{"name":"Cattle Market Pulse Source Fusion","description":"Public source layers linked to live evidence, graph edges, historical drivers, scenarios, local market nodes, and producer 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days","confidence":78},{"id":"mexico-conagua-smn-category-causal-edge","sourceId":"mexico-conagua-smn","signal":"Mexico CONAGUA-SMN climate data: drought, rainfall, reservoirs, temperature","driver":"Weather, forage, heat, and water stress","affects":"Pasture days, stocking rate, milk yield, crop yield, hay demand, and forced-sale risk","producerDecision":"Translate weather into forage days, water checks, feed coverage, and sale-or-hold thresholds.","lag":"0 days to 16 weeks","confidence":69},{"id":"nasa-firms-category-causal-edge","sourceId":"nasa-firms","signal":"NASA FIRMS fire data: wildfire, pasture burn risk, smoke, transport disruption","driver":"Weather, forage, heat, and water stress","affects":"Pasture days, stocking rate, milk yield, crop yield, hay demand, and forced-sale risk","producerDecision":"Translate weather into forage days, water checks, feed coverage, and sale-or-hold thresholds.","lag":"0 days to 16 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cattle against carrying them through a drought-priced gain period.","sourceId":"us-drought-monitor","sourceName":"U.S. Drought Monitor","sourceUrl":"https://www.drought.gov/data-maps-tools/us-drought-monitor","date":null,"confidence":91,"evidenceKey":"impact:us-drought-monitor-new-mexico-d2-plus-forage-retention-impact"},{"id":"us-drought-monitor-oklahoma-d2-plus-forage-retention-impact","kind":"impact","title":"Oklahoma severe drought footprint changes forage and retention risk","summary":"Recount forage and hay inventory now, then compare selling lighter cattle against carrying them through a drought-priced gain period.","sourceId":"us-drought-monitor","sourceName":"U.S. Drought Monitor","sourceUrl":"https://www.drought.gov/data-maps-tools/us-drought-monitor","date":null,"confidence":91,"evidenceKey":"impact:us-drought-monitor-oklahoma-d2-plus-forage-retention-impact"},{"id":"us-drought-monitor-conus-d2-plus-forage-retention-impact","kind":"impact","title":"CONUS severe drought footprint changes forage and retention risk","summary":"Keep the drought class beside the 7-day rain forecast before changing stocking, supplement, hay buying, or retained-ownership plans.","sourceId":"us-drought-monitor","sourceName":"U.S. Drought Monitor","sourceUrl":"https://www.drought.gov/data-maps-tools/us-drought-monitor","date":null,"confidence":90,"evidenceKey":"impact:us-drought-monitor-conus-d2-plus-forage-retention-impact"},{"id":"us-drought-monitor-southern-plains-d2-plus","kind":"observation","title":"Southern Plains severe drought footprint","summary":"Southern Plains cattle states: 51.8% of area is in severe drought or worse (D2+), 70.5% is in moderate drought or worse (D1+), and 24.2% is in extreme drought or worse (D3+). D2+ changed -4.8 percentage points week over week. Use this before assuming pasture will carry cattle or hay demand will stay local.","sourceId":"us-drought-monitor","sourceName":"U.S. Drought Monitor","sourceUrl":"https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataDownload.aspx","date":"2026-06-02","confidence":90,"evidenceKey":"observation:us-drought-monitor-southern-plains-d2-plus"},{"id":"us-drought-monitor-kansas-d2-plus-forage-retention-impact","kind":"impact","title":"Kansas severe drought footprint changes forage and retention risk","summary":"Keep the drought class beside the 7-day rain forecast before changing stocking, supplement, hay buying, or retained-ownership plans.","sourceId":"us-drought-monitor","sourceName":"U.S. Drought Monitor","sourceUrl":"https://www.drought.gov/data-maps-tools/us-drought-monitor","date":null,"confidence":89,"evidenceKey":"impact:us-drought-monitor-kansas-d2-plus-forage-retention-impact"}],"localMarkets":[{"id":"canada-pasture-basin","name":"Canada pasture and water basin","country":"Canada","risk":66,"opportunity":83,"decisionUse":"Use rainfall, heat, water, pasture, and forage signals before changing stocking rate, sale pressure, or supplement buying.","watchSignal":"Pasture recovery, water stress, heat load, hay availability, and forced-sale risk."}],"sourceToDecisionChain":[{"id":"canada-satellite-vegetation-biomass:layer","label":"Public layer","title":"Satellite NDVI, biomass, pasture growth, and forage anomaly grids","detail":"Canada · Weather · Weather grids"},{"id":"canada-satellite-vegetation-biomass:evidence","label":"Live evidence","title":"Southern Plains severe drought footprint changes forage and retention risk","detail":"Recount forage and hay inventory now, then compare selling lighter cattle against carrying them through a drought-priced gain period."},{"id":"canada-satellite-vegetation-biomass:effect","label":"Effect","title":"Cow retention, hay demand, calf movement, and replacement price","detail":"Compare forage inventory against the value of carrying cattle longer."},{"id":"canada-satellite-vegetation-biomass:history","label":"History","title":"Pasture stress becomes sale pressure","detail":"30-120 days -> 2-16 weeks"},{"id":"canada-satellite-vegetation-biomass:scenario","label":"Scenario","title":"Heat stress cuts milk and gain","detail":"Temperature, humidity, and water stress reduce milk output, weight gain, conception, and pasture recovery."},{"id":"canada-satellite-vegetation-biomass:action","label":"Decision","title":"Prioritize shade, water, ration timing, and sale weights before the heat signal shows up in production reports.","detail":"Move from calendar-based selling to forage-days and feed-margin selling."}],"canonicalDataUrl":"/market-pulse/source-fusion.json?region=north-america&sector=all&sourceClass=weather-grid&lang=en"}],"citationText":"Cattle Market Pulse Source Fusion for North America covers 117 source layers, 3 countries, and 6,675 estimated public series."}}