverage before local cattle bids adjust. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-wasde/south-asia-dairy: India soybean meal domestic use = 7.1 million tonnes on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: India soybean meal domestic use is 7.1 million tonnes for 2026/27, +4.0% versus 2025/26. Use this before locking corn, meal, hay substitution, freight, or retained-weight decisions; WASDE revisions can change feed coverage before local cattle bids adjust. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-wasde/south-asia-dairy: China soybean meal ending stocks = 1.45 million tonnes on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: China soybean meal ending stocks is 1.45 million tonnes for 2026/27, +13.3% versus 2025/26. Use this before locking corn, meal, hay substitution, freight, or retained-weight decisions; WASDE revisions can change feed coverage before local cattle bids adjust. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-wasde/south-asia-dairy: India soybean meal ending stocks = 0.19 million tonnes on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: India soybean meal ending stocks is 0.19 million tonnes for 2026/27, 0.0% versus 2025/26. Use this before locking corn, meal, hay substitution, freight, or retained-weight decisions; WASDE revisions can change feed coverage before local cattle bids adjust. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-wasde/ireland: European Union corn feed demand = 54.4 million tonnes on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: European Union corn feed demand is 54.4 million tonnes for 2026/27, +1.3% versus 2025/26. Use this before locking corn, meal, hay substitution, freight, or retained-weight decisions; WASDE revisions can change feed coverage before local cattle bids adjust. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-wasde/ireland: European Union corn ending stocks = 5.38 million tonnes on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: European Union corn ending stocks is 5.38 million tonnes for 2026/27, +5.9% versus 2025/26. Use this before locking corn, meal, hay substitution, freight, or retained-weight decisions; WASDE revisions can change feed coverage before local cattle bids adjust. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-wasde/ireland: European Union soybean meal domestic use = 31.04 million tonnes on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: European Union soybean meal domestic use is 31.04 million tonnes for 2026/27, +0.3% versus 2025/26. Use this before locking corn, meal, hay substitution, freight, or retained-weight decisions; WASDE revisions can change feed coverage before local cattle bids adjust. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-wasde/ireland: European Union soybean meal ending stocks = 1.48 million tonnes on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: European Union soybean meal ending stocks is 1.48 million tonnes for 2026/27, +0.7% versus 2025/26. Use this before locking corn, meal, hay substitution, freight, or retained-weight decisions; WASDE revisions can change feed coverage before local cattle bids adjust. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-wasde/mato-grosso: Brazil corn feed demand = 65 million tonnes on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: Brazil corn feed demand is 65 million tonnes for 2026/27, +3.2% versus 2025/26. Use this before locking corn, meal, hay substitution, freight, or retained-weight decisions; WASDE revisions can change feed coverage before local cattle bids adjust. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-wasde/pampas: Argentina corn feed demand = 12.8 million tonnes on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: Argentina corn feed demand is 12.8 million tonnes for 2026/27, -1.5% versus 2025/26. Use this before locking corn, meal, hay substitution, freight, or retained-weight decisions; WASDE revisions can change feed coverage before local cattle bids adjust. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-wasde/mato-grosso: Brazil corn ending stocks = 11.38 million tonnes on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: Brazil corn ending stocks is 11.38 million tonnes for 2026/27, -1.7% versus 2025/26. Use this before locking corn, meal, hay substitution, freight, or retained-weight decisions; WASDE revisions can change feed coverage before local cattle bids adjust. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-wasde/pampas: Argentina corn ending stocks = 3.51 million tonnes on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: Argentina corn ending stocks is 3.51 million tonnes for 2026/27, -7.9% versus 2025/26. Use this before locking corn, meal, hay substitution, freight, or retained-weight decisions; WASDE revisions can change feed coverage before local cattle bids adjust. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-wasde/mato-grosso: Brazil soybean meal domestic use = 23 million tonnes on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: Brazil soybean meal domestic use is 23 million tonnes for 2026/27, +5.5% versus 2025/26. Use this before locking corn, meal, hay substitution, freight, or retained-weight decisions; WASDE revisions can change feed coverage before local cattle bids adjust. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-wasde/pampas: Argentina soybean meal domestic use = 3.65 million tonnes on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: Argentina soybean meal domestic use is 3.65 million tonnes for 2026/27, +1.4% versus 2025/26. Use this before locking corn, meal, hay substitution, freight, or retained-weight decisions; WASDE revisions can change feed coverage before local cattle bids adjust. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-wasde/mato-grosso: Brazil soybean meal ending stocks = 4.28 million tonnes on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: Brazil soybean meal ending stocks is 4.28 million tonnes for 2026/27, +2.9% versus 2025/26. Use this before locking corn, meal, hay substitution, freight, or retained-weight decisions; WASDE revisions can change feed coverage before local cattle bids adjust. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-wasde/pampas: Argentina soybean meal ending stocks = 2.75 million tonnes on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: Argentina soybean meal ending stocks is 2.75 million tonnes for 2026/27, +11.3% versus 2025/26. Use this before locking corn, meal, hay substitution, freight, or retained-weight decisions; WASDE revisions can change feed coverage before local cattle bids adjust. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-wasde/southern-plains: U.S. corn feed and residual = 6100 million bushels on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: U.S. corn feed and residual is 6,100 million bushels for 2026/27, -1.6% versus 2025/26. Use this before locking corn, meal, hay substitution, freight, or retained-weight decisions; WASDE revisions can change feed coverage before local cattle bids adjust. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-wasde/southern-plains: U.S. corn ending stocks = 1957 million bushels on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: U.S. corn ending stocks is 1,957 million bushels for 2026/27, -8.6% versus 2025/26. Use this before locking corn, meal, hay substitution, freight, or retained-weight decisions; WASDE revisions can change feed coverage before local cattle bids adjust. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-wasde/southern-plains: U.S. corn farm price = 4.4 $/bu on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: U.S. corn farm price is 4.4 $/bu for 2026/27, +6.0% versus 2025/26. Use this before locking corn, meal, hay substitution, freight, or retained-weight decisions; WASDE revisions can change feed coverage before local cattle bids adjust. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-wasde/southern-plains: U.S. beef production forecast = 25378 million pounds on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: U.S. beef production forecast is 25,378 million pounds for 2027, -0.9% versus 2026. Compare it with cash bids and packer demand before deciding whether weak or strong prices are local noise or real supply pressure. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-wasde/southern-plains: U.S. beef import forecast = 6000 million pounds on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: U.S. beef import forecast is 6,000 million pounds for 2027, -1.8% versus 2026. Compare it with cash bids and packer demand before deciding whether weak or strong prices are local noise or real supply pressure. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-wasde/southern-plains: U.S. beef export forecast = 2335 million pounds on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: U.S. beef export forecast is 2,335 million pounds for 2027, -1.1% versus 2026. Compare it with cash bids and packer demand before deciding whether weak or strong prices are local noise or real supply pressure. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-wasde/southern-plains: U.S. milk production forecast = 236 billion pounds on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: U.S. milk production forecast is 236 billion pounds for 2027, +0.3% versus 2026. Put it beside feed cost, heat risk, and cull value before changing dairy cow retention, milk expansion, or dairy-beef supply plans. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-wasde/southern-plains: U.S. all-milk price forecast = 20.95 $/cwt on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: U.S. all-milk price forecast is 20.95 $/cwt for 2027, -1.4% versus 2026. Put it beside feed cost, heat risk, and cull value before changing dairy cow retention, milk expansion, or dairy-beef supply plans. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-wasde/southern-plains: U.S. sorghum feed and residual = 70 million bushels on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: U.S. sorghum feed and residual is 70 million bushels for 2026/27, -30.0% versus 2025/26. Use this before locking corn, meal, hay substitution, freight, or retained-weight decisions; WASDE revisions can change feed coverage before local cattle bids adjust. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-wasde/southern-plains: Canada corn feed demand = 8.8 million tonnes on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: Canada corn feed demand is 8.8 million tonnes for 2026/27, +2.3% versus 2025/26. Use this before locking corn, meal, hay substitution, freight, or retained-weight decisions; WASDE revisions can change feed coverage before local cattle bids adjust. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-wasde/northern-mexico: Mexico corn feed demand = 30.5 million tonnes on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: Mexico corn feed demand is 30.5 million tonnes for 2026/27, +3.4% versus 2025/26. Use this before locking corn, meal, hay substitution, freight, or retained-weight decisions; WASDE revisions can change feed coverage before local cattle bids adjust. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-wasde/southern-plains: Canada corn ending stocks = 1.55 million tonnes on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: Canada corn ending stocks is 1.55 million tonnes for 2026/27, -6.1% versus 2025/26. Use this before locking corn, meal, hay substitution, freight, or retained-weight decisions; WASDE revisions can change feed coverage before local cattle bids adjust. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-wasde/northern-mexico: Mexico corn ending stocks = 4.88 million tonnes on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: Mexico corn ending stocks is 4.88 million tonnes for 2026/27, -20.0% versus 2025/26. Use this before locking corn, meal, hay substitution, freight, or retained-weight decisions; WASDE revisions can change feed coverage before local cattle bids adjust. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-wasde/northern-mexico: Mexico soybean meal domestic use = 8.45 million tonnes on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: Mexico soybean meal domestic use is 8.45 million tonnes for 2026/27, +4.4% versus 2025/26. Use this before locking corn, meal, hay substitution, freight, or retained-weight decisions; WASDE revisions can change feed coverage before local cattle bids adjust. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-wasde/northern-mexico: Mexico soybean meal ending stocks = 0.37 million tonnes on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: Mexico soybean meal ending stocks is 0.37 million tonnes for 2026/27, +12.1% versus 2025/26. Use this before locking corn, meal, hay substitution, freight, or retained-weight decisions; WASDE revisions can change feed coverage before local cattle bids adjust. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-wasde/queensland: Australia wheat production = 30 million tonnes on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: Australia wheat production is 30 million tonnes for 2026/27, -16.7% versus 2025/26. Use this before locking corn, meal, hay substitution, freight, or retained-weight decisions; WASDE revisions can change feed coverage before local cattle bids adjust. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-wasde/queensland: Australia wheat exports = 23 million tonnes on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: Australia wheat exports is 23 million tonnes for 2026/27, -11.5% versus 2025/26. Use this before locking corn, meal, hay substitution, freight, or retained-weight decisions; WASDE revisions can change feed coverage before local cattle bids adjust. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-wasde/waikato: World corn ending stocks = 277.54 million tonnes on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: World corn ending stocks is 277.54 million tonnes for 2026/27, -6.5% versus 2025/26. Use this before locking corn, meal, hay substitution, freight, or retained-weight decisions; WASDE revisions can change feed coverage before local cattle bids adjust. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-wasde/waikato: World corn feed use = 829.26 million tonnes on 2026-05-13. May 2026 WASDE: World corn feed use is 829.26 million tonnes for 2026/27, +1.2% versus 2025/26. Use this before locking corn, meal, hay substitution, freight, or retained-weight decisions; WASDE revisions can change feed coverage before local cattle bids adjust. Source: https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/oce-wasde-report-data-2026-05-V2.csv. - usda-fas/south-asia-dairy: China PSD beef supply and trade = 7600 thousand metric tons CWE on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports China beef supply and trade at 7,600 thousand metric tons CWE for market year 2026, -5.1% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Domestic Consumption: 10,775 thousand metric tons CWE; Imports: 3,200 thousand metric tons CWE; Exports: 25 thousand metric tons CWE; Total Supply: 10,800 thousand metric tons CWE. Use it to separate real supply pressure from headline noise in export bids, processor demand, and cull-cow value. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/south-asia-dairy: China PSD cattle herd and slaughter = 87560 thousand head on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports China cattle herd and slaughter at 87,560 thousand head for market year 2026, -6.9% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Beef Cows Beg. Stocks: 47,000 thousand head; Dairy Cows Beg. Stocks: 12,500 thousand head; Total Slaughter: 49,500 thousand head; Imports: 30 thousand head. Use it to read replacement supply, slaughter availability, and the long-cycle floor under local cattle prices. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/south-asia-dairy: China PSD fluid milk and dairy cow supply = 41510 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports China fluid milk and dairy cow supply at 41,510 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, +0.0% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Cows In Milk: 6,320 thousand head; Cows Milk Production: 40,600 thousand metric tons; Domestic Consumption: 42,130 thousand metric tons; Factory Use Consum.: 26,430 thousand metric tons. Use it with feed and heat signals before changing cull timing, milk expansion, or dairy-beef supply assumptions. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/south-asia-dairy: China PSD corn feed balance = 243000 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports China corn feed balance at 243,000 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, +1.7% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Production: 307,000 thousand metric tons; Imports: 6,000 thousand metric tons; Exports: 20 thousand metric tons; Ending Stocks: 166,128 thousand metric tons. Use it to test ration coverage, import exposure, and feed-cost scenarios before changing retained-weight plans. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/south-asia-dairy: China PSD soybean meal feed balance = 84700 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports China soybean meal feed balance at 84,700 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, +2.0% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Production: 87,120 thousand metric tons; Imports: 100 thousand metric tons; Exports: 1,200 thousand metric tons; Ending Stocks: 1,449 thousand metric tons. Use it to test ration coverage, import exposure, and feed-cost scenarios before changing retained-weight plans. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/south-asia-dairy: China PSD sorghum feed balance = 7700 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports China sorghum feed balance at 7,700 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, 0.0% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Production: 3,100 thousand metric tons; Imports: 7,500 thousand metric tons; Exports: 5 thousand metric tons; Ending Stocks: 245 thousand metric tons. Use it to test ration coverage, import exposure, and feed-cost scenarios before changing retained-weight plans. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/south-asia-dairy: India PSD beef supply and trade = 4725 thousand metric tons CWE on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports India beef supply and trade at 4,725 thousand metric tons CWE for market year 2026, +1.0% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Domestic Consumption: 3,025 thousand metric tons CWE; Imports: 0 thousand metric tons CWE; Exports: 1,700 thousand metric tons CWE; Total Supply: 4,725 thousand metric tons CWE. Use it to separate real supply pressure from headline noise in export bids, processor demand, and cull-cow value. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/south-asia-dairy: India PSD cattle herd and slaughter = 307600 thousand head on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports India cattle herd and slaughter at 307,600 thousand head for market year 2026, +0.0% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Beef Cows Beg. Stocks: 0 thousand head; Dairy Cows Beg. Stocks: 133,400 thousand head; Total Slaughter: 42,000 thousand head; Imports: 0 thousand head. Use it to read replacement supply, slaughter availability, and the long-cycle floor under local cattle prices. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/south-asia-dairy: India PSD fluid milk and dairy cow supply = 221400 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports India fluid milk and dairy cow supply at 221,400 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, +2.3% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Cows In Milk: 62,500 thousand head; Cows Milk Production: 105,400 thousand metric tons; Domestic Consumption: 221,373 thousand metric tons; Factory Use Consum.: 128,373 thousand metric tons. Use it with feed and heat signals before changing cull timing, milk expansion, or dairy-beef supply assumptions. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/south-asia-dairy: India PSD corn feed balance = 28000 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports India corn feed balance at 28,000 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, +3.7% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Production: 47,000 thousand metric tons; Imports: 200 thousand metric tons; Exports: 1,000 thousand metric tons; Ending Stocks: 2,979 thousand metric tons. Use it to test ration coverage, import exposure, and feed-cost scenarios before changing retained-weight plans. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/south-asia-dairy: India PSD soybean meal feed balance = 6700 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports India soybean meal feed balance at 6,700 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, +4.7% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Production: 8,000 thousand metric tons; Imports: 100 thousand metric tons; Exports: 1,000 thousand metric tons; Ending Stocks: 190 thousand metric tons. Use it to test ration coverage, import exposure, and feed-cost scenarios before changing retained-weight plans. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/south-asia-dairy: India PSD sorghum feed balance = 500 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports India sorghum feed balance at 500 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, -23.1% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Production: 4,700 thousand metric tons; Imports: 0 thousand metric tons; Exports: 50 thousand metric tons; Ending Stocks: 397 thousand metric tons. Use it to test ration coverage, import exposure, and feed-cost scenarios before changing retained-weight plans. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/ireland: European Union PSD beef supply and trade = 6350 thousand metric tons CWE on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports European Union beef supply and trade at 6,350 thousand metric tons CWE for market year 2026, -0.9% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Domestic Consumption: 6,240 thousand metric tons CWE; Imports: 465 thousand metric tons CWE; Exports: 575 thousand metric tons CWE; Total Supply: 6,815 thousand metric tons CWE. Use it to separate real supply pressure from headline noise in export bids, processor demand, and cull-cow value. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/ireland: European Union PSD cattle herd and slaughter = 69950 thousand head on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports European Union cattle herd and slaughter at 69,950 thousand head for market year 2026, -1.3% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Beef Cows Beg. Stocks: 9,950 thousand head; Dairy Cows Beg. Stocks: 19,050 thousand head; Total Slaughter: 21,350 thousand head; Imports: 15 thousand head. Use it to read replacement supply, slaughter availability, and the long-cycle floor under local cattle prices. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/ireland: European Union PSD fluid milk and dairy cow supply = 148950 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports European Union fluid milk and dairy cow supply at 148,950 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, -0.5% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Cows In Milk: 19,050 thousand head; Cows Milk Production: 144,800 thousand metric tons; Domestic Consumption: 148,680 thousand metric tons; Factory Use Consum.: 125,680 thousand metric tons. Use it with feed and heat signals before changing cull timing, milk expansion, or dairy-beef supply assumptions. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/ireland: European Union PSD corn feed balance = 54400 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports European Union corn feed balance at 54,400 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, +1.3% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Production: 57,500 thousand metric tons; Imports: 19,500 thousand metric tons; Exports: 1,900 thousand metric tons; Ending Stocks: 5,380 thousand metric tons. Use it to test ration coverage, import exposure, and feed-cost scenarios before changing retained-weight plans. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/ireland: European Union PSD soybean meal feed balance = 31000 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports European Union soybean meal feed balance at 31,000 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, +0.3% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Production: 11,455 thousand metric tons; Imports: 20,200 thousand metric tons; Exports: 600 thousand metric tons; Ending Stocks: 1,480 thousand metric tons. Use it to test ration coverage, import exposure, and feed-cost scenarios before changing retained-weight plans. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/ireland: European Union PSD sorghum feed balance = 1140 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports European Union sorghum feed balance at 1,140 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, -14.0% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Production: 1,010 thousand metric tons; Imports: 150 thousand metric tons; Exports: 10 thousand metric tons; Ending Stocks: 30 thousand metric tons. Use it to test ration coverage, import exposure, and feed-cost scenarios before changing retained-weight plans. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/pampas: Argentina PSD beef supply and trade = 3080 thousand metric tons CWE on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports Argentina beef supply and trade at 3,080 thousand metric tons CWE for market year 2026, -2.1% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Domestic Consumption: 2,310 thousand metric tons CWE; Imports: 30 thousand metric tons CWE; Exports: 800 thousand metric tons CWE; Total Supply: 3,110 thousand metric tons CWE. Use it to separate real supply pressure from headline noise in export bids, processor demand, and cull-cow value. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/pampas: Argentina PSD cattle herd and slaughter = 52420 thousand head on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports Argentina cattle herd and slaughter at 52,420 thousand head for market year 2026, +1.6% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Beef Cows Beg. Stocks: 20,400 thousand head; Dairy Cows Beg. Stocks: 1,490 thousand head; Total Slaughter: 13,000 thousand head; Imports: 0 thousand head. Use it to read replacement supply, slaughter availability, and the long-cycle floor under local cattle prices. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/pampas: Argentina PSD fluid milk and dairy cow supply = 11950 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports Argentina fluid milk and dairy cow supply at 11,950 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, +4.0% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Cows In Milk: 1,500 thousand head; Cows Milk Production: 11,950 thousand metric tons; Domestic Consumption: 11,943 thousand metric tons; Factory Use Consum.: 10,762 thousand metric tons. Use it with feed and heat signals before changing cull timing, milk expansion, or dairy-beef supply assumptions. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/pampas: Argentina PSD corn feed balance = 12800 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports Argentina corn feed balance at 12,800 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, -1.5% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Production: 55,000 thousand metric tons; Imports: 5 thousand metric tons; Exports: 38,000 thousand metric tons; Ending Stocks: 3,512 thousand metric tons. Use it to test ration coverage, import exposure, and feed-cost scenarios before changing retained-weight plans. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/pampas: Argentina PSD soybean meal feed balance = 3650 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports Argentina soybean meal feed balance at 3,650 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, +1.4% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Production: 33,325 thousand metric tons; Imports: 1 thousand metric tons; Exports: 29,400 thousand metric tons; Ending Stocks: 2,750 thousand metric tons. Use it to test ration coverage, import exposure, and feed-cost scenarios before changing retained-weight plans. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/pampas: Argentina PSD sorghum feed balance = 1200 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports Argentina sorghum feed balance at 1,200 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, +9.1% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Production: 3,200 thousand metric tons; Imports: 0 thousand metric tons; Exports: 1,700 thousand metric tons; Ending Stocks: 171 thousand metric tons. Use it to test ration coverage, import exposure, and feed-cost scenarios before changing retained-weight plans. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/mato-grosso: Brazil PSD beef supply and trade = 12370 thousand metric tons CWE on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports Brazil beef supply and trade at 12,370 thousand metric tons CWE for market year 2026, -1.9% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Domestic Consumption: 8,145 thousand metric tons CWE; Imports: 50 thousand metric tons CWE; Exports: 4,275 thousand metric tons CWE; Total Supply: 12,420 thousand metric tons CWE. Use it to separate real supply pressure from headline noise in export bids, processor demand, and cull-cow value. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/mato-grosso: Brazil PSD cattle herd and slaughter = 169075 thousand head on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports Brazil cattle herd and slaughter at 169,075 thousand head for market year 2026, -4.7% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Beef Cows Beg. Stocks: 54,150 thousand head; Dairy Cows Beg. Stocks: 36,500 thousand head; Total Slaughter: 50,100 thousand head; Imports: 0 thousand head. Use it to read replacement supply, slaughter availability, and the long-cycle floor under local cattle prices. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/mato-grosso: Brazil PSD fluid milk and dairy cow supply = 29350 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports Brazil fluid milk and dairy cow supply at 29,350 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, +2.3% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Cows In Milk: 16,800 thousand head; Cows Milk Production: 26,200 thousand metric tons; Domestic Consumption: 29,340 thousand metric tons; Factory Use Consum.: 17,695 thousand metric tons. Use it with feed and heat signals before changing cull timing, milk expansion, or dairy-beef supply assumptions. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/mato-grosso: Brazil PSD corn feed balance = 65000 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports Brazil corn feed balance at 65,000 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, +3.2% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Production: 139,000 thousand metric tons; Imports: 1,800 thousand metric tons; Exports: 44,000 thousand metric tons; Ending Stocks: 11,377 thousand metric tons. Use it to test ration coverage, import exposure, and feed-cost scenarios before changing retained-weight plans. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/mato-grosso: Brazil PSD soybean meal feed balance = 23000 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports Brazil soybean meal feed balance at 23,000 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, +5.5% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Production: 50,011 thousand metric tons; Imports: 10 thousand metric tons; Exports: 26,900 thousand metric tons; Ending Stocks: 4,279 thousand metric tons. Use it to test ration coverage, import exposure, and feed-cost scenarios before changing retained-weight plans. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/mato-grosso: Brazil PSD sorghum feed balance = 6100 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports Brazil sorghum feed balance at 6,100 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, +17.3% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Production: 6,500 thousand metric tons; Imports: 100 thousand metric tons; Exports: 100 thousand metric tons; Ending Stocks: 529 thousand metric tons. Use it to test ration coverage, import exposure, and feed-cost scenarios before changing retained-weight plans. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/pampas: Uruguay PSD beef supply and trade = 625 thousand metric tons CWE on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports Uruguay beef supply and trade at 625 thousand metric tons CWE for market year 2026, -1.6% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Domestic Consumption: 165 thousand metric tons CWE; Imports: 70 thousand metric tons CWE; Exports: 530 thousand metric tons CWE; Total Supply: 695 thousand metric tons CWE. Use it to separate real supply pressure from headline noise in export bids, processor demand, and cull-cow value. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/pampas: Uruguay PSD cattle herd and slaughter = 11823 thousand head on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports Uruguay cattle herd and slaughter at 11,823 thousand head for market year 2026, +1.7% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Beef Cows Beg. Stocks: 3,980 thousand head; Dairy Cows Beg. Stocks: 300 thousand head; Total Slaughter: 2,350 thousand head; Imports: 0 thousand head. Use it to read replacement supply, slaughter availability, and the long-cycle floor under local cattle prices. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/pampas: Uruguay PSD corn feed balance = 1660 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports Uruguay corn feed balance at 1,660 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, +14.5% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Production: 1,900 thousand metric tons; Imports: 175 thousand metric tons; Exports: 100 thousand metric tons; Ending Stocks: 159 thousand metric tons. Use it to test ration coverage, import exposure, and feed-cost scenarios before changing retained-weight plans. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/pampas: Uruguay PSD soybean meal feed balance = 420 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports Uruguay soybean meal feed balance at 420 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, 0.0% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Production: 160 thousand metric tons; Imports: 260 thousand metric tons; Exports: 0 thousand metric tons; Ending Stocks: 91 thousand metric tons. Use it to test ration coverage, import exposure, and feed-cost scenarios before changing retained-weight plans. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/pampas: Uruguay PSD sorghum feed balance = 35 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports Uruguay sorghum feed balance at 35 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, +133.3% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Production: 50 thousand metric tons; Imports: 5 thousand metric tons; Exports: 5 thousand metric tons; Ending Stocks: 2 thousand metric tons. Use it to test ration coverage, import exposure, and feed-cost scenarios before changing retained-weight plans. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/southern-plains: Canada PSD beef supply and trade = 1315 thousand metric tons CWE on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports Canada beef supply and trade at 1,315 thousand metric tons CWE for market year 2026, +4.4% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Domestic Consumption: 1,057 thousand metric tons CWE; Imports: 320 thousand metric tons CWE; Exports: 575 thousand metric tons CWE; Total Supply: 1,677 thousand metric tons CWE. Use it to separate real supply pressure from headline noise in export bids, processor demand, and cull-cow value. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/southern-plains: Canada PSD cattle herd and slaughter = 11250 thousand head on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports Canada cattle herd and slaughter at 11,250 thousand head for market year 2026, +1.0% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Beef Cows Beg. Stocks: 3,417 thousand head; Dairy Cows Beg. Stocks: 971 thousand head; Total Slaughter: 3,300 thousand head; Imports: 400 thousand head. Use it to read replacement supply, slaughter availability, and the long-cycle floor under local cattle prices. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/southern-plains: Canada PSD fluid milk and dairy cow supply = 10510 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports Canada fluid milk and dairy cow supply at 10,510 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, +0.7% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Cows In Milk: 970 thousand head; Cows Milk Production: 10,510 thousand metric tons; Domestic Consumption: 10,570 thousand metric tons; Factory Use Consum.: 7,320 thousand metric tons. Use it with feed and heat signals before changing cull timing, milk expansion, or dairy-beef supply assumptions. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/southern-plains: Canada PSD corn feed balance = 8800 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports Canada corn feed balance at 8,800 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, +2.3% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Production: 14,500 thousand metric tons; Imports: 2,000 thousand metric tons; Exports: 1,900 thousand metric tons; Ending Stocks: 1,551 thousand metric tons. Use it to test ration coverage, import exposure, and feed-cost scenarios before changing retained-weight plans. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/southern-plains: Canada PSD soybean meal feed balance = 2345 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports Canada soybean meal feed balance at 2,345 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, +0.2% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Production: 1,196 thousand metric tons; Imports: 1,500 thousand metric tons; Exports: 350 thousand metric tons; Ending Stocks: 150 thousand metric tons. Use it to test ration coverage, import exposure, and feed-cost scenarios before changing retained-weight plans. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/northern-mexico: Mexico PSD beef supply and trade = 2410 thousand metric tons CWE on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports Mexico beef supply and trade at 2,410 thousand metric tons CWE for market year 2026, +11.1% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Domestic Consumption: 2,320 thousand metric tons CWE; Imports: 310 thousand metric tons CWE; Exports: 400 thousand metric tons CWE; Total Supply: 2,720 thousand metric tons CWE. Use it to separate real supply pressure from headline noise in export bids, processor demand, and cull-cow value. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/northern-mexico: Mexico PSD cattle herd and slaughter = 19510 thousand head on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports Mexico cattle herd and slaughter at 19,510 thousand head for market year 2026, +2.7% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Beef Cows Beg. Stocks: 8,300 thousand head; Dairy Cows Beg. Stocks: 3,750 thousand head; Total Slaughter: 7,550 thousand head; Imports: 10 thousand head. Use it to read replacement supply, slaughter availability, and the long-cycle floor under local cattle prices. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/northern-mexico: Mexico PSD fluid milk and dairy cow supply = 14271 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports Mexico fluid milk and dairy cow supply at 14,271 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, +2.0% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Cows In Milk: 6,830 thousand head; Cows Milk Production: 14,100 thousand metric tons; Domestic Consumption: 14,309 thousand metric tons; Factory Use Consum.: 9,964 thousand metric tons. Use it with feed and heat signals before changing cull timing, milk expansion, or dairy-beef supply assumptions. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/northern-mexico: Mexico PSD corn feed balance = 30500 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports Mexico corn feed balance at 30,500 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, +3.4% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Production: 24,600 thousand metric tons; Imports: 27,000 thousand metric tons; Exports: 20 thousand metric tons; Ending Stocks: 4,881 thousand metric tons. Use it to test ration coverage, import exposure, and feed-cost scenarios before changing retained-weight plans. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/northern-mexico: Mexico PSD soybean meal feed balance = 8400 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports Mexico soybean meal feed balance at 8,400 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, +4.5% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Production: 5,490 thousand metric tons; Imports: 3,000 thousand metric tons; Exports: 1 thousand metric tons; Ending Stocks: 368 thousand metric tons. Use it to test ration coverage, import exposure, and feed-cost scenarios before changing retained-weight plans. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/northern-mexico: Mexico PSD sorghum feed balance = 4000 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports Mexico sorghum feed balance at 4,000 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, -4.8% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Production: 3,800 thousand metric tons; Imports: 300 thousand metric tons; Exports: 1 thousand metric tons; Ending Stocks: 178 thousand metric tons. Use it to test ration coverage, import exposure, and feed-cost scenarios before changing retained-weight plans. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/southern-plains: United States PSD beef supply and trade = 11741 thousand metric tons CWE on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports United States beef supply and trade at 11,741 thousand metric tons CWE for market year 2026, -0.8% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Domestic Consumption: 13,306 thousand metric tons CWE; Imports: 2,626 thousand metric tons CWE; Exports: 1,073 thousand metric tons CWE; Total Supply: 14,629 thousand metric tons CWE. Use it to separate real supply pressure from headline noise in export bids, processor demand, and cull-cow value. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/southern-plains: United States PSD cattle herd and slaughter = 86700 thousand head on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports United States cattle herd and slaughter at 86,700 thousand head for market year 2026, +0.6% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Beef Cows Beg. Stocks: 27,607 thousand head; Dairy Cows Beg. Stocks: 9,568 thousand head; Total Slaughter: 29,082 thousand head; Imports: 700 thousand head. Use it to read replacement supply, slaughter availability, and the long-cycle floor under local cattle prices. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/southern-plains: United States PSD fluid milk and dairy cow supply = 106193 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports United States fluid milk and dairy cow supply at 106,193 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, +1.2% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Cows In Milk: 9,555 thousand head; Cows Milk Production: 106,193 thousand metric tons; Domestic Consumption: 106,088 thousand metric tons; Factory Use Consum.: 85,553 thousand metric tons. Use it with feed and heat signals before changing cull timing, milk expansion, or dairy-beef supply assumptions. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/southern-plains: United States PSD corn feed balance = 154947 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports United States corn feed balance at 154,947 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, -1.6% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Production: 406,292 thousand metric tons; Imports: 635 thousand metric tons; Exports: 80,014 thousand metric tons; Ending Stocks: 49,706 thousand metric tons. Use it to test ration coverage, import exposure, and feed-cost scenarios before changing retained-weight plans. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/southern-plains: United States PSD soybean meal feed balance = 40030 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports United States soybean meal feed balance at 40,030 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, +1.3% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Production: 58,990 thousand metric tons; Imports: 726 thousand metric tons; Exports: 19,686 thousand metric tons; Ending Stocks: 408 thousand metric tons. Use it to test ration coverage, import exposure, and feed-cost scenarios before changing retained-weight plans. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/southern-plains: United States PSD sorghum feed balance = 1778 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports United States sorghum feed balance at 1,778 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, -30.0% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Production: 9,322 thousand metric tons; Imports: 1 thousand metric tons; Exports: 5,207 thousand metric tons; Ending Stocks: 864 thousand metric tons. Use it to test ration coverage, import exposure, and feed-cost scenarios before changing retained-weight plans. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/queensland: Australia PSD beef supply and trade = 2850 thousand metric tons CWE on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports Australia beef supply and trade at 2,850 thousand metric tons CWE for market year 2026, -1.2% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Domestic Consumption: 710 thousand metric tons CWE; Imports: 20 thousand metric tons CWE; Exports: 2,160 thousand metric tons CWE; Total Supply: 2,870 thousand metric tons CWE. Use it to separate real supply pressure from headline noise in export bids, processor demand, and cull-cow value. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/queensland: Australia PSD cattle herd and slaughter = 27721 thousand head on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports Australia cattle herd and slaughter at 27,721 thousand head for market year 2026, +1.3% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Beef Cows Beg. Stocks: 13,600 thousand head; Dairy Cows Beg. Stocks: 1,320 thousand head; Total Slaughter: 9,575 thousand head; Imports: 0 thousand head. Use it to read replacement supply, slaughter availability, and the long-cycle floor under local cattle prices. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/queensland: Australia PSD fluid milk and dairy cow supply = 8650 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports Australia fluid milk and dairy cow supply at 8,650 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, +1.8% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Cows In Milk: 1,320 thousand head; Cows Milk Production: 8,650 thousand metric tons; Domestic Consumption: 8,478 thousand metric tons; Factory Use Consum.: 6,088 thousand metric tons. Use it with feed and heat signals before changing cull timing, milk expansion, or dairy-beef supply assumptions. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/queensland: Australia PSD corn feed balance = 180 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports Australia corn feed balance at 180 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, +9.1% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Production: 380 thousand metric tons; Imports: 1 thousand metric tons; Exports: 80 thousand metric tons; Ending Stocks: 42 thousand metric tons. Use it to test ration coverage, import exposure, and feed-cost scenarios before changing retained-weight plans. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/queensland: Australia PSD soybean meal feed balance = 1015 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports Australia soybean meal feed balance at 1,015 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, +2.5% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Production: 36 thousand metric tons; Imports: 980 thousand metric tons; Exports: 1 thousand metric tons; Ending Stocks: 36 thousand metric tons. Use it to test ration coverage, import exposure, and feed-cost scenarios before changing retained-weight plans. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/queensland: Australia PSD sorghum feed balance = 150 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports Australia sorghum feed balance at 150 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, +50.0% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Production: 2,100 thousand metric tons; Imports: 0 thousand metric tons; Exports: 2,000 thousand metric tons; Ending Stocks: 181 thousand metric tons. Use it to test ration coverage, import exposure, and feed-cost scenarios before changing retained-weight plans. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/waikato: New Zealand PSD beef supply and trade = 700 thousand metric tons CWE on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports New Zealand beef supply and trade at 700 thousand metric tons CWE for market year 2026, +3.9% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Domestic Consumption: 88 thousand metric tons CWE; Imports: 18 thousand metric tons CWE; Exports: 630 thousand metric tons CWE; Total Supply: 718 thousand metric tons CWE. Use it to separate real supply pressure from headline noise in export bids, processor demand, and cull-cow value. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/waikato: New Zealand PSD cattle herd and slaughter = 10070 thousand head on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports New Zealand cattle herd and slaughter at 10,070 thousand head for market year 2026, +2.3% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Beef Cows Beg. Stocks: 1,020 thousand head; Dairy Cows Beg. Stocks: 4,645 thousand head; Total Slaughter: 4,320 thousand head; Imports: 0 thousand head. Use it to read replacement supply, slaughter availability, and the long-cycle floor under local cattle prices. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/waikato: New Zealand PSD fluid milk and dairy cow supply = 21800 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports New Zealand fluid milk and dairy cow supply at 21,800 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, -0.5% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Cows In Milk: 4,660 thousand head; Cows Milk Production: 21,800 thousand metric tons; Domestic Consumption: 21,548 thousand metric tons; Factory Use Consum.: 20,903 thousand metric tons. Use it with feed and heat signals before changing cull timing, milk expansion, or dairy-beef supply assumptions. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/waikato: New Zealand PSD corn feed balance = 250 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports New Zealand corn feed balance at 250 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, 0.0% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Production: 225 thousand metric tons; Imports: 50 thousand metric tons; Exports: 1 thousand metric tons; Ending Stocks: 39 thousand metric tons. Use it to test ration coverage, import exposure, and feed-cost scenarios before changing retained-weight plans. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-fas/waikato: New Zealand PSD soybean meal feed balance = 580 thousand metric tons on 2026-01-01. USDA FAS PSD Online reports New Zealand soybean meal feed balance at 580 thousand metric tons for market year 2026, +5.5% versus 2025. Supporting balance sheet: Production: 0 thousand metric tons; Imports: 580 thousand metric tons; Exports: 0 thousand metric tons; Ending Stocks: 51 thousand metric tons. Use it to test ration coverage, import exposure, and feed-cost scenarios before changing retained-weight plans. Source: https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads. - usda-ers-feed-grains/southern-plains: Corn feed and residual use = 6100 million bushels on 2026 Marketing year Sep-Aug. Corn feed and residual use: 6,100 million bushels for 2026 Marketing year Sep-Aug; change versus the prior row is -100, -1.6%. Use the feed balance with weather and cash cattle before deciding to hold weight for another turn. Source: https://www.ers.usda.gov/media/5766/feed-grains-yearbook-tables-all-years.csv?v=34195. - usda-ers-feed-grains/southern-plains: Corn ending stocks = 1956.8 million bushels on 2026 Marketing year Sep-Aug. Corn ending stocks: 1,957 million bushels for 2026 Marketing year Sep-Aug; change versus the prior row is -185, -8.6%. Tighter corn cover raises the value of early feed coverage, basis checks, and ration alternatives. Source: https://www.ers.usda.gov/media/5766/feed-grains-yearbook-tables-all-years.csv?v=34195. - usda-ers-feed-grains/southern-plains: Corn price received by farmers = 4.27 $/bu on Mar 2026. Corn price received by farmers: 4.27 $/bu in Mar 2026; change versus prior row is +0.16, +3.9%. Read this with local freight before buying hay, corn, protein, or byproduct feed uncovered. Source: https://www.ers.usda.gov/media/5766/feed-grains-yearbook-tables-all-years.csv?v=34195. - usda-ers-feed-grains/southern-plains: Steer and heifer-feed ratio = 56.2 bu/cwt on Mar 2026. Steer and heifer-feed ratio: 56.2 bu/cwt in Mar 2026; change versus prior month is -2.9, -4.9%. A lower ratio says cattle value is covering fewer corn bushels, so feedlot breakevens need a fresh check. Source: https://www.ers.usda.gov/media/5766/feed-grains-yearbook-tables-all-years.csv?v=34195. - usda-ers-feed-grains/southern-plains: Milk-feed ratio = 2.25 milk/feed on Mar 2026. Milk-feed ratio: 2.25 milk/feed in Mar 2026; change versus prior month is +0.08, +3.7%. A stronger milk-feed ratio gives dairies more room to hold cows, easing near-term cull pressure into beef supply. Source: https://www.ers.usda.gov/media/5766/feed-grains-yearbook-tables-all-years.csv?v=34195. - usda-ers-feed-grains/southern-plains: Soybean meal wholesale price = 333.3 $/ton on Apr 2026. Soybean meal wholesale price: 333.3 $/ton in Apr 2026; change versus prior row is +8.34, +2.6%. Read this with local freight before buying hay, corn, protein, or byproduct feed uncovered. Source: https://www.ers.usda.gov/media/5766/feed-grains-yearbook-tables-all-years.csv?v=34195. - usda-ers-feed-grains/southern-plains: Distillers dried grains wholesale price = 202.6 $/ton on Apr 2026. Distillers dried grains wholesale price: 202.63 $/ton in Apr 2026; change versus prior row is +4.63, +2.3%. Read this with local freight before buying hay, corn, protein, or byproduct feed uncovered. Source: https://www.ers.usda.gov/media/5766/feed-grains-yearbook-tables-all-years.csv?v=34195. - usda-ers-feed-grains/southern-plains: All hay price received by farmers = 156 $/ton on Mar 2026. All hay price received by farmers: 156 $/ton in Mar 2026; change versus prior row is +4, +2.6%. Read this with local freight before buying hay, corn, protein, or byproduct feed uncovered. Source: https://www.ers.usda.gov/media/5766/feed-grains-yearbook-tables-all-years.csv?v=34195. - usda-ers-feed-grains/southern-plains: Hay stocks on farms = 23287 thousand tons on First of May 2026. Hay stocks on farms: 23,287 thousand tons for 2026 First of May; change versus the prior row is -804, -3.3%. Low hay inventory makes pasture stress move faster into feed bills and sale timing. Source: https://www.ers.usda.gov/media/5766/feed-grains-yearbook-tables-all-years.csv?v=34195. - usda-ers-feed-grains/southern-plains: Total energy feeds use = 160996.9 thousand metric tons on 2026 Marketing year Sep-Aug. Total energy feeds use: 160,997 thousand metric tons for 2026 Marketing year Sep-Aug; change versus the prior row is -1,949.28, -1.2%. Use the feed balance with weather and cash cattle before deciding to hold weight for another turn. Source: https://www.ers.usda.gov/media/5766/feed-grains-yearbook-tables-all-years.csv?v=34195. - ibge-sidra/mato-grosso: Brazil cattle herd by state = 238180757 heads on 2024. IBGE reports 238M cattle head in 2024. Largest states: Mato Grosso 33M, Pará 26M, Goiás 23M, Minas Gerais 22M. Mato Grosso is 13.8% of the national herd, so pasture, freight, and export bids there have national weight. Source: https://apisidra.ibge.gov.br/values/t/3939/n3/all/v/105/p/last/c79/2670?formato=json. - ibge-sidra/sao-paulo: Brazil milk production by state = 35744 million liters on 2024. IBGE reports 35744M liters of milk in 2024. Largest states: Minas Gerais 9782M L, Paraná 4622M L, Rio Grande do Sul 4025M L, Santa Catarina 3302M L. Minas Gerais is 27.4% of production, so feed, drought, and milk-price stress there can move dairy-beef supply. Source: https://apisidra.ibge.gov.br/values/t/74/n3/all/v/106/p/last/c80/2682?formato=json. - ibge-sidra/mato-grosso: Brazil cattle slaughter = 11.04 million head on 4º trimestre 2025. IBGE reports 11.04M cattle slaughtered in 4º trimestre 2025, -2.7% versus the prior quarter. Slaughter pace is the official supply-pressure check behind processor leverage and local sale windows. Source: https://apisidra.ibge.gov.br/values/t/1092/n1/all/v/284,285/p/last%202?formato=json. - ibge-sidra/mato-grosso: Brazil beef carcass production = 2.93 million tonnes on 4º trimestre 2025. IBGE reports 2.93M tonnes of bovine carcass weight in 4º trimestre 2025, -1.5% versus the prior quarter. Carcass output tells whether slaughter volume is turning into beef supply or lighter animals. Source: https://apisidra.ibge.gov.br/values/t/1092/n1/all/v/284,285/p/last%202?formato=json. - ibge-sidra/mato-grosso: Brazil carcass weight per slaughtered head = 265.8 kg/head on 4º trimestre 2025. IBGE carcass weight is 265.8 kg/head, +1.2% versus the prior quarter. Read this with feed cost and pasture: heavier carcasses can mean better finishing, delayed sales, or costlier gain. Source: https://apisidra.ibge.gov.br/values/t/1092/n1/all/v/284,285/p/last%202?formato=json. - ibge-sidra/mato-grosso: Brazil corn production by state = 114.95 million tonnes on 2024. IBGE reports 115.0M tonnes of brazil corn production by state in 2024. Largest states: Mato Grosso 47M t, Paraná 16M t, Goiás 13M t, Mato Grosso do Sul 7.9M t. Mato Grosso share is 41.2%. Use state crop concentration with freight, exports, and local feed bids before assuming ration basis is national. Source: https://apisidra.ibge.gov.br/values/t/1612/n3/all/v/214/p/last/c81/2711?formato=json. - ibge-sidra/mato-grosso: Brazil soybean production by state = 144.47 million tonnes on 2024. IBGE reports 144.5M tonnes of brazil soybean production by state in 2024. Largest states: Mato Grosso 38M t, Paraná 19M t, Rio Grande do Sul 18M t, Goiás 17M t. Mato Grosso share is 26.6%. Use state crop concentration with freight, exports, and local feed bids before assuming ration basis is national. Source: https://apisidra.ibge.gov.br/values/t/1612/n3/all/v/214/p/last/c81/2713?formato=json. - brazil-bcb-sgs/mato-grosso: USD/BRL export and input pressure = 5.1244 BRL/USD on 2026-06-05. USD/BRL is 5.1244, 1.31% over the last 7 reported points. A weaker real can lift export bids but raises imported feed, fertilizer, fuel, and machinery costs. Source: https://api.bcb.gov.br/dados/serie/bcdata.sgs.1/dados/ultimos/7?formato=json. - conab/mato-grosso: Brazil corn stock-to-use cover = 9.2 % on 2025/26. CONAB shows Brazil corn ending stocks at 12.98M tonnes for 2025/26, equal to 9.2% of total demand. Production is 140.17M tonnes and exports are 46.5M tonnes. Read this before delaying feed coverage, buying supplement, or assuming local corn/meal offers will stay loose. Source: https://portaldeinformacoes.conab.gov.br/oferta-e-demanda.html. - conab/mato-grosso: Brazil corn production = 140.17 million tonnes on 2025/26. CONAB puts Brazil corn production at 140.17M tonnes for 2025/26, -0.7% versus the prior crop year. Use it with stocks of 12.98M tonnes and exports of 46.5M tonnes before holding cattle for extra gain on assumed cheap feed. Source: https://portaldeinformacoes.conab.gov.br/oferta-e-demanda.html. - conab/mato-grosso: Brazil corn exports = 46.5 million tonnes on 2025/26. CONAB puts Brazil corn exports at 46.5M tonnes for 2025/26, +11.7% versus the prior crop year. Export pull competes with domestic feed use of 94.86M tonnes and can change delivered energy feed cost before cattle bids catch up. Source: https://portaldeinformacoes.conab.gov.br/oferta-e-demanda.html. - conab/mato-grosso: Brazil soybeans stock-to-use cover = 5.7 % on 2025/26. CONAB shows Brazil soybeans ending stocks at 10.3M tonnes for 2025/26, equal to 5.7% of total demand. Production is 180.13M tonnes and exports are 116.03M tonnes. Read this before delaying feed coverage, buying supplement, or assuming local corn/meal offers will stay loose. Source: https://portaldeinformacoes.conab.gov.br/oferta-e-demanda.html. - conab/mato-grosso: Brazil soybeans production = 180.13 million tonnes on 2025/26. CONAB puts Brazil soybeans production at 180.13M tonnes for 2025/26, +5.0% versus the prior crop year. Use it with stocks of 10.3M tonnes and exports of 116.03M tonnes before holding cattle for extra gain on assumed cheap feed. Source: https://portaldeinformacoes.conab.gov.br/oferta-e-demanda.html. - conab/mato-grosso: Brazil soybeans exports = 116.03 million tonnes on 2025/26. CONAB puts Brazil soybeans exports at 116.03M tonnes for 2025/26, +7.3% versus the prior crop year. Export pull competes with domestic feed use of 64.27M tonnes and can change delivered protein and meal input cost before cattle bids catch up. Source: https://portaldeinformacoes.conab.gov.br/oferta-e-demanda.html. - comex-stat/mato-grosso: Brazil beef export value = 1704 USD million on 2026-05. Comex Stat shows Brazil bovine-meat exports at $1704M FOB in 2026-05, +50.2% versus the same month last year. Export value is the clean read on processor bid support before local cash cattle prices fully adjust. Source: https://comexstat.mdic.gov.br/pt/home. - comex-stat/mato-grosso: Brazil beef export volume = 261.9 thousand tonnes on 2026-05. Comex Stat shows Brazil bovine-meat exports at 261.9 thousand tonnes in 2026-05, +20.2% versus the same month last year. Volume tells whether export demand is clearing cattle supply or only paying more for fewer kilos. Source: https://comexstat.mdic.gov.br/pt/home. - comex-stat/mato-grosso: China share of Brazil beef exports = 61.4 % on 2026-05. China was 61.4% of Brazil bovine-meat export value in 2026-05. Top destination: China 1046M USD. A concentrated destination book can support bids but raises disruption risk if access, tariffs, currency, or sanitary rules change. Source: https://comexstat.mdic.gov.br/pt/home. - comex-stat/mato-grosso: Top state share of Brazil beef exports = 25.9 % on 2026-05. Mato Grosso supplied 25.9% of Brazil bovine-meat export value in 2026-05. State concentration tells which pasture, freight, and processor regions can move national cash bids first. Source: https://comexstat.mdic.gov.br/pt/home. - comex-stat/mato-grosso: Brazil corn exports = 0.25 million tonnes on 2026-05. Comex Stat shows brazil corn exports at 0.25M tonnes in 2026-05, +543.4% versus the same month last year. Export pull competes with domestic energy feed users and can move local feed basis before cattle bids adjust. Source: https://comexstat.mdic.gov.br/pt/home. - comex-stat/mato-grosso: Brazil soybean exports = 14.83 million tonnes on 2026-05. Comex Stat shows brazil soybean exports at 14.83M tonnes in 2026-05, +5.1% versus the same month last year. Export pull competes with domestic protein and meal input users and can move local feed basis before cattle bids adjust. Source: https://comexstat.mdic.gov.br/pt/home. - eu-milk/ireland: EU member-state average raw milk price = 44.17 EUR/100kg on 2026-05-01. EU Milk Market Observatory latest member-state raw milk rows average 44.17 EUR/100kg across 27 countries. Key checks: Ireland 39.82 EUR/100kg, Germany 40.54 EUR/100kg, France 43.02 EUR/100kg, Netherlands 41.75 EUR/100kg. Use this against feed, forage, and cull-cow value before changing ration or sale timing. Source: https://api.tech.ec.europa.eu/agrifood/api/rawMilk/prices?beginDate=01%2F01%2F2026&products=Raw+milk. - eu-milk/ireland: Ireland raw milk price = 39.82 EUR/100kg on 2026-05-01. Ireland raw milk is 39.82 EUR/100kg for the latest EU-reported month. Read Irish milk price with grass growth, butter support, feed cover, and cull cow value. Source: https://api.tech.ec.europa.eu/agrifood/api/rawMilk/prices?beginDate=01%2F01%2F2026&products=Raw+milk. - eu-milk/north-germany: Germany raw milk price = 40.54 EUR/100kg on 2026-05-01. Germany raw milk is 40.54 EUR/100kg for the latest EU-reported month. Use German milk and SMP prices as a processing-margin check before changing feed spend. Source: https://api.tech.ec.europa.eu/agrifood/api/rawMilk/prices?beginDate=01%2F01%2F2026&products=Raw+milk. - eu-milk/western-france: France raw milk price = 43.02 EUR/100kg on 2026-05-01. France raw milk is 43.02 EUR/100kg for the latest EU-reported month. Read French milk price against forage, dairy-beef supply, and replacement appetite. Source: https://api.tech.ec.europa.eu/agrifood/api/rawMilk/prices?beginDate=01%2F01%2F2026&products=Raw+milk. - eu-milk/netherlands-dairy: Netherlands raw milk price = 41.75 EUR/100kg on 2026-05-01. Netherlands raw milk is 41.75 EUR/100kg for the latest EU-reported month. Treat Dutch milk and butter prices as a processor-demand and feed-import pressure signal. Source: https://api.tech.ec.europa.eu/agrifood/api/rawMilk/prices?beginDate=01%2F01%2F2026&products=Raw+milk. - eu-milk/ireland: Ireland butter price = 373.64 EUR/100kg on 2026-05-25. Ireland butter price is 373.64 EUR/100kg in the latest EU weekly dairy price row. Butter support can keep milk checks firm even when feed is expensive; compare it with cull value. Source: https://api.tech.ec.europa.eu/agrifood/api/dairy/prices?memberStateCodes=IE&beginDate=01%2F01%2F2026&products=BUTTER. - eu-milk/north-germany: Germany skimmed milk powder price = 291.5 EUR/100kg on 2026-05-25. Germany skimmed milk powder price is 291.50 EUR/100kg in the latest EU weekly dairy price row. SMP is a protein-market read-through; weakness can pressure milk margin before cow numbers respond. Source: https://api.tech.ec.europa.eu/agrifood/api/dairy/prices?memberStateCodes=DE&beginDate=01%2F01%2F2026&products=SMP. - eu-milk/netherlands-dairy: Netherlands butter price = 393 EUR/100kg on 2026-05-25. Netherlands butter price is 393.00 EUR/100kg in the latest EU weekly dairy price row. Dutch butter prices help separate processor pull from farmgate milk weakness. Source: https://api.tech.ec.europa.eu/agrifood/api/dairy/prices?memberStateCodes=NL&beginDate=01%2F01%2F2026&products=BUTTER. - eu-milk/ireland: Ireland raw milk deliveries = 839.92 thousand tonnes on 2026-04-01. Ireland delivered 839.9 thousand tonnes of raw cow milk in the latest EU production row. Delivery volume changes dairy ration demand, cull flow, and milk-price pressure. Source: https://api.tech.ec.europa.eu/agrifood/api/dairy/production?memberStateCodes=IE&years=2026&categories=Total+raw+cow%27s+milk+delivered+to+dairies. - eu-milk/north-germany: Germany raw milk deliveries = 2913.9 thousand tonnes on 2026-04-01. Germany delivered 2913.9 thousand tonnes of raw cow milk in the latest EU production row. Delivery volume changes dairy ration demand, cull flow, and milk-price pressure. Source: https://api.tech.ec.europa.eu/agrifood/api/dairy/production?memberStateCodes=DE&years=2026&categories=Total+raw+cow%27s+milk+delivered+to+dairies. - gdt-events/waikato: Oceania GDT dairy price index = 1214 index on 2026-06-02. Oceania: GDT Event 405 on 2026-06-02 put the dairy price index at 1,214, -0.6% from the prior event, with average published price at 4,021 USD/MT. Use it with local milk checks, ration cost, and cull timing before assuming dairy margins are stable. Source: https://s3.amazonaws.com/www-production.globaldairytrade.info/results/a981b378-5bc7-4338-9249-96a4e9f2853a/event_summary.json. - gdt-events/waikato: Oceania GDT average dairy auction price = 4021 $/mt on 2026-06-02. Oceania: GDT Event 405 on 2026-06-02 put the dairy price index at 1,214, -0.6% from the prior event, with average published price at 4,021 USD/MT. Use it with local milk checks, ration cost, and cull timing before assuming dairy margins are stable. Source: https://s3.amazonaws.com/www-production.globaldairytrade.info/results/a981b378-5bc7-4338-9249-96a4e9f2853a/event_summary.json. - gdt-events/waikato: Oceania GDT Anhydrous Milkfat = 6668 $/mt on 2026-06-02. Oceania: Anhydrous Milkfat averaged 6,668 USD/MT at GDT Event 405, +5.3% versus the prior event. Read this as a processor-support and milk-margin signal before changing ration, cull, or replacement plans. Source: https://s3.amazonaws.com/www-production.globaldairytrade.info/results/a981b378-5bc7-4338-9249-96a4e9f2853a/product_groups_summary.json. - gdt-events/waikato: Oceania GDT Butter = 5734 $/mt on 2026-06-02. Oceania: Butter averaged 5,734 USD/MT at GDT Event 405, +1.2% versus the prior event. Read this as a processor-support and milk-margin signal before changing ration, cull, or replacement plans. Source: https://s3.amazonaws.com/www-production.globaldairytrade.info/results/a981b378-5bc7-4338-9249-96a4e9f2853a/product_groups_summary.json. - gdt-events/waikato: Oceania GDT Cheddar Cheese = 4621 $/mt on 2026-06-02. Oceania: Cheddar Cheese averaged 4,621 USD/MT at GDT Event 405, +1.8% versus the prior event. Read this as a processor-support and milk-margin signal before changing ration, cull, or replacement plans. Source: https://s3.amazonaws.com/www-production.globaldairytrade.info/results/a981b378-5bc7-4338-9249-96a4e9f2853a/product_groups_summary.json. - gdt-events/waikato: Oceania GDT Skimmilk Powders = 3457 $/mt on 2026-06-02. Oceania: Skimmilk Powders averaged 3,457 USD/MT at GDT Event 405, -3.0% versus the prior event. Read this as a processor-support and milk-margin signal before changing ration, cull, or replacement plans. Source: https://s3.amazonaws.com/www-production.globaldairytrade.info/results/a981b378-5bc7-4338-9249-96a4e9f2853a/product_groups_summary.json. - gdt-events/waikato: Oceania GDT Wholemilk Powders = 3706 $/mt on 2026-06-02. Oceania: Wholemilk Powders averaged 3,706 USD/MT at GDT Event 405, -2.2% versus the prior event. Read this as a processor-support and milk-margin signal before changing ration, cull, or replacement plans. Source: https://s3.amazonaws.com/www-production.globaldairytrade.info/results/a981b378-5bc7-4338-9249-96a4e9f2853a/product_groups_summary.json. - gdt-events/netherlands-dairy: Europe GDT dairy price index = 1214 index on 2026-06-02. Europe: GDT Event 405 on 2026-06-02 put the dairy price index at 1,214, -0.6% from the prior event, with average published price at 4,021 USD/MT. Use it with local milk checks, ration cost, and cull timing before assuming dairy margins are stable. Source: https://s3.amazonaws.com/www-production.globaldairytrade.info/results/a981b378-5bc7-4338-9249-96a4e9f2853a/event_summary.json. - gdt-events/netherlands-dairy: Europe GDT average dairy auction price = 4021 $/mt on 2026-06-02. Europe: GDT Event 405 on 2026-06-02 put the dairy price index at 1,214, -0.6% from the prior event, with average published price at 4,021 USD/MT. Use it with local milk checks, ration cost, and cull timing before assuming dairy margins are stable. Source: https://s3.amazonaws.com/www-production.globaldairytrade.info/results/a981b378-5bc7-4338-9249-96a4e9f2853a/event_summary.json. - gdt-events/netherlands-dairy: Europe GDT Anhydrous Milkfat = 6668 $/mt on 2026-06-02. Europe: Anhydrous Milkfat averaged 6,668 USD/MT at GDT Event 405, +5.3% versus the prior event. Read this as a processor-support and milk-margin signal before changing ration, cull, or replacement plans. Source: https://s3.amazonaws.com/www-production.globaldairytrade.info/results/a981b378-5bc7-4338-9249-96a4e9f2853a/product_groups_summary.json. - gdt-events/netherlands-dairy: Europe GDT Butter = 5734 $/mt on 2026-06-02. Europe: Butter averaged 5,734 USD/MT at GDT Event 405, +1.2% versus the prior event. Read this as a processor-support and milk-margin signal before changing ration, cull, or replacement plans. Source: https://s3.amazonaws.com/www-production.globaldairytrade.info/results/a981b378-5bc7-4338-9249-96a4e9f2853a/product_groups_summary.json. - gdt-events/netherlands-dairy: Europe GDT Cheddar Cheese = 4621 $/mt on 2026-06-02. Europe: Cheddar Cheese averaged 4,621 USD/MT at GDT Event 405, +1.8% versus the prior event. Read this as a processor-support and milk-margin signal before changing ration, cull, or replacement plans. Source: https://s3.amazonaws.com/www-production.globaldairytrade.info/results/a981b378-5bc7-4338-9249-96a4e9f2853a/product_groups_summary.json. - gdt-events/netherlands-dairy: Europe GDT Skimmilk Powders = 3457 $/mt on 2026-06-02. Europe: Skimmilk Powders averaged 3,457 USD/MT at GDT Event 405, -3.0% versus the prior event. Read this as a processor-support and milk-margin signal before changing ration, cull, or replacement plans. Source: https://s3.amazonaws.com/www-production.globaldairytrade.info/results/a981b378-5bc7-4338-9249-96a4e9f2853a/product_groups_summary.json. - gdt-events/netherlands-dairy: Europe GDT Wholemilk Powders = 3706 $/mt on 2026-06-02. Europe: Wholemilk Powders averaged 3,706 USD/MT at GDT Event 405, -2.2% versus the prior event. Read this as a processor-support and milk-margin signal before changing ration, cull, or replacement plans. Source: https://s3.amazonaws.com/www-production.globaldairytrade.info/results/a981b378-5bc7-4338-9249-96a4e9f2853a/product_groups_summary.json. - gdt-events/pampas: Latin America GDT dairy price index = 1214 index on 2026-06-02. Latin America: GDT Event 405 on 2026-06-02 put the dairy price index at 1,214, -0.6% from the prior event, with average published price at 4,021 USD/MT. Use it with local milk checks, ration cost, and cull timing before assuming dairy margins are stable. Source: https://s3.amazonaws.com/www-production.globaldairytrade.info/results/a981b378-5bc7-4338-9249-96a4e9f2853a/event_summary.json. - gdt-events/pampas: Latin America GDT average dairy auction price = 4021 $/mt on 2026-06-02. Latin America: GDT Event 405 on 2026-06-02 put the dairy price index at 1,214, -0.6% from the prior event, with average published price at 4,021 USD/MT. Use it with local milk checks, ration cost, and cull timing before assuming dairy margins are stable. Source: https://s3.amazonaws.com/www-production.globaldairytrade.info/results/a981b378-5bc7-4338-9249-96a4e9f2853a/event_summary.json. - gdt-events/pampas: Latin America GDT Anhydrous Milkfat = 6668 $/mt on 2026-06-02. Latin America: Anhydrous Milkfat averaged 6,668 USD/MT at GDT Event 405, +5.3% versus the prior event. Read this as a processor-support and milk-margin signal before changing ration, cull, or replacement plans. Source: https://s3.amazonaws.com/www-production.globaldairytrade.info/results/a981b378-5bc7-4338-9249-96a4e9f2853a/product_groups_summary.json. - gdt-events/pampas: Latin America GDT Butter = 5734 $/mt on 2026-06-02. Latin America: Butter averaged 5,734 USD/MT at GDT Event 405, +1.2% versus the prior event. Read this as a processor-support and milk-margin signal before changing ration, cull, or replacement plans. Source: https://s3.amazonaws.com/www-production.globaldairytrade.info/results/a981b378-5bc7-4338-9249-96a4e9f2853a/product_groups_summary.json. - gdt-events/pampas: Latin America GDT Cheddar Cheese = 4621 $/mt on 2026-06-02. Latin America: Cheddar Cheese averaged 4,621 USD/MT at GDT Event 405, +1.8% versus the prior event. Read this as a processor-support and milk-margin signal before changing ration, cull, or replacement plans. Source: https://s3.amazonaws.com/www-production.globaldairytrade.info/results/a981b378-5bc7-4338-9249-96a4e9f2853a/product_groups_summary.json. - gdt-events/pampas: Latin America GDT Skimmilk Powders = 3457 $/mt on 2026-06-02. Latin America: Skimmilk Powders averaged 3,457 USD/MT at GDT Event 405, -3.0% versus the prior event. Read this as a processor-support and milk-margin signal before changing ration, cull, or replacement plans. Source: https://s3.amazonaws.com/www-production.globaldairytrade.info/results/a981b378-5bc7-4338-9249-96a4e9f2853a/product_groups_summary.json. - gdt-events/pampas: Latin America GDT Wholemilk Powders = 3706 $/mt on 2026-06-02. Latin America: Wholemilk Powders averaged 3,706 USD/MT at GDT Event 405, -2.2% versus the prior event. Read this as a processor-support and milk-margin signal before changing ration, cull, or replacement plans. Source: https://s3.amazonaws.com/www-production.globaldairytrade.info/results/a981b378-5bc7-4338-9249-96a4e9f2853a/product_groups_summary.json. - gdt-events/south-asia-dairy: Africa/Asia GDT dairy price index = 1214 index on 2026-06-02. Africa/Asia: GDT Event 405 on 2026-06-02 put the dairy price index at 1,214, -0.6% from the prior event, with average published price at 4,021 USD/MT. Use it with local milk checks, ration cost, and cull timing before assuming dairy margins are stable. Source: https://s3.amazonaws.com/www-production.globaldairytrade.info/results/a981b378-5bc7-4338-9249-96a4e9f2853a/event_summary.json. - gdt-events/south-asia-dairy: Africa/Asia GDT average dairy auction price = 4021 $/mt on 2026-06-02. Africa/Asia: GDT Event 405 on 2026-06-02 put the dairy price index at 1,214, -0.6% from the prior event, with average published price at 4,021 USD/MT. Use it with local milk checks, ration cost, and cull timing before assuming dairy margins are stable. Source: https://s3.amazonaws.com/www-production.globaldairytrade.info/results/a981b378-5bc7-4338-9249-96a4e9f2853a/event_summary.json. - gdt-events/south-asia-dairy: Africa/Asia GDT Anhydrous Milkfat = 6668 $/mt on 2026-06-02. Africa/Asia: Anhydrous Milkfat averaged 6,668 USD/MT at GDT Event 405, +5.3% versus the prior event. Read this as a processor-support and milk-margin signal before changing ration, cull, or replacement plans. Source: https://s3.amazonaws.com/www-production.globaldairytrade.info/results/a981b378-5bc7-4338-9249-96a4e9f2853a/product_groups_summary.json. - gdt-events/south-asia-dairy: Africa/Asia GDT Butter = 5734 $/mt on 2026-06-02. Africa/Asia: Butter averaged 5,734 USD/MT at GDT Event 405, +1.2% versus the prior event. Read this as a processor-support and milk-margin signal before changing ration, cull, or replacement plans. Source: https://s3.amazonaws.com/www-production.globaldairytrade.info/results/a981b378-5bc7-4338-9249-96a4e9f2853a/product_groups_summary.json. - gdt-events/south-asia-dairy: Africa/Asia GDT Cheddar Cheese = 4621 $/mt on 2026-06-02. Africa/Asia: Cheddar Cheese averaged 4,621 USD/MT at GDT Event 405, +1.8% versus the prior event. Read this as a processor-support and milk-margin signal before changing ration, cull, or replacement plans. Source: https://s3.amazonaws.com/www-production.globaldairytrade.info/results/a981b378-5bc7-4338-9249-96a4e9f2853a/product_groups_summary.json. - gdt-events/south-asia-dairy: Africa/Asia GDT Skimmilk Powders = 3457 $/mt on 2026-06-02. Africa/Asia: Skimmilk Powders averaged 3,457 USD/MT at GDT Event 405, -3.0% versus the prior event. Read this as a processor-support and milk-margin signal before changing ration, cull, or replacement plans. Source: https://s3.amazonaws.com/www-production.globaldairytrade.info/results/a981b378-5bc7-4338-9249-96a4e9f2853a/product_groups_summary.json. - gdt-events/south-asia-dairy: Africa/Asia GDT Wholemilk Powders = 3706 $/mt on 2026-06-02. Africa/Asia: Wholemilk Powders averaged 3,706 USD/MT at GDT Event 405, -2.2% versus the prior event. Read this as a processor-support and milk-margin signal before changing ration, cull, or replacement plans. Source: https://s3.amazonaws.com/www-production.globaldairytrade.info/results/a981b378-5bc7-4338-9249-96a4e9f2853a/product_groups_summary.json. - mla-api/new-south-wales: Australian cattle saleyard yardings = 67109 heads on 2026-06-05. MLA NLRS returned 67,109 cattle yarded across 37 saleyard rows in the latest 7-day query. Largest state reads: NSW 26,156, QLD 24,952, VIC 13,491, SA 1,228. Use yardings with price indicators and rainfall before judging whether the market is short of cattle or only short of buyers. Source: https://api-mlastatistics.mla.com.au/report/4?category=Cattle&fromDate=2026-05-30&toDate=2026-06-06&page=1. - usgs-water/southern-plains: Southern Plains streamflow watch = 408 cfs on 2026-06-06. Use measured water conditions alongside rainfall before changing stocking, hay buying, or forced-sale plans. Source: https://waterservices.usgs.gov/nwis/iv/?format=json&sites=07227500¶meterCd=00060&siteStatus=all. - usda-ams/southern-plains: U.S. negotiated live cattle cash price = 257.36 $/cwt on 2026-06-05. USDA AMS national direct slaughter cattle report shows live FOB steers at 256.00-259.00 $/cwt with a 257.36 $/cwt weighted average. Confirmed negotiated cash volume is 13,425 head. Source: https://www.ams.usda.gov/mnreports/ams_2662.pdf. - usda-ams/southern-plains: U.S. Choice boxed beef cutout = 393.17 $/cwt on 2026-06-05. USDA AMS boxed beef cutout has Choice 600-900 at 393.17 $/cwt and Select at 386.86 $/cwt. Choice changed 0.51 from the prior day; Choice/Select spread is 6.31. Source: https://www.ams.usda.gov/mnreports/ams_2452.pdf. - mexico-siap/northern-mexico: Mexico bovine meat production = 2.25 million tonnes on 2024. SIAP reports Mexico bovine meat output at 2.25M tonnes in 2024, +1.7% versus the prior year. Use this with border movement, drought, and feed cost before assuming regional bids follow Brazil or U.S. headlines. Prior successful observation carried forward because the live source did not complete in this update. Source: https://nube.agricultura.gob.mx/index.php?view=E370DEBE-390827E8-72838350-94616860&ANIO=2024. - mexico-siap/northern-mexico: Mexico live cattle production = 4.06 million tonnes on 2024. Mexico live cattle output is 4.06M tonnes, +1.4% versus the prior year. This is the first supply check for feeder flow, replacement appetite, and border-linked basis. Prior successful observation carried forward because the live source did not complete in this update. Source: https://nube.agricultura.gob.mx/index.php?view=E370DEBE-390827E8-72838350-94616860&ANIO=2024. - mexico-siap/northern-mexico: Mexico bovine milk production = 13553.07 million liters on 2024. Bovine milk volume is 13553M liters. Read this with heat, feed, and cull-cow prices because dairy stress can become beef supply before the national beef price headline moves. Prior successful observation carried forward because the live source did not complete in this update. Source: https://nube.agricultura.gob.mx/index.php?view=E370DEBE-390827E8-72838350-94616860&ANIO=2024. - mexico-siap/northern-mexico: Mexico cattle slaughter head = 8.92 million head on 2024. SIAP slaughter count is 8.9M head. Rising slaughter can cap local basis; easing slaughter can tighten availability if exports or border flow stay firm. Prior successful observation carried forward because the live source did not complete in this update. Source: https://nube.agricultura.gob.mx/index.php?view=E370DEBE-390827E8-72838350-94616860&ANIO=2024. - mexico-siap/northern-mexico: Mexico carcass weight per slaughtered head = 252.6 kg/head on 2024. Carcass weight is 252.6 kg/head. Weight rising can mean feed and pasture are converting; weight falling says sale pressure, heat, or ration cost may be stealing gain. Prior successful observation carried forward because the live source did not complete in this update. Source: https://nube.agricultura.gob.mx/index.php?view=E370DEBE-390827E8-72838350-94616860&ANIO=2024. - mexico-siap/northern-mexico: Top Mexican state share of bovine meat = 12.9 % on 2024. Veracruz supplies 12.9% of Mexico bovine meat. State concentration tells where weather, freight, disease rules, or processor demand can move basis first. Prior successful observation carried forward because the live source did not complete in this update. Source: https://nube.agricultura.gob.mx/index.php?view=E370DEBE-390827E8-72838350-94616860&ANIO=2024. - mexico-siap/northern-mexico: Northern Mexico live cattle share = 20.7 % on 2024. Northern states represent 20.7% of Mexico live cattle output. Pair that share with drought, corn import cost, and border movement before changing retained-weight plans. Prior successful observation carried forward because the live source did not complete in this update. Source: https://nube.agricultura.gob.mx/index.php?view=E370DEBE-390827E8-72838350-94616860&ANIO=2024. - cepea-boi/sao-paulo: Brazil CEPEA/ESALQ live cattle indicator = 353.8 BRL/@ on 2026-06-06. Public mirror reports CEPEA/Esalq SP (oficial) at R$ 353.80/@. Attribution: CEPEA/ESALQ · NoticiasAgricolas · Scot Consultoria. Use it as the São Paulo reference before comparing local state bids and USD/BRL. Prior successful observation carried forward because the live source did not complete in this update. Source: https://agrodocai.com.br/api/v1/cotacao. - cepea-boi/sao-paulo: Brazil fat cow price = 300.73 BRL/@ on 2026-06-06. Fat cow reference is R$ 300.73/@. Compare cow/cull value against dairy margin and replacement cost before culling. Attribution: CEPEA/ESALQ · NoticiasAgricolas · Scot Consultoria. Prior successful observation carried forward because the live source did not complete in this update. Source: https://agrodocai.com.br/api/v1/cotacao. - cepea-boi/sao-paulo: Brazil corn price = 64.5 BRL/sc 60kg on 2026-06-06. Corn reference is R$ 64.50/60 kg bag. Use it to reprice confinement, supplement, and retained-weight decisions. Attribution: CEPEA/ESALQ · NoticiasAgricolas · Scot Consultoria. Prior successful observation carried forward because the live source did not complete in this update. Source: https://agrodocai.com.br/api/v1/cotacao. - cepea-boi/mato-grosso: Brazil soybean price = 130 BRL/sc 60kg on 2026-06-06. Soybean reference is R$ 130.00/60 kg bag. It matters for crop/feed opportunity cost and protein-meal pressure. Attribution: CEPEA/ESALQ · NoticiasAgricolas · Scot Consultoria. Prior successful observation carried forward because the live source did not complete in this update. Source: https://agrodocai.com.br/api/v1/cotacao. - cepea-boi/mato-grosso: Mato Grosso do Sul calf price = 3402 BRL/head on 2026-06-06. Mato Grosso do Sul calf reference is R$ 3402/head. Replacement cost changes whether selling finished cattle truly frees margin. Attribution: CEPEA/ESALQ · NoticiasAgricolas · Scot Consultoria. Prior successful observation carried forward because the live source did not complete in this update. Source: https://agrodocai.com.br/api/v1/cotacao. - cepea-boi/sao-paulo: São Paulo physical live cattle price = 355 BRL/@ on 2026-06-06. São Paulo physical live-cattle quote is R$ 355.00/@ from the public mirror. Use state basis against CEPEA/SP, rain, freight, and export bids before selling. Prior successful observation carried forward because the live source did not complete in this update. Source: https://agrodocai.com.br/api/v1/cotacao?uf=SP. - cepea-boi/mato-grosso: Mato Grosso do Sul physical live cattle price = 350 BRL/@ on 2026-06-06. Mato Grosso do Sul physical live-cattle quote is R$ 350.00/@ from the public mirror. Use state basis against CEPEA/SP, rain, freight, and export bids before selling. Prior successful observation carried forward because the live source did not complete in this update. Source: https://agrodocai.com.br/api/v1/cotacao?uf=MS. - cepea-boi/sao-paulo: Paraná physical live cattle price = 347 BRL/@ on 2026-06-06. Paraná physical live-cattle quote is R$ 347.00/@ from the public mirror. Use state basis against CEPEA/SP, rain, freight, and export bids before selling. Prior successful observation carried forward because the live source did not complete in this update. Source: https://agrodocai.com.br/api/v1/cotacao?uf=PR. ## Live Driver Impacts - Southern Plains severe drought footprint changes forage and retention risk: high severity, 92% confidence, forward window 1-8 weeks. Signal: 52 % D2+ area in the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. D2+ is the official severe-drought footprint to read before assuming pasture, hay, and water pressure stay local. Affects: Cow retention, calf movement, hay demand, stocker gain, water checks, local basis, and replacement price. Producer action: Recount forage and hay inventory now, then compare selling lighter cattle against carrying them through a drought-priced gain period. Sources: us-drought-monitor. Source evidence links: drought-to-retention, open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Oklahoma severe drought footprint changes forage and retention risk: high severity, 91% confidence, forward window 1-8 weeks. Signal: 46 % D2+ area in the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. D2+ is the official severe-drought footprint to read before assuming pasture, hay, and water pressure stay local. Affects: Cow retention, calf movement, hay demand, stocker gain, water checks, local basis, and replacement price. Producer action: Recount forage and hay inventory now, then compare selling lighter cattle against carrying them through a drought-priced gain period. Sources: us-drought-monitor. Source evidence links: drought-to-retention, open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Nebraska severe drought footprint changes forage and retention risk: high severity, 91% confidence, forward window 1-8 weeks. Signal: 75 % D2+ area in the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. D2+ is the official severe-drought footprint to read before assuming pasture, hay, and water pressure stay local. Affects: Cow retention, calf movement, hay demand, stocker gain, water checks, local basis, and replacement price. Producer action: Recount forage and hay inventory now, then compare selling lighter cattle against carrying them through a drought-priced gain period. Sources: us-drought-monitor. Source evidence links: drought-to-retention, open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Colorado severe drought footprint changes forage and retention risk: high severity, 91% confidence, forward window 1-8 weeks. Signal: 76 % D2+ area in the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. D2+ is the official severe-drought footprint to read before assuming pasture, hay, and water pressure stay local. Affects: Cow retention, calf movement, hay demand, stocker gain, water checks, local basis, and replacement price. Producer action: Recount forage and hay inventory now, then compare selling lighter cattle against carrying them through a drought-priced gain period. Sources: us-drought-monitor. Source evidence links: drought-to-retention, open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike. - New Mexico severe drought footprint changes forage and retention risk: high severity, 91% confidence, forward window 1-8 weeks. Signal: 85 % D2+ area in the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. D2+ is the official severe-drought footprint to read before assuming pasture, hay, and water pressure stay local. Affects: Cow retention, calf movement, hay demand, stocker gain, water checks, local basis, and replacement price. Producer action: Recount forage and hay inventory now, then compare selling lighter cattle against carrying them through a drought-priced gain period. Sources: us-drought-monitor. Source evidence links: drought-to-retention, open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike. - U.S. fed cattle marketings changes the official cattle on feed read: high severity, 91% confidence, forward window 1-8 weeks. Signal: 1.6 million head in the 2026-05-22 USDA NASS Cattle on Feed; -10.0% versus the prior period. This is an official supply, feed, dairy, or pasture signal to read before treating local prices as isolated. Affects: Packer pull, sale weights, cull-cow value, local bids, boxed-beef support, and sale-window confidence. Producer action: Check slaughter flow and live weights against local bids before holding unpriced cattle or assuming packer demand is unchanged. Sources: usda-nass. Source evidence links: nass-inventory-to-cycle, ams-price-to-sale-window. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, feed-cost-spike. - U.S. cattle slaughter changes the official livestock slaughter read: high severity, 91% confidence, forward window 1-8 weeks. Signal: 2.3 million head in the 2026-05-21 USDA NASS Livestock Slaughter; -9.0% versus the prior period. This is an official supply, feed, dairy, or pasture signal to read before treating local prices as isolated. Affects: Packer pull, sale weights, cull-cow value, local bids, boxed-beef support, and sale-window confidence. Producer action: Check slaughter flow and live weights against local bids before holding unpriced cattle or assuming packer demand is unchanged. Sources: usda-nass. Source evidence links: nass-inventory-to-cycle, ams-price-to-sale-window. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - U.S. pasture good/excellent changes the official crop progress read: high severity, 91% confidence, forward window 0-12 weeks. Signal: 30 % in the 2026-06-01 USDA NASS Crop Progress; -12.0 points versus last year. This is an official supply, feed, dairy, or pasture signal to read before treating local prices as isolated. Affects: Feed coverage, hay buying, pasture carrying days, local basis, feeder bids, and whether extra retained weight still pays. Producer action: Move this NASS read into the feed plan now: count forage days, price hay and grain, then compare selling lighter cattle against buying another gain period. Sources: usda-nass. Source evidence links: nass-inventory-to-cycle, drought-to-retention, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike. - U.S. pasture poor/very poor changes the official crop progress read: high severity, 91% confidence, forward window 0-12 weeks. Signal: 42 % in the 2026-06-01 USDA NASS Crop Progress; 42.0% of selected-state pasture is poor or very poor. This is an official supply, feed, dairy, or pasture signal to read before treating local prices as isolated. Affects: Feed coverage, hay buying, pasture carrying days, local basis, feeder bids, and whether extra retained weight still pays. Producer action: Move this NASS read into the feed plan now: count forage days, price hay and grain, then compare selling lighter cattle against buying another gain period. Sources: usda-nass. Source evidence links: nass-inventory-to-cycle, drought-to-retention, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Brazil beef export value changes Brazil trade pressure: high severity, 91% confidence, forward window 2-12 weeks. Signal: 1,704 USD million in the latest official Comex Stat export flow. Beef export flow is a clean monthly read on processor bid support and local basis pressure. Affects: Processor bids, state basis, destination risk, freight corridors, local sale windows, and export-sensitive cattle lots. Producer action: Price sale timing with local bids, USD/BRL, destination concentration, and pasture days instead of trusting a single national price headline. Sources: comex-stat. Source evidence links: comex-stat-to-brazil-export-flow, agrostat-comex-to-brazil-export, bcb-fx-to-export-inputs, cepea-ibge-brazil-price. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis, herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, feed-cost-spike. - Brazil beef export volume changes Brazil trade pressure: high severity, 91% confidence, forward window 2-12 weeks. Signal: 261.9 thousand tonnes in the latest official Comex Stat export flow. Beef export flow is a clean monthly read on processor bid support and local basis pressure. Affects: Processor bids, state basis, destination risk, freight corridors, local sale windows, and export-sensitive cattle lots. Producer action: Price sale timing with local bids, USD/BRL, destination concentration, and pasture days instead of trusting a single national price headline. Sources: comex-stat. Source evidence links: comex-stat-to-brazil-export-flow, agrostat-comex-to-brazil-export, bcb-fx-to-export-inputs, cepea-ibge-brazil-price. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis, herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, feed-cost-spike. - China share of Brazil beef exports changes Brazil trade pressure: high severity, 91% confidence, forward window 2-12 weeks. Signal: 61.4 % in the latest official Comex Stat export flow. Destination or state concentration can support bids while increasing disruption risk if access, sanitary rules, currency, or freight changes. Affects: Processor bids, state basis, destination risk, freight corridors, local sale windows, and export-sensitive cattle lots. Producer action: Price sale timing with local bids, USD/BRL, destination concentration, and pasture days instead of trusting a single national price headline. Sources: comex-stat. Source evidence links: comex-stat-to-brazil-export-flow, agrostat-comex-to-brazil-export, bcb-fx-to-export-inputs, cepea-ibge-brazil-price. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis, herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, feed-cost-spike. - China soybean meal ending stocks changes the monthly feed and supply read: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 1.5 million tonnes in the May 2026 WASDE for 2026/27; +13.3% versus 2025/26. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, hay substitution, crop-to-cattle margin, feeder bids, and whether retained weight still pays. Producer action: Put the WASDE revision beside local corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before buying feed, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Argentina corn ending stocks changes the monthly feed and supply read: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 3.5 million tonnes in the May 2026 WASDE for 2026/27; -7.9% versus 2025/26. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, hay substitution, crop-to-cattle margin, feeder bids, and whether retained weight still pays. Producer action: Put the WASDE revision beside local corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before buying feed, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Argentina soybean meal ending stocks changes the monthly feed and supply read: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 2.8 million tonnes in the May 2026 WASDE for 2026/27; +11.3% versus 2025/26. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, hay substitution, crop-to-cattle margin, feeder bids, and whether retained weight still pays. Producer action: Put the WASDE revision beside local corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before buying feed, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - U.S. corn ending stocks changes the monthly feed and supply read: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 1,957 million bushels in the May 2026 WASDE for 2026/27; -8.6% versus 2025/26. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, hay substitution, crop-to-cattle margin, feeder bids, and whether retained weight still pays. Producer action: Put the WASDE revision beside local corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before buying feed, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - U.S. corn farm price changes the monthly feed and supply read: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 4 $/bu in the May 2026 WASDE for 2026/27; +6.0% versus 2025/26. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, hay substitution, crop-to-cattle margin, feeder bids, and whether retained weight still pays. Producer action: Put the WASDE revision beside local corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before buying feed, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - U.S. sorghum feed and residual changes the monthly feed and supply read: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 70 million bushels in the May 2026 WASDE for 2026/27; -30.0% versus 2025/26. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, hay substitution, crop-to-cattle margin, feeder bids, and whether retained weight still pays. Producer action: Put the WASDE revision beside local corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before buying feed, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Mexico corn ending stocks changes the monthly feed and supply read: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 4.9 million tonnes in the May 2026 WASDE for 2026/27; -20.0% versus 2025/26. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, hay substitution, crop-to-cattle margin, feeder bids, and whether retained weight still pays. Producer action: Put the WASDE revision beside local corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before buying feed, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Mexico soybean meal ending stocks changes the monthly feed and supply read: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 0.4 million tonnes in the May 2026 WASDE for 2026/27; +12.1% versus 2025/26. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, hay substitution, crop-to-cattle margin, feeder bids, and whether retained weight still pays. Producer action: Put the WASDE revision beside local corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before buying feed, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Australia wheat production changes the monthly feed and supply read: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 30 million tonnes in the May 2026 WASDE for 2026/27; -16.7% versus 2025/26. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, hay substitution, crop-to-cattle margin, feeder bids, and whether retained weight still pays. Producer action: Put the WASDE revision beside local corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before buying feed, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Australia wheat exports changes the monthly feed and supply read: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 23 million tonnes in the May 2026 WASDE for 2026/27; -11.5% versus 2025/26. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, hay substitution, crop-to-cattle margin, feeder bids, and whether retained weight still pays. Producer action: Put the WASDE revision beside local corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before buying feed, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - China PSD beef supply and trade updates the long-cycle supply read: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 7,600 thousand metric tons CWE in USDA FAS PSD for China. The balance sheet is -5.1% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Beef supply, export pull, processor leverage, cull-cow value, basis confidence, and sale-window strength. Producer action: Compare PSD beef supply and trade with local bids before deciding whether price weakness is temporary noise or real buyer leverage. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: fas-trade-to-basis, export-sales-to-buyer-pull. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, disease-alert. - China PSD cattle herd and slaughter updates the long-cycle supply read: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 87,560 thousand head in USDA FAS PSD for China. The balance sheet is -6.9% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Replacement supply, cow retention, slaughter availability, feeder flow, and the long-cycle floor under cattle prices. Producer action: Use the PSD herd balance before retaining replacements, buying feeders, or assuming local supply will stay loose or tight. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: nass-inventory-to-cycle, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike. - India PSD soybean meal feed balance updates the long-cycle supply read: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 6,700 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for India. The balance sheet is +4.7% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Feed availability, import exposure, ration coverage, feeder bids, retained-weight economics, and crop-to-cattle margin. Producer action: Use the PSD feed balance with delivered corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before locking ration coverage or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - India PSD sorghum feed balance updates the long-cycle supply read: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 500 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for India. The balance sheet is -23.1% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Feed availability, import exposure, ration coverage, feeder bids, retained-weight economics, and crop-to-cattle margin. Producer action: Use the PSD feed balance with delivered corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before locking ration coverage or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - European Union PSD sorghum feed balance updates the long-cycle supply read: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 1,140 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for European Union. The balance sheet is -14.0% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Feed availability, import exposure, ration coverage, feeder bids, retained-weight economics, and crop-to-cattle margin. Producer action: Use the PSD feed balance with delivered corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before locking ration coverage or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Argentina PSD cattle herd and slaughter updates the long-cycle supply read: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 52,420 thousand head in USDA FAS PSD for Argentina. The balance sheet is +1.6% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Replacement supply, cow retention, slaughter availability, feeder flow, and the long-cycle floor under cattle prices. Producer action: Use the PSD herd balance before retaining replacements, buying feeders, or assuming local supply will stay loose or tight. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: nass-inventory-to-cycle, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Argentina PSD fluid milk and dairy cow supply updates the long-cycle supply read: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 11,950 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for Argentina. The balance sheet is +4.0% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Milk supply, dairy cull timing, dairy-beef flow, ration demand, heat-risk sensitivity, and replacement appetite. Producer action: Put the PSD milk read beside feed cost, heat, and local milk price before changing cull timing or expansion plans. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: heat-load-to-milk-gain, export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - Argentina PSD sorghum feed balance updates the long-cycle supply read: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 1,200 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for Argentina. The balance sheet is +9.1% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Feed availability, import exposure, ration coverage, feeder bids, retained-weight economics, and crop-to-cattle margin. Producer action: Use the PSD feed balance with delivered corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before locking ration coverage or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Brazil PSD cattle herd and slaughter updates the long-cycle supply read: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 169,075 thousand head in USDA FAS PSD for Brazil. The balance sheet is -4.7% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Replacement supply, cow retention, slaughter availability, feeder flow, and the long-cycle floor under cattle prices. Producer action: Use the PSD herd balance before retaining replacements, buying feeders, or assuming local supply will stay loose or tight. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: nass-inventory-to-cycle, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Brazil PSD soybean meal feed balance updates the long-cycle supply read: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 23,000 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for Brazil. The balance sheet is +5.5% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Feed availability, import exposure, ration coverage, feeder bids, retained-weight economics, and crop-to-cattle margin. Producer action: Use the PSD feed balance with delivered corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before locking ration coverage or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Brazil PSD sorghum feed balance updates the long-cycle supply read: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 6,100 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for Brazil. The balance sheet is +17.3% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Feed availability, import exposure, ration coverage, feeder bids, retained-weight economics, and crop-to-cattle margin. Producer action: Use the PSD feed balance with delivered corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before locking ration coverage or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Uruguay PSD cattle herd and slaughter updates the long-cycle supply read: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 11,823 thousand head in USDA FAS PSD for Uruguay. The balance sheet is +1.7% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Replacement supply, cow retention, slaughter availability, feeder flow, and the long-cycle floor under cattle prices. Producer action: Use the PSD herd balance before retaining replacements, buying feeders, or assuming local supply will stay loose or tight. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: nass-inventory-to-cycle, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Uruguay PSD corn feed balance updates the long-cycle supply read: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 1,660 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for Uruguay. The balance sheet is +14.5% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Feed availability, import exposure, ration coverage, feeder bids, retained-weight economics, and crop-to-cattle margin. Producer action: Use the PSD feed balance with delivered corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before locking ration coverage or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Uruguay PSD sorghum feed balance updates the long-cycle supply read: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 35 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for Uruguay. The balance sheet is +133.3% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Feed availability, import exposure, ration coverage, feeder bids, retained-weight economics, and crop-to-cattle margin. Producer action: Use the PSD feed balance with delivered corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before locking ration coverage or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Canada PSD beef supply and trade updates the long-cycle supply read: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 1,315 thousand metric tons CWE in USDA FAS PSD for Canada. The balance sheet is +4.4% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Beef supply, export pull, processor leverage, cull-cow value, basis confidence, and sale-window strength. Producer action: Compare PSD beef supply and trade with local bids before deciding whether price weakness is temporary noise or real buyer leverage. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: fas-trade-to-basis, export-sales-to-buyer-pull. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, disease-alert. - Mexico PSD beef supply and trade updates the long-cycle supply read: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 2,410 thousand metric tons CWE in USDA FAS PSD for Mexico. The balance sheet is +11.1% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Beef supply, export pull, processor leverage, cull-cow value, basis confidence, and sale-window strength. Producer action: Compare PSD beef supply and trade with local bids before deciding whether price weakness is temporary noise or real buyer leverage. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: fas-trade-to-basis, export-sales-to-buyer-pull. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, disease-alert. - Mexico PSD cattle herd and slaughter updates the long-cycle supply read: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 19,510 thousand head in USDA FAS PSD for Mexico. The balance sheet is +2.7% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Replacement supply, cow retention, slaughter availability, feeder flow, and the long-cycle floor under cattle prices. Producer action: Use the PSD herd balance before retaining replacements, buying feeders, or assuming local supply will stay loose or tight. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: nass-inventory-to-cycle, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Mexico PSD soybean meal feed balance updates the long-cycle supply read: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 8,400 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for Mexico. The balance sheet is +4.5% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Feed availability, import exposure, ration coverage, feeder bids, retained-weight economics, and crop-to-cattle margin. Producer action: Use the PSD feed balance with delivered corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before locking ration coverage or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Mexico PSD sorghum feed balance updates the long-cycle supply read: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 4,000 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for Mexico. The balance sheet is -4.8% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Feed availability, import exposure, ration coverage, feeder bids, retained-weight economics, and crop-to-cattle margin. Producer action: Use the PSD feed balance with delivered corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before locking ration coverage or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - United States PSD sorghum feed balance updates the long-cycle supply read: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 1,778 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for United States. The balance sheet is -30.0% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Feed availability, import exposure, ration coverage, feeder bids, retained-weight economics, and crop-to-cattle margin. Producer action: Use the PSD feed balance with delivered corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before locking ration coverage or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Australia PSD corn feed balance updates the long-cycle supply read: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 180 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for Australia. The balance sheet is +9.1% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Feed availability, import exposure, ration coverage, feeder bids, retained-weight economics, and crop-to-cattle margin. Producer action: Use the PSD feed balance with delivered corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before locking ration coverage or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Australia PSD sorghum feed balance updates the long-cycle supply read: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 150 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for Australia. The balance sheet is +50.0% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Feed availability, import exposure, ration coverage, feeder bids, retained-weight economics, and crop-to-cattle margin. Producer action: Use the PSD feed balance with delivered corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before locking ration coverage or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - New Zealand PSD cattle herd and slaughter updates the long-cycle supply read: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 10,070 thousand head in USDA FAS PSD for New Zealand. The balance sheet is +2.3% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Replacement supply, cow retention, slaughter availability, feeder flow, and the long-cycle floor under cattle prices. Producer action: Use the PSD herd balance before retaining replacements, buying feeders, or assuming local supply will stay loose or tight. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: nass-inventory-to-cycle, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike. - New Zealand PSD soybean meal feed balance updates the long-cycle supply read: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 580 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for New Zealand. The balance sheet is +5.5% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Feed availability, import exposure, ration coverage, feeder bids, retained-weight economics, and crop-to-cattle margin. Producer action: Use the PSD feed balance with delivered corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before locking ration coverage or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Corn ending stocks changes feed-margin pressure: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: 1,957 million bushels in the USDA ERS Feed Grains Database. This is an official feed, forage, and byproduct-cost input for cattle breakevens. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, feedlot breakeven, crop-feed tradeoffs, and retained weight. Producer action: Reprice the next feed turn now: compare local corn, hay, protein, freight, and cattle bids before holding weight or leaving ration coverage open. Sources: usda-ers-feed-grains. Source evidence links: ers-feed-grains-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Brazil soybeans stock-to-use cover changes Brazil feed-margin cover: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1 month to 18 months. Signal: 5.7 % in the latest CONAB supply-demand dashboard. Stock-to-use cover tells whether crop supply can absorb feed demand, exports, weather, and freight without repricing local rations. Affects: Delivered corn and meal cost, supplement buying, crop selling, feedlot breakeven, pasture substitution, and retained weight. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period now: compare local corn, soybean meal, freight, pasture days, and cattle bids before holding weight. Sources: conab. Source evidence links: conab-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, bcb-fx-to-export-inputs. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Top state share of Brazil beef exports changes Brazil trade pressure: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 2-12 weeks. Signal: 25.9 % in the latest official Comex Stat export flow. Destination or state concentration can support bids while increasing disruption risk if access, sanitary rules, currency, or freight changes. Affects: Processor bids, state basis, destination risk, freight corridors, local sale windows, and export-sensitive cattle lots. Producer action: Price sale timing with local bids, USD/BRL, destination concentration, and pasture days instead of trusting a single national price headline. Sources: comex-stat. Source evidence links: comex-stat-to-brazil-export-flow, agrostat-comex-to-brazil-export, bcb-fx-to-export-inputs, cepea-ibge-brazil-price. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis, herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, feed-cost-spike. - Brazil corn exports changes Brazil trade pressure: high severity, 90% confidence, forward window 2-12 weeks. Signal: 0.3 million tonnes in the latest official Comex Stat export flow. Crop export pull can compete with domestic feed users and move corn or soybean-meal basis before cattle margins adjust. Affects: Corn and soybean basis, delivered feed cost, supplement coverage, crop sales, feedlot breakeven, and retained weight. Producer action: Check local feed basis and freight before delaying ration coverage or holding cattle for gain that export demand may reprice. Sources: comex-stat. Source evidence links: comex-stat-to-brazil-export-flow, agrostat-comex-to-brazil-export, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, export-disruption. - Brazil corn exports changes Brazil feed-margin cover: high severity, 89% confidence, forward window 1 month to 18 months. Signal: 46.5 million tonnes in the latest CONAB supply-demand dashboard. Export pull can compete with domestic feed users and lift local basis before cattle prices adjust. Affects: Delivered corn and meal cost, supplement buying, crop selling, feedlot breakeven, pasture substitution, and retained weight. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period now: compare local corn, soybean meal, freight, pasture days, and cattle bids before holding weight. Sources: conab. Source evidence links: conab-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, bcb-fx-to-export-inputs. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, export-disruption. - Brazil soybeans production changes Brazil feed-margin cover: high severity, 89% confidence, forward window 1 month to 18 months. Signal: 180.1 million tonnes in the latest CONAB supply-demand dashboard. Production revisions change the first feed-cost assumption for corn, silage, soybean meal, and supplement buying. Affects: Delivered corn and meal cost, supplement buying, crop selling, feedlot breakeven, pasture substitution, and retained weight. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period now: compare local corn, soybean meal, freight, pasture days, and cattle bids before holding weight. Sources: conab. Source evidence links: conab-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, bcb-fx-to-export-inputs. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Brazil soybeans exports changes Brazil feed-margin cover: high severity, 89% confidence, forward window 1 month to 18 months. Signal: 116 million tonnes in the latest CONAB supply-demand dashboard. Export pull can compete with domestic feed users and lift local basis before cattle prices adjust. Affects: Delivered corn and meal cost, supplement buying, crop selling, feedlot breakeven, pasture substitution, and retained weight. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period now: compare local corn, soybean meal, freight, pasture days, and cattle bids before holding weight. Sources: conab. Source evidence links: conab-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, bcb-fx-to-export-inputs. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, export-disruption. - Oceania GDT Skimmilk Powders changes dairy margin pressure: high severity, 89% confidence, forward window Same event to 8 weeks. Signal: 3,457 $/mt in the latest Global Dairy Trade public results. The event-to-event index move is -3.0%. Affects: Milk-check expectations, ration tolerance, cull timing, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, processor support, and export-linked demand. Producer action: Stress-test the milk check against delivered feed before adding ration cost, delaying culls, or keeping marginal cows another cycle. Sources: gdt-events. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - Europe GDT Skimmilk Powders changes dairy margin pressure: high severity, 89% confidence, forward window Same event to 8 weeks. Signal: 3,457 $/mt in the latest Global Dairy Trade public results. The event-to-event index move is -3.0%. Affects: Milk-check expectations, ration tolerance, cull timing, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, processor support, and export-linked demand. Producer action: Stress-test the milk check against delivered feed before adding ration cost, delaying culls, or keeping marginal cows another cycle. Sources: gdt-events. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - Latin America GDT Skimmilk Powders changes dairy margin pressure: high severity, 89% confidence, forward window Same event to 8 weeks. Signal: 3,457 $/mt in the latest Global Dairy Trade public results. The event-to-event index move is -3.0%. Affects: Milk-check expectations, ration tolerance, cull timing, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, processor support, and export-linked demand. Producer action: Stress-test the milk check against delivered feed before adding ration cost, delaying culls, or keeping marginal cows another cycle. Sources: gdt-events. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - Africa/Asia GDT Skimmilk Powders changes dairy margin pressure: high severity, 89% confidence, forward window Same event to 8 weeks. Signal: 3,457 $/mt in the latest Global Dairy Trade public results. The event-to-event index move is -3.0%. Affects: Milk-check expectations, ration tolerance, cull timing, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, processor support, and export-linked demand. Producer action: Stress-test the milk check against delivered feed before adding ration cost, delaying culls, or keeping marginal cows another cycle. Sources: gdt-events. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - Southern Plains 7-day water demand forecast: heat and water demand watch: high severity, 88% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 60.8 mm/week forecast for reference evapotranspiration. That is a forward signal for pasture drying, trough checks, shade, dairy comfort, and irrigated feed-crop pressure. Affects: Water demand, shade and handling windows, dairy milk yield, pasture regrowth, hay substitution, irrigation demand, and feed-crop stress. Producer action: Move water checks, shade, transport timing, and dairy heat-abatement ahead of the forecast peak before assuming cattle will keep eating and gaining normally. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage, nasa-weather-to-heat. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, heat-load-to-milk-gain, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, milk-margin-squeeze, crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Northern Mexico 7-day water demand forecast: heat and water demand watch: high severity, 88% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 55.5 mm/week forecast for reference evapotranspiration. That is a forward signal for pasture drying, trough checks, shade, dairy comfort, and irrigated feed-crop pressure. Affects: Water demand, shade and handling windows, dairy milk yield, pasture regrowth, hay substitution, irrigation demand, and feed-crop stress. Producer action: Move water checks, shade, transport timing, and dairy heat-abatement ahead of the forecast peak before assuming cattle will keep eating and gaining normally. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage, nasa-weather-to-heat, brazil-weather-fx-to-pasture. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, heat-load-to-milk-gain, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, milk-margin-squeeze, crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - South Asia dairy clusters 7-day water demand forecast: heat and water demand watch: high severity, 88% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 53.8 mm/week forecast for reference evapotranspiration. That is a forward signal for pasture drying, trough checks, shade, dairy comfort, and irrigated feed-crop pressure. Affects: Water demand, shade and handling windows, dairy milk yield, pasture regrowth, hay substitution, irrigation demand, and feed-crop stress. Producer action: Move water checks, shade, transport timing, and dairy heat-abatement ahead of the forecast peak before assuming cattle will keep eating and gaining normally. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage, nasa-weather-to-heat. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, heat-load-to-milk-gain, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, milk-margin-squeeze, crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Gulf import corridors 7-day water demand forecast: heat and water demand watch: high severity, 88% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 54.7 mm/week forecast for reference evapotranspiration. That is a forward signal for pasture drying, trough checks, shade, dairy comfort, and irrigated feed-crop pressure. Affects: Water demand, shade and handling windows, dairy milk yield, pasture regrowth, hay substitution, irrigation demand, and feed-crop stress. Producer action: Move water checks, shade, transport timing, and dairy heat-abatement ahead of the forecast peak before assuming cattle will keep eating and gaining normally. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage, nasa-weather-to-heat. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, heat-load-to-milk-gain, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, milk-margin-squeeze, crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Honduras maize market price changes feed and staple-price pressure: high severity, 88% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: FEWS NET Data Warehouse reports maize prices in Honduras at 0.59 $/kg for 2026-02-28, across 5 public market rows (San Pedro Sula, Medina Concepción, Tegucigalpa, Zona Belén, San Pedro Sula, Medina Concepción, Tegucigalpa, Zona Belén). Change is +3.0% month over month, +32.9% year over year, and +26.9% versus the five-year average where available. Use this as a feed, staple demand, and forced-sale pressure signal. Affects: Delivered feed cost, staple/feed substitution, household affordability, crop selling, retained weight, and local cattle bids. Producer action: Reprice local feed cover and the next gain period before holding cattle longer or assuming staple-price stress will not affect bids. Sources: fews-net. Source evidence links: fews-market-food-security-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock, export-disruption. - Yemen Phase 3+ food-security pressure changes livelihood and livestock pressure: high severity, 88% confidence, forward window 1 month to 9 months. Signal: FEWS NET Data Warehouse reports >= 15 million people in Yemen in IPC Phase 3+ for 2021-06-01 to 2021-06-30. Read this with livestock movement, staple/feed prices, pasture, conflict, and household selling pressure. Affects: Household selling pressure, pastoral movement, local food demand, credit stress, replacement purchases, and livestock market depth. Producer action: Stress-test sale timing, feed credit, and herd retention against household cash pressure and pasture movement before assuming normal market depth. Sources: fews-net. Source evidence links: fews-market-food-security-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock, export-disruption. - Live cattle COT positioning changes hedge and feed-risk timing: high severity, 88% confidence, forward window 1-8 weeks. Signal: 34 % net long / open interest in the latest CFTC Commitments of Traders report. Cattle positioning is a weekly early-warning signal for hedge urgency, retained ownership, and basis risk. Affects: Hedge timing, cash-bid confidence, retained ownership, replacement purchases, and basis exposure. Producer action: Use the COT cattle read with local cash bids before holding unhedged cattle weight or assuming buyer leverage will stay unchanged. Sources: cftc-cot. Source evidence links: cftc-positioning-to-hedge-feed-risk, ams-price-to-sale-window. Historical drivers: positioning-to-hedge-margin, export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, feed-cost-spike. - U.S. beef export demand net sales changed weekly buyer pull: high severity, 88% confidence, forward window 1-6 weeks. Signal: 5 thousand mt in the latest USDA FAS export-sales XML. Weekly change is -62%. Affects: Beef export demand changes packer leverage, boxed-beef support, local basis, cull value, and sale-window confidence. Producer action: Check export-linked buyer pull against local bids before deciding whether to sell, hold weight, or shop another packer. Sources: usda-esr. Source evidence links: export-sales-to-buyer-pull, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Southern Plains 7-day rain forecast: next-week forage forecast: high severity, 87% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 1.8 mm/week forecast for the next 7 days. Read it as a forward pasture, water, hay, and sale-timing signal, not as a historical weather note. Affects: Pasture recovery, heat load, water checks, supplement coverage, hay buying, milk yield, and whether the next weight gain still pays. Producer action: Move the next-week forecast into the sale-or-hold math: count forage days, check water, price hay, and avoid holding cattle for gain that weather may not deliver. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, heat-load-to-milk-gain. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Mato Grosso 7-day rain forecast: next-week forage forecast: high severity, 87% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 1.5 mm/week forecast for the next 7 days. Read it as a forward pasture, water, hay, and sale-timing signal, not as a historical weather note. Affects: Pasture recovery, heat load, water checks, supplement coverage, hay buying, milk yield, and whether the next weight gain still pays. Producer action: Move the next-week forecast into the sale-or-hold math: count forage days, check water, price hay, and avoid holding cattle for gain that weather may not deliver. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage, brazil-weather-fx-to-pasture. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, heat-load-to-milk-gain. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Northern Mexico 7-day rain forecast: next-week forage forecast: high severity, 87% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 0.4 mm/week forecast for the next 7 days. Read it as a forward pasture, water, hay, and sale-timing signal, not as a historical weather note. Affects: Pasture recovery, heat load, water checks, supplement coverage, hay buying, milk yield, and whether the next weight gain still pays. Producer action: Move the next-week forecast into the sale-or-hold math: count forage days, check water, price hay, and avoid holding cattle for gain that weather may not deliver. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage, brazil-weather-fx-to-pasture. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, heat-load-to-milk-gain. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Queensland 7-day rain forecast: next-week forage forecast: high severity, 87% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 2.1 mm/week forecast for the next 7 days. Read it as a forward pasture, water, hay, and sale-timing signal, not as a historical weather note. Affects: Pasture recovery, heat load, water checks, supplement coverage, hay buying, milk yield, and whether the next weight gain still pays. Producer action: Move the next-week forecast into the sale-or-hold math: count forage days, check water, price hay, and avoid holding cattle for gain that weather may not deliver. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Western France 7-day rain forecast: next-week forage forecast: high severity, 87% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 3.7 mm/week forecast for the next 7 days. Read it as a forward pasture, water, hay, and sale-timing signal, not as a historical weather note. Affects: Pasture recovery, heat load, water checks, supplement coverage, hay buying, milk yield, and whether the next weight gain still pays. Producer action: Move the next-week forecast into the sale-or-hold math: count forage days, check water, price hay, and avoid holding cattle for gain that weather may not deliver. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - East Africa dairy belts 7-day rain forecast: next-week forage forecast: high severity, 87% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 0 mm/week forecast for the next 7 days. Read it as a forward pasture, water, hay, and sale-timing signal, not as a historical weather note. Affects: Pasture recovery, heat load, water checks, supplement coverage, hay buying, milk yield, and whether the next weight gain still pays. Producer action: Move the next-week forecast into the sale-or-hold math: count forage days, check water, price hay, and avoid holding cattle for gain that weather may not deliver. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Pampas 7-day rain forecast: next-week forage forecast: high severity, 87% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 3.6 mm/week forecast for the next 7 days. Read it as a forward pasture, water, hay, and sale-timing signal, not as a historical weather note. Affects: Pasture recovery, heat load, water checks, supplement coverage, hay buying, milk yield, and whether the next weight gain still pays. Producer action: Move the next-week forecast into the sale-or-hold math: count forage days, check water, price hay, and avoid holding cattle for gain that weather may not deliver. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage, brazil-weather-fx-to-pasture. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Colombian Llanos 7-day rain forecast: next-week forage forecast: high severity, 87% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 95.2 mm/week forecast for the next 7 days. Read it as a forward pasture, water, hay, and sale-timing signal, not as a historical weather note. Affects: Pasture recovery, heat load, water checks, supplement coverage, hay buying, milk yield, and whether the next weight gain still pays. Producer action: Move the next-week forecast into the sale-or-hold math: count forage days, check water, price hay, and avoid holding cattle for gain that weather may not deliver. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage, brazil-weather-fx-to-pasture. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, heat-load-to-milk-gain. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - New South Wales 7-day rain forecast: next-week forage forecast: high severity, 87% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 3.8 mm/week forecast for the next 7 days. Read it as a forward pasture, water, hay, and sale-timing signal, not as a historical weather note. Affects: Pasture recovery, heat load, water checks, supplement coverage, hay buying, milk yield, and whether the next weight gain still pays. Producer action: Move the next-week forecast into the sale-or-hold math: count forage days, check water, price hay, and avoid holding cattle for gain that weather may not deliver. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Western France 7-day rain forecast: next-week forage forecast: high severity, 87% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 2.9 mm/week forecast for the next 7 days. Read it as a forward pasture, water, hay, and sale-timing signal, not as a historical weather note. Affects: Pasture recovery, heat load, water checks, supplement coverage, hay buying, milk yield, and whether the next weight gain still pays. Producer action: Move the next-week forecast into the sale-or-hold math: count forage days, check water, price hay, and avoid holding cattle for gain that weather may not deliver. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - South Asia dairy clusters 7-day rain forecast: next-week forage forecast: high severity, 87% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 3.1 mm/week forecast for the next 7 days. Read it as a forward pasture, water, hay, and sale-timing signal, not as a historical weather note. Affects: Pasture recovery, heat load, water checks, supplement coverage, hay buying, milk yield, and whether the next weight gain still pays. Producer action: Move the next-week forecast into the sale-or-hold math: count forage days, check water, price hay, and avoid holding cattle for gain that weather may not deliver. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, heat-load-to-milk-gain. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Gulf import corridors 7-day rain forecast: next-week forage forecast: high severity, 87% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 0 mm/week forecast for the next 7 days. Read it as a forward pasture, water, hay, and sale-timing signal, not as a historical weather note. Affects: Pasture recovery, heat load, water checks, supplement coverage, hay buying, milk yield, and whether the next weight gain still pays. Producer action: Move the next-week forecast into the sale-or-hold math: count forage days, check water, price hay, and avoid holding cattle for gain that weather may not deliver. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, heat-load-to-milk-gain. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - South Africa Highveld 7-day rain forecast: next-week forage forecast: high severity, 87% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 0 mm/week forecast for the next 7 days. Read it as a forward pasture, water, hay, and sale-timing signal, not as a historical weather note. Affects: Pasture recovery, heat load, water checks, supplement coverage, hay buying, milk yield, and whether the next weight gain still pays. Producer action: Move the next-week forecast into the sale-or-hold math: count forage days, check water, price hay, and avoid holding cattle for gain that weather may not deliver. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Mato Grosso weather pressure: forage stress watch: high severity, 86% confidence, forward window 0-8 weeks. Signal: 1.6 mm reported for the latest 7-day rainfall window. That is a same-week pasture, water, and feed-margin signal. Affects: Pasture carrying days, hay demand, supplement cost, sale timing, and expected weight gain. Producer action: Count remaining forage days and reprice the next gain period before holding cattle only because the calendar says so. Sources: nasa-power. Source evidence links: nasa-weather-to-heat, brazil-weather-fx-to-pasture. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: drought-shock, crop-yield-shock. - Queensland weather pressure: forage stress watch: high severity, 86% confidence, forward window 0-8 weeks. Signal: 0 mm reported for the latest 7-day rainfall window. That is a same-week pasture, water, and feed-margin signal. Affects: Pasture carrying days, hay demand, supplement cost, sale timing, and expected weight gain. Producer action: Count remaining forage days and reprice the next gain period before holding cattle only because the calendar says so. Sources: nasa-power. Source evidence links: nasa-weather-to-heat. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: drought-shock, crop-yield-shock. - Corn COT positioning changes hedge and feed-risk timing: high severity, 86% confidence, forward window 1-8 weeks. Signal: 6 % net long / open interest in the latest CFTC Commitments of Traders report. Feed futures positioning is a weekly early-warning signal for ration coverage and crop-feed exposure. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, feedlot breakeven, crop selling, hay substitution, and retained weight. Producer action: Use the COT feed read with local corn, hay, freight, and weather before delaying ration coverage or holding cattle for extra gain. Sources: cftc-cot. Source evidence links: cftc-positioning-to-hedge-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: positioning-to-hedge-margin, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - North America FAO Sugar Price Index changes global margin context: high severity, 84% confidence, forward window 1 month to 12 months. Signal: FAO Sugar Price Index is 95.1 for 2026-05, +7.5% month over month and -13.1% year over year. Sugar price moves cane allocation, ethanol economics, and crop competition in Brazil and other cane regions. Affects: Cane allocation, ethanol pull, crop competition, Brazil input pressure, and feed-crop land use. Producer action: Reprice feed coverage, crop inventory, and the next gain period before assuming local feed offers will hold. Sources: fao-food-price. Source evidence links: fao-food-price-to-farm-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, fertilizer-energy-squeeze. - Latin America FAO Sugar Price Index changes global margin context: high severity, 84% confidence, forward window 1 month to 12 months. Signal: FAO Sugar Price Index is 95.1 for 2026-05, +7.5% month over month and -13.1% year over year. Sugar price moves cane allocation, ethanol economics, and crop competition in Brazil and other cane regions. Affects: Cane allocation, ethanol pull, crop competition, Brazil input pressure, and feed-crop land use. Producer action: Reprice feed coverage, crop inventory, and the next gain period before assuming local feed offers will hold. Sources: fao-food-price. Source evidence links: fao-food-price-to-farm-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, fertilizer-energy-squeeze. - Oceania FAO Sugar Price Index changes global margin context: high severity, 84% confidence, forward window 1 month to 12 months. Signal: FAO Sugar Price Index is 95.1 for 2026-05, +7.5% month over month and -13.1% year over year. Sugar price moves cane allocation, ethanol economics, and crop competition in Brazil and other cane regions. Affects: Cane allocation, ethanol pull, crop competition, Brazil input pressure, and feed-crop land use. Producer action: Reprice feed coverage, crop inventory, and the next gain period before assuming local feed offers will hold. Sources: fao-food-price. Source evidence links: fao-food-price-to-farm-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, fertilizer-energy-squeeze. - Europe FAO Sugar Price Index changes global margin context: high severity, 84% confidence, forward window 1 month to 12 months. Signal: FAO Sugar Price Index is 95.1 for 2026-05, +7.5% month over month and -13.1% year over year. Sugar price moves cane allocation, ethanol economics, and crop competition in Brazil and other cane regions. Affects: Cane allocation, ethanol pull, crop competition, Brazil input pressure, and feed-crop land use. Producer action: Reprice feed coverage, crop inventory, and the next gain period before assuming local feed offers will hold. Sources: fao-food-price. Source evidence links: fao-food-price-to-farm-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, fertilizer-energy-squeeze. - Africa and Asia FAO Sugar Price Index changes global margin context: high severity, 84% confidence, forward window 1 month to 12 months. Signal: FAO Sugar Price Index is 95.1 for 2026-05, +7.5% month over month and -13.1% year over year. Sugar price moves cane allocation, ethanol economics, and crop competition in Brazil and other cane regions. Affects: Cane allocation, ethanol pull, crop competition, Brazil input pressure, and feed-crop land use. Producer action: Reprice feed coverage, crop inventory, and the next gain period before assuming local feed offers will hold. Sources: fao-food-price. Source evidence links: fao-food-price-to-farm-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, fertilizer-energy-squeeze. - North America Global Brent crude oil price is moving the margin stack: high severity, 84% confidence, forward window Same month to 6 months. Signal: 107.5 $/bbl in the latest World Bank commodity sheet. Read this against pasture input, fertilizer, diesel, freight, and working capital. Affects: Pasture inputs, crop-feed cost, freight, hay replacement, working capital, and dairy ration pressure. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period, forage plan, and delivered-feed bill before buying inputs or holding cattle longer. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Latin America Global Brent crude oil price is moving the margin stack: high severity, 84% confidence, forward window Same month to 6 months. Signal: 107.5 $/bbl in the latest World Bank commodity sheet. Read this against pasture input, fertilizer, diesel, freight, and working capital. Affects: Pasture inputs, crop-feed cost, freight, hay replacement, working capital, and dairy ration pressure. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period, forage plan, and delivered-feed bill before buying inputs or holding cattle longer. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Oceania Global Brent crude oil price is moving the margin stack: high severity, 84% confidence, forward window Same month to 6 months. Signal: 107.5 $/bbl in the latest World Bank commodity sheet. Read this against pasture input, fertilizer, diesel, freight, and working capital. Affects: Pasture inputs, crop-feed cost, freight, hay replacement, working capital, and dairy ration pressure. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period, forage plan, and delivered-feed bill before buying inputs or holding cattle longer. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Europe Global Brent crude oil price is moving the margin stack: high severity, 84% confidence, forward window Same month to 6 months. Signal: 107.5 $/bbl in the latest World Bank commodity sheet. Read this against pasture input, fertilizer, diesel, freight, and working capital. Affects: Pasture inputs, crop-feed cost, freight, hay replacement, working capital, and dairy ration pressure. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period, forage plan, and delivered-feed bill before buying inputs or holding cattle longer. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Africa and Asia Global Brent crude oil price is moving the margin stack: high severity, 84% confidence, forward window Same month to 6 months. Signal: 107.5 $/bbl in the latest World Bank commodity sheet. Read this against pasture input, fertilizer, diesel, freight, and working capital. Affects: Pasture inputs, crop-feed cost, freight, hay replacement, working capital, and dairy ration pressure. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period, forage plan, and delivered-feed bill before buying inputs or holding cattle longer. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - North America Global DAP fertilizer price is moving the margin stack: high severity, 84% confidence, forward window Same month to 6 months. Signal: 770 $/mt in the latest World Bank commodity sheet. Read this against pasture input, fertilizer, diesel, freight, and working capital. Affects: Pasture inputs, crop-feed cost, freight, hay replacement, working capital, and dairy ration pressure. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period, forage plan, and delivered-feed bill before buying inputs or holding cattle longer. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Latin America Global DAP fertilizer price is moving the margin stack: high severity, 84% confidence, forward window Same month to 6 months. Signal: 770 $/mt in the latest World Bank commodity sheet. Read this against pasture input, fertilizer, diesel, freight, and working capital. Affects: Pasture inputs, crop-feed cost, freight, hay replacement, working capital, and dairy ration pressure. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period, forage plan, and delivered-feed bill before buying inputs or holding cattle longer. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Oceania Global DAP fertilizer price is moving the margin stack: high severity, 84% confidence, forward window Same month to 6 months. Signal: 770 $/mt in the latest World Bank commodity sheet. Read this against pasture input, fertilizer, diesel, freight, and working capital. Affects: Pasture inputs, crop-feed cost, freight, hay replacement, working capital, and dairy ration pressure. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period, forage plan, and delivered-feed bill before buying inputs or holding cattle longer. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Europe Global DAP fertilizer price is moving the margin stack: high severity, 84% confidence, forward window Same month to 6 months. Signal: 770 $/mt in the latest World Bank commodity sheet. Read this against pasture input, fertilizer, diesel, freight, and working capital. Affects: Pasture inputs, crop-feed cost, freight, hay replacement, working capital, and dairy ration pressure. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period, forage plan, and delivered-feed bill before buying inputs or holding cattle longer. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Africa and Asia Global DAP fertilizer price is moving the margin stack: high severity, 84% confidence, forward window Same month to 6 months. Signal: 770 $/mt in the latest World Bank commodity sheet. Read this against pasture input, fertilizer, diesel, freight, and working capital. Affects: Pasture inputs, crop-feed cost, freight, hay replacement, working capital, and dairy ration pressure. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period, forage plan, and delivered-feed bill before buying inputs or holding cattle longer. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - North America Global urea fertilizer price is moving the margin stack: high severity, 84% confidence, forward window Same month to 6 months. Signal: 771 $/mt in the latest World Bank commodity sheet. Read this against pasture input, fertilizer, diesel, freight, and working capital. Affects: Pasture inputs, crop-feed cost, freight, hay replacement, working capital, and dairy ration pressure. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period, forage plan, and delivered-feed bill before buying inputs or holding cattle longer. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Latin America Global urea fertilizer price is moving the margin stack: high severity, 84% confidence, forward window Same month to 6 months. Signal: 771 $/mt in the latest World Bank commodity sheet. Read this against pasture input, fertilizer, diesel, freight, and working capital. Affects: Pasture inputs, crop-feed cost, freight, hay replacement, working capital, and dairy ration pressure. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period, forage plan, and delivered-feed bill before buying inputs or holding cattle longer. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Oceania Global urea fertilizer price is moving the margin stack: high severity, 84% confidence, forward window Same month to 6 months. Signal: 771 $/mt in the latest World Bank commodity sheet. Read this against pasture input, fertilizer, diesel, freight, and working capital. Affects: Pasture inputs, crop-feed cost, freight, hay replacement, working capital, and dairy ration pressure. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period, forage plan, and delivered-feed bill before buying inputs or holding cattle longer. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Europe Global urea fertilizer price is moving the margin stack: high severity, 84% confidence, forward window Same month to 6 months. Signal: 771 $/mt in the latest World Bank commodity sheet. Read this against pasture input, fertilizer, diesel, freight, and working capital. Affects: Pasture inputs, crop-feed cost, freight, hay replacement, working capital, and dairy ration pressure. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period, forage plan, and delivered-feed bill before buying inputs or holding cattle longer. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Africa and Asia Global urea fertilizer price is moving the margin stack: high severity, 84% confidence, forward window Same month to 6 months. Signal: 771 $/mt in the latest World Bank commodity sheet. Read this against pasture input, fertilizer, diesel, freight, and working capital. Affects: Pasture inputs, crop-feed cost, freight, hay replacement, working capital, and dairy ration pressure. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period, forage plan, and delivered-feed bill before buying inputs or holding cattle longer. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Sorghum export pull weekly exports changed weekly buyer pull: high severity, 84% confidence, forward window Same week to 4 weeks. Signal: 184 thousand mt in the latest USDA FAS export-sales XML. Weekly change is +2605%. Affects: Corn, sorghum, and meal export pull can change domestic feed basis, ration coverage, feeder bids, and gain economics. Producer action: Check delivered feed and basis before buying feeders, holding cattle for more weight, or leaving protein needs uncovered. Sources: usda-esr. Source evidence links: export-sales-to-buyer-pull, fas-trade-to-basis, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, export-disruption. - USD/BRL changes the cattle bid and the input bill at the same time: high severity, 82% confidence, forward window Same day to 4 weeks. Signal: Latest Banco Central reading is 5.1244 BRL/USD. A weaker real can help export bids while making feed, fertilizer, fuel, and equipment dearer. Affects: Arroba bids, imported feed and fertilizer, diesel, machinery, replacement finance, and dairy ration cost. Producer action: Do the sale-timing math twice: once in local currency and once in dollar-linked input/export terms. Sources: brazil-bcb-sgs. Source evidence links: bcb-fx-to-export-inputs. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis, dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: export-disruption, fertilizer-energy-squeeze. - North America FAO Cereal Price Index changes global margin context: high severity, 80% confidence, forward window 1 month to 12 months. Signal: FAO Cereal Price Index is 114.3 for 2026-05, +2.7% month over month and +4.9% year over year. Cereal-price pressure is a feed and crop-margin signal before delivered ration or hay values fully reset. Affects: Feed grain pressure, oilseed meal economics, ration cost, crop rotation, and replacement-cattle bids. Producer action: Reprice feed coverage, crop inventory, and the next gain period before assuming local feed offers will hold. Sources: fao-food-price. Source evidence links: fao-food-price-to-farm-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, fertilizer-energy-squeeze. - Latin America FAO Cereal Price Index changes global margin context: high severity, 80% confidence, forward window 1 month to 12 months. Signal: FAO Cereal Price Index is 114.3 for 2026-05, +2.7% month over month and +4.9% year over year. Cereal-price pressure is a feed and crop-margin signal before delivered ration or hay values fully reset. Affects: Feed grain pressure, oilseed meal economics, ration cost, crop rotation, and replacement-cattle bids. Producer action: Reprice feed coverage, crop inventory, and the next gain period before assuming local feed offers will hold. Sources: fao-food-price. Source evidence links: fao-food-price-to-farm-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, fertilizer-energy-squeeze. - Oceania FAO Cereal Price Index changes global margin context: high severity, 80% confidence, forward window 1 month to 12 months. Signal: FAO Cereal Price Index is 114.3 for 2026-05, +2.7% month over month and +4.9% year over year. Cereal-price pressure is a feed and crop-margin signal before delivered ration or hay values fully reset. Affects: Feed grain pressure, oilseed meal economics, ration cost, crop rotation, and replacement-cattle bids. Producer action: Reprice feed coverage, crop inventory, and the next gain period before assuming local feed offers will hold. Sources: fao-food-price. Source evidence links: fao-food-price-to-farm-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, fertilizer-energy-squeeze. - Europe FAO Cereal Price Index changes global margin context: high severity, 80% confidence, forward window 1 month to 12 months. Signal: FAO Cereal Price Index is 114.3 for 2026-05, +2.7% month over month and +4.9% year over year. Cereal-price pressure is a feed and crop-margin signal before delivered ration or hay values fully reset. Affects: Feed grain pressure, oilseed meal economics, ration cost, crop rotation, and replacement-cattle bids. Producer action: Reprice feed coverage, crop inventory, and the next gain period before assuming local feed offers will hold. Sources: fao-food-price. Source evidence links: fao-food-price-to-farm-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, fertilizer-energy-squeeze. - Africa and Asia FAO Cereal Price Index changes global margin context: high severity, 80% confidence, forward window 1 month to 12 months. Signal: FAO Cereal Price Index is 114.3 for 2026-05, +2.7% month over month and +4.9% year over year. Cereal-price pressure is a feed and crop-margin signal before delivered ration or hay values fully reset. Affects: Feed grain pressure, oilseed meal economics, ration cost, crop rotation, and replacement-cattle bids. Producer action: Reprice feed coverage, crop inventory, and the next gain period before assuming local feed offers will hold. Sources: fao-food-price. Source evidence links: fao-food-price-to-farm-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, fertilizer-energy-squeeze. - White maize grain flow through the Burundi-Tanzania corridor changes cross-border market flow: high severity, 80% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 9 months. Signal: FEWS NET Data Warehouse reports 337,803 kg of white maize grain moving through the Burundi-Tanzania maize-grain corridor in 2024-09-30, across 8 public cross-border trade rows (Burundi -> Tanzania, Tanzania -> Burundi). Change is +53.3% versus 2024-08-31. Use this as an early signal for staple/feed availability, ration substitution, freight, and local grain basis. Border points: Gahumo, Gasenyi - Gisagara, Bikobe - Budaketwa, Bushubi. Affects: Staple/feed availability, ration substitution, freight pressure, crop selling, local grain basis, and cattle gain economics. Producer action: Check cross-border grain flow against local feed quotes before leaving ration coverage open or holding cattle for extra gain. Sources: fews-net. Source evidence links: fews-market-food-security-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock, export-disruption. - U.S. livestock product producer price index changes feed-margin math: high severity, 80% confidence, forward window Same month to 3 months. Signal: 168.7 index in the latest BLS public time-series file. Feed-linked producer prices can move faster than cattle sale values. Affects: Feed breakeven, hay substitution, ration cost, feeder bids, dairy margin, and working capital. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period and feed coverage before holding cattle for extra weight. Sources: bls-ag-inputs. Source evidence links: bls-inputs-to-feed-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, fertilizer-energy-squeeze, milk-margin-squeeze. - U.S. processed food and feed producer price index changes feed-margin math: high severity, 80% confidence, forward window Same month to 3 months. Signal: 118.3 index in the latest BLS public time-series file. Feed-linked producer prices can move faster than cattle sale values. Affects: Feed breakeven, hay substitution, ration cost, feeder bids, dairy margin, and working capital. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period and feed coverage before holding cattle for extra weight. Sources: bls-ag-inputs. Source evidence links: bls-inputs-to-feed-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, fertilizer-energy-squeeze, milk-margin-squeeze. - Ireland raw milk price changes EU dairy-beef margin: high severity, 80% confidence, forward window 1-8 weeks. Signal: 39.82 EUR/100kg in the latest EU Milk Market Observatory data. Farmgate milk price is the first check on whether extra ration and slower culling still pay. Affects: Cull timing, ration intensity, milk-check risk, replacement finance, and dairy-beef supply. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement purchases before assuming the milk check will cover the next feed period. Sources: eu-milk. Source evidence links: eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - Germany raw milk price changes EU dairy-beef margin: high severity, 80% confidence, forward window 1-8 weeks. Signal: 40.54 EUR/100kg in the latest EU Milk Market Observatory data. Farmgate milk price is the first check on whether extra ration and slower culling still pay. Affects: Cull timing, ration intensity, milk-check risk, replacement finance, and dairy-beef supply. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement purchases before assuming the milk check will cover the next feed period. Sources: eu-milk. Source evidence links: eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - Netherlands raw milk price changes EU dairy-beef margin: high severity, 80% confidence, forward window 1-8 weeks. Signal: 41.75 EUR/100kg in the latest EU Milk Market Observatory data. Farmgate milk price is the first check on whether extra ration and slower culling still pay. Affects: Cull timing, ration intensity, milk-check risk, replacement finance, and dairy-beef supply. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement purchases before assuming the milk check will cover the next feed period. Sources: eu-milk. Source evidence links: eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - North America Global beef price is moving the margin stack: high severity, 78% confidence, forward window Same month to 6 months. Signal: 7.95 $/kg in the latest World Bank commodity sheet. Read this against export demand, cull values, and local cattle basis. Affects: Export pull, cull value, processor bid floor, dairy-beef supply, and local basis. Producer action: Compare global beef with local bids before deciding whether weak local price is local supply, export demand, or currency. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven, macro-fx-to-export-bids, gdt-to-dairy-cull. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis, dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: export-disruption, milk-margin-squeeze. - Latin America Global beef price is moving the margin stack: high severity, 78% confidence, forward window Same month to 6 months. Signal: 7.95 $/kg in the latest World Bank commodity sheet. Read this against export demand, cull values, and local cattle basis. Affects: Export pull, cull value, processor bid floor, dairy-beef supply, and local basis. Producer action: Compare global beef with local bids before deciding whether weak local price is local supply, export demand, or currency. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven, macro-fx-to-export-bids, gdt-to-dairy-cull. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis, dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: export-disruption, milk-margin-squeeze. - Oceania Global beef price is moving the margin stack: high severity, 78% confidence, forward window Same month to 6 months. Signal: 7.95 $/kg in the latest World Bank commodity sheet. Read this against export demand, cull values, and local cattle basis. Affects: Export pull, cull value, processor bid floor, dairy-beef supply, and local basis. Producer action: Compare global beef with local bids before deciding whether weak local price is local supply, export demand, or currency. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven, macro-fx-to-export-bids, gdt-to-dairy-cull. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis, dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: export-disruption, milk-margin-squeeze. - Europe Global beef price is moving the margin stack: high severity, 78% confidence, forward window Same month to 6 months. Signal: 7.95 $/kg in the latest World Bank commodity sheet. Read this against export demand, cull values, and local cattle basis. Affects: Export pull, cull value, processor bid floor, dairy-beef supply, and local basis. Producer action: Compare global beef with local bids before deciding whether weak local price is local supply, export demand, or currency. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven, macro-fx-to-export-bids, gdt-to-dairy-cull. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis, dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: export-disruption, milk-margin-squeeze. - Africa and Asia Global beef price is moving the margin stack: high severity, 78% confidence, forward window Same month to 6 months. Signal: 7.95 $/kg in the latest World Bank commodity sheet. Read this against export demand, cull values, and local cattle basis. Affects: Export pull, cull value, processor bid floor, dairy-beef supply, and local basis. Producer action: Compare global beef with local bids before deciding whether weak local price is local supply, export demand, or currency. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven, macro-fx-to-export-bids, gdt-to-dairy-cull. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis, dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: export-disruption, milk-margin-squeeze. - North America Global maize price is moving the margin stack: high severity, 78% confidence, forward window Same month to 6 months. Signal: 216 $/mt in the latest World Bank commodity sheet. Read this against ration cost, hay substitution, and feeder bids. Affects: Ration cost, feedlot breakeven, hay substitution, gain economics, and feeder bids. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period, forage plan, and delivered-feed bill before buying inputs or holding cattle longer. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Latin America Global maize price is moving the margin stack: high severity, 78% confidence, forward window Same month to 6 months. Signal: 216 $/mt in the latest World Bank commodity sheet. Read this against ration cost, hay substitution, and feeder bids. Affects: Ration cost, feedlot breakeven, hay substitution, gain economics, and feeder bids. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period, forage plan, and delivered-feed bill before buying inputs or holding cattle longer. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Oceania Global maize price is moving the margin stack: high severity, 78% confidence, forward window Same month to 6 months. Signal: 216 $/mt in the latest World Bank commodity sheet. Read this against ration cost, hay substitution, and feeder bids. Affects: Ration cost, feedlot breakeven, hay substitution, gain economics, and feeder bids. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period, forage plan, and delivered-feed bill before buying inputs or holding cattle longer. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Europe Global maize price is moving the margin stack: high severity, 78% confidence, forward window Same month to 6 months. Signal: 216 $/mt in the latest World Bank commodity sheet. Read this against ration cost, hay substitution, and feeder bids. Affects: Ration cost, feedlot breakeven, hay substitution, gain economics, and feeder bids. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period, forage plan, and delivered-feed bill before buying inputs or holding cattle longer. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Africa and Asia Global maize price is moving the margin stack: high severity, 78% confidence, forward window Same month to 6 months. Signal: 216 $/mt in the latest World Bank commodity sheet. Read this against ration cost, hay substitution, and feeder bids. Affects: Ration cost, feedlot breakeven, hay substitution, gain economics, and feeder bids. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period, forage plan, and delivered-feed bill before buying inputs or holding cattle longer. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - North America Global soybean meal price is moving the margin stack: high severity, 78% confidence, forward window Same month to 6 months. Signal: 421 $/mt in the latest World Bank commodity sheet. Read this against ration cost, hay substitution, and feeder bids. Affects: Ration cost, feedlot breakeven, hay substitution, gain economics, and feeder bids. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period, forage plan, and delivered-feed bill before buying inputs or holding cattle longer. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Latin America Global soybean meal price is moving the margin stack: high severity, 78% confidence, forward window Same month to 6 months. Signal: 421 $/mt in the latest World Bank commodity sheet. Read this against ration cost, hay substitution, and feeder bids. Affects: Ration cost, feedlot breakeven, hay substitution, gain economics, and feeder bids. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period, forage plan, and delivered-feed bill before buying inputs or holding cattle longer. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Oceania Global soybean meal price is moving the margin stack: high severity, 78% confidence, forward window Same month to 6 months. Signal: 421 $/mt in the latest World Bank commodity sheet. Read this against ration cost, hay substitution, and feeder bids. Affects: Ration cost, feedlot breakeven, hay substitution, gain economics, and feeder bids. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period, forage plan, and delivered-feed bill before buying inputs or holding cattle longer. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Europe Global soybean meal price is moving the margin stack: high severity, 78% confidence, forward window Same month to 6 months. Signal: 421 $/mt in the latest World Bank commodity sheet. Read this against ration cost, hay substitution, and feeder bids. Affects: Ration cost, feedlot breakeven, hay substitution, gain economics, and feeder bids. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period, forage plan, and delivered-feed bill before buying inputs or holding cattle longer. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Africa and Asia Global soybean meal price is moving the margin stack: high severity, 78% confidence, forward window Same month to 6 months. Signal: 421 $/mt in the latest World Bank commodity sheet. Read this against ration cost, hay substitution, and feeder bids. Affects: Ration cost, feedlot breakeven, hay substitution, gain economics, and feeder bids. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period, forage plan, and delivered-feed bill before buying inputs or holding cattle longer. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Latin America Fertilizer use intensity sets the structural baseline: high severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 197 kg/ha reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Crop-feed cost, pasture input decisions, working capital, and planting margin. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Europe Fertilizer use intensity sets the structural baseline: high severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 385 kg/ha reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Crop-feed cost, pasture input decisions, working capital, and planting margin. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Africa and Asia Fertilizer use intensity sets the structural baseline: high severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 297 kg/ha reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Crop-feed cost, pasture input decisions, working capital, and planting margin. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Brazil Fertilizer use intensity sets the structural baseline: high severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 344 kg/ha reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Crop-feed cost, pasture input decisions, working capital, and planting margin. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Colombia Fertilizer use intensity sets the structural baseline: high severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 373 kg/ha reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Crop-feed cost, pasture input decisions, working capital, and planting margin. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Chile Fertilizer use intensity sets the structural baseline: high severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 250 kg/ha reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Crop-feed cost, pasture input decisions, working capital, and planting margin. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Ireland Fertilizer use intensity sets the structural baseline: high severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 896 kg/ha reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Crop-feed cost, pasture input decisions, working capital, and planting margin. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - United Kingdom Fertilizer use intensity sets the structural baseline: high severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 191 kg/ha reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Crop-feed cost, pasture input decisions, working capital, and planting margin. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - India Fertilizer use intensity sets the structural baseline: high severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 199 kg/ha reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Crop-feed cost, pasture input decisions, working capital, and planting margin. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - China Fertilizer use intensity sets the structural baseline: high severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 394 kg/ha reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Crop-feed cost, pasture input decisions, working capital, and planting margin. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Egypt Fertilizer use intensity sets the structural baseline: high severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 533 kg/ha reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Crop-feed cost, pasture input decisions, working capital, and planting margin. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Latin America Consumer inflation pressure sets the structural baseline: high severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 112.1 % reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Working capital, input affordability, consumer demand, and local bid resilience. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, export-disruption. - Argentina Consumer inflation pressure sets the structural baseline: high severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 219.9 % reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Working capital, input affordability, consumer demand, and local bid resilience. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, export-disruption. - Ethiopia Consumer inflation pressure sets the structural baseline: high severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 21 % reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Working capital, input affordability, consumer demand, and local bid resilience. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, export-disruption. - Egypt Consumer inflation pressure sets the structural baseline: high severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 28.3 % reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Working capital, input affordability, consumer demand, and local bid resilience. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, export-disruption. - CONUS severe drought footprint changes forage and retention risk: medium severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1-8 weeks. Signal: 31 % D2+ area in the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. D2+ is the official severe-drought footprint to read before assuming pasture, hay, and water pressure stay local. Affects: Cow retention, calf movement, hay demand, stocker gain, water checks, local basis, and replacement price. Producer action: Keep the drought class beside the 7-day rain forecast before changing stocking, supplement, hay buying, or retained-ownership plans. Sources: us-drought-monitor. Source evidence links: drought-to-retention, open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Brazil corn stock-to-use cover changes Brazil feed-margin cover: medium severity, 90% confidence, forward window 1 month to 18 months. Signal: 9.2 % in the latest CONAB supply-demand dashboard. Stock-to-use cover tells whether crop supply can absorb feed demand, exports, weather, and freight without repricing local rations. Affects: Delivered corn and meal cost, supplement buying, crop selling, feedlot breakeven, pasture substitution, and retained weight. Producer action: Keep CONAB crop balance beside CEPEA feed prices, USD/BRL, and local bids before changing sale or ration coverage. Sources: conab. Source evidence links: conab-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, bcb-fx-to-export-inputs. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Texas severe drought footprint changes forage and retention risk: medium severity, 89% confidence, forward window 1-8 weeks. Signal: 31 % D2+ area in the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. D2+ is the official severe-drought footprint to read before assuming pasture, hay, and water pressure stay local. Affects: Cow retention, calf movement, hay demand, stocker gain, water checks, local basis, and replacement price. Producer action: Keep the drought class beside the 7-day rain forecast before changing stocking, supplement, hay buying, or retained-ownership plans. Sources: us-drought-monitor. Source evidence links: drought-to-retention, open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Kansas severe drought footprint changes forage and retention risk: medium severity, 89% confidence, forward window 1-8 weeks. Signal: 25 % D2+ area in the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. D2+ is the official severe-drought footprint to read before assuming pasture, hay, and water pressure stay local. Affects: Cow retention, calf movement, hay demand, stocker gain, water checks, local basis, and replacement price. Producer action: Keep the drought class beside the 7-day rain forecast before changing stocking, supplement, hay buying, or retained-ownership plans. Sources: us-drought-monitor. Source evidence links: drought-to-retention, open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike. - U.S. cattle on feed changes the official cattle on feed read: medium severity, 89% confidence, forward window 3-24 months. Signal: 11.6 million head in the 2026-05-22 USDA NASS Cattle on Feed; +2.0% versus the prior period. This is an official supply, feed, dairy, or pasture signal to read before treating local prices as isolated. Affects: Replacement plans, cow retention, feeder supply, calf availability, feedlot leverage, and long-cycle basis risk. Producer action: Reset retention, replacement, and feeder-buying assumptions before relying on last month's supply narrative. Sources: usda-nass. Source evidence links: nass-inventory-to-cycle. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - U.S. feedlot placements changes the official cattle on feed read: medium severity, 89% confidence, forward window 3-24 months. Signal: 1.7 million head in the 2026-05-22 USDA NASS Cattle on Feed; +6.0% versus the prior period. This is an official supply, feed, dairy, or pasture signal to read before treating local prices as isolated. Affects: Replacement plans, cow retention, feeder supply, calf availability, feedlot leverage, and long-cycle basis risk. Producer action: Reset retention, replacement, and feeder-buying assumptions before relying on last month's supply narrative. Sources: usda-nass. Source evidence links: nass-inventory-to-cycle. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - U.S. all-feedlot cattle on feed changes the official cattle read: medium severity, 89% confidence, forward window 3-24 months. Signal: 13.8 million head in the 2026-01-30 USDA NASS Cattle; -3.0% versus the prior period. This is an official supply, feed, dairy, or pasture signal to read before treating local prices as isolated. Affects: Replacement plans, cow retention, feeder supply, calf availability, feedlot leverage, and long-cycle basis risk. Producer action: Reset retention, replacement, and feeder-buying assumptions before relying on last month's supply narrative. Sources: usda-nass. Source evidence links: nass-inventory-to-cycle. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - U.S. calf crop changes the official cattle read: medium severity, 89% confidence, forward window 3-24 months. Signal: 32.9 million head in the 2026-01-30 USDA NASS Cattle; -2.0% versus the prior period. This is an official supply, feed, dairy, or pasture signal to read before treating local prices as isolated. Affects: Replacement plans, cow retention, feeder supply, calf availability, feedlot leverage, and long-cycle basis risk. Producer action: Reset retention, replacement, and feeder-buying assumptions before relying on last month's supply narrative. Sources: usda-nass. Source evidence links: nass-inventory-to-cycle. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - U.S. beef production changes the official livestock slaughter read: medium severity, 89% confidence, forward window 1-8 weeks. Signal: 2 billion pounds in the 2026-05-21 USDA NASS Livestock Slaughter; -6.0% versus the prior period. This is an official supply, feed, dairy, or pasture signal to read before treating local prices as isolated. Affects: Packer pull, sale weights, cull-cow value, local bids, boxed-beef support, and sale-window confidence. Producer action: Check slaughter flow and live weights against local bids before holding unpriced cattle or assuming packer demand is unchanged. Sources: usda-nass. Source evidence links: nass-inventory-to-cycle, ams-price-to-sale-window. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - China PSD soybean meal feed balance updates the long-cycle supply read: medium severity, 89% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 84,700 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for China. The balance sheet is +2.0% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Feed availability, import exposure, ration coverage, feeder bids, retained-weight economics, and crop-to-cattle margin. Producer action: Use the PSD feed balance with delivered corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before locking ration coverage or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - India PSD fluid milk and dairy cow supply updates the long-cycle supply read: medium severity, 89% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 221,400 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for India. The balance sheet is +2.3% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Milk supply, dairy cull timing, dairy-beef flow, ration demand, heat-risk sensitivity, and replacement appetite. Producer action: Put the PSD milk read beside feed cost, heat, and local milk price before changing cull timing or expansion plans. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: heat-load-to-milk-gain, export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - India PSD corn feed balance updates the long-cycle supply read: medium severity, 89% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 28,000 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for India. The balance sheet is +3.7% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Feed availability, import exposure, ration coverage, feeder bids, retained-weight economics, and crop-to-cattle margin. Producer action: Use the PSD feed balance with delivered corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before locking ration coverage or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - European Union PSD cattle herd and slaughter updates the long-cycle supply read: medium severity, 89% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 69,950 thousand head in USDA FAS PSD for European Union. The balance sheet is -1.3% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Replacement supply, cow retention, slaughter availability, feeder flow, and the long-cycle floor under cattle prices. Producer action: Use the PSD herd balance before retaining replacements, buying feeders, or assuming local supply will stay loose or tight. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: nass-inventory-to-cycle, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Argentina PSD beef supply and trade updates the long-cycle supply read: medium severity, 89% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 3,080 thousand metric tons CWE in USDA FAS PSD for Argentina. The balance sheet is -2.1% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Beef supply, export pull, processor leverage, cull-cow value, basis confidence, and sale-window strength. Producer action: Compare PSD beef supply and trade with local bids before deciding whether price weakness is temporary noise or real buyer leverage. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: fas-trade-to-basis, export-sales-to-buyer-pull. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, disease-alert. - Brazil PSD fluid milk and dairy cow supply updates the long-cycle supply read: medium severity, 89% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 29,350 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for Brazil. The balance sheet is +2.3% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Milk supply, dairy cull timing, dairy-beef flow, ration demand, heat-risk sensitivity, and replacement appetite. Producer action: Put the PSD milk read beside feed cost, heat, and local milk price before changing cull timing or expansion plans. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: heat-load-to-milk-gain, export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - Brazil PSD corn feed balance updates the long-cycle supply read: medium severity, 89% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 65,000 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for Brazil. The balance sheet is +3.2% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Feed availability, import exposure, ration coverage, feeder bids, retained-weight economics, and crop-to-cattle margin. Producer action: Use the PSD feed balance with delivered corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before locking ration coverage or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Canada PSD cattle herd and slaughter updates the long-cycle supply read: medium severity, 89% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 11,250 thousand head in USDA FAS PSD for Canada. The balance sheet is +1.0% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Replacement supply, cow retention, slaughter availability, feeder flow, and the long-cycle floor under cattle prices. Producer action: Use the PSD herd balance before retaining replacements, buying feeders, or assuming local supply will stay loose or tight. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: nass-inventory-to-cycle, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Canada PSD corn feed balance updates the long-cycle supply read: medium severity, 89% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 8,800 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for Canada. The balance sheet is +2.3% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Feed availability, import exposure, ration coverage, feeder bids, retained-weight economics, and crop-to-cattle margin. Producer action: Use the PSD feed balance with delivered corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before locking ration coverage or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Mexico PSD corn feed balance updates the long-cycle supply read: medium severity, 89% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 30,500 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for Mexico. The balance sheet is +3.4% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Feed availability, import exposure, ration coverage, feeder bids, retained-weight economics, and crop-to-cattle margin. Producer action: Use the PSD feed balance with delivered corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before locking ration coverage or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Australia PSD cattle herd and slaughter updates the long-cycle supply read: medium severity, 89% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 27,721 thousand head in USDA FAS PSD for Australia. The balance sheet is +1.3% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Replacement supply, cow retention, slaughter availability, feeder flow, and the long-cycle floor under cattle prices. Producer action: Use the PSD herd balance before retaining replacements, buying feeders, or assuming local supply will stay loose or tight. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: nass-inventory-to-cycle, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Australia PSD soybean meal feed balance updates the long-cycle supply read: medium severity, 89% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 1,015 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for Australia. The balance sheet is +2.5% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Feed availability, import exposure, ration coverage, feeder bids, retained-weight economics, and crop-to-cattle margin. Producer action: Use the PSD feed balance with delivered corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before locking ration coverage or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - New Zealand PSD beef supply and trade updates the long-cycle supply read: medium severity, 89% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 700 thousand metric tons CWE in USDA FAS PSD for New Zealand. The balance sheet is +3.9% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Beef supply, export pull, processor leverage, cull-cow value, basis confidence, and sale-window strength. Producer action: Compare PSD beef supply and trade with local bids before deciding whether price weakness is temporary noise or real buyer leverage. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: fas-trade-to-basis, export-sales-to-buyer-pull. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, disease-alert. - Uganda WFP maize market price changes local staple and feed pressure: medium severity, 88% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: WFP VAM food prices reports Maize flour at 0.65 $/kg in Uganda on 2026-04-15, averaged across 20 physical markets and 33 public price rows. Change is +11.8% versus 2026-03-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Affects: Feed substitution, household selling pressure, crop demand, local market depth, ration cost, and sale timing. Producer action: Keep WFP market prices beside local cattle bids, pasture, and feed quotes before deciding whether to hold, sell, or buy supplement. Sources: wfp-vam. Source evidence links: wfp-vam-food-price-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock. - U.S. beef export demand weekly exports changed weekly buyer pull: medium severity, 88% confidence, forward window Same week to 4 weeks. Signal: 10 thousand mt in the latest USDA FAS export-sales XML. Weekly change is -31%. Affects: Beef export demand changes packer leverage, boxed-beef support, local basis, cull value, and sale-window confidence. Producer action: Check export-linked buyer pull against local bids before deciding whether to sell, hold weight, or shop another packer. Sources: usda-esr. Source evidence links: export-sales-to-buyer-pull, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Steer and heifer-feed ratio changes feed-margin pressure: medium severity, 88% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: 56 bu/cwt in the USDA ERS Feed Grains Database. This is an official feed, forage, and byproduct-cost input for cattle breakevens. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, feedlot breakeven, crop-feed tradeoffs, and retained weight. Producer action: Reprice the next feed turn now: compare local corn, hay, protein, freight, and cattle bids before holding weight or leaving ration coverage open. Sources: usda-ers-feed-grains. Source evidence links: ers-feed-grains-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - U.S. negotiated live cattle cash price changes the sale window: medium severity, 88% confidence, forward window Same day to 2 weeks. Signal: 257.36 $/cwt in the latest USDA AMS public report. This is the closest daily public check on U.S. live cattle bid strength. Affects: Cash bid strength, packer leverage, sale timing, retained-weight economics, and U.S. feeder confidence. Producer action: Compare your local bid against the national negotiated range before deciding to sell now, add pounds, or wait for another packer call. Sources: usda-ams. Source evidence links: ams-price-to-sale-window. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - China corn ending stocks changes the monthly feed and supply read: medium severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 166.1 million tonnes in the May 2026 WASDE for 2026/27; -6.8% versus 2025/26. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, hay substitution, crop-to-cattle margin, feeder bids, and whether retained weight still pays. Producer action: Put the WASDE revision beside local corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before buying feed, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - India soybean meal domestic use changes the monthly feed and supply read: medium severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 7.1 million tonnes in the May 2026 WASDE for 2026/27; +4.0% versus 2025/26. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, hay substitution, crop-to-cattle margin, feeder bids, and whether retained weight still pays. Producer action: Put the WASDE revision beside local corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before buying feed, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - European Union corn ending stocks changes the monthly feed and supply read: medium severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 5.4 million tonnes in the May 2026 WASDE for 2026/27; +5.9% versus 2025/26. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, hay substitution, crop-to-cattle margin, feeder bids, and whether retained weight still pays. Producer action: Put the WASDE revision beside local corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before buying feed, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Brazil corn feed demand changes the monthly feed and supply read: medium severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 65 million tonnes in the May 2026 WASDE for 2026/27; +3.2% versus 2025/26. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, hay substitution, crop-to-cattle margin, feeder bids, and whether retained weight still pays. Producer action: Put the WASDE revision beside local corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before buying feed, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Brazil soybean meal domestic use changes the monthly feed and supply read: medium severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 23 million tonnes in the May 2026 WASDE for 2026/27; +5.5% versus 2025/26. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, hay substitution, crop-to-cattle margin, feeder bids, and whether retained weight still pays. Producer action: Put the WASDE revision beside local corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before buying feed, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Mexico corn feed demand changes the monthly feed and supply read: medium severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 30.5 million tonnes in the May 2026 WASDE for 2026/27; +3.4% versus 2025/26. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, hay substitution, crop-to-cattle margin, feeder bids, and whether retained weight still pays. Producer action: Put the WASDE revision beside local corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before buying feed, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Canada corn ending stocks changes the monthly feed and supply read: medium severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 1.6 million tonnes in the May 2026 WASDE for 2026/27; -6.1% versus 2025/26. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, hay substitution, crop-to-cattle margin, feeder bids, and whether retained weight still pays. Producer action: Put the WASDE revision beside local corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before buying feed, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Mexico soybean meal domestic use changes the monthly feed and supply read: medium severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 8.5 million tonnes in the May 2026 WASDE for 2026/27; +4.5% versus 2025/26. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, hay substitution, crop-to-cattle margin, feeder bids, and whether retained weight still pays. Producer action: Put the WASDE revision beside local corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before buying feed, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - World corn ending stocks changes the monthly feed and supply read: medium severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 277.5 million tonnes in the May 2026 WASDE for 2026/27; -6.5% versus 2025/26. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, hay substitution, crop-to-cattle margin, feeder bids, and whether retained weight still pays. Producer action: Put the WASDE revision beside local corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before buying feed, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Corn price received by farmers changes feed-margin pressure: medium severity, 87% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: 4 $/bu in the USDA ERS Feed Grains Database. This is an official feed, forage, and byproduct-cost input for cattle breakevens. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, feedlot breakeven, crop-feed tradeoffs, and retained weight. Producer action: Reprice the next feed turn now: compare local corn, hay, protein, freight, and cattle bids before holding weight or leaving ration coverage open. Sources: usda-ers-feed-grains. Source evidence links: ers-feed-grains-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Hay stocks on farms changes feed-margin pressure: medium severity, 87% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: 23,287 thousand tons in the USDA ERS Feed Grains Database. This is an official feed, forage, and byproduct-cost input for cattle breakevens. Affects: Hay buying, pasture carrying days, supplement plans, ration substitution, and sale timing. Producer action: Reprice the next feed turn now: compare local corn, hay, protein, freight, and cattle bids before holding weight or leaving ration coverage open. Sources: usda-ers-feed-grains. Source evidence links: ers-feed-grains-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock. - Oceania GDT Anhydrous Milkfat changes dairy margin pressure: medium severity, 87% confidence, forward window Same event to 8 weeks. Signal: 6,668 $/mt in the latest Global Dairy Trade public results. The event-to-event index move is +5.3%. Affects: Milk-check expectations, ration tolerance, cull timing, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, processor support, and export-linked demand. Producer action: Do not assume a stronger dairy auction automatically pays for more feed; compare the milk check, cull value, and replacement price first. Sources: gdt-events. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - Europe GDT Anhydrous Milkfat changes dairy margin pressure: medium severity, 87% confidence, forward window Same event to 8 weeks. Signal: 6,668 $/mt in the latest Global Dairy Trade public results. The event-to-event index move is +5.3%. Affects: Milk-check expectations, ration tolerance, cull timing, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, processor support, and export-linked demand. Producer action: Do not assume a stronger dairy auction automatically pays for more feed; compare the milk check, cull value, and replacement price first. Sources: gdt-events. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - Latin America GDT Anhydrous Milkfat changes dairy margin pressure: medium severity, 87% confidence, forward window Same event to 8 weeks. Signal: 6,668 $/mt in the latest Global Dairy Trade public results. The event-to-event index move is +5.3%. Affects: Milk-check expectations, ration tolerance, cull timing, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, processor support, and export-linked demand. Producer action: Do not assume a stronger dairy auction automatically pays for more feed; compare the milk check, cull value, and replacement price first. Sources: gdt-events. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - Africa/Asia GDT Anhydrous Milkfat changes dairy margin pressure: medium severity, 87% confidence, forward window Same event to 8 weeks. Signal: 6,668 $/mt in the latest Global Dairy Trade public results. The event-to-event index move is +5.3%. Affects: Milk-check expectations, ration tolerance, cull timing, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, processor support, and export-linked demand. Producer action: Do not assume a stronger dairy auction automatically pays for more feed; compare the milk check, cull value, and replacement price first. Sources: gdt-events. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - Soybean meal export pull net sales changed weekly buyer pull: medium severity, 86% confidence, forward window 1-6 weeks. Signal: 169 thousand mt in the latest USDA FAS export-sales XML. Weekly change is -44%. Affects: Corn, sorghum, and meal export pull can change domestic feed basis, ration coverage, feeder bids, and gain economics. Producer action: Check delivered feed and basis before buying feeders, holding cattle for more weight, or leaving protein needs uncovered. Sources: usda-esr. Source evidence links: export-sales-to-buyer-pull, fas-trade-to-basis, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, export-disruption. - Soybean meal export pull weekly exports changed weekly buyer pull: medium severity, 86% confidence, forward window Same week to 4 weeks. Signal: 271 thousand mt in the latest USDA FAS export-sales XML. Weekly change is -32%. Affects: Corn, sorghum, and meal export pull can change domestic feed basis, ration coverage, feeder bids, and gain economics. Producer action: Check delivered feed and basis before buying feeders, holding cattle for more weight, or leaving protein needs uncovered. Sources: usda-esr. Source evidence links: export-sales-to-buyer-pull, fas-trade-to-basis, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, export-disruption. - All hay price received by farmers changes feed-margin pressure: medium severity, 86% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: 156 $/ton in the USDA ERS Feed Grains Database. This is an official feed, forage, and byproduct-cost input for cattle breakevens. Affects: Hay buying, pasture carrying days, supplement plans, ration substitution, and sale timing. Producer action: Reprice the next feed turn now: compare local corn, hay, protein, freight, and cattle bids before holding weight or leaving ration coverage open. Sources: usda-ers-feed-grains. Source evidence links: ers-feed-grains-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock. - Brazil herd structure sets the regional supply baseline: medium severity, 86% confidence, forward window 1 quarter to 2 years. Signal: 238,180,757 heads in the latest IBGE state herd table. Concentrated supply changes how rain, freight, and exports move local basis. Affects: Regional sale pressure, processor competition, freight congestion, pasture load, and replacement pricing. Producer action: Use state supply plus current rainfall and FX before trusting a national cattle price headline. Sources: ibge-sidra. Source evidence links: ibge-herd-to-regional-supply. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - U.S. Choice boxed beef cutout changes the sale window: medium severity, 86% confidence, forward window Same day to 2 weeks. Signal: 393.17 $/cwt in the latest USDA AMS public report. Boxed beef tells whether wholesale beef is supporting packer bids. Affects: Packer margin, cutout support, slaughter bids, hedging urgency, and beef-demand read-through. Producer action: Use cutout support with cash bids before assuming stronger beef prices will flow back to cattle. Sources: usda-ams. Source evidence links: ams-price-to-sale-window, macro-fx-to-export-bids. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, feed-cost-spike. - Ethiopia Phase 3+ food-security pressure changes livelihood and livestock pressure: medium severity, 85% confidence, forward window 1 month to 9 months. Signal: FEWS NET Data Warehouse reports 5.0 - 7.49 million people in Ethiopia in IPC Phase 3+ for 2021-06-01 to 2021-06-30. Read this with livestock movement, staple/feed prices, pasture, conflict, and household selling pressure. Affects: Household selling pressure, pastoral movement, local food demand, credit stress, replacement purchases, and livestock market depth. Producer action: Stress-test sale timing, feed credit, and herd retention against household cash pressure and pasture movement before assuming normal market depth. Sources: fews-net. Source evidence links: fews-market-food-security-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock, export-disruption. - Kenya Phase 3+ food-security pressure changes livelihood and livestock pressure: medium severity, 85% confidence, forward window 1 month to 9 months. Signal: FEWS NET Data Warehouse reports 2.5 - 4.99 million people in Kenya in IPC Phase 3+ for 2021-06-01 to 2021-06-30. Read this with livestock movement, staple/feed prices, pasture, conflict, and household selling pressure. Affects: Household selling pressure, pastoral movement, local food demand, credit stress, replacement purchases, and livestock market depth. Producer action: Stress-test sale timing, feed credit, and herd retention against household cash pressure and pasture movement before assuming normal market depth. Sources: fews-net. Source evidence links: fews-market-food-security-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock, export-disruption. - Somalia Phase 3+ food-security pressure changes livelihood and livestock pressure: medium severity, 85% confidence, forward window 1 month to 9 months. Signal: FEWS NET Data Warehouse reports 2.5 - 4.99 million people in Somalia in IPC Phase 3+ for 2021-06-01 to 2021-06-30. Read this with livestock movement, staple/feed prices, pasture, conflict, and household selling pressure. Affects: Household selling pressure, pastoral movement, local food demand, credit stress, replacement purchases, and livestock market depth. Producer action: Stress-test sale timing, feed credit, and herd retention against household cash pressure and pasture movement before assuming normal market depth. Sources: fews-net. Source evidence links: fews-market-food-security-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock, export-disruption. - Soybean meal wholesale price changes feed-margin pressure: medium severity, 85% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: 333 $/ton in the USDA ERS Feed Grains Database. This is an official feed, forage, and byproduct-cost input for cattle breakevens. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, feedlot breakeven, crop-feed tradeoffs, and retained weight. Producer action: Reprice the next feed turn now: compare local corn, hay, protein, freight, and cattle bids before holding weight or leaving ration coverage open. Sources: usda-ers-feed-grains. Source evidence links: ers-feed-grains-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Waikato 7-day rain forecast: next-week forage forecast: medium severity, 84% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 4.8 mm/week forecast for the next 7 days. Read it as a forward pasture, water, hay, and sale-timing signal, not as a historical weather note. Affects: Pasture recovery, heat load, water checks, supplement coverage, hay buying, milk yield, and whether the next weight gain still pays. Producer action: Move the next-week forecast into the sale-or-hold math: count forage days, check water, price hay, and avoid holding cattle for gain that weather may not deliver. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - North America FAO Dairy Price Index changes global margin context: medium severity, 84% confidence, forward window 1 month to 12 months. Signal: FAO Dairy Price Index is 119.2 for 2026-05, -0.4% month over month and -22.4% year over year. Use dairy-index direction with milk price and feed cost before changing ration intensity or cull timing. Affects: Milk-check risk, ration intensity, cull timing, replacement appetite, and dairy-beef supply. Producer action: Read dairy index direction with local milk checks and feed cost before delaying culls or raising ration spend. Sources: fao-food-price. Source evidence links: fao-food-price-to-farm-margin, gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - Latin America FAO Dairy Price Index changes global margin context: medium severity, 84% confidence, forward window 1 month to 12 months. Signal: FAO Dairy Price Index is 119.2 for 2026-05, -0.4% month over month and -22.4% year over year. Use dairy-index direction with milk price and feed cost before changing ration intensity or cull timing. Affects: Milk-check risk, ration intensity, cull timing, replacement appetite, and dairy-beef supply. Producer action: Read dairy index direction with local milk checks and feed cost before delaying culls or raising ration spend. Sources: fao-food-price. Source evidence links: fao-food-price-to-farm-margin, gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - Oceania FAO Dairy Price Index changes global margin context: medium severity, 84% confidence, forward window 1 month to 12 months. Signal: FAO Dairy Price Index is 119.2 for 2026-05, -0.4% month over month and -22.4% year over year. Use dairy-index direction with milk price and feed cost before changing ration intensity or cull timing. Affects: Milk-check risk, ration intensity, cull timing, replacement appetite, and dairy-beef supply. Producer action: Read dairy index direction with local milk checks and feed cost before delaying culls or raising ration spend. Sources: fao-food-price. Source evidence links: fao-food-price-to-farm-margin, gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - Europe FAO Dairy Price Index changes global margin context: medium severity, 84% confidence, forward window 1 month to 12 months. Signal: FAO Dairy Price Index is 119.2 for 2026-05, -0.4% month over month and -22.4% year over year. Use dairy-index direction with milk price and feed cost before changing ration intensity or cull timing. Affects: Milk-check risk, ration intensity, cull timing, replacement appetite, and dairy-beef supply. Producer action: Read dairy index direction with local milk checks and feed cost before delaying culls or raising ration spend. Sources: fao-food-price. Source evidence links: fao-food-price-to-farm-margin, gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - Africa and Asia FAO Dairy Price Index changes global margin context: medium severity, 84% confidence, forward window 1 month to 12 months. Signal: FAO Dairy Price Index is 119.2 for 2026-05, -0.4% month over month and -22.4% year over year. Use dairy-index direction with milk price and feed cost before changing ration intensity or cull timing. Affects: Milk-check risk, ration intensity, cull timing, replacement appetite, and dairy-beef supply. Producer action: Read dairy index direction with local milk checks and feed cost before delaying culls or raising ration spend. Sources: fao-food-price. Source evidence links: fao-food-price-to-farm-margin, gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - North America U.S. natural gas price is moving the margin stack: medium severity, 84% confidence, forward window Same month to 6 months. Signal: 2.9 $/mmbtu in the latest World Bank commodity sheet. Read this against pasture input, fertilizer, diesel, freight, and working capital. Affects: Pasture inputs, crop-feed cost, freight, hay replacement, working capital, and dairy ration pressure. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period, forage plan, and delivered-feed bill before buying inputs or holding cattle longer. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Latin America U.S. natural gas price is moving the margin stack: medium severity, 84% confidence, forward window Same month to 6 months. Signal: 2.9 $/mmbtu in the latest World Bank commodity sheet. Read this against pasture input, fertilizer, diesel, freight, and working capital. Affects: Pasture inputs, crop-feed cost, freight, hay replacement, working capital, and dairy ration pressure. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period, forage plan, and delivered-feed bill before buying inputs or holding cattle longer. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Oceania U.S. natural gas price is moving the margin stack: medium severity, 84% confidence, forward window Same month to 6 months. Signal: 2.9 $/mmbtu in the latest World Bank commodity sheet. Read this against pasture input, fertilizer, diesel, freight, and working capital. Affects: Pasture inputs, crop-feed cost, freight, hay replacement, working capital, and dairy ration pressure. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period, forage plan, and delivered-feed bill before buying inputs or holding cattle longer. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Europe U.S. natural gas price is moving the margin stack: medium severity, 84% confidence, forward window Same month to 6 months. Signal: 2.9 $/mmbtu in the latest World Bank commodity sheet. Read this against pasture input, fertilizer, diesel, freight, and working capital. Affects: Pasture inputs, crop-feed cost, freight, hay replacement, working capital, and dairy ration pressure. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period, forage plan, and delivered-feed bill before buying inputs or holding cattle longer. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Africa and Asia U.S. natural gas price is moving the margin stack: medium severity, 84% confidence, forward window Same month to 6 months. Signal: 2.9 $/mmbtu in the latest World Bank commodity sheet. Read this against pasture input, fertilizer, diesel, freight, and working capital. Affects: Pasture inputs, crop-feed cost, freight, hay replacement, working capital, and dairy ration pressure. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period, forage plan, and delivered-feed bill before buying inputs or holding cattle longer. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Distillers dried grains wholesale price changes feed-margin pressure: medium severity, 84% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: 203 $/ton in the USDA ERS Feed Grains Database. This is an official feed, forage, and byproduct-cost input for cattle breakevens. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, feedlot breakeven, crop-feed tradeoffs, and retained weight. Producer action: Reprice the next feed turn now: compare local corn, hay, protein, freight, and cattle bids before holding weight or leaving ration coverage open. Sources: usda-ers-feed-grains. Source evidence links: ers-feed-grains-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Milk production concentration can become dairy-beef supply: medium severity, 84% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 35,744 million liters in the latest IBGE milk table. Feed, weather, and milk-price pressure in large dairy states can move cull supply. Affects: Cull cow flow, dairy ration demand, milk output risk, replacement appetite, and beef supply from dairy regions. Producer action: Watch dairy regions as beef supply indicators when feed stress or milk-price weakness appears. Sources: ibge-sidra. Source evidence links: ibge-milk-to-dairy-beef-supply. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - Afghanistan Phase 3+ food-security pressure changes livelihood and livestock pressure: medium severity, 83% confidence, forward window 1 month to 9 months. Signal: FEWS NET Data Warehouse reports 2.5 - 4.99 million people in Afghanistan in IPC Phase 3+ for 2021-06-01 to 2021-06-30. Read this with livestock movement, staple/feed prices, pasture, conflict, and household selling pressure. Affects: Household selling pressure, pastoral movement, local food demand, credit stress, replacement purchases, and livestock market depth. Producer action: Stress-test sale timing, feed credit, and herd retention against household cash pressure and pasture movement before assuming normal market depth. Sources: fews-net. Source evidence links: fews-market-food-security-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock, export-disruption. - Brazil corn production by state sets Brazil feed-basis structure: medium severity, 83% confidence, forward window 1 month to 18 months. Signal: 115 million tonnes in the latest IBGE state crop table. State concentration tells where weather, freight, storage, and exports can move delivered feed cost first. Affects: Corn basis, silage planning, supplement cost, feedlot breakeven, crop sales, and retained weight. Producer action: Use state crop structure with CONAB balance and Comex export pull before leaving feed coverage open or holding cattle for extra gain. Sources: ibge-sidra. Source evidence links: ibge-crop-production-to-feed-basis, conab-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, export-disruption. - Diesel changes delivered feed and cattle-hauling math: medium severity, 82% confidence, forward window Same week to 8 weeks. Signal: 5.4 $/gal in the latest EIA weekly diesel series. Freight can change the real cost of hay, feed, and cattle movement before local bids adjust. Affects: Delivered feed, hay hauling, yardage, crop inputs, feeder bids, and sale timing. Producer action: Use delivered-cost math before holding cattle for extra weight or buying hay from farther away. Sources: eia-fuel. Source evidence links: eia-diesel-to-freight-feed-cost, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - EU member-state average raw milk price changes EU dairy-beef margin: medium severity, 82% confidence, forward window 1-8 weeks. Signal: 44.17 EUR/100kg in the latest EU Milk Market Observatory data. Farmgate milk price is the first check on whether extra ration and slower culling still pay. Affects: Cull timing, ration intensity, milk-check risk, replacement finance, and dairy-beef supply. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement purchases before assuming the milk check will cover the next feed period. Sources: eu-milk. Source evidence links: eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - Mato Grosso 7-day water demand forecast: heat and water demand watch: medium severity, 81% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 25.8 mm/week forecast for reference evapotranspiration. That is a forward signal for pasture drying, trough checks, shade, dairy comfort, and irrigated feed-crop pressure. Affects: Water demand, shade and handling windows, dairy milk yield, pasture regrowth, hay substitution, irrigation demand, and feed-crop stress. Producer action: Use the water-demand forecast with the rain forecast before changing stocking, irrigation, supplement, or hay-buying plans. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage, nasa-weather-to-heat, brazil-weather-fx-to-pasture. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, heat-load-to-milk-gain, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, milk-margin-squeeze, crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - East Africa dairy belts 7-day water demand forecast: heat and water demand watch: medium severity, 81% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 37.8 mm/week forecast for reference evapotranspiration. That is a forward signal for pasture drying, trough checks, shade, dairy comfort, and irrigated feed-crop pressure. Affects: Water demand, shade and handling windows, dairy milk yield, pasture regrowth, hay substitution, irrigation demand, and feed-crop stress. Producer action: Use the water-demand forecast with the rain forecast before changing stocking, irrigation, supplement, or hay-buying plans. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage, nasa-weather-to-heat. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, heat-load-to-milk-gain, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, milk-margin-squeeze, crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Colombian Llanos 7-day water demand forecast: heat and water demand watch: medium severity, 81% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 23.6 mm/week forecast for reference evapotranspiration. That is a forward signal for pasture drying, trough checks, shade, dairy comfort, and irrigated feed-crop pressure. Affects: Water demand, shade and handling windows, dairy milk yield, pasture regrowth, hay substitution, irrigation demand, and feed-crop stress. Producer action: Use the water-demand forecast with the rain forecast before changing stocking, irrigation, supplement, or hay-buying plans. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage, nasa-weather-to-heat, brazil-weather-fx-to-pasture. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, heat-load-to-milk-gain, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, milk-margin-squeeze, crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Afghanistan wheat market price changes feed and staple-price pressure: medium severity, 81% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: FEWS NET Data Warehouse reports wheat prices in Afghanistan at 0.49 $/kg for 2026-03-31, across 12 public market rows (Faizabad, Maimana, Chaghcharan, Chaghcharan). Change is +2.6% month over month, +17.7% year over year, and -2.5% versus the five-year average where available. Use this as a feed, staple demand, and forced-sale pressure signal. Affects: Delivered feed cost, staple/feed substitution, household affordability, crop selling, retained weight, and local cattle bids. Producer action: Reprice local feed cover and the next gain period before holding cattle longer or assuming staple-price stress will not affect bids. Sources: fews-net. Source evidence links: fews-market-food-security-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock, export-disruption. - Canadian Prairies 7-day rain forecast: next-week forage forecast: medium severity, 80% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 69.7 mm/week forecast for the next 7 days. Read it as a forward pasture, water, hay, and sale-timing signal, not as a historical weather note. Affects: Pasture recovery, heat load, water checks, supplement coverage, hay buying, milk yield, and whether the next weight gain still pays. Producer action: Plan grazing moves, yard access, animal health checks, and feed logistics before wet weather slows intake or transport. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - São Paulo 7-day rain forecast: next-week forage forecast: medium severity, 80% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 54.9 mm/week forecast for the next 7 days. Read it as a forward pasture, water, hay, and sale-timing signal, not as a historical weather note. Affects: Pasture recovery, heat load, water checks, supplement coverage, hay buying, milk yield, and whether the next weight gain still pays. Producer action: Plan grazing moves, yard access, animal health checks, and feed logistics before wet weather slows intake or transport. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage, brazil-weather-fx-to-pasture. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Kenya WFP maize market price changes local staple and feed pressure: medium severity, 80% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: WFP VAM food prices reports Maize flour at 0.65 $/kg in Kenya on 2026-04-15, averaged across 3 physical markets and 5 public price rows. Change is +18.6% versus 2026-03-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Affects: Feed substitution, household selling pressure, crop demand, local market depth, ration cost, and sale timing. Producer action: Keep WFP market prices beside local cattle bids, pasture, and feed quotes before deciding whether to hold, sell, or buy supplement. Sources: wfp-vam. Source evidence links: wfp-vam-food-price-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock. - U.S. farm product producer price index changes feed-margin math: medium severity, 80% confidence, forward window Same month to 3 months. Signal: 169.7 index in the latest BLS public time-series file. Feed-linked producer prices can move faster than cattle sale values. Affects: Feed breakeven, hay substitution, ration cost, feeder bids, dairy margin, and working capital. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period and feed coverage before holding cattle for extra weight. Sources: bls-ag-inputs. Source evidence links: bls-inputs-to-feed-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, fertilizer-energy-squeeze, milk-margin-squeeze. - U.S. animal food manufacturing producer price index changes feed-margin math: medium severity, 80% confidence, forward window Same month to 3 months. Signal: 232.2 index in the latest BLS public time-series file. Feed-linked producer prices can move faster than cattle sale values. Affects: Feed breakeven, hay substitution, ration cost, feeder bids, dairy margin, and working capital. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period and feed coverage before holding cattle for extra weight. Sources: bls-ag-inputs. Source evidence links: bls-inputs-to-feed-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, fertilizer-energy-squeeze, milk-margin-squeeze. - France raw milk price changes EU dairy-beef margin: medium severity, 80% confidence, forward window 1-8 weeks. Signal: 43.02 EUR/100kg in the latest EU Milk Market Observatory data. Farmgate milk price is the first check on whether extra ration and slower culling still pay. Affects: Cull timing, ration intensity, milk-check risk, replacement finance, and dairy-beef supply. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement purchases before assuming the milk check will cover the next feed period. Sources: eu-milk. Source evidence links: eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - Australian cattle saleyard yardings changes Australian cattle timing: medium severity, 80% confidence, forward window Same day to 6 weeks. Signal: 67,109 heads from the MLA Statistics API. Yardings show whether saleyard supply is meeting buyer demand this week. Affects: Saleyard pressure, buyer competition, transport timing, restocker confidence, and near-term sale windows. Producer action: Compare local yarding pressure with price indicators before deciding whether to sell this week or wait for more buyer competition. Sources: mla-api. Source evidence links: mla-bom-restocking. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: drought-shock. - FAOSTAT beef supply baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Beef production is 15.83 million tonnes in 2024, -0.1% versus 2023. Country readings in million tonnes: Canada 1.29, Mexico 2.25, United States of America 12.29. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT beef supply baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Beef production is 15.67 million tonnes in 2024, +8.3% versus 2023. Country readings in million tonnes: Argentina 3.18, Brazil 10.24, Mexico 2.25. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT beef supply baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Beef production is 3.33 million tonnes in 2024, +11.8% versus 2023. Country readings in million tonnes: Australia 2.59, New Zealand 0.74. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT beef supply baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Beef production is 4.28 million tonnes in 2024, +1.0% versus 2023. Country readings in million tonnes: France 1.30, Germany 1.02, Ireland 0.60, Netherlands (Kingdom of the) 0.43, United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland 0.93. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT beef supply baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Beef production is 8.11 million tonnes in 2024, +3.9% versus 2023. Country readings in million tonnes: China, mainland 7.01, India 0.00, South Africa 1.10. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT beef supply baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: United States: Beef production is 12.29 million tonnes in 2024, 0.0% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT beef supply baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Canada: Beef production is 1.29 million tonnes in 2024, -3.9% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT beef supply baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Mexico: Beef production is 2.25 million tonnes in 2024, +1.7% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT beef supply baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Brazil: Beef production is 10.24 million tonnes in 2024, +14.2% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT beef supply baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Argentina: Beef production is 3.18 million tonnes in 2024, -3.3% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT beef supply baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Colombia: Beef production is 0.73 million tonnes in 2024, +3.5% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT beef supply baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Paraguay: Beef production is 0.43 million tonnes in 2024, -5.1% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT beef supply baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Uruguay: Beef production is 0.58 million tonnes in 2024, -3.5% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT beef supply baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Chile: Beef production is 0.20 million tonnes in 2024, +5.5% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT beef supply baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Peru: Beef production is 0.20 million tonnes in 2024, +2.7% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT beef supply baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Australia: Beef production is 2.59 million tonnes in 2024, +15.9% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT beef supply baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: New Zealand: Beef production is 0.74 million tonnes in 2024, -0.3% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT beef supply baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Ireland: Beef production is 0.60 million tonnes in 2024, +0.5% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT beef supply baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: France: Beef production is 1.30 million tonnes in 2024, -0.2% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT beef supply baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Germany: Beef production is 1.02 million tonnes in 2024, +1.1% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT beef supply baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Netherlands: Beef production is 0.43 million tonnes in 2024, -0.9% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT beef supply baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Spain: Beef production is 0.72 million tonnes in 2024, +3.0% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT beef supply baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Poland: Beef production is 0.64 million tonnes in 2024, +23.8% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT beef supply baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Italy: Beef production is 0.66 million tonnes in 2024, +6.3% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT beef supply baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: United Kingdom: Beef production is 0.93 million tonnes in 2024, +3.7% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT beef supply baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: South Africa: Beef production is 1.10 million tonnes in 2024, +6.7% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT beef supply baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: India: Beef production is 0.00 million tonnes in 2024, n/a versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT beef supply baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: China: Beef production is 7.01 million tonnes in 2024, +3.5% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT beef supply baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Kenya: Beef production is 0.26 million tonnes in 2024, +9.3% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT beef supply baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Ethiopia: Beef production is 0.43 million tonnes in 2024, +2.3% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT beef supply baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Nigeria: Beef production is 0.32 million tonnes in 2024, -0.7% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT beef supply baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Tanzania: Beef production is 0.67 million tonnes in 2024, +8.7% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT beef supply baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Uganda: Beef production is 0.24 million tonnes in 2024, +5.6% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT beef supply baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Egypt: Beef production is 0.32 million tonnes in 2024, -5.9% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT beef supply baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Morocco: Beef production is 0.25 million tonnes in 2024, -1.0% versus 2023. Beef production shows whether slaughter supply is structurally rising or falling behind demand. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT feed-crop baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Maize production is 417.3 million tonnes in 2024, -3.6% versus 2023. Country readings in million tonnes: Canada 15.3, Mexico 24.3, United States of America 377.6. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Affects: Feed availability, maize basis, silage planning, ration cost, and stocking pressure. Producer action: Use the structural crop baseline before assuming a local feed-price spike is only temporary. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - FAOSTAT feed-crop baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Maize production is 196.8 million tonnes in 2024, -2.1% versus 2023. Country readings in million tonnes: Argentina 57.5, Brazil 115.0, Mexico 24.3. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Affects: Feed availability, maize basis, silage planning, ration cost, and stocking pressure. Producer action: Use the structural crop baseline before assuming a local feed-price spike is only temporary. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - FAOSTAT feed-crop baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Maize production is 0.7 million tonnes in 2024, +19.4% versus 2023. Country readings in million tonnes: Australia 0.4, New Zealand 0.2. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Affects: Feed availability, maize basis, silage planning, ration cost, and stocking pressure. Producer action: Use the structural crop baseline before assuming a local feed-price spike is only temporary. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - FAOSTAT feed-crop baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Maize production is 19.8 million tonnes in 2024, +13.3% versus 2023. Country readings in million tonnes: France 14.7, Germany 5.0, Ireland 0.0, Netherlands (Kingdom of the) 0.1. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Affects: Feed availability, maize basis, silage planning, ration cost, and stocking pressure. Producer action: Use the structural crop baseline before assuming a local feed-price spike is only temporary. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - FAOSTAT feed-crop baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Maize production is 348 million tonnes in 2024, +1.8% versus 2023. Country readings in million tonnes: China, mainland 294.9, India 40.2, South Africa 12.8. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Affects: Feed availability, maize basis, silage planning, ration cost, and stocking pressure. Producer action: Use the structural crop baseline before assuming a local feed-price spike is only temporary. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - FAOSTAT feed-crop baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: United States: Maize production is 377.6 million tonnes in 2024, -3.1% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Affects: Feed availability, maize basis, silage planning, ration cost, and stocking pressure. Producer action: Use the structural crop baseline before assuming a local feed-price spike is only temporary. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - FAOSTAT feed-crop baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Canada: Maize production is 15.3 million tonnes in 2024, -0.5% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Affects: Feed availability, maize basis, silage planning, ration cost, and stocking pressure. Producer action: Use the structural crop baseline before assuming a local feed-price spike is only temporary. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - FAOSTAT feed-crop baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Mexico: Maize production is 24.3 million tonnes in 2024, -11.7% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Affects: Feed availability, maize basis, silage planning, ration cost, and stocking pressure. Producer action: Use the structural crop baseline before assuming a local feed-price spike is only temporary. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - FAOSTAT feed-crop baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Brazil: Maize production is 115 million tonnes in 2024, -12.9% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Affects: Feed availability, maize basis, silage planning, ration cost, and stocking pressure. Producer action: Use the structural crop baseline before assuming a local feed-price spike is only temporary. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - FAOSTAT feed-crop baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Argentina: Maize production is 57.5 million tonnes in 2024, +38.8% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Affects: Feed availability, maize basis, silage planning, ration cost, and stocking pressure. Producer action: Use the structural crop baseline before assuming a local feed-price spike is only temporary. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - FAOSTAT feed-crop baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Colombia: Maize production is 1.5 million tonnes in 2024, -13.7% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Affects: Feed availability, maize basis, silage planning, ration cost, and stocking pressure. Producer action: Use the structural crop baseline before assuming a local feed-price spike is only temporary. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - FAOSTAT feed-crop baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Paraguay: Maize production is 3.9 million tonnes in 2024, -12.2% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Affects: Feed availability, maize basis, silage planning, ration cost, and stocking pressure. Producer action: Use the structural crop baseline before assuming a local feed-price spike is only temporary. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - FAOSTAT feed-crop baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Uruguay: Maize production is 0.6 million tonnes in 2024, +118.8% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Affects: Feed availability, maize basis, silage planning, ration cost, and stocking pressure. Producer action: Use the structural crop baseline before assuming a local feed-price spike is only temporary. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - FAOSTAT feed-crop baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Chile: Maize production is 0.5 million tonnes in 2024, -2.2% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Affects: Feed availability, maize basis, silage planning, ration cost, and stocking pressure. Producer action: Use the structural crop baseline before assuming a local feed-price spike is only temporary. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - FAOSTAT feed-crop baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Peru: Maize production is 1.7 million tonnes in 2024, +2.6% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Affects: Feed availability, maize basis, silage planning, ration cost, and stocking pressure. Producer action: Use the structural crop baseline before assuming a local feed-price spike is only temporary. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - FAOSTAT feed-crop baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Australia: Maize production is 0.4 million tonnes in 2024, +15.7% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Affects: Feed availability, maize basis, silage planning, ration cost, and stocking pressure. Producer action: Use the structural crop baseline before assuming a local feed-price spike is only temporary. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - FAOSTAT feed-crop baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: New Zealand: Maize production is 0.2 million tonnes in 2024, +27.0% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Affects: Feed availability, maize basis, silage planning, ration cost, and stocking pressure. Producer action: Use the structural crop baseline before assuming a local feed-price spike is only temporary. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - FAOSTAT feed-crop baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Ireland: Maize production is 0 million tonnes in 2024, n/a versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Affects: Feed availability, maize basis, silage planning, ration cost, and stocking pressure. Producer action: Use the structural crop baseline before assuming a local feed-price spike is only temporary. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - FAOSTAT feed-crop baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: France: Maize production is 14.7 million tonnes in 2024, +14.3% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Affects: Feed availability, maize basis, silage planning, ration cost, and stocking pressure. Producer action: Use the structural crop baseline before assuming a local feed-price spike is only temporary. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - FAOSTAT feed-crop baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Germany: Maize production is 5 million tonnes in 2024, +11.4% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Affects: Feed availability, maize basis, silage planning, ration cost, and stocking pressure. Producer action: Use the structural crop baseline before assuming a local feed-price spike is only temporary. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - FAOSTAT feed-crop baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Netherlands: Maize production is 0.1 million tonnes in 2024, -19.2% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Affects: Feed availability, maize basis, silage planning, ration cost, and stocking pressure. Producer action: Use the structural crop baseline before assuming a local feed-price spike is only temporary. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - FAOSTAT feed-crop baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Spain: Maize production is 3.5 million tonnes in 2024, +23.4% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Affects: Feed availability, maize basis, silage planning, ration cost, and stocking pressure. Producer action: Use the structural crop baseline before assuming a local feed-price spike is only temporary. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - FAOSTAT feed-crop baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Poland: Maize production is 9.2 million tonnes in 2024, +2.7% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Affects: Feed availability, maize basis, silage planning, ration cost, and stocking pressure. Producer action: Use the structural crop baseline before assuming a local feed-price spike is only temporary. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - FAOSTAT feed-crop baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Italy: Maize production is 4.9 million tonnes in 2024, -7.6% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Affects: Feed availability, maize basis, silage planning, ration cost, and stocking pressure. Producer action: Use the structural crop baseline before assuming a local feed-price spike is only temporary. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - FAOSTAT feed-crop baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: South Africa: Maize production is 12.9 million tonnes in 2024, -21.8% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Affects: Feed availability, maize basis, silage planning, ration cost, and stocking pressure. Producer action: Use the structural crop baseline before assuming a local feed-price spike is only temporary. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - FAOSTAT feed-crop baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: India: Maize production is 40.2 million tonnes in 2024, +9.7% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Affects: Feed availability, maize basis, silage planning, ration cost, and stocking pressure. Producer action: Use the structural crop baseline before assuming a local feed-price spike is only temporary. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - FAOSTAT feed-crop baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: China: Maize production is 294.9 million tonnes in 2024, +2.1% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Affects: Feed availability, maize basis, silage planning, ration cost, and stocking pressure. Producer action: Use the structural crop baseline before assuming a local feed-price spike is only temporary. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - FAOSTAT feed-crop baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Kenya: Maize production is 4 million tonnes in 2024, -6.1% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Affects: Feed availability, maize basis, silage planning, ration cost, and stocking pressure. Producer action: Use the structural crop baseline before assuming a local feed-price spike is only temporary. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - FAOSTAT feed-crop baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Ethiopia: Maize production is 11.7 million tonnes in 2024, +1.6% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Affects: Feed availability, maize basis, silage planning, ration cost, and stocking pressure. Producer action: Use the structural crop baseline before assuming a local feed-price spike is only temporary. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - FAOSTAT feed-crop baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Nigeria: Maize production is 11.2 million tonnes in 2024, +1.0% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Affects: Feed availability, maize basis, silage planning, ration cost, and stocking pressure. Producer action: Use the structural crop baseline before assuming a local feed-price spike is only temporary. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - FAOSTAT feed-crop baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Tanzania: Maize production is 10.1 million tonnes in 2024, +25.9% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Affects: Feed availability, maize basis, silage planning, ration cost, and stocking pressure. Producer action: Use the structural crop baseline before assuming a local feed-price spike is only temporary. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - FAOSTAT feed-crop baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Uganda: Maize production is 5 million tonnes in 2024, +1.1% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Affects: Feed availability, maize basis, silage planning, ration cost, and stocking pressure. Producer action: Use the structural crop baseline before assuming a local feed-price spike is only temporary. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - FAOSTAT feed-crop baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Egypt: Maize production is 7.2 million tonnes in 2024, -3.2% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Affects: Feed availability, maize basis, silage planning, ration cost, and stocking pressure. Producer action: Use the structural crop baseline before assuming a local feed-price spike is only temporary. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - FAOSTAT feed-crop baseline moved: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Morocco: Maize production is 0.1 million tonnes in 2024, +575.9% versus 2023. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Affects: Feed availability, maize basis, silage planning, ration cost, and stocking pressure. Producer action: Use the structural crop baseline before assuming a local feed-price spike is only temporary. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Ireland butter price changes EU dairy-beef margin: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 1-8 weeks. Signal: 373.64 EUR/100kg in the latest EU Milk Market Observatory data. Dairy product prices show processor support behind milk checks and ration tolerance. Affects: Cull timing, ration intensity, milk-check risk, replacement finance, and dairy-beef supply. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement purchases before assuming the milk check will cover the next feed period. Sources: eu-milk. Source evidence links: eu-milk-margin-cull, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - Germany skimmed milk powder price changes EU dairy-beef margin: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 1-8 weeks. Signal: 291.50 EUR/100kg in the latest EU Milk Market Observatory data. Dairy product prices show processor support behind milk checks and ration tolerance. Affects: Cull timing, ration intensity, milk-check risk, replacement finance, and dairy-beef supply. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement purchases before assuming the milk check will cover the next feed period. Sources: eu-milk. Source evidence links: eu-milk-margin-cull, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - Netherlands butter price changes EU dairy-beef margin: medium severity, 78% confidence, forward window 1-8 weeks. Signal: 393.00 EUR/100kg in the latest EU Milk Market Observatory data. Dairy product prices show processor support behind milk checks and ration tolerance. Affects: Cull timing, ration intensity, milk-check risk, replacement finance, and dairy-beef supply. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement purchases before assuming the milk check will cover the next feed period. Sources: eu-milk. Source evidence links: eu-milk-margin-cull, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - Maize flour flow through the Burundi-Tanzania corridor changes cross-border market flow: medium severity, 77% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 9 months. Signal: FEWS NET Data Warehouse reports 102,467 kg of maize flour moving through the Burundi-Tanzania maize-flour corridor in 2024-09-30, across 16 public cross-border trade rows (Tanzania -> Burundi, Burundi -> Tanzania). Change is +27.6% versus 2024-08-31. Use this as an early signal for staple/feed availability, ration substitution, freight, and local grain basis. Border points: Gisuru - Cijongwe, Mugina, Ngomante, Bikobe - Budaketwa, Gahumo. Affects: Staple/feed availability, ration substitution, freight pressure, crop selling, local grain basis, and cattle gain economics. Producer action: Check cross-border grain flow against local feed quotes before leaving ration coverage open or holding cattle for extra gain. Sources: fews-net. Source evidence links: fews-market-food-security-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock, export-disruption. - Ireland raw milk deliveries changes EU dairy-beef margin: medium severity, 76% confidence, forward window 1-8 weeks. Signal: 839.9 thousand tonnes in the latest EU Milk Market Observatory data. Milk deliveries show whether supply volume is adding pressure before farm decisions catch up. Affects: Cull flow, milk-price pressure, dairy ration demand, replacement appetite, and beef supply from dairy herds. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement purchases before assuming the milk check will cover the next feed period. Sources: eu-milk. Source evidence links: eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - Germany raw milk deliveries changes EU dairy-beef margin: medium severity, 76% confidence, forward window 1-8 weeks. Signal: 2,913.9 thousand tonnes in the latest EU Milk Market Observatory data. Milk deliveries show whether supply volume is adding pressure before farm decisions catch up. Affects: Cull flow, milk-price pressure, dairy ration demand, replacement appetite, and beef supply from dairy herds. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement purchases before assuming the milk check will cover the next feed period. Sources: eu-milk. Source evidence links: eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - Measured water conditions are a stocking-rate signal: medium severity, 76% confidence, forward window 0-12 weeks. Signal: Latest streamflow reading is 408 cfs. Rainfall alone is not enough when water availability drives pasture and crop-feed decisions. Affects: Stocking rate, irrigation risk, hay demand, heat mitigation, and forced-sale pressure. Producer action: Pair measured water with forage inventory before changing stocking, hay buying, or forced-sale plans. Sources: usgs-water. Source evidence links: water-to-stocking-irrigation. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: drought-shock, crop-yield-shock. - Latin America Livestock production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 113 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Long-cycle cattle and dairy supply, replacement appetite, and regional basis. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Oceania Livestock production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 87.5 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Long-cycle cattle and dairy supply, replacement appetite, and regional basis. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Europe Livestock production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 103.3 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Long-cycle cattle and dairy supply, replacement appetite, and regional basis. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Africa and Asia Livestock production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 121 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Long-cycle cattle and dairy supply, replacement appetite, and regional basis. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Canada Livestock production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 119.1 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Long-cycle cattle and dairy supply, replacement appetite, and regional basis. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Brazil Livestock production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 112.2 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Long-cycle cattle and dairy supply, replacement appetite, and regional basis. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Argentina Livestock production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 113.9 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Long-cycle cattle and dairy supply, replacement appetite, and regional basis. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Colombia Livestock production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 110.3 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Long-cycle cattle and dairy supply, replacement appetite, and regional basis. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Chile Livestock production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 103.4 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Long-cycle cattle and dairy supply, replacement appetite, and regional basis. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Australia Livestock production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 87.5 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Long-cycle cattle and dairy supply, replacement appetite, and regional basis. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Ireland Livestock production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 123.2 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Long-cycle cattle and dairy supply, replacement appetite, and regional basis. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - France Livestock production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 93.2 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Long-cycle cattle and dairy supply, replacement appetite, and regional basis. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Germany Livestock production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 93.3 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Long-cycle cattle and dairy supply, replacement appetite, and regional basis. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Spain Livestock production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 118.7 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Long-cycle cattle and dairy supply, replacement appetite, and regional basis. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Italy Livestock production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 102.3 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Long-cycle cattle and dairy supply, replacement appetite, and regional basis. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - United Kingdom Livestock production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 105.2 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Long-cycle cattle and dairy supply, replacement appetite, and regional basis. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - India Livestock production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 132.5 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Long-cycle cattle and dairy supply, replacement appetite, and regional basis. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - China Livestock production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 109.5 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Long-cycle cattle and dairy supply, replacement appetite, and regional basis. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Ethiopia Livestock production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 116.1 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Long-cycle cattle and dairy supply, replacement appetite, and regional basis. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Egypt Livestock production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 119.4 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Long-cycle cattle and dairy supply, replacement appetite, and regional basis. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Latin America Crop production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 111.6 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Feed availability, crop rotation, hay buying, ration cost, and stocking plans. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Oceania Crop production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 146.1 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Feed availability, crop rotation, hay buying, ration cost, and stocking plans. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Europe Crop production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 95.2 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Feed availability, crop rotation, hay buying, ration cost, and stocking plans. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Africa and Asia Crop production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 117.6 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Feed availability, crop rotation, hay buying, ration cost, and stocking plans. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Canada Crop production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 108 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Feed availability, crop rotation, hay buying, ration cost, and stocking plans. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Brazil Crop production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 115.9 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Feed availability, crop rotation, hay buying, ration cost, and stocking plans. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Argentina Crop production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 107.3 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Feed availability, crop rotation, hay buying, ration cost, and stocking plans. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Colombia Crop production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 111.6 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Feed availability, crop rotation, hay buying, ration cost, and stocking plans. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Chile Crop production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 106.4 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Feed availability, crop rotation, hay buying, ration cost, and stocking plans. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Australia Crop production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 146.1 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Feed availability, crop rotation, hay buying, ration cost, and stocking plans. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Ireland Crop production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 99.4 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Feed availability, crop rotation, hay buying, ration cost, and stocking plans. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - France Crop production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 94.7 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Feed availability, crop rotation, hay buying, ration cost, and stocking plans. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Germany Crop production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 91.5 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Feed availability, crop rotation, hay buying, ration cost, and stocking plans. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Spain Crop production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 87 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Feed availability, crop rotation, hay buying, ration cost, and stocking plans. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Italy Crop production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 94 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Feed availability, crop rotation, hay buying, ration cost, and stocking plans. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - United Kingdom Crop production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 94.3 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Feed availability, crop rotation, hay buying, ration cost, and stocking plans. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - India Crop production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 123.3 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Feed availability, crop rotation, hay buying, ration cost, and stocking plans. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - China Crop production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 111.8 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Feed availability, crop rotation, hay buying, ration cost, and stocking plans. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Ethiopia Crop production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 116.5 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Feed availability, crop rotation, hay buying, ration cost, and stocking plans. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Egypt Crop production index sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 105.3 index reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Feed availability, crop rotation, hay buying, ration cost, and stocking plans. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Oceania Fertilizer use intensity sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 103 kg/ha reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Crop-feed cost, pasture input decisions, working capital, and planting margin. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Canada Fertilizer use intensity sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 133 kg/ha reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Crop-feed cost, pasture input decisions, working capital, and planting margin. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Argentina Fertilizer use intensity sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 50 kg/ha reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Crop-feed cost, pasture input decisions, working capital, and planting margin. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Australia Fertilizer use intensity sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 103 kg/ha reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Crop-feed cost, pasture input decisions, working capital, and planting margin. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - France Fertilizer use intensity sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 131 kg/ha reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Crop-feed cost, pasture input decisions, working capital, and planting margin. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Germany Fertilizer use intensity sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 129 kg/ha reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Crop-feed cost, pasture input decisions, working capital, and planting margin. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Spain Fertilizer use intensity sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 115 kg/ha reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Crop-feed cost, pasture input decisions, working capital, and planting margin. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Italy Fertilizer use intensity sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 114 kg/ha reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Crop-feed cost, pasture input decisions, working capital, and planting margin. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Ethiopia Fertilizer use intensity sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 45 kg/ha reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Crop-feed cost, pasture input decisions, working capital, and planting margin. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Oceania Consumer inflation pressure sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 3.2 % reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Working capital, input affordability, consumer demand, and local bid resilience. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, export-disruption. - Europe Consumer inflation pressure sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 2.1 % reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Working capital, input affordability, consumer demand, and local bid resilience. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, export-disruption. - Africa and Asia Consumer inflation pressure sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 2.6 % reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Working capital, input affordability, consumer demand, and local bid resilience. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, export-disruption. - Canada Consumer inflation pressure sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 2.4 % reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Working capital, input affordability, consumer demand, and local bid resilience. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, export-disruption. - Brazil Consumer inflation pressure sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 4.4 % reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Working capital, input affordability, consumer demand, and local bid resilience. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, export-disruption. - Colombia Consumer inflation pressure sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 6.6 % reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Working capital, input affordability, consumer demand, and local bid resilience. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, export-disruption. - Chile Consumer inflation pressure sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 4.3 % reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Working capital, input affordability, consumer demand, and local bid resilience. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, export-disruption. - Australia Consumer inflation pressure sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 3.2 % reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Working capital, input affordability, consumer demand, and local bid resilience. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, export-disruption. - Ireland Consumer inflation pressure sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 2.1 % reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Working capital, input affordability, consumer demand, and local bid resilience. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, export-disruption. - France Consumer inflation pressure sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 2 % reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Working capital, input affordability, consumer demand, and local bid resilience. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, export-disruption. - Germany Consumer inflation pressure sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 2.3 % reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Working capital, input affordability, consumer demand, and local bid resilience. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, export-disruption. - Spain Consumer inflation pressure sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 2.8 % reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Working capital, input affordability, consumer demand, and local bid resilience. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, export-disruption. - Italy Consumer inflation pressure sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 1 % reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Working capital, input affordability, consumer demand, and local bid resilience. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, export-disruption. - United Kingdom Consumer inflation pressure sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 3.3 % reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Working capital, input affordability, consumer demand, and local bid resilience. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, export-disruption. - India Consumer inflation pressure sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 5 % reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Working capital, input affordability, consumer demand, and local bid resilience. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, export-disruption. - China Consumer inflation pressure sets the structural baseline: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 year to 10 years. Signal: 0.2 % reported by World Bank WDI. This is slower-moving than market reports but important for supply capacity, feed exposure, and input sensitivity. Affects: Working capital, input affordability, consumer demand, and local bid resilience. Producer action: Use this as the slow baseline before changing cattle, dairy, feed, or crop plans on a short-term headline. Sources: world-bank-wdi. Source evidence links: world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, export-disruption. - North America FAO Meat Price Index changes global margin context: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 month to 12 months. Signal: FAO Meat Price Index is 130.5 for 2026-05, +0.1% month over month and +6.3% year over year. Read meat-index strength against local cattle bids, cull value, export pull, and processor leverage. FAO notes the latest meat index can mix projected and observed prices, so treat the most recent point as directional. Affects: Export pull, local cattle basis, cull value, processor bids, and retained-weight economics. Producer action: Compare the global index with local cattle, milk, feed, and crop bids before calling the move local noise. Sources: fao-food-price. Source evidence links: fao-food-price-to-farm-margin, macro-fx-to-export-bids. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - Latin America FAO Meat Price Index changes global margin context: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 month to 12 months. Signal: FAO Meat Price Index is 130.5 for 2026-05, +0.1% month over month and +6.3% year over year. Read meat-index strength against local cattle bids, cull value, export pull, and processor leverage. FAO notes the latest meat index can mix projected and observed prices, so treat the most recent point as directional. Affects: Export pull, local cattle basis, cull value, processor bids, and retained-weight economics. Producer action: Compare the global index with local cattle, milk, feed, and crop bids before calling the move local noise. Sources: fao-food-price. Source evidence links: fao-food-price-to-farm-margin, macro-fx-to-export-bids. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - Oceania FAO Meat Price Index changes global margin context: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 month to 12 months. Signal: FAO Meat Price Index is 130.5 for 2026-05, +0.1% month over month and +6.3% year over year. Read meat-index strength against local cattle bids, cull value, export pull, and processor leverage. FAO notes the latest meat index can mix projected and observed prices, so treat the most recent point as directional. Affects: Export pull, local cattle basis, cull value, processor bids, and retained-weight economics. Producer action: Compare the global index with local cattle, milk, feed, and crop bids before calling the move local noise. Sources: fao-food-price. Source evidence links: fao-food-price-to-farm-margin, macro-fx-to-export-bids. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - Europe FAO Meat Price Index changes global margin context: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 month to 12 months. Signal: FAO Meat Price Index is 130.5 for 2026-05, +0.1% month over month and +6.3% year over year. Read meat-index strength against local cattle bids, cull value, export pull, and processor leverage. FAO notes the latest meat index can mix projected and observed prices, so treat the most recent point as directional. Affects: Export pull, local cattle basis, cull value, processor bids, and retained-weight economics. Producer action: Compare the global index with local cattle, milk, feed, and crop bids before calling the move local noise. Sources: fao-food-price. Source evidence links: fao-food-price-to-farm-margin, macro-fx-to-export-bids. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - Africa and Asia FAO Meat Price Index changes global margin context: medium severity, 74% confidence, forward window 1 month to 12 months. Signal: FAO Meat Price Index is 130.5 for 2026-05, +0.1% month over month and +6.3% year over year. Read meat-index strength against local cattle bids, cull value, export pull, and processor leverage. FAO notes the latest meat index can mix projected and observed prices, so treat the most recent point as directional. Affects: Export pull, local cattle basis, cull value, processor bids, and retained-weight economics. Producer action: Compare the global index with local cattle, milk, feed, and crop bids before calling the move local noise. Sources: fao-food-price. Source evidence links: fao-food-price-to-farm-margin, macro-fx-to-export-bids. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - Currency series loaded for export and input pressure: medium severity, 72% confidence, forward window Same day to 6 months. Signal: 5 country series are loaded. FX should be read with export bids, imported feed, fertilizer, fuel, and machinery costs. Affects: Processor bids, imported input costs, working capital, crop margins, and local cattle basis. Producer action: Compare the local cattle, milk, feed, and crop price in domestic currency and export-linked terms before calling the market stable. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven, macro-fx-to-export-bids. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis, dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: export-disruption, fertilizer-energy-squeeze. - FAOSTAT feed-crop baseline moved: medium severity, 64% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: United Kingdom: Maize production is 0 million tonnes in 1980, -12.3% versus 1979. Maize output is a feed-availability baseline for ration cost, silage decisions, and stocking pressure. Affects: Feed availability, maize basis, silage planning, ration cost, and stocking pressure. Producer action: Use the structural crop baseline before assuming a local feed-price spike is only temporary. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Mexico cattle slaughter head changes Mexico cattle supply pressure: medium severity, 45% confidence, forward window Same month to 18 months. Signal: 8.9 million head in official SIAP livestock data. Bovine meat, live cattle, and slaughter volume anchor the Mexico supply baseline. Affects: Border cattle flow, local basis, slaughter availability, feed replacement cost, transport, and retained-weight economics. Producer action: Use Mexico supply with drought, imported feed cost, border movement, and local bids before selling or holding cattle for extra weight. Sources: mexico-siap. Source evidence links: mexico-siap-livestock-to-border-supply. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis, export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Northern Mexico live cattle share changes Mexico cattle supply pressure: medium severity, 45% confidence, forward window Same month to 18 months. Signal: 20.7 % in official SIAP livestock data. Regional concentration tells where drought, freight, border movement, or buyer access can move basis first. Affects: Border cattle flow, local basis, slaughter availability, feed replacement cost, transport, and retained-weight economics. Producer action: Use Mexico supply with drought, imported feed cost, border movement, and local bids before selling or holding cattle for extra weight. Sources: mexico-siap. Source evidence links: mexico-siap-northern-supply-to-feed-imports, mexico-siap-livestock-to-border-supply. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis, crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, drought-shock, export-disruption. - Brazil CEPEA/ESALQ live cattle indicator localizes Brazil sale math: medium severity, 42% confidence, forward window Same day to 8 weeks. Signal: 353.80 BRL/@ in the latest Brazil public price mirror. State and SP reference basis should be read with rain, freight, export demand, and USD/BRL. Affects: Local sale window, state basis, processor bids, export-linked support, and retained-weight economics. Producer action: Compare CEPEA/SP, state quote, USD/BRL, and pasture days before selling on a single national headline. Sources: cepea-boi. Source evidence links: cepea-ibge-brazil-price, bcb-fx-to-export-inputs. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis, export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - Brazil fat cow price localizes Brazil sale math: medium severity, 42% confidence, forward window Same day to 8 weeks. Signal: 300.73 BRL/@ in the latest Brazil public price mirror. Cull-cow value is a dairy and beef supply signal. Affects: Cull timing, dairy-beef supply, replacement finance, and slaughter-cow pressure. Producer action: Compare CEPEA/SP, state quote, USD/BRL, and pasture days before selling on a single national headline. Sources: cepea-boi. Source evidence links: cepea-ibge-brazil-price. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply, herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - Brazil corn price localizes Brazil sale math: medium severity, 42% confidence, forward window Same day to 8 weeks. Signal: 64.50 BRL/60kg bag in the latest Brazil public price mirror. Feed basis changes whether extra gain still pays. Affects: Confinement breakeven, supplement buying, pasture substitution, retained weight, and crop/feed opportunity cost. Producer action: Recalculate the next arroba or kilo of gain using local feed price before buying supplement or delaying sale. Sources: cepea-boi. Source evidence links: cepea-ibge-brazil-price, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Brazil soybean price localizes Brazil sale math: medium severity, 42% confidence, forward window Same day to 8 weeks. Signal: 130.00 BRL/60kg bag in the latest Brazil public price mirror. Feed basis changes whether extra gain still pays. Affects: Confinement breakeven, supplement buying, pasture substitution, retained weight, and crop/feed opportunity cost. Producer action: Recalculate the next arroba or kilo of gain using local feed price before buying supplement or delaying sale. Sources: cepea-boi. Source evidence links: cepea-ibge-brazil-price, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Mato Grosso do Sul calf price localizes Brazil sale math: medium severity, 42% confidence, forward window Same day to 8 weeks. Signal: 3,402 BRL/head in the latest Brazil public price mirror. Replacement cost changes whether selling finished cattle frees usable margin. Affects: Replacement appetite, retained heifer math, restocking timing, and cash released by finished cattle sales. Producer action: Compare finished-cattle cash against calf replacement before assuming a sale improves the next cycle. Sources: cepea-boi. Source evidence links: cepea-ibge-brazil-price. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply, herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - São Paulo physical live cattle price localizes Brazil sale math: medium severity, 42% confidence, forward window Same day to 8 weeks. Signal: 355.00 BRL/@ in the latest Brazil public price mirror. State and SP reference basis should be read with rain, freight, export demand, and USD/BRL. Affects: Local sale window, state basis, processor bids, export-linked support, and retained-weight economics. Producer action: Compare CEPEA/SP, state quote, USD/BRL, and pasture days before selling on a single national headline. Sources: cepea-boi. Source evidence links: cepea-ibge-brazil-price, bcb-fx-to-export-inputs. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis, export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - Mato Grosso do Sul physical live cattle price localizes Brazil sale math: medium severity, 42% confidence, forward window Same day to 8 weeks. Signal: 350.00 BRL/@ in the latest Brazil public price mirror. State and SP reference basis should be read with rain, freight, export demand, and USD/BRL. Affects: Local sale window, state basis, processor bids, export-linked support, and retained-weight economics. Producer action: Compare CEPEA/SP, state quote, USD/BRL, and pasture days before selling on a single national headline. Sources: cepea-boi. Source evidence links: cepea-ibge-brazil-price, bcb-fx-to-export-inputs. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis, export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - Paraná physical live cattle price localizes Brazil sale math: medium severity, 42% confidence, forward window Same day to 8 weeks. Signal: 347.00 BRL/@ in the latest Brazil public price mirror. State and SP reference basis should be read with rain, freight, export demand, and USD/BRL. Affects: Local sale window, state basis, processor bids, export-linked support, and retained-weight economics. Producer action: Compare CEPEA/SP, state quote, USD/BRL, and pasture days before selling on a single national headline. Sources: cepea-boi. Source evidence links: cepea-ibge-brazil-price, bcb-fx-to-export-inputs. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis, export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - U.S. cattle and calves inventory changes the official cattle read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 3-24 months. Signal: 86.2 million head in the 2026-01-30 USDA NASS Cattle; -0.3% versus the prior period. This is an official supply, feed, dairy, or pasture signal to read before treating local prices as isolated. Affects: Replacement plans, cow retention, feeder supply, calf availability, feedlot leverage, and long-cycle basis risk. Producer action: Reset retention, replacement, and feeder-buying assumptions before relying on last month's supply narrative. Sources: usda-nass. Source evidence links: nass-inventory-to-cycle. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - U.S. beef cow herd changes the official cattle read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 3-24 months. Signal: 27.6 million head in the 2026-01-30 USDA NASS Cattle; -1.0% versus the prior period. This is an official supply, feed, dairy, or pasture signal to read before treating local prices as isolated. Affects: Replacement plans, cow retention, feeder supply, calf availability, feedlot leverage, and long-cycle basis risk. Producer action: Reset retention, replacement, and feeder-buying assumptions before relying on last month's supply narrative. Sources: usda-nass. Source evidence links: nass-inventory-to-cycle. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - U.S. milk cow inventory changes the official cattle read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1-8 weeks. Signal: 9.6 million head in the 2026-01-30 USDA NASS Cattle; +2.0% versus the prior period. This is an official supply, feed, dairy, or pasture signal to read before treating local prices as isolated. Affects: Milk margin, ration tolerance, cull timing, dairy-beef flow, replacement appetite, and heat/feed sensitivity. Producer action: Compare milk output and cow numbers with delivered feed and cull value before adding ration cost, delaying culls, or expanding. Sources: usda-nass. Source evidence links: nass-inventory-to-cycle. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - U.S. beef replacement heifers changes the official cattle read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 3-24 months. Signal: 4.7 million head in the 2026-01-30 USDA NASS Cattle; +1.0% versus the prior period. This is an official supply, feed, dairy, or pasture signal to read before treating local prices as isolated. Affects: Replacement plans, cow retention, feeder supply, calf availability, feedlot leverage, and long-cycle basis risk. Producer action: Reset retention, replacement, and feeder-buying assumptions before relying on last month's supply narrative. Sources: usda-nass. Source evidence links: nass-inventory-to-cycle. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - U.S. slaughter cattle live weight changes the official livestock slaughter read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1-8 weeks. Signal: 1,467 pounds/head in the 2026-05-21 USDA NASS Livestock Slaughter; +36 pounds versus the prior period. This is an official supply, feed, dairy, or pasture signal to read before treating local prices as isolated. Affects: Packer pull, sale weights, cull-cow value, local bids, boxed-beef support, and sale-window confidence. Producer action: Check slaughter flow and live weights against local bids before holding unpriced cattle or assuming packer demand is unchanged. Sources: usda-nass. Source evidence links: nass-inventory-to-cycle, ams-price-to-sale-window. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - U.S. milk production changes the official milk production read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1-8 weeks. Signal: 20 billion pounds in the 2026-05-22 USDA NASS Milk Production; +2.7% versus the prior period. This is an official supply, feed, dairy, or pasture signal to read before treating local prices as isolated. Affects: Milk margin, ration tolerance, cull timing, dairy-beef flow, replacement appetite, and heat/feed sensitivity. Producer action: Compare milk output and cow numbers with delivered feed and cull value before adding ration cost, delaying culls, or expanding. Sources: usda-nass. Source evidence links: nass-inventory-to-cycle, gdt-to-dairy-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - U.S. milk per cow changes the official milk production read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1-8 weeks. Signal: 2,069 pounds/head in the 2026-05-22 USDA NASS Milk Production; +14 pounds versus the prior period. This is an official supply, feed, dairy, or pasture signal to read before treating local prices as isolated. Affects: Milk margin, ration tolerance, cull timing, dairy-beef flow, replacement appetite, and heat/feed sensitivity. Producer action: Compare milk output and cow numbers with delivered feed and cull value before adding ration cost, delaying culls, or expanding. Sources: usda-nass. Source evidence links: nass-inventory-to-cycle, gdt-to-dairy-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - U.S. milk cow herd changes the official milk production read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1-8 weeks. Signal: 9.7 million head in the 2026-05-22 USDA NASS Milk Production; +190,000 head versus the prior period. This is an official supply, feed, dairy, or pasture signal to read before treating local prices as isolated. Affects: Milk margin, ration tolerance, cull timing, dairy-beef flow, replacement appetite, and heat/feed sensitivity. Producer action: Compare milk output and cow numbers with delivered feed and cull value before adding ration cost, delaying culls, or expanding. Sources: usda-nass. Source evidence links: nass-inventory-to-cycle, gdt-to-dairy-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - U.S. corn planted progress changes the official crop progress read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 0-12 weeks. Signal: 93 % in the 2026-06-01 USDA NASS Crop Progress; +1.0 points versus the five-year average. This is an official supply, feed, dairy, or pasture signal to read before treating local prices as isolated. Affects: Feed coverage, hay buying, pasture carrying days, local basis, feeder bids, and whether extra retained weight still pays. Producer action: Move this NASS read into the feed plan now: count forage days, price hay and grain, then compare selling lighter cattle against buying another gain period. Sources: usda-nass. Source evidence links: nass-inventory-to-cycle, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike, drought-shock. - U.S. corn emerged progress changes the official crop progress read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 0-12 weeks. Signal: 76 % in the 2026-06-01 USDA NASS Crop Progress; +2.0 points versus the five-year average. This is an official supply, feed, dairy, or pasture signal to read before treating local prices as isolated. Affects: Feed coverage, hay buying, pasture carrying days, local basis, feeder bids, and whether extra retained weight still pays. Producer action: Move this NASS read into the feed plan now: count forage days, price hay and grain, then compare selling lighter cattle against buying another gain period. Sources: usda-nass. Source evidence links: nass-inventory-to-cycle, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike, drought-shock. - U.S. corn good/excellent changes the official crop progress read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 0-12 weeks. Signal: 67 % in the 2026-06-01 USDA NASS Crop Progress; -2.0 points versus last year. This is an official supply, feed, dairy, or pasture signal to read before treating local prices as isolated. Affects: Feed coverage, hay buying, pasture carrying days, local basis, feeder bids, and whether extra retained weight still pays. Producer action: Move this NASS read into the feed plan now: count forage days, price hay and grain, then compare selling lighter cattle against buying another gain period. Sources: usda-nass. Source evidence links: nass-inventory-to-cycle, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike, drought-shock. - China PSD fluid milk and dairy cow supply updates the long-cycle supply read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 41,510 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for China. The balance sheet is +0.0% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Milk supply, dairy cull timing, dairy-beef flow, ration demand, heat-risk sensitivity, and replacement appetite. Producer action: Put the PSD milk read beside feed cost, heat, and local milk price before changing cull timing or expansion plans. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: heat-load-to-milk-gain, export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - China PSD corn feed balance updates the long-cycle supply read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 243,000 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for China. The balance sheet is +1.7% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Feed availability, import exposure, ration coverage, feeder bids, retained-weight economics, and crop-to-cattle margin. Producer action: Use the PSD feed balance with delivered corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before locking ration coverage or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - China PSD sorghum feed balance updates the long-cycle supply read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 7,700 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for China. The balance sheet is 0.0% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Feed availability, import exposure, ration coverage, feeder bids, retained-weight economics, and crop-to-cattle margin. Producer action: Use the PSD feed balance with delivered corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before locking ration coverage or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - India PSD beef supply and trade updates the long-cycle supply read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 4,725 thousand metric tons CWE in USDA FAS PSD for India. The balance sheet is +1.0% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Beef supply, export pull, processor leverage, cull-cow value, basis confidence, and sale-window strength. Producer action: Compare PSD beef supply and trade with local bids before deciding whether price weakness is temporary noise or real buyer leverage. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: fas-trade-to-basis, export-sales-to-buyer-pull. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, disease-alert. - India PSD cattle herd and slaughter updates the long-cycle supply read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 307,600 thousand head in USDA FAS PSD for India. The balance sheet is +0.0% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Replacement supply, cow retention, slaughter availability, feeder flow, and the long-cycle floor under cattle prices. Producer action: Use the PSD herd balance before retaining replacements, buying feeders, or assuming local supply will stay loose or tight. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: nass-inventory-to-cycle, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike. - European Union PSD beef supply and trade updates the long-cycle supply read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 6,350 thousand metric tons CWE in USDA FAS PSD for European Union. The balance sheet is -0.9% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Beef supply, export pull, processor leverage, cull-cow value, basis confidence, and sale-window strength. Producer action: Compare PSD beef supply and trade with local bids before deciding whether price weakness is temporary noise or real buyer leverage. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: fas-trade-to-basis, export-sales-to-buyer-pull. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, disease-alert. - European Union PSD fluid milk and dairy cow supply updates the long-cycle supply read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 148,950 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for European Union. The balance sheet is -0.5% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Milk supply, dairy cull timing, dairy-beef flow, ration demand, heat-risk sensitivity, and replacement appetite. Producer action: Put the PSD milk read beside feed cost, heat, and local milk price before changing cull timing or expansion plans. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: heat-load-to-milk-gain, export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - European Union PSD corn feed balance updates the long-cycle supply read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 54,400 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for European Union. The balance sheet is +1.3% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Feed availability, import exposure, ration coverage, feeder bids, retained-weight economics, and crop-to-cattle margin. Producer action: Use the PSD feed balance with delivered corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before locking ration coverage or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - European Union PSD soybean meal feed balance updates the long-cycle supply read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 31,000 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for European Union. The balance sheet is +0.3% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Feed availability, import exposure, ration coverage, feeder bids, retained-weight economics, and crop-to-cattle margin. Producer action: Use the PSD feed balance with delivered corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before locking ration coverage or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Argentina PSD corn feed balance updates the long-cycle supply read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 12,800 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for Argentina. The balance sheet is -1.5% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Feed availability, import exposure, ration coverage, feeder bids, retained-weight economics, and crop-to-cattle margin. Producer action: Use the PSD feed balance with delivered corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before locking ration coverage or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Argentina PSD soybean meal feed balance updates the long-cycle supply read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 3,650 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for Argentina. The balance sheet is +1.4% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Feed availability, import exposure, ration coverage, feeder bids, retained-weight economics, and crop-to-cattle margin. Producer action: Use the PSD feed balance with delivered corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before locking ration coverage or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Brazil PSD beef supply and trade updates the long-cycle supply read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 12,370 thousand metric tons CWE in USDA FAS PSD for Brazil. The balance sheet is -1.9% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Beef supply, export pull, processor leverage, cull-cow value, basis confidence, and sale-window strength. Producer action: Compare PSD beef supply and trade with local bids before deciding whether price weakness is temporary noise or real buyer leverage. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: fas-trade-to-basis, export-sales-to-buyer-pull. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, disease-alert. - Uruguay PSD beef supply and trade updates the long-cycle supply read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 625 thousand metric tons CWE in USDA FAS PSD for Uruguay. The balance sheet is -1.6% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Beef supply, export pull, processor leverage, cull-cow value, basis confidence, and sale-window strength. Producer action: Compare PSD beef supply and trade with local bids before deciding whether price weakness is temporary noise or real buyer leverage. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: fas-trade-to-basis, export-sales-to-buyer-pull. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, disease-alert. - Uruguay PSD soybean meal feed balance updates the long-cycle supply read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 420 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for Uruguay. The balance sheet is 0.0% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Feed availability, import exposure, ration coverage, feeder bids, retained-weight economics, and crop-to-cattle margin. Producer action: Use the PSD feed balance with delivered corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before locking ration coverage or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Canada PSD fluid milk and dairy cow supply updates the long-cycle supply read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 10,510 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for Canada. The balance sheet is +0.7% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Milk supply, dairy cull timing, dairy-beef flow, ration demand, heat-risk sensitivity, and replacement appetite. Producer action: Put the PSD milk read beside feed cost, heat, and local milk price before changing cull timing or expansion plans. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: heat-load-to-milk-gain, export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - Canada PSD soybean meal feed balance updates the long-cycle supply read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 2,345 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for Canada. The balance sheet is +0.2% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Feed availability, import exposure, ration coverage, feeder bids, retained-weight economics, and crop-to-cattle margin. Producer action: Use the PSD feed balance with delivered corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before locking ration coverage or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Mexico PSD fluid milk and dairy cow supply updates the long-cycle supply read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 14,271 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for Mexico. The balance sheet is +2.0% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Milk supply, dairy cull timing, dairy-beef flow, ration demand, heat-risk sensitivity, and replacement appetite. Producer action: Put the PSD milk read beside feed cost, heat, and local milk price before changing cull timing or expansion plans. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: heat-load-to-milk-gain, export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - United States PSD beef supply and trade updates the long-cycle supply read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 11,741 thousand metric tons CWE in USDA FAS PSD for United States. The balance sheet is -0.8% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Beef supply, export pull, processor leverage, cull-cow value, basis confidence, and sale-window strength. Producer action: Compare PSD beef supply and trade with local bids before deciding whether price weakness is temporary noise or real buyer leverage. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: fas-trade-to-basis, export-sales-to-buyer-pull. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, disease-alert. - United States PSD cattle herd and slaughter updates the long-cycle supply read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 86,700 thousand head in USDA FAS PSD for United States. The balance sheet is +0.6% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Replacement supply, cow retention, slaughter availability, feeder flow, and the long-cycle floor under cattle prices. Producer action: Use the PSD herd balance before retaining replacements, buying feeders, or assuming local supply will stay loose or tight. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: nass-inventory-to-cycle, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike. - United States PSD fluid milk and dairy cow supply updates the long-cycle supply read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 106,193 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for United States. The balance sheet is +1.2% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Milk supply, dairy cull timing, dairy-beef flow, ration demand, heat-risk sensitivity, and replacement appetite. Producer action: Put the PSD milk read beside feed cost, heat, and local milk price before changing cull timing or expansion plans. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: heat-load-to-milk-gain, export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - United States PSD corn feed balance updates the long-cycle supply read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 154,947 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for United States. The balance sheet is -1.6% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Feed availability, import exposure, ration coverage, feeder bids, retained-weight economics, and crop-to-cattle margin. Producer action: Use the PSD feed balance with delivered corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before locking ration coverage or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - United States PSD soybean meal feed balance updates the long-cycle supply read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 40,030 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for United States. The balance sheet is +1.3% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Feed availability, import exposure, ration coverage, feeder bids, retained-weight economics, and crop-to-cattle margin. Producer action: Use the PSD feed balance with delivered corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before locking ration coverage or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Australia PSD beef supply and trade updates the long-cycle supply read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 2,850 thousand metric tons CWE in USDA FAS PSD for Australia. The balance sheet is -1.2% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Beef supply, export pull, processor leverage, cull-cow value, basis confidence, and sale-window strength. Producer action: Compare PSD beef supply and trade with local bids before deciding whether price weakness is temporary noise or real buyer leverage. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: fas-trade-to-basis, export-sales-to-buyer-pull. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, disease-alert. - Australia PSD fluid milk and dairy cow supply updates the long-cycle supply read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 8,650 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for Australia. The balance sheet is +1.8% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Milk supply, dairy cull timing, dairy-beef flow, ration demand, heat-risk sensitivity, and replacement appetite. Producer action: Put the PSD milk read beside feed cost, heat, and local milk price before changing cull timing or expansion plans. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: heat-load-to-milk-gain, export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - New Zealand PSD fluid milk and dairy cow supply updates the long-cycle supply read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 21,800 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for New Zealand. The balance sheet is -0.5% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Milk supply, dairy cull timing, dairy-beef flow, ration demand, heat-risk sensitivity, and replacement appetite. Producer action: Put the PSD milk read beside feed cost, heat, and local milk price before changing cull timing or expansion plans. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: heat-load-to-milk-gain, export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - New Zealand PSD corn feed balance updates the long-cycle supply read: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 250 thousand mt in USDA FAS PSD for New Zealand. The balance sheet is 0.0% versus 2025, so read it against local prices instead of treating daily headlines as isolated events. Affects: Feed availability, import exposure, ration coverage, feeder bids, retained-weight economics, and crop-to-cattle margin. Producer action: Use the PSD feed balance with delivered corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before locking ration coverage or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-fas. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Brazil cattle slaughter changes Brazil supply pressure: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window Same quarter to 12 weeks. Signal: 11 million head in the latest IBGE quarterly slaughter table. Slaughter and carcass output are official supply checks behind processor leverage and local basis. Affects: Processor leverage, sale timing, local basis, replacement demand, feedlot finishing margin, and export-sensitive cattle lots. Producer action: Use slaughter pace with CEPEA, Comex Stat, pasture days, and feed cost before changing sale timing. Sources: ibge-sidra. Source evidence links: ibge-slaughter-to-brazil-supply, ibge-herd-to-regional-supply, cepea-ibge-brazil-price. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis, export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, feed-cost-spike. - Oceania GDT dairy price index changes dairy margin pressure: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window Same event to 8 weeks. Signal: 1,214 index in the latest Global Dairy Trade public results. The event-to-event index move is -0.6%. Affects: Milk-check expectations, ration tolerance, cull timing, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, processor support, and export-linked demand. Producer action: Stress-test the milk check against delivered feed before adding ration cost, delaying culls, or keeping marginal cows another cycle. Sources: gdt-events. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - Oceania GDT average dairy auction price changes dairy margin pressure: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window Same event to 8 weeks. Signal: 4,021 $/mt in the latest Global Dairy Trade public results. The event-to-event index move is -0.6%. Affects: Milk-check expectations, ration tolerance, cull timing, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, processor support, and export-linked demand. Producer action: Stress-test the milk check against delivered feed before adding ration cost, delaying culls, or keeping marginal cows another cycle. Sources: gdt-events. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - Europe GDT dairy price index changes dairy margin pressure: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window Same event to 8 weeks. Signal: 1,214 index in the latest Global Dairy Trade public results. The event-to-event index move is -0.6%. Affects: Milk-check expectations, ration tolerance, cull timing, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, processor support, and export-linked demand. Producer action: Stress-test the milk check against delivered feed before adding ration cost, delaying culls, or keeping marginal cows another cycle. Sources: gdt-events. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - Europe GDT average dairy auction price changes dairy margin pressure: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window Same event to 8 weeks. Signal: 4,021 $/mt in the latest Global Dairy Trade public results. The event-to-event index move is -0.6%. Affects: Milk-check expectations, ration tolerance, cull timing, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, processor support, and export-linked demand. Producer action: Stress-test the milk check against delivered feed before adding ration cost, delaying culls, or keeping marginal cows another cycle. Sources: gdt-events. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - Latin America GDT dairy price index changes dairy margin pressure: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window Same event to 8 weeks. Signal: 1,214 index in the latest Global Dairy Trade public results. The event-to-event index move is -0.6%. Affects: Milk-check expectations, ration tolerance, cull timing, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, processor support, and export-linked demand. Producer action: Stress-test the milk check against delivered feed before adding ration cost, delaying culls, or keeping marginal cows another cycle. Sources: gdt-events. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - Latin America GDT average dairy auction price changes dairy margin pressure: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window Same event to 8 weeks. Signal: 4,021 $/mt in the latest Global Dairy Trade public results. The event-to-event index move is -0.6%. Affects: Milk-check expectations, ration tolerance, cull timing, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, processor support, and export-linked demand. Producer action: Stress-test the milk check against delivered feed before adding ration cost, delaying culls, or keeping marginal cows another cycle. Sources: gdt-events. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - Africa/Asia GDT dairy price index changes dairy margin pressure: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window Same event to 8 weeks. Signal: 1,214 index in the latest Global Dairy Trade public results. The event-to-event index move is -0.6%. Affects: Milk-check expectations, ration tolerance, cull timing, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, processor support, and export-linked demand. Producer action: Stress-test the milk check against delivered feed before adding ration cost, delaying culls, or keeping marginal cows another cycle. Sources: gdt-events. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - Africa/Asia GDT average dairy auction price changes dairy margin pressure: low severity, 87% confidence, forward window Same event to 8 weeks. Signal: 4,021 $/mt in the latest Global Dairy Trade public results. The event-to-event index move is -0.6%. Affects: Milk-check expectations, ration tolerance, cull timing, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, processor support, and export-linked demand. Producer action: Stress-test the milk check against delivered feed before adding ration cost, delaying culls, or keeping marginal cows another cycle. Sources: gdt-events. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - Corn export pull net sales changed weekly buyer pull: low severity, 86% confidence, forward window 1-6 weeks. Signal: 883 thousand mt in the latest USDA FAS export-sales XML. Weekly change is -13%. Affects: Corn, sorghum, and meal export pull can change domestic feed basis, ration coverage, feeder bids, and gain economics. Producer action: Check delivered feed and basis before buying feeders, holding cattle for more weight, or leaving protein needs uncovered. Sources: usda-esr. Source evidence links: export-sales-to-buyer-pull, fas-trade-to-basis, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, export-disruption. - Corn export pull weekly exports changed weekly buyer pull: low severity, 86% confidence, forward window Same week to 4 weeks. Signal: 1,724 thousand mt in the latest USDA FAS export-sales XML. Weekly change is +7%. Affects: Corn, sorghum, and meal export pull can change domestic feed basis, ration coverage, feeder bids, and gain economics. Producer action: Check delivered feed and basis before buying feeders, holding cattle for more weight, or leaving protein needs uncovered. Sources: usda-esr. Source evidence links: export-sales-to-buyer-pull, fas-trade-to-basis, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, export-disruption. - U.S. milk production forecast changes the monthly feed and supply read: low severity, 86% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 236 billion pounds in the May 2026 WASDE for 2027; +0.3% versus 2026. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Milk margin, dairy cow retention, cull timing, dairy-beef supply, protein-feed demand, and replacement appetite. Producer action: Compare the WASDE dairy revision with feed cost, heat risk, and cull value before changing cow retention or expansion plans. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply, heat-load-to-milk-gain. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - U.S. all-milk price forecast changes the monthly feed and supply read: low severity, 86% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 20.95 $/cwt in the May 2026 WASDE for 2027; -1.4% versus 2026. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Milk margin, dairy cow retention, cull timing, dairy-beef supply, protein-feed demand, and replacement appetite. Producer action: Compare the WASDE dairy revision with feed cost, heat risk, and cull value before changing cow retention or expansion plans. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply, heat-load-to-milk-gain. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - Brazil beef carcass production changes Brazil supply pressure: low severity, 86% confidence, forward window Same quarter to 12 weeks. Signal: 2.9 million tonnes in the latest IBGE quarterly slaughter table. Slaughter and carcass output are official supply checks behind processor leverage and local basis. Affects: Processor leverage, sale timing, local basis, replacement demand, feedlot finishing margin, and export-sensitive cattle lots. Producer action: Use slaughter pace with CEPEA, Comex Stat, pasture days, and feed cost before changing sale timing. Sources: ibge-sidra. Source evidence links: ibge-slaughter-to-brazil-supply, ibge-herd-to-regional-supply, cepea-ibge-brazil-price. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis, export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, feed-cost-spike. - Afghanistan WFP wheat market price changes local staple and feed pressure: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: WFP VAM food prices reports Bread at 0.57 $/kg in Afghanistan on 2026-05-15, averaged across 34 physical markets and 133 public price rows. Change is -0.4% versus 2026-04-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Affects: Feed substitution, household selling pressure, crop demand, local market depth, ration cost, and sale timing. Producer action: Keep WFP market prices beside local cattle bids, pasture, and feed quotes before deciding whether to hold, sell, or buy supplement. Sources: wfp-vam. Source evidence links: wfp-vam-food-price-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock. - Afghanistan WFP rice market price changes local staple and feed pressure: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: WFP VAM food prices reports Rice (high quality) at 1.65 $/kg in Afghanistan on 2026-05-15, averaged across 34 physical markets and 68 public price rows. Change is -0.1% versus 2026-04-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Affects: Feed substitution, household selling pressure, crop demand, local market depth, ration cost, and sale timing. Producer action: Keep WFP market prices beside local cattle bids, pasture, and feed quotes before deciding whether to hold, sell, or buy supplement. Sources: wfp-vam. Source evidence links: wfp-vam-food-price-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock. - Afghanistan WFP pulses market price changes local staple and feed pressure: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: WFP VAM food prices reports Pulses at 1.42 $/kg in Afghanistan on 2026-05-15, averaged across 34 physical markets and 34 public price rows. Change is +0.0% versus 2026-04-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Affects: Feed substitution, household selling pressure, crop demand, local market depth, ration cost, and sale timing. Producer action: Keep WFP market prices beside local cattle bids, pasture, and feed quotes before deciding whether to hold, sell, or buy supplement. Sources: wfp-vam. Source evidence links: wfp-vam-food-price-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock. - Afghanistan WFP oil market price changes local staple and feed pressure: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: WFP VAM food prices reports Oil (cooking) at 1.82 $/kg in Afghanistan on 2026-05-15, averaged across 34 physical markets and 34 public price rows. Change is -2.1% versus 2026-04-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Affects: Feed substitution, household selling pressure, crop demand, local market depth, ration cost, and sale timing. Producer action: Keep WFP market prices beside local cattle bids, pasture, and feed quotes before deciding whether to hold, sell, or buy supplement. Sources: wfp-vam. Source evidence links: wfp-vam-food-price-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock. - Ethiopia WFP rice market price changes local staple and feed pressure: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: WFP VAM food prices reports Rice at 0.91 $/kg in Ethiopia on 2026-03-15, averaged across 25 physical markets and 25 public price rows. Change is +0.1% versus 2026-02-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Affects: Feed substitution, household selling pressure, crop demand, local market depth, ration cost, and sale timing. Producer action: Keep WFP market prices beside local cattle bids, pasture, and feed quotes before deciding whether to hold, sell, or buy supplement. Sources: wfp-vam. Source evidence links: wfp-vam-food-price-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock. - Ethiopia WFP dairy market price changes local staple and feed pressure: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: WFP VAM food prices reports Milk at 1.01 $/L in Ethiopia on 2026-03-15, averaged across 20 physical markets and 28 public price rows. Change is +8.6% versus 2026-02-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Affects: Milk purchasing power, dairy ration tolerance, cull timing, household cash pressure, and informal milk demand. Producer action: Keep WFP market prices beside local cattle bids, pasture, and feed quotes before deciding whether to hold, sell, or buy supplement. Sources: wfp-vam. Source evidence links: wfp-vam-food-price-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock. - Ethiopia WFP oil market price changes local staple and feed pressure: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: WFP VAM food prices reports Oil (vegetable) at 2.69 $/L in Ethiopia on 2026-03-15, averaged across 35 physical markets and 35 public price rows. Change is +1.2% versus 2026-02-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Affects: Feed substitution, household selling pressure, crop demand, local market depth, ration cost, and sale timing. Producer action: Keep WFP market prices beside local cattle bids, pasture, and feed quotes before deciding whether to hold, sell, or buy supplement. Sources: wfp-vam. Source evidence links: wfp-vam-food-price-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock. - Yemen WFP wheat market price changes local staple and feed pressure: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: WFP VAM food prices reports Wheat at 3.55 $/kg in Yemen on 2026-04-15, averaged across 11 physical markets and 22 public price rows. Change is -0.5% versus 2026-03-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Affects: Feed substitution, household selling pressure, crop demand, local market depth, ration cost, and sale timing. Producer action: Keep WFP market prices beside local cattle bids, pasture, and feed quotes before deciding whether to hold, sell, or buy supplement. Sources: wfp-vam. Source evidence links: wfp-vam-food-price-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock. - Yemen WFP pulses market price changes local staple and feed pressure: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: WFP VAM food prices reports Beans (kidney red) at 10.43 $/kg in Yemen on 2026-04-15, averaged across 11 physical markets and 36 public price rows. Change is -0.2% versus 2026-03-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Affects: Feed substitution, household selling pressure, crop demand, local market depth, ration cost, and sale timing. Producer action: Keep WFP market prices beside local cattle bids, pasture, and feed quotes before deciding whether to hold, sell, or buy supplement. Sources: wfp-vam. Source evidence links: wfp-vam-food-price-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock. - Yemen WFP oil market price changes local staple and feed pressure: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: WFP VAM food prices reports Oil (vegetable) at 11.99 $/L in Yemen on 2026-04-15, averaged across 11 physical markets and 18 public price rows. Change is +4.4% versus 2026-03-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Affects: Feed substitution, household selling pressure, crop demand, local market depth, ration cost, and sale timing. Producer action: Keep WFP market prices beside local cattle bids, pasture, and feed quotes before deciding whether to hold, sell, or buy supplement. Sources: wfp-vam. Source evidence links: wfp-vam-food-price-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock. - Nigeria WFP oil market price changes local staple and feed pressure: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: WFP VAM food prices reports Oil (palm) at 1.92 $/L in Nigeria on 2026-04-15, averaged across 13 physical markets and 26 public price rows. Change is +3.0% versus 2026-03-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Affects: Feed substitution, household selling pressure, crop demand, local market depth, ration cost, and sale timing. Producer action: Keep WFP market prices beside local cattle bids, pasture, and feed quotes before deciding whether to hold, sell, or buy supplement. Sources: wfp-vam. Source evidence links: wfp-vam-food-price-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock. - Uganda WFP sorghum market price changes local staple and feed pressure: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: WFP VAM food prices reports Sorghum at 0.54 $/kg in Uganda on 2026-04-15, averaged across 15 physical markets and 15 public price rows. Change is -3.8% versus 2026-03-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Affects: Feed substitution, household selling pressure, crop demand, local market depth, ration cost, and sale timing. Producer action: Keep WFP market prices beside local cattle bids, pasture, and feed quotes before deciding whether to hold, sell, or buy supplement. Sources: wfp-vam. Source evidence links: wfp-vam-food-price-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock. - Bolivia WFP rice market price changes local staple and feed pressure: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: WFP VAM food prices reports Rice (carolina 2da) at 2.47 $/kg in Bolivia on 2026-04-15, averaged across 8 physical markets and 12 public price rows. Change is -2.8% versus 2026-03-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Affects: Feed substitution, household selling pressure, crop demand, local market depth, ration cost, and sale timing. Producer action: Keep WFP market prices beside local cattle bids, pasture, and feed quotes before deciding whether to hold, sell, or buy supplement. Sources: wfp-vam. Source evidence links: wfp-vam-food-price-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock. - China corn feed demand changes the monthly feed and supply read: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 243 million tonnes in the May 2026 WASDE for 2026/27; +1.7% versus 2025/26. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, hay substitution, crop-to-cattle margin, feeder bids, and whether retained weight still pays. Producer action: Put the WASDE revision beside local corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before buying feed, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - China soybean meal domestic use changes the monthly feed and supply read: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 85.9 million tonnes in the May 2026 WASDE for 2026/27; +2.0% versus 2025/26. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, hay substitution, crop-to-cattle margin, feeder bids, and whether retained weight still pays. Producer action: Put the WASDE revision beside local corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before buying feed, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - India soybean meal ending stocks changes the monthly feed and supply read: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 0.2 million tonnes in the May 2026 WASDE for 2026/27; 0.0% versus 2025/26. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, hay substitution, crop-to-cattle margin, feeder bids, and whether retained weight still pays. Producer action: Put the WASDE revision beside local corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before buying feed, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - European Union corn feed demand changes the monthly feed and supply read: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 54.4 million tonnes in the May 2026 WASDE for 2026/27; +1.3% versus 2025/26. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, hay substitution, crop-to-cattle margin, feeder bids, and whether retained weight still pays. Producer action: Put the WASDE revision beside local corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before buying feed, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - European Union soybean meal domestic use changes the monthly feed and supply read: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 31 million tonnes in the May 2026 WASDE for 2026/27; +0.3% versus 2025/26. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, hay substitution, crop-to-cattle margin, feeder bids, and whether retained weight still pays. Producer action: Put the WASDE revision beside local corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before buying feed, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - European Union soybean meal ending stocks changes the monthly feed and supply read: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 1.5 million tonnes in the May 2026 WASDE for 2026/27; +0.7% versus 2025/26. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, hay substitution, crop-to-cattle margin, feeder bids, and whether retained weight still pays. Producer action: Put the WASDE revision beside local corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before buying feed, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Argentina corn feed demand changes the monthly feed and supply read: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 12.8 million tonnes in the May 2026 WASDE for 2026/27; -1.5% versus 2025/26. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, hay substitution, crop-to-cattle margin, feeder bids, and whether retained weight still pays. Producer action: Put the WASDE revision beside local corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before buying feed, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Brazil corn ending stocks changes the monthly feed and supply read: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 11.4 million tonnes in the May 2026 WASDE for 2026/27; -1.7% versus 2025/26. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, hay substitution, crop-to-cattle margin, feeder bids, and whether retained weight still pays. Producer action: Put the WASDE revision beside local corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before buying feed, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Argentina soybean meal domestic use changes the monthly feed and supply read: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 3.7 million tonnes in the May 2026 WASDE for 2026/27; +1.4% versus 2025/26. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, hay substitution, crop-to-cattle margin, feeder bids, and whether retained weight still pays. Producer action: Put the WASDE revision beside local corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before buying feed, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Brazil soybean meal ending stocks changes the monthly feed and supply read: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 4.3 million tonnes in the May 2026 WASDE for 2026/27; +2.9% versus 2025/26. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, hay substitution, crop-to-cattle margin, feeder bids, and whether retained weight still pays. Producer action: Put the WASDE revision beside local corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before buying feed, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - U.S. corn feed and residual changes the monthly feed and supply read: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 6,100 million bushels in the May 2026 WASDE for 2026/27; -1.6% versus 2025/26. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, hay substitution, crop-to-cattle margin, feeder bids, and whether retained weight still pays. Producer action: Put the WASDE revision beside local corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before buying feed, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - U.S. beef production forecast changes the monthly feed and supply read: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 25,378 million pounds in the May 2026 WASDE for 2027; -0.9% versus 2026. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Processor leverage, beef import/export pull, cull-cow value, local basis, hedging urgency, and sale-window confidence. Producer action: Compare the WASDE beef revision with local cash bids and packer calls before deciding to sell now, hold weight, or hedge. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, export-sales-to-buyer-pull, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, feed-cost-spike. - U.S. beef import forecast changes the monthly feed and supply read: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 6,000 million pounds in the May 2026 WASDE for 2027; -1.8% versus 2026. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Processor leverage, beef import/export pull, cull-cow value, local basis, hedging urgency, and sale-window confidence. Producer action: Compare the WASDE beef revision with local cash bids and packer calls before deciding to sell now, hold weight, or hedge. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, export-sales-to-buyer-pull, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, feed-cost-spike. - U.S. beef export forecast changes the monthly feed and supply read: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 2,335 million pounds in the May 2026 WASDE for 2027; -1.1% versus 2026. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Processor leverage, beef import/export pull, cull-cow value, local basis, hedging urgency, and sale-window confidence. Producer action: Compare the WASDE beef revision with local cash bids and packer calls before deciding to sell now, hold weight, or hedge. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, export-sales-to-buyer-pull, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, feed-cost-spike. - Canada corn feed demand changes the monthly feed and supply read: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 8.8 million tonnes in the May 2026 WASDE for 2026/27; +2.3% versus 2025/26. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, hay substitution, crop-to-cattle margin, feeder bids, and whether retained weight still pays. Producer action: Put the WASDE revision beside local corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before buying feed, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - World corn feed use changes the monthly feed and supply read: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window 1 month to 1 year. Signal: 829.3 million tonnes in the May 2026 WASDE for 2026/27; +1.2% versus 2025/26. This is the official monthly bridge from crop/feed balance to cattle, milk, and sale timing. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, hay substitution, crop-to-cattle margin, feeder bids, and whether retained weight still pays. Producer action: Put the WASDE revision beside local corn, meal, hay, freight, and weather before buying feed, buying feeders, or holding cattle for more gain. Sources: usda-wasde. Source evidence links: wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Milk-feed ratio changes feed-margin pressure: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: 2 milk/feed in the USDA ERS Feed Grains Database. This is an official feed, forage, and byproduct-cost input for cattle breakevens. Affects: Dairy ration cost, milk margin, cull timing, replacement decisions, and beef cow supply. Producer action: Keep this in the feed-margin watchlist and only change cattle timing after checking local basis, freight, weather, and cash bids. Sources: usda-ers-feed-grains. Source evidence links: ers-feed-grains-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, gdt-to-dairy-cull. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, milk-margin-squeeze. - Oceania GDT Butter changes dairy margin pressure: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window Same event to 8 weeks. Signal: 5,734 $/mt in the latest Global Dairy Trade public results. The event-to-event index move is +1.2%. Affects: Milk-check expectations, ration tolerance, cull timing, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, processor support, and export-linked demand. Producer action: Do not assume a stronger dairy auction automatically pays for more feed; compare the milk check, cull value, and replacement price first. Sources: gdt-events. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - Oceania GDT Cheddar Cheese changes dairy margin pressure: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window Same event to 8 weeks. Signal: 4,621 $/mt in the latest Global Dairy Trade public results. The event-to-event index move is +1.8%. Affects: Milk-check expectations, ration tolerance, cull timing, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, processor support, and export-linked demand. Producer action: Do not assume a stronger dairy auction automatically pays for more feed; compare the milk check, cull value, and replacement price first. Sources: gdt-events. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - Oceania GDT Wholemilk Powders changes dairy margin pressure: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window Same event to 8 weeks. Signal: 3,706 $/mt in the latest Global Dairy Trade public results. The event-to-event index move is -2.2%. Affects: Milk-check expectations, ration tolerance, cull timing, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, processor support, and export-linked demand. Producer action: Stress-test the milk check against delivered feed before adding ration cost, delaying culls, or keeping marginal cows another cycle. Sources: gdt-events. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - Europe GDT Butter changes dairy margin pressure: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window Same event to 8 weeks. Signal: 5,734 $/mt in the latest Global Dairy Trade public results. The event-to-event index move is +1.2%. Affects: Milk-check expectations, ration tolerance, cull timing, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, processor support, and export-linked demand. Producer action: Do not assume a stronger dairy auction automatically pays for more feed; compare the milk check, cull value, and replacement price first. Sources: gdt-events. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - Europe GDT Cheddar Cheese changes dairy margin pressure: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window Same event to 8 weeks. Signal: 4,621 $/mt in the latest Global Dairy Trade public results. The event-to-event index move is +1.8%. Affects: Milk-check expectations, ration tolerance, cull timing, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, processor support, and export-linked demand. Producer action: Do not assume a stronger dairy auction automatically pays for more feed; compare the milk check, cull value, and replacement price first. Sources: gdt-events. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - Europe GDT Wholemilk Powders changes dairy margin pressure: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window Same event to 8 weeks. Signal: 3,706 $/mt in the latest Global Dairy Trade public results. The event-to-event index move is -2.2%. Affects: Milk-check expectations, ration tolerance, cull timing, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, processor support, and export-linked demand. Producer action: Stress-test the milk check against delivered feed before adding ration cost, delaying culls, or keeping marginal cows another cycle. Sources: gdt-events. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - Latin America GDT Butter changes dairy margin pressure: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window Same event to 8 weeks. Signal: 5,734 $/mt in the latest Global Dairy Trade public results. The event-to-event index move is +1.2%. Affects: Milk-check expectations, ration tolerance, cull timing, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, processor support, and export-linked demand. Producer action: Do not assume a stronger dairy auction automatically pays for more feed; compare the milk check, cull value, and replacement price first. Sources: gdt-events. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - Latin America GDT Cheddar Cheese changes dairy margin pressure: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window Same event to 8 weeks. Signal: 4,621 $/mt in the latest Global Dairy Trade public results. The event-to-event index move is +1.8%. Affects: Milk-check expectations, ration tolerance, cull timing, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, processor support, and export-linked demand. Producer action: Do not assume a stronger dairy auction automatically pays for more feed; compare the milk check, cull value, and replacement price first. Sources: gdt-events. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - Latin America GDT Wholemilk Powders changes dairy margin pressure: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window Same event to 8 weeks. Signal: 3,706 $/mt in the latest Global Dairy Trade public results. The event-to-event index move is -2.2%. Affects: Milk-check expectations, ration tolerance, cull timing, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, processor support, and export-linked demand. Producer action: Stress-test the milk check against delivered feed before adding ration cost, delaying culls, or keeping marginal cows another cycle. Sources: gdt-events. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - Africa/Asia GDT Butter changes dairy margin pressure: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window Same event to 8 weeks. Signal: 5,734 $/mt in the latest Global Dairy Trade public results. The event-to-event index move is +1.2%. Affects: Milk-check expectations, ration tolerance, cull timing, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, processor support, and export-linked demand. Producer action: Do not assume a stronger dairy auction automatically pays for more feed; compare the milk check, cull value, and replacement price first. Sources: gdt-events. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - Africa/Asia GDT Cheddar Cheese changes dairy margin pressure: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window Same event to 8 weeks. Signal: 4,621 $/mt in the latest Global Dairy Trade public results. The event-to-event index move is +1.8%. Affects: Milk-check expectations, ration tolerance, cull timing, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, processor support, and export-linked demand. Producer action: Do not assume a stronger dairy auction automatically pays for more feed; compare the milk check, cull value, and replacement price first. Sources: gdt-events. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - Africa/Asia GDT Wholemilk Powders changes dairy margin pressure: low severity, 85% confidence, forward window Same event to 8 weeks. Signal: 3,706 $/mt in the latest Global Dairy Trade public results. The event-to-event index move is -2.2%. Affects: Milk-check expectations, ration tolerance, cull timing, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, processor support, and export-linked demand. Producer action: Stress-test the milk check against delivered feed before adding ration cost, delaying culls, or keeping marginal cows another cycle. Sources: gdt-events. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - North America FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index changes global margin context: low severity, 84% confidence, forward window 1 month to 12 months. Signal: FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index is 185.0 for 2026-05, -4.6% month over month and +21.6% year over year. Vegetable oils move oilseed crush, protein-meal economics, biofuel pull, and crop rotations. Affects: Feed grain pressure, oilseed meal economics, ration cost, crop rotation, and replacement-cattle bids. Producer action: Reprice feed coverage, crop inventory, and the next gain period before assuming local feed offers will hold. Sources: fao-food-price. Source evidence links: fao-food-price-to-farm-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, fertilizer-energy-squeeze. - Latin America FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index changes global margin context: low severity, 84% confidence, forward window 1 month to 12 months. Signal: FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index is 185.0 for 2026-05, -4.6% month over month and +21.6% year over year. Vegetable oils move oilseed crush, protein-meal economics, biofuel pull, and crop rotations. Affects: Feed grain pressure, oilseed meal economics, ration cost, crop rotation, and replacement-cattle bids. Producer action: Reprice feed coverage, crop inventory, and the next gain period before assuming local feed offers will hold. Sources: fao-food-price. Source evidence links: fao-food-price-to-farm-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, fertilizer-energy-squeeze. - Oceania FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index changes global margin context: low severity, 84% confidence, forward window 1 month to 12 months. Signal: FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index is 185.0 for 2026-05, -4.6% month over month and +21.6% year over year. Vegetable oils move oilseed crush, protein-meal economics, biofuel pull, and crop rotations. Affects: Feed grain pressure, oilseed meal economics, ration cost, crop rotation, and replacement-cattle bids. Producer action: Reprice feed coverage, crop inventory, and the next gain period before assuming local feed offers will hold. Sources: fao-food-price. Source evidence links: fao-food-price-to-farm-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, fertilizer-energy-squeeze. - Europe FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index changes global margin context: low severity, 84% confidence, forward window 1 month to 12 months. Signal: FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index is 185.0 for 2026-05, -4.6% month over month and +21.6% year over year. Vegetable oils move oilseed crush, protein-meal economics, biofuel pull, and crop rotations. Affects: Feed grain pressure, oilseed meal economics, ration cost, crop rotation, and replacement-cattle bids. Producer action: Reprice feed coverage, crop inventory, and the next gain period before assuming local feed offers will hold. Sources: fao-food-price. Source evidence links: fao-food-price-to-farm-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, fertilizer-energy-squeeze. - Africa and Asia FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index changes global margin context: low severity, 84% confidence, forward window 1 month to 12 months. Signal: FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index is 185.0 for 2026-05, -4.6% month over month and +21.6% year over year. Vegetable oils move oilseed crush, protein-meal economics, biofuel pull, and crop rotations. Affects: Feed grain pressure, oilseed meal economics, ration cost, crop rotation, and replacement-cattle bids. Producer action: Reprice feed coverage, crop inventory, and the next gain period before assuming local feed offers will hold. Sources: fao-food-price. Source evidence links: fao-food-price-to-farm-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, fertilizer-energy-squeeze. - Cattle hide export demand net sales changed weekly buyer pull: low severity, 84% confidence, forward window 1-6 weeks. Signal: 243 thousand pieces in the latest USDA FAS export-sales XML. Weekly change is +7%. Affects: Hide export demand changes byproduct value, packer margin, and the bid room behind local cattle prices. Producer action: Check export-linked buyer pull against local bids before deciding whether to sell, hold weight, or shop another packer. Sources: usda-esr. Source evidence links: export-sales-to-buyer-pull, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Cattle hide export demand weekly exports changed weekly buyer pull: low severity, 84% confidence, forward window Same week to 4 weeks. Signal: 288 thousand pieces in the latest USDA FAS export-sales XML. Weekly change is +23%. Affects: Hide export demand changes byproduct value, packer margin, and the bid room behind local cattle prices. Producer action: Check export-linked buyer pull against local bids before deciding whether to sell, hold weight, or shop another packer. Sources: usda-esr. Source evidence links: export-sales-to-buyer-pull, fas-trade-to-basis. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Sorghum export pull net sales changed weekly buyer pull: low severity, 84% confidence, forward window 1-6 weeks. Signal: 63 thousand mt in the latest USDA FAS export-sales XML. Weekly change is -5%. Affects: Corn, sorghum, and meal export pull can change domestic feed basis, ration coverage, feeder bids, and gain economics. Producer action: Check delivered feed and basis before buying feeders, holding cattle for more weight, or leaving protein needs uncovered. Sources: usda-esr. Source evidence links: export-sales-to-buyer-pull, fas-trade-to-basis, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, export-disruption. - Brazil carcass weight per slaughtered head changes Brazil supply pressure: low severity, 84% confidence, forward window Same quarter to 12 weeks. Signal: 265.8 kg/head in the latest IBGE quarterly slaughter table. Carcass weight tells whether feed and pasture are converting into saleable beef or just adding cost. Affects: Processor leverage, sale timing, local basis, replacement demand, feedlot finishing margin, and export-sensitive cattle lots. Producer action: Use slaughter pace with CEPEA, Comex Stat, pasture days, and feed cost before changing sale timing. Sources: ibge-sidra. Source evidence links: ibge-slaughter-to-brazil-supply, ibge-herd-to-regional-supply, cepea-ibge-brazil-price. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis, export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, feed-cost-spike. - Brazil corn production changes Brazil feed-margin cover: low severity, 84% confidence, forward window 1 month to 18 months. Signal: 140.2 million tonnes in the latest CONAB supply-demand dashboard. Production revisions change the first feed-cost assumption for corn, silage, soybean meal, and supplement buying. Affects: Delivered corn and meal cost, supplement buying, crop selling, feedlot breakeven, pasture substitution, and retained weight. Producer action: Keep CONAB crop balance beside CEPEA feed prices, USD/BRL, and local bids before changing sale or ration coverage. Sources: conab. Source evidence links: conab-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, bcb-fx-to-export-inputs. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Brazil soybean exports changes Brazil trade pressure: low severity, 84% confidence, forward window 2-12 weeks. Signal: 14.8 million tonnes in the latest official Comex Stat export flow. Crop export pull can compete with domestic feed users and move corn or soybean-meal basis before cattle margins adjust. Affects: Corn and soybean basis, delivered feed cost, supplement coverage, crop sales, feedlot breakeven, and retained weight. Producer action: Check local feed basis and freight before delaying ration coverage or holding cattle for gain that export demand may reprice. Sources: comex-stat. Source evidence links: comex-stat-to-brazil-export-flow, agrostat-comex-to-brazil-export, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, export-disruption. - Corn feed and residual use changes feed-margin pressure: low severity, 83% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: 6,100 million bushels in the USDA ERS Feed Grains Database. This is an official feed, forage, and byproduct-cost input for cattle breakevens. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, feedlot breakeven, crop-feed tradeoffs, and retained weight. Producer action: Keep this in the feed-margin watchlist and only change cattle timing after checking local basis, freight, weather, and cash bids. Sources: usda-ers-feed-grains. Source evidence links: ers-feed-grains-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Total energy feeds use changes feed-margin pressure: low severity, 83% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: 160,997 thousand mt in the USDA ERS Feed Grains Database. This is an official feed, forage, and byproduct-cost input for cattle breakevens. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, feedlot breakeven, crop-feed tradeoffs, and retained weight. Producer action: Keep this in the feed-margin watchlist and only change cattle timing after checking local basis, freight, weather, and cash bids. Sources: usda-ers-feed-grains. Source evidence links: ers-feed-grains-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Brazil soybean production by state sets Brazil feed-basis structure: low severity, 83% confidence, forward window 1 month to 18 months. Signal: 144.5 million tonnes in the latest IBGE state crop table. State concentration tells where weather, freight, storage, and exports can move delivered feed cost first. Affects: Soybean and meal basis, protein supplement cost, crop selling, dairy ration spend, and retained weight. Producer action: Use state crop structure with CONAB balance and Comex export pull before leaving feed coverage open or holding cattle for extra gain. Sources: ibge-sidra. Source evidence links: ibge-crop-production-to-feed-basis, conab-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, export-disruption. - Kenya maize market price changes feed and staple-price pressure: low severity, 82% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: FEWS NET Data Warehouse reports maize prices in Kenya at 0.48 $/kg for 2026-04-30, across 12 public market rows (Eldoret, Nyeri-Kieni, Nairobi, Kwale). Change is -2.1% month over month, +3.7% year over year, and +6.5% versus the five-year average where available. Use this as a feed, staple demand, and forced-sale pressure signal. Affects: Delivered feed cost, staple/feed substitution, household affordability, crop selling, retained weight, and local cattle bids. Producer action: Reprice local feed cover and the next gain period before holding cattle longer or assuming staple-price stress will not affect bids. Sources: fews-net. Source evidence links: fews-market-food-security-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock, export-disruption. - Guatemala maize market price changes feed and staple-price pressure: low severity, 82% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: FEWS NET Data Warehouse reports maize prices in Guatemala at 0.81 $/kg for 2025-12-31, across 12 public market rows (National Average, Guatemala City, Mercado La Terminal, Totonicapan, Mercado Municipal, Totonicapan, Mercado Municipal). Change is -0.9% month over month, +2.4% year over year, and +0.4% versus the five-year average where available. Use this as a feed, staple demand, and forced-sale pressure signal. Affects: Delivered feed cost, staple/feed substitution, household affordability, crop selling, retained weight, and local cattle bids. Producer action: Reprice local feed cover and the next gain period before holding cattle longer or assuming staple-price stress will not affect bids. Sources: fews-net. Source evidence links: fews-market-food-security-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock, export-disruption. - Yemen WFP rice market price changes local staple and feed pressure: low severity, 82% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: WFP VAM food prices reports Rice (imported) at 9.60 $/kg in Yemen on 2026-04-15, averaged across 10 physical markets and 10 public price rows. Change is -2.1% versus 2026-03-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Affects: Feed substitution, household selling pressure, crop demand, local market depth, ration cost, and sale timing. Producer action: Keep WFP market prices beside local cattle bids, pasture, and feed quotes before deciding whether to hold, sell, or buy supplement. Sources: wfp-vam. Source evidence links: wfp-vam-food-price-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock. - Uganda WFP millet market price changes local staple and feed pressure: low severity, 82% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: WFP VAM food prices reports Millet flour at 1.21 $/kg in Uganda on 2026-04-15, averaged across 11 physical markets and 11 public price rows. Change is +3.3% versus 2026-03-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Affects: Feed substitution, household selling pressure, crop demand, local market depth, ration cost, and sale timing. Producer action: Keep WFP market prices beside local cattle bids, pasture, and feed quotes before deciding whether to hold, sell, or buy supplement. Sources: wfp-vam. Source evidence links: wfp-vam-food-price-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock. - Europe bovine herd sets Europe's supply baseline: low severity, 82% confidence, forward window 1 quarter to 3 years. Signal: Europe bovine herd is 71.5 million head in 2025, -0.5% versus 2024. Country readings: Ireland 6.3 million head, Germany 10.4 million head, France 16.2 million head, Netherlands 3.5 million head, Spain 6.3 million head, Poland 6.1 million head, Italy 5.7 million head. Use the EU herd baseline with local price and feed signals before expanding, culling, or buying replacements. Affects: Long-cycle beef supply, calf crop, replacement values, cull availability, and local basis. Producer action: Use the cow-base signal before treating a local beef price move as only short-term demand. Sources: eurostat-agri. Source evidence links: eurostat-herd-to-cull-replacement. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - Europe dairy cow herd sets Europe's supply baseline: low severity, 82% confidence, forward window 1 quarter to 3 years. Signal: Europe dairy cow herd is 19.1 million head in 2025, -0.7% versus 2024. Country readings: Ireland 1.5 million head, Germany 3.6 million head, France 3 million head, Netherlands 1.5 million head, Spain 0.8 million head, Poland 1.9 million head, Italy 1.8 million head. Dairy cow numbers set the cull-flow and milk-feed margin baseline before monthly milk prices feel it. Affects: Milk-feed margin, cull cow flow, replacement value, and beef supply from dairy herds. Producer action: Read milk collection and dairy cow numbers with EU milk price before changing ration intensity or delaying culls. Sources: eurostat-agri. Source evidence links: eurostat-herd-to-cull-replacement, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - Europe non-dairy cow herd sets Europe's supply baseline: low severity, 82% confidence, forward window 1 quarter to 3 years. Signal: Europe non-dairy cow herd is 10 million head in 2025, -0.9% versus 2024. Country readings: Ireland 0.8 million head, Germany 0.6 million head, France 3.6 million head, Netherlands 0 million head, Spain 2 million head, Poland 0.1 million head, Italy 0.5 million head. Non-dairy cows are the long-cycle calf crop, replacement, and cull supply base for European beef. Affects: Long-cycle beef supply, calf crop, replacement values, cull availability, and local basis. Producer action: Use the cow-base signal before treating a local beef price move as only short-term demand. Sources: eurostat-agri. Source evidence links: eurostat-herd-to-cull-replacement. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - Bolivia WFP dairy market price changes local staple and feed pressure: low severity, 81% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: WFP VAM food prices reports Milk (non-pasteurized) at 1.25 $/L in Bolivia on 2026-04-15, averaged across 7 physical markets and 7 public price rows. Change is +0.9% versus 2026-03-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Affects: Milk purchasing power, dairy ration tolerance, cull timing, household cash pressure, and informal milk demand. Producer action: Keep WFP market prices beside local cattle bids, pasture, and feed quotes before deciding whether to hold, sell, or buy supplement. Sources: wfp-vam. Source evidence links: wfp-vam-food-price-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock. - Feeder cattle COT positioning changes hedge and feed-risk timing: low severity, 81% confidence, forward window 1-8 weeks. Signal: 20 % net long / open interest in the latest CFTC Commitments of Traders report. Cattle positioning is a weekly early-warning signal for hedge urgency, retained ownership, and basis risk. Affects: Hedge timing, cash-bid confidence, retained ownership, replacement purchases, and basis exposure. Producer action: Use the COT cattle read with local cash bids before holding unhedged cattle weight or assuming buyer leverage will stay unchanged. Sources: cftc-cot. Source evidence links: cftc-positioning-to-hedge-feed-risk, ams-price-to-sale-window. Historical drivers: positioning-to-hedge-margin, export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, feed-cost-spike. - North America FAO Food Price Index changes global margin context: low severity, 80% confidence, forward window 1 month to 12 months. Signal: FAO Food Price Index is 130.8 for 2026-05, -0.2% month over month and +2.9% year over year. Use the headline food index as a global demand and affordability check before assuming local prices are only local supply. Affects: Consumer affordability, food inflation, working capital, feed demand, and local bid resilience. Producer action: Compare the global index with local cattle, milk, feed, and crop bids before calling the move local noise. Sources: fao-food-price. Source evidence links: fao-food-price-to-farm-margin. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, feed-cost-spike. - Latin America FAO Food Price Index changes global margin context: low severity, 80% confidence, forward window 1 month to 12 months. Signal: FAO Food Price Index is 130.8 for 2026-05, -0.2% month over month and +2.9% year over year. Use the headline food index as a global demand and affordability check before assuming local prices are only local supply. Affects: Consumer affordability, food inflation, working capital, feed demand, and local bid resilience. Producer action: Compare the global index with local cattle, milk, feed, and crop bids before calling the move local noise. Sources: fao-food-price. Source evidence links: fao-food-price-to-farm-margin. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, feed-cost-spike. - Oceania FAO Food Price Index changes global margin context: low severity, 80% confidence, forward window 1 month to 12 months. Signal: FAO Food Price Index is 130.8 for 2026-05, -0.2% month over month and +2.9% year over year. Use the headline food index as a global demand and affordability check before assuming local prices are only local supply. Affects: Consumer affordability, food inflation, working capital, feed demand, and local bid resilience. Producer action: Compare the global index with local cattle, milk, feed, and crop bids before calling the move local noise. Sources: fao-food-price. Source evidence links: fao-food-price-to-farm-margin. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, feed-cost-spike. - Europe FAO Food Price Index changes global margin context: low severity, 80% confidence, forward window 1 month to 12 months. Signal: FAO Food Price Index is 130.8 for 2026-05, -0.2% month over month and +2.9% year over year. Use the headline food index as a global demand and affordability check before assuming local prices are only local supply. Affects: Consumer affordability, food inflation, working capital, feed demand, and local bid resilience. Producer action: Compare the global index with local cattle, milk, feed, and crop bids before calling the move local noise. Sources: fao-food-price. Source evidence links: fao-food-price-to-farm-margin. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, feed-cost-spike. - Africa and Asia FAO Food Price Index changes global margin context: low severity, 80% confidence, forward window 1 month to 12 months. Signal: FAO Food Price Index is 130.8 for 2026-05, -0.2% month over month and +2.9% year over year. Use the headline food index as a global demand and affordability check before assuming local prices are only local supply. Affects: Consumer affordability, food inflation, working capital, feed demand, and local bid resilience. Producer action: Compare the global index with local cattle, milk, feed, and crop bids before calling the move local noise. Sources: fao-food-price. Source evidence links: fao-food-price-to-farm-margin. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, feed-cost-spike. - Ethiopia maize market price changes feed and staple-price pressure: low severity, 80% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: FEWS NET Data Warehouse reports maize prices in Ethiopia at 0.41 $/kg for 2026-03-31, across 9 public market rows (Addis Ababa, Merkato, Degehabour, Dire Dawa, Kezira, Gode). Change is +4.1% month over month, 0.0% year over year, and 0.0% versus the five-year average where available. Use this as a feed, staple demand, and forced-sale pressure signal. Affects: Delivered feed cost, staple/feed substitution, household affordability, crop selling, retained weight, and local cattle bids. Producer action: Reprice local feed cover and the next gain period before holding cattle longer or assuming staple-price stress will not affect bids. Sources: fews-net. Source evidence links: fews-market-food-security-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock, export-disruption. - Haiti Phase 3+ food-security pressure changes livelihood and livestock pressure: low severity, 80% confidence, forward window 1 month to 9 months. Signal: FEWS NET Data Warehouse reports 500,000 - 999,999 people in Haiti in IPC Phase 3+ for 2021-06-01 to 2021-06-30. Read this with livestock movement, staple/feed prices, pasture, conflict, and household selling pressure. Affects: Household selling pressure, pastoral movement, local food demand, credit stress, replacement purchases, and livestock market depth. Producer action: Stress-test sale timing, feed credit, and herd retention against household cash pressure and pasture movement before assuming normal market depth. Sources: fews-net. Source evidence links: fews-market-food-security-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock, export-disruption. - Bolivia WFP wheat market price changes local staple and feed pressure: low severity, 80% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: WFP VAM food prices reports Wheat flour at 1.41 $/kg in Bolivia on 2026-04-15, averaged across 6 physical markets and 6 public price rows. Change is -2.8% versus 2026-03-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Affects: Feed substitution, household selling pressure, crop demand, local market depth, ration cost, and sale timing. Producer action: Keep WFP market prices beside local cattle bids, pasture, and feed quotes before deciding whether to hold, sell, or buy supplement. Sources: wfp-vam. Source evidence links: wfp-vam-food-price-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock. - Soybean meal COT positioning changes hedge and feed-risk timing: low severity, 79% confidence, forward window 1-8 weeks. Signal: 19 % net long / open interest in the latest CFTC Commitments of Traders report. Feed futures positioning is a weekly early-warning signal for ration coverage and crop-feed exposure. Affects: Delivered feed cost, ration coverage, feedlot breakeven, crop selling, hay substitution, and retained weight. Producer action: Use the COT feed read with local corn, hay, freight, and weather before delaying ration coverage or holding cattle for extra gain. Sources: cftc-cot. Source evidence links: cftc-positioning-to-hedge-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: positioning-to-hedge-margin, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - FAOSTAT herd baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Cattle herd inventory is 135.1 million head in 2024, -1.2% versus 2023. Country readings in million head: Canada 11.0, Mexico 36.9, United States of America 87.2. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT herd baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Cattle herd inventory is 327.9 million head in 2024, -0.5% versus 2023. Country readings in million head: Argentina 52.8, Brazil 238.2, Mexico 36.9. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT herd baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Cattle herd inventory is 39.9 million head in 2024, +1.2% versus 2023. Country readings in million head: Australia 30.4, New Zealand 9.5. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT herd baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Cattle herd inventory is 46.2 million head in 2024, -2.6% versus 2023. Country readings in million head: France 16.5, Germany 10.5, Ireland 6.3, Netherlands (Kingdom of the) 3.6, United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland 9.4. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT herd baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Cattle herd inventory is 277.2 million head in 2024, -1.1% versus 2023. Country readings in million head: China, mainland 70.3, India 194.8, South Africa 12.1. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT herd baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: United States: Cattle herd inventory is 87.2 million head in 2024, -1.9% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT herd baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Canada: Cattle herd inventory is 11 million head in 2024, -2.3% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT herd baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Mexico: Cattle herd inventory is 36.9 million head in 2024, +0.9% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT herd baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Brazil: Cattle herd inventory is 238.2 million head in 2024, -0.2% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT herd baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Argentina: Cattle herd inventory is 52.8 million head in 2024, -2.7% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT herd baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Colombia: Cattle herd inventory is 30.3 million head in 2024, +3.9% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT herd baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Paraguay: Cattle herd inventory is 13.6 million head in 2024, +3.9% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT herd baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Uruguay: Cattle herd inventory is 12 million head in 2024, +0.7% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT herd baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Chile: Cattle herd inventory is 3 million head in 2024, -0.6% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT herd baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Peru: Cattle herd inventory is 5.8 million head in 2024, -0.6% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT herd baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Australia: Cattle herd inventory is 30.4 million head in 2024, +1.7% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT herd baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: New Zealand: Cattle herd inventory is 9.5 million head in 2024, -0.2% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT herd baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Ireland: Cattle herd inventory is 6.3 million head in 2024, -3.3% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT herd baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: France: Cattle herd inventory is 16.5 million head in 2024, -2.0% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT herd baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Germany: Cattle herd inventory is 10.5 million head in 2024, -3.5% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT herd baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Netherlands: Cattle herd inventory is 3.6 million head in 2024, -4.7% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT herd baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Spain: Cattle herd inventory is 6.2 million head in 2024, -1.9% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT herd baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Poland: Cattle herd inventory is 6.2 million head in 2024, -1.2% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT herd baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Italy: Cattle herd inventory is 5.8 million head in 2024, -3.9% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT herd baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: United Kingdom: Cattle herd inventory is 9.4 million head in 2024, -1.5% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT herd baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: South Africa: Cattle herd inventory is 12.1 million head in 2024, -0.6% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT herd baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: India: Cattle herd inventory is 194.8 million head in 2024, +0.1% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT herd baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: China: Cattle herd inventory is 70.3 million head in 2024, -4.4% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT herd baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Kenya: Cattle herd inventory is 22.4 million head in 2024, +2.5% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT herd baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Ethiopia: Cattle herd inventory is 71.9 million head in 2024, +3.7% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT herd baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Nigeria: Cattle herd inventory is 20.9 million head in 2024, +0.2% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT herd baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Tanzania: Cattle herd inventory is 39.1 million head in 2024, +3.0% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT herd baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Uganda: Cattle herd inventory is 14.7 million head in 2024, +0.7% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT herd baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Egypt: Cattle herd inventory is 2.6 million head in 2024, -7.2% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT herd baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Morocco: Cattle herd inventory is 2.4 million head in 2024, -18.0% versus 2023. Herd inventory is the structural supply baseline before reacting to a weekly price headline. Affects: Structural cattle supply, replacement value, slaughter availability, and long-cycle price floor. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock. - FAOSTAT milk supply baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Cow milk production is 126.37 million tonnes in 2024, +0.1% versus 2023. Country readings in million tonnes: Canada 9.96, Mexico 13.96, United States of America 102.45. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Affects: Milk-feed margin, cull flow, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, and ration intensity. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - FAOSTAT milk supply baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Cow milk production is 61.69 million tonnes in 2024, 0.0% versus 2023. Country readings in million tonnes: Argentina 10.91, Brazil 36.82, Mexico 13.96. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Affects: Milk-feed margin, cull flow, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, and ration intensity. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - FAOSTAT milk supply baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Cow milk production is 30.20 million tonnes in 2024, +1.6% versus 2023. Country readings in million tonnes: Australia 8.67, New Zealand 21.53. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Affects: Milk-feed margin, cull flow, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, and ration intensity. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - FAOSTAT milk supply baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Cow milk production is 88.27 million tonnes in 2024, -0.2% versus 2023. Country readings in million tonnes: France 24.20, Germany 33.78, Netherlands (Kingdom of the) 14.35, United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland 15.94. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Affects: Milk-feed margin, cull flow, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, and ration intensity. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - FAOSTAT milk supply baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Cow milk production is 179.67 million tonnes in 2024, +3.9% versus 2023. Country readings in million tonnes: China, mainland 40.79, India 135.00, South Africa 3.88. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Affects: Milk-feed margin, cull flow, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, and ration intensity. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - FAOSTAT milk supply baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: United States: Cow milk production is 102.45 million tonnes in 2024, -0.2% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Affects: Milk-feed margin, cull flow, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, and ration intensity. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - FAOSTAT milk supply baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Canada: Cow milk production is 9.96 million tonnes in 2024, +0.7% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Affects: Milk-feed margin, cull flow, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, and ration intensity. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - FAOSTAT milk supply baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Mexico: Cow milk production is 13.96 million tonnes in 2024, +1.7% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Affects: Milk-feed margin, cull flow, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, and ration intensity. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - FAOSTAT milk supply baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Brazil: Cow milk production is 36.82 million tonnes in 2024, +1.4% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Affects: Milk-feed margin, cull flow, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, and ration intensity. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - FAOSTAT milk supply baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Argentina: Cow milk production is 10.91 million tonnes in 2024, -6.5% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Affects: Milk-feed margin, cull flow, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, and ration intensity. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - FAOSTAT milk supply baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Colombia: Cow milk production is 7.94 million tonnes in 2024, +8.7% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Affects: Milk-feed margin, cull flow, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, and ration intensity. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - FAOSTAT milk supply baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Paraguay: Cow milk production is 0.56 million tonnes in 2024, 0.0% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Affects: Milk-feed margin, cull flow, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, and ration intensity. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - FAOSTAT milk supply baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Uruguay: Cow milk production is 2.27 million tonnes in 2024, +4.2% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Affects: Milk-feed margin, cull flow, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, and ration intensity. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - FAOSTAT milk supply baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Chile: Cow milk production is 2.30 million tonnes in 2024, +3.4% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Affects: Milk-feed margin, cull flow, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, and ration intensity. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - FAOSTAT milk supply baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Peru: Cow milk production is 2.23 million tonnes in 2024, +1.3% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Affects: Milk-feed margin, cull flow, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, and ration intensity. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - FAOSTAT milk supply baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Australia: Cow milk production is 8.67 million tonnes in 2024, +2.4% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Affects: Milk-feed margin, cull flow, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, and ration intensity. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - FAOSTAT milk supply baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: New Zealand: Cow milk production is 21.53 million tonnes in 2024, +1.3% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Affects: Milk-feed margin, cull flow, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, and ration intensity. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - FAOSTAT milk supply baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Ireland: Cow milk production is 8.73 million tonnes in 2023, -4.1% versus 2022. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Affects: Milk-feed margin, cull flow, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, and ration intensity. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - FAOSTAT milk supply baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: France: Cow milk production is 24.20 million tonnes in 2024, +0.9% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Affects: Milk-feed margin, cull flow, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, and ration intensity. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - FAOSTAT milk supply baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Germany: Cow milk production is 33.78 million tonnes in 2024, -0.7% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Affects: Milk-feed margin, cull flow, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, and ration intensity. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - FAOSTAT milk supply baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Netherlands: Cow milk production is 14.35 million tonnes in 2024, -2.3% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Affects: Milk-feed margin, cull flow, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, and ration intensity. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - FAOSTAT milk supply baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Spain: Cow milk production is 7.58 million tonnes in 2024, +0.2% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Affects: Milk-feed margin, cull flow, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, and ration intensity. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - FAOSTAT milk supply baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Poland: Cow milk production is 16.04 million tonnes in 2024, +3.6% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Affects: Milk-feed margin, cull flow, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, and ration intensity. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - FAOSTAT milk supply baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Italy: Cow milk production is 13.19 million tonnes in 2024, +1.0% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Affects: Milk-feed margin, cull flow, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, and ration intensity. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - FAOSTAT milk supply baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: United Kingdom: Cow milk production is 15.94 million tonnes in 2024, +1.1% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Affects: Milk-feed margin, cull flow, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, and ration intensity. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - FAOSTAT milk supply baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: South Africa: Cow milk production is 3.88 million tonnes in 2024, +1.9% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Affects: Milk-feed margin, cull flow, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, and ration intensity. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - FAOSTAT milk supply baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: India: Cow milk production is 135.00 million tonnes in 2024, +6.2% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Affects: Milk-feed margin, cull flow, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, and ration intensity. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - FAOSTAT milk supply baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: China: Cow milk production is 40.79 million tonnes in 2024, -2.8% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Affects: Milk-feed margin, cull flow, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, and ration intensity. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - FAOSTAT milk supply baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Kenya: Cow milk production is 5.49 million tonnes in 2024, +16.8% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Affects: Milk-feed margin, cull flow, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, and ration intensity. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - FAOSTAT milk supply baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Ethiopia: Cow milk production is 3.44 million tonnes in 2024, 0.0% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Affects: Milk-feed margin, cull flow, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, and ration intensity. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - FAOSTAT milk supply baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Nigeria: Cow milk production is 0.53 million tonnes in 2024, +0.2% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Affects: Milk-feed margin, cull flow, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, and ration intensity. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - FAOSTAT milk supply baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Tanzania: Cow milk production is 4.13 million tonnes in 2024, +1.9% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Affects: Milk-feed margin, cull flow, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, and ration intensity. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - FAOSTAT milk supply baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Uganda: Cow milk production is 3.85 million tonnes in 2024, 0.0% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Affects: Milk-feed margin, cull flow, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, and ration intensity. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - FAOSTAT milk supply baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Egypt: Cow milk production is 4.82 million tonnes in 2024, +8.3% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Affects: Milk-feed margin, cull flow, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, and ration intensity. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - FAOSTAT milk supply baseline moved: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 3 months to 3 years. Signal: Morocco: Cow milk production is 1.85 million tonnes in 2024, -5.3% versus 2023. Cow milk output is a dairy margin and cull-flow baseline, especially when feed or product prices move. Affects: Milk-feed margin, cull flow, replacement appetite, dairy-beef supply, and ration intensity. Producer action: Use the structural livestock baseline before expanding, culling, or changing replacement purchases. Sources: faostat. Source evidence links: faostat-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - Yemen wheat market price changes feed and staple-price pressure: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: FEWS NET Data Warehouse reports wheat prices in Yemen at 4.88 $/kg for 2026-02-28, across 12 public market rows (Aden, Aden, Al Dhale'e (Governorate average), Al Maharah (Governorate average)). Change is +0.3% month over month, -9.6% year over year, and +15.9% versus the five-year average where available. Use this as a feed, staple demand, and forced-sale pressure signal. Affects: Delivered feed cost, staple/feed substitution, household affordability, crop selling, retained weight, and local cattle bids. Producer action: Reprice local feed cover and the next gain period before holding cattle longer or assuming staple-price stress will not affect bids. Sources: fews-net. Source evidence links: fews-market-food-security-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock, export-disruption. - Haiti rice market price changes feed and staple-price pressure: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: FEWS NET Data Warehouse reports rice prices in Haiti at 2.02 $/kg for 2026-04-30, across 12 public market rows (Jacmel, Hinche, Hinche, Jeremie). Change is +0.7% month over month, 0.0% year over year, and 0.0% versus the five-year average where available. Use this as a feed, staple demand, and forced-sale pressure signal. Affects: Delivered feed cost, staple/feed substitution, household affordability, crop selling, retained weight, and local cattle bids. Producer action: Reprice local feed cover and the next gain period before holding cattle longer or assuming staple-price stress will not affect bids. Sources: fews-net. Source evidence links: fews-market-food-security-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock, export-disruption. - Honduras Phase 3+ food-security pressure changes livelihood and livestock pressure: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 1 month to 9 months. Signal: FEWS NET Data Warehouse reports 1.0 - 2.49 million people in Honduras in IPC Phase 3+ for 2021-06-01 to 2021-06-30. Read this with livestock movement, staple/feed prices, pasture, conflict, and household selling pressure. Affects: Household selling pressure, pastoral movement, local food demand, credit stress, replacement purchases, and livestock market depth. Producer action: Stress-test sale timing, feed credit, and herd retention against household cash pressure and pasture movement before assuming normal market depth. Sources: fews-net. Source evidence links: fews-market-food-security-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock, export-disruption. - Guatemala Phase 3+ food-security pressure changes livelihood and livestock pressure: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 1 month to 9 months. Signal: FEWS NET Data Warehouse reports 1.0 - 2.49 million people in Guatemala in IPC Phase 3+ for 2021-06-01 to 2021-06-30. Read this with livestock movement, staple/feed prices, pasture, conflict, and household selling pressure. Affects: Household selling pressure, pastoral movement, local food demand, credit stress, replacement purchases, and livestock market depth. Producer action: Stress-test sale timing, feed credit, and herd retention against household cash pressure and pasture movement before assuming normal market depth. Sources: fews-net. Source evidence links: fews-market-food-security-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock, export-disruption. - Ethiopia WFP dairy market price changes local staple and feed pressure: low severity, 78% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: WFP VAM food prices reports Butter (cow milk) at 6.73 $/kg in Ethiopia on 2026-03-15, averaged across 4 physical markets and 6 public price rows. Change is +3.0% versus 2026-02-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Affects: Milk purchasing power, dairy ration tolerance, cull timing, household cash pressure, and informal milk demand. Producer action: Keep WFP market prices beside local cattle bids, pasture, and feed quotes before deciding whether to hold, sell, or buy supplement. Sources: wfp-vam. Source evidence links: wfp-vam-food-price-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock. - Kenya WFP wheat market price changes local staple and feed pressure: low severity, 77% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: WFP VAM food prices reports Wheat flour at 0.78 $/kg in Kenya on 2026-04-15, averaged across 3 physical markets and 3 public price rows. Change is +8.6% versus 2026-03-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Affects: Feed substitution, household selling pressure, crop demand, local market depth, ration cost, and sale timing. Producer action: Keep WFP market prices beside local cattle bids, pasture, and feed quotes before deciding whether to hold, sell, or buy supplement. Sources: wfp-vam. Source evidence links: wfp-vam-food-price-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock. - Kenya WFP rice market price changes local staple and feed pressure: low severity, 77% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: WFP VAM food prices reports Rice at 0.88 $/kg in Kenya on 2026-04-15, averaged across 3 physical markets and 3 public price rows. Change is -9.3% versus 2026-03-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Affects: Feed substitution, household selling pressure, crop demand, local market depth, ration cost, and sale timing. Producer action: Keep WFP market prices beside local cattle bids, pasture, and feed quotes before deciding whether to hold, sell, or buy supplement. Sources: wfp-vam. Source evidence links: wfp-vam-food-price-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock. - Cattle flow through the Burundi-Tanzania border corridor changes cross-border market flow: low severity, 76% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 9 months. Signal: FEWS NET Data Warehouse reports 2,101 heads of cattle moving through the Burundi-Tanzania cattle corridor in 2024-09-30, across 9 public cross-border trade rows (Burundi -> Tanzania, Tanzania -> Burundi). Change is -11.5% versus 2024-08-31. Use this as an early signal for animal movement, market depth, sale timing, and border access. Border points: Bikobe - Budaketwa, Murambi (Chez Buhinja), Gasenyi - Gisagara, Gahumo, Ruveri - Kwa Murengera. Affects: Animal movement, border access, auction depth, local sale timing, buyer competition, and replacement availability. Producer action: Check border flow and local buyer depth before moving animals, waiting for another sale, or assuming replacement supply is normal. Sources: fews-net. Source evidence links: fews-market-food-security-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock, export-disruption. - Ecuador WFP maize market price changes local staple and feed pressure: low severity, 76% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: WFP VAM food prices reports Maize at 2.06 $/kg in Ecuador on 2026-03-15, averaged across 2 physical markets and 2 public price rows. Change is -3.5% versus 2026-02-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Affects: Feed substitution, household selling pressure, crop demand, local market depth, ration cost, and sale timing. Producer action: Keep WFP market prices beside local cattle bids, pasture, and feed quotes before deciding whether to hold, sell, or buy supplement. Sources: wfp-vam. Source evidence links: wfp-vam-food-price-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock. - Ecuador WFP wheat market price changes local staple and feed pressure: low severity, 76% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: WFP VAM food prices reports Bread at 2.91 $/kg in Ecuador on 2026-03-15, averaged across 2 physical markets and 2 public price rows. Change is +4.9% versus 2026-02-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Affects: Feed substitution, household selling pressure, crop demand, local market depth, ration cost, and sale timing. Producer action: Keep WFP market prices beside local cattle bids, pasture, and feed quotes before deciding whether to hold, sell, or buy supplement. Sources: wfp-vam. Source evidence links: wfp-vam-food-price-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock. - Ecuador WFP rice market price changes local staple and feed pressure: low severity, 76% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: WFP VAM food prices reports Rice at 1.25 $/kg in Ecuador on 2026-03-15, averaged across 2 physical markets and 2 public price rows. Change is -3.5% versus 2026-02-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Affects: Feed substitution, household selling pressure, crop demand, local market depth, ration cost, and sale timing. Producer action: Keep WFP market prices beside local cattle bids, pasture, and feed quotes before deciding whether to hold, sell, or buy supplement. Sources: wfp-vam. Source evidence links: wfp-vam-food-price-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock. - Europe cow milk collection sets Europe's supply baseline: low severity, 76% confidence, forward window 1 quarter to 3 years. Signal: Europe cow milk collection is 146.2 million tonnes in 2024, +1.0% versus 2023. Country readings: Ireland 8.7 million tonnes, Germany 32.2 million tonnes, France 23.8 million tonnes, Netherlands 14.2 million tonnes, Spain 7.4 million tonnes, Poland 13.5 million tonnes, Italy 13.1 million tonnes. Milk collection shows supply pressure that can move feed intensity, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply. Affects: Milk supply pressure, dairy ration demand, cull timing, replacement appetite, and dairy-beef flow. Producer action: Read milk collection and dairy cow numbers with EU milk price before changing ration intensity or delaying culls. Sources: eurostat-agri. Source evidence links: eurostat-herd-to-cull-replacement, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, export-disruption. - Kenya WFP sorghum market price changes local staple and feed pressure: low severity, 75% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: WFP VAM food prices reports Sorghum at 0.77 $/kg in Kenya on 2026-04-15, averaged across 1 physical markets and 1 public price rows. Change is -1.7% versus 2026-03-15. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Affects: Feed substitution, household selling pressure, crop demand, local market depth, ration cost, and sale timing. Producer action: Keep WFP market prices beside local cattle bids, pasture, and feed quotes before deciding whether to hold, sell, or buy supplement. Sources: wfp-vam. Source evidence links: wfp-vam-food-price-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock. - Ireland 7-day rain forecast: next-week forage forecast: low severity, 72% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 39 mm/week forecast for the next 7 days. Read it as a forward pasture, water, hay, and sale-timing signal, not as a historical weather note. Affects: Pasture recovery, heat load, water checks, supplement coverage, hay buying, milk yield, and whether the next weight gain still pays. Producer action: Use the forecast as a green-light check before normal grazing rotation, supplement plans, and sale timing. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - North Germany 7-day rain forecast: next-week forage forecast: low severity, 72% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 34.4 mm/week forecast for the next 7 days. Read it as a forward pasture, water, hay, and sale-timing signal, not as a historical weather note. Affects: Pasture recovery, heat load, water checks, supplement coverage, hay buying, milk yield, and whether the next weight gain still pays. Producer action: Use the forecast as a green-light check before normal grazing rotation, supplement plans, and sale timing. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Netherlands dairy belt 7-day rain forecast: next-week forage forecast: low severity, 72% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 25.2 mm/week forecast for the next 7 days. Read it as a forward pasture, water, hay, and sale-timing signal, not as a historical weather note. Affects: Pasture recovery, heat load, water checks, supplement coverage, hay buying, milk yield, and whether the next weight gain still pays. Producer action: Use the forecast as a green-light check before normal grazing rotation, supplement plans, and sale timing. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Uruguay Littoral 7-day rain forecast: next-week forage forecast: low severity, 72% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 28 mm/week forecast for the next 7 days. Read it as a forward pasture, water, hay, and sale-timing signal, not as a historical weather note. Affects: Pasture recovery, heat load, water checks, supplement coverage, hay buying, milk yield, and whether the next weight gain still pays. Producer action: Use the forecast as a green-light check before normal grazing rotation, supplement plans, and sale timing. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage, brazil-weather-fx-to-pasture. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: drought-shock, feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Canadian Prairies 7-day water demand forecast: heat and water demand watch: low severity, 71% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 18.9 mm/week forecast for reference evapotranspiration. That is a forward signal for pasture drying, trough checks, shade, dairy comfort, and irrigated feed-crop pressure. Affects: Water demand, shade and handling windows, dairy milk yield, pasture regrowth, hay substitution, irrigation demand, and feed-crop stress. Producer action: Use the water-demand forecast with the rain forecast before changing stocking, irrigation, supplement, or hay-buying plans. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage, nasa-weather-to-heat. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, heat-load-to-milk-gain, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, milk-margin-squeeze, crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - São Paulo 7-day water demand forecast: heat and water demand watch: low severity, 71% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 15.6 mm/week forecast for reference evapotranspiration. That is a forward signal for pasture drying, trough checks, shade, dairy comfort, and irrigated feed-crop pressure. Affects: Water demand, shade and handling windows, dairy milk yield, pasture regrowth, hay substitution, irrigation demand, and feed-crop stress. Producer action: Use the water-demand forecast with the rain forecast before changing stocking, irrigation, supplement, or hay-buying plans. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage, nasa-weather-to-heat, brazil-weather-fx-to-pasture. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, heat-load-to-milk-gain, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, milk-margin-squeeze, crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Queensland 7-day water demand forecast: heat and water demand watch: low severity, 71% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 24 mm/week forecast for reference evapotranspiration. That is a forward signal for pasture drying, trough checks, shade, dairy comfort, and irrigated feed-crop pressure. Affects: Water demand, shade and handling windows, dairy milk yield, pasture regrowth, hay substitution, irrigation demand, and feed-crop stress. Producer action: Use the water-demand forecast with the rain forecast before changing stocking, irrigation, supplement, or hay-buying plans. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage, nasa-weather-to-heat. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, heat-load-to-milk-gain, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, milk-margin-squeeze, crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Waikato 7-day water demand forecast: heat and water demand watch: low severity, 71% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 8.6 mm/week forecast for reference evapotranspiration. That is a forward signal for pasture drying, trough checks, shade, dairy comfort, and irrigated feed-crop pressure. Affects: Water demand, shade and handling windows, dairy milk yield, pasture regrowth, hay substitution, irrigation demand, and feed-crop stress. Producer action: Use the water-demand forecast with the rain forecast before changing stocking, irrigation, supplement, or hay-buying plans. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage, nasa-weather-to-heat. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, heat-load-to-milk-gain, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, milk-margin-squeeze, crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Ireland 7-day water demand forecast: heat and water demand watch: low severity, 71% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 16.3 mm/week forecast for reference evapotranspiration. That is a forward signal for pasture drying, trough checks, shade, dairy comfort, and irrigated feed-crop pressure. Affects: Water demand, shade and handling windows, dairy milk yield, pasture regrowth, hay substitution, irrigation demand, and feed-crop stress. Producer action: Use the water-demand forecast with the rain forecast before changing stocking, irrigation, supplement, or hay-buying plans. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage, nasa-weather-to-heat. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, heat-load-to-milk-gain, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, milk-margin-squeeze, crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - North Germany 7-day water demand forecast: heat and water demand watch: low severity, 71% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 19.2 mm/week forecast for reference evapotranspiration. That is a forward signal for pasture drying, trough checks, shade, dairy comfort, and irrigated feed-crop pressure. Affects: Water demand, shade and handling windows, dairy milk yield, pasture regrowth, hay substitution, irrigation demand, and feed-crop stress. Producer action: Use the water-demand forecast with the rain forecast before changing stocking, irrigation, supplement, or hay-buying plans. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage, nasa-weather-to-heat. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, heat-load-to-milk-gain, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, milk-margin-squeeze, crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Western France 7-day water demand forecast: heat and water demand watch: low severity, 71% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 26.1 mm/week forecast for reference evapotranspiration. That is a forward signal for pasture drying, trough checks, shade, dairy comfort, and irrigated feed-crop pressure. Affects: Water demand, shade and handling windows, dairy milk yield, pasture regrowth, hay substitution, irrigation demand, and feed-crop stress. Producer action: Use the water-demand forecast with the rain forecast before changing stocking, irrigation, supplement, or hay-buying plans. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage, nasa-weather-to-heat. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, heat-load-to-milk-gain, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, milk-margin-squeeze, crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Netherlands dairy belt 7-day water demand forecast: heat and water demand watch: low severity, 71% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 20.2 mm/week forecast for reference evapotranspiration. That is a forward signal for pasture drying, trough checks, shade, dairy comfort, and irrigated feed-crop pressure. Affects: Water demand, shade and handling windows, dairy milk yield, pasture regrowth, hay substitution, irrigation demand, and feed-crop stress. Producer action: Use the water-demand forecast with the rain forecast before changing stocking, irrigation, supplement, or hay-buying plans. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage, nasa-weather-to-heat. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, heat-load-to-milk-gain, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, milk-margin-squeeze, crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Pampas 7-day water demand forecast: heat and water demand watch: low severity, 71% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 7 mm/week forecast for reference evapotranspiration. That is a forward signal for pasture drying, trough checks, shade, dairy comfort, and irrigated feed-crop pressure. Affects: Water demand, shade and handling windows, dairy milk yield, pasture regrowth, hay substitution, irrigation demand, and feed-crop stress. Producer action: Use the water-demand forecast with the rain forecast before changing stocking, irrigation, supplement, or hay-buying plans. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage, nasa-weather-to-heat, brazil-weather-fx-to-pasture. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, heat-load-to-milk-gain, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, milk-margin-squeeze, crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Uruguay Littoral 7-day water demand forecast: heat and water demand watch: low severity, 71% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 7.7 mm/week forecast for reference evapotranspiration. That is a forward signal for pasture drying, trough checks, shade, dairy comfort, and irrigated feed-crop pressure. Affects: Water demand, shade and handling windows, dairy milk yield, pasture regrowth, hay substitution, irrigation demand, and feed-crop stress. Producer action: Use the water-demand forecast with the rain forecast before changing stocking, irrigation, supplement, or hay-buying plans. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage, nasa-weather-to-heat, brazil-weather-fx-to-pasture. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, heat-load-to-milk-gain, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, milk-margin-squeeze, crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - New South Wales 7-day water demand forecast: heat and water demand watch: low severity, 71% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 10.7 mm/week forecast for reference evapotranspiration. That is a forward signal for pasture drying, trough checks, shade, dairy comfort, and irrigated feed-crop pressure. Affects: Water demand, shade and handling windows, dairy milk yield, pasture regrowth, hay substitution, irrigation demand, and feed-crop stress. Producer action: Use the water-demand forecast with the rain forecast before changing stocking, irrigation, supplement, or hay-buying plans. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage, nasa-weather-to-heat. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, heat-load-to-milk-gain, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, milk-margin-squeeze, crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Western France 7-day water demand forecast: heat and water demand watch: low severity, 71% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 26.9 mm/week forecast for reference evapotranspiration. That is a forward signal for pasture drying, trough checks, shade, dairy comfort, and irrigated feed-crop pressure. Affects: Water demand, shade and handling windows, dairy milk yield, pasture regrowth, hay substitution, irrigation demand, and feed-crop stress. Producer action: Use the water-demand forecast with the rain forecast before changing stocking, irrigation, supplement, or hay-buying plans. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage, nasa-weather-to-heat. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, heat-load-to-milk-gain, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, milk-margin-squeeze, crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - South Africa Highveld 7-day water demand forecast: heat and water demand watch: low severity, 71% confidence, forward window 0-14 days. Signal: 17.6 mm/week forecast for reference evapotranspiration. That is a forward signal for pasture drying, trough checks, shade, dairy comfort, and irrigated feed-crop pressure. Affects: Water demand, shade and handling windows, dairy milk yield, pasture regrowth, hay substitution, irrigation demand, and feed-crop stress. Producer action: Use the water-demand forecast with the rain forecast before changing stocking, irrigation, supplement, or hay-buying plans. Sources: open-meteo-forecast. Source evidence links: open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage, nasa-weather-to-heat. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, heat-load-to-milk-gain, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, milk-margin-squeeze, crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Somalia WFP maize market price changes local staple and feed pressure: low severity, 71% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: WFP VAM food prices reports Maize (white) at 14.63 $/kg in Somalia on 2026-01-15, averaged across 1 physical markets and 1 public price rows. Change is no previous-month comparison available. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Affects: Feed substitution, household selling pressure, crop demand, local market depth, ration cost, and sale timing. Producer action: Keep WFP market prices beside local cattle bids, pasture, and feed quotes before deciding whether to hold, sell, or buy supplement. Sources: wfp-vam. Source evidence links: wfp-vam-food-price-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock. - Somalia WFP wheat market price changes local staple and feed pressure: low severity, 71% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: WFP VAM food prices reports Wheat flour (imported) at 19.51 $/kg in Somalia on 2026-01-15, averaged across 1 physical markets and 1 public price rows. Change is no previous-month comparison available. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Affects: Feed substitution, household selling pressure, crop demand, local market depth, ration cost, and sale timing. Producer action: Keep WFP market prices beside local cattle bids, pasture, and feed quotes before deciding whether to hold, sell, or buy supplement. Sources: wfp-vam. Source evidence links: wfp-vam-food-price-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock. - Somalia WFP rice market price changes local staple and feed pressure: low severity, 71% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: WFP VAM food prices reports Rice (imported) at 19.51 $/kg in Somalia on 2026-01-15, averaged across 1 physical markets and 1 public price rows. Change is no previous-month comparison available. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Affects: Feed substitution, household selling pressure, crop demand, local market depth, ration cost, and sale timing. Producer action: Keep WFP market prices beside local cattle bids, pasture, and feed quotes before deciding whether to hold, sell, or buy supplement. Sources: wfp-vam. Source evidence links: wfp-vam-food-price-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock. - Somalia WFP sorghum market price changes local staple and feed pressure: low severity, 71% confidence, forward window 2 weeks to 6 months. Signal: WFP VAM food prices reports Sorghum (red) at 15.85 $/kg in Somalia on 2026-01-15, averaged across 1 physical markets and 2 public price rows. Change is no previous-month comparison available. Use it as a local staple, feed substitution, household cash-pressure, and sale-depth signal. Affects: Feed substitution, household selling pressure, crop demand, local market depth, ration cost, and sale timing. Producer action: Keep WFP market prices beside local cattle bids, pasture, and feed quotes before deciding whether to hold, sell, or buy supplement. Sources: wfp-vam. Source evidence links: wfp-vam-food-price-to-feed-risk, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, drought-shock. - Mexico bovine meat production changes Mexico cattle supply pressure: low severity, 42% confidence, forward window Same month to 18 months. Signal: 2.3 million tonnes in official SIAP livestock data. Bovine meat, live cattle, and slaughter volume anchor the Mexico supply baseline. Affects: Border cattle flow, local basis, slaughter availability, feed replacement cost, transport, and retained-weight economics. Producer action: Use Mexico supply with drought, imported feed cost, border movement, and local bids before selling or holding cattle for extra weight. Sources: mexico-siap. Source evidence links: mexico-siap-livestock-to-border-supply. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis, export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Mexico live cattle production changes Mexico cattle supply pressure: low severity, 42% confidence, forward window Same month to 18 months. Signal: 4.1 million tonnes in official SIAP livestock data. Bovine meat, live cattle, and slaughter volume anchor the Mexico supply baseline. Affects: Border cattle flow, local basis, slaughter availability, feed replacement cost, transport, and retained-weight economics. Producer action: Use Mexico supply with drought, imported feed cost, border movement, and local bids before selling or holding cattle for extra weight. Sources: mexico-siap. Source evidence links: mexico-siap-northern-supply-to-feed-imports, mexico-siap-livestock-to-border-supply. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis, crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, drought-shock, export-disruption. - Mexico bovine milk production changes Mexico cattle supply pressure: low severity, 42% confidence, forward window Same month to 18 months. Signal: 13,553 million liters in official SIAP livestock data. Milk output is a dairy margin and cull-cow supply check. Affects: Cull cow flow, dairy ration demand, replacement appetite, milk margin, and beef supply from dairy regions. Producer action: Watch milk regions with heat and feed stress because dairy margin can become beef supply before cattle headlines adjust. Sources: mexico-siap. Source evidence links: mexico-siap-milk-to-dairy-beef-supply. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, feed-cost-spike. - Mexico carcass weight per slaughtered head changes Mexico cattle supply pressure: low severity, 42% confidence, forward window Same month to 18 months. Signal: 252.6 kg/head in official SIAP livestock data. Carcass weight checks whether feed and pasture are converting into saleable beef. Affects: Border cattle flow, local basis, slaughter availability, feed replacement cost, transport, and retained-weight economics. Producer action: Use Mexico supply with drought, imported feed cost, border movement, and local bids before selling or holding cattle for extra weight. Sources: mexico-siap. Source evidence links: mexico-siap-livestock-to-border-supply. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis, crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: export-disruption, drought-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Top Mexican state share of bovine meat changes Mexico cattle supply pressure: low severity, 42% confidence, forward window Same month to 18 months. Signal: 12.9 % in official SIAP livestock data. Regional concentration tells where drought, freight, border movement, or buyer access can move basis first. Affects: Border cattle flow, local basis, slaughter availability, feed replacement cost, transport, and retained-weight economics. Producer action: Use Mexico supply with drought, imported feed cost, border movement, and local bids before selling or holding cattle for extra weight. Sources: mexico-siap. Source evidence links: mexico-siap-northern-supply-to-feed-imports, mexico-siap-livestock-to-border-supply. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis, crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, drought-shock, export-disruption. ## Temporal Baseline Signals - Mato Grosso rainfall against the prior 30 days: direction tightening, 82% confidence. Current 1.6 mm/week; baseline 3.8 mm/week; change -58%. Signal: Mato Grosso received 1.6 mm in the latest 7-day window versus a prior 30-day pace of 3.8 mm/week. Forward read: Rainfall is running below the recent pace, so pasture recovery and cheap gain deserve a tighter forward window. Producer action: Compare the next 2-8 weeks of forage against feed cost before holding cattle for more weight. Sources: nasa-power. Source evidence links: nasa-weather-to-heat, brazil-weather-fx-to-pasture. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, crop-yield-shock. - Southern Plains rainfall against the prior 30 days: direction watch, 82% confidence. Current 22.7 mm/week; baseline 17 mm/week; change 34%. Signal: Southern Plains received 22.7 mm in the latest 7-day window versus a prior 30-day pace of 17.0 mm/week. Forward read: Rainfall is close to the recent pace, so watch heat, water, and feed cost before changing sale timing. Producer action: Compare the next 2-8 weeks of forage against feed cost before holding cattle for more weight. Sources: nasa-power. Source evidence links: nasa-weather-to-heat. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, crop-yield-shock. - Queensland rainfall against the prior 30 days: direction tightening, 82% confidence. Current 0 mm/week; baseline 1 mm/week; change -100%. Signal: Queensland received 0.0 mm in the latest 7-day window versus a prior 30-day pace of 1.0 mm/week. Forward read: Rainfall is running below the recent pace, so pasture recovery and cheap gain deserve a tighter forward window. Producer action: Compare the next 2-8 weeks of forage against feed cost before holding cattle for more weight. Sources: nasa-power. Source evidence links: nasa-weather-to-heat. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, crop-yield-shock. - Waikato rainfall against the prior 30 days: direction improving, 82% confidence. Current 33 mm/week; baseline 5 mm/week; change 561%. Signal: Waikato received 33.0 mm in the latest 7-day window versus a prior 30-day pace of 5.0 mm/week. Forward read: Rainfall is running above the recent pace, so restocking or holding decisions can be revisited if water and forage confirm. Producer action: Compare the next 2-8 weeks of forage against feed cost before holding cattle for more weight. Sources: nasa-power. Source evidence links: nasa-weather-to-heat. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, crop-yield-shock. - Ireland rainfall against the prior 30 days: direction improving, 82% confidence. Current 41.5 mm/week; baseline 18.3 mm/week; change 128%. Signal: Ireland received 41.5 mm in the latest 7-day window versus a prior 30-day pace of 18.3 mm/week. Forward read: Rainfall is running above the recent pace, so restocking or holding decisions can be revisited if water and forage confirm. Producer action: Compare the next 2-8 weeks of forage against feed cost before holding cattle for more weight. Sources: nasa-power. Source evidence links: nasa-weather-to-heat. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, crop-yield-shock. - USD/BRL against the recent trading range: direction tightening, 83% confidence. Current 5.1244 BRL/USD; baseline 4.9742 BRL/USD; change 3.02%. Signal: USD/BRL is 5.1244 versus a recent average of 4.9742. Forward read: The real is weaker than the recent range, which can lift export bids while tightening imported input cost. Producer action: Run sale timing and input purchases through a local-currency and dollar-linked margin view. Sources: brazil-bcb-sgs. Source evidence links: bcb-fx-to-export-inputs. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis, dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: export-disruption, fertilizer-energy-squeeze. - Southern Plains streamflow against the 30-day baseline: direction improving, 80% confidence. Current 408 cfs; baseline 32.3 cfs; change 1162%. Signal: Latest streamflow is 408.0 cfs versus a 30-day average of 32.3 cfs. Forward read: Measured water is above baseline, but forage response and heat still decide whether extra carrying days pay. Producer action: Use water plus forage days as the constraint before buying hay, adding animals, or delaying sales. Sources: usgs-water. Source evidence links: water-to-stocking-irrigation. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, crop-yield-shock. ## Current Cattle Market Reports - Screwworm border closure fuels beef boom in Mexico , gloom in Texas: high severity, 40% confidence, published 2026-06-06T10:45:00.000Z. Category: Animal health. Regions: north-america, latin-america. Sectors: beef, animal-health, dairy. Summary: Public event-stream item selected because it may affect livestock movement, buyer access, or biosecurity: Screwworm border closure fuels beef boom in Mexico , gloom in Texas Prior public event carried forward because the live event stream did not complete in this update. Producer read: GDELT public event monitor published an animal-health item. Treat it as a movement, buyer-access, and biosecurity signal before it becomes a price headline. Producer action: Check movement, replacement purchases, and export-linked commitments before assuming normal buyer access. Source: GDELT Global Event Monitor https://www.internazionale.it/ultime-notizie-reuters/2026/06/06/screwworm-border-closure-fuels-beef-boom-in-mexico-gloom-in-texas. Source evidence links: gdelt-news-to-market-event-risk, wahis-disease-to-movement. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: disease-alert. - Screwworm Flies Add to Cattle Ranchers’ Woes - The New York Times: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-06-06T09:02:04.000Z. Category: Animal health. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef, animal-health, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because it can affect livestock movement, buyer access, and biosecurity: Screwworm Flies Add to Cattle Ranchers’ Woes - The New York Times Producer read: Google News public search RSS published an animal-health item. Treat it as a movement, buyer-access, and biosecurity signal before it becomes a price headline. Producer action: Check movement, replacement purchases, and export-linked commitments before assuming normal buyer access. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMihgFBVV95cUxPam5NTGN1NjhwVUl6QmJRRXpTUksxSXk3YW5uSXVWV1FKT2p4dVNCNzhMSEFRNnBSTk5vWWJzR3NjMmJUM2RJVnZpQVZLNF9DWUZ4V1VfTE9waU4xd0IxVnJHNm9malJsTGE1X0ZVckpjbHRHSDlESmN2cWZMNktHb2FDQzJNUQ?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, wahis-disease-to-movement. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: disease-alert. - Canada bans Texas cattle over flesh-eating screwworm outbreak in US - BBC: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-06-06T04:22:25.000Z. Category: Animal health. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef, animal-health, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because it can affect livestock movement, buyer access, and biosecurity: Canada bans Texas cattle over flesh-eating screwworm outbreak in US - BBC Producer read: Google News public search RSS published an animal-health item. Treat it as a movement, buyer-access, and biosecurity signal before it becomes a price headline. Producer action: Check movement, replacement purchases, and export-linked commitments before assuming normal buyer access. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiWkFVX3lxTE02Q0NodGVFcGVBOVBROVVKWkF5NHhlZkV1X0puU3JrWHYxaEJlODFXZFNDczFYbURXdTJGQ3pqUWxORmFGYnl3Rll1OGhJYWdRa1VmSERGZGh0QQ?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, wahis-disease-to-movement. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: disease-alert. - US plans to fight flesh-eating screwworm outbreak with flies and dogs - BBC: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-06-06T01:55:03.000Z. Category: Animal health. Regions: north-america. Sectors: animal-health, beef, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because it can affect livestock movement, buyer access, and biosecurity: US plans to fight flesh-eating screwworm outbreak with flies and dogs - BBC Producer read: Google News public search RSS published an animal-health item. Treat it as a movement, buyer-access, and biosecurity signal before it becomes a price headline. Producer action: Check movement, replacement purchases, and export-linked commitments before assuming normal buyer access. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiWkFVX3lxTFBibTB3eS1FdHY1U2U3LThVVUgzNEZCb1ZPSW90cTVqZy1uaUxQMldUSTM5MWZHOV9KQjVOaU5jeVJybGJBN2pJanFiZ2ZTckFyZmZfYlY3b21QZw?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, wahis-disease-to-movement. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: disease-alert. - First U.S. Screwworm Case Since 1960s Prompts Texas Emergency Response - The New York Times: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-06-06T01:04:30.000Z. Category: Animal health. Regions: north-america. Sectors: animal-health, beef, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because it can affect livestock movement, buyer access, and biosecurity: First U.S. Screwworm Case Since 1960s Prompts Texas Emergency Response - The New York Times Producer read: Google News public search RSS published an animal-health item. Treat it as a movement, buyer-access, and biosecurity signal before it becomes a price headline. Producer action: Check movement, replacement purchases, and export-linked commitments before assuming normal buyer access. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMinwFBVV95cUxOZzFyS0RJWmwzYlJlUXVGTk5FUGVVTkZ3SFZnaE1vUmZ5eFZFVUtDZVUzNlNFZ3RQcV9iUnBxanNQMjRsUTZNSlUtZEw3Z3hRbE02bk16amQ2cjV0SV9oSGFGX3RzT0lFUXltYll5LTlkQ0VuMC1HWXV3QUVZVUhSWU1PNzR5Y3dRUzNXVVFYNzh3TGRlbWlVLVluUGVlaUE?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, wahis-disease-to-movement. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: disease-alert. - Texas ranchers on edge after screwworm parasite detected in calf - Reuters: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-06-05T21:58:11.000Z. Category: Animal health. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef, animal-health, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because it can affect livestock movement, buyer access, and biosecurity: Texas ranchers on edge after screwworm parasite detected in calf - Reuters Producer read: Google News public search RSS published an animal-health item. Treat it as a movement, buyer-access, and biosecurity signal before it becomes a price headline. Producer action: Check movement, replacement purchases, and export-linked commitments before assuming normal buyer access. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiygFBVV95cUxQYWoyX0Yzc1NVbTI3YmZiRkUyUC1McjZRa3NVaElfN2lXd1RFaVd3QXhUZDVGUFB3bHFPMjg1cTJiRXlhRUNUaE5ad0tXLXl3QW4wcmpraGFaR2FnVE1SSmVBUktITHQ5VnU0UlBaenAxXzNobTI2ODd4bWZZYkdIQlM2emdtVWpJdUd3TGFPNF9EaXJwd0U3djQyM0ZHanVZaVNTS3R0QmpVdDFGcXVPc3kwdFJpUHdPSU52SW56bzVmZkNjZk1hckJR?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, wahis-disease-to-movement. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: disease-alert. - Texas A&M AgriLife responds after New World screwworm found in Texas - The Texas A&M University System: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-06-05T21:41:06.000Z. Category: Animal health. Regions: north-america. Sectors: animal-health, beef, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because it can affect livestock movement, buyer access, and biosecurity: Texas A&M AgriLife responds after New World screwworm found in Texas - The Texas A&M University System Producer read: Google News public search RSS published an animal-health item. Treat it as a movement, buyer-access, and biosecurity signal before it becomes a price headline. Producer action: Check movement, replacement purchases, and export-linked commitments before assuming normal buyer access. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMioAFBVV95cUxOOHkzZWlXVFU2SjNRcnlZRm5jdEczNGFEdDZWckl4N3JOUjVyLXJkYVVFRUpzQ2JuSGxkOGRxVkpQYnAwX0RyUmh2WVNfeHN2aGx3VzdoQXB2WEZTLWFpOVdBbXZkX1ByaFlPTWRzaGJrRUZ3RFR4U0YyTzAtQzlKOHF4dW1LdjRIYVZDeFlkSVNtcjg1YmVfeWJBUE9CNDMx?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, wahis-disease-to-movement. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: disease-alert. - UADA economist : Screwworm news will rattle local Texas , New Mexico cattle markets , but consumer prices to remain unchanged: high severity, 40% confidence, published 2026-06-05T18:45:00.000Z. Category: Animal health. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef, animal-health, dairy. Summary: Public event-stream item selected because it may affect livestock movement, buyer access, or biosecurity: UADA economist : Screwworm news will rattle local Texas , New Mexico cattle markets , but consumer prices to remain unchanged Prior public event carried forward because the live event stream did not complete in this update. Producer read: GDELT public event monitor published an animal-health item. Treat it as a movement, buyer-access, and biosecurity signal before it becomes a price headline. Producer action: Check movement, replacement purchases, and export-linked commitments before assuming normal buyer access. Source: GDELT Global Event Monitor https://www.stuttgartdailyleader.com/uada-economist-screwworm-news-will-rattle-local-texas-new-mexico-cattle-markets-but-consumer-prices-to-remain-unchanged/. Source evidence links: gdelt-news-to-market-event-risk, wahis-disease-to-movement. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: disease-alert. - What to know about the New World screwworm fly and its U.S. reappearance - PBS: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-06-05T17:48:27.000Z. Category: Animal health. Regions: north-america. Sectors: animal-health, beef, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because it can affect livestock movement, buyer access, and biosecurity: What to know about the New World screwworm fly and its U.S. reappearance - PBS Producer read: Google News public search RSS published an animal-health item. Treat it as a movement, buyer-access, and biosecurity signal before it becomes a price headline. Producer action: Check movement, replacement purchases, and export-linked commitments before assuming normal buyer access. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqwFBVV95cUxQejFQQTRyY09wa05KVEhVbVVmY1VJNC10YmJIbVdVcnlzeEN4OUdldjJ4SEoyanNTVGU4a3FuVlRIRVZVRW5Gdm1KVlhPY1o0SXNseGptWUdMNzRabS1haGtuVHpUZThWUFF2YU9Fa1dTOVFxUjQ2cHE1NjlPQ0hheXZiQTFKTVVUaEx4a1pKX1d3Tk81emdDVXowZjN5ZlFrTWVQSkZSTDB1OGM?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, wahis-disease-to-movement. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: disease-alert. - Naig: Iowa is monitoring screwworm; parasite poses no food-safety risk - Iowa Capital Dispatch: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-06-05T17:39:45.000Z. Category: Animal health. Regions: north-america. Sectors: animal-health, beef, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because it can affect livestock movement, buyer access, and biosecurity: Naig: Iowa is monitoring screwworm; parasite poses no food-safety risk - Iowa Capital Dispatch Producer read: Google News public search RSS published an animal-health item. Treat it as a movement, buyer-access, and biosecurity signal before it becomes a price headline. Producer action: Check movement, replacement purchases, and export-linked commitments before assuming normal buyer access. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirAFBVV95cUxPbm12UTg2bjVxc2FRVFA0ZEFMd25SWTFQcklub0JqQTU4TEk4TVVGaDdoM2JCMXhoSGt5emZ2OXpodHdsLWcyb2twNHVlajBsT3ltMVh6OGF4d2lUdk13SjZiOEJHYm1zc3ZyUXhrTEtYelVVZFI5a0p6LTI0XzNwZk1TYS1IV1pUMFdmWGswUXZLSWpvNmhSRXZ1ZE1tcjVTSDZJOGJwWm5DM0xC?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, wahis-disease-to-movement. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: disease-alert. - Why New World Screwworm Confirmation Sparked Surprise Rebound in Cattle Futures - drovers.com: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-06-05T13:36:15.000Z. Category: Animal health. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef, animal-health, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because it can affect livestock movement, buyer access, and biosecurity: Why New World Screwworm Confirmation Sparked Surprise Rebound in Cattle Futures - drovers.com Producer read: Google News public search RSS published an animal-health item. Treat it as a movement, buyer-access, and biosecurity signal before it becomes a price headline. Producer action: Check movement, replacement purchases, and export-linked commitments before assuming normal buyer access. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitgFBVV95cUxOcnJmS3gtZU5sMW44V2dNdW9NcVFEYWZiVkE0M0Q4dEx1R2hlbEZ4ekxYX0VPNFJrZU9GMkh0MGRmZXZKY2FqUWRzM2RxWXJBTjdEdEV1elhQWmJfZXEyNUVnRUNHZGd2dkZZQkYwQmMyaF9yYzV1bTJtVjZ0cWtQSXh3X3h3R3Z5M3o0Z1d3Y1NiaVRlb3VPUEhsdFREakNZRnJOVVpkNTJaaGFjX1JhY1F3b1ZGQQ?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, wahis-disease-to-movement. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: disease-alert. - USDA’s preferred weapon vs New World screwworm has wings but isn’t a drone: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-06-05T12:23:52.000Z. Category: Animal health. Regions: north-america. Sectors: feed, crops, animal-health, beef, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because it can affect livestock movement, buyer access, and biosecurity: USDA’s preferred weapon vs New World screwworm has wings but isn’t a drone Producer read: Farm Progress published an animal-health item. Treat it as a movement, buyer-access, and biosecurity signal before it becomes a price headline. Producer action: Check movement, replacement purchases, and export-linked commitments before assuming normal buyer access. Source: Farm Progress https://www.farmprogress.com/markets-and-quotes/morning-market-review. Source evidence links: farmprogress-rss-category-causal-edge, wahis-disease-to-movement. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: disease-alert. - US scrambles to contain flesh - eating screwworm outbreak: high severity, 40% confidence, published 2026-06-05T12:15:00.000Z. Category: Animal health. Regions: north-america. Sectors: animal-health, beef, dairy. Summary: Public event-stream item selected because it may affect livestock movement, buyer access, or biosecurity: US scrambles to contain flesh - eating screwworm outbreak Prior public event carried forward because the live event stream did not complete in this update. Producer read: GDELT public event monitor published an animal-health item. Treat it as a movement, buyer-access, and biosecurity signal before it becomes a price headline. Producer action: Check movement, replacement purchases, and export-linked commitments before assuming normal buyer access. Source: GDELT Global Event Monitor https://www.dailydispatch.co.za/news/2026-06-05-us-scrambles-to-contain-flesh-eating-screwworm-outbreak/. Source evidence links: gdelt-news-to-market-event-risk, wahis-disease-to-movement. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: disease-alert. - New World screwworm confirmed in Texas, stoking fresh cattle fears - Axios: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-06-05T09:31:43.000Z. Category: Animal health. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef, animal-health, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because it can affect livestock movement, buyer access, and biosecurity: New World screwworm confirmed in Texas, stoking fresh cattle fears - Axios Producer read: Google News public search RSS published an animal-health item. Treat it as a movement, buyer-access, and biosecurity signal before it becomes a price headline. Producer action: Check movement, replacement purchases, and export-linked commitments before assuming normal buyer access. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMic0FVX3lxTE5Nci1xWFpoN2JCSThuM0s2WFpHRTdyRHBoM3VROGpiOGJ0RU1pa3N0bEtXYnRFMUFTVDJycUMzNDBqX3A0dEtqRWk3OWdQeGRETUJhSzdvRzBKcHNmNWJ3YTc5ZVI4VmpPSnR6eDZFOFMyT2M?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, wahis-disease-to-movement. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: disease-alert. - The New World Screwworm Is Back. Here’s What That Means. - The New York Times: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-06-05T09:06:01.000Z. Category: Animal health. Regions: north-america. Sectors: animal-health, beef, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because it can affect livestock movement, buyer access, and biosecurity: The New World Screwworm Is Back. Here’s What That Means. - The New York Times Producer read: Google News public search RSS published an animal-health item. Treat it as a movement, buyer-access, and biosecurity signal before it becomes a price headline. Producer action: Check movement, replacement purchases, and export-linked commitments before assuming normal buyer access. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMigwFBVV95cUxPc0Y3OVYtc2x0cGhnbE9TY1IwalppQk5HTmo3YzFuWG9zMm9RTmJOZy1zWmxMMWtncG1zckl2NFBjdEtUeWJjWldSQlJhYXNZX3NDYTY5VUhteXE4SURqcVp5YUs3aXhkUW1mcXdieW40a3FJeGZRMnJGTTlXSVRnS3M3TQ?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, wahis-disease-to-movement. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: disease-alert. - Somalia: Radio Ergo Weekly Feedback Report, Issued: 5 June 2026: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-06-05T09:03:29.000Z. Category: Conflict and logistics. Regions: africa-asia. Sectors: beef, feed, crops, animal-health, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because war, sanctions, ports, canals, or shipping routes can change delivered feed, fertilizer, fuel, freight, and buyer access: Somalia: Radio Ergo Weekly Feedback Report, Issued: 5 June 2026 Producer read: ReliefWeb agriculture and disaster reports published a war, sanctions, or shipping-route item. Read it as a delivered feed, fertilizer, fuel, freight, and buyer-access signal. Producer action: Check delivered feed, fertilizer, fuel, freight, and route exposure before holding cattle longer or locking crop-input purchases. Source: ReliefWeb agriculture and disaster reports https://reliefweb.int/report/somalia/radio-ergo-weekly-feedback-report-issued-5-june-2026. Source evidence links: reliefweb-agriculture-category-causal-edge, gdelt-news-to-market-event-risk, eia-diesel-to-freight-feed-cost, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: geopolitical-shock-to-feed-freight, logistics-to-local-basis. Scenarios: geopolitical-shipping-shock, port-freight-shock, feed-cost-spike. - WFP warning becomes a reality for millions as Middle East crisis pushes poorest families further into hunger | World Food Programme: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-06-05T09:03:06.000Z. Category: Conflict and logistics. Regions: africa-asia. Sectors: feed, crops, beef, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because war, sanctions, ports, canals, or shipping routes can change delivered feed, fertilizer, fuel, freight, and buyer access: WFP warning becomes a reality for millions as Middle East crisis pushes poorest families further into hunger | World Food Programme Producer read: ReliefWeb agriculture and disaster reports published a war, sanctions, or shipping-route item. Read it as a delivered feed, fertilizer, fuel, freight, and buyer-access signal. Producer action: Check delivered feed, fertilizer, fuel, freight, and route exposure before holding cattle longer or locking crop-input purchases. Source: ReliefWeb agriculture and disaster reports https://reliefweb.int/report/world/wfp-warning-becomes-reality-millions-middle-east-crisis-pushes-poorest-families-further-hunger-world-food-programme. Source evidence links: reliefweb-agriculture-category-causal-edge, gdelt-news-to-market-event-risk, eia-diesel-to-freight-feed-cost, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: geopolitical-shock-to-feed-freight, logistics-to-local-basis. Scenarios: geopolitical-shipping-shock, port-freight-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Kenya - Key Message Update: Long rains ease conditions but Crisis (IPC Phase 3) to persist in pastoral areas, May - September 2026: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-06-05T02:36:56.000Z. Category: Weather and forage. Regions: africa-asia. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops, animal-health. Summary: Public item selected because weather or forage conditions can change pasture days, water checks, and sale pressure: Kenya - Key Message Update: Long rains ease conditions but Crisis (IPC Phase 3) to persist in pastoral areas, May - September 2026 Producer read: ReliefWeb agriculture and disaster reports published a weather or forage signal. Confirm it against local water, hay, and pasture days before stocking changes. Producer action: Convert the signal into forage days, water checks, and a sale-or-hold threshold. Source: ReliefWeb agriculture and disaster reports https://reliefweb.int/report/kenya/kenya-key-message-update-long-rains-ease-conditions-crisis-ipc-phase-3-persist-pastoral-areas-may-september-2026. Source evidence links: reliefweb-agriculture-category-causal-edge, gdelt-news-to-market-event-risk, eia-diesel-to-freight-feed-cost, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: geopolitical-shock-to-feed-freight, logistics-to-local-basis, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: geopolitical-shipping-shock, port-freight-shock, feed-cost-spike, drought-shock, crop-yield-shock. - Madagascar - Key Message Update: Severe rainfall deficits reduce agricultural yields in Southwestern Madagascar, May - September 2026: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-06-05T02:33:17.000Z. Category: Weather and forage. Regions: africa-asia. Sectors: beef, feed, crops, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because weather or forage conditions can change pasture days, water checks, and sale pressure: Madagascar - Key Message Update: Severe rainfall deficits reduce agricultural yields in Southwestern Madagascar, May - September 2026 Producer read: ReliefWeb agriculture and disaster reports published a weather or forage signal. Confirm it against local water, hay, and pasture days before stocking changes. Producer action: Convert the signal into forage days, water checks, and a sale-or-hold threshold. Source: ReliefWeb agriculture and disaster reports https://reliefweb.int/report/madagascar/madagascar-key-message-update-severe-rainfall-deficits-reduce-agricultural-yields-southwestern-madagascar-may-september-2026. Source evidence links: reliefweb-agriculture-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, crop-yield-shock. - Lesotho Key Message Update May - September 2026: The ongoing favorable harvest is improving food consumption: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-06-05T02:30:58.000Z. Category: Weather and forage. Regions: africa-asia. Sectors: beef, feed, crops, dairy, animal-health. Summary: Public item selected because weather or forage conditions can change pasture days, water checks, and sale pressure: Lesotho Key Message Update May - September 2026: The ongoing favorable harvest is improving food consumption Producer read: ReliefWeb agriculture and disaster reports published a weather or forage signal. Confirm it against local water, hay, and pasture days before stocking changes. Producer action: Convert the signal into forage days, water checks, and a sale-or-hold threshold. Source: ReliefWeb agriculture and disaster reports https://reliefweb.int/report/lesotho/lesotho-key-message-update-may-september-2026-ongoing-favorable-harvest-improving-food-consumption. Source evidence links: reliefweb-agriculture-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, crop-yield-shock. - New Mexico on edge for livestock infections as screwworm hits Texas - Santa Fe New Mexican: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-06-05T01:30:00.000Z. Category: Animal health. Regions: north-america, latin-america. Sectors: beef, animal-health, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because it can affect livestock movement, buyer access, and biosecurity: New Mexico on edge for livestock infections as screwworm hits Texas - Santa Fe New Mexican Producer read: Google News public search RSS published an animal-health item. Treat it as a movement, buyer-access, and biosecurity signal before it becomes a price headline. Producer action: Check movement, replacement purchases, and export-linked commitments before assuming normal buyer access. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi-wFBVV95cUxPcGtCeXhmLXlaZGJEOHlBZDE0THNfLUUwTmxnTU5XZHJFaWpGTjJsa2R3dW9iTUVmZnVjQjVDbnJFeEJ0NHl5MTlBZGdyMVlBVmFCNm9EdFhuZFRablY2Wkw2V0dCRWFvMm9DQnhmQTBEeWdtNFlrRDUya25MLVpiaFllT3N0ZzhqMUFtOGxNcU1lX3doVW9uc01mNTJHcGtzUmJKWWlJQmRhcDh3Qkx3VVRkaUNHbHJ2Q0xEakYxbnNGNnJZekpZYUFPZDVvdDhKZXQ4aHNnY3piUE5BMi1VTHVjLUVvNHpoQ2Uza2puS3h4RG9YdGVsODdqQQ?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, wahis-disease-to-movement. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: disease-alert. - GIEWS Country Brief: The Republic of Yemen 04-June-2026: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-06-04T23:41:04.000Z. Category: Conflict and logistics. Regions: africa-asia. Sectors: feed, crops, beef, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because war, sanctions, ports, canals, or shipping routes can change delivered feed, fertilizer, fuel, freight, and buyer access: GIEWS Country Brief: The Republic of Yemen 04-June-2026 Producer read: ReliefWeb agriculture and disaster reports published a war, sanctions, or shipping-route item. Read it as a delivered feed, fertilizer, fuel, freight, and buyer-access signal. Producer action: Check delivered feed, fertilizer, fuel, freight, and route exposure before holding cattle longer or locking crop-input purchases. Source: ReliefWeb agriculture and disaster reports https://reliefweb.int/report/yemen/giews-country-brief-republic-yemen-04-june-2026. Source evidence links: reliefweb-agriculture-category-causal-edge, gdelt-news-to-market-event-risk, eia-diesel-to-freight-feed-cost, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: geopolitical-shock-to-feed-freight, logistics-to-local-basis. Scenarios: geopolitical-shipping-shock, port-freight-shock, feed-cost-spike. - North Texas cattle ranchers on alert amid New World screwworm case - CBS News: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-06-04T21:53:34.000Z. Category: Animal health. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef, animal-health, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because it can affect livestock movement, buyer access, and biosecurity: North Texas cattle ranchers on alert amid New World screwworm case - CBS News Producer read: Google News public search RSS published an animal-health item. Treat it as a movement, buyer-access, and biosecurity signal before it becomes a price headline. Producer action: Check movement, replacement purchases, and export-linked commitments before assuming normal buyer access. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilwFBVV95cUxQaDY4NFYyMW5HSXdmZ1packpvZFRIQUQ5XzV0bXJUcktJdDlZT19DNXhjaS01Mzh3YVQ2ODJTLUQ3UkhxTzdSWVozLTRHNTVnSlhOMmFfV1Z6ZjF1QnJBRG83RHp2TWtFT3JnWU5oWW9ybTNrSGZCU0NvUnozd3dRTF9qMnF5M2t2UTJlejY5LU96a2NaeXFv?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, wahis-disease-to-movement. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: disease-alert. - Screwworm fly detected in Texas decades after cattle threat was largely eradicated in US - AP News: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-06-04T21:24:00.000Z. Category: Animal health. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef, animal-health, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because it can affect livestock movement, buyer access, and biosecurity: Screwworm fly detected in Texas decades after cattle threat was largely eradicated in US - AP News Producer read: Google News public search RSS published an animal-health item. Treat it as a movement, buyer-access, and biosecurity signal before it becomes a price headline. Producer action: Check movement, replacement purchases, and export-linked commitments before assuming normal buyer access. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipwFBVV95cUxQeGU0Q2FCZU9JcG5VdERNVFFXUHlmaG5Ya3FNUmRreWsyN2U2ZGVuQ1ZEY0htTDdvakNyTTUzSERBWENoUnhlbU9FZmRmS3Z3VURqclUtaGpWdWNsQ09GZEo0RE5ES2hKb2JvQ3Fwc0pMNTNkdFBqaVNvUl9QTE1McnNiQ0NMNW5fUTNiUVQ3ejFiWEI0RDQxdmdJRFdUaVNCcDNsNEg1cw?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, wahis-disease-to-movement. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: disease-alert. - Texas New World screwworm detection: What's next for ranchers?: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-06-04T18:32:33.000Z. Category: Animal health. Regions: north-america. Sectors: animal-health, beef, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because it can affect livestock movement, buyer access, and biosecurity: Texas New World screwworm detection: What's next for ranchers? Producer read: Farm Progress published an animal-health item. Treat it as a movement, buyer-access, and biosecurity signal before it becomes a price headline. Producer action: Check movement, replacement purchases, and export-linked commitments before assuming normal buyer access. Source: Farm Progress https://www.farmprogress.com/animal-health/texas-new-world-screwworm-detection-what-s-next-for-ranchers-. Source evidence links: farmprogress-rss-category-causal-edge, wahis-disease-to-movement. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: disease-alert. - Screwworm Shock Lifts Cattle Prices as Texas Faces $1.8 Billion Risk - Agrolatam: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-06-04T17:07:12.000Z. Category: Animal health. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef, animal-health, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because it can affect livestock movement, buyer access, and biosecurity: Screwworm Shock Lifts Cattle Prices as Texas Faces $1.8 Billion Risk - Agrolatam Producer read: Google News public search RSS published an animal-health item. Treat it as a movement, buyer-access, and biosecurity signal before it becomes a price headline. Producer action: Check movement, replacement purchases, and export-linked commitments before assuming normal buyer access. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiigFBVV95cUxORFlWQVhXY3RkZDZXWmtOQm05Z3A4RXA1RWFQNm9va0JMWjJRT2lKVExNcGRMN1ctVjVTdGxXYjM2XzBOSnZVWGtlX3FfdjIzdjlKUGk5eFl2Y3FReWhnUW9ieThXelpqQkNkUFpsWGFCQnpNYVVOTWpDODJrRlg3eTh0ZGNlTVgzY0E?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, wahis-disease-to-movement. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: disease-alert. - Parasitic screwworm confirmed in South Texas calf - El Paso Times: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-06-04T17:07:00.000Z. Category: Animal health. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef, animal-health, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because it can affect livestock movement, buyer access, and biosecurity: Parasitic screwworm confirmed in South Texas calf - El Paso Times Producer read: Google News public search RSS published an animal-health item. Treat it as a movement, buyer-access, and biosecurity signal before it becomes a price headline. Producer action: Check movement, replacement purchases, and export-linked commitments before assuming normal buyer access. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi0gFBVV95cUxQS00zWnd4U2JGSFJzaDZwdFpiWG0xSnBVWlEwUi1YRDZkYl9EMUlqQlJpWFV1MlZ1QVVHRnpveVVLMF92bVd0Z2g1MjI0a1QzUE5zMWItRkpWek1NMVc0QjIxaTh2Z1Itak80SjhlZ0JSTDRFNVZzVzE2YmszUlBmQi1DTF9pbHhFN05TeFZkMWVDeHNXT1lsN2VDS3NWeWVfTTA0S3lkVkpxYjNYZEFaRFY1TG8wd1dYR01uNXFKWHNDZ0JaS2VuVXlfckV3dC1DQWc?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, wahis-disease-to-movement. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: disease-alert. - US races to contain flesh-eating parasite screwworm, reports no further cases - Reuters: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-06-04T16:53:00.000Z. Category: Animal health. Regions: europe. Sectors: animal-health, beef, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because it can affect livestock movement, buyer access, and biosecurity: US races to contain flesh-eating parasite screwworm, reports no further cases - Reuters Producer read: Google News public search RSS published an animal-health item. Treat it as a movement, buyer-access, and biosecurity signal before it becomes a price headline. Producer action: Check movement, replacement purchases, and export-linked commitments before assuming normal buyer access. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirwFBVV95cUxQNHpEZTNTbzV6TUNwX2dsQlotNEVYZElrMW9wbUp0RmpObHVWZXhCSEJnM0c0MnFtdWtVdzBKRW5GRWl5Q1NQZTY0a0pjT2hVWWh5U1dMcjlfM3dTSWtyZ1p2X1cwRERuenJXZlM2Y2ZXcVRCLUZZZTNtZk5QUzBGSW9RY1YyQjJBWmNReGFocUw1VmRYeU9uazhWWVdXam1JY19laThycGhZaVJ1VFZN?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, wahis-disease-to-movement. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: disease-alert. - A flesh-eating New World screwworm was just found in a Texas cow—here’s what to know - Scientific American: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-06-04T16:45:00.000Z. Category: Animal health. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef, animal-health, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because it can affect livestock movement, buyer access, and biosecurity: A flesh-eating New World screwworm was just found in a Texas cow—here’s what to know - Scientific American Producer read: Google News public search RSS published an animal-health item. Treat it as a movement, buyer-access, and biosecurity signal before it becomes a price headline. Producer action: Check movement, replacement purchases, and export-linked commitments before assuming normal buyer access. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMixgFBVV95cUxPQ19VVjFsOUdDR2hDbWYta3RoTVlsSlQ4NzkteXJTME1mSGZmc05aSDJQcWZ2Mm9SOXhnR01JbWx3c3psMS13YWtkZWRuN1h6Y25JbnQtYW1sdUdxd3pSWUFSTDZRRHI1Q3Y4ckNoTzBUNkM4NENKVkczdmFxaG5wcDdwd0F4VkJDVmRLcTNZa3RnazBXYXdIMEhvbnN4UXlLV01PcVYzY0kyTlQ1ZGlpLWQ3ckN0STdlRUtraDdMOEFtdDdRdmc?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, wahis-disease-to-movement. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: disease-alert. - Flesh-eating parasite confirmed in Texas. What Houston residents need to know about the new world screwworm - Click2Houston: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-06-04T16:19:59.000Z. Category: Animal health. Regions: north-america. Sectors: animal-health, beef, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because it can affect livestock movement, buyer access, and biosecurity: Flesh-eating parasite confirmed in Texas. What Houston residents need to know about the new world screwworm - Click2Houston Producer read: Google News public search RSS published an animal-health item. Treat it as a movement, buyer-access, and biosecurity signal before it becomes a price headline. Producer action: Check movement, replacement purchases, and export-linked commitments before assuming normal buyer access. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi8gFBVV95cUxNa1UwZG5Jb0t2NnBJMzVnN3dJZ2RSWTNBOTY5MGZDVW5SanRkamxmcER4WHEyNEx6ZXNTa2szNUctRTk0MDNRVktpR2xGZXpGcjdYazRCTlFYRnIzZUxSSDBzc1pvNTROOVIxZWhkX2ROTmpVV3c2dm9wZlI1WWFic21VSGxyOFpES3paQ0U1QjBuaTVxdzVCSlNiNGlhYzdGak9MbHBXc0QzY3I5LWlJQVVTb043UW1QWGVybjdPZy0ydmxRdmhkRDVfNHlfU3p4TXFyRU44cFBkdUlaSGl2N2Jla21LMk9nVTRoVmR5NmFmZw?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, wahis-disease-to-movement. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: disease-alert. - Screwworm Is Back In Texas Cattle—Is DOGE To Blame? - Forbes: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-06-04T15:49:00.000Z. Category: Animal health. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef, animal-health, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because it can affect livestock movement, buyer access, and biosecurity: Screwworm Is Back In Texas Cattle—Is DOGE To Blame? - Forbes Producer read: Google News public search RSS published an animal-health item. Treat it as a movement, buyer-access, and biosecurity signal before it becomes a price headline. Producer action: Check movement, replacement purchases, and export-linked commitments before assuming normal buyer access. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi2AFBVV95cUxOVjRFYU9aMU9scV8yYlpTSVlBSkFrZ0ljeVZTSkZiV3NRbkhCdXBtbUN5MGFsT2dadUd3NlhyUVhBVVBCNnBVVWFjRk96THpnQ3pSQXBEbjd6VVVhdDdERWE3aDRvTFB3ZE9yVDJ0aFFkcmx1RUFXc2tYbC1qRURBODFtcVlTRjUyVmFNVVhDZDBfVTFGY3cyQ085T0lzc1BhMVEzWU5lTnNlVHA5aHVKNGI5cWhtUFRUbnF1dm9yTEtBX0pUZjZQZ0xPTm1UblNNOG1Vdm9mek8?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, wahis-disease-to-movement. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: disease-alert. - First US screwworm case in 60 years: Should America be worried? - Al Jazeera: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-06-04T13:18:57.000Z. Category: Animal health. Regions: north-america. Sectors: animal-health, beef, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because it can affect livestock movement, buyer access, and biosecurity: First US screwworm case in 60 years: Should America be worried? - Al Jazeera Producer read: Google News public search RSS published an animal-health item. Treat it as a movement, buyer-access, and biosecurity signal before it becomes a price headline. Producer action: Check movement, replacement purchases, and export-linked commitments before assuming normal buyer access. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiowFBVV95cUxQRjZLZkQ5dGFHZlU1UnFkWjg0eWJkX3ZoazFaTE00Q0xaNkV1eVNkYThqOUFqRUI0NWRXcnhwQXE3ZW9weGcxU05jZWR4TlJZbUYtZnVuS3QzQTZJTHBVT1hsdXBRd2M0QmxjS1k4OW9FV0Z6ejJ1MFk1dnI4dUVuSjUtYmZPUkMwV2RMNUxSVmc2QmtYcWVsOGEwai1EWHlIcXc40gGoAUFVX3lxTE13aEFkYWd1RDQ3MWtibmdYTlZiRnhySnFrY2drbHZzVVl2WG9oVmlibFkzZkRRWERZWk9YSFZ5a1Rib0tLemJmLWczTTlqWmtkRDRNd2lQWmZoTWFHbTRqR3VnTFpNcWYzRHJJa2gxY2NHRHZzYnc1djRzMDZmb0NVaXZiYUI1cXFYTUNleG53bTZXdXV6NENUenNzMTVJZ25MelN0alR5NA?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, wahis-disease-to-movement. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: disease-alert. - Flesh-eating screwworm returns to U.S. after 60 years, threatening cattle herd - NBC News: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-06-04T09:49:27.000Z. Category: Animal health. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef, animal-health, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because it can affect livestock movement, buyer access, and biosecurity: Flesh-eating screwworm returns to U.S. after 60 years, threatening cattle herd - NBC News Producer read: Google News public search RSS published an animal-health item. Treat it as a movement, buyer-access, and biosecurity signal before it becomes a price headline. Producer action: Check movement, replacement purchases, and export-linked commitments before assuming normal buyer access. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitwFBVV95cUxNcVdQMzVLTXBHR0ZNcDZQNUpPa0xHR0xRX1dDNzZJQWl3SHp2clY0OWZlaVdUZHdTMkNuck5DcUNnTFNXeHNWYmVFZDRtR3VBcWIyWFVta1R4TXl0U2o5Zm5DRE5TR0xKaVEybEdaOXVpX1lXY0JodFQtc0dPN0VQNzUtOXhhMTF5TXRacTg5NEIwRTh0VVI2NFBkUFpHZE1yQVo0cmsyOFhQbkdLR1VXSzFjS1Z4UUk?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, wahis-disease-to-movement. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: disease-alert. - Growing number of cattle tick infestations in NSW causing deaths: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-06-04T04:54:20.000Z. Category: Animal health. Regions: oceania. Sectors: beef, animal-health, dairy. Summary: NSW cattle producers and veterinarians are concerned by the growing number of cattle dying from tick fever and are calling for urgent boots on the ground from DPIRD. Producer read: Beef Central published an animal-health item. Treat it as a movement, buyer-access, and biosecurity signal before it becomes a price headline. Producer action: Check movement, replacement purchases, and export-linked commitments before assuming normal buyer access. Source: Beef Central https://www.beefcentral.com/production/growing-number-of-cattle-tick-infestations-in-nsw-causing-deaths/. Source evidence links: beefcentral-rss-category-causal-edge, wahis-disease-to-movement. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: disease-alert. - Mexican screwworm fly crosses US border into Texas: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-06-04T04:19:28.000Z. Category: Animal health. Regions: north-america, latin-america. Sectors: crops, animal-health, beef, dairy. Summary: The flesh-eating New World Screwworm fly has crossed the border between Mexico and the United States, the US Department of Agriculture has confirmed overnight. Producer read: Beef Central published an animal-health item. Treat it as a movement, buyer-access, and biosecurity signal before it becomes a price headline. Producer action: Check movement, replacement purchases, and export-linked commitments before assuming normal buyer access. Source: Beef Central https://www.beefcentral.com/news/mexican-screwworm-fly-crosses-us-border-into-texas/. Source evidence links: beefcentral-rss-category-causal-edge, wahis-disease-to-movement. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: disease-alert. - FAO report highlights long-term economic case for tackling antimicrobial resistance in livestock: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-06-03T12:00:00.000Z. Category: Animal health. Regions: north-america, latin-america, oceania, europe, africa-asia. Sectors: beef, animal-health, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because it can affect livestock movement, buyer access, and biosecurity: FAO report highlights long-term economic case for tackling antimicrobial resistance in livestock Producer read: FAO Newsroom published an animal-health item. Treat it as a movement, buyer-access, and biosecurity signal before it becomes a price headline. Producer action: Check movement, replacement purchases, and export-linked commitments before assuming normal buyer access. Source: FAO Newsroom https://www.fao.org/newsroom/detail/fao-report-highlights-long-term-economic-case-for-tackling-antimicrobial-resistance-in-livestock/en. Source evidence links: wahis-disease-to-movement. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: disease-alert. - Strait of Hormuz: Time running out to avert global food security crisis, FAO warns: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-05-26T12:00:00.000Z. Category: Conflict and logistics. Regions: north-america, latin-america, oceania, europe, africa-asia. Sectors: feed, beef, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because war, sanctions, ports, canals, or shipping routes can change delivered feed, fertilizer, fuel, freight, and buyer access: Strait of Hormuz: Time running out to avert global food security crisis, FAO warns Producer read: FAO Newsroom published a war, sanctions, or shipping-route item. Read it as a delivered feed, fertilizer, fuel, freight, and buyer-access signal. Producer action: Check delivered feed, fertilizer, fuel, freight, and route exposure before holding cattle longer or locking crop-input purchases. Source: FAO Newsroom https://www.fao.org/newsroom/detail/strait-of-hormuz--time-running-out-to-avert-global-food-security-crisis--fao-warns/en. Source evidence links: gdelt-news-to-market-event-risk, eia-diesel-to-freight-feed-cost, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: geopolitical-shock-to-feed-freight, logistics-to-local-basis. Scenarios: geopolitical-shipping-shock, port-freight-shock, feed-cost-spike. - NATO to beef up forces assigned to defend Baltics in war, sources say - Reuters: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-05-26T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Trade and policy. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because trade, border, or market-access changes can move local cattle, dairy, feed, and crop bids: NATO to beef up forces assigned to defend Baltics in war, sources say - Reuters Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a trade or policy item. Read it against export eligibility, processor bids, input imports, and destination concentration. Producer action: Price cattle, milk, feed, and crops with destination exposure before committing volume. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMivwFBVV95cUxNUWhxbUhxcHA2akJFaEd4U2ZOWmEtWHhjTUNWNGdIS21CNEt1NExFUDh6eWE1UUgzNVlzaWhuampiRW1Eb2VqS3J1V0t0RE5hOWhiRjV1RzhhLU9ZRnlKejUyRXUtUEVyWlBvcG1jbnNYSHUzcFktTWdVbEdsWGxkaHpBU2pJQVZCSENJbE9sVzVwRmxTZGlLOFlydkNrSXB6MzlpdEZZYVdDVVgyNlJWRmZIZ2hldGliTGZBUzhsNA?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, fas-trade-to-basis, gain-policy-to-market-access. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - SE Asia Report: Falling Darwin feeder numbers offer Indonesia’s squeezed lotfeeders a first glimpse of relief: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-05-22T06:31:11.000Z. Category: Animal health. Regions: africa-asia. Sectors: beef, feed, dairy, animal-health. Summary: Vietnam seeks emergency approval to import SAT-1 FMD vaccines as cross-border disease risk rises | Indonesian meat processors continue to lobby for their 2026 private beef quota to be restored from 30,000 to 180,000 tonnes | Sea freight stays under pressure, with Singapore bunker fuel at USD 850/mt still nearly double January's USD 480/mt. Producer read: Beef Central published an animal-health item. Treat it as a movement, buyer-access, and biosecurity signal before it becomes a price headline. Producer action: Check movement, replacement purchases, and export-linked commitments before assuming normal buyer access. Source: Beef Central https://www.beefcentral.com/live-export/se-asia-report-may-2026/. Source evidence links: beefcentral-rss-category-causal-edge, wahis-disease-to-movement. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: disease-alert. - Strait of Hormuz conflict threatens global food prices as FAO warns time is running out: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-05-20T12:00:00.000Z. Category: Conflict and logistics. Regions: north-america, latin-america, oceania, europe, africa-asia. Sectors: feed, beef, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because war, sanctions, ports, canals, or shipping routes can change delivered feed, fertilizer, fuel, freight, and buyer access: Strait of Hormuz conflict threatens global food prices as FAO warns time is running out Producer read: FAO Newsroom published a war, sanctions, or shipping-route item. Read it as a delivered feed, fertilizer, fuel, freight, and buyer-access signal. Producer action: Check delivered feed, fertilizer, fuel, freight, and route exposure before holding cattle longer or locking crop-input purchases. Source: FAO Newsroom https://www.fao.org/newsroom/detail/strait-of-hormuz-conflict-threatens-global-food-prices-as-fao-warns-time-is-running-out/en. Source evidence links: gdelt-news-to-market-event-risk, eia-diesel-to-freight-feed-cost, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: geopolitical-shock-to-feed-freight, logistics-to-local-basis. Scenarios: geopolitical-shipping-shock, port-freight-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Fuel, gold, milk prices surge as West Asia crisis deepens - MSN: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-05-17T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Feed and inputs. Regions: africa-asia. Sectors: dairy, feed, beef. Summary: Public item selected because feed, grain, fertilizer, fuel, or food-price pressure can change cattle and dairy margins: Fuel, gold, milk prices surge as West Asia crisis deepens - MSN Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a feed, grain, or input item. Use it to reprice the next gain period and the feed coverage window. Producer action: Recalculate feed coverage, hay buying, and the value of extra weight before delaying sales. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi3gFBVV95cUxNNlJGNHBPekk5eEFndlB6OTVhUjVtaC1nQzBoTzZxN000YkNYa0g5RVdJVmVRdFZUUkdmd1ZJcXF1Tk9PT3hpdGlFMktMeW9oM0RmWUdSZDg1TFA5NVJtNkIwdlhLbVEtQ2Y2ZUZ4Sy1ZTEZzWUZ5VjlRclY3aWxoc3MyYVFpQnQ3TllqVERxYXhKNXVIVkJCZGVkYzdvNXFSSDNWNWFsdDl2NnE1eUdCNVBHQzRxdF9ITzdQTzkwaUNadFo0YU5CRWpwMHhId3JCakI2MmMzUXNCeGN2dkE?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Risk of Famine persists as nearly 19.5 million people face acute food insecurity in Sudan: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-05-15T12:00:00.000Z. Category: Feed and inputs. Regions: africa-asia. Sectors: feed. Summary: Public item selected because feed, grain, fertilizer, fuel, or food-price pressure can change cattle and dairy margins: Risk of Famine persists as nearly 19.5 million people face acute food insecurity in Sudan Producer read: FAO Newsroom published a feed, grain, or input item. Use it to reprice the next gain period and the feed coverage window. Producer action: Recalculate feed coverage, hay buying, and the value of extra weight before delaying sales. Source: FAO Newsroom https://www.fao.org/newsroom/detail/risk-of-famine-persists-as-nearly-19.5-million-people-face-acute-food-insecurity-in-sudan/en. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - UN agencies warn of worsening hunger and malnutrition crisis in Somalia as famine risk emerges: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-05-15T12:00:00.000Z. Category: Feed and inputs. Regions: africa-asia. Sectors: feed. Summary: Public item selected because feed, grain, fertilizer, fuel, or food-price pressure can change cattle and dairy margins: UN agencies warn of worsening hunger and malnutrition crisis in Somalia as famine risk emerges Producer read: FAO Newsroom published a feed, grain, or input item. Use it to reprice the next gain period and the feed coverage window. Producer action: Recalculate feed coverage, hay buying, and the value of extra weight before delaying sales. Source: FAO Newsroom https://www.fao.org/newsroom/detail/un-agencies-warn-of-worsening-hunger-and-malnutrition-crisis-in-somalia-as-famine-risk-emerges/en. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Cattle industry loses court appeal over live export ban compensation - Australian Broadcasting Corporation: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-05-15T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Trade and policy. Regions: oceania. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because trade, border, or market-access changes can move local cattle, dairy, feed, and crop bids: Cattle industry loses court appeal over live export ban compensation - Australian Broadcasting Corporation Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a trade or policy item. Read it against export eligibility, processor bids, input imports, and destination concentration. Producer action: Price cattle, milk, feed, and crops with destination exposure before committing volume. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqAFBVV95cUxQMDM3NGhONFBLQW9EQUJNcnA5bmFKVkRuVU1yVVNNQUtGbzcwUEJqVm5QMkhjM29uX1gweGkxS1Q0aGlVN0dXOExZS21hUHNQREhSZ05FRG83d3N5VjVaRmtjRV9RUlJnWkZHTW1hX0F0MTA5TFdoQnBDNXU4dkREaTZSMjdFMjJMUGRTNXhnQk9mUEFBVUdXUGFaVk5RQnB6UjFQVEdFenU?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, fas-trade-to-basis, gain-policy-to-market-access. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Millions trapped in deepening hunger crisis in the DRC as needs far outpace humanitarian response: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-05-14T12:00:00.000Z. Category: Feed and inputs. Regions: africa-asia. Sectors: feed. Summary: Public item selected because feed, grain, fertilizer, fuel, or food-price pressure can change cattle and dairy margins: Millions trapped in deepening hunger crisis in the DRC as needs far outpace humanitarian response Producer read: FAO Newsroom published a feed, grain, or input item. Use it to reprice the next gain period and the feed coverage window. Producer action: Recalculate feed coverage, hay buying, and the value of extra weight before delaying sales. Source: FAO Newsroom https://www.fao.org/newsroom/detail/millions-trapped-in-deepening-hunger-crisis-in-the-drc-as-needs-far-outpace-humanitarian-response/en. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Strait of Hormuz crisis: Fertilizer scarcity will affect next harvests and food supplies, FAO warns: high severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-05-07T12:00:00.000Z. Category: Conflict and logistics. Regions: north-america, latin-america, oceania, europe, africa-asia. Sectors: feed, crops, beef, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because war, sanctions, ports, canals, or shipping routes can change delivered feed, fertilizer, fuel, freight, and buyer access: Strait of Hormuz crisis: Fertilizer scarcity will affect next harvests and food supplies, FAO warns Producer read: FAO Newsroom published a war, sanctions, or shipping-route item. Read it as a delivered feed, fertilizer, fuel, freight, and buyer-access signal. Producer action: Check delivered feed, fertilizer, fuel, freight, and route exposure before holding cattle longer or locking crop-input purchases. Source: FAO Newsroom https://www.fao.org/newsroom/detail/strait-of-hormuz-crisis--fertilizer-scarcity-will-affect-next-harvests-and-food-supplies--fao-warns/en. Source evidence links: gdelt-news-to-market-event-risk, eia-diesel-to-freight-feed-cost, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: geopolitical-shock-to-feed-freight, logistics-to-local-basis. Scenarios: geopolitical-shipping-shock, port-freight-shock, feed-cost-spike. - APHIS Updates Guidance on the Interstate Movement of Lactating Dairy Cattle: high severity, 86% confidence, published 2026-04-27T12:00:00.000Z. Category: Animal health. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, animal-health. Summary: USDA APHIS published APHIS Updates Guidance on the Interstate Movement of Lactating Dairy Cattle on its H5N1 livestock and dairy updates page. Producer read: USDA APHIS published an animal-health item. Treat it as a movement, buyer-access, and biosecurity signal before it becomes a price headline. Producer action: Check movement, replacement purchases, and export-linked commitments before assuming normal buyer access. Source: USDA APHIS https://www.aphis.usda.gov/news/program-update/aphis-updates-guidance-interstate-movement-lactating-dairy-cattle. Source evidence links: aphis-h5n1-to-dairy-movement, wahis-disease-to-movement. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: disease-alert. - Preço do boi gordo termina semana estável, em patamar alto - Globo Rural: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-06T09:30:37.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because livestock supply or meat availability can change sale timing and buyer leverage: Preço do boi gordo termina semana estável, em patamar alto - Globo Rural Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.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?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - Agriland and DairyBeef 500 to provide tips on boosting calf performance: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-06T09:00:00.000Z. Category: Dairy margin. Regions: europe. Sectors: beef, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because dairy margin signals can change ration decisions, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply: Agriland and DairyBeef 500 to provide tips on boosting calf performance Producer read: Agriland published a dairy signal. Watch feed cost, milk margin, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply together. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement appetite before monthly milk checks settle. Source: Agriland https://www.agriland.ie/farming-news/agriland-and-dairybeef-500-to-provide-tips-on-boosting-calf-performance/. Source evidence links: agriland-rss-category-causal-edge, gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - Major food companies ‘lagging’ on methane targets – report: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-06T08:00:00.000Z. Category: Dairy margin. Regions: north-america, europe. Sectors: dairy. Summary: Public item selected because dairy margin signals can change ration decisions, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply: Major food companies ‘lagging’ on methane targets – report Producer read: Agriland published a dairy signal. Watch feed cost, milk margin, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply together. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement appetite before monthly milk checks settle. Source: Agriland https://www.agriland.ie/farming-news/major-food-companies-lagging-on-methane-targets-report/. Source evidence links: agriland-rss-category-causal-edge, gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - Las iniciativas para frenar la exportación de ganado en pie: maltrato animal, riesgo ambiental y daños costeros - Infobae: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-06T07:57:00.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because livestock supply or meat availability can change sale timing and buyer leverage: Las iniciativas para frenar la exportación de ganado en pie: maltrato animal, riesgo ambiental y daños costeros - Infobae Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.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?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - Crean “Iztatl Frutal” en el ITSLP, un alimento para ganado a base de residuos orgánicos - El Sol de México: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-06T05:56:02.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because livestock supply or meat availability can change sale timing and buyer leverage: Crean “Iztatl Frutal” en el ITSLP, un alimento para ganado a base de residuos orgánicos - El Sol de México Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMizgFBVV95cUxPRWxkaXZzay1iV3N0U1J4WmRfd25fTG9uM1VUa3YxV0Z4eFl4bzJ2cDNDdnhtOXE3TjhDOFo3dlRxaWpVdm9STmlSYUs3SzdBM1psazlJem9mdl9uZ1ZRMnhJMWZSazZpWkpVcE0xZ3ZjdnllOHNhMjdCV2RZYzVfWHJubElNRktib3o2a0Z5M185YmxtbUJaWHJJbzBnWW9EbVVWNG1xSjlPVl9mYzVQY0t0by1zZGswSWdGZ2ZQcEVUZXZ2b3FqMGFTcmVodw?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - Table: Beef carcass performance data grouped by CBV: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-06T05:00:00.000Z. Category: Dairy margin. Regions: europe. Sectors: beef, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because dairy margin signals can change ration decisions, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply: Table: Beef carcass performance data grouped by CBV Producer read: Agriland published a dairy signal. Watch feed cost, milk margin, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply together. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement appetite before monthly milk checks settle. Source: Agriland https://www.agriland.ie/farming-news/table-beef-carcass-performance-data-grouped-by-cbv/. Source evidence links: agriland-rss-category-causal-edge, gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - East Tennessee Livestock Center Graded Feeder Cattle Sale - Sweetwater, TN: medium severity, 80% confidence, published 2026-06-06T00:03:29.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: USDA AMS published East Tennessee Livestock Center Graded Feeder Cattle Sale - Sweetwater, TN covering 2026-06-05 to 2026-06-05. Producer read: USDA AMS Market News published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: USDA AMS Market News https://marsapi.ams.usda.gov/services/v1.1/public/listPublishedReports/10#report-2073. Source evidence links: ams-price-to-sale-window. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - Advice on testing big bale silage to optimise feed decisions - Farmers Weekly: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-05T23:31:39.000Z. Category: Feed and inputs. Regions: europe. Sectors: feed. Summary: Public item selected because feed, grain, fertilizer, fuel, or food-price pressure can change cattle and dairy margins: Advice on testing big bale silage to optimise feed decisions - Farmers Weekly Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a feed, grain, or input item. Use it to reprice the next gain period and the feed coverage window. Producer action: Recalculate feed coverage, hay buying, and the value of extra weight before delaying sales. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi2gFBVV95cUxOSllyblNQcHp2cGRTUzZXM2Z3MzFibXJKcHZGSzhTUHNvTUpyc0RHa0d3amVoVE1lbFN5WkV3aThRQTZjSGI5MXhVNFBpTHFGWUkxNGo1cHVMUWFJTG9leW85bGVVenRHSU1WVENwSHBGYTFPXzF1ajBqeGJza3k0NHFBOFlnZmRHcUh1UllYUGkzZjZjeVhYbXJHX3kwVjZWU3RjZGwzNUhuQU5jWTNUbFd0SG1NVXYtOVg2aFRBaW1NS1FpXzhLMGRVeklGbHE0Qkd3SnE2UklCZw?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - North Carolina Grass Fed Beef Report (Monthly) (RA_LO101): medium severity, 80% confidence, published 2026-06-05T22:06:10.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: USDA AMS published North Carolina Grass Fed Beef Report (Monthly) (RA_LO101) covering 2026-06-05 to 2026-06-05. Producer read: USDA AMS Market News published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: USDA AMS Market News https://marsapi.ams.usda.gov/services/v1.1/public/listPublishedReports/10#report-3150. Source evidence links: ams-price-to-sale-window. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - Boi gordo registra negócios acima da referência após feriado - Canal Rural: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-05T21:59:11.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because livestock supply or meat availability can change sale timing and buyer leverage: Boi gordo registra negócios acima da referência após feriado - Canal Rural Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisAFBVV95cUxOMGJxNmV2SU43ZGZkck9pdmM4YVEzR2E3QUVJeG9zNGJkTk5OZmhmRE82T0RQcExxZUFzZU1LVnJ2ekZyU1J0U0ZpWWRPSUV1UVEyOEJTeC10Z05oYTlHNk9ZbXlqcXhvSDNUbzMtYkdJdldCS1RWZ1hQZmpRSi10NVR6NjluRjBCX1VIMy1nRko2MWRoMkd4ckNiWVNTazk5WDhRckRtRWIyZVplcU1OMg?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - Crean “Iztatl Frutal” en el ITSLP, un alimento para ganado a base de residuos orgánicos - El Sol de México: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-05T21:28:38.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because livestock supply or meat availability can change sale timing and buyer leverage: Crean “Iztatl Frutal” en el ITSLP, un alimento para ganado a base de residuos orgánicos - El Sol de México Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi4gFBVV95cUxOMGJITUE2Z0QwQVRMLWd4RmIyT3loWUZIQUJralJmcTQxc05YN090czZhYUkwT2Z5QndaN1NvWjE3Umo4MWxBRmx5VlpfWEx5UjlJd3BCNEVjZk55UWRneXQ2aWgzVFFjcFM0RVQxcDVBN2R4LWV0bVF0ajdYTWNGSUFZT3lVMy1OSmVQM1dKM3dYM0loRzYxRkF6RGJFMFF1RC1zcGhUY19lZ1FLck8wS0VvQkRmblhqUHhYNDNjbGIzazBNYjJrQWdGRzhocmdyeWRBLXlCR1N6VzZhOEFNNVpR?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - North Carolina Cash Grain Bids: medium severity, 80% confidence, published 2026-06-05T21:14:47.000Z. Category: Feed and inputs. Regions: north-america. Sectors: feed, crops, beef, dairy. Summary: USDA AMS published North Carolina Cash Grain Bids covering 2026-06-05 to 2026-06-05. Producer read: USDA AMS Market News published a feed, grain, or input item. Use it to reprice the next gain period and the feed coverage window. Producer action: Recalculate feed coverage, hay buying, and the value of extra weight before delaying sales. Source: USDA AMS Market News https://marsapi.ams.usda.gov/services/v1.1/public/listPublishedReports/10#report-3156. Source evidence links: ams-price-to-sale-window, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Direct Slaughter Cattle - Formulated Base Purchases - Afternoon: medium severity, 80% confidence, published 2026-06-05T20:44:03.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: USDA AMS published Direct Slaughter Cattle - Formulated Base Purchases - Afternoon covering 2026-06-05 to 2026-06-05. Producer read: USDA AMS Market News published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: USDA AMS Market News https://marsapi.ams.usda.gov/services/v1.1/public/listPublishedReports/10#report-3495. Source evidence links: ams-price-to-sale-window. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - National Weekly Cow and Boneless Beef Summary (LSWCBBS): medium severity, 80% confidence, published 2026-06-05T20:40:33.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: USDA AMS published National Weekly Cow and Boneless Beef Summary (LSWCBBS) covering 2026-06-05 to 2026-06-05. Producer read: USDA AMS Market News published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: USDA AMS Market News https://marsapi.ams.usda.gov/services/v1.1/public/listPublishedReports/10#report-2875. Source evidence links: ams-price-to-sale-window. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - National Daily Cow and Boneless Beef Summary (LSDCBBS): medium severity, 80% confidence, published 2026-06-05T20:40:02.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: USDA AMS published National Daily Cow and Boneless Beef Summary (LSDCBBS) covering 2026-06-05 to 2026-06-05. Producer read: USDA AMS Market News published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: USDA AMS Market News https://marsapi.ams.usda.gov/services/v1.1/public/listPublishedReports/10#report-2871. Source evidence links: ams-price-to-sale-window. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - National Daily Cattle Beef Summary Report (LSDDCBS): medium severity, 80% confidence, published 2026-06-05T20:30:00.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: USDA AMS published National Daily Cattle Beef Summary Report (LSDDCBS) covering 2026-06-05 to 2026-06-05. Producer read: USDA AMS Market News published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: USDA AMS Market News https://marsapi.ams.usda.gov/services/v1.1/public/listPublishedReports/10#report-2870. Source evidence links: ams-price-to-sale-window. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - Beef Carcass Price Equivalent Index Value (NW_LS410): medium severity, 80% confidence, published 2026-06-05T20:24:08.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: USDA AMS published Beef Carcass Price Equivalent Index Value (NW_LS410) covering 2026-06-05 to 2026-06-05. Producer read: USDA AMS Market News published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: USDA AMS Market News https://marsapi.ams.usda.gov/services/v1.1/public/listPublishedReports/10#report-2825. Source evidence links: ams-price-to-sale-window. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - By-Product Drop Value (Steers) (Cattle) (NW_LS441 / 447): medium severity, 80% confidence, published 2026-06-05T20:17:30.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: USDA AMS published By-Product Drop Value (Steers) (Cattle) (NW_LS441 / 447) covering 2026-06-05 to 2026-06-05. Producer read: USDA AMS Market News published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: USDA AMS Market News https://marsapi.ams.usda.gov/services/v1.1/public/listPublishedReports/10#report-2829. Source evidence links: ams-price-to-sale-window. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - Wyoming Daily Grain Bids: medium severity, 80% confidence, published 2026-06-05T20:14:06.000Z. Category: Feed and inputs. Regions: north-america. Sectors: feed, crops, beef, dairy. Summary: USDA AMS published Wyoming Daily Grain Bids covering 2026-06-05 to 2026-06-05. Producer read: USDA AMS Market News published a feed, grain, or input item. Use it to reprice the next gain period and the feed coverage window. Producer action: Recalculate feed coverage, hay buying, and the value of extra weight before delaying sales. Source: USDA AMS Market News https://marsapi.ams.usda.gov/services/v1.1/public/listPublishedReports/10#report-3239. Source evidence links: ams-price-to-sale-window, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - UK govt warned about lack of access to veterinary medicines in NI: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-05T16:30:00.000Z. Category: Animal health. Regions: europe. Sectors: animal-health, beef, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because it can affect livestock movement, buyer access, and biosecurity: UK govt warned about lack of access to veterinary medicines in NI Producer read: Agriland published an animal-health item. Treat it as a movement, buyer-access, and biosecurity signal before it becomes a price headline. Producer action: Check movement, replacement purchases, and export-linked commitments before assuming normal buyer access. Source: Agriland https://www.agriland.ie/farming-news/uk-govt-warned-about-lack-of-access-to-veterinary-medicines-in-ni/. Source evidence links: agriland-rss-category-causal-edge, wahis-disease-to-movement. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: disease-alert. - Mart report: Strong calf trade in Thurles as season draws towards close - Agriland: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-05T15:15:00.000Z. Category: Trade and policy. Regions: europe. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because trade, border, or market-access changes can move local cattle, dairy, feed, and crop bids: Mart report: Strong calf trade in Thurles as season draws towards close - Agriland Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a trade or policy item. Read it against export eligibility, processor bids, input imports, and destination concentration. Producer action: Price cattle, milk, feed, and crops with destination exposure before committing volume. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirAFBVV95cUxOdHFBaTVZUExqa1hsa0lPajFVMGpKZnJTTmY5SzU5LXkxTFB0cWVIT0dLT3pGZXNIM3piaVhjSXpMOGl3dHloMHBVcWV6cEgyd21HMk9ibllQYzlXZ3VSLTFCN3cxMTZEdHZkcjJaYjR2OXVpWHBvZG5kTkt2ek5WQ3E3elkwTVZmTF9mWGhybmJVSWJmMjd2VU01aGljSXp2OXFZNWpGY2FwLWJP?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, fas-trade-to-basis, gain-policy-to-market-access. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Mart report: Strong calf trade in Thurles as season draws towards close: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-05T15:15:00.000Z. Category: Trade and policy. Regions: europe. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because trade, border, or market-access changes can move local cattle, dairy, feed, and crop bids: Mart report: Strong calf trade in Thurles as season draws towards close Producer read: Agriland published a trade or policy item. Read it against export eligibility, processor bids, input imports, and destination concentration. Producer action: Price cattle, milk, feed, and crops with destination exposure before committing volume. Source: Agriland https://www.agriland.ie/farming-news/mart-report-strong-calf-trade-in-thurles-as-season-draws-towards-close/. Source evidence links: agriland-rss-category-causal-edge, fas-trade-to-basis, gain-policy-to-market-access. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - How Nestlé is Battling to Cut Emissions from Dairy Suppliers - Energy Digital: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-05T12:03:27.000Z. Category: Dairy margin. Regions: europe. Sectors: dairy. Summary: Public item selected because dairy margin signals can change ration decisions, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply: How Nestlé is Battling to Cut Emissions from Dairy Suppliers - Energy Digital Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a dairy signal. Watch feed cost, milk margin, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply together. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement appetite before monthly milk checks settle. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijAFBVV95cUxNWUtyMm9ibEdaWEV3TnJxQ3BrOFRoeUlHLTNyWmZnaC1XX0REUWtEQnR4djVVYzNlX00xdHZCSzJHMER4akxRMUxnUF9mWU5aUlFQTmFQblZ5ZXRUMk1HaEkxLXdZSnU5UjJ0QzhuU1ZoQ2hXZE9oeUVRNmVNMlpuaHpBYm80TmhhR3BMNA?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - FAO Food Price Index broadly stable in May even as cereal quotations increase: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-05T12:00:00.000Z. Category: Feed and inputs. Regions: north-america, latin-america, oceania, europe, africa-asia. Sectors: feed, crops, beef, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because feed, grain, fertilizer, fuel, or food-price pressure can change cattle and dairy margins: FAO Food Price Index broadly stable in May even as cereal quotations increase Producer read: FAO Newsroom published a feed, grain, or input item. Use it to reprice the next gain period and the feed coverage window. Producer action: Recalculate feed coverage, hay buying, and the value of extra weight before delaying sales. Source: FAO Newsroom https://www.fao.org/newsroom/detail/fao-food-price-index-broadly-stable-in-may-even-as-cereal-quotations-increase/en. Source evidence links: feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Does calm cattle handling pay off in the feedlot? - Canadian Cattlemen: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-05T11:46:55.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because livestock supply or meat availability can change sale timing and buyer leverage: Does calm cattle handling pay off in the feedlot? - Canadian Cattlemen Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijwFBVV95cUxQLTY5WDJaUUJXSmZfZjVyekVFZmFJN1JVTW1JeHd4aVBtNjVfRGZqYWtkY2VJYVc5b2ZpaFBza3JqV29pQTlNMU1WbDJsOF9IY0w4TEtwZzJ2TDUzUUV0MVRyZWZicDhta0hlUWpVRkNMNUJSdHZaOThMZVp1OE11aExKMWtTMS05aHZUamJqOA?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - World: FAO Food Price Index broadly stable in May even as cereal quotations increase: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-05T11:36:35.000Z. Category: Conflict and logistics. Regions: north-america, latin-america, europe, africa-asia. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. Summary: Public item selected because war, sanctions, ports, canals, or shipping routes can change delivered feed, fertilizer, fuel, freight, and buyer access: World: FAO Food Price Index broadly stable in May even as cereal quotations increase Producer read: ReliefWeb agriculture and disaster reports published a war, sanctions, or shipping-route item. Read it as a delivered feed, fertilizer, fuel, freight, and buyer-access signal. Producer action: Check delivered feed, fertilizer, fuel, freight, and route exposure before holding cattle longer or locking crop-input purchases. Source: ReliefWeb agriculture and disaster reports https://reliefweb.int/report/world/fao-food-price-index-broadly-stable-may-even-cereal-quotations-increase. Source evidence links: reliefweb-agriculture-category-causal-edge, gdelt-news-to-market-event-risk, eia-diesel-to-freight-feed-cost, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: geopolitical-shock-to-feed-freight, logistics-to-local-basis. Scenarios: geopolitical-shipping-shock, port-freight-shock, feed-cost-spike. - Los futuros del ganado caen tras caso confirmado de gusano barrenador en Texas - Ganaderia.com: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-05T11:05:11.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because livestock supply or meat availability can change sale timing and buyer leverage: Los futuros del ganado caen tras caso confirmado de gusano barrenador en Texas - Ganaderia.com Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiswFBVV95cUxNTl9ReTUyLXpMb0NPV3lzd2cwdWQwMFhmemdILXM1cXIxbUljXzZVYkQ3NTdOMTVucENxT0ZUeGRLMFpsa3JvejZNbF9Ka1FtNkVUb0Y0RnduclRjdUNIZHpiN3czZTEyM0UxRFozRERmSUpSbUZISDBXLVU3RlM3SGl1akxlWkd0TVd6X3NXRmduclI0SVY5WDJHaXZCQ1JXU3J1cGl5MUdBeUNwYWJKUmUtbw?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - Fall in beef prices 'defies all logic' in wake of output decline - ICSA - Agriland: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-05T11:00:00.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: europe. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because livestock supply or meat availability can change sale timing and buyer leverage: Fall in beef prices 'defies all logic' in wake of output decline - ICSA - Agriland Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqAFBVV95cUxNd1BVLUxLa0owZmQtUEtWclBZUUJRLXN5YWd1RVdwcGxKQ1A1V3NaNTFRZHpmMnFTQm1ydDNaVjY5VzZkbzVCYlVXcHo1Y1Y1dE1QSDVUT2ZmM3QxcktNUEQxclBlWXJidWJ2M3hvOW9kRG8xUEtRaEluaGZiTU9ZYTNwbmtibGxDNk9zSmFZeGNfZDJqaEtsWUl4YnlOS3FsWGRkd0JMMk8?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - CSO: Domestic milk intake down 37m litres in April: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-05T11:00:00.000Z. Category: Dairy margin. Regions: europe. Sectors: dairy. Summary: Public item selected because dairy margin signals can change ration decisions, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply: CSO: Domestic milk intake down 37m litres in April Producer read: Agriland published a dairy signal. Watch feed cost, milk margin, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply together. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement appetite before monthly milk checks settle. Source: Agriland https://www.agriland.ie/farming-news/cso-domestic-milk-intake-down-37m-litres-in-april/. Source evidence links: agriland-rss-category-causal-edge, gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - World Environment Day 2026: Mother Dairy launches degradable milk pouch in India - Packaging Insights: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-05T10:12:40.000Z. Category: Dairy margin. Regions: africa-asia. Sectors: dairy. Summary: Public item selected because dairy margin signals can change ration decisions, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply: World Environment Day 2026: Mother Dairy launches degradable milk pouch in India - Packaging Insights Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a dairy signal. Watch feed cost, milk margin, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply together. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement appetite before monthly milk checks settle. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMihAFBVV95cUxOQWhlUVZCZnB3Rm1LQXF4Q0hFYV8xVWJDdkdIN2R3MkdmT2ZxakJfNUk2LXkxVGZqSUEzbVhwNWxPOWljY1Y4MWY5bkdQRHZMMkZRM2xQT1ZWYzFqdDhwV2ZZc0xRQk5jWFBiQWlzbHZsSEQxY2tIek90ZHZxLVBaRTNZejk?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - Adjusting for higher costs in 2026: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-05T06:50:00.000Z. Category: Feed and inputs. Regions: north-america. Sectors: feed, crops, beef, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because feed, grain, fertilizer, fuel, or food-price pressure can change cattle and dairy margins: Adjusting for higher costs in 2026 Producer read: Farm Progress published a feed, grain, or input item. Use it to reprice the next gain period and the feed coverage window. Producer action: Recalculate feed coverage, hay buying, and the value of extra weight before delaying sales. Source: Farm Progress https://www.farmprogress.com/management/adjusting-for-higher-costs-in-2026. Source evidence links: farmprogress-rss-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - All saleyard indicators rise sharply after handy rain: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-05T06:30:34.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: oceania. Sectors: beef. Summary: Australian cattle prices rebounded sharply in May after trending lower since mid-March. Producer read: Beef Central published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: Beef Central https://www.beefcentral.com/markets/all-saleyard-indicators-rise-sharply-after-handy-rain/. Source evidence links: beefcentral-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - Dubbo sale 4 June 2026: Offering lifts to 2700 on surging prices: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-05T05:45:23.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: oceania. Sectors: beef. Summary: The recent cattle price surge saw Dubbo's offering lift by 1200 yesterday, reaching 2717 head. The market was stronger on weaners and young cattle while cows were firm Producer read: Beef Central published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: Beef Central https://www.beefcentral.com/markets/dubbo-sale-4-june-2026/. Source evidence links: beefcentral-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - CUAltos impulsa eficiencia en lechería con producción local de alimento para ganado - El Economista: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-05T03:10:39.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because livestock supply or meat availability can change sale timing and buyer leverage: CUAltos impulsa eficiencia en lechería con producción local de alimento para ganado - El Economista Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.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?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - UK milk production growth slows as milk prices decline - DCA Market Intelligence: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-05T01:24:01.000Z. Category: Dairy margin. Regions: europe. Sectors: dairy. Summary: Public item selected because dairy margin signals can change ration decisions, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply: UK milk production growth slows as milk prices decline - DCA Market Intelligence Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a dairy signal. Watch feed cost, milk margin, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply together. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement appetite before monthly milk checks settle. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipwFBVV95cUxPc3lvTFdjUVNwY043UGtNWVN6X29OV1FtRFNoWmRfQ3VfTkJWaEtWR0t1UVdWUlhDY2lLZWxWbThmUTB5MDEyalRKbkNmUU0wa3g0NklZWTZ2ZzdZeFg4RmhpOXltUHgwVnZHYXYzQUtTSTJKb3Q5YUdwMzV4V0VmRFdEbkcwcnBsRjVvSy1McUF1T29BU0JsR3ZBQ0Jsa25oOGFXcmEwNA?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - GIEWS Country Brief: Gabon: 04-June-2026: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-04T23:45:23.000Z. Category: Weather and forage. Regions: africa-asia. Sectors: feed, crops, beef, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because weather or forage conditions can change pasture days, water checks, and sale pressure: GIEWS Country Brief: Gabon: 04-June-2026 Producer read: ReliefWeb agriculture and disaster reports published a weather or forage signal. Confirm it against local water, hay, and pasture days before stocking changes. Producer action: Convert the signal into forage days, water checks, and a sale-or-hold threshold. Source: ReliefWeb agriculture and disaster reports https://reliefweb.int/report/gabon/giews-country-brief-gabon-04-june-2026. Source evidence links: reliefweb-agriculture-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, crop-yield-shock. - Sharp rebound for May cattle prices - Meat & Livestock Australia: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-04T23:41:31.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: oceania. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because livestock supply or meat availability can change sale timing and buyer leverage: Sharp rebound for May cattle prices - Meat & Livestock Australia Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikwFBVV95cUxNbkJWWnVYMHhsWVh4VkVWTkNIcWJMTEtWMTBXeHdwVTZqM2FsZElIazR3OVhMTmlJUXRjM3d2R3gtYTVPVjJiWHROVVJDUndjcXlhNG9wMnY3UTcxT2FBQWhXenJseDV0Umt4M0hmSGNlaUhwNi13YkR5WTUwbDl2c1Z1ZFVsek9Hci13bGN2dFVwazg?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - CNOG propone reabrir la frontera de EE. UU. al comercio de ganado tras primer caso de gusano barrenador en Texas - Ganaderia.com: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-04T23:06:37.000Z. Category: Trade and policy. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because trade, border, or market-access changes can move local cattle, dairy, feed, and crop bids: CNOG propone reabrir la frontera de EE. UU. al comercio de ganado tras primer caso de gusano barrenador en Texas - Ganaderia.com Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a trade or policy item. Read it against export eligibility, processor bids, input imports, and destination concentration. Producer action: Price cattle, milk, feed, and crops with destination exposure before committing volume. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi3gFBVV95cUxNbno4dDJKSkVUQ3pOMXh1V193bEM3WFVoVWt6ZTRoZUhzRmFHNzR3OUtGMElqeVpRb1g2WHp0b2NRTzRWOHktMzJEel9lWW91UlF3U3AzWVJIYV9IZEQ2VUN6YlMzV1EtNUdycUR0QlF3Y1hGalFCLUNJdzZsbzJMcEhwZm9MemZ6UDJnWTBEMlMzLWM5VXhteUNIbzBUV3JnZXd3YUh5djJfZlN3U1BwQnZucUY1cXN3N3BiWDdScFMyeTh5aHI1WDcxWjBpT0MzZXR6QUVrM29famJNSHc?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, fas-trade-to-basis, gain-policy-to-market-access. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Brasil e Guatemala fortalecem parceria agropecuária ao celebrarem 50 anos de cooperação: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-04T22:12:00.000Z. Category: Animal health. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: animal-health, beef, dairy. Summary: Assinatura de Memorando de Entendimento amplia a atuação conjunta em áreas estratégicas como pesquisa agropecuária, sanidade, bioinsumos, genética animal e comércio bilateral Producer read: Brazil MAPA published an animal-health item. Treat it as a movement, buyer-access, and biosecurity signal before it becomes a price headline. Producer action: Check movement, replacement purchases, and export-linked commitments before assuming normal buyer access. Source: Brazil MAPA https://www.gov.br/agricultura/pt-br/assuntos/noticias/2026/brasil-e-guatemala-fortalecem-parceria-agropecuaria-ao-celebrarem-50-anos-de-cooperacao. Source evidence links: brazil-mapa-rss-category-causal-edge, wahis-disease-to-movement. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: disease-alert. - Caso de gusano barrenador en Texas eleva los precios del ganado en EU - LatinUS: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-04T21:41:00.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because livestock supply or meat availability can change sale timing and buyer leverage: Caso de gusano barrenador en Texas eleva los precios del ganado en EU - LatinUS Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.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?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - Cash dairy prices closed lower on Thursday - Brownfield Ag News: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-04T20:58:56.000Z. Category: Dairy margin. Regions: north-america. Sectors: dairy. Summary: Public item selected because dairy margin signals can change ration decisions, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply: Cash dairy prices closed lower on Thursday - Brownfield Ag News Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a dairy signal. Watch feed cost, milk margin, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply together. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement appetite before monthly milk checks settle. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMihwFBVV95cUxQMFRZd3NXUUx0SnJDX0FXSUljVFNHN3o0RjFZMEJNWU1HcC1QWHZTMmZzbE9McXd1bTJyaENoeGVTRFFkV1VBN3hpY0RmS2JJNTVndzIzNmwyb0p5dW4tMU5QX01vdm5faVBBdkFVWlZleEtGMEFSS2QwTW5GVkk1MXVlMjRmdUU?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - Economist warns Brazil tariff proposal could ripple through beef markets - Brownfield Ag News: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-04T20:53:32.000Z. Category: Trade and policy. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because trade, border, or market-access changes can move local cattle, dairy, feed, and crop bids: Economist warns Brazil tariff proposal could ripple through beef markets - Brownfield Ag News Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a trade or policy item. Read it against export eligibility, processor bids, input imports, and destination concentration. Producer action: Price cattle, milk, feed, and crops with destination exposure before committing volume. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisAFBVV95cUxNMWU4Zll0aC04MzBiMHJ3cjc1MU15LWZGc0x1QW9FdDEtWlZpTlg3OUxGVFpxWkxhanlUdmdaYVR6SDByUWs3STh4T3RBZjNvZVMwRU93cW9kNWtweWhsOGJKZkdqT1FFM1V1R0JIakY3LWRyQWl4WVdTT0FKRlZvdERRX1hROThHZGR0TXVQdk9rTFJRVTVkLXlUZEI3c3dPNlNLcGhzcGdRNVZSM1V0SA?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, fas-trade-to-basis, gain-policy-to-market-access. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Caso del gusano barrenador en EU sube los precios del ganado y pone alerta al sector - Forbes México: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-04T19:40:00.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: north-america, latin-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because livestock supply or meat availability can change sale timing and buyer leverage: Caso del gusano barrenador en EU sube los precios del ganado y pone alerta al sector - Forbes México Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqwFBVV95cUxQMEUxN0p3ZDd0VGt4VVhMSGx2dlY1YXNXZDJydG54MW9VOXc5YmFaM0g2YzlwVUlQSzRpbk9rWXRCTnRjZmZLYkh0UkZRckpBcnJ2WXFOVEQza3o5RzR6VXN1azVOZnRYU0k2NmY2Y2sxcGQzX0Y2ckd3SUxMV0hPQUFURmVfSm5yY01lQjlMMWdyZURJWDRVWTNtOFEzeG5kX3pmaGJlR0gzNEU?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - Mother Dairy hikes milk prices by ₹2 per litre - News On AIR: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-04T18:59:55.000Z. Category: Dairy margin. Regions: africa-asia. Sectors: dairy. Summary: Public item selected because dairy margin signals can change ration decisions, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply: Mother Dairy hikes milk prices by ₹2 per litre - News On AIR Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a dairy signal. Watch feed cost, milk margin, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply together. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement appetite before monthly milk checks settle. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMihwFBVV95cUxNVm9wWVpsYUx3elRxNUtSRlJMZFN6RGtjNk1JRlJWSDVtTjdxZ3V2ZUdpYjk5N3c4MEFYUkxtcE13X2FUYmNIRUZsYWhIWGpSaVd3VDFjNDViMXo4OVY1UG5UQWdIa2V4N2MzMUVHZWNqSWRIb0ZQb3VzaTlBV2N4RjVmVi0wVXM?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - EE.UU. confirma primer caso de gusano barrenador del ganado en casi una década - Yahoo Finanzas: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-04T16:42:26.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because livestock supply or meat availability can change sale timing and buyer leverage: EE.UU. confirma primer caso de gusano barrenador del ganado en casi una década - Yahoo Finanzas Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiiwFBVV95cUxPaGptZEM4Z2ZWTU5rZ0Zhb0VTd2tSVU9ES3VLd0Y0ZzFZMDlOQndIMllLT2tXNnRsdjlLcHZnZGppYmc1eFk0SmNCcnNoVXBvb1M1MTVkc2JwcEJ3clNQMkhObHA1X3VTelRia1dyMEhHang0NFFlM3ZNMnFtb01DbGhLT0lpd2ZoRThn?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - Preço do boi gordo sobe com demanda aquecida e exportações em alta - Globo Rural: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-04T09:50:34.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because livestock supply or meat availability can change sale timing and buyer leverage: Preço do boi gordo sobe com demanda aquecida e exportações em alta - Globo Rural Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.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?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - How flesh-eating screwworms in cattle could raise US beef prices - Reuters: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-04T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because livestock supply or meat availability can change sale timing and buyer leverage: How flesh-eating screwworms in cattle could raise US beef prices - Reuters Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMizgFBVV95cUxOZWtjWHk4Ync0eVV6cHNMVmdWbWJWM0l0aTlTMWsxTUhMZmtzYWZ1eXlLTDh5Qzg1Tm9qWWFJT0VrNTJnZUdBZTR0TGRkZ19EN05RT1ZqM2FvTHF6WmsyTV9pTDVMZFcwWjlEVGZCT2RVU25QM1BpUHZHUEM1T1NyY09LbGg4UlFBTnE1SHBsZ2g0Tk5LYTN5TzJZdGdkazNwZzdKWFNTZHJwMlFFQTBxQ2paN3doZHZBektPV2NjR1VZZVB5Mm9xN1pBME9JUQ?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - Podcast: Farm Fest observations | EPBC layers | What’s driving the cattle price surge: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-04T06:07:27.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: oceania. Sectors: beef. Summary: In this episode of The Week in Beef, the team head to Farm Fest, Jon Condon unpacks the current cattle market and we take a deep dive into the Federal Government's new environmental laws. Producer read: Beef Central published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: Beef Central https://www.beefcentral.com/news/the-week-in-beef-podcast/podcast-farm-fest-observations-epbc-layers-whats-driving-the-cattle-price-surge/. Source evidence links: beefcentral-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - Rising costs putting dairy farms 'under pressure' - BBC: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-04T05:10:25.000Z. Category: Dairy margin. Regions: europe. Sectors: dairy. Summary: Public item selected because dairy margin signals can change ration decisions, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply: Rising costs putting dairy farms 'under pressure' - BBC Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a dairy signal. Watch feed cost, milk margin, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply together. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement appetite before monthly milk checks settle. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiXEFVX3lxTFBJbG85ZjRMOWNkdVB0T0VaZllHVzlnNEdmNTJvUnZwNGRHdUhNWDZxYzdtcnBnbmotTTdlbkR5TmhiVHZBcnZqSkt4RjZIamRoYllCRDFRTDA5S3RR?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - Confirman primer caso de gusano barrenador en EU; fue hallado en ganado de Texas - La Jornada: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-04T03:06:00.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because livestock supply or meat availability can change sale timing and buyer leverage: Confirman primer caso de gusano barrenador en EU; fue hallado en ganado de Texas - La Jornada Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMizwFBVV95cUxQZnpvYzd1UXZLcEFCc1NMemZIa05OQnU1dWRTVlhCYm1uX0c0OVpaME5MR0xWLW1XMHh0bGtESW9Ya1BidXpic3ZQMWVFQ3VGN2RGbUJPZER5a0pDLVVKYV91TlYwU2p2cUJMeTVQdE5MTkRBbW1qeElDQWNGQkgzMmhWOWRVQW96SE95blFFbGRPRzBGQTZRRjVQZE5fQWFTNVRKWGlQWTl3Y0FrWXc0QXAxbC01T2JhRXpsZXFWSVc3dUJCb0U4RmhuQjEyVzA?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - Mart report: Cattle buyer caution evident at Tuam mart bank holiday sale - Agriland: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-03T17:30:00.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: europe. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because livestock supply or meat availability can change sale timing and buyer leverage: Mart report: Cattle buyer caution evident at Tuam mart bank holiday sale - Agriland Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirgFBVV95cUxNNTRsS0tIdk9ZcWF6VVV4eTMtbGM4MnBRa1h1ekx4Vjd2NW1DbGJ0dTlHS0VSZkVuUTREUFphNFlkSGxEWl9sS21wR1dyNktSR1l6WjdhN0lzUkszMTV1aDIwUkpScWdpY1pWdFliZVF5V0JQNlV4SlBoclk4Z05ENHNlcGhaZzFHWUFqM2NyV1NrUjUtN3VkMUdLZ21aZTRKR205YUZEVVVyWWJUaVE?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - Beneficia municipio a mil 150 productores con entrega de alimento subsidiado para ganado - El Sol de México: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-03T17:00:35.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because livestock supply or meat availability can change sale timing and buyer leverage: Beneficia municipio a mil 150 productores con entrega de alimento subsidiado para ganado - El Sol de México Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi2wFBVV95cUxOcnBIYzYyX0NYMHB1WmU0cllJc2xDWHdacUJiVGx0d201UmI1aEdJNHlFSDJVQU8zcjFMTmVBanlLUWpwY1lfQ1lJbExCUlhGbTFDRGR3QXFyZ0U5UmJERC03VEY5YWtqMWpnM3NrNVhrbzFWRDR5bHVBYlpLREROeUtJejI3UkdTVF9HQTBFaTFNS3RoMFladU1aV0lhZmp5U3Q1M0NPSUk4VV9JYkdPbWo5TGIxM1dQVkF6dlhLYS1uRXFiaEJwTFBld3g4VV9UX3ZpQmIzalpaVVk?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - OPINION: Current beef prices – a tale of two halves - Farmers Guardian: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-03T14:53:44.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: europe. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because livestock supply or meat availability can change sale timing and buyer leverage: OPINION: Current beef prices – a tale of two halves - Farmers Guardian Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijAFBVV95cUxPd2V5YzJYNXNXaWRidWRKZHlHd21DLUFuV2g3cE5paW5USjVlOG4xbXc5NUVhVlZyZXY2Xzc0c00wVW5RaU1tSjZoQkUyUjdVTTYtR05LZHB5TEZuMGhtMUtDVTNkTjhHT0Nha1FLS0trbDFPQkwwUDdkZDk0NkdxcWZMMFVGRTY2ekZMQg?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - James Talarico says rising beef prices hurt Texas’ bottom line - Houston Public Media: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-03T13:37:05.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because livestock supply or meat availability can change sale timing and buyer leverage: James Talarico says rising beef prices hurt Texas’ bottom line - Houston Public Media Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.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?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - India hosts BRICS dialogue on development of livestock farming and feed technologies - TV BRICS: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-03T13:01:52.000Z. Category: Feed and inputs. Regions: africa-asia. Sectors: beef, feed. Summary: Public item selected because feed, grain, fertilizer, fuel, or food-price pressure can change cattle and dairy margins: India hosts BRICS dialogue on development of livestock farming and feed technologies - TV BRICS Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a feed, grain, or input item. Use it to reprice the next gain period and the feed coverage window. Producer action: Recalculate feed coverage, hay buying, and the value of extra weight before delaying sales. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiswFBVV95cUxNb1kyVGdJVDNnSmVuRXNVcE9rRWNBb3h5OHRVSGNNVGFfRkNlNzlpdmdEbW5oWnZiMHpleWFxbHJoSFZEcUxUenJBQy02a3Zyd2VxUzg2MEFZWnFCUVFjYUxRSWFaZl9YQTl3OVpJWFU1U1hZdG9GZkpCOVBuU2lvTTRoZXBVdHI5bzhBTjdab29NZnJmVEVyR2FNNkdHOWhuT0swQklhbThkMGpiYnVtbWJwRQ?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Increase in Retail Sales Must Lift Beef Prices – IFA - Irish Farmers' Association: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-03T12:30:28.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: europe. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because livestock supply or meat availability can change sale timing and buyer leverage: Increase in Retail Sales Must Lift Beef Prices – IFA - Irish Farmers' Association Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiiwFBVV95cUxNSGdGaUtQSUoyQjlPVU9USlRqZDBEVm4wN0Ewc3RiSDcyaHo5Vi1WME9Xc2tWQlc0VkI3Tk42ZU53QnJBYkVZZXpSMEZ1ZWV2cDVRd0NxMzBEUHJmRDVqZ1poWjUxYjdneXdNaWoxV0NSeU8zUWViWXJRZFhiNGhXb21DRjdKUFU5alpJ?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - Exportações de carne bovina da Austrália para a China praticamente param após ameaça de tarifa de 55%: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-03T11:43:52.000Z. Category: Trade and policy. Regions: oceania, africa-asia. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because trade, border, or market-access changes can move local cattle, dairy, feed, and crop bids: Exportações de carne bovina da Austrália para a China praticamente param após ameaça de tarifa de 55% Producer read: BeefPoint published a trade or policy item. Read it against export eligibility, processor bids, input imports, and destination concentration. Producer action: Price cattle, milk, feed, and crops with destination exposure before committing volume. Source: BeefPoint https://beefpoint.com.br/exportacoes-de-carne-bovina-da-australia-para-a-china-praticamente-param-apos-ameaca-de-tarifa-de-55/. Source evidence links: beefpoint-rss-category-causal-edge, fas-trade-to-basis, gain-policy-to-market-access. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Confinamento deve atingir recorde de 9,7 milhões de bovinos em 2026 com salto de até 23% na rentabilidade: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-03T11:38:30.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because livestock supply or meat availability can change sale timing and buyer leverage: Confinamento deve atingir recorde de 9,7 milhões de bovinos em 2026 com salto de até 23% na rentabilidade Producer read: BeefPoint published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: BeefPoint https://beefpoint.com.br/confinamento-deve-atingir-recorde-de-97-milhoes-de-bovinos-em-2026-com-salto-de-ate-23-na-rentabilidade/. Source evidence links: beefpoint-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - MBRF e JBS esperam impulsionar venda de carnes para churrasco durante a Copa: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-03T11:35:28.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because livestock supply or meat availability can change sale timing and buyer leverage: MBRF e JBS esperam impulsionar venda de carnes para churrasco durante a Copa Producer read: BeefPoint published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: BeefPoint https://beefpoint.com.br/mbrf-e-jbs-esperam-impulsionar-venda-de-carnes-para-churrasco-durante-a-copa/. Source evidence links: beefpoint-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - Setor de carne bovina tem ‘alívio momentâneo’ com isenção de nova tarifa dos EUA: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-03T11:32:30.000Z. Category: Trade and policy. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because trade, border, or market-access changes can move local cattle, dairy, feed, and crop bids: Setor de carne bovina tem ‘alívio momentâneo’ com isenção de nova tarifa dos EUA Producer read: BeefPoint published a trade or policy item. Read it against export eligibility, processor bids, input imports, and destination concentration. Producer action: Price cattle, milk, feed, and crops with destination exposure before committing volume. Source: BeefPoint https://beefpoint.com.br/setor-de-carne-bovina-tem-alivio-momentaneo-com-isencao-de-nova-tarifa-dos-eua/. Source evidence links: beefpoint-rss-category-causal-edge, fas-trade-to-basis, gain-policy-to-market-access. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Bloqueio da Europa à carne brasileira ‘parece defesa de mercado’, diz ministro: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-03T11:30:40.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because livestock supply or meat availability can change sale timing and buyer leverage: Bloqueio da Europa à carne brasileira ‘parece defesa de mercado’, diz ministro Producer read: BeefPoint published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: BeefPoint https://beefpoint.com.br/bloqueio-da-europa-a-carne-brasileira-parece-defesa-de-mercado-diz-ministro/. Source evidence links: beefpoint-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - Indicador do Boi DATAGRO – Boletim de 02-junho-2026: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-03T11:29:13.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because livestock supply or meat availability can change sale timing and buyer leverage: Indicador do Boi DATAGRO – Boletim de 02-junho-2026 Producer read: BeefPoint published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: BeefPoint https://beefpoint.com.br/indicador-do-boi-datagro-boletim-de-02-junho-2026/. Source evidence links: beefpoint-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - Farm decides to slaughter 271 cattle after inspection found rule breach - BBC: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-03T10:45:48.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: europe. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because livestock supply or meat availability can change sale timing and buyer leverage: Farm decides to slaughter 271 cattle after inspection found rule breach - BBC Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiXEFVX3lxTFBoOFFIclRjUlVYdHNKV0hKLTl5WC0zQXdUUFFPT242bnpvSUhMZ2w3RmJzdDdOZ3Z1ckZEYlpodEx5T3hYQ2NKU2FtV0UyeElkYktHTGdVT1g5LVVC?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - Milk Price Tracker: Average base price surpasses 37c/L - Agriland: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-03T09:00:00.000Z. Category: Dairy margin. Regions: europe. Sectors: dairy. Summary: Public item selected because dairy margin signals can change ration decisions, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply: Milk Price Tracker: Average base price surpasses 37c/L - Agriland Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a dairy signal. Watch feed cost, milk margin, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply together. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement appetite before monthly milk checks settle. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilgFBVV95cUxPWVpzbjlnX1A3c0E4aFpfTzBSbnNHUkdHYjNRS2F5VllXdEU2SnhQaFZXRWtiQnVURjUwd1RGOG80Y0lTdmRHWnZmaUZPa2JBeG1IZHF3QnJ1LXdhekx0MTk2UXI0OUgycFpBZXdLeUZIOVBfWUxQSkNIUnktQV8yR0hnNkJfQmYtMFRURjhhcXhtYndBVGc?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - May beef exports soar to all-time record volume above 152,000t: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-03T06:16:04.000Z. Category: Trade and policy. Regions: oceania. Sectors: beef. Summary: Australia’s beef exports surged to their highest monthly level on record in May, driven by high levels of production, export quota/tariff pressures adding urgency in some markets, and underlying global protein demand. Producer read: Beef Central published a trade or policy item. Read it against export eligibility, processor bids, input imports, and destination concentration. Producer action: Price cattle, milk, feed, and crops with destination exposure before committing volume. Source: Beef Central https://www.beefcentral.com/trade/may-beef-exports-soar-to-all-time-record-volume-above-152000t/. Source evidence links: beefcentral-rss-category-causal-edge, fas-trade-to-basis, gain-policy-to-market-access. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Roma sale 2 June 2026: Numbers hold firm at 8300 head: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-03T05:33:22.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: oceania. Sectors: beef, feed, crops. Summary: Quality remained good and most categories of restocker steers held firm to slightly easier however heavy feeders improved by 5c and grown steers to the processor remained firm. Producer read: Beef Central published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: Beef Central https://www.beefcentral.com/markets/roma-store-sale-2-june-2026/. Source evidence links: beefcentral-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - 'Mixed result': Dairy prices fall at start of season - NZ Herald: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-02T21:19:14.000Z. Category: Dairy margin. Regions: oceania. Sectors: dairy. Summary: Public item selected because dairy margin signals can change ration decisions, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply: 'Mixed result': Dairy prices fall at start of season - NZ Herald Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a dairy signal. Watch feed cost, milk margin, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply together. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement appetite before monthly milk checks settle. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi0gFBVV95cUxPY29lSW14LXg0R0FybXZsckxRR29FUklsOWt4Uy1wUURwZW03RHREZmtPbnhkbUFBM2VGaDJiV3B4ZTJYaVBaMkNnVzl0Z2M4T2pTeHdMVHV1N1JQUkNrU0pqY1dSOGNRNVZ6b2pvSVBVbnNUOUN6VEVOSjQ3SnFiM19VUXhIYTI5WjJrSmV6U3pGS01Kejk1dXFXZUk5UHY3M3lIemZJZEU5ekREbUM2QklkM2wzQTR3b3BkTHNPYnpZWThDWHdZYzg4aWlHU3d4X2c?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - Proactive herd management a must during drought - Beef Magazine: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-02T20:53:17.000Z. Category: Weather and forage. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because weather or forage conditions can change pasture days, water checks, and sale pressure: Proactive herd management a must during drought - Beef Magazine Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a weather or forage signal. Confirm it against local water, hay, and pasture days before stocking changes. Producer action: Convert the signal into forage days, water checks, and a sale-or-hold threshold. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMingFBVV95cUxPdTh2UmIycWVnX3pEMnNqQXpoVThaLWVKYU4tU1Mxa1o2V0hLVmlpTFhOalRHdU4tQzhkbXo2UEFzUEtoYnNuUXNYc19nbTczeG1EYmFoVnFaQ3c5alhSNUtEQzVHSWJUMWhpbl9leTBPa2gyV2xMYjhQVVJuYThvbGdEOVBTWnVRSG85amcyZ1ExVW1YOXR3MG5tWDllQQ?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, crop-yield-shock. - Fall in dairy auction prices mars start of season - RNZ: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-02T20:33:58.000Z. Category: Dairy margin. Regions: oceania. Sectors: dairy. Summary: Public item selected because dairy margin signals can change ration decisions, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply: Fall in dairy auction prices mars start of season - RNZ Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a dairy signal. Watch feed cost, milk margin, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply together. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement appetite before monthly milk checks settle. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikAFBVV95cUxQOVNlRlBtUWxoQm9nN01qVUx2TGRPT1hKblAxYVl4dnZMSUZySFNlcDJfVC1FSGR2cW9uU200aUFyMHVVeTI4N3BCY193RVFodUhwMlpfcmlIbDJud2JPeFNGZ3Utbmg0ZXhaRG9xdDVmc1NZMFdacFc2SUdUYWlRd0o2YUlHcnBkZkZ0Mi1ubVc?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - Milk supply situation comfortable; no intention to hike retail prices: Mother Dairy chairman - The Hindu: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-02T12:48:55.000Z. Category: Dairy margin. Regions: africa-asia. Sectors: dairy. Summary: Public item selected because dairy margin signals can change ration decisions, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply: Milk supply situation comfortable; no intention to hike retail prices: Mother Dairy chairman - The Hindu Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a dairy signal. Watch feed cost, milk margin, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply together. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement appetite before monthly milk checks settle. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.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?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - Dairy Sector under Pressure as Milk Prices Collapse - Hungary Today: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-02T12:16:43.000Z. Category: Dairy margin. Regions: europe. Sectors: dairy. Summary: Public item selected because dairy margin signals can change ration decisions, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply: Dairy Sector under Pressure as Milk Prices Collapse - Hungary Today Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a dairy signal. Watch feed cost, milk margin, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply together. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement appetite before monthly milk checks settle. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiggFBVV95cUxNOXNfUk5DWGRQU3kwR2N5QUZ1REEwYTBqLXVzc1NGNUxsME5qNGVmWG84bTZsdVgxakZteVpwcWhaTFNnSk5Rbk1ZZGwzMnhOc195ODRiU2QtVXZGemNPZ0I3ZFNzSWVKaTNScThLeW1veHV0UVBuWFIydE9Mck9wR21R?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - GDT Event 405: dairy index -0.6%: medium severity, 86% confidence, published 2026-06-02T12:00:00.000Z. Category: Dairy margin. Regions: oceania, europe, latin-america, africa-asia. Sectors: dairy, beef, feed. Summary: Global Dairy Trade reported average published price of 4,021 USD/MT and 14,364 MT sold. Product read: AMF 6,668 USD/MT (+5.3%); Butter 5,734 USD/MT (+1.2%); Ched 4,621 USD/MT (+1.8%); SMP 3,457 USD/MT (-3.0%); WMP 3,706 USD/MT (-2.2%). Producer read: Global Dairy Trade published a dairy signal. Watch feed cost, milk margin, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply together. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement appetite before monthly milk checks settle. Source: Global Dairy Trade https://s3.amazonaws.com/www-production.globaldairytrade.info/results/a981b378-5bc7-4338-9249-96a4e9f2853a/event_summary.json. Source evidence links: gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - Milk supply situation comfortable, no intention to hike retail prices: Mother Dairy Chairman - Moneycontrol.com: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-02T11:52:20.000Z. Category: Dairy margin. Regions: africa-asia. Sectors: dairy. Summary: Public item selected because dairy margin signals can change ration decisions, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply: Milk supply situation comfortable, no intention to hike retail prices: Mother Dairy Chairman - Moneycontrol.com Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a dairy signal. Watch feed cost, milk margin, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply together. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement appetite before monthly milk checks settle. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.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?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - Drought lingers in South and West - Beef Magazine: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-02T10:44:15.000Z. Category: Weather and forage. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because weather or forage conditions can change pasture days, water checks, and sale pressure: Drought lingers in South and West - Beef Magazine Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a weather or forage signal. Confirm it against local water, hay, and pasture days before stocking changes. Producer action: Convert the signal into forage days, water checks, and a sale-or-hold threshold. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikAFBVV95cUxQYlRRLXNHZ0JnTkhwMDBGV0ZiRWZvVklnclN6Wmx4SG1MQTVfTGdIeFVncThBWmc1WEJEMDZHVmViYjBrc2lYdUNaT0lIb19saFBxMEZqTm1Nd0JzVjhtMGFTcmpvblVoUUpaWFVLcGJsZFlKYVF4RWItdmd2WlZXazJxNDlPNFJDSnliQWtQT28?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, crop-yield-shock. - Australian beef will soon be hit by 55% tariff in China, ministry says - South China Morning Post: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-02T10:30:05.000Z. Category: Trade and policy. Regions: africa-asia. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because trade, border, or market-access changes can move local cattle, dairy, feed, and crop bids: Australian beef will soon be hit by 55% tariff in China, ministry says - South China Morning Post Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a trade or policy item. Read it against export eligibility, processor bids, input imports, and destination concentration. Producer action: Price cattle, milk, feed, and crops with destination exposure before committing volume. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMivgFBVV95cUxQUUxWQ2RiaS1pWThCYXVFRUlrYm9tbktydlhIQTVLdkJsQVdPRmh2RktENWZxc2Rxb1pyTG5lMVRaOEpBbHROU2JFMlJOVzNwejRMOGYxcm1LeElrMWM2ZTFoZUNJZ1N2dU5ZQi1OSjdFZXM0QVpqeExzd0FyVkd4cEVtWDRKUzVwTEFyVllhTkFTMmkzMnBsWUtndkJiZFVISUFSZkNUUmx5aXZtVVZOVk1DaUtOS3pwei02SVV30gG-AUFVX3lxTE9YaWlIYnl5RVFaN0RzVFBNM3hoS2RyTlk4UnpnbE9jNktVMUJsQWdmZ1FjV0Jld1lTb0g2NkRtdWx2bzlDZkMwRGRMbFA5SXFRRTU2Mm9wYXVkVEpVa3k4MGhZNjVkbjItVENSbm9fdnM4YS1ING5ia0MwYlJyODdCTFFHR05IM0g1WEZZbklmWk9GOHNDMWJWZi1LTUd3Q3I0M1daZ0ltN1Y4bGNGQnpCWnJVNTU2dzVfVjNfREE?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, fas-trade-to-basis, gain-policy-to-market-access. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Davies: Back Welsh dairy farmers this World Milk Day - Tenby Observer: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-01T14:05:03.000Z. Category: Dairy margin. Regions: europe. Sectors: dairy. Summary: Public item selected because dairy margin signals can change ration decisions, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply: Davies: Back Welsh dairy farmers this World Milk Day - Tenby Observer Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a dairy signal. Watch feed cost, milk margin, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply together. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement appetite before monthly milk checks settle. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisAFBVV95cUxNSTBDSTFEekhGOGpPNVlqMXZKa3kyeTZKSE5ONWlyb3YzV1YtM2w4UVBSVHM4NEJNOHhPY09RZmJUZnpmdVljUUFVbHk2dHpORGVrNm1DbUJlQ3lEb1F2U2x6TDNQY0MtM01yWkxBS0lQY3dvMk9BMVVpRURBQ1hpbkN3RXpjZ0xESThER00xenNTbVZ3VlFPWGs5RzlGbExsOVZNeDVRaWZDendDUEUxVA?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - Drought Forces Ranchers into Tough Decisions as Cattle Sales Skyrocket - drovers.com: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-01T13:52:18.000Z. Category: Weather and forage. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because weather or forage conditions can change pasture days, water checks, and sale pressure: Drought Forces Ranchers into Tough Decisions as Cattle Sales Skyrocket - drovers.com Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a weather or forage signal. Confirm it against local water, hay, and pasture days before stocking changes. Producer action: Convert the signal into forage days, water checks, and a sale-or-hold threshold. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilgFBVV95cUxNb01pdVNPUTJFM0VrU2pKM3lhUzlwUkZMeHZFWlRFcGw5X1c4c3VDd01DLW10cXA2U0RkZEVVYThRN0d0VERrRDR5TVJCVXZmb0h1VTRqdGdpa3d1YU5NbUJxcE82eTh2emlyeDZreEd3WW1DZnk4MmlXSFlrdU4xWWdVREpsalU3dWR6VnQ5eFNzTUN0RHc?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, crop-yield-shock. - Farmgate milk prices hold steady for June and July - Farmers Weekly: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-01T13:17:47.000Z. Category: Dairy margin. Regions: europe. Sectors: dairy. Summary: Public item selected because dairy margin signals can change ration decisions, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply: Farmgate milk prices hold steady for June and July - Farmers Weekly Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a dairy signal. Watch feed cost, milk margin, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply together. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement appetite before monthly milk checks settle. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisgFBVV95cUxPcHJFdlVVb3h3bkUyLUljUHRfaFk3ZnJ4Y1h6bHY3ODRNRnhIcERvUS1NNUVzRG9aWmxTeFhVNkhxMGp0NWpvbnQtZkxTQW9kUzJJTjhMNHhZUzNQd0FWV2phWGt0aDFzZ24xNE44a2RXbHdtZUFCRmR6eXJtbmw0RFYzTXdsVmJPQ2ViQmF3bHRHd2k4aUtYcE5EQWFxM3phWUNIYWNOZjk3MThQRTYxUzJB?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - Crop Progress: Crop, pasture, and feed-condition progress: medium severity, 86% confidence, published 2026-06-01T12:00:00.000Z. Category: Feed and inputs. Regions: north-america. Sectors: feed, crops, beef, dairy. Summary: Latest Crop Progress report leads with Corn Planted - Selected States. The 18-state corn planting pace is 93%, up from 86% last week and near the 92% five-year average. Producer read: USDA NASS ESMIS published a feed, grain, or input item. Use it to reprice the next gain period and the feed coverage window. Producer action: Use crop condition and pasture progress to update feed coverage, hay buying, and sale-or-hold thresholds. Source: USDA NASS ESMIS https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/sites/default/release-files/795928/prog2226.txt. Source evidence links: nass-inventory-to-cycle, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin, feed-energy-to-breakeven. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs. Scenarios: crop-yield-shock, feed-cost-spike, drought-shock. - Wagga sale 1 June 2026: Restockers from north and south compete with locals: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-01T05:10:28.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: oceania. Sectors: beef. Summary: Robust competition once again drove prices upward, especially with restockers frequently outbidding feedlots for cattle under 400kg. Producer read: Beef Central published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: Beef Central https://www.beefcentral.com/markets/wagga-sale-1-june-2026/. Source evidence links: beefcentral-rss-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - Milma milk prices revised in Kerala from today; 83.75% of hike to go directly to dairy farmers - The New Indian Express: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-06-01T01:54:58.000Z. Category: Dairy margin. Regions: africa-asia. Sectors: dairy. Summary: Public item selected because dairy margin signals can change ration decisions, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply: Milma milk prices revised in Kerala from today; 83.75% of hike to go directly to dairy farmers - The New Indian Express Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a dairy signal. Watch feed cost, milk margin, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply together. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement appetite before monthly milk checks settle. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.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?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - Rise in 2026 suckler and dairy calf registrations to date this year - Agriland: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-31T05:00:00.000Z. Category: Dairy margin. Regions: europe. Sectors: beef, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because dairy margin signals can change ration decisions, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply: Rise in 2026 suckler and dairy calf registrations to date this year - Agriland Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a dairy signal. Watch feed cost, milk margin, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply together. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement appetite before monthly milk checks settle. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqAFBVV95cUxNYzRONkd3bTlQQnZfeEJTOUk4bS02TUlqejJvRmI2LXFqWnByaXVMdlVTcmtjeW1nSE5iRHJ6bFo3b1lKVkNpOUdobUh5LVNOX1ZkZDRDWWVEUVFtU2RNa0VmX0JOOFBqNnJMZk9UR0lhb1N2UW5QcG5tWGx2R0FBRUJGQnVXYm9YUmcwaDdmZkJ1VWNuYUd3bmpVY2lRM1l2cGtpVDFiQnc?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - Welsh farms hit by 'perfect storm' of costs and weak milk prices - FarmingUK: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-28T07:46:45.000Z. Category: Dairy margin. Regions: europe. Sectors: dairy. Summary: Public item selected because dairy margin signals can change ration decisions, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply: Welsh farms hit by 'perfect storm' of costs and weak milk prices - FarmingUK Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a dairy signal. Watch feed cost, milk margin, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply together. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement appetite before monthly milk checks settle. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipwFBVV95cUxOaHFNV1ZRaG9YMHJfTW1IcmdkcnJLUmMzR0xLUEN2Q05zc29Ibzg0aUx5REJHZlVOa0daSVVpTDNVYnhRNmhmX0hadjNjU3lQelNOMS04NEFaYmhvV1g4bk55Q2FxeFBlSGYtNW1MbXI5S2VsOXppMHJtNjE0VWc0TV9OZndVbnlQcTNaRTd6bFFNS2RLUV92LXdUQjliRGZ3SlFCdm5idw?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - Maine dairy farmers hope high fertilizer, diesel costs ease soon - Spectrum News: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-28T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Feed and inputs. Regions: north-america. Sectors: dairy, feed, crops, beef. Summary: Public item selected because feed, grain, fertilizer, fuel, or food-price pressure can change cattle and dairy margins: Maine dairy farmers hope high fertilizer, diesel costs ease soon - Spectrum News Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a feed, grain, or input item. Use it to reprice the next gain period and the feed coverage window. Producer action: Recalculate feed coverage, hay buying, and the value of extra weight before delaying sales. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiwAFBVV95cUxNZEZCdlhlYWdTdVMzNndnXzduNU9GZGhlQWR0TERSZnN5dWpIWFZEWnVIOGg1d29kZ3dvaTExSW41elRPRENGZmY0YWVSTFVTRzJQUkFyNDlubnFsUnNqUTRNQmtrUXNnczdSYzFMNWRsRmRjTzJDby1pRVlIUVBqMVZablNEejhRSnA2blBnMW1ERzllY0VyN2Z4aHVETGI2eDFlY2h0ZHdtdkdKLVV5SXk2LXNfWHJVUDl4NGhXbWE?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - USDA export sales: Beef: medium severity, 88% confidence, published 2026-05-28T00:00:00.000Z. Category: Trade and policy. Regions: north-america, latin-america, africa-asia. Sectors: beef. Summary: Net sales of 4,900 MT for 2026 were down 62 percent from the previous week and 48 percent from the prior 4-week average. Increases primarily for Japan (1,800 MT, including decreases of 300 MT), Mexico (1,100 MT, including decreases of 100 MT), South Korea (800 MT, including decreases of 400 MT), Taiwan (600 MT, including decreases of 400 MT), and Canada (400 MT), were offset by reductions for Hong Kong (200 MT), Vietnam (200 MT), and Indonesia (100 MT). Producer read: USDA FAS Export Sales Reporting published a trade or policy item. Read it against export eligibility, processor bids, input imports, and destination concentration. Producer action: Price cattle, milk, feed, and crops with destination exposure before committing volume. Source: USDA FAS Export Sales Reporting https://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrqs/StaticReports/WeeklyHighlightsReport.xml. Source evidence links: export-sales-to-buyer-pull, fas-trade-to-basis, gain-policy-to-market-access. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - USDA export sales: Corn: medium severity, 86% confidence, published 2026-05-28T00:00:00.000Z. Category: Feed and inputs. Regions: latin-america, europe. Sectors: feed, crops. Summary: Net sales of 883,300 MT for 2025/2026 were down 13 percent from the previous week and 32 percent from the prior 4-week average. Increases primarily for Japan (336,300 MT, including 114,200 MT switched from unknown destinations and decreases of 80,900 MT), Mexico (243,900 MT, including decreases of 32,500 MT), South Korea (193,900 MT, including 65,000 MT switched from unknown destinations and decreases of 100 MT), Colombia (77,700 MT, including 53,000 MT switched from unknown destinations), and Spain (57,800 MT, including 60,000 MT switched from unknown destinations and decreases of 2,200 MT), were offset by reduc Producer read: USDA FAS Export Sales Reporting published a feed, grain, or input item. Use it to reprice the next gain period and the feed coverage window. Producer action: Recalculate feed coverage, hay buying, and the value of extra weight before delaying sales. Source: USDA FAS Export Sales Reporting https://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrqs/StaticReports/WeeklyHighlightsReport.xml. Source evidence links: export-sales-to-buyer-pull, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - USDA export sales: Soybean Cake and Meal: medium severity, 86% confidence, published 2026-05-28T00:00:00.000Z. Category: Feed and inputs. Regions: north-america, latin-america, europe. Sectors: feed, crops. Summary: Net sales of 169,300 MT for 2025/2026 were down 44 percent from the previous week and 53 percent from the prior 4-week average. Increases primarily for Mexico (71,600 MT, including decreases of 100 MT), unknown destinations (40,500 MT), the Philippines (11,600 MT), Colombia (9,500 MT), and the United Kingdom (9,300 MT, including 9,500 MT switched from unknown destinations and decreases of 200 MT), were offset by reductions for Vietnam (2,700 MT), Panama (2,200 MT), Nepal (1,100 MT), Guatemala (700 MT), and Jamaica (100 MT). Producer read: USDA FAS Export Sales Reporting published a feed, grain, or input item. Use it to reprice the next gain period and the feed coverage window. Producer action: Recalculate feed coverage, hay buying, and the value of extra weight before delaying sales. Source: USDA FAS Export Sales Reporting https://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrqs/StaticReports/WeeklyHighlightsReport.xml. Source evidence links: export-sales-to-buyer-pull, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - USDA export sales: Hides and Skins: medium severity, 82% confidence, published 2026-05-28T00:00:00.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: latin-america, africa-asia. Sectors: beef. Summary: Net sales of 243,400 pieces for 2026 primarily for China (119,200 whole cattle hides, including decreases of 4,900 pieces), Mexico (54,800 whole cattle hides, including decreases of 6,500 pieces), Brazil (30,300 whole cattle hides), Italy (18,300 whole cattle hides), and South Korea (11,800 whole cattle hides, including decreases of 1,700 pieces), were offset by reductions for Taiwan (300 pieces). Exports of 288,000 whole cattle hides were primarily to China (202,000 pieces), Mexico (34,200 pieces), South Korea (21,500 pieces), Brazil (13,700 pieces), and Thailand (11,400 pieces). Producer read: USDA FAS Export Sales Reporting published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: USDA FAS Export Sales Reporting https://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrqs/StaticReports/WeeklyHighlightsReport.xml. Source evidence links: export-sales-to-buyer-pull. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - Drinagh tops 2025 and six-year milk price review - Irish Farmers Journal: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-27T21:06:38.000Z. Category: Dairy margin. Regions: europe. Sectors: dairy. Summary: Public item selected because dairy margin signals can change ration decisions, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply: Drinagh tops 2025 and six-year milk price review - Irish Farmers Journal Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a dairy signal. Watch feed cost, milk margin, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply together. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement appetite before monthly milk checks settle. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMinAFBVV95cUxQQW5wdmhLbDJhbjVHSjEway1OUG9jbGRKYllCYV9oS051WmI5d0JtbG9qQlZYc09ITk9PR2R4aThUSUpJUklyNDZSWWhSNmMtc1JzVnZSbWhkcUlZb2wxYzZleGc4bVplRnFhUEQ0elhMcmNDOFlqY2Ryc05pdUNTM01KUnZyYlZFYkEwV2pzLS0ydUJOMmJwb3Q0UWs?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - USDA Opens State-of-the-Art Livestock Insects Research Laboratory to Combat Livestock Pests: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-27T17:05:00.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef, crops. Summary: (Kerrville, TX, May 27, 2026) – The United States Department of Agriculture’s (USDA) Agricultural Research Service (ARS) opened the Knipling-Bushland U.S. Livestock Insects Research Laboratory, a state-of-the-art laboratory facility today that will provide the U.S. cattle industry with innovative tools and advanced technologies to manage and eliminate the invasive fly and tick pests that threaten the U.S. cattle industry. Producer read: USDA latest releases published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Tie inventory and placement changes to local basis, feed availability, and sale window math. Source: USDA latest releases https://www.usda.gov/about-usda/news/press-releases/2026/05/27/usda-opens-state-art-livestock-insects-research-laboratory-combat-livestock-pests. Source evidence links: usda-latest-releases-category-causal-edge. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - European livestock feed sector remains resilient despite volatility - foodagribusiness.world: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-27T12:09:38.000Z. Category: Feed and inputs. Regions: europe. Sectors: beef, feed. Summary: Public item selected because feed, grain, fertilizer, fuel, or food-price pressure can change cattle and dairy margins: European livestock feed sector remains resilient despite volatility - foodagribusiness.world Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a feed, grain, or input item. Use it to reprice the next gain period and the feed coverage window. Producer action: Recalculate feed coverage, hay buying, and the value of extra weight before delaying sales. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMivgFBVV95cUxPTVFpT3dEaTVDN0FOOE5hRmIxSnBDRDJVMndlNzZiNjNUb014UkJXOUQtRmtPR0V4OFBKVTNkT2duYnJrRjNKSElGWVdoYTVIZFYxczdtSG52MzItZk9aVko5UWdzeFRILWM1UFFVdUo1U3Bpck8wUHA4Tlc1aXphck02RjI0dERkdHFqUXhvdVpabk1DNlRzWkk0TWk2dmNMNGs1bEpncWVqc1BPYjBrVURGYjZ1Z0Q0amJuVUlR?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Australia’s Beef Farmers Expect New China Tariff Within Weeks - Bloomberg.com: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-27T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Trade and policy. Regions: oceania, africa-asia. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because trade, border, or market-access changes can move local cattle, dairy, feed, and crop bids: Australia’s Beef Farmers Expect New China Tariff Within Weeks - Bloomberg.com Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a trade or policy item. Read it against export eligibility, processor bids, input imports, and destination concentration. Producer action: Price cattle, milk, feed, and crops with destination exposure before committing volume. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisgFBVV95cUxQX3FUX2ZCUEFqeF82YnZLRW1hQlhZRFB5QVBRR25SR3dVOTU4VFRxeGJHVjZzMGQzTGM0dHVndTY2R1pfYnR2Skl5eHBQOE1rSkxsdE1wYWJTVGNhcVhzVU9lV1JkUENHdzhmNUNSQWVwajRZWkI2QTdIdGQ5SXExTHZnbHgybnY5RDVxUmV3a3hBczg4aDYyaVlCQ0FwQnBqTVU0UWFuam00TWVrWURBM3VR?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, fas-trade-to-basis, gain-policy-to-market-access. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - ‘We don’t set the price, we take it’: price squeeze leaves dairy farmers struggling to survive - TBIJ: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-26T10:30:00.000Z. Category: Dairy margin. Regions: europe. Sectors: dairy. Summary: Public item selected because dairy margin signals can change ration decisions, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply: ‘We don’t set the price, we take it’: price squeeze leaves dairy farmers struggling to survive - TBIJ Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a dairy signal. Watch feed cost, milk margin, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply together. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement appetite before monthly milk checks settle. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMivAFBVV95cUxOVXo4QVdSaG4tLXdYbTNTdE1la3l4ZUtTVUU2RE1GWFVQU2NwbVN5ZWVSV3Y2UFRGRENXc3RCZnREaWxxUXlfY0tiTmY1d1pFRFVkdldVRkFqSmIwS0szTzRNOW1GaHlaNVRfV3ZqQXhwcmZsSm1PRllsYnVSSzVXT2dZU3k4SjNhN1lxT2tQd1czLVk2VmM3RmxMOEotRWowbGxqV2pYdE1UUXEzWUY0dGU0NFdIaEtZT1dBeQ?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - Farmers' warning as milk prices fall below cost - BBC: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-26T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Dairy margin. Regions: europe. Sectors: dairy. Summary: Public item selected because dairy margin signals can change ration decisions, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply: Farmers' warning as milk prices fall below cost - BBC Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a dairy signal. Watch feed cost, milk margin, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply together. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement appetite before monthly milk checks settle. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiWkFVX3lxTE9XcVVVbm5EdE5GaFFoVGtUOEpqMVdRRnpWWk9SdzNGRWFoTi1DdTFvQnAyLVRnOHJ3bU5iRmhhLXh6RGVwdGxRVWRsSlVWYVpFbzdLTm9oeGRodw?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - Beyond the feedlot: The Indonesian households relying on Australia’s live cattle trade - Beef Central: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-26T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Trade and policy. Regions: oceania. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because trade, border, or market-access changes can move local cattle, dairy, feed, and crop bids: Beyond the feedlot: The Indonesian households relying on Australia’s live cattle trade - Beef Central Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a trade or policy item. Read it against export eligibility, processor bids, input imports, and destination concentration. Producer action: Price cattle, milk, feed, and crops with destination exposure before committing volume. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiwwFBVV95cUxQZ1hiWU04dDJ0ZjhfY1BHaVk1azZXZjNQN3JRX1p6TXppQUIySzFKZ2xIU2U1bS1QV3BzZFkwZWwzeVlzcm1KeFJzX29FTS1fRDBnZVpSdHRwMEd6VnJNTGp0QWc4YTNVSTlmOHMxVVM5RUdXTkw1MTNPTHU3d1F6MnRPS25lTVhxbWpMRjE1bm5YamtyVlF3Q0NvUkpOSlF1TGRDam9VejJZaTRGZHdEZkJpMTFtR0NoaW9peTRES0tKVEU?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, fas-trade-to-basis, gain-policy-to-market-access. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Beyond the feedlot: The Indonesian households relying on Australia’s live cattle trade: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-26T06:28:25.000Z. Category: Trade and policy. Regions: oceania, africa-asia. Sectors: beef. Summary: One feedlot in Indonesia, filled with Australian cattle, supports more than 12,000 Indonesian families. The large number of households the trade supports is often overlooked. Producer read: Beef Central published a trade or policy item. Read it against export eligibility, processor bids, input imports, and destination concentration. Producer action: Price cattle, milk, feed, and crops with destination exposure before committing volume. Source: Beef Central https://www.beefcentral.com/live-export/beyond-the-feedlot-the-indonesian-households-relying-on-australias-live-cattle-trade/. Source evidence links: beefcentral-rss-category-causal-edge, fas-trade-to-basis, gain-policy-to-market-access. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Now, Goa Dairy increases milk prices by Rs 2/L - The Times of India: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-25T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Dairy margin. Regions: africa-asia. Sectors: dairy. Summary: Public item selected because dairy margin signals can change ration decisions, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply: Now, Goa Dairy increases milk prices by Rs 2/L - The Times of India Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a dairy signal. Watch feed cost, milk margin, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply together. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement appetite before monthly milk checks settle. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.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?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - Beef tariff impacts dominate trade talks during Shanghai’s huge SIAL food trade show: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-25T06:05:31.000Z. Category: Trade and policy. Regions: africa-asia. Sectors: beef. Summary: Concerns about chilled and frozen beef business into China once key export nations fill their 2026 quotas was in clear evidence at the giant SIAL Food Trade show held in Shanghai last week. SIAL, which finished on Friday, is one of the world’s largest food exhibitions, and has become a gathering point for red meat exporters from across the world to engage with existing and new Chinese customers. Producer read: Beef Central published a trade or policy item. Read it against export eligibility, processor bids, input imports, and destination concentration. Producer action: Price cattle, milk, feed, and crops with destination exposure before committing volume. Source: Beef Central https://www.beefcentral.com/trade/beef-tariff-impacts-dominate-trade-talks-during-shanghais-huge-sial-food-trade-show/. Source evidence links: beefcentral-rss-category-causal-edge, fas-trade-to-basis, gain-policy-to-market-access. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Nebraska Extension hosts drought management webinar for beef producers - The Fence Post: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-22T18:35:54.000Z. Category: Weather and forage. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because weather or forage conditions can change pasture days, water checks, and sale pressure: Nebraska Extension hosts drought management webinar for beef producers - The Fence Post Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a weather or forage signal. Confirm it against local water, hay, and pasture days before stocking changes. Producer action: Convert the signal into forage days, water checks, and a sale-or-hold threshold. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqAFBVV95cUxPVkplSWNGWWxtTlJVVjBiak1TS1B0NWpjQnRWZThhTjNCMDdIT3MyY2V1UzR3Ql93SlhsREFVUVlQemVNZEtLd3JYWEhfajh6WlBCVkIzNjl6UmMtVVVPWGYxbWV2S3JwMDh2aWFBOEF0WkZpcmtGT3p1bWJxY2FueUZBZ20tMVQ2M21VYTNwUF85dTh4Q0p3T2pVajBRdE5wR1dpbHF5Nzg?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, crop-yield-shock. - Cattle on Feed: United States Cattle on Feed Up 2 Percent: medium severity, 86% confidence, published 2026-05-22T12:00:00.000Z. Category: Official report. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef, feed. Summary: Cattle and calves on feed for the slaughter market in the United States for feedlots with capacity of 1,000 or more head totaled 11.6 million head on May 1, 2026. The inventory was 2 percent above May 1, 2025. Producer read: USDA NASS ESMIS published an official report. Use it as a dated source fact and connect it to the regional decision surface. Producer action: Update feeder-cattle bids, retained ownership, and feed coverage before assuming the cash market is still balanced. Source: USDA NASS ESMIS https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/sites/default/release-files/795913/cofd0526.txt. Source evidence links: nass-inventory-to-cycle. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike. - Milk Production: April Milk Production up 2.8 Percent: medium severity, 86% confidence, published 2026-05-22T12:00:00.000Z. Category: Dairy margin. Regions: north-america. Sectors: dairy, beef, feed. Summary: Milk production in the 24 major States during April totaled 19.2 billion pounds, up 2.8 percent from April 2025. March revised production, at 19.7 billion pounds, was up 2.8 percent from March 2025. The March revision Producer read: USDA NASS ESMIS published a dairy signal. Watch feed cost, milk margin, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply together. Producer action: Connect milk output to ration cost, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply before waiting for monthly milk checks. Source: USDA NASS ESMIS https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/sites/default/release-files/795915/mkpr0526.txt. Source evidence links: nass-inventory-to-cycle, gdt-to-dairy-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - Peter Hynes: Milk price uncertain, costs climbing – and breeding choices to make - Irish Independent: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-22T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Dairy margin. Regions: europe. Sectors: dairy. Summary: Public item selected because dairy margin signals can change ration decisions, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply: Peter Hynes: Milk price uncertain, costs climbing – and breeding choices to make - Irish Independent Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a dairy signal. Watch feed cost, milk margin, cull timing, and dairy-beef supply together. Producer action: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement appetite before monthly milk checks settle. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMixwFBVV95cUxPLXA4VnNpQ3FzZ2R0UUdBM1ZPWjNKVmY1eWpMYVhJcHdQMTJhZmdGRXFFcGNZVE1tX0RPd21lQ21LcXJhU2sxWjNhTWhJbzFkWV9iV096TWxtRTdfV28wZXhlb0RjWE1YcXU0S210ek5aV1lvdVlST1RMb0o2eE5fdDFjLVFMTW15X0JXZlhSY3Y5T2tHQTFEM1BuUmR6OWphQkgwcWpHRm5mZ0FNWHFjSkxReFgyYXJFMHNaeFRxNkhJSHlaZHhz?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, gdt-to-dairy-cull, eu-milk-margin-cull. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze. - Consumers Keep Buying Beef Despite Record Prices as Drought Expands Across Cattle Country - RFD-TV: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-22T01:21:05.000Z. Category: Weather and forage. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because weather or forage conditions can change pasture days, water checks, and sale pressure: Consumers Keep Buying Beef Despite Record Prices as Drought Expands Across Cattle Country - RFD-TV Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a weather or forage signal. Confirm it against local water, hay, and pasture days before stocking changes. Producer action: Convert the signal into forage days, water checks, and a sale-or-hold threshold. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisAFBVV95cUxNNElrT3h1SHNiMUs2YnBMdWN3QjZxZVhTOFhBQVI5bnRWOUVJazhRQXlLSXRyZ2lncXFjaGVMdUF3LUludDkzbFRmX2NDVU8tRHNBOElGeDZoejQ1VTVnazBoTWgxbTZqRGtTUjI5aGZfN3ZOR1pNS3Nhb3V2ZDBpWlZTN0ladjVfWnE3M1lIZXNtQnZDd1dsR3lRNmNRQ3lhNnk0MVNic2dEU1dJdFh4Rg?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, crop-yield-shock. - Livestock Slaughter: Beef production and cattle slaughter update: medium severity, 86% confidence, published 2026-05-21T12:00:00.000Z. Category: Cattle supply. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Beef production, at 2.10 billion pounds, was 6 percent below the previous year. Cattle slaughter totaled 2.34 million head, down 9 percent from April 2025. The average live weight was up 36 pounds from the previous year, at 1,467 pounds. Producer read: USDA NASS ESMIS published a cattle or livestock supply signal. Compare it with local basis, forage, and feed before changing sale timing. Producer action: Compare slaughter flow with local bids before assuming packer demand is unchanged. Source: USDA NASS ESMIS https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/sites/default/release-files/795912/lstk0526.txt. Source evidence links: nass-inventory-to-cycle, ams-price-to-sale-window. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Q1 2026 dairy trade review: export volumes continued to grow - AHDB: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-21T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Trade and policy. Regions: europe. Sectors: dairy. Summary: Public item selected because trade, border, or market-access changes can move local cattle, dairy, feed, and crop bids: Q1 2026 dairy trade review: export volumes continued to grow - AHDB Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a trade or policy item. Read it against export eligibility, processor bids, input imports, and destination concentration. Producer action: Price cattle, milk, feed, and crops with destination exposure before committing volume. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMigwFBVV95cUxPakF6WnF3OHVfS0ZldURoX2t0WThEQ0hzdVJIVU5IQk9OSjVoZlJ5a3Bqa0Jaay1la1VQaVNSdldza25WdjQyTmlFa3l3b1B2MGJKUGNsNnNVXzJjLTlwNVFMN1JsVU9RUFY2S1ljVnpxS1FmdFVQWjJQUmtPV3pCcU1PNA?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, fas-trade-to-basis, gain-policy-to-market-access. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Feed supplies tighten for Nebraska producers as drought persists - Brownfield Ag News: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-20T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Weather and forage. Regions: north-america. Sectors: feed. Summary: Public item selected because weather or forage conditions can change pasture days, water checks, and sale pressure: Feed supplies tighten for Nebraska producers as drought persists - Brownfield Ag News Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a weather or forage signal. Confirm it against local water, hay, and pasture days before stocking changes. Producer action: Convert the signal into forage days, water checks, and a sale-or-hold threshold. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipgFBVV95cUxOejg5bXRBVFBrR0dGcTBHNGUtQksxdHE0VW5MQ1luUENHY0lTUUlPMTcwaUg2VVFVNi1mVVUxdlUzOVdCYS04T1U4Nm1Xcm85bF9NUEVYbnZELUNEVGhmYjBxd2w4MGZCbjJHRVZIU0NRNUdNblNCYkJRN3ViaDlnMGktSF9jcHMtWGV1WWNncC1IbzBnQ3FsMXdvbjVoV25KaTRHSThB?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, crop-yield-shock. - Cattle markets ticking along, but market access challenges cloud future - Beef Central: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-20T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Trade and policy. Regions: oceania. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because trade, border, or market-access changes can move local cattle, dairy, feed, and crop bids: Cattle markets ticking along, but market access challenges cloud future - Beef Central Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a trade or policy item. Read it against export eligibility, processor bids, input imports, and destination concentration. Producer action: Price cattle, milk, feed, and crops with destination exposure before committing volume. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipwFBVV95cUxOZ1p6RDMzY1JmVDFfakx2cUxPdVhXbnlhLXF3U21PWHBwd0E3VW8yb1lVRC1wQWExTWxWTjA2MjZLT2NUUmd5X2gwdkpPYTQ0My03X2R1UjdOVHpzajByQ1ZWRUc1UjFjX0lyM0d5ek1PWTNDQWRBUEdoUzhIYzlxbUMta25GNFNqZDJZZkF6ZngyTUJBV3BDd3VCbzUzWGxES2RMcHlaTQ?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, fas-trade-to-basis, gain-policy-to-market-access. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Larger Placements Likely in Friday's Cattle on Feed Report - DTN Progressive Farmer: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-20T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Feed and inputs. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef, feed. Summary: Public item selected because feed, grain, fertilizer, fuel, or food-price pressure can change cattle and dairy margins: Larger Placements Likely in Friday's Cattle on Feed Report - DTN Progressive Farmer Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a feed, grain, or input item. Use it to reprice the next gain period and the feed coverage window. Producer action: Recalculate feed coverage, hay buying, and the value of extra weight before delaying sales. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMingFBVV95cUxPMVpIeHBTNVVBdWlXakdYcXBsRXAzdUtMb2lmVEFOMVJPM2J1aHlBSVVJcnB5NFl6RUFwMmZBSVRIQmZUdmttX2c2WXBQdmtEcTNVV3AwWVQwVDR1SkJNYjhITWJVbXc5dFNHLUF4Yk8wMERteXRIbDhCLXlKZzgyRmpvR1lHZUNGZkVuY292eTNoNEstLWk5blBuazF6Zw?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Kerala milk cooperative giant Milma to raise prices by Rs 4 per litre from June 1, fuel and production co - The Times of India: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-20T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Feed and inputs. Regions: africa-asia. Sectors: dairy, feed, beef. Summary: Public item selected because feed, grain, fertilizer, fuel, or food-price pressure can change cattle and dairy margins: Kerala milk cooperative giant Milma to raise prices by Rs 4 per litre from June 1, fuel and production co - The Times of India Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a feed, grain, or input item. Use it to reprice the next gain period and the feed coverage window. Producer action: Recalculate feed coverage, hay buying, and the value of extra weight before delaying sales. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.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?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Indonesia Live Cattle Industry Taskforce to strengthen key market for Aussie producers: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-20T06:15:36.000Z. Category: Trade and policy. Regions: oceania, africa-asia. Sectors: beef. Summary: The Indonesia Live Cattle Industry Taskforce is a strategic advisory body designed to enhance collaboration, guide investment and strengthen outcomes in Australia’s most important live cattle export market. Producer read: Beef Central published a trade or policy item. Read it against export eligibility, processor bids, input imports, and destination concentration. Producer action: Price cattle, milk, feed, and crops with destination exposure before committing volume. Source: Beef Central https://www.beefcentral.com/live-export/indonesia-live-cattle-industry-taskforce-to-strengthen-key-market-for-aussie-producers/. Source evidence links: beefcentral-rss-category-causal-edge, fas-trade-to-basis, gain-policy-to-market-access. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - WFW advises Heytesbury on livestock export fleet and business acquisition - Watson Farley & Williams: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-19T14:12:32.000Z. Category: Trade and policy. Regions: europe. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because trade, border, or market-access changes can move local cattle, dairy, feed, and crop bids: WFW advises Heytesbury on livestock export fleet and business acquisition - Watson Farley & Williams Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a trade or policy item. Read it against export eligibility, processor bids, input imports, and destination concentration. Producer action: Price cattle, milk, feed, and crops with destination exposure before committing volume. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiogFBVV95cUxONUpkWG1OLU9yQlpZNjhtamJqNU1Ed1VKMUZMNEF4XzNnZ21CNTdKY09BcDd6S1dnSW5RVFJ5WFUxNVdzTHEyYWNpaWZVQ2lMWmRMa0NQbDlTcThtSE5EYmdTMVFDWTMzVHV1MVJwc25jMl82NURkNnN4c1h2aXFYdGtzdUlRT2FQSjdiVHI4a05xcE9ERzdkZ29GcTVFRW1qdlE?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, fas-trade-to-basis, gain-policy-to-market-access. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Sonora está lista para reanudar exportaciones de ganado a Estados Unidos - El Sol de México: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-19T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Trade and policy. Regions: north-america, latin-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because trade, border, or market-access changes can move local cattle, dairy, feed, and crop bids: Sonora está lista para reanudar exportaciones de ganado a Estados Unidos - El Sol de México Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a trade or policy item. Read it against export eligibility, processor bids, input imports, and destination concentration. Producer action: Price cattle, milk, feed, and crops with destination exposure before committing volume. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiwgFBVV95cUxOcDE4MVFhWEtYb09WaXdSS0EyRUJCRWpLSWZXU1RaWjVDdDNWYlRPRzQ2MmNteG5TLVZRY2loTF9zRFlfdEhXenZyMkpwaWNXNGZBbWdYcnV4NnEyeEMxZkdOZTZILWlZVnBOb0gwbFZ5NW94NExkWDZ3VDR1Yl9udGJqLVE4TjFBNHpCR2ZtYV96V2lqTXRYbUxqSHdvNlZmZHVUaXBSQkVWRVBGbloxWHg5V3VsU0NaMnpBR2NrY21IZw?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, fas-trade-to-basis, gain-policy-to-market-access. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Breakfast Budget Hit: After Milk, Fuel Costs Now Lift Bread Prices By Rs 5 - NDTV: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-19T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Feed and inputs. Regions: africa-asia. Sectors: dairy, feed, beef. Summary: Public item selected because feed, grain, fertilizer, fuel, or food-price pressure can change cattle and dairy margins: Breakfast Budget Hit: After Milk, Fuel Costs Now Lift Bread Prices By Rs 5 - NDTV Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a feed, grain, or input item. Use it to reprice the next gain period and the feed coverage window. Producer action: Recalculate feed coverage, hay buying, and the value of extra weight before delaying sales. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.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?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Hope for winter forage as handy rain falls across NSW and Qld: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-19T06:20:46.000Z. Category: Weather and forage. Regions: oceania. Sectors: feed. Summary: Handy rain has fallen across dry parts of New South Wales, with hopes that the weather will line up to bring through some winter forage. Producer read: Beef Central published a weather or forage signal. Confirm it against local water, hay, and pasture days before stocking changes. Producer action: Convert the signal into forage days, water checks, and a sale-or-hold threshold. Source: Beef Central https://www.beefcentral.com/production/hopes-for-some-later-winter-forage-as-handy-rain-falls-across-nsw-and-qld/. Source evidence links: beefcentral-rss-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, crop-yield-shock. - China re-admits 425 US beef plants for export, but the move has little bearing on Australia: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-18T05:01:15.000Z. Category: Trade and policy. Regions: oceania, africa-asia. Sectors: beef. Summary: Following talks last week between US President Donald Trump and China’s President Xi, China has agreed to restore export access to 425 US beef processing plants that have been excluded from the market for up to two years. What does it mean for Australia's export prospects? Producer read: Beef Central published a trade or policy item. Read it against export eligibility, processor bids, input imports, and destination concentration. Producer action: Price cattle, milk, feed, and crops with destination exposure before committing volume. Source: Beef Central https://www.beefcentral.com/trade/china-re-admits-425-us-beef-plants-for-export-but-the-move-has-little-bearing-on-australia/. Source evidence links: beefcentral-rss-category-causal-edge, fas-trade-to-basis, gain-policy-to-market-access. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Beef, coffee, tomatoes: America's CEOs call out where food prices are rising - Yahoo Finance: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-17T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Feed and inputs. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because feed, grain, fertilizer, fuel, or food-price pressure can change cattle and dairy margins: Beef, coffee, tomatoes: America's CEOs call out where food prices are rising - Yahoo Finance Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a feed, grain, or input item. Use it to reprice the next gain period and the feed coverage window. Producer action: Recalculate feed coverage, hay buying, and the value of extra weight before delaying sales. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiugFBVV95cUxQOUhMakwxMzNmZFhDTDZsSE13QkVEeE94dzM2UEY2dkZLdGdUbEZjQ2tkRjBOTEhnVkZ6SFM0WExFWkpMNFlOR3Q0dDJTNzZMYmtnWmxDbUxzRlpwNUhWWExaOXZwNmoxaWNoMGdWdHNJblFtejRnQmhMSFlyeGFIUGpLbHRkV05PbkpTR1JwLVd5MWNuNmYxUF9Ed0FMdDFabG1SdE8xMmVXTkR1a2l3bjhhcWRQMV8wVXc?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Delhi Congress stages protest over hike in fuel and milk prices - The Hindu: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-16T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Feed and inputs. Regions: africa-asia. Sectors: dairy, feed, beef. Summary: Public item selected because feed, grain, fertilizer, fuel, or food-price pressure can change cattle and dairy margins: Delhi Congress stages protest over hike in fuel and milk prices - The Hindu Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a feed, grain, or input item. Use it to reprice the next gain period and the feed coverage window. Producer action: Recalculate feed coverage, hay buying, and the value of extra weight before delaying sales. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.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?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - China renews expired export licenses for US beef plants, Chinese customs website shows - Reuters: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-15T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Trade and policy. Regions: africa-asia. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because trade, border, or market-access changes can move local cattle, dairy, feed, and crop bids: China renews expired export licenses for US beef plants, Chinese customs website shows - Reuters Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a trade or policy item. Read it against export eligibility, processor bids, input imports, and destination concentration. Producer action: Price cattle, milk, feed, and crops with destination exposure before committing volume. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiygFBVV95cUxQOGVtY25Rbjl1blhqQTZ5UU9id0pGQXFIRnVaOURRZlZZU2lIZTRGZ0p0djRVZEJxS1p4QThaMVJhR0FNTEFGbU54bW4wbjdUMjJXSkxLSGtNSGxuamFJczUydW5aZWJHVGcxc0lmLTVHVlNBZG53T2NQc0V3ME9ISjRfN1NlUlJYeXdncmdDamRRU3dmLTdJa2lnbHBaZDZxeHp1RElsc3l4QVFaS01QYWZ1UEwzLS1kMk4zTHFnUWY3UjJ3eUM0ZmxR?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, fas-trade-to-basis, gain-policy-to-market-access. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - “Hay menos consumo interno”: el precio de la carne sube y cambian los hábitos de compra - Infobae: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-14T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Feed and inputs. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: feed. Summary: Public item selected because feed, grain, fertilizer, fuel, or food-price pressure can change cattle and dairy margins: “Hay menos consumo interno”: el precio de la carne sube y cambian los hábitos de compra - Infobae Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a feed, grain, or input item. Use it to reprice the next gain period and the feed coverage window. Producer action: Recalculate feed coverage, hay buying, and the value of extra weight before delaying sales. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiyAFBVV95cUxPanEyaXd6MXI1bHp2bjVPdzFYSTVOcThwUjZPNjZKamRhLUhOSVAyWDB5dnR3bW5RN3BxZjc0aG9RRWtGbElCZDFCZmtMUU90UzlrQWF2NVBua0FuZ0ptbjdYX3l0UVdvNURaQ2x3TkM4ckZ1b1dfVlFoTWRiNnlKc1ctU3BIWmgzUW9pMHdRNXBKbTZIOWRzVGhTVnJaSFN4aGM5Vm9MUzYxV19lcmtRNUltNzRpS196enFFZGxiNUF6TFdrNDM0U9IB4wFBVV95cUxON2tYOHI5cjVFSzY2eTByN3k4ajFyNDRfUnNDUVlDTE1kaGFHMUd6OWZ5QndhZmZsYld1Q0E0M3BkVThhMVM4UTdWRnJjNl9nVzNxbzUtdlZRUG1PZXhzRlM5U0w3aWlLZUJtTUpteW03dFN4TGxUR1dCU21nZ01HZVM4d2Y3aWc2SHNIQklESWh2ejlZSnV0NmZjYVpGSkF0RDBSbWJvY2NGNXFjVS1RVkxuWGNtRjd2b3RTOE5Vc1U0ZGdkcUVET1NhNVZDQmN1VEJTQVA3N3hnSkp1QmNmam9Fdw?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Wyoming Ranchers Selling Off Cattle As Drought Tightens Grip Across State - Cowboy State Daily: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-13T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Weather and forage. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because weather or forage conditions can change pasture days, water checks, and sale pressure: Wyoming Ranchers Selling Off Cattle As Drought Tightens Grip Across State - Cowboy State Daily Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a weather or forage signal. Confirm it against local water, hay, and pasture days before stocking changes. Producer action: Convert the signal into forage days, water checks, and a sale-or-hold threshold. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitAFBVV95cUxQa1N2a3J0YmJHWE1CLXJtNEZ2RVFjZ1prQ1RKLUZsVU9WZndkWm1DTDRKZ1UxRnRRaW1icTQ3cXU3X0k1Q0hSRExqdHduTmRVNV9zT2otOFFqcU14ejlDSDZ3cnpOOGZHd3NNYU0xSVdZcElRQjB5MlFGNzYxX3REeWlIN0toOVNfZ3VXa2lPd3hNVm5XWHBGLXhZdk1keHZpUEZNZFJkZFZYai1sN0FmNktkUVc?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, crop-yield-shock. - Trump Reportedly Freezes Beef Tariff Rollback After Rancher Revolt— 'No Doubt An Experiment' - Yahoo Finance: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-13T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Trade and policy. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because trade, border, or market-access changes can move local cattle, dairy, feed, and crop bids: Trump Reportedly Freezes Beef Tariff Rollback After Rancher Revolt— 'No Doubt An Experiment' - Yahoo Finance Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a trade or policy item. Read it against export eligibility, processor bids, input imports, and destination concentration. Producer action: Price cattle, milk, feed, and crops with destination exposure before committing volume. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiowFBVV95cUxOOHgzZ3lwTW9hSzU1VC1xOFRObUtqM2E5ZzVqeThhQ1BBckRqTkhOUWU3RFc4aUlpRDJDT25rdWFveko2LXFCWkIzR0xCOXVna0F6UTJRRTBoX19TT00tUk5hYWU4WUJoOU82cWVPNlJ3VXRWdUZCRlhIZUlpczMzQ2l5U3VDTlI2M2ZNWkZMLW5XYjNtQkQ5X2ZEUm1TS2FDQnVr?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, fas-trade-to-basis, gain-policy-to-market-access. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Relaxing beef import quotas send mixed signals to producers - Michigan Farm News: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-13T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Trade and policy. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because trade, border, or market-access changes can move local cattle, dairy, feed, and crop bids: Relaxing beef import quotas send mixed signals to producers - Michigan Farm News Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a trade or policy item. Read it against export eligibility, processor bids, input imports, and destination concentration. Producer action: Price cattle, milk, feed, and crops with destination exposure before committing volume. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMimAFBVV95cUxNZk1nRlpXU25TVEpMVFZsWlRCUWowcC02MFpfTGdGdXlta2ZNOF9XRmFzVzNCQTFnaldHUlBETF8taEVHTGU0SEtmZnl5ZkhpZUpPRU0yNFA1NTFJRE5ESWE4N2xqR2ViMFhMQlBVeC1scGJiUmZpMHAweFhPM2I0TDFnM0NJZThfem1laW5Hc3lzZUNEWDhjYg?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, fas-trade-to-basis, gain-policy-to-market-access. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - 2026 Beef Trade: Imports Rise as Exports Continue to Slide - U.OSU: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-13T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Trade and policy. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because trade, border, or market-access changes can move local cattle, dairy, feed, and crop bids: 2026 Beef Trade: Imports Rise as Exports Continue to Slide - U.OSU Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a trade or policy item. Read it against export eligibility, processor bids, input imports, and destination concentration. Producer action: Price cattle, milk, feed, and crops with destination exposure before committing volume. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilwFBVV95cUxNbTZQaEx1NjJOX2U4MkFhRnN6YXltbXhQOTRQTmpSMkllQTZEX0Z4dFBvZ1R1d1RkWGpKSmxCNHB0Ml9Hb3NpTjJrZHpWNnU1WWJqLVI4blZGNEhMeTQyY09KOEdieDR0aGlKakUxdnpkLWJFLWE0T2dnQ08xMVA0emhGanBmLUN6WmVQZjB6cHgzZi1ZMmFF?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, fas-trade-to-basis, gain-policy-to-market-access. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Tyson Foods (TSN) Valuation Check As Beef Tariff Cuts And Rancher Support Reshape Cost Outlook - Yahoo Finance: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-13T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Trade and policy. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because trade, border, or market-access changes can move local cattle, dairy, feed, and crop bids: Tyson Foods (TSN) Valuation Check As Beef Tariff Cuts And Rancher Support Reshape Cost Outlook - Yahoo Finance Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a trade or policy item. Read it against export eligibility, processor bids, input imports, and destination concentration. Producer action: Price cattle, milk, feed, and crops with destination exposure before committing volume. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMigwFBVV95cUxQY0ZGb0gzeE5JSmVBcnFGZmx0cmZZR29ocTVWMlVoMzYtUnVBd2hBRHBMcENZTFNucTVScFQyWEtSYlhwUlFKOWFzYm9UTmhPWkltTzZyYU1WRUpxNFJuN2xITkhEX3FUZ1d5aDJ5VUlmUnZLT3BLZEM5Sk15VWZMZUJ3Yw?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, fas-trade-to-basis, gain-policy-to-market-access. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Donald Trump postpones beef tariff cuts over fears of hitting US cattle farmers - Financial Times: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-12T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Trade and policy. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because trade, border, or market-access changes can move local cattle, dairy, feed, and crop bids: Donald Trump postpones beef tariff cuts over fears of hitting US cattle farmers - Financial Times Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a trade or policy item. Read it against export eligibility, processor bids, input imports, and destination concentration. Producer action: Price cattle, milk, feed, and crops with destination exposure before committing volume. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMihAFBVV95cUxPSmVYcHNKcnQ2bm1vcDNvdFRVd0twd19OWDZXbEM4Ump0dUF1ZE4yZjRhVloxcWkxMU1QQUl2NFYyNnZDUjIxYVZOZnRPNkhpTV9jNUFqNVZiX2hvMjc0SkExVkF5aVp0X1JzRVV1c1VlRmxLLTQyVHltS29vT291bjlyeGw?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, fas-trade-to-basis, gain-policy-to-market-access. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Relaxing Beef Import Quotas Sends Mixed Signals to Ranchers | Market Intel - American Farm Bureau Federation: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-12T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Trade and policy. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because trade, border, or market-access changes can move local cattle, dairy, feed, and crop bids: Relaxing Beef Import Quotas Sends Mixed Signals to Ranchers | Market Intel - American Farm Bureau Federation Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a trade or policy item. Read it against export eligibility, processor bids, input imports, and destination concentration. Producer action: Price cattle, milk, feed, and crops with destination exposure before committing volume. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilgFBVV95cUxNNFFQa2RGdW02OF9NM2tWSUN1ZWZCSldMeTY1TzFyQm92LXhzM0RCN0Z4dXQ2Q2xWc3RZZWVaYlk0bGxMQ1lvSlQzdVJHQk0tTnJKYjQ5cjMwSm1oUlo0TmVUOUJuV2RvYzBFcklXQkd1YTFHWWc2MXdFbUs5NVJscm5lWEM1M1NMWHl5bDZ6SjdIQmI4MGc?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, fas-trade-to-basis, gain-policy-to-market-access. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Heytesbury acquires Livestock Express fleet in major live export deal - Beef Central: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-12T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Trade and policy. Regions: oceania. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because trade, border, or market-access changes can move local cattle, dairy, feed, and crop bids: Heytesbury acquires Livestock Express fleet in major live export deal - Beef Central Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a trade or policy item. Read it against export eligibility, processor bids, input imports, and destination concentration. Producer action: Price cattle, milk, feed, and crops with destination exposure before committing volume. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirwFBVV95cUxNMC1zTjdwX2tMUHVDME1leHp5SDJxdi1nNldMSWF2LXBMWDU2N1VrZEJCQl92V1hReUM5WUVnX0tLWDBMTF9iQlJvc2lMR3Fxbjh0UWhEVW5YRDRLR1JLdWNJZURFNWZLTk9vZTg2UUFvQlFTWkNZSXFDOXVkWG1zS1JHZ3djVnVsei1MWXEzYlVRS3F6XzJtUkUtZXNnRlQ1Uzk3N0dtc0ZEcUM5TzJ3?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, fas-trade-to-basis, gain-policy-to-market-access. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Vroon is the Latest to Exit Livestock Export by Selling Carrier Business - The Maritime Executive: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-11T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Trade and policy. Regions: oceania. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because trade, border, or market-access changes can move local cattle, dairy, feed, and crop bids: Vroon is the Latest to Exit Livestock Export by Selling Carrier Business - The Maritime Executive Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a trade or policy item. Read it against export eligibility, processor bids, input imports, and destination concentration. Producer action: Price cattle, milk, feed, and crops with destination exposure before committing volume. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisAFBVV95cUxNZXA1UTB4aUtDaXNHOFd5RW1nMHdSU3p3a3ZnejR2ZXc2cS1pZDVZRGRRMHlFZWpDak9zd3VfX3RkbFBFVWNuMWxxbEFyMHpaUEhGOGtNOElWOVF2VV9lRHVqSGNYMndJcVlwdF9hSzl1S3ZkMGFaRG1BVmJObWtoSG5JdHYwQk5RTXZvbk1KX0xGeTJiSnJ0WlhFaVBmOHpUTFlTUWNhVVdMQ0NvcmNWQQ?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, fas-trade-to-basis, gain-policy-to-market-access. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - Caputo celebró el fuerte crecimiento de las exportaciones de carne bovina - Clarin.com: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-11T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Trade and policy. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because trade, border, or market-access changes can move local cattle, dairy, feed, and crop bids: Caputo celebró el fuerte crecimiento de las exportaciones de carne bovina - Clarin.com Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a trade or policy item. Read it against export eligibility, processor bids, input imports, and destination concentration. Producer action: Price cattle, milk, feed, and crops with destination exposure before committing volume. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqwFBVV95cUxQZmlFVkVvdWJ6ZmJseFdSbEdrY1ZzNDBXbHdpcmV2YXlUSGpJX2h0WGhwVXJTUFo0S0dsa1dhV1ZjcV9EWk9jckdsX3g1VWdMWV9wcU04eExLQkVSbllQRnlXUHh6OE1HV0dzSjUwX1dMVkVoRWNOblBRZkZyNVpGNUhUV0Q3dTFCeGl5cnRHcU05V2l5dFR0bTNjNjF5RUlQczU2Z04yMURtSmc?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, fas-trade-to-basis, gain-policy-to-market-access. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis. Scenarios: export-disruption. - DCA seizes suspected oxytocin injections from cattle feed shops - The Hindu: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-08T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Feed and inputs. Regions: africa-asia. Sectors: beef, feed. Summary: Public item selected because feed, grain, fertilizer, fuel, or food-price pressure can change cattle and dairy margins: DCA seizes suspected oxytocin injections from cattle feed shops - The Hindu Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a feed, grain, or input item. Use it to reprice the next gain period and the feed coverage window. Producer action: Recalculate feed coverage, hay buying, and the value of extra weight before delaying sales. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.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?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Drought impacting nearly three-quarters of U.S. cattle herd - Brownfield Ag News: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-08T02:46:53.000Z. Category: Weather and forage. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because weather or forage conditions can change pasture days, water checks, and sale pressure: Drought impacting nearly three-quarters of U.S. cattle herd - Brownfield Ag News Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a weather or forage signal. Confirm it against local water, hay, and pasture days before stocking changes. Producer action: Convert the signal into forage days, water checks, and a sale-or-hold threshold. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMingFBVV95cUxQblFPTnFmancya2hBekIzNGRxYjduOXNFX0lSVGJrOWl1VVV6bHdnYS1TbFg0QTNaSzV4NnJQclFkUGV3WnpRUndLUkF4ckZEMGxtdl9NVGxINUdjbmtZN0RoS0RwLVRlNVp5ZVlvdm9GeUpmYk1GeGRWcG1MbHBDTUpnQVFrVlNNbFM0ajZLQVVzVEV0dHZsRlJvTWVDZw?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, crop-yield-shock. - Drought threatens the herd rebuild - Beef Magazine: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-07T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Weather and forage. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because weather or forage conditions can change pasture days, water checks, and sale pressure: Drought threatens the herd rebuild - Beef Magazine Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a weather or forage signal. Confirm it against local water, hay, and pasture days before stocking changes. Producer action: Convert the signal into forage days, water checks, and a sale-or-hold threshold. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijAFBVV95cUxNeHl4N0xwM25JcW5KTDA3M19Eb3NERVdpNGhUOE9FLXJ2V3lqYlQzdWx2YVZ0VXo3cVd3WXVJWUg0czFfZWZ6bFBhRkpWd3Q5VGVQSlhGWjRIbmc5SnVLMTNkU0p3eXJ3cnFPNzZ3R0toX0FSWGFhc2k5RU5lb3U0a2F2MVQ1OV9rcnp3Ng?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, crop-yield-shock. - Corn and Other Feed Grains - Feed Grains Sector at a Glance - USDA (.gov): medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-07T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Feed and inputs. Regions: north-america. Sectors: feed, crops. Summary: Public item selected because feed, grain, fertilizer, fuel, or food-price pressure can change cattle and dairy margins: Corn and Other Feed Grains - Feed Grains Sector at a Glance - USDA (.gov) Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a feed, grain, or input item. Use it to reprice the next gain period and the feed coverage window. Producer action: Recalculate feed coverage, hay buying, and the value of extra weight before delaying sales. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMimgFBVV95cUxOblU4dnVnY0NYcUJjbE1KRC14aFlnNG5pS1hXTUVUWlVxOWxVZXpvMGxJUFJFV2x6c1hrdGg1VE83OERCOHVPRVhUbmZEVEdfSWctNFRPLWpQU1Q3dWRmU0gybkFkT0NnazJNOWZ2ZnZlNVU1SzZVM1VLeUhTSF83UWhKX3NoOHFlM2ViWmJxNjZMbUFyOUUyOVB3?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - The Commodities Feed: Trump’s ‘Project Freedom’ pause weighs on oil prices - ING THINK economic and financial analysis | ING THINK: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-06T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Feed and inputs. Regions: europe, africa-asia. Sectors: feed. Summary: Public item selected because feed, grain, fertilizer, fuel, or food-price pressure can change cattle and dairy margins: The Commodities Feed: Trump’s ‘Project Freedom’ pause weighs on oil prices - ING THINK economic and financial analysis | ING THINK Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a feed, grain, or input item. Use it to reprice the next gain period and the feed coverage window. Producer action: Recalculate feed coverage, hay buying, and the value of extra weight before delaying sales. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiowFBVV95cUxPN1lTTEdMYXV6ZGk0ejJPODA1Z0RaS1R6WE9ub0d6QlZxUUJUSHdhM29sUXk0WlBUdXo2aVY3OGZMRGdJNmFKelIwcVdTUVQ0WmtCOE9PNFd2NEJNRFZCZ29ySXdTMlpSVFJHdGNfVkJrdnUxUmYwcWwwdDREbS15dHA0ZzNZa01zSVdELURIZHJkUWkzbmJ3bTJKWkhYc2ZCMnlr?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Record Drought Index Threatens US Cow Herd Rebuild - DTN Progressive Farmer: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-05T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Weather and forage. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because weather or forage conditions can change pasture days, water checks, and sale pressure: Record Drought Index Threatens US Cow Herd Rebuild - DTN Progressive Farmer Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a weather or forage signal. Confirm it against local water, hay, and pasture days before stocking changes. Producer action: Convert the signal into forage days, water checks, and a sale-or-hold threshold. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMinwFBVV95cUxOMDVwYkRVVXkyZnNwNm1KSXh3Um1KanB6WmZOb1BMQ0puc2h3VDcyUXZnX1kzMmJQOXVPbE9hdWxoX0tmN19YdnZ2UHNka3A5a1M0cjY0VnF5SUlsYVdxcjFJN2VNbVNWcmF4b00walBsbE5xNHhFLXZhQjZVcEZ2QVh4RmwxamF5OWZJSC1rWTZral9SdHJXNHZYZVJ2VFk?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, crop-yield-shock. - Novonesis launches Bovacillus probiotic to boost dairy feed efficiency & milk yield - Dairy Business Middle East & Africa: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-05-02T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Feed and inputs. Regions: africa-asia. Sectors: dairy, feed. Summary: Public item selected because feed, grain, fertilizer, fuel, or food-price pressure can change cattle and dairy margins: Novonesis launches Bovacillus probiotic to boost dairy feed efficiency & milk yield - Dairy Business Middle East & Africa Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a feed, grain, or input item. Use it to reprice the next gain period and the feed coverage window. Producer action: Recalculate feed coverage, hay buying, and the value of extra weight before delaying sales. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMivwFBVV95cUxPYmJrVzUxWjFGWWRYc2NEQnNGTHpMRjUwWjVyb3lwYkN4dUlmQ0stN1F3SFNjM1BidkZHeFFaRlpuQkJaVVlWWDd6dERGMHhfa002UjhYSDh1elpfeVVkc2NKdXVUdTBfeHF5RWdxWXp6a3A3NHhRcDgyOXhuMjVOdGE0Y055WkM2dmdabjlBemk3WVp5V0ZrNlNSRHFQNG9rNHN6OFRRVU1qUk55YUhBeUpGT2VaWnIzQzRUeVQwYw?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Preço do leite sobe e Conseleite projeta R$ 2,53 em abril - Feed&Food: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-04-29T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Feed and inputs. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: dairy, feed. Summary: Public item selected because feed, grain, fertilizer, fuel, or food-price pressure can change cattle and dairy margins: Preço do leite sobe e Conseleite projeta R$ 2,53 em abril - Feed&Food Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a feed, grain, or input item. Use it to reprice the next gain period and the feed coverage window. Producer action: Recalculate feed coverage, hay buying, and the value of extra weight before delaying sales. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipwFBVV95cUxPTEx1ZVNBRmRoUVViR1VDVWw2UHhFeE83dE16WXdQNHFOako3YnpabmZEWHBlS29IYjlZalh0djgtNXB4NG1POG9YOFRpcFBJVmxyUVRia1JTaTJzZ2JMM2VLR0NFTGhyY0tFekpPdjZ4U01uVzYxNjdQaWJsRFRwS1JIVV85YTlmUlJ1VjlsZWRGTTJuYXVZMjZGVHJGbm8zc1g1TXBSUQ?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Drought fuels biggest cattle sell-off in 20 years, as El Niño looms - Australian Broadcasting Corporation: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-04-15T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Weather and forage. Regions: oceania. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because weather or forage conditions can change pasture days, water checks, and sale pressure: Drought fuels biggest cattle sell-off in 20 years, as El Niño looms - Australian Broadcasting Corporation Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a weather or forage signal. Confirm it against local water, hay, and pasture days before stocking changes. Producer action: Convert the signal into forage days, water checks, and a sale-or-hold threshold. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMingFBVV95cUxPMmlRVzhjWU14UWZOMnRRV0Z4UlFfckNUQklycjVJN1gwT05kUHB3Z3kxMVd6YmtUTHZzb2ZFRnkzZjNuQXF0dG1yUmtxaUlLOUU1RFNqdHdHTGM3VFlFSUlEOUZvWEE0WDc4dWVtNW43WmIzUk1WeS1LZnhBNzE2dkFJcEZkZ0MxTjRybll5SkN3SnQ0ZmVOdkdqNnZoUQ?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, crop-yield-shock. - Research Finds Genetically Modified Feed Safe for Livestock - ISAAA.org: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-04-15T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Feed and inputs. Regions: africa-asia. Sectors: beef, feed. Summary: Public item selected because feed, grain, fertilizer, fuel, or food-price pressure can change cattle and dairy margins: Research Finds Genetically Modified Feed Safe for Livestock - ISAAA.org Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a feed, grain, or input item. Use it to reprice the next gain period and the feed coverage window. Producer action: Recalculate feed coverage, hay buying, and the value of extra weight before delaying sales. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMie0FVX3lxTE9QZWVRbjBKOWdmVldfTlRLMGJwRzF6eWxJeGR1Z19LOVF6MlhyMG5ieHlHN2J5TndvOVBhVl9XUXl1RUZQVXhrSy1kUDVXQmRNMk1HNDFpVDFET1FZOWtJZllqNUxYc0NTOEY4QUdyRTBmMkFTeTMyNjZDZw?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Video Black soldier flies look to revolutionize the livestock feed industry - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-04-14T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Feed and inputs. Regions: africa-asia. Sectors: beef, feed. Summary: Public item selected because feed, grain, fertilizer, fuel, or food-price pressure can change cattle and dairy margins: Video Black soldier flies look to revolutionize the livestock feed industry - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a feed, grain, or input item. Use it to reprice the next gain period and the feed coverage window. Producer action: Recalculate feed coverage, hay buying, and the value of extra weight before delaying sales. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiTEFVX3lxTFBERVh5N0FpV2s0Nl9tbTl0aHNwTlBKS05zS0dzMmZaci1UUnpIT3I5bUpXcGRuWVlEbXFuaXBHQXk2NHpHMXdNd3FUMF8?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. - Western Cape allocates R22m for livestock drought relief - South African Government News Agency: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-04-08T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Weather and forage. Regions: africa-asia. Sectors: beef. Summary: Public item selected because weather or forage conditions can change pasture days, water checks, and sale pressure: Western Cape allocates R22m for livestock drought relief - South African Government News Agency Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a weather or forage signal. Confirm it against local water, hay, and pasture days before stocking changes. Producer action: Convert the signal into forage days, water checks, and a sale-or-hold threshold. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilgFBVV95cUxOUTVaaW8tUE1JdUN5VUtwOU5KbHNBS2RQNndfUVFBOFBTd1k2WXRvSG9WcXQ5REQzX0ZYZzFHbVcxVkFEdVl5a1FGbmZuNEEyMFA5Q0ZZTWh4S0ZXN0V2aFFtUDF5M3JPTy1QaDh1WlhIY2RHek9EMlNoM2Q2cGFWSS1UaGw4X3V0MHJIQWlLbEREd2Fsb1E?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: drought-shock, crop-yield-shock. - More Crops Grown for Fuel and Livestock Feed Than for People, New Study Finds - sentientmedia.org: medium severity, 78% confidence, published 2026-04-06T07:00:00.000Z. Category: Feed and inputs. Regions: africa-asia. Sectors: beef, feed, dairy. Summary: Public item selected because feed, grain, fertilizer, fuel, or food-price pressure can change cattle and dairy margins: More Crops Grown for Fuel and Livestock Feed Than for People, New Study Finds - sentientmedia.org Producer read: Google News public search RSS published a feed, grain, or input item. Use it to reprice the next gain period and the feed coverage window. Producer action: Recalculate feed coverage, hay buying, and the value of extra weight before delaying sales. Source: Google News public search RSS https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMihAFBVV95cUxQa1Y0UkpDWDhBQTZRd29XdklrZjU3X05aaU1JZXIwTHl1UnY3aDYwQ3BnbDZudUpiS2NjcWlGQjdJVDB2TkROME4tSk1YWmlHUUdGRGhjLWsxOUY5MUQwYklvWmp1Njd5a2RqLWVuX2REdjhXa014WW4tR1NQSnRCNFpsbkU?oc=5. Source evidence links: google-news-rss-category-causal-edge, feed-energy-to-breakeven, wasde-feed-balance-to-cattle-margin. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock. ## Decision Lenses - Sell, hold, or hedge: Does the next weight gain still pay after feed, freight, basis, and buyer risk? Producer action: Compare today’s bid against the cost and risk of carrying cattle through the next gain window. Sources: usda-ams, cepea-boi, mla-api, cme-livestock, cftc-cot, usda-ers-feed-grains, world-bank-pink-sheet. Historical drivers: positioning-to-hedge-margin, crop-balance-to-feed-margin, herd-concentration-to-basis. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, credit-interest-squeeze, export-disruption. - Forage and water pressure: Will pasture, hay, heat, or water force animals to move earlier than planned? Producer action: Move from calendar selling to forage-days, water, and hay-coverage selling. Sources: us-drought-monitor, noaa-climate, nasa-power, open-meteo-forecast, usgs-water, bom-climate, fao-aquastat. Historical drivers: pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, heat-load-to-milk-gain, credit-cost-to-retention. Scenarios: drought-shock, heat-stress-milk-loss, water-restriction-shock. - Feed and crop margin: Are corn, soy meal, hay, fertilizer, diesel, or crop balance changing the value of weight gain? Producer action: Reprice feed coverage and ration strategy before deciding to add more weight. Sources: usda-wasde, usda-ers-feed-grains, conab, world-bank-pink-sheet, fao-food-price, eia-fuel, bls-ag-inputs, gdelt-global-news, reliefweb-agriculture, fao-giews, baltic-exchange. Historical drivers: crop-balance-to-feed-margin, logistics-to-local-basis, geopolitical-shock-to-feed-freight, policy-change-to-farm-incentive. Scenarios: feed-cost-spike, crop-yield-shock, fertilizer-energy-squeeze, geopolitical-shipping-shock. - Disease and movement: Could disease, biosecurity, border rules, or movement holds change buyer access? Producer action: Check health status before buying, moving, contracting, or assuming normal buyer access. Sources: woah-wahis, usda-aphis, argentina-senasa, paraguay-senacsa, gdelt-global-news, cidrap-rss, fao-newsroom. Historical drivers: health-alert-to-market-access, export-pull-to-local-basis, logistics-to-local-basis. Scenarios: disease-alert, export-disruption, policy-subsidy-rule-change. - Trade, currency, and border: Are exports, currency, ports, or borders changing local basis and buyer competition? Producer action: Do not price local cattle without checking export access, FX, port friction, and destination concentration. Sources: usda-esr, usda-fas, un-comtrade, comex-stat, brazil-bcb-sgs, imf-ifs, eurostat-comext, gdelt-global-news, suez-canal-authority, panama-canal-authority, baltic-exchange. Historical drivers: export-pull-to-local-basis, logistics-to-local-basis, geopolitical-shock-to-feed-freight, policy-change-to-farm-incentive. Scenarios: export-disruption, port-freight-shock, geopolitical-shipping-shock, policy-subsidy-rule-change. - Dairy margin and cull flow: Is milk margin changing ration spend, replacement appetite, or dairy-beef supply? Producer action: Reprice ration, culling, replacement, and dairy-beef timing together. Sources: eu-milk, usda-ers-dairy, usda-ams, eurostat-agri, gdt-events, stats-nz, mexico-siap, world-bank-pink-sheet. Historical drivers: dairy-margin-to-beef-supply, heat-load-to-milk-gain, crop-balance-to-feed-margin. Scenarios: milk-margin-squeeze, heat-stress-milk-loss, feed-cost-spike. - Herd rebuild and replacement: Is the herd rebuilding, liquidating, or shifting weight classes in this region? Producer action: Treat replacement buying as a margin decision, not only a head-count decision. Sources: usda-nass, faostat, ibge-sidra, mexico-siap, eurostat-agri, abares, statcan-agriculture. Historical drivers: herd-concentration-to-basis, pasture-stress-to-sale-runs, dairy-margin-to-beef-supply. Scenarios: drought-shock, milk-margin-squeeze, credit-interest-squeeze. - Inputs, finance, and policy: Are fuel, fertilizer, labor, credit, insurance, or policy changing the farm margin? Producer action: Stress-test cash flow and input coverage before expanding cattle, feed, or crop exposure. Sources: eia-fuel, bls-ag-inputs, fred-ag-macro, imf-ifs, usda-rma, usda-fsa, world-bank-wdi, world-bank-pink-sheet, gdelt-global-news, reliefweb-agriculture. Historical drivers: credit-cost-to-retention, policy-change-to-farm-incentive, logistics-to-local-basis, geopolitical-shock-to-feed-freight. Scenarios: fertilizer-energy-squeeze, credit-interest-squeeze, geopolitical-shipping-shock, policy-subsidy-rule-change. ## Coverage Atlas - North America: 59 source families, 283416 mapped public series, 61 evidence links, 61 decision paths, 8 decision lenses, 2 geo nodes. Priority gaps: none listed. - Latin America: 73 source families, 288297 mapped public series, 78 evidence links, 78 decision paths, 8 decision lenses, 6 geo nodes. Priority gaps: none listed. - Oceania: 36 source families, 278419 mapped public series, 36 evidence links, 36 decision paths, 8 decision lenses, 3 geo nodes. Priority gaps: Add more animal-health surveillance and movement data.; Add more local cash, auction, milk, and feed price connectors.. - Europe: 46 source families, 281531 mapped public series, 46 evidence links, 46 decision paths, 8 decision lenses, 5 geo nodes. Priority gaps: Add more local cash, auction, milk, and feed price connectors.. - Africa and Asia: 57 source families, 286841 mapped public series, 57 evidence links, 57 decision paths, 8 decision lenses, 4 geo nodes. Priority gaps: Add more animal-health surveillance and movement data.; Add more local cash, auction, milk, and feed price connectors.; Move priority Africa and Asia ministry sources from mapped to live connectors.. ## Intelligence Graph Regions - North America: 2194 intelligence relationships, 240 source-signal links, 240 region links, 874 sector links, 480 geo links, 51 historical-driver links, 65 scenario links, and 244 decision-path links. Top source hubs: FAO food price indices (42 links); Beef Central RSS (42 links); GDELT global event monitor (40 links); Google News public search RSS (40 links); Farm Progress RSS (40 links); FAO Newsroom (40 links); USDA latest releases RSS (40 links); World Bank commodity prices (36 links). - Latin America: 3906 intelligence relationships, 301 source-signal links, 301 region links, 1077 sector links, 1806 geo links, 56 historical-driver links, 53 scenario links, and 312 decision-path links. Top source hubs: FAO food price indices (66 links); GDELT global event monitor (60 links); Google News public search RSS (60 links); World Bank commodity prices (60 links); FAO Newsroom (60 links); Brazil MAPA official RSS (60 links); Open-Meteo global weather forecast (55 links); WFP VAM food security and prices (55 links). - Oceania: 1577 intelligence relationships, 154 source-signal links, 154 region links, 585 sector links, 462 geo links, 34 historical-driver links, 44 scenario links, and 144 decision-path links. Top source hubs: FAO food price indices (48 links); Beef Central RSS (48 links); GDELT global event monitor (45 links); Google News public search RSS (45 links); FAO Newsroom (45 links); World Bank commodity prices (42 links); Open-Meteo global weather forecast (40 links); ReliefWeb agriculture and disaster reports (36 links). - Europe: 2355 intelligence relationships, 193 source-signal links, 193 region links, 739 sector links, 965 geo links, 35 historical-driver links, 46 scenario links, and 184 decision-path links. Top source hubs: FAO food price indices (60 links); GDELT global event monitor (55 links); Google News public search RSS (55 links); Agriland RSS (55 links); FAO Newsroom (55 links); World Bank commodity prices (54 links); Open-Meteo global weather forecast (50 links); AHDB RSS (50 links). - Africa and Asia: 2672 intelligence relationships, 240 source-signal links, 240 region links, 929 sector links, 960 geo links, 33 historical-driver links, 42 scenario links, and 228 decision-path links. Top source hubs: FAO food price indices (54 links); Beef Central RSS (54 links); GDELT global event monitor (50 links); Google News public search RSS (50 links); FAO Newsroom (50 links); World Bank commodity prices (48 links); Open-Meteo global weather forecast (45 links); WFP VAM food security and prices (45 links). ## Source Evidence Links - usda-ams: Cash cattle, feeder cattle, auctions, boxed beef -> Local bid strength and packer leverage -> Sale timing, weight class target, and hedge urgency. Producer decision: Sell now, add pounds, or price-protect cattle before bids soften.. Lag: 0-2 days. Confidence: 91%. - us-drought-monitor: Drought class, weekly narrative, pasture stress -> Forage pressure and early liquidation risk -> Cow retention, hay demand, calf movement, and replacement price. Producer decision: Compare forage inventory against the value of carrying cattle longer.. Lag: 1-4 weeks. Confidence: 88%. - usda-nass: Inventory, placements, pasture, hay, crop data -> Herd cycle, feeder supply, and feed availability -> Replacement strategy, retained heifers, and forward feeder supply. Producer decision: Decide whether scarce replacement animals are worth keeping or selling.. Lag: 1 month to 1 year. Confidence: 86%. - usda-fas: Exports, imports, PSD, GAIN reports -> Export pull and trade-policy pressure -> Processor bids, regional basis, offal value, and cull cow demand. Producer decision: Watch buyer access before committing volume into a weak local bid.. Lag: 1-6 weeks. Confidence: 84%. - cepea-boi: Boi gordo, calf, corn, soybean indicators -> Brazil pasture-fed margin and export-linked cattle bid -> State-level sale timing, dry-season supplement, and farm-to-farm price trust. Producer decision: Convert live price, exchange rate, and expected gain into a local sale window.. Lag: 0-7 days. Confidence: 85%. - nasa-power: Temperature, humidity, wind, rainfall by coordinate -> Heat load, water stress, and pasture regrowth -> Gain, intake, fertility, death loss risk, and shade or water planning. Producer decision: Adjust transport, feeding time, stocking rate, and water checks before stress peaks.. Lag: 0-10 days. Confidence: 83%. - open-meteo-forecast: 7-day precipitation and temperature forecast by geo node -> Forward pasture, heat, water, and forage pressure -> Sale timing, feed coverage, water checks, milk yield, weight gain, and crop-feed risk. Producer decision: Use the next-week rain and heat forecast before moving cattle, buying hay, changing supplement, or holding weight.. Lag: 0-14 days. Confidence: 78%. - cftc-cot: Managed money, commercial, and open-interest positioning in live cattle, feeder cattle, corn, and soybean meal -> Speculative positioning and commercial hedge pressure -> Hedge timing, basis risk, feeder bids, feed coverage, and retained-ownership risk. Producer decision: Use COT positioning as a weekly stress check before leaving cattle, corn, or soybean-meal exposure unprotected.. Lag: Same week to 8 weeks. Confidence: 80%. - mla-api: Australian saleyard prices, slaughter, and cattle indicators -> Restocking appetite and saleyard competition -> Store cattle prices, breeder retention, and lot-feeder entry weights. Producer decision: Tie rainfall recovery to whether paying up for replacement cattle makes sense.. Lag: 0-3 weeks. Confidence: 86%. - eu-milk: Raw milk, butter, SMP, whey prices -> Milk margin and cull cow flow -> Cull timing, replacement rate, feed spend, and beef supply from dairy. Producer decision: Update cull and feed decisions when milk solids stop paying for extra ration.. Lag: 1-4 weeks. Confidence: 82%. - eurostat-agri: EU bovine herd, cow inventory, and milk collection series -> European herd structure and milk supply pressure -> Replacement appetite, calf crop, cull flow, dairy-beef supply, and long-cycle price floor. Producer decision: Use structural herd and milk-collection data before changing cull timing, replacement buying, or retained-weight plans.. Lag: 1 quarter to 3 years. Confidence: 80%. - woah-wahis: Official disease alerts and animal health reports -> Disease event and movement restriction risk -> Border access, auction flow, mortality risk, and buyer confidence. Producer decision: Check health status before moving cattle, buying replacements, or signing export-linked volume.. Lag: Same day to 2 weeks. Confidence: 89%. - usda-aphis: H5N1 livestock guidance, dairy cattle movement updates, and biosecurity notices -> Dairy cattle movement and biosecurity risk -> Interstate movement, sale timing, replacement buying, milk logistics, and cull-cow flow. Producer decision: Check APHIS guidance before moving lactating dairy cattle, buying replacements, or changing biosecurity routines.. Lag: Same day to 2 weeks. Confidence: 84%. - world-bank-pink-sheet: Beef, energy, fertilizer, and feed commodity prices -> Feed, fertilizer, freight, and pasture input cost -> Backgrounding breakeven, finishing margin, hay cost, and stocking decision. Producer decision: Reprice the next 50 lb or 25 kg before buying feed or delaying sales.. Lag: 1-6 weeks. Confidence: 80%. - fao-food-price: FAO meat, dairy, cereal, oil, sugar, and headline food price indices -> Global food, feed, and protein price pressure -> Export pull, milk margin, ration cost, crop rotation, food inflation, and local bid resilience. Producer decision: Compare global food index direction with local cattle, milk, feed, and crop bids before treating a market move as local noise.. Lag: 1-12 months. Confidence: 82%. - usda-wasde: Corn, soybean meal, hay, and dairy/feed balance sheets -> Forward feed availability and ration cost -> Backgrounding margin, finishing days, milk-feed spread, and crop planting incentives. Producer decision: Use monthly balance-sheet revisions to decide whether to lock feed, sell lighter, or carry cattle longer.. Lag: 1-12 months. Confidence: 87%. - usda-ers-feed-grains: Feed grain supply, animal unit indexes, rail rates, and grain shipments -> Feed breakeven and logistics pressure -> Feeder bids, ration substitutions, hay demand, and feedlot entry weights. Producer decision: Compare feed grain and transport trends before buying feeders or delaying sale dates.. Lag: 2-8 weeks. Confidence: 84%. - usda-esr: Weekly export commitments and shipments by commodity and destination -> Export buyer pull before customs data confirms it -> Beef cutout support, grain basis, local processor bids, and feed ingredient demand. Producer decision: Watch export-sales acceleration as an early signal for stronger cash bids or tighter feed.. Lag: 1-5 weeks. Confidence: 83%. - usda-gain: Country attaché reports on policy, imports, production, and sanitary rules -> Policy and market-access change before official statistics update -> Export eligibility, buyer demand, import competition, and regional price ceilings. Producer decision: Treat policy reports as a forward signal for buyer access, not as background reading.. Lag: Same day to 3 months. Confidence: 79%. - un-comtrade: Partner trade flows by product code and reporting country -> Structural import demand and destination concentration -> Export exposure, currency sensitivity, processor competition, and crop-feed tradeoffs. Producer decision: Know when local bids depend on one buyer region before committing cattle or grain inventory.. Lag: 1-12 months. Confidence: 76%. - oecd-fao-outlook: Ten-year meat, dairy, grain, and oilseed projections -> Long-cycle demand, productivity, and price direction -> Breeding retention, dairy expansion, crop rotation, and capital spending. Producer decision: Use decade outlooks for structural bets; use daily dashboards for timing.. Lag: 1-10 years. Confidence: 72%. - copernicus-cds: Soil moisture, reanalysis weather, drought, and vegetation stress -> Pasture and crop yield stress before harvest or sale runs -> Forage carrying days, crop yield, feed price, stocking rate, and water planning. Producer decision: Adjust stocking, hay purchases, crop marketing, and irrigation before official production reports.. Lag: 2 weeks to 6 months. Confidence: 82%. - usgs-water: Streamflow, reservoir, groundwater, and water-quality series -> Water availability for pasture, irrigation, feed crops, and cattle -> Stocking rate, crop yield, hay demand, heat-stress mitigation, and forced sale risk. Producer decision: Tie stocking and planting decisions to measured water, not only rainfall.. Lag: 0-12 weeks. Confidence: 81%. - imf-ifs: Exchange rates, rates, inflation, and country macro series -> Currency translation and capital-cost pressure -> Export bids, imported feed cost, fertilizer cost, replacement finance, and dairy margins. Producer decision: Price cattle, milk, feed, and crops in both local and export-linked terms.. Lag: Same day to 6 months. Confidence: 78%. - brazil-inmet: Brazil station weather, rainfall, heat, and agrometeorology -> State-level pasture recovery and heat stress -> Arroba timing, mineral and supplement use, crop yield, and local freight pressure. Producer decision: Move state-level sale plans when rainfall recovery or heat stress diverges from the national story.. Lag: 0-8 weeks. Confidence: 84%. - brazil-mapa-agrostat: Brazil agribusiness exports by commodity, destination, and state -> Export channel strength and destination concentration -> Processor bids, crop storage, freight, and local basis in export states. Producer decision: Watch destination concentration before assuming export-linked bids will hold.. Lag: 2-8 weeks. Confidence: 80%. - comex-stat: Brazil Comex Stat monthly export value, volume, destination, and state flows -> Official customs flow confirms export pull -> Processor bids, destination risk, cattle basis, corn and soybean feed basis, and export-state freight. Producer decision: Read export value, volume, buyer concentration, and state share before assuming local cattle bids or feed basis will hold.. Lag: 2-12 weeks. Confidence: 84%. - conab: Brazil CONAB crop supply, demand, stock, production, and export balance -> Crop balance changes feed-cost cover -> Corn and soybean meal basis, supplement cost, crop selling, feedlot breakeven, pasture substitution, and retained weight. Producer decision: Use CONAB stock-to-use, production, and export revisions before holding cattle for gain or leaving feed coverage open.. Lag: 1 month to 18 months. Confidence: 83%. - faostat: FAOSTAT livestock, milk, beef, and feed-crop production baselines -> Structural production capacity sets the slow market baseline -> Long-cycle cattle supply, milk-feed exposure, feed-crop availability, replacement value, and regional basis. Producer decision: Use the structural baseline before treating a local price, feed, or replacement move as only short-term noise.. Lag: 3 months to 3 years. Confidence: 78%. - fews-net: FEWS NET market prices, cross-border trade, and food-security pressure -> Staple-price stress and livelihood pressure -> Feed substitution, household selling pressure, pasture movement, crop demand, and regional livestock bids. Producer decision: Use FEWS price and food-security stress before treating a local cattle or feed move as only a local market quote.. Lag: 1 month to 9 months. Confidence: 80%. - wfp-vam: WFP VAM observed food prices across physical markets -> Local staple-price pressure before livestock markets fully adjust -> Feed substitution, household cash pressure, forced-sale risk, market depth, ration cost, and crop demand. Producer decision: Read WFP local prices beside cattle bids, pasture, and feed quotes before deciding whether to hold, sell, or buy supplement.. Lag: 2 weeks to 6 months. Confidence: 82%. - eu-agri-food-data: EU country-level meat, dairy, crop, price, and production data -> Member-state basis and margin divergence -> Cull flow, beef imports, milk margin, feed cost, and cross-border movement. Producer decision: Use country-level differences before selling into a weak local market.. Lag: 1-8 weeks. Confidence: 81%. - gdt-events: Global dairy auction product prices and demand shifts -> Milk-solids export demand and dairy margin pressure -> Dairy ration spend, cull cow flow, beef supply from dairy, and replacement appetite. Producer decision: Reprice dairy feed and cull decisions after auction moves, not only after monthly milk checks.. Lag: 0-6 weeks. Confidence: 79%. - brazil-bcb-sgs: Brazil USD/BRL exchange rate, credit, inflation, and macro series -> Currency pressure on export bids and imported inputs -> Arroba bids, feed ingredients, fertilizer, diesel, machinery, and replacement finance. Producer decision: Price cattle, feed, mineral, fertilizer, and fuel in local and dollar-linked terms before changing sale timing.. Lag: Same day to 4 weeks. Confidence: 82%. - ibge-sidra: Brazil cattle herd by state, production system, and annual survey -> State herd structure and regional supply concentration -> Local basis, pasture pressure, freight, export corridor load, and replacement buying. Producer decision: Compare local herd concentration with rain, freight, and export demand before deciding whether to hold or sell.. Lag: 1 quarter to 2 years. Confidence: 84%. - ibge-sidra: Brazil milk production by state and annual dairy survey -> Regional dairy margin and dairy-beef supply pressure -> Cull cow flow, replacement appetite, dairy ration demand, and beef supply from dairy regions. Producer decision: Watch milk regions with feed and weather stress because cull supply can hit beef bids before monthly price reports feel stale.. Lag: 1 month to 1 year. Confidence: 81%. - ibge-sidra: Brazil quarterly cattle slaughter, carcass output, and carcass weight from IBGE SIDRA -> Official slaughter pace changes supply pressure -> Processor leverage, local cattle basis, finished-cattle sale windows, carcass supply, and replacement appetite. Producer decision: Read slaughter pace with local bids, export pull, feed cost, and pasture days before delaying sales.. Lag: Same quarter to 12 weeks. Confidence: 84%. - ibge-sidra: Brazil state corn and soybean production from IBGE SIDRA -> State crop structure changes feed basis -> Corn and soybean meal basis, delivered feed cost, freight, storage, crop selling, and cattle gain economics. Producer decision: Use state crop concentration with CONAB and Comex Stat before changing feed coverage or retained-weight plans.. Lag: 1 month to 18 months. Confidence: 82%. - mexico-siap: Mexico SIAP bovine meat, live cattle, slaughter, and state production data -> Mexico cattle supply changes border and regional basis -> Northern Mexico feeder flow, slaughter availability, replacement demand, border timing, and local cattle bids. Producer decision: Read Mexico supply with drought, feed imports, border movement, and U.S. feeder bids before changing sale or retention timing.. Lag: 1 quarter to 18 months. Confidence: 83%. - mexico-siap: Mexico SIAP bovine milk production and regional dairy output -> Mexico dairy output changes cull and feed pressure -> Dairy feed demand, cull cow flow, replacement appetite, milk margin, and beef supply from dairy regions. Producer decision: Watch milk regions with feed and heat stress because dairy margin can become cull-cow supply before beef headlines adjust.. Lag: 1 month to 1 year. Confidence: 80%. - mexico-siap: Northern Mexico share of live cattle output and cattle weight structure -> Northern supply concentration meets imported feed and border demand -> Feed replacement cost, feeder cattle flow, drought exposure, transport, sale timing, and retained-weight economics. Producer decision: Use northern Mexico concentration with corn import cost, drought forecasts, and cross-border basis before holding cattle for extra weight.. Lag: Same month to 12 months. Confidence: 81%. - world-bank-wdi: Country livestock, crop, fertilizer, land, food, and macro indicators -> Structural production capacity and input exposure -> Long-cycle livestock supply, crop-feed availability, fertilizer sensitivity, and import affordability. Producer decision: Use country structural indicators as the baseline before overreacting to a weekly market headline.. Lag: 1-10 years. Confidence: 74%. - bls-ag-inputs: Farm products, livestock, processed feeds, and animal food manufacturing price indexes -> Farm and feed input inflation -> Feed breakeven, hay substitution, ration cost, feeder-cattle bids, and dairy margin. Producer decision: Reprice the next gain period when feed-linked producer prices move faster than cattle value.. Lag: Same month to 3 months. Confidence: 78%. - eia-fuel: Weekly U.S. No. 2 diesel retail price -> Freight and feed-delivery cost pressure -> Hay hauling, feed delivery, yardage, crop inputs, feeder bids, and sale timing. Producer decision: Reprice delivered feed, hay, and cattle hauling before deciding whether extra weight still pays.. Lag: Same week to 8 weeks. Confidence: 80%. - gdelt-global-news: Global public news mentions of livestock, feed, dairy, crops, disease, fuel, trade, and policy shocks -> Early event awareness before official reports update -> Buyer access, disease movement risk, export demand, feed input cost, weather pressure, and local sale timing. Producer decision: Use public event signals as watch items, then confirm with official data before changing cattle, milk, feed, or crop commitments.. Lag: Same day to 8 weeks. Confidence: 72%. - usda-ers: USDA ERS livestock data: slaughter, beef supply, retail and wholesale spread -> Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure -> Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply. Producer decision: Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating.. Lag: 1 month to 2 years. Confidence: 69%. - google-news-rss: Google News public search RSS: public news search, regional livestock alerts, trade disruption, feed input shock -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Producer decision: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan.. Lag: Same day to 1 year. Confidence: 64%. - usda-latest-releases: USDA latest releases RSS: USDA release, animal health, rancher policy, disaster program -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Producer decision: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan.. Lag: Same day to 1 year. Confidence: 69%. - beefcentral-rss: Beef Central RSS: feedgrain, feeder cattle, live export, biosecurity -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Producer decision: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan.. Lag: Same day to 1 year. Confidence: 64%. - farmprogress-rss: Farm Progress RSS: farm policy, crop weather, livestock markets, feed inputs -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Producer decision: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan.. Lag: Same day to 1 year. Confidence: 64%. - cidrap-rss: CIDRAP infectious disease RSS: H5N1, dairy cattle disease, biosecurity, zoonotic risk -> Animal health, movement rules, and buyer-access risk -> Movement friction, mortality risk, biosecurity spend, export eligibility, and buyer confidence. Producer decision: Treat health status as market data before moving, buying, selling, or contracting livestock.. Lag: Same day to 12 weeks. Confidence: 61%. - brazil-mapa-rss: Brazil MAPA official RSS: Brazil livestock policy, sanitary notices, market access, feed crops -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Producer decision: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan.. Lag: Same day to 1 year. Confidence: 69%. - beefpoint-rss: BeefPoint RSS: boi gordo, feedlot, beef exports, processor demand -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Producer decision: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan.. Lag: Same day to 1 year. Confidence: 64%. - ahdb-rss: AHDB RSS: UK beef, dairy margin, feed prices, veterinary access -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Producer decision: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan.. Lag: Same day to 1 year. Confidence: 65%. - agriland-rss: Agriland RSS: Irish cattle, milk, veterinary access, feed and forage -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Producer decision: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan.. Lag: Same day to 1 year. Confidence: 64%. - noaa-climate: NOAA climate and drought feeds: heat stress, rainfall, temperature anomaly -> Weather, forage, heat, and water stress -> Pasture days, stocking rate, milk yield, crop yield, hay demand, and forced-sale risk. Producer decision: Translate weather into forage days, water checks, feed coverage, and sale-or-hold thresholds.. Lag: 0 days to 16 weeks. Confidence: 69%. - cme-livestock: CME livestock and grain markets: futures curve, basis pressure, hedge timing -> Forward price curve and speculative positioning -> Hedge timing, basis risk, retained ownership, feed coverage, and financing needs. Producer decision: Use futures as risk-transfer context, then verify local basis before changing physical commitments.. Lag: Intraday to 12 months. Confidence: 63%. - fao-newsroom: FAO Newsroom: animal health report, food security, trade disruption, rural production -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Producer decision: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan.. Lag: Same day to 1 year. Confidence: 69%. - argentina-senasa: Argentina SENASA: animal movement, sanitary status, disease rules -> Animal health, movement rules, and buyer-access risk -> Movement friction, mortality risk, biosecurity spend, export eligibility, and buyer confidence. Producer decision: Treat health status as market data before moving, buying, selling, or contracting livestock.. Lag: Same day to 12 weeks. Confidence: 69%. - abares: ABARES agriculture data: herd size, farm income, exports, commodity outlook -> Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure -> Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply. Producer decision: Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating.. Lag: 1 month to 2 years. Confidence: 69%. - bom-climate: Australian Bureau of Meteorology: rainfall, drought, heat stress, water -> Weather, forage, heat, and water stress -> Pasture days, stocking rate, milk yield, crop yield, hay demand, and forced-sale risk. Producer decision: Translate weather into forage days, water checks, feed coverage, and sale-or-hold thresholds.. Lag: 0 days to 16 weeks. Confidence: 69%. - stats-nz: Stats NZ agriculture: dairy herd, beef cattle, exports, farm inputs -> Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure -> Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply. Producer decision: Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating.. Lag: 1 month to 2 years. Confidence: 69%. - usda-ers-dairy: USDA ERS dairy data: all milk price, milk production, commercial disappearance, dairy product stocks -> Milk margin, product demand, and dairy-beef supply -> Ration spend, milk output, cull timing, replacement appetite, and beef supply from dairy herds. Producer decision: Watch milk-feed spread before changing ration, culling, replacement, or dairy-beef decisions.. Lag: 2 weeks to 12 months. Confidence: 69%. - fred-ag-macro: FRED agriculture macro series: farm income, credit cost, inflation, exchange rate -> FX, credit, interest, and working-capital pressure -> Export bids, imported inputs, replacement finance, herd expansion, crop planning, and cash flow. Producer decision: Run the decision in local currency and dollar-linked terms before expanding, feeding longer, or locking inputs.. Lag: Same day to 18 months. Confidence: 69%. - noaa-cpc: NOAA Climate Prediction Center: seasonal outlook, ENSO, hazards, precipitation anomaly -> Weather, forage, heat, and water stress -> Pasture days, stocking rate, milk yield, crop yield, hay demand, and forced-sale risk. Producer decision: Translate weather into forage days, water checks, feed coverage, and sale-or-hold thresholds.. Lag: 0 days to 16 weeks. Confidence: 69%. - nasa-firms: NASA FIRMS fire data: wildfire, pasture burn risk, smoke, transport disruption -> Weather, forage, heat, and water stress -> Pasture days, stocking rate, milk yield, crop yield, hay demand, and forced-sale risk. Producer decision: Translate weather into forage days, water checks, feed coverage, and sale-or-hold thresholds.. Lag: 0 days to 16 weeks. Confidence: 69%. - usda-rma: USDA Risk Management Agency data: crop loss, indemnity, prevented planting, county risk -> Crop balance, yield risk, and input allocation -> Feed availability, hay and grain basis, planting margin, ration choices, and livestock stocking. Producer decision: Connect crop signals to feed procurement, planting, hedging, and stocking-rate decisions.. Lag: 2 weeks to 18 months. Confidence: 69%. - usda-fsa: USDA Farm Service Agency data: acreage, disaster assistance, program participation, forage risk -> Crop balance, yield risk, and input allocation -> Feed availability, hay and grain basis, planting margin, ration choices, and livestock stocking. Producer decision: Connect crop signals to feed procurement, planting, hedging, and stocking-rate decisions.. Lag: 2 weeks to 18 months. Confidence: 69%. - argentina-magyp: Argentina MAGyP data: livestock prices, grain production, dairy output, export policy -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Producer decision: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan.. Lag: Same day to 1 year. Confidence: 69%. - mexico-siap-agri: Mexico SIAP agriculture data: corn production, livestock production, milk production, regional price -> Crop balance, yield risk, and input allocation -> Feed availability, hay and grain basis, planting margin, ration choices, and livestock stocking. Producer decision: Connect crop signals to feed procurement, planting, hedging, and stocking-rate decisions.. Lag: 2 weeks to 18 months. Confidence: 69%. - uruguay-inac: Uruguay INAC: cattle price, slaughter, beef exports, carcass weight -> Local price discovery and basis movement -> Sale timing, buyer leverage, class spreads, hedge urgency, and cash-flow planning. Producer decision: Use the local price source as a bid check before selling, holding, hedging, or buying replacements.. Lag: Same day to 2 weeks. Confidence: 69%. - paraguay-senacsa: Paraguay SENACSA: sanitary status, certification, movement, exports -> Animal health, movement rules, and buyer-access risk -> Movement friction, mortality risk, biosecurity spend, export eligibility, and buyer confidence. Producer decision: Treat health status as market data before moving, buying, selling, or contracting livestock.. Lag: Same day to 12 weeks. Confidence: 69%. - eurostat-comext: Eurostat COMEXT: beef imports, dairy exports, grain trade, fertilizer trade -> Export pull, border access, and destination risk -> Processor bids, local basis, cull demand, feed-grain flows, and market-access premiums. Producer decision: Price cattle, milk, crops, and feed with destination exposure before committing volume.. Lag: Same week to 6 months. Confidence: 69%. - uk-defra: UK Defra agriculture statistics: farmgate prices, milk production, livestock population, input costs -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Producer decision: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan.. Lag: Same day to 1 year. Confidence: 69%. - nz-mpi: New Zealand MPI agriculture data: primary exports, farm monitoring, meat outlook, dairy outlook -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Producer decision: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan.. Lag: Same day to 1 year. Confidence: 69%. - australia-daff: Australia DAFF agricultural trade: beef exports, grain exports, biosecurity, market access -> Export pull, border access, and destination risk -> Processor bids, local basis, cull demand, feed-grain flows, and market-access premiums. Producer decision: Price cattle, milk, crops, and feed with destination exposure before committing volume.. Lag: Same week to 6 months. Confidence: 69%. - world-bank-climate: World Bank Climate Data: country climate risk, precipitation trend, temperature trend, drought exposure -> Weather, forage, heat, and water stress -> Pasture days, stocking rate, milk yield, crop yield, hay demand, and forced-sale risk. Producer decision: Translate weather into forage days, water checks, feed coverage, and sale-or-hold thresholds.. Lag: 0 days to 16 weeks. Confidence: 69%. - statcan-agriculture: Statistics Canada agriculture and food data: cattle inventory, dairy herd, crop production, farm income -> Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure -> Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply. Producer decision: Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating.. Lag: 1 month to 2 years. Confidence: 69%. - canada-aafc-red-meat: Agriculture Canada red meat market information: red meat prices, slaughter, trade, supply -> Local price discovery and basis movement -> Sale timing, buyer leverage, class spreads, hedge urgency, and cash-flow planning. Producer decision: Use the local price source as a bid check before selling, holding, hedging, or buying replacements.. Lag: Same day to 2 weeks. Confidence: 69%. - usda-lmr: USDA Livestock Mandatory Reporting: fed cattle trade, boxed beef, cutout, packer bids -> Local price discovery and basis movement -> Sale timing, buyer leverage, class spreads, hedge urgency, and cash-flow planning. Producer decision: Use the local price source as a bid check before selling, holding, hedging, or buying replacements.. Lag: Same day to 2 weeks. Confidence: 69%. - usda-nrcs-snotel-scan: USDA NRCS SNOTEL and SCAN: snowpack, soil moisture, range water, irrigation supply -> Measured water availability and irrigation stress -> Stocking rate, pasture recovery, crop-feed yield, hay demand, and forced-sale pressure. Producer decision: Pair water readings with rainfall and forage inventory before changing stocking or crop-feed plans.. Lag: Same day to 12 weeks. Confidence: 69%. - brazil-ana-hidroweb: Brazil ANA HidroWeb and SNIRH: river level, streamflow, reservoirs, rainfall -> Measured water availability and irrigation stress -> Stocking rate, pasture recovery, crop-feed yield, hay demand, and forced-sale pressure. Producer decision: Pair water readings with rainfall and forage inventory before changing stocking or crop-feed plans.. Lag: Same day to 12 weeks. Confidence: 69%. - brazil-cemaden: Brazil CEMADEN monitoring: drought monitoring, rainfall alerts, flood risk, transport disruption -> Weather, forage, heat, and water stress -> Pasture days, stocking rate, milk yield, crop yield, hay demand, and forced-sale risk. Producer decision: Translate weather into forage days, water checks, feed coverage, and sale-or-hold thresholds.. Lag: 0 days to 16 weeks. Confidence: 69%. - argentina-smn: Argentina SMN weather data: rainfall, heat, severe weather, agrometeorology -> Weather, forage, heat, and water stress -> Pasture days, stocking rate, milk yield, crop yield, hay demand, and forced-sale risk. Producer decision: Translate weather into forage days, water checks, feed coverage, and sale-or-hold thresholds.. Lag: 0 days to 16 weeks. Confidence: 69%. - argentina-bcr: Bolsa de Comercio de Rosario: corn, soybean, physical market, grain logistics -> Crop balance, yield risk, and input allocation -> Feed availability, hay and grain basis, planting margin, ration choices, and livestock stocking. Producer decision: Connect crop signals to feed procurement, planting, hedging, and stocking-rate decisions.. Lag: 2 weeks to 18 months. Confidence: 65%. - chile-odepa-data: Chile ODEPA open data: beef prices, dairy prices, crop prices, trade -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Producer decision: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan.. Lag: Same day to 1 year. Confidence: 69%. - mexico-sniim: Mexico SNIIM market information: livestock price, meat price, feed ingredient, market volume -> Local price discovery and basis movement -> Sale timing, buyer leverage, class spreads, hedge urgency, and cash-flow planning. Producer decision: Use the local price source as a bid check before selling, holding, hedging, or buying replacements.. Lag: Same day to 2 weeks. Confidence: 69%. - mexico-conagua-smn: Mexico CONAGUA-SMN climate data: drought, rainfall, reservoirs, temperature -> Weather, forage, heat, and water stress -> Pasture days, stocking rate, milk yield, crop yield, hay demand, and forced-sale risk. Producer decision: Translate weather into forage days, water checks, feed coverage, and sale-or-hold thresholds.. Lag: 0 days to 16 weeks. Confidence: 69%. - colombia-agronet: Colombia AGRONET: regional prices, production, input costs, trade -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Producer decision: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan.. Lag: Same day to 1 year. Confidence: 69%. - uruguay-snig: Uruguay SNIG livestock information: cattle movement, traceability, sanitary context, herd information -> Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure -> Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply. Producer decision: Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating.. Lag: 1 month to 2 years. Confidence: 69%. - peru-midagri-sisap: Peru MIDAGRI SISAP: market prices, wholesale supply, feed crops, regional food prices -> Local price discovery and basis movement -> Sale timing, buyer leverage, class spreads, hedge urgency, and cash-flow planning. Producer decision: Use the local price source as a bid check before selling, holding, hedging, or buying replacements.. Lag: Same day to 2 weeks. Confidence: 69%. - fao-aquastat: FAO AQUASTAT: water resources, irrigation, withdrawals, water stress -> Measured water availability and irrigation stress -> Stocking rate, pasture recovery, crop-feed yield, hay demand, and forced-sale pressure. Producer decision: Pair water readings with rainfall and forage inventory before changing stocking or crop-feed plans.. Lag: Same day to 12 weeks. Confidence: 69%. - brazil-embrapa: Embrapa livestock and crop research: pasture systems, forage research, production costs, technical alerts -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Producer decision: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan.. Lag: Same day to 1 year. Confidence: 61%. - brazil-cna-costs: Brazil CNA and Cepea farm-cost projects: production costs, input costs, regional margins, profitability -> Macro demand, inflation, affordability, and input-cost translation -> Consumer demand, working capital, import affordability, input costs, and farm cash flow. Producer decision: Read macro series with local bids before assuming a farm-margin signal is only local.. Lag: 1 month to 5 years. Confidence: 61%. - brazil-cepea-grains: CEPEA grain, milk, and input indicators: corn price, soybean price, milk price, feed spread -> Local price discovery and basis movement -> Sale timing, buyer leverage, class spreads, hedge urgency, and cash-flow planning. Producer decision: Use the local price source as a bid check before selling, holding, hedging, or buying replacements.. Lag: Same day to 2 weeks. Confidence: 61%. - argentina-indec: Argentina INDEC statistics: inflation, trade, food prices, regional production -> Macro demand, inflation, affordability, and input-cost translation -> Consumer demand, working capital, import affordability, input costs, and farm cash flow. Producer decision: Read macro series with local bids before assuming a farm-margin signal is only local.. Lag: 1 month to 5 years. Confidence: 69%. - argentina-mercado-agroganadero: Mercado Agroganadero de Cañuelas: cattle arrivals, category prices, buyer demand, auction volume -> Local price discovery and basis movement -> Sale timing, buyer leverage, class spreads, hedge urgency, and cash-flow planning. Producer decision: Use the local price source as a bid check before selling, holding, hedging, or buying replacements.. Lag: Same day to 2 weeks. Confidence: 65%. - argentina-rosgan: ROSGAN cattle auction market: replacement prices, auction volume, regional cattle flow, category demand -> Local price discovery and basis movement -> Sale timing, buyer leverage, class spreads, hedge urgency, and cash-flow planning. Producer decision: Use the local price source as a bid check before selling, holding, hedging, or buying replacements.. Lag: Same day to 2 weeks. Confidence: 65%. - uruguay-mgap: Uruguay MGAP statistics: cattle stock, dairy production, land use, policy -> Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure -> Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply. Producer decision: Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating.. Lag: 1 month to 2 years. Confidence: 69%. - uruguay-inumet: Uruguay INUMET weather: rainfall, drought, temperature, climate outlook -> Weather, forage, heat, and water stress -> Pasture days, stocking rate, milk yield, crop yield, hay demand, and forced-sale risk. Producer decision: Translate weather into forage days, water checks, feed coverage, and sale-or-hold thresholds.. Lag: 0 days to 16 weeks. Confidence: 69%. - chile-sag: Chile SAG animal health and movement: sanitary status, animal movement, border controls, certification -> Animal health, movement rules, and buyer-access risk -> Movement friction, mortality risk, biosecurity spend, export eligibility, and buyer confidence. Producer decision: Treat health status as market data before moving, buying, selling, or contracting livestock.. Lag: Same day to 12 weeks. Confidence: 69%. - chile-ine-agriculture: Chile INE agriculture statistics: livestock inventory, milk production, crop production, regional prices -> Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure -> Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply. Producer decision: Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating.. Lag: 1 month to 2 years. Confidence: 69%. - colombia-dane-agriculture: Colombia DANE agriculture statistics: cattle slaughter, milk production, food inflation, regional agriculture -> Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure -> Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply. Producer decision: Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating.. Lag: 1 month to 2 years. Confidence: 69%. - colombia-fedegan: Colombia FEDEGAN market reports: cattle prices, producer context, dairy context, sanitary risk -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Producer decision: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan.. Lag: Same day to 1 year. Confidence: 65%. - peru-senasa: Peru SENASA animal health: sanitary status, movement risk, disease surveillance, export access -> Animal health, movement rules, and buyer-access risk -> Movement friction, mortality risk, biosecurity spend, export eligibility, and buyer confidence. Producer decision: Treat health status as market data before moving, buying, selling, or contracting livestock.. Lag: Same day to 12 weeks. Confidence: 69%. - ecuador-sipa: Ecuador MAG SIPA: livestock prices, crop prices, production, regional supply -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Producer decision: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan.. Lag: Same day to 1 year. Confidence: 69%. - bolivia-ine-agriculture: Bolivia INE agriculture statistics: livestock inventory, milk production, crop production, food prices -> Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure -> Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply. Producer decision: Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating.. Lag: 1 month to 2 years. Confidence: 69%. - costa-rica-corfoga: Costa Rica CORFOGA cattle market: cattle market, slaughter, beef chain, producer context -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Producer decision: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan.. Lag: Same day to 1 year. Confidence: 65%. - canada-canfax: Canfax cattle market reports: fed cattle price, feeder price, slaughter, feedlot margin -> Local price discovery and basis movement -> Sale timing, buyer leverage, class spreads, hedge urgency, and cash-flow planning. Producer decision: Use the local price source as a bid check before selling, holding, hedging, or buying replacements.. Lag: Same day to 2 weeks. Confidence: 65%. - canada-cgic-grain: Canadian Grain Commission: grain deliveries, exports, stocks, quality -> Crop balance, yield risk, and input allocation -> Feed availability, hay and grain basis, planting margin, ration choices, and livestock stocking. Producer decision: Connect crop signals to feed procurement, planting, hedging, and stocking-rate decisions.. Lag: 2 weeks to 18 months. Confidence: 69%. - canada-cfia-animal-health: Canadian Food Inspection Agency animal health: disease status, movement control, surveillance, border rules -> Animal health, movement rules, and buyer-access risk -> Movement friction, mortality risk, biosecurity spend, export eligibility, and buyer confidence. Producer decision: Treat health status as market data before moving, buying, selling, or contracting livestock.. Lag: Same day to 12 weeks. Confidence: 69%. - france-agreste: France Agreste agriculture statistics: cattle inventory, milk production, slaughter, crop output -> Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure -> Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply. Producer decision: Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating.. Lag: 1 month to 2 years. Confidence: 69%. - germany-ble-market: Germany BLE market information: livestock prices, milk prices, crop prices, feed prices -> Local price discovery and basis movement -> Sale timing, buyer leverage, class spreads, hedge urgency, and cash-flow planning. Producer decision: Use the local price source as a bid check before selling, holding, hedging, or buying replacements.. Lag: Same day to 2 weeks. Confidence: 69%. - germany-destatis-agriculture: Destatis agriculture statistics: cattle inventory, milk production, slaughter, crop output -> Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure -> Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply. Producer decision: Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating.. Lag: 1 month to 2 years. Confidence: 69%. - ireland-cso-agriculture: Ireland CSO agriculture data: cattle inventory, milk production, slaughter, farm income -> Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure -> Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply. Producer decision: Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating.. Lag: 1 month to 2 years. Confidence: 69%. - ireland-dafm: Ireland DAFM agriculture and market data: beef market, dairy market, animal health, farm schemes -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Producer decision: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan.. Lag: Same day to 1 year. Confidence: 69%. - spain-mapa-statistics: Spain MAPA agriculture statistics: cattle prices, milk prices, feed prices, livestock production -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Producer decision: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan.. Lag: Same day to 1 year. Confidence: 69%. - italy-ismea: Italy ISMEA markets: livestock prices, milk prices, crop prices, input costs -> Local price discovery and basis movement -> Sale timing, buyer leverage, class spreads, hedge urgency, and cash-flow planning. Producer decision: Use the local price source as a bid check before selling, holding, hedging, or buying replacements.. Lag: Same day to 2 weeks. Confidence: 69%. - netherlands-cbs-agriculture: Statistics Netherlands agriculture: livestock inventory, milk production, trade, environmental pressure -> Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure -> Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply. Producer decision: Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating.. Lag: 1 month to 2 years. Confidence: 69%. - eu-jrc-mars: EU JRC MARS crop monitoring: crop yield, agrometeorology, weather anomaly, feed crop risk -> Crop balance, yield risk, and input allocation -> Feed availability, hay and grain basis, planting margin, ration choices, and livestock stocking. Producer decision: Connect crop signals to feed procurement, planting, hedging, and stocking-rate decisions.. Lag: 2 weeks to 18 months. Confidence: 69%. - efsa-animal-health: EFSA animal health outputs: disease risk, surveillance, food-chain risk, biosecurity -> Animal health, movement rules, and buyer-access risk -> Movement friction, mortality risk, biosecurity spend, export eligibility, and buyer confidence. Producer decision: Treat health status as market data before moving, buying, selling, or contracting livestock.. Lag: Same day to 12 weeks. Confidence: 61%. - india-dahd: India DAHD animal husbandry statistics: milk production, livestock census, meat production, animal health -> Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure -> Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply. Producer decision: Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating.. Lag: 1 month to 2 years. Confidence: 69%. - india-nddb: India National Dairy Development Board: milk production, dairy development, cattle feed, cooperatives -> Milk margin, product demand, and dairy-beef supply -> Ration spend, milk output, cull timing, replacement appetite, and beef supply from dairy herds. Producer decision: Watch milk-feed spread before changing ration, culling, replacement, or dairy-beef decisions.. Lag: 2 weeks to 12 months. Confidence: 69%. - india-agmarknet: India Agmarknet market prices: market prices, feed grains, oilseeds, regional supply -> Local price discovery and basis movement -> Sale timing, buyer leverage, class spreads, hedge urgency, and cash-flow planning. Producer decision: Use the local price source as a bid check before selling, holding, hedging, or buying replacements.. Lag: Same day to 2 weeks. Confidence: 69%. - india-imd: India Meteorological Department: monsoon, heatwave, rainfall, drought -> Weather, forage, heat, and water stress -> Pasture days, stocking rate, milk yield, crop yield, hay demand, and forced-sale risk. Producer decision: Translate weather into forage days, water checks, feed coverage, and sale-or-hold thresholds.. Lag: 0 days to 16 weeks. Confidence: 69%. - india-apeda: India APEDA export data: meat exports, dairy exports, cereal exports, destination demand -> Export pull, border access, and destination risk -> Processor bids, local basis, cull demand, feed-grain flows, and market-access premiums. Producer decision: Price cattle, milk, crops, and feed with destination exposure before committing volume.. Lag: Same week to 6 months. Confidence: 69%. - china-nbs-agriculture: China National Bureau of Statistics agriculture: meat production, milk production, grain output, rural prices -> Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure -> Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply. Producer decision: Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating.. Lag: 1 month to 2 years. Confidence: 69%. - china-mara: China MARA market information: livestock prices, feed prices, policy, veterinary notices -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Producer decision: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan.. Lag: Same day to 1 year. Confidence: 69%. - china-customs: China customs trade statistics: beef imports, dairy imports, soy imports, corn imports -> Export pull, border access, and destination risk -> Processor bids, local basis, cull demand, feed-grain flows, and market-access premiums. Producer decision: Price cattle, milk, crops, and feed with destination exposure before committing volume.. Lag: Same week to 6 months. Confidence: 69%. - japan-maff: Japan MAFF agriculture statistics: beef market, dairy market, feed supply, policy -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Producer decision: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan.. Lag: Same day to 1 year. Confidence: 69%. - japan-alic: Japan ALIC livestock information: beef prices, dairy prices, imports, demand -> Local price discovery and basis movement -> Sale timing, buyer leverage, class spreads, hedge urgency, and cash-flow planning. Producer decision: Use the local price source as a bid check before selling, holding, hedging, or buying replacements.. Lag: Same day to 2 weeks. Confidence: 69%. - south-korea-krei: Korea Rural Economic Institute: livestock outlook, dairy outlook, imports, feed demand -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Producer decision: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan.. Lag: Same day to 1 year. Confidence: 61%. - indonesia-bps-agriculture: Indonesia BPS agriculture statistics: livestock inventory, crop production, food prices, trade -> Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure -> Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply. Producer decision: Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating.. Lag: 1 month to 2 years. Confidence: 69%. - indonesia-bmkg: Indonesia BMKG climate and weather: rainfall, drought, flood, climate outlook -> Weather, forage, heat, and water stress -> Pasture days, stocking rate, milk yield, crop yield, hay demand, and forced-sale risk. Producer decision: Translate weather into forage days, water checks, feed coverage, and sale-or-hold thresholds.. Lag: 0 days to 16 weeks. Confidence: 69%. - thailand-oae: Thailand Office of Agricultural Economics: livestock prices, crop prices, farm income, production -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Producer decision: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan.. Lag: Same day to 1 year. Confidence: 69%. - philippines-psa-agriculture: Philippines PSA agriculture statistics: livestock inventory, farm prices, crop production, food prices -> Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure -> Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply. Producer decision: Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating.. Lag: 1 month to 2 years. Confidence: 69%. - south-africa-dalrrd: South Africa DALRRD statistics: livestock market, dairy market, crop market, animal health -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Producer decision: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan.. Lag: Same day to 1 year. Confidence: 69%. - south-africa-namc: South Africa NAMC market intelligence: market outlook, food prices, input costs, trade -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Producer decision: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan.. Lag: Same day to 1 year. Confidence: 61%. - south-africa-sagis: South African Grain Information Service: grain stocks, corn deliveries, imports, feed supply -> Crop balance, yield risk, and input allocation -> Feed availability, hay and grain basis, planting margin, ration choices, and livestock stocking. Producer decision: Connect crop signals to feed procurement, planting, hedging, and stocking-rate decisions.. Lag: 2 weeks to 18 months. Confidence: 65%. - kenya-knbs-agriculture: Kenya KNBS agriculture statistics: livestock production, milk production, food prices, crop production -> Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure -> Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply. Producer decision: Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating.. Lag: 1 month to 2 years. Confidence: 69%. - kenya-ndma-drought: Kenya NDMA drought early warning: drought, forage, water, livestock condition -> Weather, forage, heat, and water stress -> Pasture days, stocking rate, milk yield, crop yield, hay demand, and forced-sale risk. Producer decision: Translate weather into forage days, water checks, feed coverage, and sale-or-hold thresholds.. Lag: 0 days to 16 weeks. Confidence: 69%. - ethiopia-statistics-agriculture: Ethiopia Statistical Service agriculture: livestock inventory, milk production, crop production, food prices -> Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure -> Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply. Producer decision: Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating.. Lag: 1 month to 2 years. Confidence: 69%. - nigeria-nbs-agriculture: Nigeria NBS agriculture statistics: food prices, livestock, crop output, inflation -> Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure -> Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply. Producer decision: Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating.. Lag: 1 month to 2 years. Confidence: 69%. - ipc-food-security: IPC food security classification: food security phase, livelihood stress, market access, regional risk -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Producer decision: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan.. Lag: Same day to 1 year. Confidence: 69%. - reliefweb-agriculture: ReliefWeb agriculture and disaster reports: drought reports, flood reports, conflict disruption, food security -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Producer decision: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan.. Lag: Same day to 1 year. Confidence: 69%. - fao-giews: FAO GIEWS country briefs: crop prospects, food prices, imports, country risk -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Producer decision: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan.. Lag: Same day to 1 year. Confidence: 69%. - fao-empres-i: FAO EMPRES-i animal disease events: animal disease events, early warning, transboundary risk, movement risk -> Animal health, movement rules, and buyer-access risk -> Movement friction, mortality risk, biosecurity spend, export eligibility, and buyer confidence. Producer decision: Treat health status as market data before moving, buying, selling, or contracting livestock.. Lag: Same day to 12 weeks. Confidence: 69%. - panama-canal-authority: Panama Canal Authority operations: transit restrictions, water level, vessel queues, logistics risk -> Port, freight, and logistics throughput -> Export basis, feed imports, fertilizer delivery, carcass movement, and regional price spreads. Producer decision: Check logistics before trusting a price that depends on moving cattle, grain, dairy, or inputs.. Lag: Same week to 4 months. Confidence: 69%. - suez-canal-authority: Suez Canal Authority traffic statistics: canal traffic, route disruption, freight risk, tonnage -> Port, freight, and logistics throughput -> Export basis, feed imports, fertilizer delivery, carcass movement, and regional price spreads. Producer decision: Check logistics before trusting a price that depends on moving cattle, grain, dairy, or inputs.. Lag: Same week to 4 months. Confidence: 69%. - baltic-exchange: Baltic Exchange freight indexes: dry bulk freight, grain freight, fertilizer freight, shipping cost -> Port, freight, and logistics throughput -> Export basis, feed imports, fertilizer delivery, carcass movement, and regional price spreads. Producer decision: Check logistics before trusting a price that depends on moving cattle, grain, dairy, or inputs.. Lag: Same week to 4 months. Confidence: 63%. - usda-oce-port-grain: USDA OCE grain transportation: grain transportation, rail rates, barge rates, ocean freight -> Port, freight, and logistics throughput -> Export basis, feed imports, fertilizer delivery, carcass movement, and regional price spreads. Producer decision: Check logistics before trusting a price that depends on moving cattle, grain, dairy, or inputs.. Lag: Same week to 4 months. Confidence: 69%. ## Source-To-Action Decision Paths - USDA AMS MyMarketNews: Cash cattle, feeder cattle, auctions, boxed beef -> Local bid strength and packer leverage -> Sale timing, weight class target, and hedge urgency. Forward window: 2-20 weeks. Producer action: Sell now, add pounds, or price-protect cattle before bids soften. Scenario: Milk margin squeeze. Confidence: 86%. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef, dairy. - U.S. Drought Monitor: Drought class, weekly narrative, pasture stress -> Forage pressure and early liquidation risk -> Cow retention, hay demand, calf movement, and replacement price. Forward window: 2-16 weeks. Producer action: Compare forage inventory against the value of carrying cattle longer. Scenario: Drought tightens forage. Confidence: 86%. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed. - USDA NASS QuickStats and ESMIS reports: Inventory, placements, pasture, hay, crop data -> Herd cycle, feeder supply, and feed availability -> Replacement strategy, retained heifers, and forward feeder supply. Forward window: 1-18 months. Producer action: Decide whether scarce replacement animals are worth keeping or selling. Scenario: Feed cost spike. Confidence: 84%. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed. - USDA FAS Open Data: Exports, imports, PSD, GAIN reports -> Export pull and trade-policy pressure -> Processor bids, regional basis, offal value, and cull cow demand. Forward window: 1-12 weeks. Producer action: Watch buyer access before committing volume into a weak local bid. Scenario: Export or border disruption. Confidence: 82%. Regions: north-america, latin-america, oceania, europe, africa-asia. Sectors: beef, dairy. - CEPEA/ESALQ cattle indicators: Boi gordo, calf, corn, soybean indicators -> Brazil pasture-fed margin and export-linked cattle bid -> State-level sale timing, dry-season supplement, and farm-to-farm price trust. Forward window: 1 quarter to 2 years. Producer action: Convert live price, exchange rate, and expected gain into a local sale window. Scenario: Export or border disruption. Confidence: 82%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef, feed. - NASA POWER: Temperature, humidity, wind, rainfall by coordinate -> Heat load, water stress, and pasture regrowth -> Gain, intake, fertility, death loss risk, and shade or water planning. Forward window: 2-16 weeks. Producer action: Adjust transport, feeding time, stocking rate, and water checks before stress peaks. Scenario: Drought tightens forage. Confidence: 83%. Regions: north-america, latin-america, oceania, europe, africa-asia. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed. - Open-Meteo global weather forecast: 7-day precipitation and temperature forecast by geo node -> Forward pasture, heat, water, and forage pressure -> Sale timing, feed coverage, water checks, milk yield, weight gain, and crop-feed risk. Forward window: 0-14 days. Producer action: Use the next-week rain and heat forecast before moving cattle, buying hay, changing supplement, or holding weight. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 75%. Regions: north-america, latin-america, oceania, europe, africa-asia. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - CFTC Commitments of Traders: Managed money, commercial, and open-interest positioning in live cattle, feeder cattle, corn, and soybean meal -> Speculative positioning and commercial hedge pressure -> Hedge timing, basis risk, feeder bids, feed coverage, and retained-ownership risk. Forward window: 1-8 weeks. Producer action: Use COT positioning as a weekly stress check before leaving cattle, corn, or soybean-meal exposure unprotected. Scenario: Feed cost spike. Confidence: 79%. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - Meat & Livestock Australia statistics API: Australian saleyard prices, slaughter, and cattle indicators -> Restocking appetite and saleyard competition -> Store cattle prices, breeder retention, and lot-feeder entry weights. Forward window: 0-3 weeks. Producer action: Tie rainfall recovery to whether paying up for replacement cattle makes sense. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 82%. Regions: oceania. Sectors: beef, feed. - EU Milk Market Observatory: Raw milk, butter, SMP, whey prices -> Milk margin and cull cow flow -> Cull timing, replacement rate, feed spend, and beef supply from dairy. Forward window: 2-20 weeks. Producer action: Update cull and feed decisions when milk solids stop paying for extra ration. Scenario: Milk margin squeeze. Confidence: 81%. Regions: europe. Sectors: dairy, feed. - Eurostat agriculture: EU bovine herd, cow inventory, and milk collection series -> European herd structure and milk supply pressure -> Replacement appetite, calf crop, cull flow, dairy-beef supply, and long-cycle price floor. Forward window: 1 quarter to 3 years. Producer action: Use structural herd and milk-collection data before changing cull timing, replacement buying, or retained-weight plans. Scenario: Milk margin squeeze. Confidence: 79%. Regions: europe. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed. - WOAH WAHIS: Official disease alerts and animal health reports -> Disease event and movement restriction risk -> Border access, auction flow, mortality risk, and buyer confidence. Forward window: Same day to 12 months. Producer action: Check health status before moving cattle, buying replacements, or signing export-linked volume. Scenario: Disease alert or movement hold. Confidence: 85%. Regions: north-america, latin-america, oceania, europe, africa-asia. Sectors: animal-health, beef, dairy. - USDA APHIS reportable diseases: H5N1 livestock guidance, dairy cattle movement updates, and biosecurity notices -> Dairy cattle movement and biosecurity risk -> Interstate movement, sale timing, replacement buying, milk logistics, and cull-cow flow. Forward window: Same day to 12 months. Producer action: Check APHIS guidance before moving lactating dairy cattle, buying replacements, or changing biosecurity routines. Scenario: Disease alert or movement hold. Confidence: 83%. Regions: north-america. Sectors: animal-health, dairy, beef. - World Bank commodity prices: Beef, energy, fertilizer, and feed commodity prices -> Feed, fertilizer, freight, and pasture input cost -> Backgrounding breakeven, finishing margin, hay cost, and stocking decision. Forward window: 2-20 weeks. Producer action: Reprice the next 50 lb or 25 kg before buying feed or delaying sales. Scenario: Milk margin squeeze. Confidence: 80%. Regions: north-america, latin-america, oceania, europe, africa-asia. Sectors: feed, beef, dairy. - FAO food price indices: FAO meat, dairy, cereal, oil, sugar, and headline food price indices -> Global food, feed, and protein price pressure -> Export pull, milk margin, ration cost, crop rotation, food inflation, and local bid resilience. Forward window: 1-12 months. Producer action: Compare global food index direction with local cattle, milk, feed, and crop bids before treating a market move as local noise. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 79%. Regions: north-america, latin-america, oceania, europe, africa-asia. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - USDA WASDE historical data: Corn, soybean meal, hay, and dairy/feed balance sheets -> Forward feed availability and ration cost -> Backgrounding margin, finishing days, milk-feed spread, and crop planting incentives. Forward window: 1-18 months. Producer action: Use monthly balance-sheet revisions to decide whether to lock feed, sell lighter, or carry cattle longer. Scenario: Crop yield shock. Confidence: 85%. Regions: north-america, latin-america, oceania, europe, africa-asia. Sectors: feed, crops, beef, dairy. - USDA ERS Feed Grains Database: Feed grain supply, animal unit indexes, rail rates, and grain shipments -> Feed breakeven and logistics pressure -> Feeder bids, ration substitutions, hay demand, and feedlot entry weights. Forward window: 1-18 months. Producer action: Compare feed grain and transport trends before buying feeders or delaying sale dates. Scenario: Feed cost spike. Confidence: 83%. Regions: north-america. Sectors: feed, crops, beef, dairy. - USDA Export Sales Reporting: Weekly export commitments and shipments by commodity and destination -> Export buyer pull before customs data confirms it -> Beef cutout support, grain basis, local processor bids, and feed ingredient demand. Forward window: 1-12 weeks. Producer action: Watch export-sales acceleration as an early signal for stronger cash bids or tighter feed. Scenario: Export or border disruption. Confidence: 82%. Regions: north-america, latin-america, africa-asia. Sectors: beef, feed, crops, dairy. - USDA FAS GAIN reports: Country attaché reports on policy, imports, production, and sanitary rules -> Policy and market-access change before official statistics update -> Export eligibility, buyer demand, import competition, and regional price ceilings. Forward window: 1 month to 5 years. Producer action: Treat policy reports as a forward signal for buyer access, not as background reading. Scenario: Policy or subsidy rule change. Confidence: 78%. Regions: north-america, latin-america, oceania, europe, africa-asia. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops, animal-health. - UN Comtrade: Partner trade flows by product code and reporting country -> Structural import demand and destination concentration -> Export exposure, currency sensitivity, processor competition, and crop-feed tradeoffs. Forward window: 1-12 weeks. Producer action: Know when local bids depend on one buyer region before committing cattle or grain inventory. Scenario: Port and freight shock. Confidence: 78%. Regions: north-america, latin-america, oceania, europe, africa-asia. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook: Ten-year meat, dairy, grain, and oilseed projections -> Long-cycle demand, productivity, and price direction -> Breeding retention, dairy expansion, crop rotation, and capital spending. Forward window: 1-10 years. Producer action: Use decade outlooks for structural bets; use daily dashboards for timing. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 70%. Regions: north-america, latin-america, oceania, europe, africa-asia. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - Copernicus Climate Data Store: Soil moisture, reanalysis weather, drought, and vegetation stress -> Pasture and crop yield stress before harvest or sale runs -> Forage carrying days, crop yield, feed price, stocking rate, and water planning. Forward window: 2-16 weeks. Producer action: Adjust stocking, hay purchases, crop marketing, and irrigation before official production reports. Scenario: Water restriction shock. Confidence: 82%. Regions: north-america, latin-america, oceania, europe, africa-asia. Sectors: feed, crops, beef, dairy. - USGS water data: Streamflow, reservoir, groundwater, and water-quality series -> Water availability for pasture, irrigation, feed crops, and cattle -> Stocking rate, crop yield, hay demand, heat-stress mitigation, and forced sale risk. Forward window: 0-12 weeks. Producer action: Tie stocking and planting decisions to measured water, not only rainfall. Scenario: Water restriction shock. Confidence: 80%. Regions: north-america. Sectors: feed, crops, beef, dairy. - IMF International Financial Statistics: Exchange rates, rates, inflation, and country macro series -> Currency translation and capital-cost pressure -> Export bids, imported feed cost, fertilizer cost, replacement finance, and dairy margins. Forward window: 1 month to 24 months. Producer action: Price cattle, milk, feed, and crops in both local and export-linked terms. Scenario: Credit and interest squeeze. Confidence: 78%. Regions: north-america, latin-america, oceania, europe, africa-asia. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - Brazil INMET weather data: Brazil station weather, rainfall, heat, and agrometeorology -> State-level pasture recovery and heat stress -> Arroba timing, mineral and supplement use, crop yield, and local freight pressure. Forward window: 2-16 weeks. Producer action: Move state-level sale plans when rainfall recovery or heat stress diverges from the national story. Scenario: Heat stress cuts milk and gain. Confidence: 84%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - Brazil MAPA Agrostat: Brazil agribusiness exports by commodity, destination, and state -> Export channel strength and destination concentration -> Processor bids, crop storage, freight, and local basis in export states. Forward window: 1-12 weeks. Producer action: Watch destination concentration before assuming export-linked bids will hold. Scenario: Port and freight shock. Confidence: 80%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - Brazil Comex Stat: Brazil Comex Stat monthly export value, volume, destination, and state flows -> Official customs flow confirms export pull -> Processor bids, destination risk, cattle basis, corn and soybean feed basis, and export-state freight. Forward window: 1-18 months. Producer action: Read export value, volume, buyer concentration, and state share before assuming local cattle bids or feed basis will hold. Scenario: Export or border disruption. Confidence: 83%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef, feed, crops. - CONAB agriculture portal: Brazil CONAB crop supply, demand, stock, production, and export balance -> Crop balance changes feed-cost cover -> Corn and soybean meal basis, supplement cost, crop selling, feedlot breakeven, pasture substitution, and retained weight. Forward window: 1-18 months. Producer action: Use CONAB stock-to-use, production, and export revisions before holding cattle for gain or leaving feed coverage open. Scenario: Feed cost spike. Confidence: 82%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: feed, crops, beef, dairy. - FAOSTAT: FAOSTAT livestock, milk, beef, and feed-crop production baselines -> Structural production capacity sets the slow market baseline -> Long-cycle cattle supply, milk-feed exposure, feed-crop availability, replacement value, and regional basis. Forward window: 1-18 months. Producer action: Use the structural baseline before treating a local price, feed, or replacement move as only short-term noise. Scenario: Feed cost spike. Confidence: 80%. Regions: north-america, latin-america, oceania, europe, africa-asia. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - FEWS NET food security and markets: FEWS NET market prices, cross-border trade, and food-security pressure -> Staple-price stress and livelihood pressure -> Feed substitution, household selling pressure, pasture movement, crop demand, and regional livestock bids. Forward window: 1 month to 9 months. Producer action: Use FEWS price and food-security stress before treating a local cattle or feed move as only a local market quote. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 77%. Regions: latin-america, africa-asia. Sectors: feed, crops, beef, dairy. - WFP VAM food security and prices: WFP VAM observed food prices across physical markets -> Local staple-price pressure before livestock markets fully adjust -> Feed substitution, household cash pressure, forced-sale risk, market depth, ration cost, and crop demand. Forward window: 2 weeks to 6 months. Producer action: Read WFP local prices beside cattle bids, pasture, and feed quotes before deciding whether to hold, sell, or buy supplement. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 79%. Regions: latin-america, africa-asia. Sectors: feed, crops, beef, dairy. - EU Agri-food data portal: EU country-level meat, dairy, crop, price, and production data -> Member-state basis and margin divergence -> Cull flow, beef imports, milk margin, feed cost, and cross-border movement. Forward window: 1 month to 5 years. Producer action: Use country-level differences before selling into a weak local market. Scenario: Policy or subsidy rule change. Confidence: 79%. Regions: europe. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - Global Dairy Trade: Global dairy auction product prices and demand shifts -> Milk-solids export demand and dairy margin pressure -> Dairy ration spend, cull cow flow, beef supply from dairy, and replacement appetite. Forward window: 2-20 weeks. Producer action: Reprice dairy feed and cull decisions after auction moves, not only after monthly milk checks. Scenario: Milk margin squeeze. Confidence: 79%. Regions: oceania, europe, africa-asia, latin-america. Sectors: dairy, feed, beef. - Banco Central do Brasil SGS: Brazil USD/BRL exchange rate, credit, inflation, and macro series -> Currency pressure on export bids and imported inputs -> Arroba bids, feed ingredients, fertilizer, diesel, machinery, and replacement finance. Forward window: 1-12 weeks. Producer action: Price cattle, feed, mineral, fertilizer, and fuel in local and dollar-linked terms before changing sale timing. Scenario: Credit and interest squeeze. Confidence: 81%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - IBGE SIDRA: Brazil cattle herd by state, production system, and annual survey -> State herd structure and regional supply concentration -> Local basis, pasture pressure, freight, export corridor load, and replacement buying. Forward window: 1 quarter to 2 years. Producer action: Compare local herd concentration with rain, freight, and export demand before deciding whether to hold or sell. Scenario: Export or border disruption. Confidence: 82%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef, feed, crops. - IBGE SIDRA: Brazil milk production by state and annual dairy survey -> Regional dairy margin and dairy-beef supply pressure -> Cull cow flow, replacement appetite, dairy ration demand, and beef supply from dairy regions. Forward window: 2-20 weeks. Producer action: Watch milk regions with feed and weather stress because cull supply can hit beef bids before monthly price reports feel stale. Scenario: Milk margin squeeze. Confidence: 80%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: dairy, beef, feed. - IBGE SIDRA: Brazil quarterly cattle slaughter, carcass output, and carcass weight from IBGE SIDRA -> Official slaughter pace changes supply pressure -> Processor leverage, local cattle basis, finished-cattle sale windows, carcass supply, and replacement appetite. Forward window: 2-20 weeks. Producer action: Read slaughter pace with local bids, export pull, feed cost, and pasture days before delaying sales. Scenario: Milk margin squeeze. Confidence: 82%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed. - IBGE SIDRA: Brazil state corn and soybean production from IBGE SIDRA -> State crop structure changes feed basis -> Corn and soybean meal basis, delivered feed cost, freight, storage, crop selling, and cattle gain economics. Forward window: 2-20 weeks. Producer action: Use state crop concentration with CONAB and Comex Stat before changing feed coverage or retained-weight plans. Scenario: Milk margin squeeze. Confidence: 81%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: feed, crops, beef, dairy. - Mexico SIAP livestock data: Mexico SIAP bovine meat, live cattle, slaughter, and state production data -> Mexico cattle supply changes border and regional basis -> Northern Mexico feeder flow, slaughter availability, replacement demand, border timing, and local cattle bids. Forward window: 2-16 weeks. Producer action: Read Mexico supply with drought, feed imports, border movement, and U.S. feeder bids before changing sale or retention timing. Scenario: Drought tightens forage. Confidence: 83%. Regions: latin-america, north-america. Sectors: beef, feed, animal-health. - Mexico SIAP livestock data: Mexico SIAP bovine milk production and regional dairy output -> Mexico dairy output changes cull and feed pressure -> Dairy feed demand, cull cow flow, replacement appetite, milk margin, and beef supply from dairy regions. Forward window: 2-16 weeks. Producer action: Watch milk regions with feed and heat stress because dairy margin can become cull-cow supply before beef headlines adjust. Scenario: Drought tightens forage. Confidence: 81%. Regions: latin-america, north-america. Sectors: dairy, beef, feed. - Mexico SIAP livestock data: Northern Mexico share of live cattle output and cattle weight structure -> Northern supply concentration meets imported feed and border demand -> Feed replacement cost, feeder cattle flow, drought exposure, transport, sale timing, and retained-weight economics. Forward window: 2-16 weeks. Producer action: Use northern Mexico concentration with corn import cost, drought forecasts, and cross-border basis before holding cattle for extra weight. Scenario: Drought tightens forage. Confidence: 82%. Regions: latin-america, north-america. Sectors: beef, feed, crops. - World Bank World Development Indicators: Country livestock, crop, fertilizer, land, food, and macro indicators -> Structural production capacity and input exposure -> Long-cycle livestock supply, crop-feed availability, fertilizer sensitivity, and import affordability. Forward window: 1 month to 24 months. Producer action: Use country structural indicators as the baseline before overreacting to a weekly market headline. Scenario: Credit and interest squeeze. Confidence: 76%. Regions: north-america, latin-america, oceania, europe, africa-asia. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - U.S. BLS farm input prices: Farm products, livestock, processed feeds, and animal food manufacturing price indexes -> Farm and feed input inflation -> Feed breakeven, hay substitution, ration cost, feeder-cattle bids, and dairy margin. Forward window: 1 month to 24 months. Producer action: Reprice the next gain period when feed-linked producer prices move faster than cattle value. Scenario: Fertilizer and energy squeeze. Confidence: 78%. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - U.S. EIA fuel prices: Weekly U.S. No. 2 diesel retail price -> Freight and feed-delivery cost pressure -> Hay hauling, feed delivery, yardage, crop inputs, feeder bids, and sale timing. Forward window: Same week to 12 months. Producer action: Reprice delivered feed, hay, and cattle hauling before deciding whether extra weight still pays. Scenario: War and shipping disruption. Confidence: 79%. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - GDELT global event monitor: Global public news mentions of livestock, feed, dairy, crops, disease, fuel, trade, and policy shocks -> Early event awareness before official reports update -> Buyer access, disease movement risk, export demand, feed input cost, weather pressure, and local sale timing. Forward window: 1 month to 5 years. Producer action: Use public event signals as watch items, then confirm with official data before changing cattle, milk, feed, or crop commitments. Scenario: Policy or subsidy rule change. Confidence: 74%. Regions: north-america, latin-america, oceania, europe, africa-asia. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, animal-health, crops. - USDA ERS livestock data: USDA ERS livestock data: slaughter, beef supply, retail and wholesale spread -> Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure -> Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply. Forward window: 1 month to 2 years. Producer action: Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef, dairy. - Google News public search RSS: Google News public search RSS: public news search, regional livestock alerts, trade disruption, feed input shock -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Forward window: Same day to 1 year. Producer action: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 63%. Regions: north-america, latin-america, oceania, europe, africa-asia. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, animal-health, crops. - USDA latest releases RSS: USDA latest releases RSS: USDA release, animal health, rancher policy, disaster program -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Forward window: Same day to 1 year. Producer action: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, animal-health, crops. - Beef Central RSS: Beef Central RSS: feedgrain, feeder cattle, live export, biosecurity -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Forward window: Same day to 1 year. Producer action: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 63%. Regions: oceania, africa-asia, north-america. Sectors: beef, feed, animal-health, crops. - Farm Progress RSS: Farm Progress RSS: farm policy, crop weather, livestock markets, feed inputs -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Forward window: Same day to 1 year. Producer action: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 63%. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, animal-health, crops. - CIDRAP infectious disease RSS: CIDRAP infectious disease RSS: H5N1, dairy cattle disease, biosecurity, zoonotic risk -> Animal health, movement rules, and buyer-access risk -> Movement friction, mortality risk, biosecurity spend, export eligibility, and buyer confidence. Forward window: Same day to 12 weeks. Producer action: Treat health status as market data before moving, buying, selling, or contracting livestock. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 61%. Regions: north-america, latin-america, oceania, europe, africa-asia. Sectors: animal-health, dairy, beef. - Brazil MAPA official RSS: Brazil MAPA official RSS: Brazil livestock policy, sanitary notices, market access, feed crops -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Forward window: Same day to 1 year. Producer action: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, animal-health, crops. - BeefPoint RSS: BeefPoint RSS: boi gordo, feedlot, beef exports, processor demand -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Forward window: Same day to 1 year. Producer action: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 63%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef, feed, crops. - AHDB RSS: AHDB RSS: UK beef, dairy margin, feed prices, veterinary access -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Forward window: Same day to 1 year. Producer action: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 64%. Regions: europe. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - Agriland RSS: Agriland RSS: Irish cattle, milk, veterinary access, feed and forage -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Forward window: Same day to 1 year. Producer action: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 63%. Regions: europe. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, animal-health, crops. - NOAA climate and drought feeds: NOAA climate and drought feeds: heat stress, rainfall, temperature anomaly -> Weather, forage, heat, and water stress -> Pasture days, stocking rate, milk yield, crop yield, hay demand, and forced-sale risk. Forward window: 0 days to 16 weeks. Producer action: Translate weather into forage days, water checks, feed coverage, and sale-or-hold thresholds. Scenario: Drought tightens forage. Confidence: 70%. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed. - CME livestock and grain markets: CME livestock and grain markets: futures curve, basis pressure, hedge timing -> Forward price curve and speculative positioning -> Hedge timing, basis risk, retained ownership, feed coverage, and financing needs. Forward window: 1-8 weeks. Producer action: Use futures as risk-transfer context, then verify local basis before changing physical commitments. Scenario: Feed cost spike. Confidence: 70%. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef, feed. - FAO Newsroom: FAO Newsroom: animal health report, food security, trade disruption, rural production -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Forward window: Same day to 1 year. Producer action: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: north-america, latin-america, oceania, europe, africa-asia. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, animal-health, crops. - Argentina SENASA: Argentina SENASA: animal movement, sanitary status, disease rules -> Animal health, movement rules, and buyer-access risk -> Movement friction, mortality risk, biosecurity spend, export eligibility, and buyer confidence. Forward window: Same day to 12 months. Producer action: Treat health status as market data before moving, buying, selling, or contracting livestock. Scenario: Disease alert or movement hold. Confidence: 74%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, animal-health. - ABARES agriculture data: ABARES agriculture data: herd size, farm income, exports, commodity outlook -> Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure -> Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply. Forward window: 1 month to 2 years. Producer action: Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: oceania. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed. - Australian Bureau of Meteorology: Australian Bureau of Meteorology: rainfall, drought, heat stress, water -> Weather, forage, heat, and water stress -> Pasture days, stocking rate, milk yield, crop yield, hay demand, and forced-sale risk. Forward window: 2-16 weeks. Producer action: Translate weather into forage days, water checks, feed coverage, and sale-or-hold thresholds. Scenario: Drought tightens forage. Confidence: 75%. Regions: oceania. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed. - Stats NZ agriculture: Stats NZ agriculture: dairy herd, beef cattle, exports, farm inputs -> Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure -> Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply. Forward window: 1 month to 2 years. Producer action: Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: oceania. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed. - USDA ERS dairy data: USDA ERS dairy data: all milk price, milk production, commercial disappearance, dairy product stocks -> Milk margin, product demand, and dairy-beef supply -> Ration spend, milk output, cull timing, replacement appetite, and beef supply from dairy herds. Forward window: 2-20 weeks. Producer action: Watch milk-feed spread before changing ration, culling, replacement, or dairy-beef decisions. Scenario: Milk margin squeeze. Confidence: 74%. Regions: north-america. Sectors: dairy, feed. - FRED agriculture macro series: FRED agriculture macro series: farm income, credit cost, inflation, exchange rate -> FX, credit, interest, and working-capital pressure -> Export bids, imported inputs, replacement finance, herd expansion, crop planning, and cash flow. Forward window: 1 month to 24 months. Producer action: Run the decision in local currency and dollar-linked terms before expanding, feeding longer, or locking inputs. Scenario: Credit and interest squeeze. Confidence: 73%. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - NOAA Climate Prediction Center: NOAA Climate Prediction Center: seasonal outlook, ENSO, hazards, precipitation anomaly -> Weather, forage, heat, and water stress -> Pasture days, stocking rate, milk yield, crop yield, hay demand, and forced-sale risk. Forward window: Same day to 12 weeks. Producer action: Translate weather into forage days, water checks, feed coverage, and sale-or-hold thresholds. Scenario: Heat stress cuts milk and gain. Confidence: 74%. Regions: north-america, latin-america, oceania, europe, africa-asia. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - NASA FIRMS fire data: NASA FIRMS fire data: wildfire, pasture burn risk, smoke, transport disruption -> Weather, forage, heat, and water stress -> Pasture days, stocking rate, milk yield, crop yield, hay demand, and forced-sale risk. Forward window: 0 days to 16 weeks. Producer action: Translate weather into forage days, water checks, feed coverage, and sale-or-hold thresholds. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: north-america, latin-america, oceania, europe, africa-asia. Sectors: feed, crops, beef, dairy. - USDA Risk Management Agency data: USDA Risk Management Agency data: crop loss, indemnity, prevented planting, county risk -> Crop balance, yield risk, and input allocation -> Feed availability, hay and grain basis, planting margin, ration choices, and livestock stocking. Forward window: 2 weeks to 18 months. Producer action: Connect crop signals to feed procurement, planting, hedging, and stocking-rate decisions. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: north-america. Sectors: crops, feed. - USDA Farm Service Agency data: USDA Farm Service Agency data: acreage, disaster assistance, program participation, forage risk -> Crop balance, yield risk, and input allocation -> Feed availability, hay and grain basis, planting margin, ration choices, and livestock stocking. Forward window: 1 month to 5 years. Producer action: Connect crop signals to feed procurement, planting, hedging, and stocking-rate decisions. Scenario: Policy or subsidy rule change. Confidence: 73%. Regions: north-america. Sectors: crops, feed, beef, dairy. - Argentina MAGyP data: Argentina MAGyP data: livestock prices, grain production, dairy output, export policy -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Forward window: 1 month to 5 years. Producer action: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan. Scenario: Policy or subsidy rule change. Confidence: 73%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - Mexico SIAP agriculture data: Mexico SIAP agriculture data: corn production, livestock production, milk production, regional price -> Crop balance, yield risk, and input allocation -> Feed availability, hay and grain basis, planting margin, ration choices, and livestock stocking. Forward window: 2 weeks to 18 months. Producer action: Connect crop signals to feed procurement, planting, hedging, and stocking-rate decisions. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: latin-america, north-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - Uruguay INAC: Uruguay INAC: cattle price, slaughter, beef exports, carcass weight -> Local price discovery and basis movement -> Sale timing, buyer leverage, class spreads, hedge urgency, and cash-flow planning. Forward window: Same day to 2 weeks. Producer action: Use the local price source as a bid check before selling, holding, hedging, or buying replacements. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef. - Paraguay SENACSA: Paraguay SENACSA: sanitary status, certification, movement, exports -> Animal health, movement rules, and buyer-access risk -> Movement friction, mortality risk, biosecurity spend, export eligibility, and buyer confidence. Forward window: Same day to 12 months. Producer action: Treat health status as market data before moving, buying, selling, or contracting livestock. Scenario: Disease alert or movement hold. Confidence: 74%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef, animal-health. - Eurostat COMEXT: Eurostat COMEXT: beef imports, dairy exports, grain trade, fertilizer trade -> Export pull, border access, and destination risk -> Processor bids, local basis, cull demand, feed-grain flows, and market-access premiums. Forward window: Same week to 6 months. Producer action: Price cattle, milk, crops, and feed with destination exposure before committing volume. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: europe. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - UK Defra agriculture statistics: UK Defra agriculture statistics: farmgate prices, milk production, livestock population, input costs -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Forward window: 1 month to 5 years. Producer action: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan. Scenario: Policy or subsidy rule change. Confidence: 73%. Regions: europe. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - New Zealand MPI agriculture data: New Zealand MPI agriculture data: primary exports, farm monitoring, meat outlook, dairy outlook -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Forward window: Same day to 1 year. Producer action: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: oceania. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - Australia DAFF agricultural trade: Australia DAFF agricultural trade: beef exports, grain exports, biosecurity, market access -> Export pull, border access, and destination risk -> Processor bids, local basis, cull demand, feed-grain flows, and market-access premiums. Forward window: Same day to 12 months. Producer action: Price cattle, milk, crops, and feed with destination exposure before committing volume. Scenario: Disease alert or movement hold. Confidence: 74%. Regions: oceania. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops, animal-health. - World Bank Climate Data: World Bank Climate Data: country climate risk, precipitation trend, temperature trend, drought exposure -> Weather, forage, heat, and water stress -> Pasture days, stocking rate, milk yield, crop yield, hay demand, and forced-sale risk. Forward window: Same day to 12 weeks. Producer action: Translate weather into forage days, water checks, feed coverage, and sale-or-hold thresholds. Scenario: Heat stress cuts milk and gain. Confidence: 74%. Regions: north-america, latin-america, oceania, europe, africa-asia. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - Statistics Canada agriculture and food data: Statistics Canada agriculture and food data: cattle inventory, dairy herd, crop production, farm income -> Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure -> Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply. Forward window: 1 month to 2 years. Producer action: Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - Agriculture Canada red meat market information: Agriculture Canada red meat market information: red meat prices, slaughter, trade, supply -> Local price discovery and basis movement -> Sale timing, buyer leverage, class spreads, hedge urgency, and cash-flow planning. Forward window: Same day to 2 weeks. Producer action: Use the local price source as a bid check before selling, holding, hedging, or buying replacements. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef, feed. - USDA Livestock Mandatory Reporting: USDA Livestock Mandatory Reporting: fed cattle trade, boxed beef, cutout, packer bids -> Local price discovery and basis movement -> Sale timing, buyer leverage, class spreads, hedge urgency, and cash-flow planning. Forward window: Same day to 2 weeks. Producer action: Use the local price source as a bid check before selling, holding, hedging, or buying replacements. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef. - USDA NRCS SNOTEL and SCAN: USDA NRCS SNOTEL and SCAN: snowpack, soil moisture, range water, irrigation supply -> Measured water availability and irrigation stress -> Stocking rate, pasture recovery, crop-feed yield, hay demand, and forced-sale pressure. Forward window: Same day to 12 weeks. Producer action: Pair water readings with rainfall and forage inventory before changing stocking or crop-feed plans. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - Brazil ANA HidroWeb and SNIRH: Brazil ANA HidroWeb and SNIRH: river level, streamflow, reservoirs, rainfall -> Measured water availability and irrigation stress -> Stocking rate, pasture recovery, crop-feed yield, hay demand, and forced-sale pressure. Forward window: Same day to 12 weeks. Producer action: Pair water readings with rainfall and forage inventory before changing stocking or crop-feed plans. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - Brazil CEMADEN monitoring: Brazil CEMADEN monitoring: drought monitoring, rainfall alerts, flood risk, transport disruption -> Weather, forage, heat, and water stress -> Pasture days, stocking rate, milk yield, crop yield, hay demand, and forced-sale risk. Forward window: 0 days to 16 weeks. Producer action: Translate weather into forage days, water checks, feed coverage, and sale-or-hold thresholds. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - Argentina SMN weather data: Argentina SMN weather data: rainfall, heat, severe weather, agrometeorology -> Weather, forage, heat, and water stress -> Pasture days, stocking rate, milk yield, crop yield, hay demand, and forced-sale risk. Forward window: 0 days to 16 weeks. Producer action: Translate weather into forage days, water checks, feed coverage, and sale-or-hold thresholds. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - Bolsa de Comercio de Rosario: Bolsa de Comercio de Rosario: corn, soybean, physical market, grain logistics -> Crop balance, yield risk, and input allocation -> Feed availability, hay and grain basis, planting margin, ration choices, and livestock stocking. Forward window: 2 weeks to 18 months. Producer action: Connect crop signals to feed procurement, planting, hedging, and stocking-rate decisions. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 64%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: feed, crops, beef, dairy. - Chile ODEPA open data: Chile ODEPA open data: beef prices, dairy prices, crop prices, trade -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Forward window: Same day to 1 year. Producer action: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - Mexico SNIIM market information: Mexico SNIIM market information: livestock price, meat price, feed ingredient, market volume -> Local price discovery and basis movement -> Sale timing, buyer leverage, class spreads, hedge urgency, and cash-flow planning. Forward window: Same day to 2 weeks. Producer action: Use the local price source as a bid check before selling, holding, hedging, or buying replacements. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: latin-america, north-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - Mexico CONAGUA-SMN climate data: Mexico CONAGUA-SMN climate data: drought, rainfall, reservoirs, temperature -> Weather, forage, heat, and water stress -> Pasture days, stocking rate, milk yield, crop yield, hay demand, and forced-sale risk. Forward window: 0 days to 16 weeks. Producer action: Translate weather into forage days, water checks, feed coverage, and sale-or-hold thresholds. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: latin-america, north-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - Colombia AGRONET: Colombia AGRONET: regional prices, production, input costs, trade -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Forward window: Same day to 1 year. Producer action: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - Uruguay SNIG livestock information: Uruguay SNIG livestock information: cattle movement, traceability, sanitary context, herd information -> Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure -> Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply. Forward window: 1 month to 2 years. Producer action: Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef, animal-health. - Peru MIDAGRI SISAP: Peru MIDAGRI SISAP: market prices, wholesale supply, feed crops, regional food prices -> Local price discovery and basis movement -> Sale timing, buyer leverage, class spreads, hedge urgency, and cash-flow planning. Forward window: Same day to 2 weeks. Producer action: Use the local price source as a bid check before selling, holding, hedging, or buying replacements. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - FAO AQUASTAT: FAO AQUASTAT: water resources, irrigation, withdrawals, water stress -> Measured water availability and irrigation stress -> Stocking rate, pasture recovery, crop-feed yield, hay demand, and forced-sale pressure. Forward window: Same day to 12 weeks. Producer action: Pair water readings with rainfall and forage inventory before changing stocking or crop-feed plans. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: north-america, latin-america, oceania, europe, africa-asia. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - Embrapa livestock and crop research: Embrapa livestock and crop research: pasture systems, forage research, production costs, technical alerts -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Forward window: Same day to 1 year. Producer action: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 61%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - Brazil CNA and Cepea farm-cost projects: Brazil CNA and Cepea farm-cost projects: production costs, input costs, regional margins, profitability -> Macro demand, inflation, affordability, and input-cost translation -> Consumer demand, working capital, import affordability, input costs, and farm cash flow. Forward window: 1 month to 5 years. Producer action: Read macro series with local bids before assuming a farm-margin signal is only local. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 61%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - CEPEA grain, milk, and input indicators: CEPEA grain, milk, and input indicators: corn price, soybean price, milk price, feed spread -> Local price discovery and basis movement -> Sale timing, buyer leverage, class spreads, hedge urgency, and cash-flow planning. Forward window: Same day to 2 weeks. Producer action: Use the local price source as a bid check before selling, holding, hedging, or buying replacements. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 61%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - Argentina INDEC statistics: Argentina INDEC statistics: inflation, trade, food prices, regional production -> Macro demand, inflation, affordability, and input-cost translation -> Consumer demand, working capital, import affordability, input costs, and farm cash flow. Forward window: 1 month to 5 years. Producer action: Read macro series with local bids before assuming a farm-margin signal is only local. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - Mercado Agroganadero de Cañuelas: Mercado Agroganadero de Cañuelas: cattle arrivals, category prices, buyer demand, auction volume -> Local price discovery and basis movement -> Sale timing, buyer leverage, class spreads, hedge urgency, and cash-flow planning. Forward window: Same day to 2 weeks. Producer action: Use the local price source as a bid check before selling, holding, hedging, or buying replacements. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 64%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef. - ROSGAN cattle auction market: ROSGAN cattle auction market: replacement prices, auction volume, regional cattle flow, category demand -> Local price discovery and basis movement -> Sale timing, buyer leverage, class spreads, hedge urgency, and cash-flow planning. Forward window: Same day to 2 weeks. Producer action: Use the local price source as a bid check before selling, holding, hedging, or buying replacements. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 64%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef. - Uruguay MGAP statistics: Uruguay MGAP statistics: cattle stock, dairy production, land use, policy -> Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure -> Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply. Forward window: 1 month to 2 years. Producer action: Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops, animal-health. - Uruguay INUMET weather: Uruguay INUMET weather: rainfall, drought, temperature, climate outlook -> Weather, forage, heat, and water stress -> Pasture days, stocking rate, milk yield, crop yield, hay demand, and forced-sale risk. Forward window: 0 days to 16 weeks. Producer action: Translate weather into forage days, water checks, feed coverage, and sale-or-hold thresholds. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - Chile SAG animal health and movement: Chile SAG animal health and movement: sanitary status, animal movement, border controls, certification -> Animal health, movement rules, and buyer-access risk -> Movement friction, mortality risk, biosecurity spend, export eligibility, and buyer confidence. Forward window: Same day to 12 weeks. Producer action: Treat health status as market data before moving, buying, selling, or contracting livestock. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: animal-health, beef, dairy. - Chile INE agriculture statistics: Chile INE agriculture statistics: livestock inventory, milk production, crop production, regional prices -> Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure -> Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply. Forward window: 1 month to 2 years. Producer action: Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - Colombia DANE agriculture statistics: Colombia DANE agriculture statistics: cattle slaughter, milk production, food inflation, regional agriculture -> Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure -> Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply. Forward window: 1 month to 2 years. Producer action: Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - Colombia FEDEGAN market reports: Colombia FEDEGAN market reports: cattle prices, producer context, dairy context, sanitary risk -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Forward window: Same day to 1 year. Producer action: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 64%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, animal-health. - Peru SENASA animal health: Peru SENASA animal health: sanitary status, movement risk, disease surveillance, export access -> Animal health, movement rules, and buyer-access risk -> Movement friction, mortality risk, biosecurity spend, export eligibility, and buyer confidence. Forward window: Same day to 12 weeks. Producer action: Treat health status as market data before moving, buying, selling, or contracting livestock. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: animal-health, beef, dairy. - Ecuador MAG SIPA: Ecuador MAG SIPA: livestock prices, crop prices, production, regional supply -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Forward window: Same day to 1 year. Producer action: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - Bolivia INE agriculture statistics: Bolivia INE agriculture statistics: livestock inventory, milk production, crop production, food prices -> Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure -> Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply. Forward window: 1 month to 2 years. Producer action: Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - Costa Rica CORFOGA cattle market: Costa Rica CORFOGA cattle market: cattle market, slaughter, beef chain, producer context -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Forward window: Same day to 1 year. Producer action: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 64%. Regions: latin-america. Sectors: beef. - Canfax cattle market reports: Canfax cattle market reports: fed cattle price, feeder price, slaughter, feedlot margin -> Local price discovery and basis movement -> Sale timing, buyer leverage, class spreads, hedge urgency, and cash-flow planning. Forward window: Same day to 2 weeks. Producer action: Use the local price source as a bid check before selling, holding, hedging, or buying replacements. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 64%. Regions: north-america. Sectors: beef, feed. - Canadian Grain Commission: Canadian Grain Commission: grain deliveries, exports, stocks, quality -> Crop balance, yield risk, and input allocation -> Feed availability, hay and grain basis, planting margin, ration choices, and livestock stocking. Forward window: 2 weeks to 18 months. Producer action: Connect crop signals to feed procurement, planting, hedging, and stocking-rate decisions. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: north-america. Sectors: feed, crops, beef, dairy. - Canadian Food Inspection Agency animal health: Canadian Food Inspection Agency animal health: disease status, movement control, surveillance, border rules -> Animal health, movement rules, and buyer-access risk -> Movement friction, mortality risk, biosecurity spend, export eligibility, and buyer confidence. Forward window: Same day to 12 weeks. Producer action: Treat health status as market data before moving, buying, selling, or contracting livestock. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: north-america. Sectors: animal-health, beef, dairy. - France Agreste agriculture statistics: France Agreste agriculture statistics: cattle inventory, milk production, slaughter, crop output -> Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure -> Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply. Forward window: 1 month to 2 years. Producer action: Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: europe. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - Germany BLE market information: Germany BLE market information: livestock prices, milk prices, crop prices, feed prices -> Local price discovery and basis movement -> Sale timing, buyer leverage, class spreads, hedge urgency, and cash-flow planning. Forward window: Same day to 2 weeks. Producer action: Use the local price source as a bid check before selling, holding, hedging, or buying replacements. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: europe. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - Destatis agriculture statistics: Destatis agriculture statistics: cattle inventory, milk production, slaughter, crop output -> Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure -> Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply. Forward window: 1 month to 2 years. Producer action: Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: europe. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - Ireland CSO agriculture data: Ireland CSO agriculture data: cattle inventory, milk production, slaughter, farm income -> Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure -> Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply. Forward window: 1 month to 2 years. Producer action: Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: europe. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - Ireland DAFM agriculture and market data: Ireland DAFM agriculture and market data: beef market, dairy market, animal health, farm schemes -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Forward window: Same day to 1 year. Producer action: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: europe. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, animal-health. - Spain MAPA agriculture statistics: Spain MAPA agriculture statistics: cattle prices, milk prices, feed prices, livestock production -> Regional event, policy, and local-market context -> Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence. Forward window: Same day to 1 year. Producer action: Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: europe. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - Italy ISMEA markets: Italy ISMEA markets: livestock prices, milk prices, crop prices, input costs -> Local price discovery and basis movement -> Sale timing, buyer leverage, class spreads, hedge urgency, and cash-flow planning. Forward window: Same day to 2 weeks. Producer action: Use the local price source as a bid check before selling, holding, hedging, or buying replacements. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: europe. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - Statistics Netherlands agriculture: Statistics Netherlands agriculture: livestock inventory, milk production, trade, environmental pressure -> Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure -> Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply. Forward window: 1 month to 2 years. Producer action: Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: europe. Sectors: beef, dairy, feed, crops. - EU JRC MARS crop monitoring: EU JRC MARS crop monitoring: crop yield, agrometeorology, weather anomaly, feed crop risk -> Crop balance, yield risk, and input allocation -> Feed availability, hay and grain basis, planting margin, ration choices, and livestock stocking. Forward window: 2 weeks to 18 months. Producer action: Connect crop signals to feed procurement, planting, hedging, and stocking-rate decisions. Scenario: none linked. Confidence: 67%. Regions: europe, africa-asia. Sectors: feed, crops, beef, dairy. ## Historical Lead-Lag Drivers - Pasture stress becomes sale pressure: lookback 30-120 days, forward window 2-16 weeks, lag Pasture stress usually hits feed buying first, sale runs second, and replacement prices last.. Leading signals: Soil moisture drops below seasonal median; Pasture condition ratings deteriorate; Hay and supplement quotes firm before auction volume rises. Forward effects: More calves and cull cows move earlier; Replacement animals face discount risk in dry regions; Feed cost can erase the value of extra gain. Producer decision: Move from calendar-based selling to forage-days and feed-margin selling.. Sources: us-drought-monitor, nasa-power, copernicus-cds, bom-climate, brazil-inmet, mexico-siap, gdelt-global-news. - Export pull changes local basis: lookback 4-52 weeks, forward window 1-12 weeks, lag Export sales lead shipments; shipments lead customs totals; customs totals confirm structural demand.. Leading signals: Weekly sales or attaché reports change before monthly trade files; Destination concentration rises; Currency makes local supply cheaper or dearer to importers. Forward effects: Processor bids widen or narrow by export access; Feed and crop basis shifts around ports and corridors; Sanitary or border events can erase the signal quickly. Producer decision: Price cattle and crops with local basis plus destination exposure, not only the national headline.. Sources: usda-esr, usda-fas, un-comtrade, brazil-mapa-agrostat, comex-stat, mexico-siap, brazil-bcb-sgs, gdelt-global-news. - Crop balance becomes feed margin: lookback 90 days to 5 years, forward window 1-18 months, lag Acreage and crop condition lead production; production leads feed price; feed price leads cattle and milk margins.. Leading signals: Acreage, crop progress, and soil moisture shift together; Balance-sheet revisions tighten ending stocks; Rail, freight, or port pressure widens local basis. Forward effects: Backgrounding and finishing margins compress; Dairy ration spend rises before cull flow changes; Crop producers may gain price opportunity while livestock producers face cost risk. Producer decision: Use the crop balance to decide feed coverage, hay buying, grain pricing, and stocking rate.. Sources: usda-wasde, usda-nass, usda-ers-feed-grains, conab, comex-stat, mexico-siap, faostat, gdelt-global-news. - Futures positioning becomes hedge and margin pressure: lookback 4-52 weeks, forward window 1-8 weeks, lag COT positioning shifts before many cash producers feel the basis move; the risk shows up later in hedge cost, feed coverage, and retained ownership.. Leading signals: Managed money exits long cattle exposure; Corn or soybean-meal shorts cover quickly; Open interest changes while cash bids lag. Forward effects: Hedge urgency rises before local bids fully reprice; Feed coverage becomes more valuable when feed shorts unwind; Retained ownership gets riskier when cattle longs liquidate. Producer decision: Check COT before deciding to hold unhedged weight, delay feed coverage, or assume today’s basis will still be there next month.. Sources: cftc-cot, cme-livestock, usda-ams, world-bank-pink-sheet. - Dairy margins become beef supply: lookback 4-26 weeks, forward window 2-20 weeks, lag Milk price and feed cost hit dairy margins before cull cow flow and beef supply respond.. Leading signals: Milk-feed spread narrows; Dairy auction prices weaken; Feed and energy prices rise together. Forward effects: Cull cows enter beef supply; Replacement appetite weakens; Milk output can fall after ration cuts. Producer decision: Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement purchases before monthly milk checks settle.. Sources: eu-milk, gdt-events, usda-ers-dairy, usda-ams, mexico-siap, world-bank-pink-sheet, ibge-sidra, brazil-bcb-sgs, gdelt-global-news. - Regional herd concentration becomes basis pressure: lookback 1-10 years, forward window 1 quarter to 2 years, lag Herd concentration changes local sale pressure slowly, but weather, freight, and export bids can pull that pressure into the next quarter.. Leading signals: State herd share rises in export-linked regions; Freight or pasture pressure diverges by state; Local cattle basis moves before national averages. Forward effects: Regional sale pressure can widen local discounts; Export-heavy states can pull cattle away from domestic buyers; Feed and crop corridors feel freight and pasture stress together. Producer decision: Price cattle against state-level supply, freight, pasture, and export basis before trusting the national cattle headline.. Sources: ibge-sidra, cepea-boi, mexico-siap, brazil-bcb-sgs, comex-stat. - Animal-health alerts become market-access friction: lookback Same day to 5 years, forward window Same day to 12 months, lag A disease notice can affect movement immediately, then trade access and buyer confidence over weeks or months.. Leading signals: Official disease notice or surveillance update; Movement guidance, testing rules, or border language changes; Buyer discounts appear before broad price averages adjust. Forward effects: Movement costs and delays rise; Export eligibility or buyer confidence can narrow; Biosecurity spend becomes part of the margin calculation. Producer decision: Check health status before moving cattle, buying replacements, or signing export-sensitive commitments.. Sources: woah-wahis, usda-aphis, argentina-senasa, paraguay-senacsa, australia-daff, gdelt-global-news. - Credit cost changes retention and input timing: lookback 30 days to 5 years, forward window 1 month to 24 months, lag Interest and credit changes hit input prepay and replacements before they show up in herd-size data.. Leading signals: Policy rates, farm credit, or inflation move together; Replacement purchases slow even when cattle prices look attractive; Input prepay windows get shorter. Forward effects: Retained ownership becomes harder to finance; Crop input timing can shift acreage and feed supply; Dairy ration and replacement choices tighten. Producer decision: Run feed, replacement, and planting choices through a cash-flow calendar before chasing headline price.. Sources: fred-ag-macro, imf-ifs, brazil-bcb-sgs, world-bank-wdi, bls-ag-inputs. - Logistics shocks become local basis gaps: lookback 7 days to 3 years, forward window Same week to 9 months, lag Freight and port disruption can widen local basis before national price series register the stress.. Leading signals: Fuel, port, rail, or border news moves before farmgate averages; Delivered feed diverges from board or benchmark price; Destination prices stop translating to local bids. Forward effects: Cattle, hay, milk, grain, and fertilizer spreads widen by corridor; Local arbitrage opportunities can appear; Remote producers face discount risk even in strong headline markets. Producer decision: Price the delivered destination, not the benchmark, before moving cattle, feed, milk, or crop volume.. Sources: eia-fuel, un-comtrade, brazil-mapa-agrostat, comex-stat, gdelt-global-news. - Geopolitical shocks become feed, freight, and basis risk: lookback Same day to 3 years, forward window Same week to 12 months, lag Conflict, sanctions, or shipping-route stress can move fuel, fertilizer, grain, and freight before farmgate cattle or milk prices adjust.. Leading signals: Red Sea, Black Sea, canal, port, or border headlines mention grain, fertilizer, fuel, or livestock routes; Freight, fuel, fertilizer, or grain indexes move before delivered feed quotes reset; Destination or route risk weakens the translation from global price to local bid. Forward effects: Delivered feed and fertilizer become more expensive or less reliable; Local basis can diverge from headline futures or export values; Local feed substitution, earlier sale timing, or destination hedging becomes valuable. Producer decision: Treat global conflict and shipping risk as a delivered-cost problem before changing sale timing, feed coverage, or crop-input purchases.. Sources: gdelt-global-news, reliefweb-agriculture, fao-giews, suez-canal-authority, panama-canal-authority, baltic-exchange, world-bank-pink-sheet, eia-fuel, un-comtrade, usda-oce-port-grain. - Heat load becomes milk and weight-gain drag: lookback 7-90 days, forward window Same day to 12 weeks, lag Heat and humidity affect intake first, then milk, weight gain, conception, and sale timing.. Leading signals: Temperature-humidity pressure rises for multiple days; Water demand and night cooling fail to reset; Feed intake falls before production reports update. Forward effects: Milk output and components weaken; Finishing cattle gain less efficiently; Water, shade, and ration timing become margin controls. Producer decision: Move heat mitigation and ration timing ahead of sale-weight or milk-output assumptions.. Sources: nasa-power, noaa-cpc, copernicus-cds, brazil-inmet, world-bank-climate. - Policy change resets farm incentives: lookback Same day to 10 years, forward window 1 month to 5 years, lag Policy often moves incentives before production changes, then appears later in acreage, herd, and trade data.. Leading signals: Subsidy, tax, environmental, or animal-health rule changes; Program deadlines change planting, culling, or compliance timing; Market access changes before trade totals confirm. Forward effects: Acreage, herd size, input spend, and certification costs can shift; Producer behavior can diverge by country or state; Compliance costs can become part of basis and buyer access. Producer decision: Before changing herd, crop, or feed plans, separate market signal from policy incentive.. Sources: usda-gain, eu-agri-food-data, uk-defra, argentina-magyp, usda-fsa, gdelt-global-news. ## Geo Market Nodes - Southern Plains, United States: Feedlot, fed cattle, drought, and feed basis node. Coordinates: 35.5, -99.5. Primary driver: Feed cost and drought. Watch signal: Feeder bids vs corn and hay basis. Risk: 68. Opportunity: 77. - Canadian Prairies, Canada: Feed grain, border, and feeder-cattle corridor. Coordinates: 52.1, -106.7. Primary driver: FX, feed grain, and border movement. Watch signal: Barley/corn spread and cross-border basis. Risk: 54. Opportunity: 69. - Mato Grosso, Brazil: Pasture, cattle, soy, corn, and export logistics node. Coordinates: -12.6, -55.7. Primary driver: Rain, arroba, export basis, and freight. Watch signal: Pasture recovery vs soybean and corn logistics. Risk: 72. Opportunity: 86. - São Paulo, Brazil: Reference cattle price, processor, dairy, and crop-input node. Coordinates: -22.2, -48.8. Primary driver: CEPEA indicators and processing demand. Watch signal: Boi gordo plus corn and soybean meal. Risk: 61. Opportunity: 79. - Northern Mexico, Mexico: Border cattle, feeder flow, drought, and corn import node. Coordinates: 28.6, -106.1. Primary driver: Border rules, drought, feed imports, and FX. Watch signal: Border movement vs feed replacement cost. Risk: 66. Opportunity: 72. - Queensland, Australia: Restocker, rainfall, pasture, and saleyard node. Coordinates: -22.6, 144.5. Primary driver: Rainfall recovery and restocking appetite. Watch signal: Rainfall anomaly vs store cattle competition. Risk: 62. Opportunity: 74. - Waikato, New Zealand: Pasture dairy, milk solids, and dairy-beef node. Coordinates: -37.8, 175.3. Primary driver: Milk-solids margin and pasture quality. Watch signal: GDT auctions vs pasture growth. Risk: 49. Opportunity: 73. - Ireland, Ireland: Grass dairy, beef, forage, and export node. Coordinates: 53.4, -8.2. Primary driver: Grass growth and milk-feed spread. Watch signal: Milk price vs forage availability. Risk: 48. Opportunity: 68. - North Germany, Germany: Dairy processing, feed-import, and cull-cow node. Coordinates: 53.6, 9.9. Primary driver: Milk price, SMP, feed, and energy. Watch signal: Raw milk vs SMP and delivered feed cost. Risk: 51. Opportunity: 67. - Western France, France: Dairy, beef, forage, and processing node. Coordinates: 48.1, -1.7. Primary driver: Forage, milk price, and replacement economics. Watch signal: Milk price vs forage and dairy-beef supply. Risk: 46. Opportunity: 66. - Netherlands dairy belt, Netherlands: High-density dairy, processor, and feed-import node. Coordinates: 52.2, 5.3. Primary driver: Milk price, butter, feed imports, and policy. Watch signal: Butter support vs farmgate milk and feed imports. Risk: 57. Opportunity: 70. - East Africa dairy belts, Regional: Smallholder dairy, feed access, heat, and water node. Coordinates: 0.5, 36.8. Primary driver: Feed, water, heat, and disease. Watch signal: Heat stress vs local feed availability. Risk: 74. Opportunity: 71. - Pampas, Argentina: Grass-fed beef, corn, policy, and export node. Coordinates: -36.5, -60. Primary driver: Export policy, pasture, corn, and FX. Watch signal: Policy shifts vs cattle and corn basis. Risk: 69. Opportunity: 76. - Colombian Llanos, Colombia: Tropical pasture, cattle expansion, and weather node. Coordinates: 4, -72.5. Primary driver: Rainfall, pasture, transport, and regional prices. Watch signal: Rainfall recovery vs local price spread. Risk: 65. Opportunity: 78. - Uruguay Littoral, Uruguay: Traceable beef, pasture, carcass, and export node. Coordinates: -32.3, -57.2. Primary driver: Export access and carcass value. Watch signal: INAC values vs pasture condition. Risk: 52. Opportunity: 74. - New South Wales, Australia: Saleyard, crop, grain ration, and feedlot entry node. Coordinates: -32.2, 147. Primary driver: Grain ration, freight, and rainfall. Watch signal: Grain basis vs feeder entry price. Risk: 55. Opportunity: 72. - Western France, France: Beef, dairy, forage, crop, and input-cost node. Coordinates: 47.5, -1.2. Primary driver: Forage, energy, dairy, and crop input cost. Watch signal: Milk-feed spread vs winter forage. Risk: 55. Opportunity: 66. - South Asia dairy clusters, Regional: Smallholder dairy, heat, feed, and milk availability node. Coordinates: 23.4, 78.8. Primary driver: Heat, feed access, and milk collection. Watch signal: Heat load vs milk supply. Risk: 66. Opportunity: 70. - Gulf import corridors, Regional: Import demand, animal health, feed grain, and logistics node. Coordinates: 24.5, 54.5. Primary driver: Import rules, disease status, freight, and feed grain availability. Watch signal: Disease alerts vs import demand. Risk: 70. Opportunity: 73. - South Africa Highveld, South Africa: Feedlot, maize, pasture, and disease-risk node. Coordinates: -26.2, 28. Primary driver: Maize basis, drought, and disease movement. Watch signal: Maize basis vs feedlot margin. Risk: 69. Opportunity: 68. ## Scenario Models - Drought tightens forage: Pasture weakens, hay gets tighter, and more cows or calves can move earlier than planned. Producer decision: Check forage inventory, water, and the value of selling lighter cattle before everyone else is forced to.. Sources: us-drought-monitor, noaa-climate, nasa-power, bom-climate, mexico-siap, gdelt-global-news. - Feed cost spike: Corn, hay, soybean meal, fuel, or freight costs rise faster than cattle value. Producer decision: Recalculate whether the next gain period is still worth feeding.. Sources: usda-ams, usda-nass, usda-ers-feed-grains, conab, mexico-siap, world-bank-pink-sheet, eia-fuel, cftc-cot, gdelt-global-news. - Export or border disruption: A sanitary, policy, currency, or logistics event changes buyer access. Producer decision: Do not assume local bids are stable when export channels or border rules move.. Sources: usda-fas, comex-stat, mexico-siap, woah-wahis, argentina-senasa, cftc-cot, gdelt-global-news. - Disease alert or movement hold: Official animal health alerts can change movement, buyer confidence, mortality risk, and export access. Producer decision: Treat health status as a market signal before buying, moving, or selling cattle.. Sources: woah-wahis, usda-aphis, argentina-senasa, gdelt-global-news. - Milk margin squeeze: Milk price weakens while feed, energy, or cull cow pressure rises. Producer decision: Reprice feed, cull timing, and replacement animals before ration spend outruns milk value.. Sources: eu-milk, usda-ams, mexico-siap, eurostat-agri, world-bank-pink-sheet, gdelt-global-news. - Crop yield shock: Soil moisture, heat, and rainfall patterns point to lower crop yields before harvest data is published. Producer decision: Decide whether to protect feed needs, price grain, adjust planting, or buy hay before local shortages are obvious.. Sources: copernicus-cds, usda-wasde, usda-nass, usda-ers-feed-grains, nasa-power, world-bank-climate, cftc-cot, gdelt-global-news. - Fertilizer and energy squeeze: Fertilizer, diesel, freight, and credit costs rise before crop or cattle prices fully adjust. Producer decision: Stress-test planting, feed procurement, and replacement purchases against higher working-capital cost.. Sources: world-bank-pink-sheet, bls-ag-inputs, eia-fuel, imf-ifs, gdelt-global-news. - Credit and interest squeeze: Higher financing cost changes replacement purchases, retained ownership, crop inputs, equipment, and working capital. Producer decision: Run every hold, buy, feed, and planting decision through cash-flow timing, not only headline price.. Sources: fred-ag-macro, imf-ifs, brazil-bcb-sgs, world-bank-wdi, gdelt-global-news. - Port and freight shock: Port congestion, fuel, border friction, or shipping disruption widens the gap between farm price and destination price. Producer decision: Before moving cattle, hay, grain, milk, or inputs, test whether freight has already eaten the price signal.. Sources: gdelt-global-news, un-comtrade, brazil-mapa-agrostat, eia-fuel, world-bank-pink-sheet. - War and shipping disruption: Conflict, sanctions, canal disruption, or route risk changes grain, fertilizer, fuel, freight, and protein trade costs. Producer decision: Before holding cattle for more gain, check whether war or shipping risk has changed delivered feed, fertilizer, freight, or buyer access.. Sources: gdelt-global-news, reliefweb-agriculture, fao-giews, suez-canal-authority, panama-canal-authority, baltic-exchange, world-bank-pink-sheet, eia-fuel, un-comtrade, usda-oce-port-grain. - Heat stress cuts milk and gain: Temperature, humidity, and water stress reduce milk output, weight gain, conception, and pasture recovery. Producer decision: Prioritize shade, water, ration timing, and sale weights before the heat signal shows up in production reports.. Sources: nasa-power, noaa-cpc, copernicus-cds, brazil-inmet, world-bank-climate. - Water restriction shock: Measured water shortage changes irrigation, pasture recovery, crop-feed yield, heat mitigation, and stocking rate. Producer decision: Treat water as the first constraint before adding animals, delaying sales, or counting on feed crops.. Sources: usgs-water, world-bank-climate, nasa-power, copernicus-cds, bom-climate. - Policy or subsidy rule change: Subsidies, environmental rules, animal-health rules, export taxes, or farm programs change producer incentives. Producer decision: Before changing herd size, crop acreage, or feed purchases, check if policy moved the incentive instead of the market.. Sources: usda-gain, eu-agri-food-data, uk-defra, argentina-magyp, gdelt-global-news. ## Machine-Readable Feed [Cattle Market Pulse Data Feed](https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/data.json) provides normalized localized regional market facts, current cattle market reports, source families, source evidence links, historical driver models, geo market nodes, scenario models, weight-to-value models, weather/feed notes, disease notes, and trade/policy notes. [Cattle Market Pulse Daily Briefing JSON](https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/daily-briefing.json) provides a region-filtered daily market briefing for cattle, dairy, feed, weather, disease, trade, and farm-market changes. Query filters include region, sector, language, and limit. Each briefing returns ranked changes, producer actions, public source links, source graph edges, historical drivers, scenarios, local markets, decision chains, citation text, and shareable markdown. [Cattle Market Pulse Daily Briefing Markdown](https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/daily-briefing.md) provides the same daily regional market brief in plain Markdown for direct reading and citation. Query filters include region, sector, language, and limit. [Cattle Market Pulse Daily Briefing RSS](https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/daily-briefing.xml) provides the top daily regional market changes as an RSS feed. Query filters include region, sector, language, and limit. 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The Markdown version at https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/decision-cockpit.md provides readable producer decision briefs with the active question, practical answer, current signals, historical pattern, scenario tests, source-to-decision route, source URLs, and JSON data link. [Cattle Market Pulse Decision Readiness](https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/decision-readiness.json) provides a region-filtered readiness board for cattle producer decisions. Query filters include region, sector, language, and limit. Each row ranks a sale, feed, forage, water, disease, trade, or dairy decision as ready, watch, or thin, then returns current market evidence, historical patterns, scenarios, local boards, next checks, and citation text. 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Each playbook connects current market events, driver impacts, temporal signals, calendar checks, public sources, historical rules, scenarios, and producer actions. [Cattle Market Pulse Intelligence Briefs](https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/briefs.json) provides compact citable briefs filtered by region, sector, and language. Each brief includes the producer question, answer, action, watch-next item, evidence rows, public source families, source graph edges, historical drivers, scenarios, and citation text. [Cattle Market Pulse Evidence Graph](https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/graph.json) provides compact market-evidence causal chains filtered by region, sector, and language. Each graph path links a market feed to a current signal, causal edge, historical lead-lag driver, forward scenario, evidence rows, and producer action. 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Each target entry connects a country/source layer to related public source families, source graph edges, historical drivers, scenarios, geo market nodes, decision coverage, and localized producer questions. [Cattle Market Pulse Local Markets](https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/local-markets.json) provides compact local-market intelligence filtered by region, country, sector, kind, search, language, limit, and offset. Each local market entry represents a country board, pasture basin, feed belt, dairy belt, or trade corridor and connects it to producer decisions, watch signals, public source layers, source families, source graph edges, historical drivers, and scenarios. [Cattle Market Pulse Local Boards](https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/local-boards.json) provides daily local action boards filtered by region, country, sector, kind, and language. Each board represents a country, pasture basin, feed belt, dairy belt, or trade corridor and returns priority, local action, watch signal, public source layers, current evidence, source graph links, historical rules, scenarios, and citation text. [Cattle Market Pulse Decision Traces](https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/decision-traces.json) provides source-to-action traces filtered by region, sector, language, and limit. Each trace connects a public source, current signal, causal driver, historical lead-lag rule, forward scenario, evidence rows, and producer action.