{"name":"Cattle Market Pulse local boards","description":"Region-filtered country, pasture-basin, feed-belt, dairy-belt, and trade-corridor boards for cattle, dairy, feed, crop, water, disease, trade, and farm-input decisions. Each board connects local market actions to public source layers, current evidence, source graph edges, historical rules, and scenarios.","generatedAt":"2026-06-06T22:14:46.359Z","snapshotGeneratedAt":"2026-06-06T11:33:23.605Z","snapshotWindow":{"startDate":"2026-05-28","endDate":"2026-06-03"},"updateCadence":"daily","isAccessibleForFree":true,"canonicalUrl":"https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/local-boards.json","filters":{"region":"north-america","sector":"all","kind":"all","country":"all","lang":"en","limit":3},"summary":{"boards":3,"countries":1,"actNow":1,"watch":2,"prepare":0,"sourceTargets":25,"sourceFamilies":19,"sourceGraphEdges":18,"historicalDrivers":8,"scenarios":8,"evidenceItems":8,"totalAtlasNodes":515},"queryExamples":["https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/local-boards.json?region=latin-america&country=BR&lang=pt","https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/local-boards.json?region=latin-america&kind=feed-belt&lang=es","https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/local-boards.json?region=north-america&sector=beef&lang=en","https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/local-boards.json?region=oceania&kind=dairy-belt&lang=en"],"boards":{"id":"local-market-boards-north-america-all-all-all-en","type":"local-market-boards","title":"North America local market boards","subtitle":"Country, basin, belt, and corridor boards with action, public source, history, and scenario links.","locale":"en","regionId":"north-america","regionName":"North America","generatedAt":"2026-06-06T22:14:46.359Z","snapshotGeneratedAt":"2026-06-06T11:33:23.605Z","snapshotWindow":{"startDate":"2026-05-28","endDate":"2026-06-03"},"updateCadence":"daily","isAccessibleForFree":true,"canonicalDataUrl":"https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/local-boards.json?region=north-america&sector=all&kind=all&country=all&lang=en","summary":{"boards":3,"countries":1,"actNow":1,"watch":2,"prepare":0,"sourceTargets":25,"sourceFamilies":19,"sourceGraphEdges":18,"historicalDrivers":8,"scenarios":8,"evidenceItems":8,"totalAtlasNodes":515},"boards":[{"id":"united-states-dairy-belt","type":"local-market-board","regionId":"north-america","regionName":"North America","country":"United States","countryCode":"US","name":"United States dairy and processor belt","localityKind":"dairy-belt","localityKindLabel":"Dairy belt","coordinates":{"latitude":31.76,"longitude":-124.28,"precision":"regional-centroid"},"sectors":["dairy","feed","beef"],"categories":["Dairy","Feed","Prices","Inventory"],"priority":"watch","priorityLabel":"Watch","risk":70,"opportunity":83,"estimatedSeries":730,"marketRead":"United States dairy and processor belt combines risk 70, opportunity 83, 10 public layers, and 8 current signals.","topAction":"Use milk price, solids, feed cost, cull-cow flow, and processor demand before changing ration, culling, or replacement plans.","watchSignal":"Milk-feed spread, processor pull, dairy-beef supply, and replacement economics.","nextCheck":"Review before the next report, input buy, or weekly movement.","sourceTargets":[{"id":"united-states-herd-inventory","layer":"Bovine herd, cow inventory, calf crop, and replacement numbers","category":"Inventory","updatePriority":"monthly","discoveryStatus":"api-ready","estimatedSeries":80,"producerUse":"Herd rebuild, replacement value, long-cycle supply, and basis."},{"id":"united-states-retail-foodservice-demand","layer":"Retail beef, dairy, foodservice, supermarket, and consumer demand signals","category":"Prices","updatePriority":"monthly","discoveryStatus":"api-ready","estimatedSeries":76,"producerUse":"Demand pull, product mix, seasonal retail pressure, and processor appetite."},{"id":"united-states-corn-feed-basis","layer":"Corn, barley, silage, and feed grain local basis","category":"Feed","updatePriority":"weekly","discoveryStatus":"report-parser-needed","estimatedSeries":72,"producerUse":"Cost of gain, feed coverage, stocking rate, and crop sale timing."},{"id":"united-states-live-cattle-cash-price","layer":"Live cattle cash and auction prices","category":"Prices","updatePriority":"daily","discoveryStatus":"report-parser-needed","estimatedSeries":60,"producerUse":"Local sale timing, buyer leverage, class spreads, and basis."},{"id":"united-states-soybean-meal-protein-feed","layer":"Soybean meal, protein meal, and feed ingredient prices","category":"Feed","updatePriority":"weekly","discoveryStatus":"report-parser-needed","estimatedSeries":54,"producerUse":"Ration cost, backgrounding margin, and dairy-feed spread."},{"id":"united-states-beef-cutout-wholesale","layer":"Beef cutout, boxed beef, primal, and wholesale meat prices","category":"Prices","updatePriority":"weekly","discoveryStatus":"api-ready","estimatedSeries":52,"producerUse":"Packer margin, grid leverage, carcass value, and finished-cattle bid pressure."},{"id":"united-states-cold-storage-meat-dairy","layer":"Cold storage, frozen meat, butter, cheese, and dairy stock reports","category":"Inventory","updatePriority":"monthly","discoveryStatus":"api-ready","estimatedSeries":48,"producerUse":"Demand clearing, product overhang, cull pressure, and processor bids."},{"id":"united-states-feeder-calf-auction","layer":"Feeder calf and replacement auction prices","category":"Prices","updatePriority":"weekly","discoveryStatus":"report-parser-needed","estimatedSeries":48,"producerUse":"Replacement buying, retained ownership, and weaning timing."},{"id":"united-states-feedlot-placement-on-feed","layer":"Feedlot placements, marketings, on-feed counts, and occupancy","category":"Inventory","updatePriority":"monthly","discoveryStatus":"api-ready","estimatedSeries":46,"producerUse":"Feeder demand, finishing backlog, feed demand, and forward slaughter supply."},{"id":"united-states-hay-forage-pasture","layer":"Hay, forage, pasture, and grazing condition reports","category":"Feed","updatePriority":"weekly","discoveryStatus":"manual-review","estimatedSeries":42,"producerUse":"Forage days, forced-sale pressure, hay buying, and carrying capacity."}],"sourceFamilies":[{"id":"usda-ams","name":"USDA AMS MyMarketNews","category":"Prices","officialUrl":"https://mymarketnews.ams.usda.gov/mymarketnews-api/faqs","updatePriority":"daily","ingestionStatus":"live","mappedSeries":420},{"id":"usda-ers-feed-grains","name":"USDA ERS Feed Grains Database","category":"Feed","officialUrl":"https://ers.usda.gov/data-products/feed-grains-database/documentation","updatePriority":"monthly","ingestionStatus":"live","mappedSeries":190},{"id":"usda-nass","name":"USDA NASS QuickStats and ESMIS reports","category":"Inventory","officialUrl":"https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/","updatePriority":"weekly","ingestionStatus":"live","mappedSeries":160},{"id":"faostat","name":"FAOSTAT","category":"Inventory","officialUrl":"https://faostat.fao.org/","updatePriority":"monthly","ingestionStatus":"live","mappedSeries":95},{"id":"eia-fuel","name":"U.S. EIA fuel prices","category":"Feed","officialUrl":"https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/gasdiesel/","updatePriority":"weekly","ingestionStatus":"live","mappedSeries":20},{"id":"statcan-agriculture","name":"Statistics Canada agriculture and food data","category":"Inventory","officialUrl":"https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/subjects-start/agriculture_and_food","updatePriority":"monthly","ingestionStatus":"api-ready","mappedSeries":520},{"id":"mexico-sniim","name":"Mexico SNIIM market information","category":"Prices","officialUrl":"https://www.economia-sniim.gob.mx/","updatePriority":"daily","ingestionStatus":"report-parser-needed","mappedSeries":260},{"id":"usda-lmr","name":"USDA Livestock Mandatory Reporting","category":"Prices","officialUrl":"https://www.ams.usda.gov/market-news/livestock-poultry-grain","updatePriority":"daily","ingestionStatus":"api-ready","mappedSeries":160}],"sourceGraph":[{"id":"ams-price-to-sale-window","sourceId":"usda-ams","sourceName":"USDA AMS MyMarketNews","driver":"Local bid strength and packer leverage","affects":"Sale timing, weight class target, and hedge urgency","producerDecision":"Sell now, add pounds, or price-protect cattle before bids soften.","lag":"0-2 days","confidence":91},{"id":"ers-feed-grains-to-breakeven","sourceId":"usda-ers-feed-grains","sourceName":"USDA ERS Feed Grains Database","driver":"Feed breakeven and logistics pressure","affects":"Feeder bids, ration substitutions, hay demand, and feedlot entry weights","producerDecision":"Compare feed grain and transport trends before buying feeders or delaying sale dates.","lag":"2-8 weeks","confidence":84},{"id":"nass-inventory-to-cycle","sourceId":"usda-nass","sourceName":"USDA NASS QuickStats and ESMIS reports","driver":"Herd cycle, feeder supply, and feed availability","affects":"Replacement strategy, retained heifers, and forward feeder supply","producerDecision":"Decide whether scarce replacement animals are worth keeping or selling.","lag":"1 month to 1 year","confidence":86},{"id":"faostat-category-causal-edge","sourceId":"faostat","sourceName":"FAOSTAT","driver":"Structural production capacity sets the slow market baseline","affects":"Long-cycle cattle supply, milk-feed exposure, feed-crop availability, replacement value, and regional basis","producerDecision":"Use the structural baseline before treating a local price, feed, or replacement move as only short-term noise.","lag":"3 months to 3 years","confidence":78},{"id":"eia-diesel-to-freight-feed-cost","sourceId":"eia-fuel","sourceName":"U.S. EIA fuel prices","driver":"Freight and feed-delivery cost pressure","affects":"Hay hauling, feed delivery, yardage, crop inputs, feeder bids, and sale timing","producerDecision":"Reprice delivered feed, hay, and cattle hauling before deciding whether extra weight still pays.","lag":"Same week to 8 weeks","confidence":80},{"id":"statcan-agriculture-category-causal-edge","sourceId":"statcan-agriculture","sourceName":"Statistics Canada agriculture and food data","driver":"Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure","affects":"Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply","producerDecision":"Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating.","lag":"1 month to 2 years","confidence":69},{"id":"mexico-sniim-category-causal-edge","sourceId":"mexico-sniim","sourceName":"Mexico SNIIM market information","driver":"Local price discovery and basis movement","affects":"Sale timing, buyer leverage, class spreads, hedge urgency, and cash-flow planning","producerDecision":"Use the local price source as a bid check before selling, holding, hedging, or buying replacements.","lag":"Same day to 2 weeks","confidence":69},{"id":"usda-lmr-category-causal-edge","sourceId":"usda-lmr","sourceName":"USDA Livestock Mandatory Reporting","driver":"Local price discovery and basis movement","affects":"Sale timing, buyer leverage, class spreads, hedge urgency, and cash-flow planning","producerDecision":"Use the local price source as a bid check before selling, holding, hedging, or buying replacements.","lag":"Same day to 2 weeks","confidence":69}],"historicalDrivers":[{"id":"positioning-to-hedge-margin","driver":"Futures positioning becomes hedge and margin pressure","lag":"COT positioning shifts before many cash producers feel the basis move; the risk shows up later in hedge cost, feed coverage, and retained ownership.","forwardWindow":"1-8 weeks","producerDecision":"Check COT before deciding to hold unhedged weight, delay feed coverage, or assume today’s basis will still be there next month.","confidence":78},{"id":"dairy-margin-to-beef-supply","driver":"Dairy margins become beef supply","lag":"Milk price and feed cost hit dairy margins before cull cow flow and beef supply respond.","forwardWindow":"2-20 weeks","producerDecision":"Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement purchases before monthly milk checks settle.","confidence":81},{"id":"crop-balance-to-feed-margin","driver":"Crop balance becomes feed margin","lag":"Acreage and crop condition lead production; production leads feed price; feed price leads cattle and milk margins.","forwardWindow":"1-18 months","producerDecision":"Use the crop balance to decide feed coverage, hay buying, grain pricing, and stocking rate.","confidence":84},{"id":"logistics-to-local-basis","driver":"Logistics shocks become local basis gaps","lag":"Freight and port disruption can widen local basis before national price series register the stress.","forwardWindow":"Same week to 9 months","producerDecision":"Price the delivered destination, not the benchmark, before moving cattle, feed, milk, or crop volume.","confidence":78},{"id":"geopolitical-shock-to-feed-freight","driver":"Geopolitical shocks become feed, freight, and basis risk","lag":"Conflict, sanctions, or shipping-route stress can move fuel, fertilizer, grain, and freight before farmgate cattle or milk prices adjust.","forwardWindow":"Same week to 12 months","producerDecision":"Treat global conflict and shipping risk as a delivered-cost problem before changing sale timing, feed coverage, or crop-input purchases.","confidence":79}],"scenarios":[{"id":"feed-cost-spike","name":"Feed cost spike","sector":"feed","defaultIntensity":35,"producerDecision":"Recalculate whether the next gain period is still worth feeding."},{"id":"milk-margin-squeeze","name":"Milk margin squeeze","sector":"dairy","defaultIntensity":33,"producerDecision":"Reprice feed, cull timing, and replacement animals before ration spend outruns milk value."},{"id":"crop-yield-shock","name":"Crop yield shock","sector":"crops","defaultIntensity":38,"producerDecision":"Decide whether to protect feed needs, price grain, adjust planting, or buy hay before local shortages are obvious."},{"id":"fertilizer-energy-squeeze","name":"Fertilizer and energy squeeze","sector":"crops","defaultIntensity":32,"producerDecision":"Stress-test planting, feed procurement, and replacement purchases against higher working-capital cost."},{"id":"port-freight-shock","name":"Port and freight shock","sector":"feed","defaultIntensity":36,"producerDecision":"Before moving cattle, hay, grain, milk, or inputs, test whether freight has already eaten the price signal."}],"evidence":[{"id":"us-drought-monitor-southern-plains-d2-plus-forage-retention-impact","kind":"driver-impact","title":"Southern Plains severe drought footprint changes forage and retention risk","detail":"52 % D2+ area in the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. D2+ is the official severe-drought footprint to read before assuming pasture, hay, and water pressure stay local.","action":"Recount forage and hay inventory now, then compare selling lighter cattle against carrying them through a drought-priced gain period.","sourceId":"us-drought-monitor","sourceName":"U.S. Drought Monitor","sourceUrl":"https://www.drought.gov/data-maps-tools/us-drought-monitor","confidence":92,"severity":"high","sectors":["beef","dairy","feed"]},{"id":"us-drought-monitor-oklahoma-d2-plus-forage-retention-impact","kind":"driver-impact","title":"Oklahoma severe drought footprint changes forage and retention risk","detail":"46 % D2+ area in the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. D2+ is the official severe-drought footprint to read before assuming pasture, hay, and water pressure stay local.","action":"Recount forage and hay inventory now, then compare selling lighter cattle against carrying them through a drought-priced gain period.","sourceId":"us-drought-monitor","sourceName":"U.S. Drought Monitor","sourceUrl":"https://www.drought.gov/data-maps-tools/us-drought-monitor","confidence":91,"severity":"high","sectors":["beef","dairy","feed"]},{"id":"us-drought-monitor-nebraska-d2-plus-forage-retention-impact","kind":"driver-impact","title":"Nebraska severe drought footprint changes forage and retention risk","detail":"75 % D2+ area in the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. D2+ is the official severe-drought footprint to read before assuming pasture, hay, and water pressure stay local.","action":"Recount forage and hay inventory now, then compare selling lighter cattle against carrying them through a drought-priced gain period.","sourceId":"us-drought-monitor","sourceName":"U.S. Drought Monitor","sourceUrl":"https://www.drought.gov/data-maps-tools/us-drought-monitor","confidence":91,"severity":"high","sectors":["beef","dairy","feed"]},{"id":"us-drought-monitor-colorado-d2-plus-forage-retention-impact","kind":"driver-impact","title":"Colorado severe drought footprint changes forage and retention risk","detail":"76 % D2+ area in the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. D2+ is the official severe-drought footprint to read before assuming pasture, hay, and water pressure stay local.","action":"Recount forage and hay inventory now, then compare selling lighter cattle against carrying them through a drought-priced gain period.","sourceId":"us-drought-monitor","sourceName":"U.S. Drought Monitor","sourceUrl":"https://www.drought.gov/data-maps-tools/us-drought-monitor","confidence":91,"severity":"high","sectors":["beef","dairy","feed"]},{"id":"us-drought-monitor-new-mexico-d2-plus-forage-retention-impact","kind":"driver-impact","title":"New Mexico severe drought footprint changes forage and retention risk","detail":"85 % D2+ area in the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. D2+ is the official severe-drought footprint to read before assuming pasture, hay, and water pressure stay local.","action":"Recount forage and hay inventory now, then compare selling lighter cattle against carrying them through a drought-priced gain period.","sourceId":"us-drought-monitor","sourceName":"U.S. Drought Monitor","sourceUrl":"https://www.drought.gov/data-maps-tools/us-drought-monitor","confidence":91,"severity":"high","sectors":["beef","dairy","feed"]},{"id":"usda-nass-cattle-on-feed-fed-cattle-marketings-2026-05-22-official-report-impact","kind":"driver-impact","title":"U.S. fed cattle marketings changes the official cattle on feed read","detail":"1.6 million head in the 2026-05-22 USDA NASS Cattle on Feed; -10.0% versus the prior period. This is an official supply, feed, dairy, or pasture signal to read before treating local prices as isolated.","action":"Check slaughter flow and live weights against local bids before holding unpriced cattle or assuming packer demand is unchanged.","sourceId":"usda-nass","sourceName":"USDA NASS QuickStats and ESMIS reports","sourceUrl":"https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/","confidence":91,"severity":"high","sectors":["beef","feed"]},{"id":"usda-nass-livestock-slaughter-cattle-slaughter-2026-05-21-official-report-impact","kind":"driver-impact","title":"U.S. cattle slaughter changes the official livestock slaughter read","detail":"2.3 million head in the 2026-05-21 USDA NASS Livestock Slaughter; -9.0% versus the prior period. This is an official supply, feed, dairy, or pasture signal to read before treating local prices as isolated.","action":"Check slaughter flow and live weights against local bids before holding unpriced cattle or assuming packer demand is unchanged.","sourceId":"usda-nass","sourceName":"USDA NASS QuickStats and ESMIS reports","sourceUrl":"https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/","confidence":91,"severity":"high","sectors":["beef"]},{"id":"usda-nass-crop-progress-pasture-good-excellent-2026-06-01-official-report-impact","kind":"driver-impact","title":"U.S. pasture good/excellent changes the official crop progress read","detail":"30 % in the 2026-06-01 USDA NASS Crop Progress; -12.0 points versus last year. This is an official supply, feed, dairy, or pasture signal to read before treating local prices as isolated.","action":"Move this NASS read into the feed plan now: count forage days, price hay and grain, then compare selling lighter cattle against buying another gain period.","sourceId":"usda-nass","sourceName":"USDA NASS QuickStats and ESMIS reports","sourceUrl":"https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/","confidence":91,"severity":"high","sectors":["feed","crops","beef","dairy"]}],"citationText":"United States dairy and processor belt connects 10 public layers, 8 source families, 8 causal links, 5 historical rules, and 5 scenarios.","canonicalDataUrl":"https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/local-boards.json?region=north-america&country=US&kind=dairy-belt&lang=en","score":436.6},{"id":"united-states-pasture-basin","type":"local-market-board","regionId":"north-america","regionName":"North America","country":"United States","countryCode":"US","name":"United States pasture and water basin","localityKind":"pasture-basin","localityKindLabel":"Pasture basin","coordinates":{"latitude":31.04,"longitude":-126.12,"precision":"regional-centroid"},"sectors":["beef","dairy","feed"],"categories":["Weather","Water","Feed","Regional"],"priority":"watch","priorityLabel":"Watch","risk":69,"opportunity":83,"estimatedSeries":709,"marketRead":"United States pasture and water basin combines risk 69, opportunity 83, 10 public layers, and 8 current signals.","topAction":"Use rainfall, heat, water, pasture, and forage signals before changing stocking rate, sale pressure, or supplement buying.","watchSignal":"Pasture recovery, water stress, heat load, hay availability, and forced-sale risk.","nextCheck":"Review before the next report, input buy, or weekly movement.","sourceTargets":[{"id":"united-states-satellite-vegetation-biomass","layer":"Satellite NDVI, biomass, pasture growth, and forage anomaly grids","category":"Weather","updatePriority":"daily","discoveryStatus":"live","estimatedSeries":140,"producerUse":"Forage growth, stocking pressure, hay demand, and crop-feed substitution."},{"id":"united-states-rainfall-soil-moisture","layer":"Rainfall, soil moisture, pasture water, and drought grids","category":"Weather","updatePriority":"daily","discoveryStatus":"live","estimatedSeries":96,"producerUse":"Pasture recovery, planting risk, water checks, and forced-sale timing."},{"id":"united-states-heat-stress-forecast","layer":"Heat, humidity, wind, and livestock stress forecasts","category":"Weather","updatePriority":"daily","discoveryStatus":"live","estimatedSeries":84,"producerUse":"Milk yield, intake, transport timing, water demand, and gain risk."},{"id":"united-states-corn-feed-basis","layer":"Corn, barley, silage, and feed grain local basis","category":"Feed","updatePriority":"weekly","discoveryStatus":"report-parser-needed","estimatedSeries":72,"producerUse":"Cost of gain, feed coverage, stocking rate, and crop sale timing."},{"id":"united-states-water-reservoir-river","layer":"Reservoir, river, groundwater, and irrigation water data","category":"Water","updatePriority":"daily","discoveryStatus":"api-ready","estimatedSeries":64,"producerUse":"Stocking, irrigation, pasture recovery, hay demand, and crop-feed yield."},{"id":"united-states-soybean-meal-protein-feed","layer":"Soybean meal, protein meal, and feed ingredient prices","category":"Feed","updatePriority":"weekly","discoveryStatus":"report-parser-needed","estimatedSeries":54,"producerUse":"Ration cost, backgrounding margin, and dairy-feed spread."},{"id":"united-states-policy-subsidy-inspection","layer":"Policy, subsidy, inspection, environmental, and animal welfare notices","category":"Regional","updatePriority":"event-driven","discoveryStatus":"report-parser-needed","estimatedSeries":45,"producerUse":"Compliance cost, program deadlines, market access, and farm incentives."},{"id":"united-states-hay-forage-pasture","layer":"Hay, forage, pasture, and grazing condition reports","category":"Feed","updatePriority":"weekly","discoveryStatus":"manual-review","estimatedSeries":42,"producerUse":"Forage days, forced-sale pressure, hay buying, and carrying capacity."},{"id":"united-states-emissions-manure-environment","layer":"Methane, manure, water-quality, environmental, and climate-compliance rules","category":"Regional","updatePriority":"event-driven","discoveryStatus":"report-parser-needed","estimatedSeries":42,"producerUse":"Compliance cost, stocking choices, manure systems, and processor requirements."},{"id":"united-states-wildfire-smoke-air-quality","layer":"Wildfire, smoke, air quality, and livestock transport disruption alerts","category":"Weather","updatePriority":"daily","discoveryStatus":"api-ready","estimatedSeries":40,"producerUse":"Transport timing, heat-load management, respiratory risk, and grazing disruption."}],"sourceFamilies":[{"id":"mexico-siap","name":"Mexico SIAP livestock data","category":"Regional","officialUrl":"https://www.gob.mx/agricultura/dgsiap/acciones-y-programas/produccion-pecuaria","updatePriority":"monthly","ingestionStatus":"live","mappedSeries":50},{"id":"gdelt-global-news","name":"GDELT global event monitor","category":"Regional","officialUrl":"https://www.gdeltproject.org/","updatePriority":"daily","ingestionStatus":"live","mappedSeries":250000},{"id":"open-meteo-forecast","name":"Open-Meteo global weather forecast","category":"Weather","officialUrl":"https://open-meteo.com/en/docs","updatePriority":"daily","ingestionStatus":"live","mappedSeries":20000},{"id":"google-news-rss","name":"Google News public search RSS","category":"Regional","officialUrl":"https://news.google.com/rss","updatePriority":"daily","ingestionStatus":"live","mappedSeries":1200},{"id":"reliefweb-agriculture","name":"ReliefWeb agriculture and disaster reports","category":"Regional","officialUrl":"https://reliefweb.int/","updatePriority":"daily","ingestionStatus":"live","mappedSeries":1000},{"id":"usgs-water","name":"USGS water data","category":"Water","officialUrl":"https://waterservices.usgs.gov/","updatePriority":"daily","ingestionStatus":"live","mappedSeries":740},{"id":"usda-ers-feed-grains","name":"USDA ERS Feed Grains Database","category":"Feed","officialUrl":"https://ers.usda.gov/data-products/feed-grains-database/documentation","updatePriority":"monthly","ingestionStatus":"live","mappedSeries":190},{"id":"nasa-power","name":"NASA POWER","category":"Weather","officialUrl":"https://power.larc.nasa.gov/api/pages/","updatePriority":"daily","ingestionStatus":"live","mappedSeries":72}],"sourceGraph":[{"id":"mexico-siap-livestock-to-border-supply","sourceId":"mexico-siap","sourceName":"Mexico SIAP livestock data","driver":"Mexico cattle supply changes border and regional basis","affects":"Northern Mexico feeder flow, slaughter availability, replacement demand, border timing, and local cattle bids","producerDecision":"Read Mexico supply with drought, feed imports, border movement, and U.S. feeder bids before changing sale or retention timing.","lag":"1 quarter to 18 months","confidence":83},{"id":"mexico-siap-milk-to-dairy-beef-supply","sourceId":"mexico-siap","sourceName":"Mexico SIAP livestock data","driver":"Mexico dairy output changes cull and feed pressure","affects":"Dairy feed demand, cull cow flow, replacement appetite, milk margin, and beef supply from dairy regions","producerDecision":"Watch milk regions with feed and heat stress because dairy margin can become cull-cow supply before beef headlines adjust.","lag":"1 month to 1 year","confidence":80},{"id":"mexico-siap-northern-supply-to-feed-imports","sourceId":"mexico-siap","sourceName":"Mexico SIAP livestock data","driver":"Northern supply concentration meets imported feed and border demand","affects":"Feed replacement cost, feeder cattle flow, drought exposure, transport, sale timing, and retained-weight economics","producerDecision":"Use northern Mexico concentration with corn import cost, drought forecasts, and cross-border basis before holding cattle for extra weight.","lag":"Same month to 12 months","confidence":81},{"id":"gdelt-news-to-market-event-risk","sourceId":"gdelt-global-news","sourceName":"GDELT global event monitor","driver":"Early event awareness before official reports update","affects":"Buyer access, disease movement risk, export demand, feed input cost, weather pressure, and local sale timing","producerDecision":"Use public event signals as watch items, then confirm with official data before changing cattle, milk, feed, or crop commitments.","lag":"Same day to 8 weeks","confidence":72},{"id":"open-meteo-forecast-to-forward-forage","sourceId":"open-meteo-forecast","sourceName":"Open-Meteo global weather forecast","driver":"Forward pasture, heat, water, and forage pressure","affects":"Sale timing, feed coverage, water checks, milk yield, weight gain, and crop-feed risk","producerDecision":"Use the next-week rain and heat forecast before moving cattle, buying hay, changing supplement, or holding weight.","lag":"0-14 days","confidence":78},{"id":"google-news-rss-category-causal-edge","sourceId":"google-news-rss","sourceName":"Google News public search RSS","driver":"Regional event, policy, and local-market context","affects":"Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence","producerDecision":"Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan.","lag":"Same day to 1 year","confidence":64},{"id":"reliefweb-agriculture-category-causal-edge","sourceId":"reliefweb-agriculture","sourceName":"ReliefWeb agriculture and disaster reports","driver":"Regional event, policy, and local-market context","affects":"Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence","producerDecision":"Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan.","lag":"Same day to 1 year","confidence":69},{"id":"water-to-stocking-irrigation","sourceId":"usgs-water","sourceName":"USGS water data","driver":"Water availability for pasture, irrigation, feed crops, and cattle","affects":"Stocking rate, crop yield, hay demand, heat-stress mitigation, and forced sale risk","producerDecision":"Tie stocking and planting decisions to measured water, not only rainfall.","lag":"0-12 weeks","confidence":81}],"historicalDrivers":[{"id":"pasture-stress-to-sale-runs","driver":"Pasture stress becomes sale pressure","lag":"Pasture stress usually hits feed buying first, sale runs second, and replacement prices last.","forwardWindow":"2-16 weeks","producerDecision":"Move from calendar-based selling to forage-days and feed-margin selling.","confidence":86},{"id":"export-pull-to-local-basis","driver":"Export pull changes local basis","lag":"Export sales lead shipments; shipments lead customs totals; customs totals confirm structural demand.","forwardWindow":"1-12 weeks","producerDecision":"Price cattle and crops with local basis plus destination exposure, not only the national headline.","confidence":82},{"id":"crop-balance-to-feed-margin","driver":"Crop balance becomes feed margin","lag":"Acreage and crop condition lead production; production leads feed price; feed price leads cattle and milk margins.","forwardWindow":"1-18 months","producerDecision":"Use the crop balance to decide feed coverage, hay buying, grain pricing, and stocking rate.","confidence":84},{"id":"dairy-margin-to-beef-supply","driver":"Dairy margins become beef supply","lag":"Milk price and feed cost hit dairy margins before cull cow flow and beef supply respond.","forwardWindow":"2-20 weeks","producerDecision":"Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement purchases before monthly milk checks settle.","confidence":81},{"id":"herd-concentration-to-basis","driver":"Regional herd concentration becomes basis pressure","lag":"Herd concentration changes local sale pressure slowly, but weather, freight, and export bids can pull that pressure into the next quarter.","forwardWindow":"1 quarter to 2 years","producerDecision":"Price cattle against state-level supply, freight, pasture, and export basis before trusting the national cattle headline.","confidence":80}],"scenarios":[{"id":"drought-shock","name":"Drought tightens forage","sector":"feed","defaultIntensity":42,"producerDecision":"Check forage inventory, water, and the value of selling lighter cattle before everyone else is forced to."},{"id":"feed-cost-spike","name":"Feed cost spike","sector":"feed","defaultIntensity":35,"producerDecision":"Recalculate whether the next gain period is still worth feeding."},{"id":"export-disruption","name":"Export or border disruption","sector":"beef","defaultIntensity":30,"producerDecision":"Do not assume local bids are stable when export channels or border rules move."},{"id":"milk-margin-squeeze","name":"Milk margin squeeze","sector":"dairy","defaultIntensity":33,"producerDecision":"Reprice feed, cull timing, and replacement animals before ration spend outruns milk value."},{"id":"disease-alert","name":"Disease alert or movement hold","sector":"animal-health","defaultIntensity":28,"producerDecision":"Treat health status as a market signal before buying, moving, or selling cattle."}],"evidence":[{"id":"us-drought-monitor-southern-plains-d2-plus-forage-retention-impact","kind":"driver-impact","title":"Southern Plains severe drought footprint changes forage and retention risk","detail":"52 % D2+ area in the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. D2+ is the official severe-drought footprint to read before assuming pasture, hay, and water pressure stay local.","action":"Recount forage and hay inventory now, then compare selling lighter cattle against carrying them through a drought-priced gain period.","sourceId":"us-drought-monitor","sourceName":"U.S. Drought Monitor","sourceUrl":"https://www.drought.gov/data-maps-tools/us-drought-monitor","confidence":92,"severity":"high","sectors":["beef","dairy","feed"]},{"id":"us-drought-monitor-oklahoma-d2-plus-forage-retention-impact","kind":"driver-impact","title":"Oklahoma severe drought footprint changes forage and retention risk","detail":"46 % D2+ area in the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. D2+ is the official severe-drought footprint to read before assuming pasture, hay, and water pressure stay local.","action":"Recount forage and hay inventory now, then compare selling lighter cattle against carrying them through a drought-priced gain period.","sourceId":"us-drought-monitor","sourceName":"U.S. Drought Monitor","sourceUrl":"https://www.drought.gov/data-maps-tools/us-drought-monitor","confidence":91,"severity":"high","sectors":["beef","dairy","feed"]},{"id":"us-drought-monitor-nebraska-d2-plus-forage-retention-impact","kind":"driver-impact","title":"Nebraska severe drought footprint changes forage and retention risk","detail":"75 % D2+ area in the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. D2+ is the official severe-drought footprint to read before assuming pasture, hay, and water pressure stay local.","action":"Recount forage and hay inventory now, then compare selling lighter cattle against carrying them through a drought-priced gain period.","sourceId":"us-drought-monitor","sourceName":"U.S. Drought Monitor","sourceUrl":"https://www.drought.gov/data-maps-tools/us-drought-monitor","confidence":91,"severity":"high","sectors":["beef","dairy","feed"]},{"id":"us-drought-monitor-colorado-d2-plus-forage-retention-impact","kind":"driver-impact","title":"Colorado severe drought footprint changes forage and retention risk","detail":"76 % D2+ area in the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. D2+ is the official severe-drought footprint to read before assuming pasture, hay, and water pressure stay local.","action":"Recount forage and hay inventory now, then compare selling lighter cattle against carrying them through a drought-priced gain period.","sourceId":"us-drought-monitor","sourceName":"U.S. Drought Monitor","sourceUrl":"https://www.drought.gov/data-maps-tools/us-drought-monitor","confidence":91,"severity":"high","sectors":["beef","dairy","feed"]},{"id":"us-drought-monitor-new-mexico-d2-plus-forage-retention-impact","kind":"driver-impact","title":"New Mexico severe drought footprint changes forage and retention risk","detail":"85 % D2+ area in the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. D2+ is the official severe-drought footprint to read before assuming pasture, hay, and water pressure stay local.","action":"Recount forage and hay inventory now, then compare selling lighter cattle against carrying them through a drought-priced gain period.","sourceId":"us-drought-monitor","sourceName":"U.S. Drought Monitor","sourceUrl":"https://www.drought.gov/data-maps-tools/us-drought-monitor","confidence":91,"severity":"high","sectors":["beef","dairy","feed"]},{"id":"usda-nass-cattle-on-feed-fed-cattle-marketings-2026-05-22-official-report-impact","kind":"driver-impact","title":"U.S. fed cattle marketings changes the official cattle on feed read","detail":"1.6 million head in the 2026-05-22 USDA NASS Cattle on Feed; -10.0% versus the prior period. This is an official supply, feed, dairy, or pasture signal to read before treating local prices as isolated.","action":"Check slaughter flow and live weights against local bids before holding unpriced cattle or assuming packer demand is unchanged.","sourceId":"usda-nass","sourceName":"USDA NASS QuickStats and ESMIS reports","sourceUrl":"https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/","confidence":91,"severity":"high","sectors":["beef","feed"]},{"id":"usda-nass-livestock-slaughter-cattle-slaughter-2026-05-21-official-report-impact","kind":"driver-impact","title":"U.S. cattle slaughter changes the official livestock slaughter read","detail":"2.3 million head in the 2026-05-21 USDA NASS Livestock Slaughter; -9.0% versus the prior period. This is an official supply, feed, dairy, or pasture signal to read before treating local prices as isolated.","action":"Check slaughter flow and live weights against local bids before holding unpriced cattle or assuming packer demand is unchanged.","sourceId":"usda-nass","sourceName":"USDA NASS QuickStats and ESMIS reports","sourceUrl":"https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/","confidence":91,"severity":"high","sectors":["beef"]},{"id":"usda-nass-crop-progress-pasture-good-excellent-2026-06-01-official-report-impact","kind":"driver-impact","title":"U.S. pasture good/excellent changes the official crop progress read","detail":"30 % in the 2026-06-01 USDA NASS Crop Progress; -12.0 points versus last year. This is an official supply, feed, dairy, or pasture signal to read before treating local prices as isolated.","action":"Move this NASS read into the feed plan now: count forage days, price hay and grain, then compare selling lighter cattle against buying another gain period.","sourceId":"usda-nass","sourceName":"USDA NASS QuickStats and ESMIS reports","sourceUrl":"https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/","confidence":91,"severity":"high","sectors":["feed","crops","beef","dairy"]}],"citationText":"United States pasture and water basin connects 10 public layers, 8 source families, 8 causal links, 5 historical rules, and 5 scenarios.","canonicalDataUrl":"https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/local-boards.json?region=north-america&country=US&kind=pasture-basin&lang=en","score":435},{"id":"united-states-trade-corridor","type":"local-market-board","regionId":"north-america","regionName":"North America","country":"United States","countryCode":"US","name":"United States trade and health corridor","localityKind":"trade-corridor","localityKindLabel":"Trade corridor","coordinates":{"latitude":32.12,"longitude":-123.36,"precision":"regional-centroid"},"sectors":["beef","dairy","feed","crops","animal-health"],"categories":["Trade","Disease","Ports","Regional","Macro"],"priority":"act","priorityLabel":"Act now","risk":68,"opportunity":84,"estimatedSeries":627,"marketRead":"United States trade and health corridor combines risk 68, opportunity 84, 10 public layers, and 8 current signals.","topAction":"Use export access, border movement, disease notices, freight, currency, and policy signals before committing volume.","watchSignal":"Destination concentration, sanitary access, port flow, border friction, and currency translation.","nextCheck":"Review before closing a sale, buying feed, moving animals, or committing volume today.","sourceTargets":[{"id":"united-states-beef-dairy-trade","layer":"Beef, dairy, live animal, grain, and feed trade flows","category":"Trade","updatePriority":"monthly","discoveryStatus":"api-ready","estimatedSeries":120,"producerUse":"Export pull, import pressure, destination risk, and local basis."},{"id":"united-states-credit-rate-inflation","layer":"Credit, interest, currency, inflation, and farm finance series","category":"Macro","updatePriority":"monthly","discoveryStatus":"api-ready","estimatedSeries":70,"producerUse":"Cash flow, replacement finance, input timing, and export bids."},{"id":"united-states-crop-export-inspection-sales","layer":"Grain export inspections, forward sales, vessel lineups, and buyer destinations","category":"Trade","updatePriority":"weekly","discoveryStatus":"api-ready","estimatedSeries":66,"producerUse":"Corn and soy basis, feed coverage, crop sales, and ration substitution."},{"id":"united-states-export-quota-tariff-border","layer":"Export quotas, tariffs, border inspections, certificates, and market-access rules","category":"Trade","updatePriority":"event-driven","discoveryStatus":"report-parser-needed","estimatedSeries":58,"producerUse":"Buyer access, destination risk, local basis, and replacement trade."},{"id":"united-states-movement-traceability","layer":"Animal movement, traceability, inspection, and certification records","category":"Disease","updatePriority":"event-driven","discoveryStatus":"report-parser-needed","estimatedSeries":50,"producerUse":"Movement friction, certification costs, and market-access risk."},{"id":"united-states-policy-subsidy-inspection","layer":"Policy, subsidy, inspection, environmental, and animal welfare notices","category":"Regional","updatePriority":"event-driven","discoveryStatus":"report-parser-needed","estimatedSeries":45,"producerUse":"Compliance cost, program deadlines, market access, and farm incentives."},{"id":"united-states-port-freight-logistics","layer":"Port, freight, rail, border, road, and cold-chain logistics","category":"Ports","updatePriority":"weekly","discoveryStatus":"report-parser-needed","estimatedSeries":44,"producerUse":"Delivered basis, export access, feed import cost, and regional spreads."},{"id":"united-states-emissions-manure-environment","layer":"Methane, manure, water-quality, environmental, and climate-compliance rules","category":"Regional","updatePriority":"event-driven","discoveryStatus":"report-parser-needed","estimatedSeries":42,"producerUse":"Compliance cost, stocking choices, manure systems, and processor requirements."},{"id":"united-states-labor-immigration-farmwork","layer":"Farm labor, immigration, wage, trucking, and contractor availability","category":"Macro","updatePriority":"monthly","discoveryStatus":"report-parser-needed","estimatedSeries":36,"producerUse":"Milking labor, hay logistics, trucking, processing capacity, and operating cost."},{"id":"united-states-vet-medicine-vaccine-input","layer":"Veterinary medicine, vaccine, biologics, and animal-health input availability","category":"Disease","updatePriority":"event-driven","discoveryStatus":"manual-review","estimatedSeries":34,"producerUse":"Biosecurity cost, treatment planning, disease resilience, and movement risk."}],"sourceFamilies":[{"id":"mexico-siap","name":"Mexico SIAP livestock data","category":"Regional","officialUrl":"https://www.gob.mx/agricultura/dgsiap/acciones-y-programas/produccion-pecuaria","updatePriority":"monthly","ingestionStatus":"live","mappedSeries":50},{"id":"gdelt-global-news","name":"GDELT global event monitor","category":"Regional","officialUrl":"https://www.gdeltproject.org/","updatePriority":"daily","ingestionStatus":"live","mappedSeries":250000},{"id":"google-news-rss","name":"Google News public search RSS","category":"Regional","officialUrl":"https://news.google.com/rss","updatePriority":"daily","ingestionStatus":"live","mappedSeries":1200},{"id":"reliefweb-agriculture","name":"ReliefWeb agriculture and disaster reports","category":"Regional","officialUrl":"https://reliefweb.int/","updatePriority":"daily","ingestionStatus":"live","mappedSeries":1000},{"id":"world-bank-wdi","name":"World Bank World Development Indicators","category":"Macro","officialUrl":"https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators","updatePriority":"monthly","ingestionStatus":"live","mappedSeries":410},{"id":"bls-ag-inputs","name":"U.S. BLS farm input prices","category":"Macro","officialUrl":"https://www.bls.gov/developers/","updatePriority":"monthly","ingestionStatus":"live","mappedSeries":145},{"id":"usda-esr","name":"USDA Export Sales Reporting","category":"Trade","officialUrl":"https://apps.fas.usda.gov/export-sales/esrd1.html","updatePriority":"weekly","ingestionStatus":"live","mappedSeries":105},{"id":"usda-fas","name":"USDA FAS Open Data","category":"Trade","officialUrl":"https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads","updatePriority":"weekly","ingestionStatus":"live","mappedSeries":96}],"sourceGraph":[{"id":"mexico-siap-livestock-to-border-supply","sourceId":"mexico-siap","sourceName":"Mexico SIAP livestock data","driver":"Mexico cattle supply changes border and regional basis","affects":"Northern Mexico feeder flow, slaughter availability, replacement demand, border timing, and local cattle bids","producerDecision":"Read Mexico supply with drought, feed imports, border movement, and U.S. feeder bids before changing sale or retention timing.","lag":"1 quarter to 18 months","confidence":83},{"id":"mexico-siap-milk-to-dairy-beef-supply","sourceId":"mexico-siap","sourceName":"Mexico SIAP livestock data","driver":"Mexico dairy output changes cull and feed pressure","affects":"Dairy feed demand, cull cow flow, replacement appetite, milk margin, and beef supply from dairy regions","producerDecision":"Watch milk regions with feed and heat stress because dairy margin can become cull-cow supply before beef headlines adjust.","lag":"1 month to 1 year","confidence":80},{"id":"mexico-siap-northern-supply-to-feed-imports","sourceId":"mexico-siap","sourceName":"Mexico SIAP livestock data","driver":"Northern supply concentration meets imported feed and border demand","affects":"Feed replacement cost, feeder cattle flow, drought exposure, transport, sale timing, and retained-weight economics","producerDecision":"Use northern Mexico concentration with corn import cost, drought forecasts, and cross-border basis before holding cattle for extra weight.","lag":"Same month to 12 months","confidence":81},{"id":"gdelt-news-to-market-event-risk","sourceId":"gdelt-global-news","sourceName":"GDELT global event monitor","driver":"Early event awareness before official reports update","affects":"Buyer access, disease movement risk, export demand, feed input cost, weather pressure, and local sale timing","producerDecision":"Use public event signals as watch items, then confirm with official data before changing cattle, milk, feed, or crop commitments.","lag":"Same day to 8 weeks","confidence":72},{"id":"google-news-rss-category-causal-edge","sourceId":"google-news-rss","sourceName":"Google News public search RSS","driver":"Regional event, policy, and local-market context","affects":"Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence","producerDecision":"Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan.","lag":"Same day to 1 year","confidence":64},{"id":"reliefweb-agriculture-category-causal-edge","sourceId":"reliefweb-agriculture","sourceName":"ReliefWeb agriculture and disaster reports","driver":"Regional event, policy, and local-market context","affects":"Local prices, buyer behavior, public policy, logistics, input access, and producer confidence","producerDecision":"Use the regional source to localize national headlines before changing the farm plan.","lag":"Same day to 1 year","confidence":69},{"id":"world-bank-wdi-to-structural-supply","sourceId":"world-bank-wdi","sourceName":"World Bank World Development Indicators","driver":"Structural production capacity and input exposure","affects":"Long-cycle livestock supply, crop-feed availability, fertilizer sensitivity, and import affordability","producerDecision":"Use country structural indicators as the baseline before overreacting to a weekly market headline.","lag":"1-10 years","confidence":74},{"id":"bls-inputs-to-feed-margin","sourceId":"bls-ag-inputs","sourceName":"U.S. BLS farm input prices","driver":"Farm and feed input inflation","affects":"Feed breakeven, hay substitution, ration cost, feeder-cattle bids, and dairy margin","producerDecision":"Reprice the next gain period when feed-linked producer prices move faster than cattle value.","lag":"Same month to 3 months","confidence":78}],"historicalDrivers":[{"id":"pasture-stress-to-sale-runs","driver":"Pasture stress becomes sale pressure","lag":"Pasture stress usually hits feed buying first, sale runs second, and replacement prices last.","forwardWindow":"2-16 weeks","producerDecision":"Move from calendar-based selling to forage-days and feed-margin selling.","confidence":86},{"id":"export-pull-to-local-basis","driver":"Export pull changes local basis","lag":"Export sales lead shipments; shipments lead customs totals; customs totals confirm structural demand.","forwardWindow":"1-12 weeks","producerDecision":"Price cattle and crops with local basis plus destination exposure, not only the national headline.","confidence":82},{"id":"crop-balance-to-feed-margin","driver":"Crop balance becomes feed margin","lag":"Acreage and crop condition lead production; production leads feed price; feed price leads cattle and milk margins.","forwardWindow":"1-18 months","producerDecision":"Use the crop balance to decide feed coverage, hay buying, grain pricing, and stocking rate.","confidence":84},{"id":"dairy-margin-to-beef-supply","driver":"Dairy margins become beef supply","lag":"Milk price and feed cost hit dairy margins before cull cow flow and beef supply respond.","forwardWindow":"2-20 weeks","producerDecision":"Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement purchases before monthly milk checks settle.","confidence":81},{"id":"herd-concentration-to-basis","driver":"Regional herd concentration becomes basis pressure","lag":"Herd concentration changes local sale pressure slowly, but weather, freight, and export bids can pull that pressure into the next quarter.","forwardWindow":"1 quarter to 2 years","producerDecision":"Price cattle against state-level supply, freight, pasture, and export basis before trusting the national cattle headline.","confidence":80}],"scenarios":[{"id":"drought-shock","name":"Drought tightens forage","sector":"feed","defaultIntensity":42,"producerDecision":"Check forage inventory, water, and the value of selling lighter cattle before everyone else is forced to."},{"id":"feed-cost-spike","name":"Feed cost spike","sector":"feed","defaultIntensity":35,"producerDecision":"Recalculate whether the next gain period is still worth feeding."},{"id":"export-disruption","name":"Export or border disruption","sector":"beef","defaultIntensity":30,"producerDecision":"Do not assume local bids are stable when export channels or border rules move."},{"id":"milk-margin-squeeze","name":"Milk margin squeeze","sector":"dairy","defaultIntensity":33,"producerDecision":"Reprice feed, cull timing, and replacement animals before ration spend outruns milk value."},{"id":"disease-alert","name":"Disease alert or movement hold","sector":"animal-health","defaultIntensity":28,"producerDecision":"Treat health status as a market signal before buying, moving, or selling cattle."}],"evidence":[{"id":"us-drought-monitor-southern-plains-d2-plus-forage-retention-impact","kind":"driver-impact","title":"Southern Plains severe drought footprint changes forage and retention risk","detail":"52 % D2+ area in the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. D2+ is the official severe-drought footprint to read before assuming pasture, hay, and water pressure stay local.","action":"Recount forage and hay inventory now, then compare selling lighter cattle against carrying them through a drought-priced gain period.","sourceId":"us-drought-monitor","sourceName":"U.S. Drought Monitor","sourceUrl":"https://www.drought.gov/data-maps-tools/us-drought-monitor","confidence":92,"severity":"high","sectors":["beef","dairy","feed"]},{"id":"us-drought-monitor-oklahoma-d2-plus-forage-retention-impact","kind":"driver-impact","title":"Oklahoma severe drought footprint changes forage and retention risk","detail":"46 % D2+ area in the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. D2+ is the official severe-drought footprint to read before assuming pasture, hay, and water pressure stay local.","action":"Recount forage and hay inventory now, then compare selling lighter cattle against carrying them through a drought-priced gain period.","sourceId":"us-drought-monitor","sourceName":"U.S. Drought Monitor","sourceUrl":"https://www.drought.gov/data-maps-tools/us-drought-monitor","confidence":91,"severity":"high","sectors":["beef","dairy","feed"]},{"id":"us-drought-monitor-nebraska-d2-plus-forage-retention-impact","kind":"driver-impact","title":"Nebraska severe drought footprint changes forage and retention risk","detail":"75 % D2+ area in the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. D2+ is the official severe-drought footprint to read before assuming pasture, hay, and water pressure stay local.","action":"Recount forage and hay inventory now, then compare selling lighter cattle against carrying them through a drought-priced gain period.","sourceId":"us-drought-monitor","sourceName":"U.S. Drought Monitor","sourceUrl":"https://www.drought.gov/data-maps-tools/us-drought-monitor","confidence":91,"severity":"high","sectors":["beef","dairy","feed"]},{"id":"us-drought-monitor-colorado-d2-plus-forage-retention-impact","kind":"driver-impact","title":"Colorado severe drought footprint changes forage and retention risk","detail":"76 % D2+ area in the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. D2+ is the official severe-drought footprint to read before assuming pasture, hay, and water pressure stay local.","action":"Recount forage and hay inventory now, then compare selling lighter cattle against carrying them through a drought-priced gain period.","sourceId":"us-drought-monitor","sourceName":"U.S. Drought Monitor","sourceUrl":"https://www.drought.gov/data-maps-tools/us-drought-monitor","confidence":91,"severity":"high","sectors":["beef","dairy","feed"]},{"id":"us-drought-monitor-new-mexico-d2-plus-forage-retention-impact","kind":"driver-impact","title":"New Mexico severe drought footprint changes forage and retention risk","detail":"85 % D2+ area in the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. D2+ is the official severe-drought footprint to read before assuming pasture, hay, and water pressure stay local.","action":"Recount forage and hay inventory now, then compare selling lighter cattle against carrying them through a drought-priced gain period.","sourceId":"us-drought-monitor","sourceName":"U.S. Drought Monitor","sourceUrl":"https://www.drought.gov/data-maps-tools/us-drought-monitor","confidence":91,"severity":"high","sectors":["beef","dairy","feed"]},{"id":"usda-nass-cattle-on-feed-fed-cattle-marketings-2026-05-22-official-report-impact","kind":"driver-impact","title":"U.S. fed cattle marketings changes the official cattle on feed read","detail":"1.6 million head in the 2026-05-22 USDA NASS Cattle on Feed; -10.0% versus the prior period. This is an official supply, feed, dairy, or pasture signal to read before treating local prices as isolated.","action":"Check slaughter flow and live weights against local bids before holding unpriced cattle or assuming packer demand is unchanged.","sourceId":"usda-nass","sourceName":"USDA NASS QuickStats and ESMIS reports","sourceUrl":"https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/","confidence":91,"severity":"high","sectors":["beef","feed"]},{"id":"usda-nass-livestock-slaughter-cattle-slaughter-2026-05-21-official-report-impact","kind":"driver-impact","title":"U.S. cattle slaughter changes the official livestock slaughter read","detail":"2.3 million head in the 2026-05-21 USDA NASS Livestock Slaughter; -9.0% versus the prior period. This is an official supply, feed, dairy, or pasture signal to read before treating local prices as isolated.","action":"Check slaughter flow and live weights against local bids before holding unpriced cattle or assuming packer demand is unchanged.","sourceId":"usda-nass","sourceName":"USDA NASS QuickStats and ESMIS reports","sourceUrl":"https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/","confidence":91,"severity":"high","sectors":["beef"]},{"id":"usda-nass-crop-progress-pasture-good-excellent-2026-06-01-official-report-impact","kind":"driver-impact","title":"U.S. pasture good/excellent changes the official crop progress read","detail":"30 % in the 2026-06-01 USDA NASS Crop Progress; -12.0 points versus last year. This is an official supply, feed, dairy, or pasture signal to read before treating local prices as isolated.","action":"Move this NASS read into the feed plan now: count forage days, price hay and grain, then compare selling lighter cattle against buying another gain period.","sourceId":"usda-nass","sourceName":"USDA NASS QuickStats and ESMIS reports","sourceUrl":"https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/","confidence":91,"severity":"high","sectors":["feed","crops","beef","dairy"]}],"citationText":"United States trade and health corridor connects 10 public layers, 8 source families, 8 causal links, 5 historical rules, and 5 scenarios.","canonicalDataUrl":"https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/local-boards.json?region=north-america&country=US&kind=trade-corridor&lang=en","score":434.6}],"citationText":"North America local market boards summarizes 3 local boards connected to public sources, evidence, history, and scenarios."}}