{"name":"Cattle Market Pulse local market atlas","description":"Filterable country, basin, belt, and corridor intelligence for cattle, dairy, feed, crop, weather, disease, trade, logistics, and farm input decisions. Each local market node connects to public source targets, source families, evidence graph edges, historical lead-lag drivers, and scenario models.","generatedAt":"2026-06-06T22:15:27.328Z","snapshotGeneratedAt":"2026-06-06T11:33:23.605Z","updateCadence":"daily","isAccessibleForFree":true,"canonicalUrl":"https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/local-markets.json","filters":{"region":"all","sector":"all","kind":"all","country":"all","q":null,"lang":"en","limit":1,"offset":0},"summary":{"totalLocalMarketNodes":515,"totalCountries":103,"totalEstimatedPublicSeries":334029,"totalSourceTargetLinks":6077,"totalSourceFamilyLinks":4532,"totalSourceGraphLinks":7210,"totalHistoricalDriverLinks":2993,"totalScenarioLinks":4120,"matchingLocalMarketNodes":515,"returnedLocalMarketNodes":1,"returnedSourceTargets":14,"returnedSourceFamilies":10,"mappedPublicSeries":302037,"sourceFamilies":146,"liveConnectorFamilies":43,"sourceDiscoveryTargets":4017,"liveObservations":617,"marketEvents":189,"scenarioModels":13,"historicalDrivers":12},"pagination":{"offset":0,"limit":1,"nextOffset":1},"queryExamples":["https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/local-markets.json?region=latin-america&sector=dairy&country=BR&lang=pt","https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/local-markets.json?region=north-america&kind=feed-belt&lang=en","https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/local-markets.json?region=latin-america&q=Brazil&lang=es","https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/local-markets.json?region=africa-asia&sector=feed&lang=en&limit=50"],"localMarkets":[{"id":"colombia-dairy-belt","type":"local-market-atlas-node","locale":"en","regionId":"latin-america","regionName":"Latin America","country":"Colombia","countryCode":"CO","name":"Colombia dairy and processor belt","localityKind":"dairy-belt","localityKindLabel":"Dairy and processor belt","coordinates":{"latitude":-3.04,"longitude":-87.28,"precision":"regional-centroid"},"sectors":["dairy","feed","beef"],"categories":["Dairy","Feed","Prices","Inventory"],"risk":78,"opportunity":93,"estimatedSeries":730,"decisionUse":"Use milk price, solids, feed cost, cull-cow flow, and processor demand before changing ration, culling, or replacement plans.","watchSignal":"Milk-feed spread, processor pull, dairy-beef supply, and replacement economics.","sourceTargets":[{"id":"colombia-herd-inventory","layerId":"herd-inventory","layer":"Bovine herd, cow inventory, calf crop, and replacement numbers","category":"Inventory","sectors":["beef","dairy"],"sourceClass":"national","updatePriority":"monthly","discoveryStatus":"api-ready","estimatedSeries":80,"producerUse":"Herd rebuild, replacement value, long-cycle supply, and basis.","evidenceUse":"Links structural supply to future cattle availability."},{"id":"colombia-retail-foodservice-demand","layerId":"retail-foodservice-demand","layer":"Retail beef, dairy, foodservice, supermarket, and consumer demand signals","category":"Prices","sectors":["beef","dairy"],"sourceClass":"national","updatePriority":"monthly","discoveryStatus":"api-ready","estimatedSeries":76,"producerUse":"Demand pull, product mix, seasonal retail pressure, and processor appetite.","evidenceUse":"Connects consumer demand with farmgate and wholesale price pressure."},{"id":"colombia-corn-feed-basis","layerId":"corn-feed-basis","layer":"Corn, barley, silage, and feed grain local basis","category":"Feed","sectors":["feed","crops","beef","dairy"],"sourceClass":"market-operator","updatePriority":"weekly","discoveryStatus":"report-parser-needed","estimatedSeries":72,"producerUse":"Cost of gain, feed coverage, stocking rate, and crop sale timing.","evidenceUse":"Connects crop basis with cattle and dairy margins."},{"id":"colombia-live-cattle-cash-price","layerId":"live-cattle-cash-price","layer":"Live cattle cash and auction prices","category":"Prices","sectors":["beef"],"sourceClass":"market-operator","updatePriority":"daily","discoveryStatus":"report-parser-needed","estimatedSeries":60,"producerUse":"Local sale timing, buyer leverage, class spreads, and basis.","evidenceUse":"Turns auction and market reports into local price signals."},{"id":"colombia-soybean-meal-protein-feed","layerId":"soybean-meal-protein-feed","layer":"Soybean meal, protein meal, and feed ingredient prices","category":"Feed","sectors":["feed","crops","dairy","beef"],"sourceClass":"market-operator","updatePriority":"weekly","discoveryStatus":"report-parser-needed","estimatedSeries":54,"producerUse":"Ration cost, backgrounding margin, and dairy-feed spread.","evidenceUse":"Tracks protein-feed pressure before animal margins update."},{"id":"colombia-beef-cutout-wholesale","layerId":"beef-cutout-wholesale","layer":"Beef cutout, boxed beef, primal, and wholesale meat prices","category":"Prices","sectors":["beef"],"sourceClass":"national","updatePriority":"weekly","discoveryStatus":"api-ready","estimatedSeries":52,"producerUse":"Packer margin, grid leverage, carcass value, and finished-cattle bid pressure.","evidenceUse":"Links wholesale beef demand to plant bids and sale timing."},{"id":"colombia-cold-storage-meat-dairy","layerId":"cold-storage-meat-dairy","layer":"Cold storage, frozen meat, butter, cheese, and dairy stock reports","category":"Inventory","sectors":["beef","dairy"],"sourceClass":"national","updatePriority":"monthly","discoveryStatus":"api-ready","estimatedSeries":48,"producerUse":"Demand clearing, product overhang, cull pressure, and processor bids.","evidenceUse":"Connects inventory overhang to farmgate price risk."},{"id":"colombia-feeder-calf-auction","layerId":"feeder-calf-auction","layer":"Feeder calf and replacement auction prices","category":"Prices","sectors":["beef","dairy"],"sourceClass":"market-operator","updatePriority":"weekly","discoveryStatus":"report-parser-needed","estimatedSeries":48,"producerUse":"Replacement buying, retained ownership, and weaning timing.","evidenceUse":"Tracks weight-class spreads before national averages move."},{"id":"colombia-feedlot-placement-on-feed","layerId":"feedlot-placement-on-feed","layer":"Feedlot placements, marketings, on-feed counts, and occupancy","category":"Inventory","sectors":["beef","feed"],"sourceClass":"national","updatePriority":"monthly","discoveryStatus":"api-ready","estimatedSeries":46,"producerUse":"Feeder demand, finishing backlog, feed demand, and forward slaughter supply.","evidenceUse":"Turns feedlot flow into future cattle supply and feed-use pressure."},{"id":"colombia-hay-forage-pasture","layerId":"hay-forage-pasture","layer":"Hay, forage, pasture, and grazing condition reports","category":"Feed","sectors":["feed","beef","dairy"],"sourceClass":"subnational","updatePriority":"weekly","discoveryStatus":"manual-review","estimatedSeries":42,"producerUse":"Forage days, forced-sale pressure, hay buying, and carrying capacity.","evidenceUse":"Converts pasture stress into sale and retention signals."},{"id":"colombia-dairy-product-wholesale","layerId":"dairy-product-wholesale","layer":"Butter, cheese, powder, whey, and dairy product wholesale prices","category":"Dairy","sectors":["dairy","feed"],"sourceClass":"national","updatePriority":"weekly","discoveryStatus":"api-ready","estimatedSeries":40,"producerUse":"Forward milk checks, cull flow, and product demand.","evidenceUse":"Links processor economics to farmgate milk and dairy-beef supply."},{"id":"colombia-slaughter-volume","layerId":"slaughter-volume","layer":"Cattle slaughter, kill, and plant throughput","category":"Inventory","sectors":["beef","dairy"],"sourceClass":"national","updatePriority":"weekly","discoveryStatus":"api-ready","estimatedSeries":38,"producerUse":"Processor leverage, cull flow, carcass supply, and bid pressure.","evidenceUse":"Connects plant throughput to local buyer competition."},{"id":"colombia-milk-component-quality","layerId":"milk-component-quality","layer":"Milk components, somatic cell counts, quality premiums, and processor deductions","category":"Dairy","sectors":["dairy"],"sourceClass":"national","updatePriority":"monthly","discoveryStatus":"api-ready","estimatedSeries":38,"producerUse":"Milk check optimization, ration strategy, culling, and processor leverage.","evidenceUse":"Links component quality to dairy margin and cull decisions."},{"id":"colombia-milk-farmgate-price","layerId":"milk-farmgate-price","layer":"Farmgate milk and milk-solid prices","category":"Dairy","sectors":["dairy"],"sourceClass":"national","updatePriority":"monthly","discoveryStatus":"api-ready","estimatedSeries":36,"producerUse":"Ration spend, cull timing, milk margin, and replacement appetite.","evidenceUse":"Connects milk price with feed and cull-cow pressure."}],"sourceFamilies":[{"sourceId":"ibge-sidra","sourceName":"IBGE SIDRA","category":"Inventory","officialUrl":"https://apisidra.ibge.gov.br/","ingestionStatus":"live","updatePriority":"monthly","mappedSeries":120,"connectorKind":"api-json","reliability":"Official","producerUse":"Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions."},{"sourceId":"wfp-vam","sourceName":"WFP VAM food security and prices","category":"Prices","officialUrl":"https://data.humdata.org/dataset/global-wfp-food-prices","ingestionStatus":"live","updatePriority":"weekly","mappedSeries":3000,"connectorKind":"api-csv","reliability":"Official","producerUse":"Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions."},{"sourceId":"faostat","sourceName":"FAOSTAT","category":"Inventory","officialUrl":"https://faostat.fao.org/","ingestionStatus":"live","updatePriority":"monthly","mappedSeries":95,"connectorKind":"public-download","reliability":"Official","producerUse":"Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions."},{"sourceId":"conab","sourceName":"CONAB agriculture portal","category":"Feed","officialUrl":"https://portaldeinformacoes.conab.gov.br/oferta-e-demanda.html","ingestionStatus":"live","updatePriority":"weekly","mappedSeries":55,"connectorKind":"api-json","reliability":"Official","producerUse":"Translate crop balance, freight, hay, fertilizer, and ration pressure into stocking and sale decisions."},{"sourceId":"gdt-events","sourceName":"Global Dairy Trade","category":"Dairy","officialUrl":"https://www.globaldairytrade.info/","ingestionStatus":"live","updatePriority":"weekly","mappedSeries":45,"connectorKind":"api-json","reliability":"Public market operator","producerUse":"Connect milk margins to ration choices, cull flow, dairy-beef supply, and replacement appetite."},{"sourceId":"cepea-boi","sourceName":"CEPEA/ESALQ cattle indicators","category":"Prices","officialUrl":"https://www.cepea.org.br/br/categoria/acessar/boi-94-1.aspx","ingestionStatus":"live","updatePriority":"daily","mappedSeries":12,"connectorKind":"api-json","reliability":"Research institution","producerUse":"Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions."},{"sourceId":"mexico-sniim","sourceName":"Mexico SNIIM market information","category":"Prices","officialUrl":"https://www.economia-sniim.gob.mx/","ingestionStatus":"report-parser-needed","updatePriority":"daily","mappedSeries":260,"connectorKind":"html-report","reliability":"Official","producerUse":"Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions."},{"sourceId":"colombia-dane-agriculture","sourceName":"Colombia DANE agriculture statistics","category":"Inventory","officialUrl":"https://www.dane.gov.co/","ingestionStatus":"report-parser-needed","updatePriority":"monthly","mappedSeries":260,"connectorKind":"public-download","reliability":"Official","producerUse":"Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions."},{"sourceId":"uruguay-mgap","sourceName":"Uruguay MGAP statistics","category":"Inventory","officialUrl":"https://www.gub.uy/ministerio-ganaderia-agricultura-pesca/","ingestionStatus":"report-parser-needed","updatePriority":"monthly","mappedSeries":180,"connectorKind":"public-download","reliability":"Official","producerUse":"Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions."},{"sourceId":"chile-ine-agriculture","sourceName":"Chile INE agriculture statistics","category":"Inventory","officialUrl":"https://www.ine.gob.cl/","ingestionStatus":"report-parser-needed","updatePriority":"monthly","mappedSeries":160,"connectorKind":"public-download","reliability":"Official","producerUse":"Convert price, inventory, or production movement into producer timing, margin, and risk decisions."}],"sourceGraph":[{"id":"ibge-herd-to-regional-supply","sourceId":"ibge-sidra","sourceName":"IBGE SIDRA","signal":"Brazil cattle herd by state, production system, and annual survey","driver":"State herd structure and regional supply concentration","affects":"Local basis, pasture pressure, freight, export corridor load, and replacement buying","producerDecision":"Compare local herd concentration with rain, freight, and export demand before deciding whether to hold or sell.","lag":"1 quarter to 2 years","confidence":84,"sectors":["beef","feed","crops"]},{"id":"ibge-milk-to-dairy-beef-supply","sourceId":"ibge-sidra","sourceName":"IBGE SIDRA","signal":"Brazil milk production by state and annual dairy survey","driver":"Regional dairy margin and dairy-beef supply pressure","affects":"Cull cow flow, replacement appetite, dairy ration demand, and beef supply from dairy regions","producerDecision":"Watch milk regions with feed and weather stress because cull supply can hit beef bids before monthly price reports feel stale.","lag":"1 month to 1 year","confidence":81,"sectors":["dairy","beef","feed"]},{"id":"ibge-slaughter-to-brazil-supply","sourceId":"ibge-sidra","sourceName":"IBGE SIDRA","signal":"Brazil quarterly cattle slaughter, carcass output, and carcass weight from IBGE SIDRA","driver":"Official slaughter pace changes supply pressure","affects":"Processor leverage, local cattle basis, finished-cattle sale windows, carcass supply, and replacement appetite","producerDecision":"Read slaughter pace with local bids, export pull, feed cost, and pasture days before delaying sales.","lag":"Same quarter to 12 weeks","confidence":84,"sectors":["beef","dairy","feed"]},{"id":"ibge-crop-production-to-feed-basis","sourceId":"ibge-sidra","sourceName":"IBGE SIDRA","signal":"Brazil state corn and soybean production from IBGE SIDRA","driver":"State crop structure changes feed basis","affects":"Corn and soybean meal basis, delivered feed cost, freight, storage, crop selling, and cattle gain economics","producerDecision":"Use state crop concentration with CONAB and Comex Stat before changing feed coverage or retained-weight plans.","lag":"1 month to 18 months","confidence":82,"sectors":["feed","crops","beef","dairy"]},{"id":"wfp-vam-food-price-to-feed-risk","sourceId":"wfp-vam","sourceName":"WFP VAM food security and prices","signal":"WFP VAM observed food prices across physical markets","driver":"Local staple-price pressure before livestock markets fully adjust","affects":"Feed substitution, household cash pressure, forced-sale risk, market depth, ration cost, and crop demand","producerDecision":"Read WFP local prices beside cattle bids, pasture, and feed quotes before deciding whether to hold, sell, or buy supplement.","lag":"2 weeks to 6 months","confidence":82,"sectors":["feed","crops","beef","dairy"]},{"id":"faostat-category-causal-edge","sourceId":"faostat","sourceName":"FAOSTAT","signal":"FAOSTAT livestock, milk, beef, and feed-crop production baselines","driver":"Structural production capacity sets the slow market baseline","affects":"Long-cycle cattle supply, milk-feed exposure, feed-crop availability, replacement value, and regional basis","producerDecision":"Use the structural baseline before treating a local price, feed, or replacement move as only short-term noise.","lag":"3 months to 3 years","confidence":78,"sectors":["beef","dairy","feed","crops"]},{"id":"conab-category-causal-edge","sourceId":"conab","sourceName":"CONAB agriculture portal","signal":"Brazil CONAB crop supply, demand, stock, production, and export balance","driver":"Crop balance changes feed-cost cover","affects":"Corn and soybean meal basis, supplement cost, crop selling, feedlot breakeven, pasture substitution, and retained weight","producerDecision":"Use CONAB stock-to-use, production, and export revisions before holding cattle for gain or leaving feed coverage open.","lag":"1 month to 18 months","confidence":83,"sectors":["feed","crops","beef","dairy"]},{"id":"gdt-to-dairy-cull","sourceId":"gdt-events","sourceName":"Global Dairy Trade","signal":"Global dairy auction product prices and demand shifts","driver":"Milk-solids export demand and dairy margin pressure","affects":"Dairy ration spend, cull cow flow, beef supply from dairy, and replacement appetite","producerDecision":"Reprice dairy feed and cull decisions after auction moves, not only after monthly milk checks.","lag":"0-6 weeks","confidence":79,"sectors":["dairy","feed","beef"]},{"id":"cepea-ibge-brazil-price","sourceId":"cepea-boi","sourceName":"CEPEA/ESALQ cattle indicators","signal":"Boi gordo, calf, corn, soybean indicators","driver":"Brazil pasture-fed margin and export-linked cattle bid","affects":"State-level sale timing, dry-season supplement, and farm-to-farm price trust","producerDecision":"Convert live price, exchange rate, and expected gain into a local sale window.","lag":"0-7 days","confidence":85,"sectors":["beef","feed"]},{"id":"mexico-sniim-category-causal-edge","sourceId":"mexico-sniim","sourceName":"Mexico SNIIM market information","signal":"Mexico SNIIM market information: livestock price, meat price, feed ingredient, market volume","driver":"Local price discovery and basis movement","affects":"Sale timing, buyer leverage, class spreads, hedge urgency, and cash-flow planning","producerDecision":"Use the local price source as a bid check before selling, holding, hedging, or buying replacements.","lag":"Same day to 2 weeks","confidence":69,"sectors":["beef","dairy","feed","crops"]},{"id":"colombia-dane-agriculture-category-causal-edge","sourceId":"colombia-dane-agriculture","sourceName":"Colombia DANE agriculture statistics","signal":"Colombia DANE agriculture statistics: cattle slaughter, milk production, food inflation, regional agriculture","driver":"Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure","affects":"Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply","producerDecision":"Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating.","lag":"1 month to 2 years","confidence":69,"sectors":["beef","dairy","feed","crops"]},{"id":"uruguay-mgap-category-causal-edge","sourceId":"uruguay-mgap","sourceName":"Uruguay MGAP statistics","signal":"Uruguay MGAP statistics: cattle stock, dairy production, land use, policy","driver":"Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure","affects":"Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply","producerDecision":"Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating.","lag":"1 month to 2 years","confidence":69,"sectors":["beef","dairy","feed","crops","animal-health"]},{"id":"chile-ine-agriculture-category-causal-edge","sourceId":"chile-ine-agriculture","sourceName":"Chile INE agriculture statistics","signal":"Chile INE agriculture statistics: livestock inventory, milk production, crop production, regional prices","driver":"Structural supply and herd-cycle pressure","affects":"Replacement value, retained animals, slaughter availability, feed demand, and forward supply","producerDecision":"Compare the herd-cycle signal with local feed and price conditions before expanding or liquidating.","lag":"1 month to 2 years","confidence":69,"sectors":["beef","dairy","feed","crops"]},{"id":"fas-trade-to-basis","sourceId":"usda-fas","sourceName":"USDA FAS Open Data","signal":"Exports, imports, PSD, GAIN reports","driver":"Export pull and trade-policy pressure","affects":"Processor bids, regional basis, offal value, and cull cow demand","producerDecision":"Watch buyer access before committing volume into a weak local bid.","lag":"1-6 weeks","confidence":84,"sectors":["beef","dairy"]}],"historicalDrivers":[{"id":"dairy-margin-to-beef-supply","driver":"Dairy margins become beef supply","lookbackWindow":"4-26 weeks","forwardWindow":"2-20 weeks","lag":"Milk price and feed cost hit dairy margins before cull cow flow and beef supply respond.","producerDecision":"Reprice ration, cull timing, and replacement purchases before monthly milk checks settle.","leadingSignals":["Milk-feed spread narrows","Dairy auction prices weaken","Feed and energy prices rise together"],"forwardEffects":["Cull cows enter beef supply","Replacement appetite weakens","Milk output can fall after ration cuts"],"confidence":81},{"id":"herd-concentration-to-basis","driver":"Regional herd concentration becomes basis pressure","lookbackWindow":"1-10 years","forwardWindow":"1 quarter to 2 years","lag":"Herd concentration changes local sale pressure slowly, but weather, freight, and export bids can pull that pressure into the next quarter.","producerDecision":"Price cattle against state-level supply, freight, pasture, and export basis before trusting the national cattle headline.","leadingSignals":["State herd share rises in export-linked regions","Freight or pasture pressure diverges by state","Local cattle basis moves before national averages"],"forwardEffects":["Regional sale pressure can widen local discounts","Export-heavy states can pull cattle away from domestic buyers","Feed and crop corridors feel freight and pasture stress together"],"confidence":80},{"id":"crop-balance-to-feed-margin","driver":"Crop balance becomes feed margin","lookbackWindow":"90 days to 5 years","forwardWindow":"1-18 months","lag":"Acreage and crop condition lead production; production leads feed price; feed price leads cattle and milk margins.","producerDecision":"Use the crop balance to decide feed coverage, hay buying, grain pricing, and stocking rate.","leadingSignals":["Acreage, crop progress, and soil moisture shift together","Balance-sheet revisions tighten ending stocks","Rail, freight, or port pressure widens local basis"],"forwardEffects":["Backgrounding and finishing margins compress","Dairy ration spend rises before cull flow changes","Crop producers may gain price opportunity while livestock producers face cost risk"],"confidence":84}],"scenarios":[{"id":"feed-cost-spike","name":"Feed cost spike","sector":"feed","defaultIntensity":35,"description":"Corn, hay, soybean meal, fuel, or freight costs rise faster than cattle value.","producerDecision":"Recalculate whether the next gain period is still worth feeding.","outputs":[{"label":"Feed breakeven pressure","baseline":34,"unit":"%","perIntensityPoint":0.66,"direction":"higher-is-risk"},{"label":"Margin cushion","baseline":24,"unit":"%","perIntensityPoint":-0.45,"direction":"lower-is-risk"},{"label":"Freight sensitivity","baseline":18,"unit":"%","perIntensityPoint":0.31,"direction":"higher-is-risk"}]},{"id":"drought-shock","name":"Drought tightens forage","sector":"feed","defaultIntensity":42,"description":"Pasture weakens, hay gets tighter, and more cows or calves can move earlier than planned.","producerDecision":"Check forage inventory, water, and the value of selling lighter cattle before everyone else is forced to.","outputs":[{"label":"Hay cost risk","baseline":28,"unit":"%","perIntensityPoint":0.72,"direction":"higher-is-risk"},{"label":"Early sale pressure","baseline":22,"unit":"%","perIntensityPoint":0.58,"direction":"higher-is-risk"},{"label":"Pasture carrying days","baseline":64,"unit":"days","perIntensityPoint":-0.42,"direction":"lower-is-risk"}]},{"id":"export-disruption","name":"Export or border disruption","sector":"beef","defaultIntensity":30,"description":"A sanitary, policy, currency, or logistics event changes buyer access.","producerDecision":"Do not assume local bids are stable when export channels or border rules move.","outputs":[{"label":"Basis risk","baseline":26,"unit":"%","perIntensityPoint":0.72,"direction":"higher-is-risk"},{"label":"Cull cow pressure","baseline":18,"unit":"%","perIntensityPoint":0.33,"direction":"higher-is-risk"},{"label":"Buyer competition","baseline":46,"unit":"%","perIntensityPoint":-0.51,"direction":"lower-is-risk"}]},{"id":"milk-margin-squeeze","name":"Milk margin squeeze","sector":"dairy","defaultIntensity":33,"description":"Milk price weakens while feed, energy, or cull cow pressure rises.","producerDecision":"Reprice feed, cull timing, and replacement animals before ration spend outruns milk value.","outputs":[{"label":"Milk-feed squeeze","baseline":31,"unit":"%","perIntensityPoint":0.62,"direction":"higher-is-risk"},{"label":"Cull flow","baseline":18,"unit":"%","perIntensityPoint":0.43,"direction":"higher-is-risk"},{"label":"Replacement appetite","baseline":42,"unit":"%","perIntensityPoint":-0.39,"direction":"lower-is-risk"}]},{"id":"credit-interest-squeeze","name":"Credit and interest squeeze","sector":"beef","defaultIntensity":27,"description":"Higher financing cost changes replacement purchases, retained ownership, crop inputs, equipment, and working capital.","producerDecision":"Run every hold, buy, feed, and planting decision through cash-flow timing, not only headline price.","outputs":[{"label":"Replacement finance drag","baseline":24,"unit":"%","perIntensityPoint":0.62,"direction":"higher-is-risk"},{"label":"Retained ownership risk","baseline":19,"unit":"%","perIntensityPoint":0.48,"direction":"higher-is-risk"},{"label":"Input prepay flexibility","baseline":54,"unit":"%","perIntensityPoint":-0.5,"direction":"lower-is-risk"}]},{"id":"port-freight-shock","name":"Port and freight shock","sector":"feed","defaultIntensity":36,"description":"Port congestion, fuel, border friction, or shipping disruption widens the gap between farm price and destination price.","producerDecision":"Before moving cattle, hay, grain, milk, or inputs, test whether freight has already eaten the price signal.","outputs":[{"label":"Delivered-feed risk","baseline":26,"unit":"%","perIntensityPoint":0.73,"direction":"higher-is-risk"},{"label":"Export basis drag","baseline":22,"unit":"%","perIntensityPoint":0.59,"direction":"higher-is-risk"},{"label":"Local arbitrage window","baseline":35,"unit":"%","perIntensityPoint":0.32,"direction":"higher-is-opportunity"}]},{"id":"geopolitical-shipping-shock","name":"War and shipping disruption","sector":"feed","defaultIntensity":37,"description":"Conflict, sanctions, canal disruption, or route risk changes grain, fertilizer, fuel, freight, and protein trade costs.","producerDecision":"Before holding cattle for more gain, check whether war or shipping risk has changed delivered feed, fertilizer, freight, or buyer access.","outputs":[{"label":"Delivered-input risk","baseline":24,"unit":"%","perIntensityPoint":0.69,"direction":"higher-is-risk"},{"label":"Basis and freight drag","baseline":21,"unit":"%","perIntensityPoint":0.64,"direction":"higher-is-risk"},{"label":"Local substitution value","baseline":30,"unit":"%","perIntensityPoint":0.35,"direction":"higher-is-opportunity"}]},{"id":"heat-stress-milk-loss","name":"Heat stress cuts milk and gain","sector":"dairy","defaultIntensity":44,"description":"Temperature, humidity, and water stress reduce milk output, weight gain, conception, and pasture recovery.","producerDecision":"Prioritize shade, water, ration timing, and sale weights before the heat signal shows up in production reports.","outputs":[{"label":"Milk-yield loss","baseline":12,"unit":"%","perIntensityPoint":0.44,"direction":"higher-is-risk"},{"label":"Weight-gain drag","baseline":14,"unit":"%","perIntensityPoint":0.39,"direction":"higher-is-risk"},{"label":"Cooling and water urgency","baseline":28,"unit":"%","perIntensityPoint":0.58,"direction":"higher-is-risk"}]}],"relatedCounts":{"sourceTargets":14,"sourceFamilies":10,"sourceGraphEdges":14,"historicalDrivers":3,"scenarios":8},"canonicalDataUrl":"https://cattleweightestimation.com/market-pulse/local-markets.json","citationText":"Colombia dairy and processor belt connects 14 public layers, 10 source families, 14 evidence links, 3 historical drivers, and 8 scenarios for cattle, dairy, and feed decisions."}]}